Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance (ARI) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions
ARI Stock Forecast
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $13.50 (represents a 41.21% upside from ARI’s last price of $9.56) and
ARI Price Target
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Price Target by Analyst
| Date | Analyst | Company | Price Target | Price when Published | Price Target/Price when Published | Price Target/Last Closing Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2022 | - | J.P. Morgan | $13.50 | $13.22 | 2.12% | 41.21% |
The latest Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance stock forecast, released on Apr 25, 2022 by J.P. Morgan company, set a price target of $13.50, which represents a 2.12% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($13.22), and a 41.21% increase from ARI last price ($9.56).
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Price Target by Period
| 1M | 3M | 12M | |
|---|---|---|---|
| # Anlaysts | - | - | - |
| Avg Price Target | - | - | - |
| Last Closing Price | $9.56 | $9.56 | $9.56 |
| Upside/Downside | -100.00% | -100.00% | -100.00% |
In the current month, the average price target of Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance's last price of $9.56. This month's average price target is down NaN% compared to last quarter, and down NaN% compared to last year.
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Financial Forecast
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Revenue Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $81.16M | $92.16M | $87.62M | $4.38M | $157.68M | - | $60.75M | $69.41M | $78.78M | $56.73M | $73.40M | $27.19M | $59.55M | $51.41M | $72.42M | $87.86M | $80.36M |
| Avg Forecast | $65.28M | $65.21M | $64.69M | $64.50M | $67.83M | $66.19M | $73.27M | $78.16M | $70.20M | $72.18M | $84.77M | $79.48M | $71.37M | $73.18M | $79.25M | $75.10M | $73.96M | $69.47M | $65.66M | $66.41M | $65.02M | $70.49M | $70.51M | $67.79M | $68.41M | $70.15M | $86.77M | $75.17M | $84.26M | $85.07M |
| High Forecast | $73.31M | $73.23M | $72.64M | $72.43M | $76.18M | $74.33M | $82.28M | $87.77M | $78.83M | $72.93M | $95.19M | $89.26M | $75.61M | $85.38M | $89.00M | $84.34M | $83.05M | $78.01M | $65.66M | $68.09M | $66.66M | $72.26M | $72.29M | $69.50M | $70.14M | $71.91M | $88.96M | $77.06M | $86.38M | $87.21M |
| Low Forecast | $57.26M | $57.19M | $56.73M | $56.57M | $59.49M | $58.05M | $64.26M | $68.55M | $61.56M | $71.44M | $74.35M | $69.71M | $67.13M | $54.42M | $69.51M | $65.86M | $64.86M | $60.93M | $65.66M | $64.74M | $63.38M | $68.71M | $68.73M | $66.08M | $66.69M | $68.38M | $84.58M | $73.27M | $82.13M | $82.92M |
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.11% | 1.16% | 1.17% | 0.06% | 2.27% | - | 0.91% | 1.07% | 1.12% | 0.80% | 1.08% | 0.40% | 0.85% | 0.59% | 0.96% | 1.04% | 0.94% |
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance's average Quarter revenue forecast for Dec 23 based on 2 analysts is $71.37M, with a low forecast of $67.13M, and a high forecast of $75.61M. ARI's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a -12.06% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $81.16M (Sep 23).
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance EBITDA Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 |
| EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $-77.28M | $-2.20M | $-3.99M | $56.17M | $255.33M | - | $61.06M | $82.92M | $103.88M | $107.88M | $94.00M | $72.04M | $84.16M | $97.70M | $-86.64M | $115.68M | $68.43M |
| Avg Forecast | $21.29M | $21.27M | $21.10M | $21.03M | $22.12M | $21.58M | $23.89M | $25.49M | $22.89M | $23.54M | $27.64M | $69.40M | $23.27M | $23.87M | $25.85M | $63.10M | $24.12M | $22.66M | $21.41M | $57.36M | $21.21M | $22.99M | $22.99M | $22.11M | $63.04M | $63.85M | $28.30M | $-84.42M | $27.48M | $68.43M |
| High Forecast | $23.91M | $23.88M | $23.69M | $23.62M | $24.84M | $24.24M | $26.83M | $28.62M | $25.71M | $23.78M | $31.04M | $83.29M | $24.66M | $27.84M | $29.02M | $75.71M | $27.08M | $25.44M | $21.41M | $68.83M | $21.74M | $23.57M | $23.57M | $22.66M | $75.65M | $76.62M | $29.01M | $-67.53M | $28.17M | $82.12M |
| Low Forecast | $18.67M | $18.65M | $18.50M | $18.45M | $19.40M | $18.93M | $20.96M | $22.35M | $20.08M | $23.30M | $24.25M | $55.52M | $21.89M | $17.75M | $22.67M | $50.48M | $21.15M | $19.87M | $21.41M | $45.89M | $20.67M | $22.41M | $22.41M | $21.55M | $50.43M | $51.08M | $27.58M | $-101.30M | $26.78M | $54.74M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | -3.24% | -0.09% | -0.06% | 2.33% | 11.27% | - | 1.06% | 3.91% | 4.52% | 4.69% | 4.25% | 1.14% | 1.32% | 3.45% | 1.03% | 4.21% | 1.00% |
1 analysts predict ARI's average Quarter EBITDA for Mar 23 to be $63.10M, with a high of $75.71M and a low of $50.48M. This is 12.33% upper than Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance's previous annual EBITDA (Dec 22) of $56.17M.
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Net Income Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 |
| Net Income | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $46.07M | $-83.40M | $-7.04M | $-100.56M | $183.03M | - | $-29.88M | $-7.63M | $60.39M | $67.69M | $58.34M | $36.68M | $49.34M | $60.20M | $-127.84M | $71.90M | $29.09M |
| Avg Forecast | $49.70M | $49.62M | $49.10M | $48.91M | $36.60M | $36.23M | $11.11M | $38.68M | $36.98M | $29.16M | $43.04M | $17.32M | $49.04M | $49.29M | $53.68M | $15.75M | $48.57M | $78.52M | $46.44M | $14.31M | $38.33M | $62.07M | $61.89M | $49.76M | $32.09M | $37.43M | $121.44M | $-124.56M | $70.31M | $29.09M |
| High Forecast | $57.65M | $57.56M | $56.95M | $56.73M | $42.45M | $42.02M | $12.89M | $44.86M | $42.89M | $37.33M | $49.92M | $20.78M | $56.87M | $56.33M | $62.26M | $18.90M | $56.33M | $94.22M | $46.44M | $17.18M | $46.00M | $74.48M | $74.27M | $59.71M | $38.51M | $44.91M | $145.73M | $-99.65M | $84.37M | $34.91M |
| Low Forecast | $41.76M | $41.69M | $41.25M | $41.09M | $30.75M | $30.44M | $9.34M | $32.50M | $31.07M | $16.33M | $36.16M | $13.86M | $47.67M | $38.03M | $45.10M | $12.60M | $40.80M | $62.81M | $46.44M | $11.45M | $30.67M | $49.66M | $49.51M | $39.81M | $25.68M | $29.94M | $97.15M | $-149.48M | $56.24M | $23.27M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.93% | -1.55% | -0.45% | -2.07% | 2.33% | - | -2.09% | -0.20% | 0.97% | 1.09% | 1.17% | 1.14% | 1.32% | 0.50% | 1.03% | 1.02% | 1.00% |
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance's average Quarter net income forecast for Dec 23 is $49.04M, with a range of $47.67M to $56.87M. ARI's average Quarter net income forecast represents a 6.43% increase compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $46.07M (Sep 23).
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance SG&A Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 |
| SG&A | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $7.66M | $7.47M | $7.01M | $-20.54M | $16.90M | - | $16.54M | $18.38M | $16.14M | $16.17M | $16.30M | $16.87M | $16.55M | $16.38M | $16.80M | $15.96M | $16.27M |
| Avg Forecast | $19.22M | $19.20M | $19.05M | $18.99M | $19.97M | $19.49M | $21.57M | $23.01M | $20.67M | $21.25M | $24.96M | $18.80M | $21.01M | $21.55M | $23.33M | $17.09M | $21.77M | $20.99M | $19.33M | $15.54M | $19.00M | $16.59M | $14.79M | $13.91M | $14.76M | $12.56M | $33.05M | $16.37M | $15.61M | $16.27M |
| High Forecast | $21.58M | $21.56M | $21.39M | $21.32M | $22.43M | $21.88M | $24.22M | $25.84M | $23.21M | $21.47M | $28.03M | $22.56M | $22.26M | $25.14M | $26.20M | $20.51M | $24.45M | $25.19M | $19.33M | $18.65M | $22.79M | $19.91M | $17.75M | $16.69M | $17.71M | $15.07M | $39.66M | $19.64M | $18.73M | $19.53M |
| Low Forecast | $16.86M | $16.84M | $16.70M | $16.65M | $17.52M | $17.09M | $18.92M | $20.18M | $18.13M | $21.03M | $21.89M | $15.04M | $19.76M | $16.02M | $20.46M | $13.67M | $19.10M | $16.79M | $19.33M | $12.43M | $15.20M | $13.27M | $11.83M | $11.13M | $11.81M | $10.04M | $26.44M | $13.09M | $12.49M | $13.02M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.36% | 0.32% | 0.41% | -0.94% | 0.81% | - | 1.06% | 0.97% | 0.97% | 1.09% | 1.17% | 1.14% | 1.32% | 0.50% | 1.03% | 1.02% | 1.00% |
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance's average Quarter SG&A projection for Dec 23 is $21.01M, based on 2 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $19.76M to $22.26M. The forecast indicates a 174.16% rise compared to ARI last annual SG&A of $7.66M (Sep 23).
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance EPS Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 |
| EPS | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0.30 | $-0.00 | $-0.05 | $-0.72 | $1.27 | - | $-0.21 | $-0.05 | $0.40 | $0.45 | $0.39 | $0.26 | $0.31 | $0.37 | $-0.86 | $0.44 | $0.16 |
| Avg Forecast | $0.35 | $0.35 | $0.35 | $0.35 | $0.26 | $0.26 | $0.08 | $0.28 | $0.26 | $0.21 | $0.31 | $0.32 | $0.35 | $0.35 | $0.38 | $0.41 | $0.35 | $0.35 | $0.33 | $0.33 | $0.32 | $0.36 | $0.37 | $0.32 | $0.32 | $0.30 | $0.29 | $0.40 | $0.45 | $0.47 |
| High Forecast | $0.41 | $0.41 | $0.41 | $0.40 | $0.30 | $0.30 | $0.09 | $0.32 | $0.31 | $0.27 | $0.35 | $0.37 | $0.40 | $0.40 | $0.44 | $0.48 | $0.40 | $0.41 | $0.33 | $0.34 | $0.33 | $0.37 | $0.38 | $0.34 | $0.33 | $0.31 | $0.30 | $0.42 | $0.47 | $0.48 |
| Low Forecast | $0.30 | $0.30 | $0.29 | $0.29 | $0.22 | $0.22 | $0.07 | $0.23 | $0.22 | $0.12 | $0.26 | $0.27 | $0.34 | $0.27 | $0.32 | $0.35 | $0.29 | $0.29 | $0.33 | $0.31 | $0.31 | $0.35 | $0.35 | $0.31 | $0.31 | $0.29 | $0.28 | $0.39 | $0.44 | $0.45 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.86% | -0.00% | -0.12% | -2.08% | 3.63% | - | -0.65% | -0.17% | 1.11% | 1.23% | 1.20% | 0.82% | 1.04% | 1.28% | -2.13% | 0.97% | 0.34% |
According to 2 Wall Street analysts, Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance's projected average Quarter EPS for Dec 23 is $0.35, with a low estimate of $0.34 and a high estimate of $0.40. This represents a 16.24% increase compared to ARI previous annual EPS of $0.30 (Sep 23).
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Peer Comparison by Price Target
| Ticker | Company | Last Closing Price | Avg Price Target | Upside/Downside | Avg Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACRE | Ares Commercial Real Estate | $7.54 | $16.00 | 112.20% | Hold |
| ARI | Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance | $9.56 | $13.50 | 41.21% | - |
| STWD | Starwood Property Trust | $20.20 | $24.75 | 22.52% | Buy |
| PMT | PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust | $14.19 | $16.50 | 16.28% | Hold |
| LADR | Ladder Capital | $12.20 | $13.25 | 8.61% | Buy |
ARI Forecast FAQ
Will Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance stock go up soon?
According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for ARI stock, the company can go up by 41.21% (from the last price of $9.56 to the average price target of $13.5), up by 41.21% based on the highest stock price target, and up by 41.21% based on the lowest stock price target.
Can Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance stock reach $14?
ARI's average twelve months analyst stock price target of $13.5 does not support the claim that Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance can reach $14 in the near future.
What are Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance's analysts' financial forecasts?
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $285.45M (high $320.56M, low $250.35M), average EBITDA is $93.09M (high $104.54M, low $81.64M), average net income is $122.63M (high $142.23M, low $103.02M), average SG&A $84.04M (high $94.38M, low $73.71M), and average EPS is $0.872 (high $1.01, low $0.733). ARI's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2026) are as follows: average revenue is $259.68M (high $291.61M, low $227.75M), average EBITDA is $84.69M (high $95.1M, low $74.27M), average net income is $197.34M (high $228.89M, low $165.8M), average SG&A $76.45M (high $85.85M, low $67.05M), and average EPS is $1.4 (high $1.63, low $1.18).
Did the ARI's actual financial results beat the analysts' financial forecasts?
Based on Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance's last annual report (Dec 2023), the company's revenue was $344.59M, beating the average analysts forecast of $298.9M by 15.29%. Apple's EBITDA was $-417M, missing the average prediction of $136.08M by -406.20%. The company's net income was $58.13M, missing the average estimation of $167.75M by -65.35%. Apple's SG&A was $29.52M, missing the average forecast of $82.98M by -64.43%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $0.0004, missing the average prediction of $1.49 by -99.97%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Sep 2023), Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance's revenue was $81.16M, beating the average analysts' forecast of $73.18M by 10.90%. The company's EBITDA was $-77.283M, missing the average prediction of $23.87M by -423.83%. Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance's net income was $46.07M, missing the average estimation of $49.29M by -6.54%. The company's SG&A was $7.66M, missing the average forecast of $21.55M by -64.43%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $0.3, missing the average prediction of $0.351 by -14.42%