Full Truck Alliance (YMM) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions


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YMM Stock Forecast


Full Truck Alliance stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $10.45 (represents a 6.20% upside from YMM’s last price of $9.84) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 5 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.

YMM Price Target


The average price target for Full Truck Alliance (YMM) is $10.45 based on 1-year price targets from 5 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $12.00 to $9.00. This represents a potential 6.20% upside from YMM's last price of $9.84.

YMM Analyst Ratings


Buy

According to 5 Wall Street analysts, Full Truck Alliance's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for YMM stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 4 'Buy' (80.00%), 1 'Hold' (20.00%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).

Full Truck Alliance Price Target by Analyst


DateAnalystCompanyPrice TargetPrice when PublishedPrice Target/Price when PublishedPrice Target/Last Closing Price
Aug 21, 2024Alicia YapIndustrial Alliance Securities$12.00$7.2266.09%21.95%
Mar 26, 2024Bruce MiUBS$9.78$7.3533.06%-0.61%
Mar 13, 2024Eddy WangMorgan Stanley$9.00$7.8115.24%-8.54%
Dec 01, 2022-Jefferies$11.00$8.5828.21%11.79%
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The latest Full Truck Alliance stock forecast, released on Aug 21, 2024 by Alicia Yap from Industrial Alliance Securities, set a price target of $12.00, which represents a 66.09% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($7.22), and a 21.95% increase from YMM last price ($9.84).

Full Truck Alliance Price Target by Period


1M3M12M
# Anlaysts-13
Avg Price Target-$12.00$10.26
Last Closing Price$9.84$9.84$9.84
Upside/Downside-100.00%21.95%4.27%

In the current month, the average price target of Full Truck Alliance stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to Full Truck Alliance's last price of $9.84. This month's average price target is down -100.00% compared to last quarter, and down -100.00% compared to last year.

Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades


DateCompanyPrevious RatingNew RatingRating Change
Sep 24, 2024CitigroupBuyBuyHold
Aug 21, 2024CitigroupBuyBuyHold
Jun 13, 2024CitigroupBuyBuyHold
May 23, 2024BarclaysEqual-WeightEqual-WeightHold
May 10, 2024Daiwa-BuyInitialise
Mar 26, 2024UBS-BuyInitialise
Feb 09, 2023Barclays-Equal-WeightInitialise
Dec 01, 2022Jefferies-BuyInitialise
Jun 09, 2022CitigroupBuyBuyHold
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Full Truck Alliance's last stock rating was published by Citigroup on Sep 24, 2024. The company gave YMM a "Buy" rating, the same as its previous rate.

Full Truck Alliance Financial Forecast


Full Truck Alliance Revenue Forecast

Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21
Revenue-----------$1.70B$1.92B$1.81B$1.67B$1.33B$1.43B$1.24B$1.12B
Avg Forecast$3.57B$3.45B$3.13B$2.51B$2.71B$2.77B$2.70B$2.15B$2.30B$2.18B$1.99B$1.60B$1.82B$1.70B$1.37B$1.08B$1.29B$1.10B$1.05B
High Forecast$3.57B$3.45B$3.13B$2.51B$2.71B$2.77B$2.70B$2.15B$2.30B$2.18B$1.99B$1.60B$1.82B$1.70B$1.37B$1.08B$1.29B$1.10B$1.05B
Low Forecast$3.57B$3.45B$3.13B$2.51B$2.71B$2.77B$2.70B$2.15B$2.30B$2.18B$1.99B$1.60B$1.82B$1.70B$1.37B$1.08B$1.29B$1.10B$1.05B
# Analysts1111121231111111222
Surprise %-----------1.06%1.05%1.07%1.22%1.24%1.10%1.13%1.06%

Full Truck Alliance's average Quarter revenue forecast for Jun 23 based on 1 analysts is $1.99B, with a low forecast of $1.99B, and a high forecast of $1.99B. YMM's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a 17.10% increase compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $1.70B (Mar 23).

Full Truck Alliance EBITDA Forecast

Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21
# Analysts1111121231111111222
EBITDA-----------$418.23M$202.07M$476.98M$59.01M$-187.01M$-1.30B$-111.72M$-2.00B
Avg Forecast$-1.62B$-1.56B$-1.42B$-1.13B$-1.23B$-1.25B$-1.22B$-972.49M$-1.04B$-983.44M$-901.21M$-724.48M$-824.51M$-577.27M$-467.63M$-366.07M$-440.68M$-373.78M$-358.20M
High Forecast$-1.62B$-1.56B$-1.42B$-1.13B$-1.23B$-1.25B$-1.22B$-972.49M$-1.04B$-983.44M$-901.21M$-724.48M$-824.51M$-577.27M$-467.63M$-366.07M$-440.68M$-373.78M$-358.20M
Low Forecast$-1.62B$-1.56B$-1.42B$-1.13B$-1.23B$-1.25B$-1.22B$-972.49M$-1.04B$-983.44M$-901.21M$-724.48M$-824.51M$-577.27M$-467.63M$-366.07M$-440.68M$-373.78M$-358.20M
Surprise %------------0.58%-0.25%-0.83%-0.13%0.51%2.94%0.30%5.59%

1 analysts predict YMM's average Quarter EBITDA for Jun 23 to be $-901.21M, with a high of $-901.21M and a low of $-901.21M. This is -315.48% lower than Full Truck Alliance's previous annual EBITDA (Mar 23) of $418.23M.

Full Truck Alliance Net Income Forecast

Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21
# Analysts1111121231111111222
Net Income-----------$408.91M$193.84M$393.50M$11.41M$-192.01M$-1.32B$-178.30M$-1.96B
Avg Forecast$1.43B$1.35B$1.25B$1.00B$927.51M$1.05B$798.40M$655.64M$643.17M$577.56M$459.23M$339.95M$238.71M$199.31M$62.71M-$10.47M$-41.84M$10.46M
High Forecast$1.43B$1.35B$1.25B$1.00B$927.51M$1.05B$803.29M$656.28M$643.17M$578.31M$459.23M$339.95M$238.71M$199.31M$62.71M-$10.47M$-41.84M$10.46M
Low Forecast$1.43B$1.35B$1.25B$1.00B$927.51M$1.05B$793.52M$655.01M$643.17M$576.82M$459.23M$339.95M$238.71M$199.31M$62.71M-$10.47M$-41.84M$10.46M
Surprise %-----------1.20%0.81%1.97%0.18%--126.15%4.26%-187.22%

Full Truck Alliance's average Quarter net income forecast for Jun 23 is $459.23M, with a range of $459.23M to $459.23M. YMM's average Quarter net income forecast represents a 12.31% increase compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $408.91M (Mar 23).

Full Truck Alliance SG&A Forecast

Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21
# Analysts1111121231111111222
SG&A-----------$425.18M$689.31M$439.47M$540.97M$650.46M$1.88B$380.62M$2.36B
Avg Forecast$2.89B$2.79B$2.53B$2.03B$2.19B$2.24B$2.18B$1.74B$1.85B$1.76B$1.61B$1.29B$1.47B$1.37B$1.11B$870.30M$1.05B$888.64M$851.58M
High Forecast$2.89B$2.79B$2.53B$2.03B$2.19B$2.24B$2.18B$1.74B$1.85B$1.76B$1.61B$1.29B$1.47B$1.37B$1.11B$870.30M$1.05B$888.64M$851.58M
Low Forecast$2.89B$2.79B$2.53B$2.03B$2.19B$2.24B$2.18B$1.74B$1.85B$1.76B$1.61B$1.29B$1.47B$1.37B$1.11B$870.30M$1.05B$888.64M$851.58M
Surprise %-----------0.33%0.47%0.32%0.49%0.75%1.79%0.43%2.77%

Full Truck Alliance's average Quarter SG&A projection for Jun 23 is $1.61B, based on 1 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $1.61B to $1.61B. The forecast indicates a 278.53% rise compared to YMM last annual SG&A of $425.18M (Mar 23).

Full Truck Alliance EPS Forecast

Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21
# Analysts1111121231111111222
EPS-----------$0.40$0.20$0.40$0.01$-0.18$-1.23$-0.17$-6.52
Avg Forecast$1.37$1.29$1.19$0.96$0.89$1.00$0.76$0.63$0.62$0.55$0.44$0.33$0.23$0.19$0.06-$0.01$-0.04$0.01
High Forecast$1.37$1.29$1.19$0.96$0.89$1.00$0.77$0.63$0.62$0.55$0.44$0.33$0.23$0.19$0.06-$0.01$-0.04$0.01
Low Forecast$1.37$1.29$1.19$0.96$0.89$1.00$0.76$0.63$0.62$0.55$0.44$0.33$0.23$0.19$0.06-$0.01$-0.04$0.01
Surprise %-----------1.23%0.88%2.10%0.18%--122.77%4.25%-651.59%

According to 1 Wall Street analysts, Full Truck Alliance's projected average Quarter EPS for Jun 23 is $0.44, with a low estimate of $0.44 and a high estimate of $0.44. This represents a 9.83% increase compared to YMM previous annual EPS of $0.40 (Mar 23).

Full Truck Alliance Peer Comparison by Price Target


TickerCompanyLast Closing PriceAvg Price TargetUpside/DownsideAvg Rating
EXFYExpensify$3.07$13.75347.88%Buy
ONTFON24$6.25$18.00188.00%-
DOMODomo$8.79$16.0983.05%Hold
VTEXVTEX$6.28$10.1361.31%Buy
BRZEBraze$36.02$55.7754.83%Buy
ETWOE2open Parent$3.01$4.4046.18%Hold
AMSWAAmerican Software$10.95$15.5041.55%Buy
ALKTAlkami$37.75$45.6720.98%Buy
ENVEnvestnet$63.09$67.867.56%Hold
YMMFull Truck Alliance$9.84$10.456.20%Buy
CWANClearwater Analytics$30.90$28.50-7.77%Buy
GWREGuidewire Software$197.23$164.70-16.49%Buy
KCKingsoft Cloud$6.53$4.97-23.89%Buy

YMM Forecast FAQ


Is Full Truck Alliance a good buy?

Yes, according to 5 Wall Street analysts, Full Truck Alliance (YMM) is considered a 'Buy'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 4 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 80.00% of YMM's total ratings.

What is YMM's price target?

Full Truck Alliance (YMM) average price target is $10.45 with a range of $9 to $12, implying a 6.20% from its last price of $9.84. The data is based on 5 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.

Will Full Truck Alliance stock go up soon?

According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for YMM stock, the company can go up by 6.20% (from the last price of $9.84 to the average price target of $10.45), up by 21.95% based on the highest stock price target, and down by -8.54% based on the lowest stock price target.

Can Full Truck Alliance stock reach $15?

YMM's average twelve months analyst stock price target of $10.45 does not support the claim that Full Truck Alliance can reach $15 in the near future.

What are Full Truck Alliance's analysts' financial forecasts?

Full Truck Alliance's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2024) are as follows: average revenue is $10.33B (high $10.33B, low $10.33B), average EBITDA is $-4.67B (high $-4.67B, low $-4.67B), average net income is $3.43B (high $3.44B, low $3.42B), average SG&A $8.34B (high $8.34B, low $8.34B), and average EPS is $3.28 (high $3.29, low $3.28). YMM's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $12.67B (high $12.67B, low $12.67B), average EBITDA is $-5.727B (high $-5.727B, low $-5.727B), average net income is $5.03B (high $5.03B, low $5.03B), average SG&A $10.23B (high $10.23B, low $10.23B), and average EPS is $4.81 (high $4.81, low $4.81).

Did the YMM's actual financial results beat the analysts' financial forecasts?

Based on Full Truck Alliance's last annual report (Dec 2022), the company's revenue was $6.73B, beating the average analysts forecast of $5.97B by 12.80%. Apple's EBITDA was $551.04M, missing the average prediction of $-2.235B by -124.65%. The company's net income was $406.76M, missing the average estimation of $500.73M by -18.77%. Apple's SG&A was $2.32B, missing the average forecast of $4.83B by -51.93%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $0.4, missing the average prediction of $0.479 by -16.50%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Mar 2023), Full Truck Alliance's revenue was $1.7B, beating the average analysts' forecast of $1.6B by 6.23%. The company's EBITDA was $418.23M, missing the average prediction of $-724M by -157.73%. Full Truck Alliance's net income was $408.91M, beating the average estimation of $339.95M by 20.29%. The company's SG&A was $425.18M, missing the average forecast of $1.29B by -67.14%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $0.4, beating the average prediction of $0.325 by 22.99%