AutoNation (AN) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions
AN Stock Forecast
AutoNation stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $229.00 (represents a 34.56% upside from AN’s last price of $170.19) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 9 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.
AN Price Target
The average price target for AutoNation (AN) is $229.00 based on 1-year price targets from 9 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $394.00 to $107.00. This represents a potential 34.56% upside from AN's last price of $170.19.
AN Analyst Ratings
According to 9 Wall Street analysts, AutoNation's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for AN stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 5 'Buy' (55.56%), 3 'Hold' (33.33%), 1 'Sell' (11.11%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).
AutoNation Price Target by Analyst
| Date | Analyst | Company | Price Target | Price when Published | Price Target/Price when Published | Price Target/Last Closing Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2024 | John Murphy | Bank of America Securities | $215.00 | $165.32 | 30.05% | 26.33% |
| Sep 25, 2024 | Adam Jonas | Morgan Stanley | $200.00 | $178.50 | 12.04% | 17.52% |
| Sep 12, 2024 | Jeff Lick | Stephens | $394.00 | $158.75 | 148.19% | 131.51% |
| Sep 12, 2024 | Steven Shemesh | RBC Capital | $107.00 | $158.67 | -32.56% | -37.13% |
| Apr 17, 2024 | Ronald Jewsikow | Guggenheim | $169.00 | $154.60 | 9.31% | -0.70% |
| Jul 21, 2023 | Adam Jonas | Morgan Stanley | $96.00 | $176.92 | -45.74% | -43.59% |
| Jan 13, 2023 | Colin Langan | Wells Fargo | $126.00 | $115.92 | 8.70% | -25.97% |
| Jul 23, 2022 | Adam Jonas | Morgan Stanley | $104.00 | $117.07 | -11.16% | -38.89% |
| Jul 22, 2022 | Guggenheim | $213.00 | $118.56 | 79.66% | 25.15% | |
| Jul 14, 2022 | Wells Fargo | $147.00 | $111.16 | 32.24% | -13.63% | |
| May 23, 2022 | Morgan Stanley | $107.00 | $108.39 | -1.28% | -37.13% | |
| Apr 25, 2022 | Truist Financial | $140.00 | $109.80 | 27.50% | -17.74% | |
| Apr 23, 2022 | Ali Faghri | Guggenheim | $205.00 | $106.37 | 92.72% | 20.45% |
| Apr 22, 2022 | Wells Fargo | $153.00 | $105.46 | 45.08% | -10.10% |
The latest AutoNation stock forecast, released on Oct 14, 2024 by John Murphy from Bank of America Securities, set a price target of $215.00, which represents a 30.05% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($165.32), and a 26.33% increase from AN last price ($170.19).
AutoNation Price Target by Period
| 1M | 3M | 12M | |
|---|---|---|---|
| # Anlaysts | - | 2 | 5 |
| Avg Price Target | - | $207.50 | $217.00 |
| Last Closing Price | $170.19 | $170.19 | $170.19 |
| Upside/Downside | -100.00% | 21.92% | 27.50% |
In the current month, the average price target of AutoNation stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to AutoNation's last price of $170.19. This month's average price target is down -100.00% compared to last quarter, and down -100.00% compared to last year.
Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades
| Date | Company | Previous Rating | New Rating | Rating Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2024 | Morgan Stanley | Underweight | Overweight | Upgrade |
| Sep 12, 2024 | RBC Capital | Sector Perform | Initialise | |
| Sep 12, 2024 | Stephens | Overweight | Equal-Weight | Initialise |
| Jun 10, 2024 | Evercore ISI | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
| Apr 17, 2024 | Guggenheim | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Jul 21, 2023 | Guggenheim | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Jul 21, 2023 | Morgan Stanley | Equal-Weight | Underweight | Downgrade |
| Jul 03, 2023 | Benchmark | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Feb 21, 2023 | J.P. Morgan | Underweight | Downgrade | |
| Jan 13, 2023 | Wells Fargo | Overweight | Equal-Weight | Downgrade |
| Jul 22, 2022 | Guggenheim | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Jul 14, 2022 | Wells Fargo | Overweight | Overweight | Hold |
| Jul 14, 2022 | Morgan Stanley | Equal-Weight | Equal-Weight | Hold |
| May 23, 2022 | Morgan Stanley | Equal-Weight | Equal-Weight | Hold |
| Apr 25, 2022 | Truist Financial | Buy | Upgrade | |
| Apr 25, 2022 | Stephens | Overweight | Upgrade | |
| Apr 22, 2022 | Guggenheim | Buy | Buy | Hold |
AutoNation's last stock rating was published by Morgan Stanley on Sep 25, 2024. The company Upgrade its AN rating from "Underweight" to "Overweight".
AutoNation Financial Forecast
AutoNation Revenue Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $6.89B | $6.89B | $6.40B | $6.70B | $6.67B | $6.87B | $6.75B | $6.58B | $6.38B | $6.98B | $5.90B | $5.79B | $5.40B | $4.53B | $4.67B | $5.55B | $5.46B |
| Avg Forecast | $6.49B | $6.41B | $6.33B | $6.20B | $6.93B | $6.80B | $6.73B | $6.45B | $6.67B | $6.70B | $6.72B | $6.49B | $6.68B | $6.71B | $6.78B | $6.63B | $6.52B | $6.63B | $7.00B | $6.51B | $6.37B | $6.29B | $6.07B | $5.03B | $5.56B | $5.19B | $4.00B | $4.69B | $5.53B | $5.38B |
| High Forecast | $6.66B | $6.58B | $6.49B | $6.35B | $7.11B | $6.97B | $6.91B | $6.56B | $6.80B | $6.77B | $6.72B | $6.49B | $6.79B | $6.88B | $6.95B | $6.80B | $6.68B | $6.63B | $7.00B | $6.51B | $6.37B | $6.29B | $6.07B | $5.03B | $5.56B | $5.19B | $4.00B | $4.69B | $5.53B | $5.38B |
| Low Forecast | $6.29B | $6.21B | $6.13B | $6.00B | $6.71B | $6.58B | $6.52B | $6.36B | $6.55B | $6.62B | $6.72B | $6.49B | $6.49B | $6.55B | $6.57B | $6.42B | $6.31B | $6.63B | $7.00B | $6.51B | $6.37B | $6.29B | $6.07B | $5.03B | $5.56B | $5.19B | $4.00B | $4.69B | $5.53B | $5.38B |
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.03% | 1.02% | 0.96% | 1.03% | 1.00% | 0.98% | 1.04% | 1.03% | 1.01% | 1.15% | 1.17% | 1.04% | 1.04% | 1.13% | 0.99% | 1.00% | 1.02% |
AutoNation's average Quarter revenue forecast for Dec 23 based on 5 analysts is $6.68B, with a low forecast of $6.49B, and a high forecast of $6.79B. AN's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a -3.07% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $6.89B (Sep 23).
AutoNation EBITDA Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
| EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $344.80M | $386.60M | $501.30M | $486.30M | $568.00M | $593.20M | $562.60M | $587.40M | $550.10M | $586.90M | $395.70M | $285.50M | $330.00M | $465.00M | $-174.20M | $312.10M | $240.90M |
| Avg Forecast | $408.14M | $403.16M | $398.11M | $389.65M | $435.89M | $427.37M | $423.40M | $405.72M | $419.71M | $420.99M | $422.38M | $612.02M | $420.12M | $421.98M | $426.24M | $556.38M | $248.43M | $451.29M | $476.20M | $505.80M | $433.39M | $427.96M | $412.96M | $224.58M | $378.48M | $352.78M | $271.87M | $-108.22M | $376.38M | $366.00M |
| High Forecast | $418.54M | $413.44M | $408.26M | $399.59M | $447.01M | $438.27M | $434.20M | $412.72M | $427.34M | $425.56M | $422.38M | $734.43M | $427.07M | $432.88M | $437.11M | $667.66M | $298.11M | $451.29M | $476.20M | $606.97M | $433.39M | $427.96M | $412.96M | $269.50M | $378.48M | $352.78M | $271.87M | $-86.57M | $376.38M | $366.00M |
| Low Forecast | $395.33M | $390.52M | $385.62M | $377.43M | $422.22M | $413.97M | $410.12M | $399.99M | $412.08M | $416.43M | $422.38M | $489.62M | $408.12M | $411.58M | $412.87M | $445.11M | $198.74M | $451.29M | $476.20M | $404.64M | $433.39M | $427.96M | $412.96M | $179.66M | $378.48M | $352.78M | $271.87M | $-129.86M | $376.38M | $366.00M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.82% | 0.91% | 0.90% | 1.96% | 1.26% | 1.25% | 1.11% | 1.36% | 1.29% | 1.42% | 1.76% | 0.75% | 0.94% | 1.71% | 1.61% | 0.83% | 0.66% |
5 analysts predict AN's average Quarter EBITDA for Dec 23 to be $420.12M, with a high of $427.07M and a low of $408.12M. This is 21.84% upper than AutoNation's previous annual EBITDA (Sep 23) of $344.80M.
AutoNation Net Income Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
| Net Income | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $243.70M | $272.50M | $288.70M | $286.40M | $352.60M | $376.30M | $362.10M | $387.20M | $361.70M | $384.80M | $239.40M | $151.50M | $182.60M | $279.80M | $-232.30M | $157.70M | $99.50M |
| Avg Forecast | $218.43M | $210.37M | $168.86M | $204.72M | $192.53M | $188.40M | $167.25M | $176.61M | $170.94M | $175.81M | $174.03M | $393.91M | $196.94M | $221.09M | $238.32M | $358.10M | $131.83M | $255.35M | $253.03M | $325.55M | $201.91M | $171.10M | $114.25M | $135.87M | $81.89M | $67.00M | $15.21M | $-144.31M | $46.32M | $45.29M |
| High Forecast | $225.67M | $217.34M | $174.46M | $211.51M | $198.92M | $194.65M | $172.79M | $190.78M | $175.79M | $180.51M | $174.04M | $472.69M | $202.22M | $229.14M | $246.22M | $429.72M | $158.19M | $255.35M | $253.03M | $390.65M | $201.91M | $171.10M | $114.25M | $163.05M | $81.89M | $67.00M | $15.21M | $-115.45M | $46.32M | $45.29M |
| Low Forecast | $209.52M | $201.79M | $161.97M | $196.38M | $184.68M | $180.72M | $160.43M | $169.53M | $166.09M | $171.10M | $174.02M | $315.13M | $192.88M | $216.26M | $228.60M | $286.48M | $105.46M | $255.35M | $253.03M | $260.44M | $201.91M | $171.10M | $114.25M | $108.70M | $81.89M | $67.00M | $15.21M | $-173.17M | $46.32M | $45.29M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.10% | 1.14% | 0.81% | 2.17% | 1.38% | 1.49% | 1.11% | 1.92% | 2.11% | 3.37% | 1.76% | 1.85% | 2.73% | 18.39% | 1.61% | 3.40% | 2.20% |
AutoNation's average Quarter net income forecast for Dec 23 is $196.94M, with a range of $192.88M to $202.22M. AN's average Quarter net income forecast represents a -19.19% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $243.70M (Sep 23).
AutoNation SG&A Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
| SG&A | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $819.30M | $842.90M | $782.70M | $766.70M | $763.20M | $754.80M | $741.40M | $755.70M | $723.70M | $748.90M | $647.90M | $632.00M | $641.40M | $547.90M | $600.70M | $644.80M | $653.80M |
| Avg Forecast | $756.62M | $747.40M | $738.03M | $722.35M | $808.08M | $792.28M | $784.93M | $752.14M | $778.08M | $780.46M | $783.03M | $806.53M | $778.84M | $782.30M | $790.19M | $733.21M | $549.93M | $773.49M | $816.18M | $666.55M | $742.82M | $733.50M | $707.79M | $367.72M | $648.70M | $604.65M | $465.97M | $373.16M | $645.11M | $627.30M |
| High Forecast | $775.92M | $766.47M | $756.85M | $740.78M | $828.69M | $812.49M | $804.94M | $765.13M | $792.22M | $788.92M | $783.03M | $967.84M | $791.72M | $802.49M | $810.34M | $879.85M | $659.92M | $773.49M | $816.18M | $799.86M | $742.82M | $733.50M | $707.79M | $441.26M | $648.70M | $604.65M | $465.97M | $447.79M | $645.11M | $627.30M |
| Low Forecast | $732.89M | $723.96M | $714.88M | $699.70M | $782.73M | $767.43M | $760.31M | $741.52M | $763.93M | $772.00M | $783.03M | $645.22M | $756.59M | $763.02M | $765.41M | $586.57M | $439.95M | $773.49M | $816.18M | $533.24M | $742.82M | $733.50M | $707.79M | $294.17M | $648.70M | $604.65M | $465.97M | $298.53M | $645.11M | $627.30M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.05% | 1.07% | 1.07% | 1.39% | 0.99% | 0.92% | 1.11% | 1.02% | 0.99% | 1.06% | 1.76% | 0.97% | 1.06% | 1.18% | 1.61% | 1.00% | 1.04% |
AutoNation's average Quarter SG&A projection for Dec 23 is $778.84M, based on 5 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $756.59M to $791.72M. The forecast indicates a -4.94% fall compared to AN last annual SG&A of $819.30M (Sep 23).
AutoNation EPS Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
| EPS | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $5.59 | $6.06 | $6.12 | $5.72 | $6.35 | $6.51 | $5.83 | $5.87 | $5.17 | $4.83 | $2.85 | $1.73 | $2.05 | $3.18 | $-2.58 | $1.74 | $1.10 |
| Avg Forecast | $5.42 | $5.22 | $4.19 | $5.08 | $4.78 | $4.67 | $4.15 | $4.38 | $4.24 | $4.36 | $4.32 | $4.26 | $4.89 | $5.49 | $5.91 | $5.74 | $5.83 | $6.27 | $6.22 | $5.25 | $4.96 | $4.20 | $2.81 | $1.84 | $2.01 | $1.65 | $0.37 | $0.70 | $1.14 | $1.11 |
| High Forecast | $5.60 | $5.39 | $4.33 | $5.25 | $4.94 | $4.83 | $4.29 | $4.73 | $4.36 | $4.48 | $4.32 | $4.26 | $5.02 | $5.69 | $6.11 | $5.93 | $6.02 | $6.27 | $6.22 | $5.25 | $4.96 | $4.20 | $2.81 | $1.84 | $2.01 | $1.65 | $0.37 | $0.70 | $1.14 | $1.11 |
| Low Forecast | $5.20 | $5.01 | $4.02 | $4.87 | $4.58 | $4.48 | $3.98 | $4.21 | $4.12 | $4.25 | $4.32 | $4.26 | $4.79 | $5.37 | $5.67 | $5.50 | $5.59 | $6.27 | $6.22 | $5.25 | $4.96 | $4.20 | $2.81 | $1.84 | $2.01 | $1.65 | $0.37 | $0.70 | $1.14 | $1.11 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.02% | 1.02% | 1.07% | 0.98% | 1.01% | 1.05% | 1.11% | 1.18% | 1.23% | 1.72% | 1.55% | 0.86% | 1.25% | 8.50% | -3.71% | 1.53% | 0.99% |
According to 5 Wall Street analysts, AutoNation's projected average Quarter EPS for Dec 23 is $4.89, with a low estimate of $4.79 and a high estimate of $5.02. This represents a -12.58% decrease compared to AN previous annual EPS of $5.59 (Sep 23).
AutoNation Peer Comparison by Price Target
| Ticker | Company | Last Closing Price | Avg Price Target | Upside/Downside | Avg Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AN | AutoNation | $170.49 | $229.00 | 34.32% | Buy |
| PAG | Penske Automotive Group | $161.76 | $180.00 | 11.28% | Buy |
| GPI | Group 1 Automotive | $421.48 | $430.00 | 2.02% | Buy |
| LAD | Lithia Motors | $370.77 | $363.00 | -2.10% | Buy |
| SAH | Sonic Automotive | $65.41 | $62.33 | -4.71% | Buy |
| ABG | Asbury Automotive Group | $252.30 | $236.50 | -6.26% | Hold |