Alarm.com (ALRM) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions
ALRM Stock Forecast
Alarm.com stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $78.75 (represents a 46.08% upside from ALRM’s last price of $53.91) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 5 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.
ALRM Price Target
ALRM Analyst Ratings
Alarm.com Price Target by Analyst
Date | Analyst | Company | Price Target | Price when Published | Price Target/Price when Published | Price Target/Last Closing Price |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sep 19, 2023 | Darren Aftahi | Roth Capital | $67.00 | $59.89 | 11.87% | 24.28% |
Aug 11, 2022 | - | Maxim Group | $90.00 | $74.73 | 20.43% | 66.94% |
Aug 10, 2022 | - | Barclays | $75.00 | $72.04 | 4.11% | 39.12% |
Aug 10, 2022 | - | Roth Capital | $81.00 | $72.04 | 12.44% | 50.25% |
Aug 10, 2022 | - | Raymond James | $83.00 | $72.04 | 15.21% | 53.96% |
Alarm.com Price Target by Period
1M | 3M | 12M | |
---|---|---|---|
# Anlaysts | - | - | - |
Avg Price Target | - | - | - |
Last Closing Price | $53.91 | $53.91 | $53.91 |
Upside/Downside | -100.00% | -100.00% | -100.00% |
Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades
Date | Company | Previous Rating | New Rating | Rating Change |
---|---|---|---|---|
Sep 06, 2024 | Goldman Sachs | - | Neutral | Initialise |
Aug 11, 2022 | Maxim Group | Buy | Buy | Hold |
Aug 10, 2022 | Barclays | Equal-Weight | Equal-Weight | Hold |
Aug 10, 2022 | Roth Capital | Buy | Buy | Hold |
Aug 10, 2022 | Raymond James | Strong Buy | Strong Buy | Hold |
Feb 28, 2022 | Barclays | Equal-Weight | Equal-Weight | Hold |
Feb 25, 2022 | Raymond James | Strong Buy | Strong Buy | Hold |
Alarm.com Financial Forecast
Alarm.com Revenue Forecast
Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | Jun 19 | Mar 19 | Mar 18 | Mar 17 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $221.85M | $223.88M | $209.72M | $208.14M | $216.14M | $212.84M | $205.44M | $195.29M | $192.32M | $188.86M | $172.50M | $165.58M | $158.85M | $141.64M | $151.94M | $140.49M | $127.88M | $121.66M | $112.33M | $92.76M | $74.19M |
Avg Forecast | $251.92M | $244.65M | $243.69M | $237.19M | $238.12M | $231.43M | $227.35M | $219.36M | $224.93M | $223.65M | $214.50M | $207.28M | $207.37M | $211.68M | $207.96M | $192.02M | $174.47M | $176.81M | $162.64M | $154.25M | $146.04M | $129.51M | $118.64M | $125.36M | $113.60M | $114.62M | $109.49M | $102.74M | $73.69M | $48.39M |
High Forecast | $251.92M | $244.65M | $243.69M | $237.19M | $238.12M | $232.31M | $227.35M | $220.07M | $225.97M | $227.47M | $214.50M | $207.28M | $207.37M | $211.68M | $207.96M | $192.02M | $174.47M | $176.81M | $162.64M | $154.25M | $146.04M | $129.51M | $118.64M | $125.36M | $113.60M | $114.62M | $109.49M | $102.74M | $88.43M | $58.07M |
Low Forecast | $251.92M | $244.65M | $243.69M | $237.19M | $238.12M | $229.40M | $227.35M | $218.64M | $224.22M | $216.64M | $214.50M | $207.28M | $207.37M | $211.68M | $207.96M | $192.02M | $174.47M | $176.81M | $162.64M | $154.25M | $146.04M | $129.51M | $118.64M | $125.36M | $113.60M | $114.62M | $109.49M | $102.74M | $58.96M | $38.71M |
# Analysts | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 9 |
Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.99% | 1.04% | 1.01% | 1.00% | 1.02% | 1.02% | 1.07% | 1.12% | 1.09% | 1.16% | 1.12% | 1.13% | 1.23% | 1.19% | 1.21% | 1.24% | 1.12% | 1.11% | 1.09% | 1.26% | 1.53% |
Alarm.com EBITDA Forecast
Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | Jun 19 | Mar 19 | Mar 18 | Mar 17 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
# Analysts | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 9 |
EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $30.54M | $29.34M | $24.59M | $27.14M | $26.73M | $20.58M | $17.18M | $18.82M | $27.33M | $24.95M | $22.96M | $22.30M | $50.27M | $22.51M | $17.27M | $18.02M | $28.27M | $21.66M | $16.95M | $17.65M | $7.83M |
Avg Forecast | $39.76M | $38.61M | $38.46M | $37.43M | $37.58M | $36.52M | $35.88M | $17.19M | $35.50M | $35.30M | $33.85M | $15.62M | $13.59M | $33.41M | $32.82M | $14.20M | $27.54M | $27.90M | $25.67M | $15.71M | $23.05M | $20.44M | $18.72M | $13.21M | $17.93M | $18.09M | $17.28M | $15.31M | $13.07M | $4.02M |
High Forecast | $39.76M | $38.61M | $38.46M | $37.43M | $37.58M | $36.66M | $35.88M | $20.62M | $35.66M | $35.90M | $33.85M | $18.75M | $16.30M | $33.41M | $32.82M | $17.04M | $27.54M | $27.90M | $25.67M | $18.85M | $23.05M | $20.44M | $18.72M | $15.85M | $17.93M | $18.09M | $17.28M | $18.37M | $15.69M | $4.83M |
Low Forecast | $39.76M | $38.61M | $38.46M | $37.43M | $37.58M | $36.20M | $35.88M | $13.75M | $35.39M | $34.19M | $33.85M | $12.50M | $10.87M | $33.41M | $32.82M | $11.36M | $27.54M | $27.90M | $25.67M | $12.57M | $23.05M | $20.44M | $18.72M | $10.57M | $17.93M | $18.09M | $17.28M | $12.24M | $10.46M | $3.22M |
Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.87% | 0.87% | 1.57% | 2.00% | 0.80% | 0.63% | 1.21% | 0.68% | 0.98% | 0.97% | 1.46% | 0.97% | 2.46% | 1.20% | 1.31% | 1.01% | 1.56% | 1.25% | 1.11% | 1.35% | 1.95% |
Alarm.com Net Income Forecast
Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | Jun 19 | Mar 19 | Mar 18 | Mar 17 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
# Analysts | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 9 |
Net Income | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $19.52M | $15.80M | $14.42M | $18.09M | $18.33M | $10.84M | $9.08M | $8.84M | $13.54M | $14.74M | $14.83M | $15.97M | $36.08M | $17.00M | $8.81M | $13.04M | $17.69M | $13.80M | $9.01M | $10.52M | $3.96M |
Avg Forecast | $32.51M | $30.88M | $31.98M | $27.97M | $29.68M | $27.68M | $27.89M | $8.99M | $26.75M | $23.80M | $20.47M | $8.17M | $6.60M | $28.43M | $23.36M | $7.43M | $18.27M | $21.47M | $22.25M | $10.15M | $15.21M | $17.82M | $17.45M | $6.73M | $18.53M | $18.19M | $18.29M | $8.14M | $7.79M | $2.03M |
High Forecast | $32.51M | $30.88M | $31.98M | $27.97M | $29.68M | $28.25M | $27.90M | $10.79M | $28.98M | $25.59M | $20.47M | $9.81M | $7.92M | $28.43M | $23.36M | $8.91M | $18.27M | $21.47M | $22.25M | $12.18M | $15.21M | $17.82M | $17.45M | $8.08M | $18.53M | $18.19M | $18.29M | $9.77M | $9.35M | $2.44M |
Low Forecast | $32.51M | $30.88M | $31.98M | $27.97M | $29.68M | $27.12M | $27.89M | $7.19M | $25.64M | $20.83M | $20.47M | $6.54M | $5.28M | $28.43M | $23.36M | $5.94M | $18.27M | $21.47M | $22.25M | $8.12M | $15.21M | $17.82M | $17.45M | $5.39M | $18.53M | $18.19M | $18.29M | $6.51M | $6.23M | $1.63M |
Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.82% | 0.77% | 1.76% | 2.74% | 0.64% | 0.46% | 1.22% | 0.48% | 0.63% | 0.66% | 1.46% | 1.05% | 2.02% | 0.97% | 1.31% | 0.70% | 0.97% | 0.75% | 1.11% | 1.35% | 1.95% |
Alarm.com SG&A Forecast
Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | Jun 19 | Mar 19 | Mar 18 | Mar 17 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
# Analysts | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 9 |
SG&A | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $55.32M | $52.57M | $55.14M | $48.94M | $51.07M | $52.24M | $47.19M | $47.15M | $41.25M | $43.80M | $41.88M | $46.57M | $35.82M | $34.28M | $37.94M | $36.60M | $33.23M | $29.50M | $32.44M | $26.98M | $25.69M |
Avg Forecast | $61.64M | $59.86M | $59.62M | $58.03M | $58.26M | $56.62M | $55.63M | $46.71M | $55.03M | $54.72M | $52.48M | $42.47M | $34.03M | $51.79M | $50.88M | $38.61M | $42.69M | $43.26M | $39.79M | $28.66M | $35.73M | $31.69M | $29.03M | $29.01M | $27.79M | $28.04M | $26.79M | $29.30M | $19.99M | $13.19M |
High Forecast | $61.64M | $59.86M | $59.62M | $58.03M | $58.26M | $56.84M | $55.63M | $56.06M | $55.29M | $55.66M | $52.48M | $50.96M | $40.84M | $51.79M | $50.88M | $46.33M | $42.69M | $43.26M | $39.79M | $34.39M | $35.73M | $31.69M | $29.03M | $34.82M | $27.79M | $28.04M | $26.79M | $35.16M | $23.99M | $15.82M |
Low Forecast | $61.64M | $59.86M | $59.62M | $58.03M | $58.26M | $56.13M | $55.63M | $37.37M | $54.86M | $53.01M | $52.48M | $33.97M | $27.23M | $51.79M | $50.88M | $30.89M | $42.69M | $43.26M | $39.79M | $22.92M | $35.73M | $31.69M | $29.03M | $23.21M | $27.79M | $28.04M | $26.79M | $23.44M | $15.99M | $10.55M |
Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.01% | 1.00% | 1.30% | 1.44% | 0.99% | 1.03% | 1.22% | 1.10% | 0.95% | 1.10% | 1.46% | 1.30% | 1.13% | 1.18% | 1.31% | 1.32% | 1.19% | 1.10% | 1.11% | 1.35% | 1.95% |
Alarm.com EPS Forecast
Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | Jun 19 | Mar 19 | Mar 18 | Mar 17 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
# Analysts | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 9 |
EPS | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0.39 | $0.32 | $0.29 | $0.36 | $0.37 | $0.22 | $0.18 | $0.18 | $0.27 | $0.30 | $0.30 | $0.32 | $0.74 | $0.35 | $0.18 | $0.27 | $0.36 | $0.29 | $0.19 | $0.22 | $0.09 |
Avg Forecast | $0.57 | $0.54 | $0.56 | $0.49 | $0.52 | $0.49 | $0.49 | $0.49 | $0.47 | $0.42 | $0.36 | $0.31 | $0.43 | $0.50 | $0.41 | $0.33 | $0.32 | $0.38 | $0.39 | $0.38 | $0.27 | $0.31 | $0.31 | $0.34 | $0.33 | $0.32 | $0.32 | $0.31 | $0.20 | $0.08 |
High Forecast | $0.57 | $0.54 | $0.56 | $0.49 | $0.52 | $0.50 | $0.49 | $0.49 | $0.51 | $0.45 | $0.36 | $0.31 | $0.43 | $0.50 | $0.41 | $0.33 | $0.32 | $0.38 | $0.39 | $0.38 | $0.27 | $0.31 | $0.31 | $0.34 | $0.33 | $0.32 | $0.32 | $0.31 | $0.24 | $0.09 |
Low Forecast | $0.57 | $0.54 | $0.56 | $0.49 | $0.52 | $0.48 | $0.49 | $0.49 | $0.45 | $0.37 | $0.36 | $0.31 | $0.43 | $0.50 | $0.41 | $0.33 | $0.32 | $0.38 | $0.39 | $0.38 | $0.27 | $0.31 | $0.31 | $0.34 | $0.33 | $0.32 | $0.32 | $0.31 | $0.16 | $0.06 |
Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.93% | 0.89% | 0.94% | 0.85% | 0.74% | 0.53% | 0.55% | 0.56% | 0.71% | 0.76% | 0.79% | 1.19% | 2.35% | 1.14% | 0.53% | 0.83% | 1.12% | 0.90% | 0.60% | 1.10% | 1.13% |
Alarm.com Peer Comparison by Price Target
Ticker | Company | Last Closing Price | Avg Price Target | Upside/Downside | Avg Rating |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
ONTF | ON24 | $5.94 | $18.00 | 203.03% | - |
ALRM | Alarm.com | $53.91 | $78.75 | 46.08% | Buy |
AMSWA | American Software | $10.95 | $15.50 | 41.55% | Buy |
PYCR | Paycor HCM | $15.71 | $22.00 | 40.04% | Hold |
APPF | AppFolio | $212.00 | $278.00 | 31.13% | Buy |
ALKT | Alkami | $36.53 | $45.67 | 25.02% | Buy |
PCTY | Paylocity | $191.35 | $216.64 | 13.22% | Buy |
AGYS | Agilysys | $102.95 | $116.20 | 12.87% | Buy |
CWAN | Clearwater Analytics | $26.31 | $26.33 | 0.08% | Buy |
ALRM Forecast FAQ
Is Alarm.com a good buy?
Yes, according to 5 Wall Street analysts, Alarm.com (ALRM) is considered a 'Buy'. The rating consensus is based on 1 'Strong Buy' and 2 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 60.00% of ALRM's total ratings.
What is ALRM's price target?
Alarm.com (ALRM) average price target is $78.75 with a range of $67 to $90, implying a 46.08% from its last price of $53.91. The data is based on 5 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.
Will Alarm.com stock go up soon?
According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for ALRM stock, the company can go up by 46.08% (from the last price of $53.91 to the average price target of $78.75), up by 66.94% based on the highest stock price target, and up by 24.28% based on the lowest stock price target.
Can Alarm.com stock reach $80?
ALRM's highest twelve months analyst stock price target of $90 supports the claim that Alarm.com can reach $80 in the near future.
What are Alarm.com's analysts' financial forecasts?
Alarm.com's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2024) are as follows: average revenue is $916.26M (high $917.85M, low $913.51M), average EBITDA is $127.17M (high $130.75M, low $123.41M), average net income is $94.25M (high $96.61M, low $91.88M), average SG&A $217.23M (high $226.78M, low $207.39M), and average EPS is $1.99 (high $2, low $1.98). ALRM's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $977.45M (high $977.45M, low $977.45M), average EBITDA is $154.26M (high $154.26M, low $154.26M), average net income is $123.34M (high $123.34M, low $123.34M), average SG&A $239.15M (high $239.15M, low $239.15M), and average EPS is $2.18 (high $2.18, low $2.18).
Did the ALRM's actual financial results beat the analysts' financial forecasts?
Based on Alarm.com's last annual report (Dec 2022), the company's revenue was $842.56M, beating the average analysts forecast of $819.03M by 2.87%. Apple's EBITDA was $91.97M, missing the average prediction of $94.02M by -2.18%. The company's net income was $56.34M, missing the average estimation of $65.83M by -14.41%. Apple's SG&A was $199.44M, beating the average forecast of $175.32M by 13.76%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $1.13, missing the average prediction of $1.67 by -32.17%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Sep 2023), Alarm.com's revenue was $221.85M, missing the average analysts' forecast of $223.65M by -0.80%. The company's EBITDA was $30.54M, missing the average prediction of $35.3M by -13.48%. Alarm.com's net income was $19.52M, missing the average estimation of $23.8M by -17.98%. The company's SG&A was $55.32M, beating the average forecast of $54.72M by 1.09%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $0.39, missing the average prediction of $0.42 by -7.13%