Carlyle Secured Lending (CGBD) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions


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CGBD Stock Forecast


Carlyle Secured Lending stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $16.00 (represents a -2.62% downside from CGBD’s last price of $16.43) and a rating consensus of 'Hold', based on 1 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.

CGBD Price Target


The average price target for Carlyle Secured Lending (CGBD) is $16.00 based on 1-year price targets from 1 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $16.00 to $16.00. This represents a potential -2.62% downside from CGBD's last price of $16.43.

CGBD Analyst Ratings


Hold

According to 1 Wall Street analysts, Carlyle Secured Lending's rating consensus is 'Hold'. The analyst rating breakdown for CGBD stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 0 'Buy' (0.00%), 1 'Hold' (100.00%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).

Carlyle Secured Lending Price Target by Analyst


DateAnalystCompanyPrice TargetPrice when PublishedPrice Target/Price when PublishedPrice Target/Last Closing Price
Aug 06, 2024Finian O'SheaWells Fargo$16.00$16.28-1.72%-2.62%
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The latest Carlyle Secured Lending stock forecast, released on Aug 06, 2024 by Finian O'Shea from Wells Fargo, set a price target of $16.00, which represents a -1.72% decrease from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($16.28), and a -2.62% decrease from CGBD last price ($16.43).

Carlyle Secured Lending Price Target by Period


1M3M12M
# Anlaysts--1
Avg Price Target--$16.00
Last Closing Price$16.43$16.43$16.43
Upside/Downside-100.00%-100.00%-2.62%

In the current month, the average price target of Carlyle Secured Lending stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to Carlyle Secured Lending's last price of $16.43. This month's average price target is down NaN% compared to last quarter, and down -100.00% compared to last year.

Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades


DateCompanyPrevious RatingNew RatingRating Change
Aug 06, 2024Wells FargoEqual-WeightEqual-WeightHold
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Carlyle Secured Lending's last stock rating was published by Wells Fargo on Aug 06, 2024. The company gave CGBD a "Equal-Weight" rating, the same as its previous rate.

Carlyle Secured Lending Financial Forecast


Carlyle Secured Lending Revenue Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
Revenue-------------$51.03M-$30.30M$15.54M$40.62M$7.21M$33.30M$36.40M$50.03M$45.42M$38.04M$41.32M$36.41M$58.57M$-119.18M$29.81M$-7.23M
Avg Forecast$72.00M$71.10M$70.20M$69.40M$62.57M$62.77M$60.63M$56.12M$50.59M$53.00M$53.24M$50.34M$51.48M$53.79M$53.38M$53.83M$50.16M$43.86M$40.31M$41.17M$43.62M$41.83M$40.33M$40.17M$42.56M$44.20M$44.99M$51.52M$54.62M$54.44M
High Forecast$73.72M$72.80M$71.88M$71.06M$64.07M$64.27M$62.09M$57.47M$51.80M$53.01M$53.24M$51.54M$51.85M$53.79M$54.66M$55.11M$51.36M$43.86M$40.31M$41.17M$43.62M$41.83M$40.33M$40.17M$42.56M$44.20M$44.99M$51.52M$54.62M$54.44M
Low Forecast$70.71M$69.83M$68.94M$68.16M$61.45M$61.64M$59.55M$55.12M$49.68M$52.99M$53.24M$49.44M$51.10M$53.79M$52.42M$52.86M$49.26M$43.86M$40.31M$41.17M$43.62M$41.83M$40.33M$40.17M$42.56M$44.20M$44.99M$51.52M$54.62M$54.44M
# Analysts1111111221113111111111111010101099
Surprise %-------------0.95%-0.56%0.31%0.93%0.18%0.81%0.83%1.20%1.13%0.95%0.97%0.82%1.30%-2.31%0.55%-0.13%

Carlyle Secured Lending's average Quarter revenue forecast for Dec 23 based on 3 analysts is $51.48M, with a low forecast of $51.10M, and a high forecast of $51.85M. CGBD's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a 0.87% increase compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $51.03M (Sep 23).

Carlyle Secured Lending EBITDA Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts1111111221113111111111111010101099
EBITDA-------------$27.96M-$45.29M$62.05M$49.77M$13.42M$38.13M$41.60M$55.30M$50.06M$43.00M$45.10M$41.29M$65.70M$-108.87M$39.10M$4.60M
Avg Forecast$67.87M$67.02M$66.18M$65.42M$58.98M$59.17M$57.16M$52.91M$47.69M$49.96M$50.18M$47.45M$48.52M$50.70M$50.32M$42.06M$47.23M$34.70M$31.89M$33.25M$34.51M$33.09M$31.91M$31.78M$33.67M$34.97M$35.59M$-252.57M$43.21M$43.07M
High Forecast$69.50M$68.63M$67.76M$66.99M$60.39M$60.59M$58.53M$54.17M$48.83M$49.97M$50.18M$48.59M$48.88M$50.70M$51.52M$50.47M$56.68M$34.70M$31.89M$39.90M$34.51M$33.09M$31.91M$31.78M$33.67M$34.97M$35.59M$-202.06M$43.21M$43.07M
Low Forecast$66.66M$65.82M$64.99M$64.25M$57.92M$58.11M$56.13M$51.96M$46.83M$49.95M$50.18M$46.60M$48.17M$50.70M$49.42M$33.64M$37.79M$34.70M$31.89M$26.60M$34.51M$33.09M$31.91M$31.78M$33.67M$34.97M$35.59M$-303.09M$43.21M$43.07M
Surprise %-------------0.55%-1.08%1.31%1.43%0.42%1.15%1.21%1.67%1.57%1.35%1.34%1.18%1.85%0.43%0.90%0.11%

3 analysts predict CGBD's average Quarter EBITDA for Dec 23 to be $48.52M, with a high of $48.88M and a low of $48.17M. This is 73.54% upper than Carlyle Secured Lending's previous annual EBITDA (Sep 23) of $27.96M.

Carlyle Secured Lending Net Income Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts1111111221113111111111111010101099
Net Income-------------$27.96M-$27.99M$12.46M$37.83M$4.67M$30.68M$33.96M$47.62M$42.87M$35.90M$38.16M$33.61M$56.16M$-121.10M$26.84M$-8.99M
Avg Forecast$24.84M$24.84M$24.27M$24.27M$24.40M$24.46M$24.46M$24.68M$25.01M$27.75M$28.76M$42.80M$28.83M$28.62M$27.96M$33.84M$37.36M$23.33M$21.14M$26.75M$22.08M$20.91M$20.47M$37.90M$20.31M$20.22M$20.12M$-115.05M$24.29M$24.00M
High Forecast$25.61M$25.61M$25.03M$25.03M$25.16M$25.22M$25.23M$25.45M$25.57M$27.77M$28.78M$51.37M$29.39M$28.62M$28.83M$40.61M$44.83M$23.33M$21.14M$32.10M$22.08M$20.91M$20.47M$45.48M$20.31M$20.22M$20.12M$-92.04M$24.29M$24.00M
Low Forecast$24.26M$24.26M$23.71M$23.71M$23.83M$23.89M$23.89M$24.12M$24.44M$27.73M$28.75M$34.24M$28.28M$28.61M$27.30M$27.07M$29.89M$23.33M$21.14M$21.40M$22.08M$20.91M$20.47M$30.32M$20.31M$20.22M$20.12M$-138.05M$24.29M$24.00M
Surprise %-------------0.98%-0.83%0.33%1.62%0.22%1.15%1.54%2.28%2.09%0.95%1.88%1.66%2.79%1.05%1.10%-0.37%

Carlyle Secured Lending's average Quarter net income forecast for Dec 23 is $28.83M, with a range of $28.28M to $29.39M. CGBD's average Quarter net income forecast represents a 3.12% increase compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $27.96M (Sep 23).

Carlyle Secured Lending SG&A Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts1111111221113111111111111010101099
SG&A-------------$1.60M-$1.29M$1.79M$1.89M$1.78M$1.74M$1.62M$1.81M$1.91M$1.49M$1.47M$1.69M$1.52M$1.28M$1.45M$1.17M
Avg Forecast$7.73M$7.63M$7.53M$7.45M$6.72M$6.74M$6.51M$6.02M$5.43M$5.69M$5.71M$2.43M$5.52M$5.77M$5.73M$1.92M$1.78M$4.68M$4.31M$1.52M$4.66M$4.47M$4.31M$1.58M$4.55M$4.72M$4.80M$1.83M$5.83M$5.81M
High Forecast$7.91M$7.81M$7.71M$7.63M$6.88M$6.90M$6.66M$6.17M$5.56M$5.69M$5.71M$2.92M$5.56M$5.77M$5.87M$2.31M$2.13M$4.68M$4.31M$1.82M$4.66M$4.47M$4.31M$1.89M$4.55M$4.72M$4.80M$2.19M$5.83M$5.81M
Low Forecast$7.59M$7.49M$7.40M$7.32M$6.59M$6.62M$6.39M$5.92M$5.33M$5.69M$5.71M$1.95M$5.48M$5.77M$5.63M$1.54M$1.42M$4.68M$4.31M$1.22M$4.66M$4.47M$4.31M$1.26M$4.55M$4.72M$4.80M$1.46M$5.83M$5.81M
Surprise %-------------0.28%-0.67%1.01%0.40%0.41%1.15%0.35%0.41%0.44%0.95%0.32%0.36%0.32%0.70%0.25%0.20%

Carlyle Secured Lending's average Quarter SG&A projection for Dec 23 is $5.52M, based on 3 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $5.48M to $5.56M. The forecast indicates a 244.23% rise compared to CGBD last annual SG&A of $1.60M (Sep 23).

Carlyle Secured Lending EPS Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts1111111221113111111111111010101099
EPS-------------$0.57-$0.53$0.69$0.71$0.07$0.56$0.63$0.88$0.79$0.65$0.68$0.60$1.00$-2.12$0.46$-0.15
Avg Forecast$0.44$0.44$0.43$0.43$0.43$0.43$0.43$0.44$0.44$0.49$0.51$0.51$0.51$0.51$0.50$0.50$0.45$0.41$0.38$0.39$0.39$0.37$0.36$0.36$0.36$0.36$0.36$0.39$0.43$0.43
High Forecast$0.45$0.45$0.44$0.44$0.45$0.45$0.45$0.45$0.45$0.49$0.51$0.53$0.52$0.51$0.51$0.51$0.47$0.41$0.38$0.39$0.39$0.37$0.36$0.36$0.36$0.36$0.36$0.39$0.43$0.43
Low Forecast$0.43$0.43$0.42$0.42$0.42$0.42$0.42$0.43$0.43$0.49$0.51$0.50$0.50$0.51$0.48$0.48$0.44$0.41$0.38$0.39$0.39$0.37$0.36$0.36$0.36$0.36$0.36$0.39$0.43$0.43
Surprise %-------------1.12%-1.07%1.52%1.72%0.19%1.43%1.61%2.37%2.18%1.79%1.89%1.67%2.80%-5.38%1.07%-0.35%

According to 3 Wall Street analysts, Carlyle Secured Lending's projected average Quarter EPS for Dec 23 is $0.51, with a low estimate of $0.50 and a high estimate of $0.52. This represents a -10.38% decrease compared to CGBD previous annual EPS of $0.57 (Sep 23).

Carlyle Secured Lending Peer Comparison by Price Target


TickerCompanyLast Closing PriceAvg Price TargetUpside/DownsideAvg Rating
TPVGTriplePoint Venture Growth BDC$8.53$11.1530.72%Hold
GBDCGolub Capital BDC$15.53$17.5012.69%Buy
TRINTrinity Capital$14.30$16.0011.89%Buy
HTGCHercules Capital$19.08$19.753.51%Buy
CGBDCarlyle Secured Lending$17.52$16.00-8.68%Hold
TCPCBlackRock TCP Capital$10.58$8.00-24.39%Hold

CGBD Forecast FAQ


Is Carlyle Secured Lending a good buy?

No, according to 1 Wall Street analysts, Carlyle Secured Lending (CGBD) is considered a 'Hold'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 0 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 0% of CGBD's total ratings.

What is CGBD's price target?

Carlyle Secured Lending (CGBD) average price target is $16 with a range of $16 to $16, implying a -2.62% from its last price of $16.43. The data is based on 1 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.

Will Carlyle Secured Lending stock go up soon?

According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for CGBD stock, the company can go down by -2.62% (from the last price of $16.43 to the average price target of $16), down by -2.62% based on the highest stock price target, and down by -2.62% based on the lowest stock price target.

Can Carlyle Secured Lending stock reach $20?

CGBD's average twelve months analyst stock price target of $16 does not support the claim that Carlyle Secured Lending can reach $20 in the near future.

What are Carlyle Secured Lending's analysts' financial forecasts?

Carlyle Secured Lending's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $242.09M (high $247.89M, low $237.76M), average EBITDA is $228.21M (high $233.68M, low $224.12M), average net income is $98.01M (high $101.06M, low $95.74M), average SG&A $25.98M (high $26.61M, low $25.52M), and average EPS is $1.74 (high $1.79, low $1.7). CGBD's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2026) are as follows: average revenue is $282.7M (high $289.47M, low $277.63M), average EBITDA is $266.49M (high $272.87M, low $261.72M), average net income is $98.22M (high $101.27M, low $95.93M), average SG&A $30.34M (high $31.07M, low $29.8M), and average EPS is $1.74 (high $1.79, low $1.7).

Did the CGBD's actual financial results beat the analysts' financial forecasts?

Based on Carlyle Secured Lending's last annual report (Dec 2023), the company's revenue was $202.13M, which missed the average analysts forecast of $212.47M by -4.87%. Apple's EBITDA was $112.41M, missing the average prediction of $191.6M by -41.33%. The company's net income was $112.41M, missing the average estimation of $119.24M by -5.73%. Apple's SG&A was $5.93M, missing the average forecast of $18.95M by -68.72%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $1.75, missing the average prediction of $2.01 by -12.89%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Sep 2023), Carlyle Secured Lending's revenue was $51.03M, missing the average analysts' forecast of $53.79M by -5.12%. The company's EBITDA was $27.96M, missing the average prediction of $50.7M by -44.85%. Carlyle Secured Lending's net income was $27.96M, missing the average estimation of $28.62M by -2.29%. The company's SG&A was $1.6M, missing the average forecast of $5.77M by -72.20%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $0.57, beating the average prediction of $0.507 by 12.44%