Alarm.com (ALRM) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions


OverviewRevenueOwnershipFinancialsChartTranscripts

ALRM Stock Forecast


Alarm.com stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $78.75 (represents a 46.08% upside from ALRM’s last price of $53.91) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 5 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.

ALRM Price Target


The average price target for Alarm.com (ALRM) is $78.75 based on 1-year price targets from 5 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $90.00 to $67.00. This represents a potential 46.08% upside from ALRM's last price of $53.91.

ALRM Analyst Ratings


Buy

According to 5 Wall Street analysts, Alarm.com's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for ALRM stock is 1 'Strong Buy' (20.00%), 2 'Buy' (40.00%), 2 'Hold' (40.00%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).

Alarm.com Price Target by Analyst


DateAnalystCompanyPrice TargetPrice when PublishedPrice Target/Price when PublishedPrice Target/Last Closing Price
Sep 19, 2023Darren AftahiRoth Capital$67.00$59.8911.87%24.28%
Aug 11, 2022-Maxim Group$90.00$74.7320.43%66.94%
Aug 10, 2022-Barclays$75.00$72.044.11%39.12%
Aug 10, 2022-Roth Capital$81.00$72.0412.44%50.25%
Aug 10, 2022-Raymond James$83.00$72.0415.21%53.96%
Row per page
Go to

The latest Alarm.com stock forecast, released on Sep 19, 2023 by Darren Aftahi from Roth Capital, set a price target of $67.00, which represents a 11.87% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($59.89), and a 24.28% increase from ALRM last price ($53.91).

Alarm.com Price Target by Period


1M3M12M
# Anlaysts---
Avg Price Target---
Last Closing Price$53.91$53.91$53.91
Upside/Downside-100.00%-100.00%-100.00%

In the current month, the average price target of Alarm.com stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to Alarm.com's last price of $53.91. This month's average price target is down NaN% compared to last quarter, and down NaN% compared to last year.

Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades


DateCompanyPrevious RatingNew RatingRating Change
Sep 06, 2024Goldman Sachs-NeutralInitialise
Aug 11, 2022Maxim GroupBuyBuyHold
Aug 10, 2022BarclaysEqual-WeightEqual-WeightHold
Aug 10, 2022Roth CapitalBuyBuyHold
Aug 10, 2022Raymond JamesStrong BuyStrong BuyHold
Feb 28, 2022BarclaysEqual-WeightEqual-WeightHold
Feb 25, 2022Raymond JamesStrong BuyStrong BuyHold
Row per page
Go to

Alarm.com's last stock rating was published by Goldman Sachs on Sep 06, 2024. The company Initialise its ALRM rating from "null" to "Neutral".

Alarm.com Financial Forecast


Alarm.com Revenue Forecast

Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19Jun 19Mar 19Mar 18Mar 17
Revenue---------$221.85M$223.88M$209.72M$208.14M$216.14M$212.84M$205.44M$195.29M$192.32M$188.86M$172.50M$165.58M$158.85M$141.64M$151.94M$140.49M$127.88M$121.66M$112.33M$92.76M$74.19M
Avg Forecast$251.92M$244.65M$243.69M$237.19M$238.12M$231.43M$227.35M$219.36M$224.93M$223.65M$214.50M$207.28M$207.37M$211.68M$207.96M$192.02M$174.47M$176.81M$162.64M$154.25M$146.04M$129.51M$118.64M$125.36M$113.60M$114.62M$109.49M$102.74M$73.69M$48.39M
High Forecast$251.92M$244.65M$243.69M$237.19M$238.12M$232.31M$227.35M$220.07M$225.97M$227.47M$214.50M$207.28M$207.37M$211.68M$207.96M$192.02M$174.47M$176.81M$162.64M$154.25M$146.04M$129.51M$118.64M$125.36M$113.60M$114.62M$109.49M$102.74M$88.43M$58.07M
Low Forecast$251.92M$244.65M$243.69M$237.19M$238.12M$229.40M$227.35M$218.64M$224.22M$216.64M$214.50M$207.28M$207.37M$211.68M$207.96M$192.02M$174.47M$176.81M$162.64M$154.25M$146.04M$129.51M$118.64M$125.36M$113.60M$114.62M$109.49M$102.74M$58.96M$38.71M
# Analysts444436324763222234566644743799
Surprise %---------0.99%1.04%1.01%1.00%1.02%1.02%1.07%1.12%1.09%1.16%1.12%1.13%1.23%1.19%1.21%1.24%1.12%1.11%1.09%1.26%1.53%

Alarm.com's average Quarter revenue forecast for Dec 23 based on 4 analysts is $224.93M, with a low forecast of $224.22M, and a high forecast of $225.97M. ALRM's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a 1.39% increase compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $221.85M (Sep 23).

Alarm.com EBITDA Forecast

Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19Jun 19Mar 19Mar 18Mar 17
# Analysts444436324763222234566644743799
EBITDA---------$30.54M$29.34M$24.59M$27.14M$26.73M$20.58M$17.18M$18.82M$27.33M$24.95M$22.96M$22.30M$50.27M$22.51M$17.27M$18.02M$28.27M$21.66M$16.95M$17.65M$7.83M
Avg Forecast$39.76M$38.61M$38.46M$37.43M$37.58M$36.52M$35.88M$17.19M$35.50M$35.30M$33.85M$15.62M$13.59M$33.41M$32.82M$14.20M$27.54M$27.90M$25.67M$15.71M$23.05M$20.44M$18.72M$13.21M$17.93M$18.09M$17.28M$15.31M$13.07M$4.02M
High Forecast$39.76M$38.61M$38.46M$37.43M$37.58M$36.66M$35.88M$20.62M$35.66M$35.90M$33.85M$18.75M$16.30M$33.41M$32.82M$17.04M$27.54M$27.90M$25.67M$18.85M$23.05M$20.44M$18.72M$15.85M$17.93M$18.09M$17.28M$18.37M$15.69M$4.83M
Low Forecast$39.76M$38.61M$38.46M$37.43M$37.58M$36.20M$35.88M$13.75M$35.39M$34.19M$33.85M$12.50M$10.87M$33.41M$32.82M$11.36M$27.54M$27.90M$25.67M$12.57M$23.05M$20.44M$18.72M$10.57M$17.93M$18.09M$17.28M$12.24M$10.46M$3.22M
Surprise %---------0.87%0.87%1.57%2.00%0.80%0.63%1.21%0.68%0.98%0.97%1.46%0.97%2.46%1.20%1.31%1.01%1.56%1.25%1.11%1.35%1.95%

4 analysts predict ALRM's average Quarter EBITDA for Dec 23 to be $35.50M, with a high of $35.66M and a low of $35.39M. This is 16.25% upper than Alarm.com's previous annual EBITDA (Sep 23) of $30.54M.

Alarm.com Net Income Forecast

Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19Jun 19Mar 19Mar 18Mar 17
# Analysts444436324763222234566644743799
Net Income---------$19.52M$15.80M$14.42M$18.09M$18.33M$10.84M$9.08M$8.84M$13.54M$14.74M$14.83M$15.97M$36.08M$17.00M$8.81M$13.04M$17.69M$13.80M$9.01M$10.52M$3.96M
Avg Forecast$32.51M$30.88M$31.98M$27.97M$29.68M$27.68M$27.89M$8.99M$26.75M$23.80M$20.47M$8.17M$6.60M$28.43M$23.36M$7.43M$18.27M$21.47M$22.25M$10.15M$15.21M$17.82M$17.45M$6.73M$18.53M$18.19M$18.29M$8.14M$7.79M$2.03M
High Forecast$32.51M$30.88M$31.98M$27.97M$29.68M$28.25M$27.90M$10.79M$28.98M$25.59M$20.47M$9.81M$7.92M$28.43M$23.36M$8.91M$18.27M$21.47M$22.25M$12.18M$15.21M$17.82M$17.45M$8.08M$18.53M$18.19M$18.29M$9.77M$9.35M$2.44M
Low Forecast$32.51M$30.88M$31.98M$27.97M$29.68M$27.12M$27.89M$7.19M$25.64M$20.83M$20.47M$6.54M$5.28M$28.43M$23.36M$5.94M$18.27M$21.47M$22.25M$8.12M$15.21M$17.82M$17.45M$5.39M$18.53M$18.19M$18.29M$6.51M$6.23M$1.63M
Surprise %---------0.82%0.77%1.76%2.74%0.64%0.46%1.22%0.48%0.63%0.66%1.46%1.05%2.02%0.97%1.31%0.70%0.97%0.75%1.11%1.35%1.95%

Alarm.com's average Quarter net income forecast for Dec 23 is $26.75M, with a range of $25.64M to $28.98M. ALRM's average Quarter net income forecast represents a 37.03% increase compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $19.52M (Sep 23).

Alarm.com SG&A Forecast

Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19Jun 19Mar 19Mar 18Mar 17
# Analysts444436324763222234566644743799
SG&A---------$55.32M$52.57M$55.14M$48.94M$51.07M$52.24M$47.19M$47.15M$41.25M$43.80M$41.88M$46.57M$35.82M$34.28M$37.94M$36.60M$33.23M$29.50M$32.44M$26.98M$25.69M
Avg Forecast$61.64M$59.86M$59.62M$58.03M$58.26M$56.62M$55.63M$46.71M$55.03M$54.72M$52.48M$42.47M$34.03M$51.79M$50.88M$38.61M$42.69M$43.26M$39.79M$28.66M$35.73M$31.69M$29.03M$29.01M$27.79M$28.04M$26.79M$29.30M$19.99M$13.19M
High Forecast$61.64M$59.86M$59.62M$58.03M$58.26M$56.84M$55.63M$56.06M$55.29M$55.66M$52.48M$50.96M$40.84M$51.79M$50.88M$46.33M$42.69M$43.26M$39.79M$34.39M$35.73M$31.69M$29.03M$34.82M$27.79M$28.04M$26.79M$35.16M$23.99M$15.82M
Low Forecast$61.64M$59.86M$59.62M$58.03M$58.26M$56.13M$55.63M$37.37M$54.86M$53.01M$52.48M$33.97M$27.23M$51.79M$50.88M$30.89M$42.69M$43.26M$39.79M$22.92M$35.73M$31.69M$29.03M$23.21M$27.79M$28.04M$26.79M$23.44M$15.99M$10.55M
Surprise %---------1.01%1.00%1.30%1.44%0.99%1.03%1.22%1.10%0.95%1.10%1.46%1.30%1.13%1.18%1.31%1.32%1.19%1.10%1.11%1.35%1.95%

Alarm.com's average Quarter SG&A projection for Dec 23 is $55.03M, based on 4 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $54.86M to $55.29M. The forecast indicates a -0.51% fall compared to ALRM last annual SG&A of $55.32M (Sep 23).

Alarm.com EPS Forecast

Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19Jun 19Mar 19Mar 18Mar 17
# Analysts444436324763222234566644743799
EPS---------$0.39$0.32$0.29$0.36$0.37$0.22$0.18$0.18$0.27$0.30$0.30$0.32$0.74$0.35$0.18$0.27$0.36$0.29$0.19$0.22$0.09
Avg Forecast$0.57$0.54$0.56$0.49$0.52$0.49$0.49$0.49$0.47$0.42$0.36$0.31$0.43$0.50$0.41$0.33$0.32$0.38$0.39$0.38$0.27$0.31$0.31$0.34$0.33$0.32$0.32$0.31$0.20$0.08
High Forecast$0.57$0.54$0.56$0.49$0.52$0.50$0.49$0.49$0.51$0.45$0.36$0.31$0.43$0.50$0.41$0.33$0.32$0.38$0.39$0.38$0.27$0.31$0.31$0.34$0.33$0.32$0.32$0.31$0.24$0.09
Low Forecast$0.57$0.54$0.56$0.49$0.52$0.48$0.49$0.49$0.45$0.37$0.36$0.31$0.43$0.50$0.41$0.33$0.32$0.38$0.39$0.38$0.27$0.31$0.31$0.34$0.33$0.32$0.32$0.31$0.16$0.06
Surprise %---------0.93%0.89%0.94%0.85%0.74%0.53%0.55%0.56%0.71%0.76%0.79%1.19%2.35%1.14%0.53%0.83%1.12%0.90%0.60%1.10%1.13%

According to 4 Wall Street analysts, Alarm.com's projected average Quarter EPS for Dec 23 is $0.47, with a low estimate of $0.45 and a high estimate of $0.51. This represents a 21.03% increase compared to ALRM previous annual EPS of $0.39 (Sep 23).

Alarm.com Peer Comparison by Price Target


TickerCompanyLast Closing PriceAvg Price TargetUpside/DownsideAvg Rating
ONTFON24$5.94$18.00203.03%-
ALRMAlarm.com$53.91$78.7546.08%Buy
AMSWAAmerican Software$10.95$15.5041.55%Buy
PYCRPaycor HCM$15.71$22.0040.04%Hold
APPFAppFolio$212.00$278.0031.13%Buy
ALKTAlkami$36.53$45.6725.02%Buy
PCTYPaylocity$191.35$216.6413.22%Buy
AGYSAgilysys$102.95$116.2012.87%Buy
CWANClearwater Analytics$26.31$26.330.08%Buy

ALRM Forecast FAQ


Yes, according to 5 Wall Street analysts, Alarm.com (ALRM) is considered a 'Buy'. The rating consensus is based on 1 'Strong Buy' and 2 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 60.00% of ALRM's total ratings.

Alarm.com (ALRM) average price target is $78.75 with a range of $67 to $90, implying a 46.08% from its last price of $53.91. The data is based on 5 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.

According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for ALRM stock, the company can go up by 46.08% (from the last price of $53.91 to the average price target of $78.75), up by 66.94% based on the highest stock price target, and up by 24.28% based on the lowest stock price target.

ALRM's highest twelve months analyst stock price target of $90 supports the claim that Alarm.com can reach $80 in the near future.

Alarm.com's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2024) are as follows: average revenue is $916.26M (high $917.85M, low $913.51M), average EBITDA is $127.17M (high $130.75M, low $123.41M), average net income is $94.25M (high $96.61M, low $91.88M), average SG&A $217.23M (high $226.78M, low $207.39M), and average EPS is $1.99 (high $2, low $1.98). ALRM's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $977.45M (high $977.45M, low $977.45M), average EBITDA is $154.26M (high $154.26M, low $154.26M), average net income is $123.34M (high $123.34M, low $123.34M), average SG&A $239.15M (high $239.15M, low $239.15M), and average EPS is $2.18 (high $2.18, low $2.18).

Based on Alarm.com's last annual report (Dec 2022), the company's revenue was $842.56M, beating the average analysts forecast of $819.03M by 2.87%. Apple's EBITDA was $91.97M, missing the average prediction of $94.02M by -2.18%. The company's net income was $56.34M, missing the average estimation of $65.83M by -14.41%. Apple's SG&A was $199.44M, beating the average forecast of $175.32M by 13.76%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $1.13, missing the average prediction of $1.67 by -32.17%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Sep 2023), Alarm.com's revenue was $221.85M, missing the average analysts' forecast of $223.65M by -0.80%. The company's EBITDA was $30.54M, missing the average prediction of $35.3M by -13.48%. Alarm.com's net income was $19.52M, missing the average estimation of $23.8M by -17.98%. The company's SG&A was $55.32M, beating the average forecast of $54.72M by 1.09%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $0.39, missing the average prediction of $0.42 by -7.13%