Alarm.com (ALRM) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions
ALRM Stock Forecast
Alarm.com stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $78.75 (represents a 42.53% upside from ALRM’s last price of $55.25) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 5 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.
ALRM Price Target
The average price target for Alarm.com (ALRM) is $78.75 based on 1-year price targets from 5 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $90.00 to $67.00. This represents a potential 42.53% upside from ALRM's last price of $55.25.
ALRM Analyst Ratings
According to 5 Wall Street analysts, Alarm.com's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for ALRM stock is 1 'Strong Buy' (20.00%), 2 'Buy' (40.00%), 2 'Hold' (40.00%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).
Alarm.com Price Target by Analyst
| Date | Analyst | Company | Price Target | Price when Published | Price Target/Price when Published | Price Target/Last Closing Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2023 | Darren Aftahi | Roth Capital | $67.00 | $59.89 | 11.87% | 21.27% |
| Aug 11, 2022 | - | Maxim Group | $90.00 | $74.73 | 20.43% | 62.90% |
| Aug 10, 2022 | - | Barclays | $75.00 | $72.04 | 4.11% | 35.75% |
| Aug 10, 2022 | - | Roth Capital | $81.00 | $72.04 | 12.44% | 46.61% |
| Aug 10, 2022 | - | Raymond James | $83.00 | $72.04 | 15.21% | 50.23% |
The latest Alarm.com stock forecast, released on Sep 19, 2023 by Darren Aftahi from Roth Capital, set a price target of $67.00, which represents a 11.87% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($59.89), and a 21.27% increase from ALRM last price ($55.25).
Alarm.com Price Target by Period
| 1M | 3M | 12M | |
|---|---|---|---|
| # Anlaysts | - | - | 1 |
| Avg Price Target | - | - | $67.00 |
| Last Closing Price | $55.25 | $55.25 | $55.25 |
| Upside/Downside | -100.00% | -100.00% | 21.27% |
In the current month, the average price target of Alarm.com stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to Alarm.com's last price of $55.25. This month's average price target is down NaN% compared to last quarter, and down -100.00% compared to last year.
Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades
| Date | Company | Previous Rating | New Rating | Rating Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 06, 2024 | Goldman Sachs | - | Neutral | Initialise |
| Aug 11, 2022 | Maxim Group | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Aug 10, 2022 | Barclays | Equal-Weight | Equal-Weight | Hold |
| Aug 10, 2022 | Roth Capital | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Aug 10, 2022 | Raymond James | Strong Buy | Strong Buy | Hold |
| Feb 28, 2022 | Barclays | Equal-Weight | Equal-Weight | Hold |
| Feb 25, 2022 | Raymond James | Strong Buy | Strong Buy | Hold |
Alarm.com's last stock rating was published by Goldman Sachs on Sep 06, 2024. The company Initialise its ALRM rating from "null" to "Neutral".
Alarm.com Financial Forecast
Alarm.com Revenue Forecast
| Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | Jun 19 | Mar 19 | Dec 18 | Sep 18 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $221.85M | $223.88M | $209.72M | $208.14M | $216.14M | - | $205.44M | $195.29M | $192.32M | $188.86M | $172.50M | $165.58M | $158.85M | $141.64M | $151.94M | $140.49M | $127.88M | $121.66M | $112.33M | $111.40M | $111.85M |
| Avg Forecast | $251.91M | $244.66M | $243.70M | $237.19M | $238.12M | $231.43M | $227.35M | $219.36M | $224.93M | $223.65M | $214.50M | $207.28M | $207.37M | $211.68M | $207.96M | $192.02M | $174.47M | $176.81M | $162.64M | $154.25M | $146.04M | $129.51M | $118.64M | $125.36M | $113.60M | $114.62M | $109.49M | $102.74M | $92.19M | $77.67M |
| High Forecast | $253.62M | $246.32M | $245.35M | $238.80M | $239.74M | $232.31M | $228.89M | $220.84M | $225.97M | $227.47M | $215.96M | $208.69M | $208.77M | $213.12M | $207.96M | $195.12M | $177.29M | $179.67M | $165.26M | $156.75M | $148.40M | $131.60M | $120.55M | $127.38M | $115.43M | $116.47M | $111.26M | $104.40M | $110.63M | $93.21M |
| Low Forecast | $249.30M | $242.12M | $241.17M | $234.73M | $235.65M | $229.41M | $224.99M | $217.08M | $224.22M | $216.64M | $212.28M | $205.13M | $205.22M | $209.49M | $207.96M | $189.24M | $171.95M | $174.25M | $160.28M | $152.02M | $143.93M | $127.64M | $116.92M | $123.54M | $111.95M | $112.96M | $107.90M | $101.26M | $73.76M | $62.14M |
| # Analysts | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 19 | 13 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.99% | 1.04% | 1.01% | 1.00% | 1.02% | - | 1.07% | 1.12% | 1.09% | 1.16% | 1.12% | 1.13% | 1.23% | 1.19% | 1.21% | 1.24% | 1.12% | 1.11% | 1.09% | 1.21% | 1.44% |
Alarm.com's average Quarter revenue forecast for Dec 23 based on 4 analysts is $224.93M, with a low forecast of $224.22M, and a high forecast of $225.97M. ALRM's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a 1.39% increase compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $221.85M (Sep 23).
Alarm.com EBITDA Forecast
| Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | Jun 19 | Mar 19 | Dec 18 | Sep 18 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 19 | 13 |
| EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $30.54M | $29.34M | $24.59M | $27.14M | $26.73M | - | $17.18M | $18.82M | $27.33M | $24.95M | $22.96M | $22.30M | $50.27M | $22.51M | $17.27M | $18.02M | $28.27M | $21.66M | $16.95M | $15.04M | $-9.90M |
| Avg Forecast | $39.76M | $38.61M | $38.46M | $37.43M | $37.58M | $36.52M | $35.88M | $17.19M | $35.50M | $35.30M | $33.85M | $15.62M | $32.73M | $15.59M | $32.82M | $14.20M | $12.35M | $14.17M | $17.64M | $15.71M | $17.57M | $23.19M | $15.25M | $13.21M | $12.56M | $24.85M | $16.25M | $15.31M | $11.91M | $-6.10M |
| High Forecast | $40.03M | $38.87M | $38.72M | $37.69M | $37.84M | $36.66M | $36.12M | $20.62M | $35.66M | $35.90M | $34.08M | $18.75M | $32.95M | $18.71M | $32.82M | $17.04M | $14.82M | $17.01M | $21.17M | $18.85M | $21.08M | $27.83M | $18.30M | $15.85M | $15.07M | $29.82M | $19.49M | $18.37M | $14.29M | $-4.88M |
| Low Forecast | $39.35M | $38.21M | $38.06M | $37.04M | $37.19M | $36.21M | $35.51M | $13.75M | $35.39M | $34.19M | $33.50M | $12.50M | $32.39M | $12.47M | $32.82M | $11.36M | $9.88M | $11.34M | $14.11M | $12.57M | $14.05M | $18.55M | $12.20M | $10.57M | $10.05M | $19.88M | $13.00M | $12.24M | $9.53M | $-7.32M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.87% | 0.87% | 1.57% | 0.83% | 1.71% | - | 1.21% | 1.52% | 1.93% | 1.41% | 1.46% | 1.27% | 2.17% | 1.48% | 1.31% | 1.43% | 1.14% | 1.33% | 1.11% | 1.26% | 1.62% |
4 analysts predict ALRM's average Quarter EBITDA for Dec 23 to be $35.50M, with a high of $35.66M and a low of $35.39M. This is 16.25% upper than Alarm.com's previous annual EBITDA (Sep 23) of $30.54M.
Alarm.com Net Income Forecast
| Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | Jun 19 | Mar 19 | Dec 18 | Sep 18 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 19 | 13 |
| Net Income | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $19.52M | $15.80M | $14.42M | $18.09M | $18.33M | - | $9.08M | $8.84M | $13.54M | $14.74M | $14.83M | $15.97M | $36.08M | $17.00M | $8.81M | $13.04M | $17.69M | $13.80M | $9.01M | $7.93M | $-7.65M |
| Avg Forecast | $32.53M | $30.83M | $31.98M | $27.94M | $29.68M | $27.68M | $27.89M | $8.99M | $26.75M | $23.80M | $20.47M | $8.17M | $24.10M | $7.72M | $22.69M | $7.43M | $6.00M | $7.02M | $10.43M | $10.15M | $12.58M | $16.65M | $11.51M | $6.73M | $9.09M | $15.55M | $10.35M | $8.14M | $6.28M | $-4.71M |
| High Forecast | $32.82M | $31.11M | $32.27M | $28.18M | $29.94M | $28.25M | $28.14M | $10.79M | $28.98M | $25.59M | $20.65M | $9.81M | $24.31M | $9.27M | $22.69M | $8.91M | $7.20M | $8.42M | $12.51M | $12.18M | $15.10M | $19.97M | $13.82M | $8.08M | $10.90M | $18.65M | $12.42M | $9.77M | $7.53M | $-3.77M |
| Low Forecast | $32.10M | $30.42M | $31.55M | $27.56M | $29.28M | $27.12M | $27.52M | $7.19M | $25.64M | $20.83M | $20.19M | $6.54M | $23.77M | $6.18M | $22.69M | $5.94M | $4.80M | $5.62M | $8.34M | $8.12M | $10.06M | $13.32M | $9.21M | $5.39M | $7.27M | $12.44M | $8.28M | $6.51M | $5.02M | $-5.66M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.82% | 0.77% | 1.76% | 0.75% | 2.37% | - | 1.22% | 1.47% | 1.93% | 1.41% | 1.46% | 1.27% | 2.17% | 1.48% | 1.31% | 1.43% | 1.14% | 1.33% | 1.11% | 1.26% | 1.62% |
Alarm.com's average Quarter net income forecast for Dec 23 is $26.75M, with a range of $25.64M to $28.98M. ALRM's average Quarter net income forecast represents a 37.03% increase compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $19.52M (Sep 23).
Alarm.com SG&A Forecast
| Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | Jun 19 | Mar 19 | Dec 18 | Sep 18 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 19 | 13 |
| SG&A | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $55.32M | $52.57M | $55.14M | $48.94M | $51.07M | - | $47.19M | $47.15M | $41.25M | $43.80M | $41.88M | $46.57M | $35.82M | $34.28M | $37.94M | $36.60M | $33.23M | $29.50M | $32.44M | $34.15M | $57.79M |
| Avg Forecast | $61.64M | $59.86M | $59.63M | $58.03M | $58.26M | $56.62M | $55.63M | $46.71M | $55.03M | $54.72M | $52.48M | $42.47M | $50.74M | $23.53M | $50.88M | $38.61M | $30.94M | $21.39M | $30.97M | $28.66M | $36.69M | $16.52M | $23.22M | $29.01M | $25.51M | $29.21M | $22.13M | $29.30M | $27.03M | $35.60M |
| High Forecast | $62.05M | $60.27M | $60.03M | $58.43M | $58.66M | $56.84M | $56.00M | $56.06M | $55.29M | $55.66M | $52.84M | $50.96M | $51.08M | $28.23M | $50.88M | $46.33M | $37.13M | $25.66M | $37.16M | $34.39M | $44.03M | $19.83M | $27.87M | $34.82M | $30.61M | $35.05M | $26.55M | $35.16M | $32.44M | $42.72M |
| Low Forecast | $61.00M | $59.24M | $59.01M | $57.43M | $57.66M | $56.13M | $55.05M | $37.37M | $54.86M | $53.01M | $51.94M | $33.97M | $50.21M | $18.82M | $50.88M | $30.89M | $24.75M | $17.11M | $24.77M | $22.92M | $29.35M | $13.22M | $18.58M | $23.21M | $20.41M | $23.36M | $17.70M | $23.44M | $21.63M | $28.48M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.01% | 1.00% | 1.30% | 0.96% | 2.17% | - | 1.22% | 1.52% | 1.93% | 1.41% | 1.46% | 1.27% | 2.17% | 1.48% | 1.31% | 1.43% | 1.14% | 1.33% | 1.11% | 1.26% | 1.62% |
Alarm.com's average Quarter SG&A projection for Dec 23 is $55.03M, based on 4 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $54.86M to $55.29M. The forecast indicates a -0.51% fall compared to ALRM last annual SG&A of $55.32M (Sep 23).
Alarm.com EPS Forecast
| Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | Jun 19 | Mar 19 | Dec 18 | Sep 18 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 19 | 13 |
| EPS | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0.39 | $0.32 | $0.29 | $0.36 | $0.37 | - | $0.18 | $0.18 | $0.27 | $0.30 | $0.30 | $0.32 | $0.74 | $0.35 | $0.18 | $0.27 | $0.36 | $0.29 | $0.19 | $0.16 | $-0.16 |
| Avg Forecast | $0.57 | $0.54 | $0.56 | $0.49 | $0.52 | $0.49 | $0.49 | $0.49 | $0.47 | $0.42 | $0.36 | $0.31 | $0.43 | $0.50 | $0.41 | $0.33 | $0.32 | $0.38 | $0.39 | $0.38 | $0.27 | $0.31 | $0.31 | $0.34 | $0.33 | $0.32 | $0.32 | $0.31 | $0.19 | $0.15 |
| High Forecast | $0.58 | $0.55 | $0.57 | $0.50 | $0.53 | $0.50 | $0.50 | $0.49 | $0.51 | $0.45 | $0.36 | $0.31 | $0.43 | $0.51 | $0.41 | $0.33 | $0.33 | $0.39 | $0.40 | $0.39 | $0.27 | $0.32 | $0.31 | $0.34 | $0.33 | $0.33 | $0.33 | $0.32 | $0.23 | $0.18 |
| Low Forecast | $0.57 | $0.54 | $0.56 | $0.49 | $0.52 | $0.48 | $0.49 | $0.48 | $0.45 | $0.37 | $0.36 | $0.30 | $0.42 | $0.49 | $0.41 | $0.32 | $0.32 | $0.37 | $0.39 | $0.37 | $0.26 | $0.31 | $0.30 | $0.33 | $0.32 | $0.31 | $0.32 | $0.31 | $0.15 | $0.12 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.93% | 0.89% | 0.94% | 0.85% | 0.74% | - | 0.55% | 0.56% | 0.71% | 0.76% | 0.79% | 1.19% | 2.35% | 1.14% | 0.53% | 0.83% | 1.12% | 0.90% | 0.60% | 0.84% | -1.07% |
According to 4 Wall Street analysts, Alarm.com's projected average Quarter EPS for Dec 23 is $0.47, with a low estimate of $0.45 and a high estimate of $0.51. This represents a 21.03% increase compared to ALRM previous annual EPS of $0.39 (Sep 23).
Alarm.com Peer Comparison by Price Target
| Ticker | Company | Last Closing Price | Avg Price Target | Upside/Downside | Avg Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ONTF | ON24 | $6.09 | $18.00 | 195.57% | - |
| PYCR | Paycor HCM | $13.89 | $23.11 | 66.38% | Hold |
| ALRM | Alarm.com | $55.25 | $78.75 | 42.53% | Buy |
| AMSWA | American Software | $10.95 | $15.50 | 41.55% | Buy |
| PCTY | Paylocity | $159.53 | $215.00 | 34.77% | Buy |
| ALKT | Alkami | $30.17 | $34.50 | 14.35% | Buy |
| AGYS | Agilysys | $102.17 | $108.33 | 6.03% | Buy |
| PWSC | PowerSchool | $22.76 | $24.08 | 5.80% | Hold |
| APPF | AppFolio | $225.84 | $225.00 | -0.37% | Buy |
| CWAN | Clearwater Analytics | $24.01 | $22.50 | -6.29% | Buy |
ALRM Forecast FAQ
Is Alarm.com a good buy?
Yes, according to 5 Wall Street analysts, Alarm.com (ALRM) is considered a 'Buy'. The rating consensus is based on 1 'Strong Buy' and 2 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 60.00% of ALRM's total ratings.
What is ALRM's price target?
Alarm.com (ALRM) average price target is $78.75 with a range of $67 to $90, implying a 42.53% from its last price of $55.25. The data is based on 5 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.
Will Alarm.com stock go up soon?
According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for ALRM stock, the company can go up by 42.53% (from the last price of $55.25 to the average price target of $78.75), up by 62.90% based on the highest stock price target, and up by 21.27% based on the lowest stock price target.
Can Alarm.com stock reach $80?
ALRM's highest twelve months analyst stock price target of $90 supports the claim that Alarm.com can reach $80 in the near future.
What are Alarm.com's analysts' financial forecasts?
Alarm.com's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2024) are as follows: average revenue is $916.26M (high $921.78M, low $907.13M), average EBITDA is $127.17M (high $131.25M, low $122.65M), average net income is $94.25M (high $97.12M, low $91.11M), average SG&A $217.23M (high $227.56M, low $206.21M), and average EPS is $1.99 (high $2.02, low $1.96). ALRM's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $977.45M (high $984.08M, low $967.32M), average EBITDA is $154.26M (high $155.31M, low $152.66M), average net income is $123.29M (high $124.38M, low $121.63M), average SG&A $239.16M (high $240.78M, low $236.68M), and average EPS is $2.18 (high $2.19, low $2.15).
Did the ALRM's actual financial results beat the analysts' financial forecasts?
Based on Alarm.com's last annual report (Dec 2022), the company's revenue was $842.56M, beating the average analysts forecast of $819.03M by 2.87%. Apple's EBITDA was $91.97M, missing the average prediction of $95.34M by -3.54%. The company's net income was $56.34M, missing the average estimation of $61.94M by -9.04%. Apple's SG&A was $199.44M, beating the average forecast of $163.75M by 21.79%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $1.13, missing the average prediction of $1.67 by -32.17%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Sep 2023), Alarm.com's revenue was $221.85M, missing the average analysts' forecast of $223.65M by -0.80%. The company's EBITDA was $30.54M, missing the average prediction of $35.3M by -13.48%. Alarm.com's net income was $19.52M, missing the average estimation of $23.8M by -17.98%. The company's SG&A was $55.32M, beating the average forecast of $54.72M by 1.09%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $0.39, missing the average prediction of $0.42 by -7.13%