ARMOUR Residential REIT (ARR) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions


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ARR Stock Forecast


ARMOUR Residential REIT stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $11.50 (represents a -38.99% downside from ARR’s last price of $18.85) and a rating consensus of 'Hold', based on 7 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.

ARR Price Target


The average price target for ARMOUR Residential REIT (ARR) is $11.50 based on 1-year price targets from 7 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $19.00 to $7.50. This represents a potential -38.99% downside from ARR's last price of $18.85.

ARR Analyst Ratings


Hold

According to 7 Wall Street analysts, ARMOUR Residential REIT's rating consensus is 'Hold'. The analyst rating breakdown for ARR stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 2 'Buy' (28.57%), 4 'Hold' (57.14%), 1 'Sell' (14.29%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).

ARMOUR Residential REIT Price Target by Analyst


DateAnalystCompanyPrice TargetPrice when PublishedPrice Target/Price when PublishedPrice Target/Last Closing Price
Jun 02, 2023Alex HendersonNeedham$19.00$25.75-26.21%0.80%
May 03, 2022Credit Suisse$7.50$7.53-0.36%-60.21%
Apr 27, 2022Barclays$8.00$7.1711.50%-57.56%

The latest ARMOUR Residential REIT stock forecast, released on Jun 02, 2023 by Alex Henderson from Needham, set a price target of $19.00, which represents a -26.21% decrease from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($25.75), and a 0.80% increase from ARR last price ($18.85).

ARMOUR Residential REIT Price Target by Period


1M3M12M
# Anlaysts---
Avg Price Target---
Last Closing Price$18.85$18.85$18.85
Upside/Downside-100.00%-100.00%-100.00%

In the current month, the average price target of ARMOUR Residential REIT stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to ARMOUR Residential REIT's last price of $18.85. This month's average price target is down NaN% compared to last quarter, and down NaN% compared to last year.

Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades


DateCompanyPrevious RatingNew RatingRating Change
Jul 29, 2024B. RileyNeutralNeutralHold
Jun 06, 2024Janney MontgomeryNeutralInitialise
Feb 29, 2024BMO CapitalOutperformOutperformHold
Nov 16, 2023B. Riley SecuritiesNeutralNeutralHold
Aug 25, 2022BTIGBuyBuyHold
Apr 27, 2022BarclaysUnderweightUnderweightHold
Apr 26, 2022Zacks Investment ResearchHoldUpgrade

ARMOUR Residential REIT's last stock rating was published by B. Riley on Jul 29, 2024. The company gave ARR a "Neutral" rating, the same as its previous rate.

ARMOUR Residential REIT Financial Forecast


ARMOUR Residential REIT Revenue Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
Revenue------------$251.30M-$48.46M$-30.61M$36.05M$-139.09M$-57.48M$33.34M$42.06M$35.00M$18.22M$71.98M$81.11M$64.73M$52.01M$92.86M$108.25M$115.90M
Avg Forecast$84.89M$86.52M$87.49M$87.29M$71.73M$71.98M$71.02M$71.77M$66.15M$62.69M$57.27M$65.84M$58.87M$60.77M$63.45M$61.35M$54.51M$43.87M$40.55M$33.41M$35.18M$25.28M$23.47M$30.43M$32.92M$32.26M$24.09M$44.47M$46.54M$44.68M
High Forecast$117.96M$120.22M$121.57M$121.29M$99.67M$100.01M$98.68M$99.72M$91.91M$64.09M$57.27M$65.84M$81.79M$82.42M$88.16M$85.24M$75.73M$43.87M$40.55M$33.41M$35.18M$25.28M$23.47M$30.43M$32.92M$32.26M$24.09M$44.47M$46.54M$44.68M
Low Forecast$25.39M$25.88M$26.17M$26.11M$21.45M$21.53M$21.24M$21.47M$19.79M$61.30M$57.27M$65.84M$17.61M$39.21M$18.98M$18.35M$16.30M$43.87M$40.55M$33.41M$35.18M$25.28M$23.47M$30.43M$32.92M$32.26M$24.09M$44.47M$46.54M$44.68M
# Analysts111111122111121111111111199955
Surprise %------------4.27%-0.76%-0.50%0.66%-3.17%-1.42%1.00%1.20%1.38%0.78%2.37%2.46%2.01%2.16%2.09%2.33%2.59%

ARMOUR Residential REIT's average Quarter revenue forecast for Mar 24 based on 1 analysts is $65.84M, with a low forecast of $65.84M, and a high forecast of $65.84M. ARR's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a -73.80% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $251.30M (Dec 23).

ARMOUR Residential REIT EBITDA Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts111111122111121111111111199955
EBITDA------------$240.00M-$44.94M$-35.76M$104.96M$-99.98M$-45.56M$-64.03M$-19.34M$35.60M$-67.63M$73.84M$84.49M$61.34M$57.17M$-355.14M$168.13M$19.34M
Avg Forecast$48.12M$49.04M$49.59M$49.48M$40.66M$40.80M$40.26M$40.68M$37.49M$35.53M$32.46M$37.32M$33.37M$34.44M$35.96M$34.77M$30.89M$37.42M$34.58M$6.17M$30.01M$21.56M$20.02M$25.96M$28.08M$27.52M$20.55M$-416.59M$39.69M$38.11M
High Forecast$66.86M$68.14M$68.91M$68.75M$56.49M$56.69M$55.93M$56.52M$52.10M$36.32M$32.46M$37.32M$46.36M$46.72M$49.97M$48.31M$42.93M$37.42M$34.58M$7.40M$30.01M$21.56M$20.02M$25.96M$28.08M$27.52M$20.55M$-333.27M$39.69M$38.11M
Low Forecast$14.39M$14.67M$14.83M$14.80M$12.16M$12.20M$12.04M$12.17M$11.21M$34.74M$32.46M$37.32M$9.98M$22.22M$10.76M$10.40M$9.24M$37.42M$34.58M$4.94M$30.01M$21.56M$20.02M$25.96M$28.08M$27.52M$20.55M$-499.91M$39.69M$38.11M
Surprise %------------7.19%-1.25%-1.03%3.40%-2.67%-1.32%-10.38%-0.64%1.65%-3.38%2.84%3.01%2.23%2.78%0.85%4.24%0.51%

1 analysts predict ARR's average Quarter EBITDA for Mar 24 to be $37.32M, with a high of $37.32M and a low of $37.32M. This is -84.45% lower than ARMOUR Residential REIT's previous annual EBITDA (Dec 23) of $240.00M.

ARMOUR Residential REIT Net Income Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts111111122111121111111111199955
Net Income------------$99.60M-$42.96M$-133.21M$-21.61M$-144.31M$-58.59M$-66.43M$-20.77M$33.98M$-69.17M$71.33M$81.41M$58.39M$51.75M$-406.66M$108.68M$-60.95M
Avg Forecast$64.49M$64.99M$64.93M$64.32M$53.39M$52.82M$52.15M$51.40M$50.65M$50.84M$49.88M$51.24M$53.09M$59.61M$63.08M$68.99M$94.82M$69.50M$63.69M$61.12M$66.97M$60.20M$67.27M$89.73M$96.60M$81.67M$63.47M$-477.04M$132.90M$128.27M
High Forecast$97.14M$97.90M$97.80M$96.88M$80.41M$79.56M$78.56M$77.43M$51.15M$50.87M$49.90M$51.25M$79.97M$64.79M$63.72M$71.53M$113.79M$69.50M$63.69M$61.12M$66.97M$60.47M$67.27M$107.68M$96.60M$81.67M$63.47M$-381.63M$132.90M$128.27M
Low Forecast$5.73M$5.77M$5.77M$5.71M$4.74M$4.69M$4.63M$4.57M$50.15M$50.80M$49.87M$51.23M$4.72M$51.83M$62.44M$66.45M$75.86M$69.50M$63.69M$61.12M$66.97M$59.93M$67.27M$71.79M$96.60M$81.67M$63.47M$-572.45M$132.90M$128.27M
Surprise %------------1.88%-0.68%-1.93%-0.23%-2.08%-0.92%-1.09%-0.31%0.56%-1.03%0.79%0.84%0.71%0.82%0.85%0.82%-0.48%

ARMOUR Residential REIT's average Quarter net income forecast for Mar 24 is $51.24M, with a range of $51.23M to $51.25M. ARR's average Quarter net income forecast represents a -48.56% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $99.60M (Dec 23).

ARMOUR Residential REIT SG&A Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts111111122111121111111111199955
SG&A--------------$1.26M$1.16M$1.26M$1.41M$1.41M$1.61M$1.79M$1.88M$1.87M$1.87M$1.58M$1.57M$1.54M$1.65M$1.19M$1.28M
Avg Forecast$1.12M$1.14M$1.16M$1.15M$948.07K$951.38K$938.73K$948.54K$874.33K$828.61K$756.91K$870.17K$778.06K$803.21K$838.64K$810.82K$1.84M$579.83K$535.93K$441.60K$465.04K$334.09K$310.19K$2.35M$435.07K$426.43K$318.38K$1.93M$615.09K$590.54K
High Forecast$1.56M$1.59M$1.61M$1.60M$1.32M$1.32M$1.30M$1.32M$1.21M$847.03K$756.92K$870.17K$1.08M$1.09M$1.17M$1.13M$2.21M$579.83K$535.93K$441.60K$465.04K$334.09K$310.19K$2.82M$435.07K$426.43K$318.38K$2.32M$615.09K$590.54K
Low Forecast$335.61K$342.05K$345.89K$345.08K$283.57K$284.56K$280.77K$283.71K$261.51K$810.19K$756.91K$870.17K$232.72K$518.24K$250.84K$242.52K$1.47M$579.83K$535.93K$441.60K$465.04K$334.09K$310.19K$1.88M$435.07K$426.43K$318.38K$1.55M$615.09K$590.54K
Surprise %--------------1.50%1.43%0.68%2.43%2.63%3.64%3.84%5.62%6.03%0.79%3.63%3.68%4.84%0.85%1.94%2.16%

ARMOUR Residential REIT's average Quarter SG&A projection for Sep 23 is $803.21K, based on 2 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $518.24K to $1.09M. The forecast indicates a -36.30% fall compared to ARR last annual SG&A of $1.26M (Jun 23).

ARMOUR Residential REIT EPS Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts111111122111121111111111199955
EPS------------$2.03-$0.22$-0.72$-0.27$-1.17$-0.55$-0.69$-0.22$0.37$-0.95$1.04$1.23$0.87$0.78$-6.95$1.85$-1.09
Avg Forecast$1.24$1.25$1.25$1.24$1.03$1.02$1.01$0.99$0.98$0.98$0.96$0.99$1.02$1.15$1.22$1.33$1.48$1.43$1.31$1.25$1.37$1.23$1.38$1.55$1.98$1.67$1.30$2.49$2.73$2.63
High Forecast$1.87$1.89$1.89$1.87$1.55$1.53$1.52$1.49$0.99$0.98$0.96$0.99$1.54$1.25$1.23$1.38$2.23$1.43$1.31$1.25$1.37$1.24$1.38$1.55$1.98$1.67$1.30$2.49$2.73$2.63
Low Forecast$0.11$0.11$0.11$0.11$0.09$0.09$0.09$0.09$0.97$0.98$0.96$0.99$0.09$1.00$1.20$1.28$0.13$1.43$1.31$1.25$1.37$1.23$1.38$1.55$1.98$1.67$1.30$2.49$2.73$2.63
Surprise %------------1.98%-0.18%-0.54%-0.18%-0.82%-0.42%-0.55%-0.16%0.30%-0.69%0.67%0.62%0.52%0.60%-2.79%0.68%-0.41%

According to 1 Wall Street analysts, ARMOUR Residential REIT's projected average Quarter EPS for Mar 24 is $0.99, with a low estimate of $0.99 and a high estimate of $0.99. This represents a -51.30% decrease compared to ARR previous annual EPS of $2.03 (Dec 23).

ARMOUR Residential REIT Peer Comparison by Price Target


TickerCompanyLast Closing PriceAvg Price TargetUpside/DownsideAvg Rating
NYMTNew York Mortgage Trust$6.37$12.2592.31%Hold
TWOTwo Harbors Investment$11.81$15.0027.01%Buy
EARNEllington Residential Mortgage REIT$6.56$8.0021.95%Buy
AGNCAGNC Investment$9.57$11.3318.39%Buy
NLYAnnaly Capital Management$19.48$21.5010.37%Buy
EFCEllington Financial$12.28$13.509.93%Buy
ABRArbor Realty Trust$14.22$14.250.21%Buy
IVRInvesco Mortgage Capital$8.49$8.00-5.77%Hold
ARRARMOUR Residential REIT$19.03$11.50-39.57%Hold
CIMChimera Investment$14.86$7.25-51.21%Hold

ARR Forecast FAQ


Is ARMOUR Residential REIT a good buy?

No, according to 7 Wall Street analysts, ARMOUR Residential REIT (ARR) is considered a 'Hold'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 2 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 28.57% of ARR's total ratings.

What is ARR's price target?

ARMOUR Residential REIT (ARR) average price target is $11.5 with a range of $7.5 to $19, implying a -38.99% from its last price of $18.85. The data is based on 7 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.

Will ARMOUR Residential REIT stock go up soon?

According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for ARR stock, the company can go down by -38.99% (from the last price of $18.85 to the average price target of $11.5), up by 0.80% based on the highest stock price target, and down by -60.21% based on the lowest stock price target.

Can ARMOUR Residential REIT stock reach $30?

ARR's average twelve months analyst stock price target of $11.5 does not support the claim that ARMOUR Residential REIT can reach $30 in the near future.

What are ARMOUR Residential REIT's analysts' financial forecasts?

ARMOUR Residential REIT's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $286.5M (high $398.08M, low $85.69M), average EBITDA is $162.39M (high $225.63M, low $48.57M), average net income is $209.76M (high $315.96M, low $18.63M), average SG&A $3.79M (high $5.26M, low $1.13M), and average EPS is $4.05 (high $6.1, low $0.359). ARR's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2026) are as follows: average revenue is $346.2M (high $481.03M, low $103.55M), average EBITDA is $196.23M (high $272.65M, low $58.69M), average net income is $258.73M (high $389.72M, low $22.98M), average SG&A $4.58M (high $6.36M, low $1.37M), and average EPS is $4.99 (high $7.52, low $0.443).

Did the ARR's actual financial results beat the analysts' financial forecasts?

Based on ARMOUR Residential REIT's last annual report (Dec 2023), the company's revenue was $150.48M, which missed the average analysts forecast of $244.44M by -38.44%. Apple's EBITDA was $106.86M, missing the average prediction of $138.55M by -22.87%. The company's net income was $-67.965M, missing the average estimation of $244.77M by -127.77%. Apple's SG&A was $0, missing the average forecast of $3.23M by -100.00%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $-2.32, missing the average prediction of $4.72 by -149.13%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Dec 2023), ARMOUR Residential REIT's revenue was $251.3M, beating the average analysts' forecast of $58.87M by 326.89%. The company's EBITDA was $240M, beating the average prediction of $33.37M by 619.29%. ARMOUR Residential REIT's net income was $99.6M, beating the average estimation of $53.09M by 87.60%. The company's SG&A was $0, missing the average forecast of $778.06K by -100.00%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $2.03, beating the average prediction of $1.02 by 98.18%