Bain Capital Specialty Finance (BCSF) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions
BCSF Stock Forecast
Bain Capital Specialty Finance stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $17.00 (represents a 0.71% upside from BCSF’s last price of $16.88) and a rating consensus of 'Hold', based on 1 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.
BCSF Price Target
The average price target for Bain Capital Specialty Finance (BCSF) is $17.00 based on 1-year price targets from 1 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $17.00 to $17.00. This represents a potential 0.71% upside from BCSF's last price of $16.88.
BCSF Analyst Ratings
According to 1 Wall Street analysts, Bain Capital Specialty Finance's rating consensus is 'Hold'. The analyst rating breakdown for BCSF stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 0 'Buy' (0.00%), 1 'Hold' (100.00%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).
Bain Capital Specialty Finance Price Target by Analyst
| Date | Analyst | Company | Price Target | Price when Published | Price Target/Price when Published | Price Target/Last Closing Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 29, 2024 | Finian O'Shea | Wells Fargo | $17.00 | $16.08 | 5.72% | 0.71% |
| May 11, 2023 | Finian O'Shea | Wells Fargo | $12.00 | $11.97 | 0.25% | -28.91% |
The latest Bain Capital Specialty Finance stock forecast, released on May 29, 2024 by Finian O'Shea from Wells Fargo, set a price target of $17.00, which represents a 5.72% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($16.08), and a 0.71% increase from BCSF last price ($16.88).
Bain Capital Specialty Finance Price Target by Period
| 1M | 3M | 12M | |
|---|---|---|---|
| # Anlaysts | - | - | 1 |
| Avg Price Target | - | - | $17.00 |
| Last Closing Price | $16.88 | $16.88 | $16.88 |
| Upside/Downside | -100.00% | -100.00% | 0.71% |
In the current month, the average price target of Bain Capital Specialty Finance stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to Bain Capital Specialty Finance's last price of $16.88. This month's average price target is down NaN% compared to last quarter, and down -100.00% compared to last year.
Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades
| Date | Company | Previous Rating | New Rating | Rating Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2024 | Wells Fargo | Market Perform | Market Perform | Hold |
| May 29, 2024 | Wells Fargo | - | Overweight | Upgrade |
Bain Capital Specialty Finance's last stock rating was published by Wells Fargo on Aug 21, 2024. The company gave BCSF a "Market Perform" rating, the same as its previous rate.
Bain Capital Specialty Finance Financial Forecast
Bain Capital Specialty Finance Revenue Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $51.35M | $55.33M | $32.29M | $47.21M | $14.30M | - | $35.67M | $26.48M | $28.10M | $37.32M | $32.16M | $38.79M | $53.51M | $23.67M | $48.34M | $21.52M | $17.05M |
| Avg Forecast | $66.80M | $67.79M | $68.79M | $70.78M | $70.44M | $70.42M | $70.44M | $70.35M | $70.74M | $69.75M | $75.00M | $69.70M | $64.99M | $73.01M | $69.23M | $63.82M | $58.37M | $50.16M | $46.08M | $48.28M | $48.65M | $46.04M | $47.03M | $47.78M | $43.71M | $44.49M | $47.07M | $52.62M | $54.10M | $52.60M |
| High Forecast | $67.80M | $68.81M | $69.82M | $71.85M | $71.50M | $71.48M | $71.50M | $71.41M | $71.80M | $70.80M | $76.13M | $70.75M | $73.43M | $74.11M | $70.27M | $64.78M | $59.24M | $50.91M | $46.08M | $54.78M | $55.20M | $52.25M | $53.36M | $54.22M | $49.60M | $50.48M | $53.41M | $59.71M | $61.39M | $59.69M |
| Low Forecast | $65.78M | $66.76M | $67.74M | $69.71M | $69.37M | $69.35M | $69.37M | $69.28M | $69.66M | $68.69M | $73.86M | $68.64M | $51.74M | $71.90M | $68.18M | $62.85M | $57.48M | $49.39M | $46.08M | $41.78M | $42.10M | $39.84M | $40.69M | $41.34M | $37.82M | $38.50M | $40.73M | $45.54M | $46.82M | $45.52M |
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 6 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.70% | 0.80% | 0.51% | 0.81% | 0.29% | - | 0.74% | 0.54% | 0.61% | 0.79% | 0.67% | 0.89% | 1.20% | 0.50% | 0.92% | 0.40% | 0.32% |
Bain Capital Specialty Finance's average Quarter revenue forecast for Dec 23 based on 3 analysts is $64.99M, with a low forecast of $51.74M, and a high forecast of $73.43M. BCSF's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a 26.56% increase compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $51.35M (Sep 23).
Bain Capital Specialty Finance EBITDA Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 6 |
| EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $36.29M | $40.01M | $52.30M | $59.79M | $25.43M | - | $44.32M | $36.51M | $35.61M | $55.45M | $43.59M | $53.19M | $65.88M | $39.08M | $-86.57M | $41.09M | $40.60M |
| Avg Forecast | $58.76M | $59.64M | $60.51M | $62.27M | $61.97M | $61.95M | $61.96M | $61.89M | $62.23M | $61.36M | $65.98M | $61.31M | $57.17M | $64.22M | $60.90M | $56.07M | $51.34M | $39.17M | $40.54M | $44.32M | $8.57M | $35.61M | $41.37M | $43.59M | $38.45M | $39.14M | $39.08M | $-80.08M | $41.09M | $37.63M |
| High Forecast | $59.64M | $60.53M | $61.42M | $63.20M | $62.90M | $62.88M | $62.90M | $62.82M | $63.16M | $62.28M | $66.97M | $62.24M | $64.60M | $65.19M | $61.82M | $67.28M | $52.12M | $47.00M | $40.54M | $53.19M | $10.29M | $42.73M | $46.94M | $52.30M | $43.63M | $44.41M | $46.90M | $-64.06M | $49.31M | $45.15M |
| Low Forecast | $57.87M | $58.73M | $59.59M | $61.32M | $61.02M | $61.01M | $61.02M | $60.95M | $61.28M | $60.42M | $64.97M | $60.38M | $45.51M | $63.25M | $59.98M | $44.86M | $50.56M | $31.33M | $40.54M | $35.46M | $6.86M | $28.49M | $35.80M | $34.87M | $33.27M | $33.87M | $31.27M | $-96.09M | $32.87M | $30.10M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.57% | 0.66% | 0.93% | 1.16% | 0.65% | - | 1.00% | 4.26% | 1.00% | 1.34% | 1.00% | 1.38% | 1.68% | 1.00% | 1.08% | 1.00% | 1.08% |
3 analysts predict BCSF's average Quarter EBITDA for Dec 23 to be $57.17M, with a high of $64.60M and a low of $45.51M. This is 57.55% upper than Bain Capital Specialty Finance's previous annual EBITDA (Sep 23) of $36.29M.
Bain Capital Specialty Finance Net Income Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 6 |
| Net Income | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $35.65M | $38.91M | $29.29M | $43.52M | $11.05M | - | $33.68M | $22.28M | $23.34M | $42.43M | $31.75M | $39.50M | $51.46M | $21.77M | $-104.45M | $21.35M | $18.20M |
| Avg Forecast | $29.05M | $32.93M | $29.70M | $30.34M | $31.64M | $29.70M | $30.13M | $30.34M | $31.94M | $32.48M | $33.34M | $53.90M | $34.31M | $34.88M | $32.05M | $42.61M | $26.46M | $25.68M | $22.21M | $33.68M | $22.28M | $23.34M | $42.43M | $31.75M | $39.50M | $52.97M | $21.77M | $-96.61M | $21.35M | $18.20M |
| High Forecast | $29.62M | $33.57M | $30.28M | $30.94M | $32.25M | $30.28M | $30.72M | $30.94M | $32.57M | $33.12M | $33.99M | $64.68M | $34.98M | $35.57M | $32.68M | $51.13M | $26.97M | $30.81M | $22.21M | $40.42M | $26.73M | $28.01M | $50.92M | $38.10M | $47.40M | $63.56M | $26.13M | $-77.29M | $25.62M | $21.84M |
| Low Forecast | $28.48M | $32.28M | $29.11M | $29.74M | $31.01M | $29.11M | $29.53M | $29.74M | $31.31M | $31.84M | $32.68M | $43.12M | $33.63M | $34.19M | $31.42M | $34.09M | $25.93M | $20.54M | $22.21M | $26.94M | $17.82M | $18.67M | $33.95M | $25.40M | $31.60M | $42.38M | $17.42M | $-115.94M | $17.08M | $14.56M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.02% | 1.21% | 0.69% | 1.64% | 0.43% | - | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 0.97% | 1.00% | 1.08% | 1.00% | 1.00% |
Bain Capital Specialty Finance's average Quarter net income forecast for Dec 23 is $34.31M, with a range of $33.63M to $34.98M. BCSF's average Quarter net income forecast represents a -3.77% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $35.65M (Sep 23).
Bain Capital Specialty Finance SG&A Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 6 |
| SG&A | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $2.99M | $1.94M | $2.41M | $2.85M | $2.50M | - | $1.99M | $1.76M | $2.21M | $2.13M | $2.52M | $2.41M | $2.05M | $1.90M | $2.39M | $1.96M | $2.19M |
| Avg Forecast | $12.08M | $12.26M | $12.44M | $12.80M | $12.74M | $12.74M | $12.74M | $12.72M | $12.79M | $12.62M | $13.57M | $3.18M | $11.75M | $13.21M | $12.52M | $2.51M | $10.56M | $2.43M | $8.33M | $1.99M | $1.76M | $2.21M | $2.13M | $2.52M | $2.41M | $2.11M | $1.90M | $2.21M | $1.96M | $2.19M |
| High Forecast | $12.26M | $12.45M | $12.63M | $13.00M | $12.93M | $12.93M | $12.93M | $12.92M | $12.99M | $12.81M | $13.77M | $3.81M | $13.28M | $13.40M | $12.71M | $3.01M | $10.72M | $2.92M | $8.33M | $2.38M | $2.11M | $2.65M | $2.55M | $3.02M | $2.89M | $2.53M | $2.28M | $2.66M | $2.35M | $2.63M |
| Low Forecast | $11.90M | $12.08M | $12.25M | $12.61M | $12.55M | $12.54M | $12.55M | $12.53M | $12.60M | $12.42M | $13.36M | $2.54M | $9.36M | $13.00M | $12.33M | $2.01M | $10.40M | $1.95M | $8.33M | $1.59M | $1.41M | $1.77M | $1.70M | $2.02M | $1.93M | $1.69M | $1.52M | $1.77M | $1.57M | $1.75M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.23% | 0.16% | 0.96% | 0.27% | 1.03% | - | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 0.97% | 1.00% | 1.08% | 1.00% | 1.00% |
Bain Capital Specialty Finance's average Quarter SG&A projection for Dec 23 is $11.75M, based on 3 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $9.36M to $13.28M. The forecast indicates a 292.62% rise compared to BCSF last annual SG&A of $2.99M (Sep 23).
Bain Capital Specialty Finance EPS Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 6 |
| EPS | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0.55 | $0.60 | $0.45 | $-0.75 | $0.17 | - | $0.52 | $0.35 | $0.36 | $0.66 | $0.49 | $0.61 | $0.80 | $0.40 | $-1.99 | $0.41 | $0.35 |
| Avg Forecast | $0.45 | $0.51 | $0.46 | $0.47 | $0.49 | $0.46 | $0.47 | $0.47 | $0.49 | $0.50 | $0.52 | $0.55 | $0.53 | $0.54 | $0.50 | $0.40 | $0.41 | $0.35 | $0.34 | $0.34 | $0.34 | $0.34 | $0.34 | $0.34 | $0.34 | $0.34 | $0.37 | $0.40 | $0.40 | $0.40 |
| High Forecast | $0.46 | $0.52 | $0.47 | $0.48 | $0.50 | $0.47 | $0.48 | $0.48 | $0.50 | $0.51 | $0.53 | $0.56 | $0.54 | $0.55 | $0.51 | $0.41 | $0.42 | $0.36 | $0.34 | $0.40 | $0.40 | $0.40 | $0.40 | $0.40 | $0.39 | $0.40 | $0.43 | $0.47 | $0.47 | $0.48 |
| Low Forecast | $0.44 | $0.50 | $0.45 | $0.46 | $0.48 | $0.45 | $0.46 | $0.46 | $0.48 | $0.49 | $0.51 | $0.54 | $0.52 | $0.53 | $0.49 | $0.39 | $0.40 | $0.35 | $0.34 | $0.28 | $0.28 | $0.28 | $0.28 | $0.28 | $0.28 | $0.28 | $0.30 | $0.33 | $0.33 | $0.33 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.02% | 1.21% | 1.13% | -1.83% | 0.48% | - | 1.53% | 1.04% | 1.06% | 1.95% | 1.44% | 1.82% | 2.33% | 1.09% | -4.93% | 1.02% | 0.86% |
According to 3 Wall Street analysts, Bain Capital Specialty Finance's projected average Quarter EPS for Dec 23 is $0.53, with a low estimate of $0.52 and a high estimate of $0.54. This represents a -3.39% decrease compared to BCSF previous annual EPS of $0.55 (Sep 23).
Bain Capital Specialty Finance Peer Comparison by Price Target
| Ticker | Company | Last Closing Price | Avg Price Target | Upside/Downside | Avg Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TPVG | TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC | $8.53 | $11.25 | 31.89% | Hold |
| GBDC | Golub Capital BDC | $14.86 | $17.50 | 17.77% | Buy |
| BCSF | Bain Capital Specialty Finance | $16.88 | $17.00 | 0.71% | Hold |
| CGBD | Carlyle Secured Lending | $17.52 | $16.00 | -8.68% | Hold |
| TCPC | BlackRock TCP Capital | $10.58 | $8.00 | -24.39% | Hold |
BCSF Forecast FAQ
Is Bain Capital Specialty Finance a good buy?
No, according to 1 Wall Street analysts, Bain Capital Specialty Finance (BCSF) is considered a 'Hold'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 0 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 0% of BCSF's total ratings.
What is BCSF's price target?
Bain Capital Specialty Finance (BCSF) average price target is $17 with a range of $17 to $17, implying a 0.71% from its last price of $16.88. The data is based on 1 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.
Will Bain Capital Specialty Finance stock go up soon?
According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for BCSF stock, the company can go up by 0.71% (from the last price of $16.88 to the average price target of $17), up by 0.71% based on the highest stock price target, and up by 0.71% based on the lowest stock price target.
Can Bain Capital Specialty Finance stock reach $30?
BCSF's average twelve months analyst stock price target of $17 does not support the claim that Bain Capital Specialty Finance can reach $30 in the near future.
What are Bain Capital Specialty Finance's analysts' financial forecasts?
Bain Capital Specialty Finance's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $281.65M (high $285.89M, low $277.37M), average EBITDA is $247.77M (high $251.5M, low $244M), average net income is $121.81M (high $124.19M, low $119.4M), average SG&A $50.94M (high $51.71M, low $50.17M), and average EPS is $1.89 (high $1.92, low $1.85). BCSF's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2026) are as follows: average revenue is $274.16M (high $278.29M, low $269.99M), average EBITDA is $241.17M (high $244.81M, low $237.51M), average net income is $122.02M (high $124.41M, low $119.61M), average SG&A $49.59M (high $50.33M, low $48.83M), and average EPS is $1.89 (high $1.93, low $1.85).
Did the BCSF's actual financial results beat the analysts' financial forecasts?
Based on Bain Capital Specialty Finance's last annual report (Dec 2023), the company's revenue was $216.08M, which missed the average analysts forecast of $271.05M by -20.28%. Apple's EBITDA was $144.97M, missing the average prediction of $238.37M by -39.18%. The company's net income was $141.62M, missing the average estimation of $143.84M by -1.55%. Apple's SG&A was $10.54M, missing the average forecast of $39.99M by -73.64%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $0.0022, missing the average prediction of $1.97 by -99.89%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Sep 2023), Bain Capital Specialty Finance's revenue was $51.35M, missing the average analysts' forecast of $73.01M by -29.66%. The company's EBITDA was $36.29M, missing the average prediction of $64.22M by -43.50%. Bain Capital Specialty Finance's net income was $35.65M, beating the average estimation of $34.88M by 2.19%. The company's SG&A was $2.99M, missing the average forecast of $13.21M by -77.33%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $0.55, beating the average prediction of $0.54 by 1.80%