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Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance (ARI) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions

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ARI Stock Forecast

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $13.50 (represents a 49.34% upside from ARI’s last price of $9.04) and

ARI Price Target

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Price Target by Analyst

DateAnalystCompanyPrice TargetPrice when PublishedPrice Target/Price when PublishedPrice Target/Last Closing Price
Apr 25, 2022J.P. Morgan$13.50$13.222.12%49.34%

The latest Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance stock forecast, released on Apr 25, 2022 by J.P. Morgan company, set a price target of $13.50, which represents a 2.12% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($13.22), and a 49.34% increase from ARI last price ($9.04).

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Price Target by Period

1M3M12M
# Anlaysts---
Avg Price Target---
Last Closing Price$9.04$9.04$9.04
Upside/Downside-100.00%-100.00%-100.00%

In the current month, the average price target of Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance's last price of $9.04. This month's average price target is down NaN% compared to last quarter, and down NaN% compared to last year.

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Financial Forecast

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Revenue Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
Revenue-------------$81.16M$92.16M$87.62M$4.38M$157.68M$99.90M$60.75M$69.41M$78.78M$56.73M$73.40M$27.19M$59.55M$51.41M$72.42M$87.86M$80.36M
Avg Forecast$60.00M$55.98M$68.42M$65.58M$68.04M$66.10M$67.03M$64.64M$64.47M$70.24M$84.77M$79.48M$71.37M$73.18M$79.25M$75.10M$73.96M$69.47M$65.66M$66.41M$65.02M$70.49M$70.51M$67.79M$68.41M$70.15M$86.77M$75.17M$84.26M$85.07M
High Forecast$63.59M$59.33M$72.52M$69.50M$72.11M$70.06M$71.04M$64.67M$65.04M$74.45M$84.77M$79.48M$75.61M$85.38M$84.00M$79.60M$78.39M$69.47M$65.66M$66.41M$65.02M$70.49M$70.51M$67.79M$68.41M$70.15M$86.77M$75.17M$84.26M$85.07M
Low Forecast$56.41M$52.62M$64.32M$61.65M$63.96M$62.15M$63.01M$64.61M$63.88M$66.04M$84.77M$79.48M$67.13M$54.42M$74.51M$70.60M$69.53M$69.47M$65.66M$66.41M$65.02M$70.49M$70.51M$67.79M$68.41M$70.15M$86.77M$75.17M$84.26M$85.07M
# Analysts111111122111231111111111199955
Surprise %-------------1.11%1.16%1.17%0.06%2.27%1.52%0.91%1.07%1.12%0.80%1.08%0.40%0.85%0.59%0.96%1.04%0.94%

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance's average Quarter revenue forecast for Dec 23 based on 2 analysts is $71.37M, with a low forecast of $67.13M, and a high forecast of $75.61M. ARI's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a -12.06% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $81.16M (Sep 23).

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance EBITDA Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts111111122111231111111111199955
EBITDA-------------$-77.28M$-2.20M$-3.99M$56.17M$255.33M$100.66M$61.06M$82.92M$103.88M$107.88M$94.00M$72.04M$84.16M$97.70M$-86.64M$115.68M$68.43M
Avg Forecast$-129.72K$-121.02K$-147.93K$-141.78K$-147.10K$-142.92K$-144.91K$-139.75K$-139.38K$-151.88K$-183.28K$69.40M$-154.30K$-158.22K$-171.35K$63.10M$-159.90K$22.66M$21.41M$57.36M$21.21M$22.99M$22.99M$22.11M$22.31M$22.88M$28.30M$-84.42M$27.48M$27.74M
High Forecast$-121.95K$-113.78K$-139.07K$-133.29K$-138.29K$-134.36K$-136.24K$-139.69K$-138.11K$-142.78K$-183.28K$83.29M$-145.13K$-117.65K$-161.09K$75.71M$-150.33K$22.66M$21.41M$68.83M$21.21M$22.99M$22.99M$22.11M$22.31M$22.88M$28.30M$-67.53M$27.48M$27.74M
Low Forecast$-137.49K$-128.27K$-156.79K$-150.27K$-155.91K$-151.48K$-153.59K$-139.82K$-140.62K$-160.97K$-183.28K$55.52M$-163.47K$-184.59K$-181.61K$50.48M$-169.48K$22.66M$21.41M$45.89M$21.21M$22.99M$22.99M$22.11M$22.31M$22.88M$28.30M$-101.30M$27.48M$27.74M
Surprise %-------------488.44%12.85%-0.06%-351.28%11.27%4.70%1.06%3.91%4.52%4.69%4.25%3.23%3.68%3.45%1.03%4.21%2.47%

1 analysts predict ARI's average Quarter EBITDA for Mar 23 to be $63.10M, with a high of $75.71M and a low of $50.48M. This is 12.33% upper than Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance's previous annual EBITDA (Dec 22) of $56.17M.

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Net Income Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts111111122111231111111111199955
Net Income-------------$46.07M$-83.40M$-7.04M$-100.56M$183.03M$14.42M$-29.88M$-7.63M$60.39M$67.69M$58.34M$36.68M$49.34M$60.20M$-127.84M$71.90M$29.09M
Avg Forecast$43.79M$39.83M$41.37M$39.49M$32.18M$32.29M$30.72M$32.41M$32.01M$29.15M$42.31M$17.32M$48.21M$48.46M$52.77M$15.75M$42.17M$49.25M$46.03M$14.31M$45.54M$50.60M$51.44M$49.76M$44.76M$41.89M$40.72M$-124.56M$63.88M$65.63M
High Forecast$47.19M$42.93M$44.59M$42.57M$34.68M$34.80M$33.11M$42.72M$41.75M$31.42M$42.32M$20.78M$51.96M$55.39M$56.88M$18.90M$50.60M$49.25M$46.03M$17.18M$45.54M$50.60M$51.44M$59.71M$44.76M$41.89M$40.72M$-99.65M$63.88M$65.63M
Low Forecast$40.38M$36.73M$38.15M$36.42M$29.67M$29.78M$28.33M$22.09M$16.70M$26.88M$42.31M$13.86M$46.87M$37.39M$48.66M$12.60M$33.73M$49.25M$46.03M$11.45M$45.54M$50.60M$51.44M$39.81M$44.76M$41.89M$40.72M$-149.48M$63.88M$65.63M
Surprise %-------------0.95%-1.58%-0.45%-2.38%3.72%0.31%-2.09%-0.17%1.19%1.32%1.17%0.82%1.18%1.48%1.03%1.13%0.44%

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance's average Quarter net income forecast for Dec 23 is $48.21M, with a range of $46.87M to $51.96M. ARI's average Quarter net income forecast represents a 4.64% increase compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $46.07M (Sep 23).

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance SG&A Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts111111122111231111111111199955
SG&A-------------$7.66M$7.47M$7.01M$-20.54M$16.90M$16.76M$16.54M$18.38M$16.14M$16.17M$16.30M$16.87M$16.55M$16.38M$16.80M$15.96M$16.27M
Avg Forecast$16.97M$15.83M$19.35M$18.55M$19.24M$18.70M$18.96M$18.28M$18.23M$19.87M$23.98M$18.80M$20.19M$20.70M$22.42M$17.09M$20.90M$20.45M$19.33M$15.54M$19.14M$20.75M$20.76M$13.91M$20.14M$20.65M$25.55M$16.37M$24.81M$25.04M
High Forecast$17.99M$16.78M$20.51M$19.66M$20.40M$19.82M$20.09M$18.29M$18.40M$21.06M$23.98M$22.56M$21.39M$24.15M$23.76M$20.51M$25.07M$20.45M$19.33M$18.65M$19.14M$20.75M$20.76M$16.69M$20.14M$20.65M$25.55M$19.64M$24.81M$25.04M
Low Forecast$15.95M$14.88M$18.19M$17.44M$18.09M$17.58M$17.82M$18.27M$18.07M$18.68M$23.98M$15.04M$18.99M$15.39M$21.07M$13.67M$16.72M$20.45M$19.33M$12.43M$19.14M$20.75M$20.76M$11.13M$20.14M$20.65M$25.55M$13.09M$24.81M$25.04M
Surprise %-------------0.37%0.33%0.41%-0.98%0.83%0.87%1.06%0.96%0.78%0.78%1.17%0.84%0.80%0.64%1.03%0.64%0.65%

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance's average Quarter SG&A projection for Dec 23 is $20.19M, based on 2 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $18.99M to $21.39M. The forecast indicates a 163.38% rise compared to ARI last annual SG&A of $7.66M (Sep 23).

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance EPS Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts111111122111231111111111199955
EPS-------------$0.30$-0.00$-0.05$-0.72$1.27$0.10$-0.21$-0.05$0.40$0.45$0.39$0.26$0.31$0.37$-0.86$0.44$0.16
Avg Forecast$0.32$0.29$0.30$0.29$0.23$0.23$0.22$0.23$0.23$0.21$0.31$0.32$0.35$0.35$0.38$0.41$0.35$0.35$0.33$0.33$0.32$0.36$0.37$0.32$0.32$0.30$0.29$0.40$0.45$0.47
High Forecast$0.34$0.31$0.32$0.31$0.25$0.25$0.24$0.31$0.30$0.23$0.31$0.32$0.38$0.40$0.41$0.45$0.37$0.35$0.33$0.33$0.32$0.36$0.37$0.32$0.32$0.30$0.29$0.40$0.45$0.47
Low Forecast$0.29$0.27$0.28$0.26$0.21$0.22$0.20$0.16$0.12$0.19$0.31$0.32$0.34$0.27$0.35$0.38$0.32$0.35$0.33$0.33$0.32$0.36$0.37$0.32$0.32$0.30$0.29$0.40$0.45$0.47
Surprise %-------------0.86%-0.00%-0.12%-2.08%3.63%0.31%-0.65%-0.17%1.11%1.23%1.20%0.82%1.04%1.28%-2.13%0.97%0.34%

According to 2 Wall Street analysts, Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance's projected average Quarter EPS for Dec 23 is $0.35, with a low estimate of $0.34 and a high estimate of $0.38. This represents a 16.24% increase compared to ARI previous annual EPS of $0.30 (Sep 23).

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Peer Comparison by Price Target

TickerCompanyLast Closing PriceAvg Price TargetUpside/DownsideAvg Rating
ARIApollo Commercial Real Estate Finance$9.06$13.5049.01%
STWDStarwood Property Trust$19.85$24.0020.91%Buy
LADRLadder Capital$11.68$13.2513.44%Buy
PMTPennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust$13.43$14.507.97%Hold
ACREAres Commercial Real Estate$6.57$7.006.54%Hold

ARI Forecast FAQ

Will Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance stock go up soon?

According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for ARI stock, the company can go up by 49.34% (from the last price of $9.04 to the average price target of $13.5), up by 49.34% based on the highest stock price target, and up by 49.34% based on the lowest stock price target.

Can Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance stock reach $14?

ARI's average twelve months analyst stock price target of $13.5 does not support the claim that Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance can reach $14 in the near future.

What are Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance's analysts' financial forecasts?

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $265.8M (high $277.88M, low $253.73M), average EBITDA is $-575K (high $-549K, low $-601K), average net income is $127.59M (high $145.31M, low $109.87M), average SG&A $75.18M (high $78.6M, low $71.76M), and average EPS is $0.923 (high $1.05, low $0.795). ARI's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2026) are as follows: average revenue is $249.97M (high $264.94M, low $235M), average EBITDA is $-540K (high $-508K, low $-573K), average net income is $164.48M (high $177.28M, low $151.67M), average SG&A $70.7M (high $74.94M, low $66.47M), and average EPS is $1.19 (high $1.28, low $1.1).

Did the ARI's actual financial results beat the analysts' financial forecasts?

Based on Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance's last annual report (Dec 2023), the company's revenue was $344.59M, beating the average analysts forecast of $298.9M by 15.29%. Apple's EBITDA was $-417M, missing the average prediction of $62.61M by -765.49%. The company's net income was $58.13M, missing the average estimation of $165.19M by -64.81%. Apple's SG&A was $29.52M, missing the average forecast of $80.39M by -63.28%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $0.0004, missing the average prediction of $1.49 by -99.97%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Sep 2023), Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance's revenue was $81.16M, beating the average analysts' forecast of $73.18M by 10.90%. The company's EBITDA was $-77.283M, beating the average prediction of $-158K by 48744.04%. Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance's net income was $46.07M, missing the average estimation of $48.46M by -4.94%. The company's SG&A was $7.66M, missing the average forecast of $20.7M by -62.97%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $0.3, missing the average prediction of $0.351 by -14.42%