ARMOUR Residential REIT (ARR) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions
ARR Stock Forecast
ARMOUR Residential REIT stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $11.50 (represents a -44.61% downside from ARR’s last price of $20.76) and a rating consensus of 'Hold', based on 7 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.
ARR Price Target
The average price target for ARMOUR Residential REIT (ARR) is $11.50 based on 1-year price targets from 7 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $19.00 to $7.50. This represents a potential -44.61% downside from ARR's last price of $20.76.
ARR Analyst Ratings
According to 7 Wall Street analysts, ARMOUR Residential REIT's rating consensus is 'Hold'. The analyst rating breakdown for ARR stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 2 'Buy' (28.57%), 4 'Hold' (57.14%), 1 'Sell' (14.29%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).
ARMOUR Residential REIT Price Target by Analyst
| Date | Analyst | Company | Price Target | Price when Published | Price Target/Price when Published | Price Target/Last Closing Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 02, 2023 | Alex Henderson | Needham | $19.00 | $25.75 | -26.21% | -8.48% |
| May 03, 2022 | - | Credit Suisse | $7.50 | $7.53 | -0.36% | -63.87% |
| Apr 27, 2022 | - | Barclays | $8.00 | $7.17 | 11.50% | -61.46% |
The latest ARMOUR Residential REIT stock forecast, released on Jun 02, 2023 by Alex Henderson from Needham, set a price target of $19.00, which represents a -26.21% decrease from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($25.75), and a -8.48% decrease from ARR last price ($20.76).
ARMOUR Residential REIT Price Target by Period
| 1M | 3M | 12M | |
|---|---|---|---|
| # Anlaysts | - | - | - |
| Avg Price Target | - | - | - |
| Last Closing Price | $20.76 | $20.76 | $20.76 |
| Upside/Downside | -100.00% | -100.00% | -100.00% |
In the current month, the average price target of ARMOUR Residential REIT stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to ARMOUR Residential REIT's last price of $20.76. This month's average price target is down NaN% compared to last quarter, and down NaN% compared to last year.
Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades
| Date | Company | Previous Rating | New Rating | Rating Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2024 | B. Riley | Neutral | Neutral | Hold |
| Jun 06, 2024 | Janney Montgomery | - | Neutral | Initialise |
| Feb 29, 2024 | BMO Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
| Nov 16, 2023 | B. Riley Securities | Neutral | Neutral | Hold |
| Aug 25, 2022 | BTIG | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Apr 27, 2022 | Barclays | Underweight | Underweight | Hold |
| Apr 26, 2022 | Zacks Investment Research | - | Hold | Upgrade |
ARMOUR Residential REIT's last stock rating was published by B. Riley on Jul 29, 2024. The company gave ARR a "Neutral" rating, the same as its previous rate.
ARMOUR Residential REIT Financial Forecast
ARMOUR Residential REIT Revenue Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $251.30M | - | $48.46M | $-30.61M | $36.05M | $-139.09M | - | $33.34M | $42.06M | $35.00M | $18.22M | $71.98M | $81.11M | $64.73M | $52.01M | $92.86M | $108.25M | $115.90M |
| Avg Forecast | $66.69M | $68.61M | $69.87M | $69.61M | $68.74M | $66.63M | $63.76M | $63.14M | $63.07M | $62.33M | $57.27M | $65.84M | $58.87M | $60.77M | $63.45M | $61.35M | $54.51M | $43.87M | $40.55M | $33.41M | $35.18M | $25.28M | $23.47M | $30.43M | $32.92M | $32.26M | $24.09M | $44.47M | $46.54M | $44.68M |
| High Forecast | $90.63M | $93.24M | $94.95M | $94.59M | $93.42M | $90.55M | $86.65M | $85.80M | $85.70M | $84.70M | $77.83M | $89.47M | $80.00M | $82.42M | $86.23M | $83.37M | $74.07M | $59.62M | $40.55M | $33.41M | $35.18M | $25.28M | $23.47M | $30.43M | $32.92M | $32.26M | $24.09M | $44.47M | $46.54M | $44.68M |
| Low Forecast | $14.39M | $14.80M | $15.08M | $15.02M | $14.83M | $14.38M | $13.76M | $13.62M | $13.61M | $13.45M | $12.36M | $14.21M | $12.70M | $39.21M | $13.69M | $13.24M | $11.76M | $9.47M | $40.55M | $33.41M | $35.18M | $25.28M | $23.47M | $30.43M | $32.92M | $32.26M | $24.09M | $44.47M | $46.54M | $44.68M |
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | 1 | 2 | 1 | - | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 4 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4.27% | - | 0.76% | -0.50% | 0.66% | -3.17% | - | 1.00% | 1.20% | 1.38% | 0.78% | 2.37% | 2.46% | 2.01% | 2.16% | 2.09% | 2.33% | 2.59% |
ARMOUR Residential REIT's average Quarter revenue forecast for Mar 24 based on 0 analysts is $65.84M, with a low forecast of $14.21M, and a high forecast of $89.47M. ARR's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a -73.80% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $251.30M (Dec 23).
ARMOUR Residential REIT EBITDA Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | 1 | 2 | 1 | - | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 4 |
| EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $240.00M | - | $44.94M | $-35.76M | $104.96M | $-99.98M | - | $-64.03M | $-19.34M | $35.60M | $-67.63M | $73.84M | $84.49M | $61.34M | $57.17M | $-355.14M | $168.13M | $19.34M |
| Avg Forecast | $56.88M | $58.52M | $59.59M | $59.37M | $58.63M | $56.83M | $54.38M | $53.85M | $53.79M | $53.16M | $48.84M | $56.15M | $50.21M | $51.83M | $54.12M | $52.32M | $46.49M | $33.28M | $34.58M | $6.17M | $30.01M | $21.56M | $-82.65M | $25.96M | $28.08M | $27.52M | $20.55M | $-416.59M | $39.69M | $18.61M |
| High Forecast | $77.30M | $79.52M | $80.98M | $80.68M | $79.68M | $77.23M | $73.90M | $73.18M | $73.10M | $72.24M | $66.38M | $76.31M | $68.23M | $70.30M | $73.54M | $71.10M | $63.18M | $39.94M | $34.58M | $7.40M | $30.01M | $21.56M | $-66.12M | $25.96M | $28.08M | $27.52M | $20.55M | $-333.27M | $39.69M | $22.33M |
| Low Forecast | $12.27M | $12.63M | $12.86M | $12.81M | $12.65M | $12.26M | $11.73M | $11.62M | $11.61M | $11.47M | $10.54M | $12.12M | $10.83M | $33.44M | $11.68M | $11.29M | $10.03M | $26.63M | $34.58M | $4.94M | $30.01M | $21.56M | $-99.18M | $25.96M | $28.08M | $27.52M | $20.55M | $-499.91M | $39.69M | $14.89M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4.78% | - | 0.83% | -0.68% | 2.26% | -3.00% | - | -10.38% | -0.64% | 1.65% | 0.82% | 2.84% | 3.01% | 2.23% | 2.78% | 0.85% | 4.24% | 1.04% |
0 analysts predict ARR's average Quarter EBITDA for Mar 24 to be $56.15M, with a high of $76.31M and a low of $12.12M. This is -76.60% lower than ARMOUR Residential REIT's previous annual EBITDA (Dec 23) of $240.00M.
ARMOUR Residential REIT Net Income Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | 1 | 2 | 1 | - | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 4 |
| Net Income | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $99.60M | - | $42.96M | $-133.21M | $-21.61M | $-144.31M | - | $-66.43M | $-20.77M | $33.98M | $-69.17M | $71.33M | $81.41M | $58.39M | $51.75M | $-406.66M | $108.68M | $-60.95M |
| Avg Forecast | $55.18M | $56.38M | $56.77M | $56.15M | $51.41M | $50.25M | $49.28M | $47.96M | $46.74M | $48.08M | $46.94M | $48.21M | $49.96M | $56.09M | $59.35M | $64.91M | $72.20M | $31.77M | $63.97M | $61.64M | $67.54M | $33.98M | $-84.55M | $89.73M | $86.20M | $56.67M | $65.68M | $-477.04M | $106.67M | $-58.65M |
| High Forecast | $80.93M | $82.69M | $83.26M | $82.35M | $75.40M | $73.69M | $72.28M | $70.34M | $68.56M | $49.60M | $68.84M | $70.71M | $73.27M | $60.96M | $87.05M | $95.20M | $105.89M | $38.13M | $63.97M | $61.64M | $67.54M | $40.78M | $-67.64M | $107.68M | $103.44M | $68.00M | $78.82M | $-381.63M | $128.00M | $-46.92M |
| Low Forecast | $-1.08M | $-1.10M | $-1.11M | $-1.09M | $-1.00M | $-979.15K | $-960.32K | $-934.53K | $-910.87K | $46.57M | $-914.66K | $-939.48K | $-973.49K | $48.77M | $-1.16M | $-1.26M | $-1.41M | $25.42M | $63.97M | $61.64M | $67.54M | $27.19M | $-101.46M | $71.79M | $68.96M | $45.34M | $52.54M | $-572.45M | $85.33M | $-70.39M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.99% | - | 0.72% | -2.05% | -0.30% | -4.54% | - | -1.08% | -0.31% | 1.00% | 0.82% | 0.79% | 0.94% | 1.03% | 0.79% | 0.85% | 1.02% | 1.04% |
ARMOUR Residential REIT's average Quarter net income forecast for Mar 24 is $48.21M, with a range of $-939.48K to $70.71M. ARR's average Quarter net income forecast represents a -51.60% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $99.60M (Dec 23).
ARMOUR Residential REIT SG&A Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | 1 | 2 | 1 | - | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 4 |
| SG&A | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $1.26M | $1.16M | $1.26M | $1.41M | - | $1.61M | $1.79M | $1.88M | $1.87M | $1.87M | $1.58M | $1.57M | $1.54M | $1.65M | $1.19M | $1.28M |
| Avg Forecast | $881.41K | $906.82K | $923.46K | $919.98K | $908.60K | $880.67K | $842.74K | $834.47K | $833.54K | $823.77K | $756.91K | $870.17K | $778.06K | $803.21K | $838.64K | $810.82K | $720.40K | $1.75M | $535.93K | $441.60K | $465.04K | $1.88M | $2.29M | $2.35M | $1.67M | $1.52M | $1.95M | $1.93M | $1.17M | $1.23M |
| High Forecast | $1.20M | $1.23M | $1.25M | $1.25M | $1.23M | $1.20M | $1.15M | $1.13M | $1.13M | $1.12M | $1.03M | $1.18M | $1.06M | $1.09M | $1.14M | $1.10M | $979.01K | $2.10M | $535.93K | $441.60K | $465.04K | $2.25M | $2.74M | $2.82M | $2.01M | $1.83M | $2.35M | $2.32M | $1.41M | $1.47M |
| Low Forecast | $190.19K | $195.67K | $199.26K | $198.51K | $196.06K | $190.03K | $181.84K | $180.06K | $179.86K | $177.75K | $163.33K | $187.76K | $167.89K | $518.24K | $180.96K | $174.96K | $155.45K | $1.40M | $535.93K | $441.60K | $465.04K | $1.50M | $1.83M | $1.88M | $1.34M | $1.22M | $1.56M | $1.55M | $937.51K | $983.05K |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.50% | 1.43% | 1.74% | 0.80% | - | 3.64% | 3.84% | 1.00% | 0.82% | 0.79% | 0.94% | 1.03% | 0.79% | 0.85% | 1.02% | 1.04% |
ARMOUR Residential REIT's average Quarter SG&A projection for Sep 23 is $803.21K, based on 2 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $518.24K to $1.09M. The forecast indicates a -36.30% fall compared to ARR last annual SG&A of $1.26M (Jun 23).
ARMOUR Residential REIT EPS Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | 1 | 2 | 1 | - | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 4 |
| EPS | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $2.03 | - | $0.22 | $-0.72 | $-0.27 | $-1.17 | - | $-0.69 | $-0.22 | $0.37 | $-0.95 | $1.04 | $1.23 | $0.87 | $0.78 | $-6.95 | $1.85 | $-1.09 |
| Avg Forecast | $1.13 | $1.16 | $1.16 | $1.15 | $1.05 | $1.03 | $1.01 | $0.98 | $0.96 | $0.99 | $0.96 | $0.99 | $1.02 | $1.15 | $1.22 | $1.33 | $1.48 | $1.43 | $1.31 | $1.25 | $1.37 | $1.23 | $1.38 | $1.55 | $1.98 | $1.67 | $1.30 | $2.49 | $2.73 | $2.63 |
| High Forecast | $1.66 | $1.70 | $1.71 | $1.69 | $1.55 | $1.51 | $1.48 | $1.44 | $1.41 | $1.02 | $1.41 | $1.45 | $1.50 | $1.25 | $1.78 | $1.95 | $2.17 | $2.09 | $1.31 | $1.25 | $1.37 | $1.23 | $1.38 | $1.55 | $1.98 | $1.67 | $1.30 | $2.49 | $2.73 | $2.63 |
| Low Forecast | $-0.02 | $-0.02 | $-0.02 | $-0.02 | $-0.02 | $-0.02 | $-0.02 | $-0.02 | $-0.02 | $0.95 | $-0.02 | $-0.02 | $-0.02 | $1.00 | $-0.02 | $-0.03 | $-0.03 | $-0.03 | $1.31 | $1.25 | $1.37 | $1.23 | $1.38 | $1.55 | $1.98 | $1.67 | $1.30 | $2.49 | $2.73 | $2.63 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.98% | - | 0.18% | -0.54% | -0.18% | -0.82% | - | -0.55% | -0.16% | 0.30% | -0.69% | 0.67% | 0.62% | 0.52% | 0.60% | -2.79% | 0.68% | -0.41% |
According to 0 Wall Street analysts, ARMOUR Residential REIT's projected average Quarter EPS for Mar 24 is $0.99, with a low estimate of $-0.02 and a high estimate of $1.45. This represents a -51.30% decrease compared to ARR previous annual EPS of $2.03 (Dec 23).
ARMOUR Residential REIT Peer Comparison by Price Target
| Ticker | Company | Last Closing Price | Avg Price Target | Upside/Downside | Avg Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYMT | New York Mortgage Trust | $6.61 | $21.25 | 221.48% | Hold |
| NLY | Annaly Capital Management | $20.45 | $26.20 | 28.12% | Buy |
| ABR | Arbor Realty Trust | $14.46 | $16.63 | 15.01% | Buy |
| EARN | Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT | $6.98 | $8.00 | 14.61% | Buy |
| TWO | Two Harbors Investment | $14.02 | $15.63 | 11.48% | Buy |
| EFC | Ellington Financial | $13.30 | $13.50 | 1.50% | Buy |
| AGNC | AGNC Investment | $10.35 | $10.20 | -1.45% | Buy |
| IVR | Invesco Mortgage Capital | $8.87 | $6.25 | -29.54% | Buy |
| ARR | ARMOUR Residential REIT | $20.76 | $11.50 | -44.61% | Hold |
| CIM | Chimera Investment | $15.86 | $7.25 | -54.29% | Hold |
ARR Forecast FAQ
Is ARMOUR Residential REIT a good buy?
No, according to 7 Wall Street analysts, ARMOUR Residential REIT (ARR) is considered a 'Hold'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 2 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 28.57% of ARR's total ratings.
What is ARR's price target?
ARMOUR Residential REIT (ARR) average price target is $11.5 with a range of $7.5 to $19, implying a -44.61% from its last price of $20.76. The data is based on 7 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.
Will ARMOUR Residential REIT stock go up soon?
According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for ARR stock, the company can go down by -44.61% (from the last price of $20.76 to the average price target of $11.5), down by -8.48% based on the highest stock price target, and down by -63.87% based on the lowest stock price target.
Can ARMOUR Residential REIT stock reach $30?
ARR's average twelve months analyst stock price target of $11.5 does not support the claim that ARMOUR Residential REIT can reach $30 in the near future.
What are ARMOUR Residential REIT's analysts' financial forecasts?
ARMOUR Residential REIT's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $262.27M (high $356.42M, low $56.59M), average EBITDA is $223.69M (high $303.99M, low $48.27M), average net income is $198.89M (high $291.71M, low $-3.876M), average SG&A $3.47M (high $4.71M, low $747.99K), and average EPS is $4.08 (high $5.98, low $-0.0795). ARR's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2026) are as follows: average revenue is $274.77M (high $373.4M, low $59.29M), average EBITDA is $234.35M (high $318.48M, low $50.57M), average net income is $224.47M (high $329.23M, low $-4.374M), average SG&A $3.63M (high $4.94M, low $783.64K), and average EPS is $4.6 (high $6.75, low $-0.0897).
Did the ARR's actual financial results beat the analysts' financial forecasts?
Based on ARMOUR Residential REIT's last annual report (Dec 2023), the company's revenue was $150.48M, which missed the average analysts forecast of $244.44M by -38.44%. Apple's EBITDA was $106.86M, missing the average prediction of $208.48M by -48.74%. The company's net income was $-67.965M, missing the average estimation of $230.3M by -129.51%. Apple's SG&A was $0, missing the average forecast of $3.23M by -100.00%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $-2.32, missing the average prediction of $4.72 by -149.13%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Dec 2023), ARMOUR Residential REIT's revenue was $251.3M, beating the average analysts' forecast of $58.87M by 326.89%. The company's EBITDA was $240M, beating the average prediction of $50.21M by 378.01%. ARMOUR Residential REIT's net income was $99.6M, beating the average estimation of $49.96M by 99.38%. The company's SG&A was $0, missing the average forecast of $778.06K by -100.00%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $2.03, beating the average prediction of $1.02 by 98.18%