Carlyle Secured Lending (CGBD) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions
CGBD Stock Forecast
Carlyle Secured Lending stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $16.00 (represents a -7.73% downside from CGBD’s last price of $17.34) and a rating consensus of 'Hold', based on 1 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.
CGBD Price Target
The average price target for Carlyle Secured Lending (CGBD) is $16.00 based on 1-year price targets from 1 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $16.00 to $16.00. This represents a potential -7.73% downside from CGBD's last price of $17.34.
CGBD Analyst Ratings
According to 1 Wall Street analysts, Carlyle Secured Lending's rating consensus is 'Hold'. The analyst rating breakdown for CGBD stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 0 'Buy' (0.00%), 1 'Hold' (100.00%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).
Carlyle Secured Lending Price Target by Analyst
| Date | Analyst | Company | Price Target | Price when Published | Price Target/Price when Published | Price Target/Last Closing Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 06, 2024 | Finian O'Shea | Wells Fargo | $16.00 | $16.28 | -1.72% | -7.73% |
The latest Carlyle Secured Lending stock forecast, released on Aug 06, 2024 by Finian O'Shea from Wells Fargo, set a price target of $16.00, which represents a -1.72% decrease from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($16.28), and a -7.73% decrease from CGBD last price ($17.34).
Carlyle Secured Lending Price Target by Period
| 1M | 3M | 12M | |
|---|---|---|---|
| # Anlaysts | - | 1 | 1 |
| Avg Price Target | - | $16.00 | $16.00 |
| Last Closing Price | $17.34 | $17.34 | $17.34 |
| Upside/Downside | -100.00% | -7.73% | -7.73% |
In the current month, the average price target of Carlyle Secured Lending stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to Carlyle Secured Lending's last price of $17.34. This month's average price target is down -100.00% compared to last quarter, and down -100.00% compared to last year.
Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades
| Date | Company | Previous Rating | New Rating | Rating Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 06, 2024 | Wells Fargo | Equal-Weight | Equal-Weight | Hold |
Carlyle Secured Lending's last stock rating was published by Wells Fargo on Aug 06, 2024. The company gave CGBD a "Equal-Weight" rating, the same as its previous rate.
Carlyle Secured Lending Financial Forecast
Carlyle Secured Lending Revenue Forecast
| Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | Jun 19 | Mar 19 | Dec 18 | Sep 18 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $51.03M | - | $30.30M | $15.54M | $40.62M | - | $33.30M | $36.40M | $50.03M | $45.42M | $38.04M | $41.32M | $36.41M | $58.57M | $-119.18M | $29.81M | $-7.23M | $11.78M | $35.83M | $1.00M | $8.31M |
| Avg Forecast | $63.67M | $64.08M | $62.34M | $58.38M | $52.96M | $52.97M | $53.24M | $50.34M | $51.48M | $53.79M | $53.38M | $53.83M | $50.16M | $43.86M | $40.31M | $29.03M | $43.62M | $41.83M | $42.66M | $40.15M | $41.32M | $38.95M | $42.76M | $48.14M | $53.47M | $53.30M | $54.28M | $51.51M | $49.12M | $50.03M |
| High Forecast | $64.51M | $64.92M | $63.17M | $59.16M | $53.66M | $53.77M | $53.94M | $51.00M | $51.85M | $54.50M | $54.08M | $54.54M | $50.82M | $44.44M | $40.31M | $34.83M | $52.34M | $50.20M | $51.19M | $48.19M | $49.58M | $46.74M | $51.31M | $57.77M | $64.16M | $63.96M | $65.14M | $61.81M | $58.95M | $60.04M |
| Low Forecast | $63.06M | $63.46M | $61.75M | $57.83M | $52.46M | $52.16M | $52.73M | $49.86M | $51.10M | $53.27M | $52.87M | $53.31M | $49.68M | $43.44M | $40.31M | $23.22M | $34.90M | $33.46M | $34.12M | $32.12M | $33.05M | $31.16M | $34.21M | $38.51M | $42.77M | $42.64M | $43.43M | $41.21M | $39.30M | $40.02M |
| # Analysts | - | - | - | - | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | 9 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 17 | 11 | 18 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.95% | - | 0.56% | 0.31% | 0.93% | - | 1.15% | 0.83% | 1.20% | 1.06% | 0.95% | 1.00% | 0.93% | 1.37% | -2.48% | 0.56% | -0.14% | 0.22% | 0.70% | 0.02% | 0.17% |
Carlyle Secured Lending's average Quarter revenue forecast for Dec 23 based on 3 analysts is $51.48M, with a low forecast of $51.10M, and a high forecast of $51.85M. CGBD's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a 0.87% increase compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $51.03M (Sep 23).
Carlyle Secured Lending EBITDA Forecast
| Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | Jun 19 | Mar 19 | Dec 18 | Sep 18 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | - | - | - | - | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | 9 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 17 | 11 | 18 |
| EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $27.96M | - | $45.29M | $62.05M | $49.77M | - | $38.13M | $41.60M | $55.30M | $50.06M | $43.00M | $45.10M | $41.29M | $65.70M | $-108.87M | $39.10M | $4.60M | $22.85M | $45.78M | $9.90M | $16.48M |
| Avg Forecast | $50.37M | $50.69M | $49.32M | $46.19M | $41.90M | $41.91M | $42.12M | $39.82M | $40.72M | $42.55M | $42.23M | $42.06M | $39.68M | $34.70M | $31.89M | $22.96M | $42.94M | $33.09M | $33.75M | $31.77M | $32.69M | $30.81M | $33.83M | $-252.57M | $28.30M | $-42.65M | $-8.07M | $37.04M | $-27.09M | $-13.19M |
| High Forecast | $51.03M | $51.36M | $49.97M | $46.80M | $42.45M | $42.54M | $42.67M | $40.35M | $41.02M | $43.12M | $42.79M | $50.47M | $40.21M | $35.15M | $31.89M | $27.56M | $51.53M | $39.71M | $40.50M | $38.12M | $39.23M | $36.98M | $40.59M | $-202.06M | $33.95M | $-34.12M | $-6.46M | $44.45M | $-21.67M | $-10.55M |
| Low Forecast | $49.89M | $50.21M | $48.85M | $45.75M | $41.50M | $41.27M | $41.71M | $39.44M | $40.43M | $42.15M | $41.83M | $33.64M | $39.30M | $34.36M | $31.89M | $18.37M | $34.35M | $26.47M | $27.00M | $25.41M | $26.15M | $24.65M | $27.06M | $-303.09M | $22.64M | $-51.18M | $-9.69M | $29.63M | $-32.50M | $-15.82M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.66% | - | 1.08% | 1.56% | 1.43% | - | 1.66% | 0.97% | 1.67% | 1.48% | 1.35% | 1.38% | 1.34% | 1.94% | 0.43% | 1.38% | -0.11% | -2.83% | 1.24% | -0.37% | -1.25% |
3 analysts predict CGBD's average Quarter EBITDA for Dec 23 to be $40.72M, with a high of $41.02M and a low of $40.43M. This is 45.65% upper than Carlyle Secured Lending's previous annual EBITDA (Sep 23) of $27.96M.
Carlyle Secured Lending Net Income Forecast
| Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | Jun 19 | Mar 19 | Dec 18 | Sep 18 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | - | - | - | - | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | 9 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 17 | 11 | 18 |
| Net Income | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $27.96M | - | $27.99M | $12.46M | $37.83M | - | $30.68M | $33.96M | $47.62M | $42.87M | $35.90M | $38.16M | $33.61M | $56.16M | $-121.10M | $26.84M | $-8.99M | $9.76M | $33.73M | $-1.16M | $6.08M |
| Avg Forecast | $25.53M | $25.76M | $26.05M | $26.83M | $27.41M | $27.65M | $28.72M | $42.80M | $28.79M | $28.57M | $27.92M | $33.84M | $25.59M | $51.00M | $21.13M | $26.75M | $33.96M | $46.37M | $42.87M | $37.90M | $38.16M | $35.48M | $53.04M | $-115.05M | $26.84M | $-8.57M | $9.31M | $31.32M | $-990.24K | $5.93M |
| High Forecast | $25.96M | $26.21M | $26.50M | $27.29M | $27.88M | $28.82M | $29.22M | $51.37M | $29.35M | $29.06M | $28.40M | $40.61M | $26.03M | $61.20M | $21.13M | $32.10M | $40.75M | $55.64M | $51.44M | $45.48M | $45.80M | $42.57M | $63.65M | $-92.04M | $32.20M | $-6.86M | $11.18M | $37.58M | $-792.20K | $7.11M |
| Low Forecast | $25.21M | $25.44M | $25.73M | $26.49M | $27.07M | $27.06M | $28.37M | $34.24M | $28.24M | $28.22M | $27.57M | $27.07M | $25.27M | $40.80M | $21.13M | $21.40M | $27.17M | $37.09M | $34.29M | $30.32M | $30.53M | $28.38M | $42.43M | $-138.05M | $21.47M | $-10.29M | $7.45M | $25.05M | $-1.19M | $4.74M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.98% | - | 0.83% | 0.49% | 0.74% | - | 1.15% | 1.00% | 1.03% | 1.00% | 0.95% | 1.00% | 0.95% | 1.06% | 1.05% | 1.00% | 1.05% | 1.05% | 1.08% | 1.17% | 1.03% |
Carlyle Secured Lending's average Quarter net income forecast for Dec 23 is $28.79M, with a range of $28.24M to $29.35M. CGBD's average Quarter net income forecast represents a 2.97% increase compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $27.96M (Sep 23).
Carlyle Secured Lending SG&A Forecast
| Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | Jun 19 | Mar 19 | Dec 18 | Sep 18 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | - | - | - | - | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | 9 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 17 | 11 | 18 |
| SG&A | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $1.60M | - | $1.29M | $1.79M | $1.89M | - | $1.74M | $1.62M | $1.81M | $1.91M | $1.49M | $1.47M | $1.69M | $1.52M | $1.28M | $1.45M | $1.17M | $1.29M | $1.48M | $1.40M | $1.62M |
| Avg Forecast | $6.80M | $6.84M | $6.66M | $6.24M | $5.66M | $5.66M | $5.69M | $2.43M | $5.50M | $5.74M | $5.70M | $1.92M | $5.36M | $1.94M | $4.31M | $1.52M | $1.62M | $1.76M | $1.91M | $1.58M | $1.47M | $1.78M | $1.44M | $1.83M | $2.98M | $1.68M | $1.93M | $1.95M | $1.84M | $2.18M |
| High Forecast | $6.89M | $6.93M | $6.75M | $6.32M | $5.73M | $5.74M | $5.76M | $2.92M | $5.54M | $5.82M | $5.78M | $2.31M | $5.43M | $2.33M | $4.31M | $1.82M | $1.94M | $2.11M | $2.29M | $1.89M | $1.76M | $2.14M | $1.72M | $2.19M | $3.57M | $2.01M | $2.31M | $2.34M | $2.21M | $2.61M |
| Low Forecast | $6.74M | $6.78M | $6.59M | $6.18M | $5.60M | $5.57M | $5.63M | $1.95M | $5.46M | $5.69M | $5.65M | $1.54M | $5.31M | $1.55M | $4.31M | $1.22M | $1.29M | $1.41M | $1.53M | $1.26M | $1.17M | $1.43M | $1.15M | $1.46M | $2.38M | $1.34M | $1.54M | $1.56M | $1.48M | $1.74M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.28% | - | 0.67% | 0.33% | 0.98% | - | 1.15% | 1.00% | 1.03% | 1.00% | 0.95% | 1.00% | 0.95% | 1.06% | 0.70% | 0.49% | 0.69% | 0.67% | 0.76% | 0.76% | 0.74% |
Carlyle Secured Lending's average Quarter SG&A projection for Dec 23 is $5.50M, based on 3 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $5.46M to $5.54M. The forecast indicates a 242.55% rise compared to CGBD last annual SG&A of $1.60M (Sep 23).
Carlyle Secured Lending EPS Forecast
| Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | Jun 19 | Mar 19 | Dec 18 | Sep 18 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | - | - | - | - | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | 9 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 17 | 11 | 18 |
| EPS | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0.57 | - | $0.53 | $0.69 | $0.71 | - | $0.56 | $0.63 | $0.88 | $0.79 | $0.65 | $0.68 | $0.60 | $1.00 | $-2.12 | $0.46 | $-0.15 | $0.16 | $0.55 | $-0.02 | $0.10 |
| Avg Forecast | $0.45 | $0.46 | $0.46 | $0.48 | $0.49 | $0.49 | $0.51 | $0.51 | $0.51 | $0.51 | $0.50 | $0.50 | $0.45 | $0.41 | $0.38 | $1.43 | $1.89 | $1.25 | $1.01 | $0.38 | $0.36 | $0.38 | $0.34 | $0.38 | $0.43 | $0.41 | $0.42 | $0.39 | $0.35 | $0.39 |
| High Forecast | $0.46 | $0.46 | $0.47 | $0.48 | $0.49 | $0.51 | $0.52 | $0.52 | $0.52 | $0.52 | $0.50 | $0.50 | $0.46 | $0.42 | $0.38 | $1.49 | $1.97 | $1.30 | $1.06 | $0.46 | $0.43 | $0.46 | $0.41 | $0.46 | $0.52 | $0.49 | $0.50 | $0.47 | $0.42 | $0.47 |
| Low Forecast | $0.45 | $0.45 | $0.46 | $0.47 | $0.48 | $0.48 | $0.50 | $0.51 | $0.50 | $0.50 | $0.49 | $0.49 | $0.45 | $0.41 | $0.38 | $1.37 | $1.81 | $1.19 | $0.97 | $0.30 | $0.29 | $0.30 | $0.27 | $0.30 | $0.34 | $0.33 | $0.34 | $0.31 | $0.28 | $0.31 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.12% | - | 1.07% | 1.52% | 1.72% | - | 0.39% | 0.33% | 0.71% | 0.78% | 1.71% | 1.89% | 1.58% | 2.94% | -5.58% | 1.07% | -0.37% | 0.38% | 1.41% | -0.06% | 0.26% |
According to 3 Wall Street analysts, Carlyle Secured Lending's projected average Quarter EPS for Dec 23 is $0.51, with a low estimate of $0.50 and a high estimate of $0.52. This represents a -10.38% decrease compared to CGBD previous annual EPS of $0.57 (Sep 23).
Carlyle Secured Lending Peer Comparison by Price Target
| Ticker | Company | Last Closing Price | Avg Price Target | Upside/Downside | Avg Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TPVG | TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC | $8.53 | $11.25 | 31.89% | Hold |
| GBDC | Golub Capital BDC | $15.09 | $17.50 | 15.97% | Buy |
| TRIN | Trinity Capital | $13.98 | $16.00 | 14.45% | Buy |
| HTGC | Hercules Capital | $19.38 | $19.75 | 1.91% | Buy |
| CGBD | Carlyle Secured Lending | $17.52 | $16.00 | -8.68% | Hold |
| TCPC | BlackRock TCP Capital | $10.58 | $8.00 | -24.39% | Hold |
CGBD Forecast FAQ
Is Carlyle Secured Lending a good buy?
No, according to 1 Wall Street analysts, Carlyle Secured Lending (CGBD) is considered a 'Hold'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 0 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 0% of CGBD's total ratings.
What is CGBD's price target?
Carlyle Secured Lending (CGBD) average price target is $16 with a range of $16 to $16, implying a -7.73% from its last price of $17.34. The data is based on 1 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.
Will Carlyle Secured Lending stock go up soon?
According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for CGBD stock, the company can go down by -7.73% (from the last price of $17.34 to the average price target of $16), down by -7.73% based on the highest stock price target, and down by -7.73% based on the lowest stock price target.
Can Carlyle Secured Lending stock reach $30?
CGBD's average twelve months analyst stock price target of $16 does not support the claim that Carlyle Secured Lending can reach $30 in the near future.
What are Carlyle Secured Lending's analysts' financial forecasts?
Carlyle Secured Lending's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2024) are as follows: average revenue is $209.51M (high $212.38M, low $207.21M), average EBITDA is $165.75M (high $168.02M, low $163.93M), average net income is $126.58M (high $137.28M, low $116.73M), average SG&A $19.43M (high $20.15M, low $18.75M), and average EPS is $2 (high $2.05, low $1.97). CGBD's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $248.47M (high $251.75M, low $246.1M), average EBITDA is $196.57M (high $199.17M, low $194.69M), average net income is $104.17M (high $105.95M, low $102.87M), average SG&A $26.54M (high $26.89M, low $26.28M), and average EPS is $1.85 (high $1.88, low $1.83).
Did the CGBD's actual financial results beat the analysts' financial forecasts?
Based on Carlyle Secured Lending's last annual report (Dec 2023), the company's revenue was $202.13M, which missed the average analysts forecast of $212.47M by -4.87%. Apple's EBITDA was $112.41M, missing the average prediction of $167.56M by -32.92%. The company's net income was $112.41M, missing the average estimation of $119.12M by -5.64%. Apple's SG&A was $5.93M, missing the average forecast of $18.87M by -68.58%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $1.75, missing the average prediction of $2.01 by -12.89%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Sep 2023), Carlyle Secured Lending's revenue was $51.03M, missing the average analysts' forecast of $53.79M by -5.12%. The company's EBITDA was $27.96M, missing the average prediction of $42.55M by -34.29%. Carlyle Secured Lending's net income was $27.96M, missing the average estimation of $28.57M by -2.15%. The company's SG&A was $1.6M, missing the average forecast of $5.74M by -72.06%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $0.57, beating the average prediction of $0.507 by 12.44%