Lithia Motors (LAD) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions
LAD Stock Forecast
Lithia Motors stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $339.75 (represents a -8.34% downside from LAD’s last price of $370.65) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 10 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.
LAD Price Target
The average price target for Lithia Motors (LAD) is $339.75 based on 1-year price targets from 10 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $405.00 to $233.00. This represents a potential -8.34% downside from LAD's last price of $370.65.
LAD Analyst Ratings
According to 10 Wall Street analysts, Lithia Motors's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for LAD stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 7 'Buy' (70.00%), 3 'Hold' (30.00%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).
Lithia Motors Price Target by Analyst
| Date | Analyst | Company | Price Target | Price when Published | Price Target/Price when Published | Price Target/Last Closing Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2024 | Ronald Jewsikow | Guggenheim | $380.00 | $335.31 | 13.33% | 2.52% |
| Oct 24, 2024 | Bret Jordan | Jefferies | $400.00 | $335.31 | 19.29% | 7.92% |
| Oct 24, 2024 | Jeff Lick | Stephens | $405.00 | $335.31 | 20.78% | 9.27% |
| Sep 27, 2024 | Ronald Josey | Citigroup | $320.00 | $320.83 | -0.26% | -13.67% |
| Sep 25, 2024 | Adam Jonas | Morgan Stanley | $310.00 | $314.08 | -1.30% | -16.36% |
| Aug 09, 2024 | Ali Faghri | Guggenheim | $338.00 | $283.21 | 19.35% | -8.81% |
| Jun 03, 2024 | Doug Dutton | Evercore ISI | $360.00 | $255.39 | 40.96% | -2.87% |
| Apr 25, 2024 | Ryan Sigdahl | Craig-Hallum | $310.00 | $250.03 | 23.99% | -16.36% |
| Apr 25, 2024 | Bret Jordan | Jefferies | $325.00 | $248.34 | 30.87% | -12.32% |
| Apr 17, 2024 | Ronald Jewsikow | Guggenheim | $297.00 | $260.32 | 14.09% | -19.87% |
The latest Lithia Motors stock forecast, released on Oct 24, 2024 by Ronald Jewsikow from Guggenheim, set a price target of $380.00, which represents a 13.33% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($335.31), and a 2.52% increase from LAD last price ($370.65).
Lithia Motors Price Target by Period
| 1M | 3M | 12M | |
|---|---|---|---|
| # Anlaysts | 3 | 5 | 10 |
| Avg Price Target | $395.00 | $363.00 | $344.50 |
| Last Closing Price | $370.65 | $370.65 | $370.65 |
| Upside/Downside | 6.57% | -2.06% | -7.06% |
In the current month, the average price target of Lithia Motors stock is $395.00, according to 3 Wall Street analysts offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a 6.57% increase as opposed to Lithia Motors's last price of $370.65. This month's average price target is up 8.82% compared to last quarter, and up 14.66% compared to last year.
Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades
| Date | Company | Previous Rating | New Rating | Rating Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2024 | Guggenheim | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Oct 24, 2024 | Jefferies | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Oct 24, 2024 | Stephens | Overweight | Overweight | Hold |
| Sep 27, 2024 | Citigroup | Neutral | Neutral | Hold |
| Sep 25, 2024 | Morgan Stanley | Underweight | Equal-Weight | Upgrade |
| Sep 11, 2024 | Stephens | Underperform | Overweight | Initialise |
| Aug 09, 2024 | Guggenheim | Neutral | Buy | Upgrade |
| Aug 01, 2024 | Goldman Sachs | Neutral | Neutral | Hold |
| Jun 03, 2024 | Evercore ISI | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
| May 17, 2024 | Guggenheim | Buy | Neutral | Downgrade |
Lithia Motors's last stock rating was published by Guggenheim on Oct 24, 2024. The company gave LAD a "Buy" rating, the same as its previous rate.
Lithia Motors Financial Forecast
Lithia Motors Revenue Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $8.28B | $8.11B | $6.97B | $6.99B | $7.30B | $7.24B | $6.71B | $6.31B | $6.17B | $6.01B | $4.34B | $3.94B | $3.62B | $2.76B | $2.80B | $3.27B | $3.33B |
| Avg Forecast | $9.97B | $10.00B | $9.81B | $9.66B | $9.70B | $9.93B | $9.89B | $9.39B | $8.97B | $9.46B | $9.29B | $8.59B | $7.95B | $8.15B | $7.92B | $7.27B | $7.07B | $7.34B | $7.28B | $6.34B | $6.16B | $5.78B | $5.08B | $3.91B | $3.91B | $3.57B | $2.52B | $2.87B | $3.22B | $3.26B |
| High Forecast | $10.44B | $10.46B | $10.27B | $10.11B | $10.15B | $10.39B | $10.35B | $9.86B | $9.50B | $9.49B | $9.29B | $8.59B | $8.15B | $8.48B | $8.29B | $7.61B | $7.40B | $7.34B | $7.28B | $6.34B | $6.16B | $5.78B | $5.08B | $3.91B | $3.91B | $3.57B | $2.52B | $2.87B | $3.22B | $3.26B |
| Low Forecast | $9.58B | $9.60B | $9.42B | $9.28B | $9.31B | $9.53B | $9.49B | $8.94B | $8.74B | $9.43B | $9.29B | $8.58B | $7.78B | $7.84B | $7.61B | $6.98B | $6.79B | $7.34B | $7.28B | $6.34B | $6.16B | $5.78B | $5.08B | $3.91B | $3.91B | $3.57B | $2.52B | $2.87B | $3.22B | $3.26B |
| # Analysts | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.02% | 1.02% | 0.96% | 0.99% | 0.99% | 0.99% | 1.06% | 1.02% | 1.07% | 1.18% | 1.11% | 1.01% | 1.01% | 1.09% | 0.98% | 1.02% | 1.02% |
Lithia Motors's average Quarter revenue forecast for Dec 23 based on 5 analysts is $7.95B, with a low forecast of $7.78B, and a high forecast of $8.15B. LAD's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a -3.94% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $8.28B (Sep 23).
Lithia Motors EBITDA Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $510.80M | $534.00M | $428.30M | $442.00M | $576.20M | $566.70M | $544.00M | $512.00M | $497.60M | $492.50M | $276.70M | $339.70M | $264.80M | $155.50M | $117.20M | $149.10M | $171.00M |
| Avg Forecast | $656.88M | $658.67M | $646.38M | $636.19M | $638.83M | $653.91M | $651.18M | $618.61M | $590.43M | $623.18M | $611.98M | $538.42M | $523.61M | $536.70M | $521.84M | $489.47M | $484.27M | $478.65M | $475.18M | $444.97M | $401.81M | $376.77M | $331.34M | $211.01M | $254.94M | $233.10M | $164.35M | $119.49M | $209.91M | $212.67M |
| High Forecast | $687.31M | $689.18M | $676.32M | $665.65M | $668.41M | $684.19M | $681.33M | $649.24M | $625.36M | $625.20M | $611.98M | $646.10M | $536.47M | $558.80M | $546.01M | $587.36M | $581.13M | $478.65M | $475.18M | $533.97M | $401.81M | $376.77M | $331.34M | $253.22M | $254.94M | $233.10M | $164.35M | $143.38M | $209.91M | $212.67M |
| Low Forecast | $630.70M | $632.42M | $620.62M | $610.83M | $613.37M | $627.85M | $625.22M | $588.65M | $575.65M | $621.17M | $611.98M | $430.73M | $512.11M | $516.51M | $501.04M | $391.58M | $387.42M | $478.65M | $475.18M | $355.98M | $401.81M | $376.77M | $331.34M | $168.81M | $254.94M | $233.10M | $164.35M | $95.59M | $209.91M | $212.67M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.95% | 1.02% | 0.88% | 0.91% | 1.20% | 1.19% | 1.22% | 1.27% | 1.32% | 1.49% | 1.31% | 1.33% | 1.14% | 0.95% | 0.98% | 0.71% | 0.80% |
5 analysts predict LAD's average Quarter EBITDA for Dec 23 to be $523.61M, with a high of $536.47M and a low of $512.11M. This is 2.51% upper than Lithia Motors's previous annual EBITDA (Sep 23) of $510.80M.
Lithia Motors Net Income Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Net Income | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $261.50M | $297.20M | $228.70M | $247.70M | $329.60M | $331.30M | $342.20M | $292.60M | $307.90M | $304.90M | $156.20M | $187.60M | $158.80M | $77.70M | $46.20M | $68.00M | $85.20M |
| Avg Forecast | $277.51M | $282.74M | $254.06M | $243.48M | $246.34M | $259.74M | $233.94M | $213.50M | $194.39M | $203.59M | $187.54M | $337.32M | $219.77M | $267.66M | $248.16M | $306.66M | $275.34M | $321.92M | $328.68M | $278.78M | $275.77M | $252.85M | $167.90M | $119.12M | $138.40M | $165.26M | $41.82M | $47.10M | $80.87M | $84.05M |
| High Forecast | $294.22M | $299.76M | $269.36M | $258.14M | $261.17M | $275.38M | $248.02M | $220.70M | $222.67M | $204.87M | $187.55M | $404.79M | $223.56M | $284.66M | $263.10M | $367.99M | $330.40M | $321.92M | $328.68M | $334.54M | $275.77M | $252.85M | $167.90M | $142.94M | $138.40M | $165.26M | $41.82M | $56.52M | $80.87M | $84.05M |
| Low Forecast | $263.14M | $268.09M | $240.90M | $230.86M | $233.57M | $246.29M | $221.82M | $207.37M | $179.84M | $202.31M | $187.54M | $269.86M | $215.43M | $242.97M | $235.30M | $245.33M | $220.27M | $321.92M | $328.68M | $223.02M | $275.77M | $252.85M | $167.90M | $95.30M | $138.40M | $165.26M | $41.82M | $37.68M | $80.87M | $84.05M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.98% | 1.20% | 0.75% | 0.90% | 1.02% | 1.01% | 1.23% | 1.06% | 1.22% | 1.82% | 1.31% | 1.36% | 0.96% | 1.86% | 0.98% | 0.84% | 1.01% |
Lithia Motors's average Quarter net income forecast for Dec 23 is $219.77M, with a range of $215.43M to $223.56M. LAD's average Quarter net income forecast represents a -15.96% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $261.50M (Sep 23).
Lithia Motors SG&A Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| SG&A | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $850.80M | $842.20M | $764.40M | $753.40M | $749.20M | $781.50M | $726.10M | $709.40M | $675.90M | $629.60M | $449.40M | $405.10M | $389.30M | $306.30M | $345.90M | $352.90M | $352.60M |
| Avg Forecast | $1.07B | $1.08B | $1.06B | $1.04B | $1.04B | $1.07B | $1.06B | $1.01B | $963.95M | $1.02B | $999.14M | $724.62M | $854.87M | $876.23M | $851.98M | $658.75M | $670.98M | $790.88M | $785.13M | $598.86M | $663.91M | $622.54M | $547.48M | $342.71M | $421.23M | $385.15M | $271.56M | $352.65M | $346.84M | $351.40M |
| High Forecast | $1.12B | $1.13B | $1.10B | $1.09B | $1.09B | $1.12B | $1.11B | $1.06B | $1.02B | $1.02B | $999.14M | $869.55M | $875.86M | $912.31M | $891.43M | $790.50M | $805.18M | $790.88M | $785.13M | $718.63M | $663.91M | $622.54M | $547.48M | $411.26M | $421.23M | $385.15M | $271.56M | $423.18M | $346.84M | $351.40M |
| Low Forecast | $1.03B | $1.03B | $1.01B | $997.26M | $1.00B | $1.03B | $1.02B | $961.05M | $939.83M | $1.01B | $999.14M | $579.70M | $836.09M | $843.27M | $818.02M | $527.00M | $536.79M | $790.88M | $785.13M | $479.09M | $663.91M | $622.54M | $547.48M | $274.17M | $421.23M | $385.15M | $271.56M | $282.12M | $346.84M | $351.40M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.97% | 0.99% | 1.16% | 1.12% | 0.95% | 1.00% | 1.21% | 1.07% | 1.09% | 1.15% | 1.31% | 0.96% | 1.01% | 1.13% | 0.98% | 1.02% | 1.00% |
Lithia Motors's average Quarter SG&A projection for Dec 23 is $854.87M, based on 5 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $836.09M to $875.86M. The forecast indicates a 0.48% rise compared to LAD last annual SG&A of $850.80M (Sep 23).
Lithia Motors EPS Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| EPS | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $9.49 | $10.80 | $8.32 | $9.07 | $11.99 | $12.05 | $11.64 | $9.92 | $10.16 | $10.10 | $5.87 | $7.08 | $6.96 | $3.41 | $2.03 | $2.93 | $3.67 |
| Avg Forecast | $10.36 | $10.55 | $9.48 | $9.09 | $9.19 | $9.69 | $8.73 | $7.97 | $7.25 | $7.60 | $7.00 | $7.62 | $8.20 | $9.99 | $9.26 | $8.68 | $10.10 | $11.84 | $12.08 | $10.09 | $10.14 | $9.30 | $6.17 | $4.76 | $5.09 | $6.08 | $1.54 | $1.98 | $2.97 | $3.09 |
| High Forecast | $10.98 | $11.19 | $10.05 | $9.63 | $9.75 | $10.28 | $9.25 | $8.23 | $8.31 | $7.64 | $7.00 | $7.74 | $8.34 | $10.62 | $9.82 | $9.20 | $10.70 | $11.84 | $12.08 | $10.09 | $10.14 | $9.30 | $6.17 | $4.76 | $5.09 | $6.08 | $1.54 | $1.98 | $2.97 | $3.09 |
| Low Forecast | $9.82 | $10.00 | $8.99 | $8.61 | $8.72 | $9.19 | $8.28 | $7.74 | $6.71 | $7.55 | $7.00 | $7.51 | $8.04 | $9.07 | $8.78 | $8.23 | $9.57 | $11.84 | $12.08 | $10.09 | $10.14 | $9.30 | $6.17 | $4.76 | $5.09 | $6.08 | $1.54 | $1.98 | $2.97 | $3.09 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.95% | 1.17% | 0.96% | 0.90% | 1.01% | 1.00% | 1.15% | 0.98% | 1.09% | 1.64% | 1.23% | 1.39% | 1.15% | 2.21% | 1.02% | 0.99% | 1.19% |
According to 5 Wall Street analysts, Lithia Motors's projected average Quarter EPS for Dec 23 is $8.20, with a low estimate of $8.04 and a high estimate of $8.34. This represents a -13.59% decrease compared to LAD previous annual EPS of $9.49 (Sep 23).
Lithia Motors Peer Comparison by Price Target
| Ticker | Company | Last Closing Price | Avg Price Target | Upside/Downside | Avg Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AN | AutoNation | $164.83 | $193.00 | 17.09% | Buy |
| SAH | Sonic Automotive | $62.57 | $61.00 | -2.51% | Hold |
| PAG | Penske Automotive Group | $159.22 | $152.50 | -4.22% | Buy |
| ABG | Asbury Automotive Group | $250.47 | $230.20 | -8.09% | Hold |
| LAD | Lithia Motors | $370.65 | $339.75 | -8.34% | Buy |
| GPI | Group 1 Automotive | $401.25 | $367.50 | -8.41% | Buy |