Ares Commercial Real Estate (ACRE) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions
ACRE Stock Forecast
Ares Commercial Real Estate stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $16.00 (represents a 128.25% upside from ACRE’s last price of $7.01) and a rating consensus of 'Hold', based on 2 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.
ACRE Price Target
The average price target for Ares Commercial Real Estate (ACRE) is $16.00 based on 1-year price targets from 2 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $16.00 to $16.00. This represents a potential 128.25% upside from ACRE's last price of $7.01.
ACRE Analyst Ratings
According to 2 Wall Street analysts, Ares Commercial Real Estate's rating consensus is 'Hold'. The analyst rating breakdown for ACRE stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 0 'Buy' (0.00%), 2 'Hold' (100.00%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).
Ares Commercial Real Estate Price Target by Analyst
| Date | Analyst | Company | Price Target | Price when Published | Price Target/Price when Published | Price Target/Last Closing Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2022 | - | J.P. Morgan | $16.00 | $15.58 | 2.71% | 128.25% |
The latest Ares Commercial Real Estate stock forecast, released on Apr 25, 2022 by J.P. Morgan company, set a price target of $16.00, which represents a 2.71% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($15.58), and a 128.25% increase from ACRE last price ($7.01).
Ares Commercial Real Estate Price Target by Period
| 1M | 3M | 12M | |
|---|---|---|---|
| # Anlaysts | - | - | - |
| Avg Price Target | - | - | - |
| Last Closing Price | $7.01 | $7.01 | $7.01 |
| Upside/Downside | -100.00% | -100.00% | -100.00% |
In the current month, the average price target of Ares Commercial Real Estate stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to Ares Commercial Real Estate's last price of $7.01. This month's average price target is down NaN% compared to last quarter, and down NaN% compared to last year.
Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades
| Date | Company | Previous Rating | New Rating | Rating Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2024 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Market Perform | Market Perform | Hold |
| Apr 26, 2022 | Zacks Investment Research | - | Hold | Upgrade |
| Apr 26, 2022 | Zacks Investment Research | - | Buy | Upgrade |
Ares Commercial Real Estate's last stock rating was published by Keefe, Bruyette & Woods on May 10, 2024. The company gave ACRE a "Market Perform" rating, the same as its previous rate.
Ares Commercial Real Estate Financial Forecast
Ares Commercial Real Estate Revenue Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $23.88M | - | $20.89M | $30.41M | $27.27M | - | $26.22M | $30.11M | $27.20M | $23.53M | $21.22M | $21.21M | $22.36M | $13.98M | $21.13M | $21.58M | $19.85M |
| Avg Forecast | $21.84M | $21.72M | $20.90M | $20.23M | $19.70M | $18.55M | $17.87M | $17.68M | $18.53M | $18.70M | $20.62M | $19.27M | $24.63M | $25.88M | $26.85M | $28.51M | $27.83M | $25.20M | $22.03M | $24.78M | $26.95M | $24.94M | $22.67M | $21.07M | $20.03M | $17.35M | $19.22M | $12.58M | $21.10M | $19.89M |
| High Forecast | $30.17M | $30.01M | $28.87M | $27.94M | $27.21M | $25.62M | $24.68M | $24.42M | $25.59M | $19.41M | $28.48M | $26.61M | $24.78M | $29.85M | $37.09M | $39.38M | $38.44M | $34.81M | $22.03M | $30.34M | $33.01M | $30.55M | $27.77M | $25.81M | $24.54M | $21.25M | $23.54M | $15.40M | $25.85M | $24.37M |
| Low Forecast | $16.43M | $16.35M | $15.73M | $15.22M | $14.82M | $13.96M | $13.44M | $13.30M | $13.94M | $17.99M | $15.51M | $14.50M | $24.47M | $21.47M | $20.20M | $21.45M | $20.94M | $18.96M | $22.03M | $21.46M | $23.34M | $21.60M | $19.64M | $18.25M | $17.35M | $15.03M | $16.64M | $10.89M | $18.28M | $17.23M |
| # Analysts | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 5 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.92% | - | 0.73% | 1.09% | 1.08% | - | 1.06% | 1.12% | 1.09% | 1.04% | 1.01% | 1.06% | 1.29% | 0.73% | 1.68% | 1.02% | 1.00% |
Ares Commercial Real Estate's average Quarter revenue forecast for Dec 23 based on 2 analysts is $24.63M, with a low forecast of $24.47M, and a high forecast of $24.78M. ACRE's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a 3.12% increase compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $23.88M (Sep 23).
Ares Commercial Real Estate EBITDA Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 5 |
| EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $17.80M | - | $3.03M | $24.54M | $19.01M | - | $28.32M | $31.46M | $22.62M | $29.11M | $28.06M | $26.13M | $27.21M | $23.19M | $-1.50M | $25.11M | $24.38M |
| Avg Forecast | $13.60M | $13.53M | $13.01M | $12.60M | $12.27M | $11.55M | $11.12M | $11.01M | $11.54M | $11.64M | $12.84M | $12.00M | $15.34M | $16.12M | $16.72M | $17.75M | $17.33M | $15.69M | $13.72M | $15.43M | $-54.03M | $20.56M | $14.12M | $13.12M | $12.47M | $10.80M | $16.70M | $-1.59M | $13.14M | $12.39M |
| High Forecast | $18.78M | $18.68M | $17.98M | $17.40M | $16.94M | $15.95M | $15.37M | $15.21M | $15.93M | $12.09M | $17.73M | $16.57M | $15.43M | $18.59M | $23.09M | $24.52M | $23.93M | $21.68M | $13.72M | $18.89M | $-43.23M | $24.68M | $17.29M | $16.07M | $15.28M | $13.23M | $20.04M | $-1.27M | $16.10M | $15.17M |
| Low Forecast | $10.23M | $10.18M | $9.79M | $9.48M | $9.23M | $8.69M | $8.37M | $8.28M | $8.68M | $11.20M | $9.66M | $9.03M | $15.24M | $13.37M | $12.58M | $13.35M | $13.04M | $11.81M | $13.72M | $13.36M | $-64.84M | $16.45M | $12.23M | $11.36M | $10.80M | $9.36M | $13.36M | $-1.90M | $11.38M | $10.73M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.10% | - | 0.17% | 1.42% | 1.21% | - | 1.84% | -0.58% | 1.10% | 2.06% | 2.14% | 2.09% | 2.52% | 1.39% | 0.94% | 1.91% | 1.97% |
2 analysts predict ACRE's average Quarter EBITDA for Dec 23 to be $15.34M, with a high of $15.43M and a low of $15.24M. This is -13.86% lower than Ares Commercial Real Estate's previous annual EBITDA (Sep 23) of $17.80M.
Ares Commercial Real Estate Net Income Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 5 |
| Net Income | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $9.18M | - | $-6.44M | $2.91M | $644.00K | - | $16.20M | $17.15M | $9.95M | $17.61M | $15.74M | $14.41M | $14.93M | $9.77M | $-17.26M | $9.66M | $9.03M |
| Avg Forecast | $6.96M | $7.13M | $6.51M | $6.37M | $10.34M | $9.80M | $6.35M | $4.96M | $8.35M | $4.13M | $-5.13M | $20.69M | $-23.46M | $12.44M | $17.70M | $18.81M | $19.41M | $11.44M | $18.54M | $17.10M | $15.76M | $9.05M | $16.58M | $13.99M | $11.94M | $10.56M | $7.03M | $-18.28M | $9.39M | $8.76M |
| High Forecast | $10.41M | $10.66M | $9.73M | $9.53M | $15.47M | $14.65M | $9.49M | $7.42M | $12.48M | $6.38M | $-3.48M | $24.83M | $-21.11M | $18.36M | $26.47M | $22.57M | $29.04M | $13.73M | $18.54M | $20.52M | $18.92M | $10.86M | $19.89M | $16.79M | $14.32M | $12.67M | $8.44M | $-14.62M | $11.27M | $10.51M |
| Low Forecast | $4.72M | $4.84M | $4.41M | $4.32M | $7.01M | $6.64M | $4.30M | $3.37M | $5.66M | $2.25M | $-7.67M | $16.55M | $-25.22M | $7.70M | $12.00M | $15.05M | $13.17M | $9.15M | $18.54M | $13.68M | $12.61M | $7.24M | $13.26M | $11.19M | $9.55M | $8.44M | $5.63M | $-21.93M | $7.51M | $7.01M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.74% | - | -0.34% | 0.15% | 0.06% | - | 0.95% | 1.09% | 1.10% | 1.06% | 1.13% | 1.21% | 1.41% | 1.39% | 0.94% | 1.03% | 1.03% |
Ares Commercial Real Estate's average Quarter net income forecast for Dec 23 is $-23.46M, with a range of $-25.22M to $-21.11M. ACRE's average Quarter net income forecast represents a -355.44% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $9.18M (Sep 23).
Ares Commercial Real Estate SG&A Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 5 |
| SG&A | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $2.37M | - | $2.42M | $2.91M | $2.43M | - | $2.45M | $1.97M | $1.89M | $1.98M | $1.91M | $1.70M | $1.77M | $2.00M | $1.92M | $1.80M | $1.84M |
| Avg Forecast | $1.80M | $1.79M | $1.72M | $1.67M | $1.62M | $1.53M | $1.47M | $1.46M | $1.53M | $1.54M | $1.70M | $6.92M | $2.03M | $2.13M | $2.21M | $6.29M | $2.29M | $5.83M | $1.82M | $5.72M | $-6.71M | $4.61M | $4.64M | $3.98M | $3.39M | $2.56M | $2.99M | $3.91M | $3.65M | $3.31M |
| High Forecast | $2.49M | $2.47M | $2.38M | $2.30M | $2.24M | $2.11M | $2.03M | $2.01M | $2.11M | $1.60M | $2.35M | $8.31M | $2.04M | $2.46M | $3.06M | $7.55M | $3.17M | $6.99M | $1.82M | $6.87M | $-5.37M | $5.53M | $5.57M | $4.77M | $4.06M | $3.07M | $3.58M | $4.69M | $4.38M | $3.97M |
| Low Forecast | $1.35M | $1.35M | $1.30M | $1.25M | $1.22M | $1.15M | $1.11M | $1.10M | $1.15M | $1.48M | $1.28M | $5.54M | $2.02M | $1.77M | $1.67M | $5.04M | $1.73M | $4.66M | $1.82M | $4.58M | $-8.05M | $3.69M | $3.72M | $3.18M | $2.71M | $2.05M | $2.39M | $3.13M | $2.92M | $2.65M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.11% | - | 0.38% | 1.27% | 0.42% | - | 0.43% | -0.29% | 0.41% | 0.43% | 0.48% | 0.50% | 0.69% | 0.67% | 0.49% | 0.49% | 0.55% |
Ares Commercial Real Estate's average Quarter SG&A projection for Dec 23 is $2.03M, based on 2 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $2.02M to $2.04M. The forecast indicates a -14.46% fall compared to ACRE last annual SG&A of $2.37M (Sep 23).
Ares Commercial Real Estate EPS Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 5 |
| EPS | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0.17 | - | $-0.12 | $0.05 | $0.01 | - | $0.34 | $0.36 | $0.21 | $0.43 | $0.46 | $0.44 | $0.45 | $0.29 | $-0.54 | $0.34 | $0.32 |
| Avg Forecast | $0.13 | $0.13 | $0.12 | $0.12 | $0.19 | $0.18 | $0.12 | $0.09 | $0.15 | $0.08 | $-0.09 | $0.22 | $-0.43 | $0.23 | $0.33 | $0.31 | $0.36 | $0.35 | $0.34 | $0.36 | $0.36 | $0.34 | $0.35 | $0.36 | $0.34 | $0.25 | $0.26 | $0.11 | $0.34 | $0.33 |
| High Forecast | $0.19 | $0.20 | $0.18 | $0.18 | $0.28 | $0.27 | $0.17 | $0.14 | $0.23 | $0.12 | $-0.06 | $0.32 | $-0.39 | $0.34 | $0.49 | $0.46 | $0.53 | $0.53 | $0.34 | $0.47 | $0.46 | $0.44 | $0.45 | $0.46 | $0.43 | $0.33 | $0.33 | $0.15 | $0.44 | $0.42 |
| Low Forecast | $0.09 | $0.09 | $0.08 | $0.08 | $0.13 | $0.12 | $0.08 | $0.06 | $0.10 | $0.04 | $-0.14 | $0.15 | $-0.46 | $0.14 | $0.22 | $0.21 | $0.24 | $0.24 | $0.34 | $0.30 | $0.30 | $0.28 | $0.29 | $0.29 | $0.28 | $0.21 | $0.21 | $0.09 | $0.28 | $0.27 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.74% | - | -0.39% | 0.14% | 0.03% | - | 0.94% | 1.00% | 0.62% | 1.23% | 1.29% | 1.31% | 1.78% | 1.13% | -4.80% | 1.00% | 0.98% |
According to 2 Wall Street analysts, Ares Commercial Real Estate's projected average Quarter EPS for Dec 23 is $-0.43, with a low estimate of $-0.46 and a high estimate of $-0.39. This represents a -353.55% decrease compared to ACRE previous annual EPS of $0.17 (Sep 23).
Ares Commercial Real Estate Peer Comparison by Price Target
| Ticker | Company | Last Closing Price | Avg Price Target | Upside/Downside | Avg Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACRE | Ares Commercial Real Estate | $7.00 | $16.00 | 128.57% | Hold |
| ARI | Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance | $10.30 | $13.50 | 31.07% | - |
| TRTX | TPG RE Finance Trust | $8.58 | $11.13 | 29.72% | Buy |
| EARN | Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT | $6.81 | $8.00 | 17.47% | Buy |
| TWO | Two Harbors Investment | $13.77 | $15.63 | 13.51% | Buy |
| EFC | Ellington Financial | $13.03 | $13.50 | 3.61% | Buy |
| NREF | NexPoint Real Estate Finance | $16.08 | $14.00 | -12.94% | Hold |
| ARR | ARMOUR Residential REIT | $20.42 | $11.50 | -43.68% | Hold |
ACRE Forecast FAQ
Is Ares Commercial Real Estate a good buy?
No, according to 2 Wall Street analysts, Ares Commercial Real Estate (ACRE) is considered a 'Hold'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 0 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 0% of ACRE's total ratings.
What is ACRE's price target?
Ares Commercial Real Estate (ACRE) average price target is $16 with a range of $16 to $16, implying a 128.25% from its last price of $7.01. The data is based on 2 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.
Will Ares Commercial Real Estate stock go up soon?
According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for ACRE stock, the company can go up by 128.25% (from the last price of $7.01 to the average price target of $16), up by 128.25% based on the highest stock price target, and up by 128.25% based on the lowest stock price target.
Can Ares Commercial Real Estate stock reach $11?
ACRE's average twelve months analyst stock price target of $16 supports the claim that Ares Commercial Real Estate can reach $11 in the near future.
What are Ares Commercial Real Estate's analysts' financial forecasts?
Ares Commercial Real Estate's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $73.8M (high $101.93M, low $55.52M), average EBITDA is $45.95M (high $63.47M, low $34.57M), average net income is $31.45M (high $47.03M, low $21.33M), average SG&A $6.08M (high $8.4M, low $4.58M), and average EPS is $0.578 (high $0.864, low $0.392). ACRE's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2026) are as follows: average revenue is $84.7M (high $116.99M, low $63.72M), average EBITDA is $52.74M (high $72.84M, low $39.68M), average net income is $26.97M (high $40.34M, low $18.29M), average SG&A $6.98M (high $9.64M, low $5.25M), and average EPS is $0.496 (high $0.741, low $0.336).
Did the ACRE's actual financial results beat the analysts' financial forecasts?
Based on Ares Commercial Real Estate's last annual report (Dec 2022), the company's revenue was $109.05M, beating the average analysts forecast of $99.83M by 9.23%. Apple's EBITDA was $95.22M, beating the average prediction of $62.16M by 53.18%. The company's net income was $29.78M, missing the average estimation of $66.49M by -55.21%. Apple's SG&A was $10.17M, missing the average forecast of $15.66M by -35.04%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $0.58, missing the average prediction of $1.41 by -58.91%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Sep 2023), Ares Commercial Real Estate's revenue was $23.88M, missing the average analysts' forecast of $25.88M by -7.73%. The company's EBITDA was $17.8M, beating the average prediction of $16.12M by 10.46%. Ares Commercial Real Estate's net income was $9.18M, missing the average estimation of $12.44M by -26.17%. The company's SG&A was $2.37M, beating the average forecast of $2.13M by 11.23%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $0.17, missing the average prediction of $0.229 by -25.62%