Full Truck Alliance (YMM) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions
YMM Stock Forecast
Full Truck Alliance stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $10.45 (represents a 38.96% upside from YMM’s last price of $7.52) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 5 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.
YMM Price Target
The average price target for Full Truck Alliance (YMM) is $10.45 based on 1-year price targets from 5 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $12.00 to $9.00. This represents a potential 38.96% upside from YMM's last price of $7.52.
YMM Analyst Ratings
According to 5 Wall Street analysts, Full Truck Alliance's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for YMM stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 4 'Buy' (80.00%), 1 'Hold' (20.00%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).
Full Truck Alliance Price Target by Analyst
| Date | Analyst | Company | Price Target | Price when Published | Price Target/Price when Published | Price Target/Last Closing Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2024 | Alicia Yap | Industrial Alliance Securities | $12.00 | $7.22 | 66.09% | 59.57% |
| Mar 26, 2024 | Bruce Mi | UBS | $9.78 | $7.35 | 33.06% | 30.05% |
| Mar 13, 2024 | Eddy Wang | Morgan Stanley | $9.00 | $7.81 | 15.24% | 19.68% |
| Dec 01, 2022 | - | Jefferies | $11.00 | $8.58 | 28.21% | 46.28% |
The latest Full Truck Alliance stock forecast, released on Aug 21, 2024 by Alicia Yap from Industrial Alliance Securities, set a price target of $12.00, which represents a 66.09% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($7.22), and a 59.57% increase from YMM last price ($7.52).
Full Truck Alliance Price Target by Period
| 1M | 3M | 12M | |
|---|---|---|---|
| # Anlaysts | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Avg Price Target | $12.00 | $12.00 | $10.26 |
| Last Closing Price | $7.52 | $7.52 | $7.52 |
| Upside/Downside | 59.57% | 59.57% | 36.44% |
In the current month, the average price target of Full Truck Alliance stock is $12.00, according to 1 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a 59.57% increase as opposed to Full Truck Alliance's last price of $7.52. This month's average price target is down 0.00% compared to last quarter, and up 16.96% compared to last year.
Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades
| Date | Company | Previous Rating | New Rating | Rating Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2024 | Citigroup | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Jun 13, 2024 | Citigroup | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| May 23, 2024 | Barclays | Equal-Weight | Equal-Weight | Hold |
| May 10, 2024 | Daiwa | - | Buy | Initialise |
| Mar 26, 2024 | UBS | - | Buy | Initialise |
| Feb 09, 2023 | Barclays | - | Equal-Weight | Initialise |
| Dec 01, 2022 | Jefferies | - | Buy | Initialise |
| Jun 09, 2022 | Citigroup | Buy | Buy | Hold |
Full Truck Alliance's last stock rating was published by Citigroup on Aug 21, 2024. The company gave YMM a "Buy" rating, the same as its previous rate.
Full Truck Alliance Financial Forecast
Full Truck Alliance Revenue Forecast
| Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $1.70B | $1.92B | $1.81B | $1.67B | $1.33B | $1.43B | $1.24B | $1.12B |
| Avg Forecast | $3.65B | $3.52B | $3.20B | $2.56B | $2.79B | $2.82B | $2.70B | $2.15B | $2.30B | $2.18B | $1.99B | $1.60B | $1.82B | $1.70B | $1.37B | $1.08B | $1.29B | $1.10B | $1.05B |
| High Forecast | $3.67B | $3.55B | $3.22B | $2.58B | $2.81B | $2.84B | $2.72B | $2.17B | $2.31B | $2.19B | $2.01B | $1.61B | $1.84B | $1.71B | $1.37B | $1.08B | $1.29B | $1.10B | $1.05B |
| Low Forecast | $3.62B | $3.50B | $3.18B | $2.54B | $2.77B | $2.80B | $2.68B | $2.14B | $2.28B | $2.16B | $1.98B | $1.59B | $1.81B | $1.68B | $1.37B | $1.08B | $1.29B | $1.10B | $1.05B |
| # Analysts | - | - | - | - | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.06% | 1.05% | 1.07% | 1.22% | 1.24% | 1.10% | 1.13% | 1.06% |
Full Truck Alliance's average Quarter revenue forecast for Jun 23 based on 1 analysts is $1.99B, with a low forecast of $1.98B, and a high forecast of $2.01B. YMM's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a 17.10% increase compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $1.70B (Mar 23).
Full Truck Alliance EBITDA Forecast
| Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | - | - | - | - | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $418.23M | $202.07M | $476.98M | $59.01M | $-187.01M | $-1.30B | $-111.72M | $-2.00B |
| Avg Forecast | $-1.24B | $-1.20B | $-1.09B | $-871.19M | $-949.75M | $-959.46M | $-918.05M | $-732.07M | $-781.58M | $-740.31M | $-678.40M | $-545.37M | $-620.66M | $-577.27M | $-467.63M | $-366.07M | $-440.68M | $-373.78M | $-358.20M |
| High Forecast | $-1.23B | $-1.19B | $-1.08B | $-865.45M | $-943.49M | $-953.14M | $-912.00M | $-727.24M | $-776.43M | $-735.43M | $-673.93M | $-541.77M | $-616.57M | $-573.46M | $-467.63M | $-366.07M | $-440.68M | $-373.78M | $-358.20M |
| Low Forecast | $-1.25B | $-1.21B | $-1.10B | $-877.31M | $-956.42M | $-966.20M | $-924.50M | $-737.21M | $-787.07M | $-745.51M | $-683.17M | $-549.20M | $-625.03M | $-581.32M | $-467.63M | $-366.07M | $-440.68M | $-373.78M | $-358.20M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | -0.77% | -0.33% | -0.83% | -0.13% | 0.51% | 2.94% | 0.30% | 5.59% |
1 analysts predict YMM's average Quarter EBITDA for Jun 23 to be $-678.40M, with a high of $-673.93M and a low of $-683.17M. This is -262.21% lower than Full Truck Alliance's previous annual EBITDA (Mar 23) of $418.23M.
Full Truck Alliance Net Income Forecast
| Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | - | - | - | - | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Net Income | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $408.91M | $193.84M | $393.50M | $11.41M | $-192.01M | $-1.32B | $-178.30M | $-1.96B |
| Avg Forecast | $1.46B | $1.38B | $1.27B | $1.02B | $829.40M | $930.14M | $798.40M | $655.64M | $643.17M | $577.56M | $459.23M | $339.95M | $238.71M | $199.31M | $62.71M | - | $10.47M | $-41.84M | $10.46M |
| High Forecast | $1.48B | $1.39B | $1.28B | $1.03B | $836.97M | $938.64M | $805.70M | $661.63M | $649.04M | $582.84M | $463.42M | $343.05M | $240.89M | $201.13M | $62.71M | - | $10.47M | $-41.84M | $10.46M |
| Low Forecast | $1.45B | $1.37B | $1.26B | $1.01B | $822.29M | $922.16M | $791.56M | $650.03M | $637.66M | $572.61M | $455.30M | $337.03M | $236.66M | $197.61M | $62.71M | - | $10.47M | $-41.84M | $10.46M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.20% | 0.81% | 1.97% | 0.18% | - | -126.15% | 4.26% | -187.23% |
Full Truck Alliance's average Quarter net income forecast for Jun 23 is $459.23M, with a range of $455.30M to $463.42M. YMM's average Quarter net income forecast represents a 12.31% increase compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $408.91M (Mar 23).
Full Truck Alliance SG&A Forecast
| Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | - | - | - | - | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| SG&A | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $425.18M | $689.31M | $439.47M | $540.97M | $650.46M | $1.88B | $380.62M | $2.36B |
| Avg Forecast | $2.95B | $2.85B | $2.59B | $2.07B | $2.26B | $2.28B | $2.18B | $1.74B | $1.86B | $1.76B | $1.61B | $1.30B | $1.48B | $1.37B | $1.11B | $870.30M | $1.05B | $888.64M | $851.58M |
| High Forecast | $2.97B | $2.87B | $2.61B | $2.09B | $2.27B | $2.30B | $2.20B | $1.75B | $1.87B | $1.77B | $1.62B | $1.31B | $1.49B | $1.38B | $1.11B | $870.30M | $1.05B | $888.64M | $851.58M |
| Low Forecast | $2.93B | $2.83B | $2.57B | $2.06B | $2.24B | $2.27B | $2.17B | $1.73B | $1.85B | $1.75B | $1.60B | $1.29B | $1.47B | $1.36B | $1.11B | $870.30M | $1.05B | $888.64M | $851.58M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.33% | 0.47% | 0.32% | 0.49% | 0.75% | 1.79% | 0.43% | 2.77% |
Full Truck Alliance's average Quarter SG&A projection for Jun 23 is $1.61B, based on 1 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $1.60B to $1.62B. The forecast indicates a 279.33% rise compared to YMM last annual SG&A of $425.18M (Mar 23).
Full Truck Alliance EPS Forecast
| Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | - | - | - | - | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| EPS | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0.40 | $0.20 | $0.40 | $0.01 | $-0.18 | $-1.23 | $-0.17 | $-6.52 |
| Avg Forecast | $1.40 | $1.32 | $1.22 | $0.98 | $0.79 | $0.89 | $0.76 | $0.63 | $0.62 | $0.55 | $0.44 | $0.33 | $0.23 | $0.19 | $0.06 | - | $0.01 | $-0.04 | $0.01 |
| High Forecast | $1.41 | $1.33 | $1.23 | $0.99 | $0.80 | $0.90 | $0.77 | $0.63 | $0.62 | $0.56 | $0.44 | $0.33 | $0.23 | $0.19 | $0.06 | - | $0.01 | $-0.04 | $0.01 |
| Low Forecast | $1.39 | $1.31 | $1.21 | $0.97 | $0.79 | $0.88 | $0.76 | $0.62 | $0.61 | $0.55 | $0.44 | $0.32 | $0.23 | $0.19 | $0.06 | - | $0.01 | $-0.04 | $0.01 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.23% | 0.88% | 2.10% | 0.18% | - | -122.77% | 4.25% | -651.59% |
According to 1 Wall Street analysts, Full Truck Alliance's projected average Quarter EPS for Jun 23 is $0.44, with a low estimate of $0.44 and a high estimate of $0.44. This represents a 9.83% increase compared to YMM previous annual EPS of $0.40 (Mar 23).
Full Truck Alliance Peer Comparison by Price Target
| Ticker | Company | Last Closing Price | Avg Price Target | Upside/Downside | Avg Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EXFY | Expensify | $2.28 | $13.75 | 503.07% | Buy |
| ONTF | ON24 | $6.18 | $18.00 | 191.26% | - |
| KC | Kingsoft Cloud | $2.22 | $4.97 | 123.87% | Buy |
| DOMO | Domo | $7.28 | $16.09 | 121.02% | Hold |
| BRZE | Braze | $35.60 | $58.92 | 65.51% | Buy |
| VTEX | VTEX | $6.77 | $10.13 | 49.63% | Buy |
| AMSWA | American Software | $10.92 | $15.50 | 41.94% | Buy |
| YMM | Full Truck Alliance | $7.52 | $10.45 | 38.96% | Buy |
| INST | Instructure | $23.52 | $28.74 | 22.19% | Hold |
| ALKT | Alkami | $30.62 | $34.50 | 12.67% | Buy |
| ENV | Envestnet | $62.65 | $68.52 | 9.37% | Hold |
| ETWO | E2open Parent | $4.44 | $4.40 | -0.90% | Hold |
| CWAN | Clearwater Analytics | $24.72 | $22.50 | -8.98% | Buy |
| GWRE | Guidewire Software | $173.03 | $156.30 | -9.67% | Buy |
YMM Forecast FAQ
Is Full Truck Alliance a good buy?
Yes, according to 5 Wall Street analysts, Full Truck Alliance (YMM) is considered a 'Buy'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 4 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 80.00% of YMM's total ratings.
What is YMM's price target?
Full Truck Alliance (YMM) average price target is $10.45 with a range of $9 to $12, implying a 38.96% from its last price of $7.52. The data is based on 5 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.
Will Full Truck Alliance stock go up soon?
According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for YMM stock, the company can go up by 38.96% (from the last price of $7.52 to the average price target of $10.45), up by 59.57% based on the highest stock price target, and up by 19.68% based on the lowest stock price target.
Can Full Truck Alliance stock reach $11?
YMM's highest twelve months analyst stock price target of $12 supports the claim that Full Truck Alliance can reach $11 in the near future.
What is Full Truck Alliance's current price target trend?
1 Wall Street analyst forecast a $12 price target for Full Truck Alliance (YMM) this month, up 59.57% from its last price of $7.52. Compared to the last 3 and 12 months, the average price target increased by 59.57% and increased by 36.44%, respectively.
What are Full Truck Alliance's analysts' financial forecasts?
Full Truck Alliance's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2024) are as follows: average revenue is $10.46B (high $10.53B, low $10.39B), average EBITDA is $-3.559B (high $-3.536B, low $-3.584B), average net income is $3.21B (high $3.24B, low $3.19B), average SG&A $8.46B (high $8.52B, low $8.41B), and average EPS is $3.07 (high $3.1, low $3.05). YMM's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $12.93B (high $13.02B, low $12.84B), average EBITDA is $-4.4B (high $-4.371B, low $-4.431B), average net income is $5.13B (high $5.18B, low $5.09B), average SG&A $10.46B (high $10.53B, low $10.39B), and average EPS is $4.91 (high $4.96, low $4.87).
Did the YMM's actual financial results beat the analysts' financial forecasts?
Based on Full Truck Alliance's last annual report (Dec 2022), the company's revenue was $6.73B, beating the average analysts forecast of $5.97B by 12.80%. Apple's EBITDA was $551.04M, missing the average prediction of $-2.032B by -127.12%. The company's net income was $406.76M, missing the average estimation of $500.73M by -18.77%. Apple's SG&A was $2.32B, missing the average forecast of $4.83B by -51.96%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $0.4, missing the average prediction of $0.479 by -16.50%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Mar 2023), Full Truck Alliance's revenue was $1.7B, beating the average analysts' forecast of $1.6B by 6.23%. The company's EBITDA was $418.23M, missing the average prediction of $-545M by -176.69%. Full Truck Alliance's net income was $408.91M, beating the average estimation of $339.95M by 20.29%. The company's SG&A was $425.18M, missing the average forecast of $1.3B by -67.21%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $0.4, beating the average prediction of $0.325 by 22.99%