ZTO Express (ZTO) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions
ZTO Stock Forecast
ZTO Express stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $27.93 (represents a 33.51% upside from ZTO’s last price of $20.92) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 7 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.
ZTO Price Target
The average price target for ZTO Express (ZTO) is $27.93 based on 1-year price targets from 7 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $32.80 to $21.20. This represents a potential 33.51% upside from ZTO's last price of $20.92.
ZTO Analyst Ratings
According to 7 Wall Street analysts, ZTO Express's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for ZTO stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 6 'Buy' (85.71%), 1 'Hold' (14.29%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).
ZTO Express Price Target by Analyst
| Date | Analyst | Company | Price Target | Price when Published | Price Target/Price when Published | Price Target/Last Closing Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2024 | Qianlei Fan | Morgan Stanley | $27.70 | $22.27 | 24.38% | 32.41% |
| Jun 26, 2024 | Ellie Jiang | Macquarie | $21.20 | $21.18 | 0.07% | 1.34% |
| Mar 21, 2024 | Parash Jain | HSBC | $30.00 | $21.67 | 38.44% | 43.40% |
| Nov 23, 2022 | - | Citigroup | $32.80 | $23.05 | 42.30% | 56.79% |
| Nov 23, 2022 | Parash Jain | HSBC | $33.00 | $22.29 | 48.05% | 57.74% |
The latest ZTO Express stock forecast, released on Sep 25, 2024 by Qianlei Fan from Morgan Stanley, set a price target of $27.70, which represents a 24.38% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($22.27), and a 32.41% increase from ZTO last price ($20.92).
ZTO Express Price Target by Period
| 1M | 3M | 12M | |
|---|---|---|---|
| # Anlaysts | - | 1 | 3 |
| Avg Price Target | - | $27.70 | $26.30 |
| Last Closing Price | $20.92 | $20.92 | $20.92 |
| Upside/Downside | -100.00% | 32.41% | 25.72% |
In the current month, the average price target of ZTO Express stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to ZTO Express's last price of $20.92. This month's average price target is down -100.00% compared to last quarter, and down -100.00% compared to last year.
Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades
| Date | Company | Previous Rating | New Rating | Rating Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 07, 2024 | Macquarie | Neutral | Neutral | Hold |
| Sep 25, 2024 | Morgan Stanley | Overweight | Overweight | Hold |
| Jun 26, 2024 | Macquarie | - | Neutral | Downgrade |
| Mar 27, 2024 | Bank of America Securities | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Aug 31, 2023 | Bernstein | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
| Apr 24, 2023 | Goldman Sachs | - | Buy | Upgrade |
| Mar 17, 2023 | HSBC | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Nov 23, 2022 | Citigroup | Buy | Buy | Hold |
ZTO Express's last stock rating was published by Macquarie on Oct 07, 2024. The company gave ZTO a "Neutral" rating, the same as its previous rate.
ZTO Express Financial Forecast
ZTO Express Revenue Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $8.98B | $9.87B | $8.94B | $8.66B | $7.90B | $9.22B | $7.39B | $7.33B | $6.47B | $8.26B | $6.64B | $6.40B | $3.92B | $6.85B | $5.27B |
| Avg Forecast | $14.42B | $11.75B | $12.40B | $11.49B | $13.36B | $11.10B | $11.51B | $10.77B | $12.10B | $10.37B | $10.75B | $9.31B | $10.87B | $9.84B | $10.21B | $9.16B | $9.98B | $8.71B | $8.43B | $7.81B | $9.65B | $7.76B | $7.63B | $6.13B | $8.24B | $6.24B | $6.38B | $4.50B | $6.72B | $5.35B |
| High Forecast | $14.42B | $11.75B | $12.40B | $11.49B | $13.36B | $11.10B | $11.51B | $10.77B | $12.10B | $10.54B | $10.75B | $9.31B | $10.87B | $9.84B | $10.21B | $9.16B | $9.98B | $8.71B | $8.43B | $7.81B | $9.65B | $7.76B | $7.63B | $6.13B | $8.24B | $6.24B | $6.38B | $4.50B | $6.72B | $5.35B |
| Low Forecast | $14.42B | $11.75B | $12.40B | $11.49B | $13.36B | $11.10B | $11.51B | $10.77B | $12.10B | $10.10B | $10.75B | $9.31B | $10.87B | $9.84B | $10.21B | $9.16B | $9.98B | $8.71B | $8.43B | $7.81B | $9.65B | $7.76B | $7.63B | $6.13B | $8.24B | $6.24B | $6.38B | $4.50B | $6.72B | $5.35B |
| # Analysts | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 12 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.98% | 0.99% | 1.03% | 1.03% | 1.01% | 0.96% | 0.95% | 0.96% | 1.06% | 1.00% | 1.06% | 1.00% | 0.87% | 1.02% | 0.98% |
ZTO Express's average Quarter revenue forecast for Jun 23 based on 2 analysts is $10.21B, with a low forecast of $10.21B, and a high forecast of $10.21B. ZTO's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a 13.69% increase compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $8.98B (Mar 23).
ZTO Express EBITDA Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 12 |
| EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $2.04B | $2.57B | $2.34B | $2.10B | $1.23B | $2.16B | $1.45B | $1.58B | $698.85M | $1.59B | $1.19B | $1.76B | $504.76M | $2.66B | $1.57B |
| Avg Forecast | $3.89B | $3.17B | $3.34B | $3.10B | $3.60B | $2.99B | $3.10B | $2.91B | $3.26B | $2.80B | $2.90B | $4.18B | $2.93B | $2.65B | $2.75B | $3.62B | $9.90B | $2.19B | $2.12B | $3.04B | $2.43B | $1.95B | $1.92B | $1.54B | $2.08B | $1.57B | $1.61B | $3.08B | $1.69B | $1.35B |
| High Forecast | $3.89B | $3.17B | $3.34B | $3.10B | $3.60B | $2.99B | $3.10B | $2.91B | $3.26B | $2.84B | $2.90B | $5.02B | $2.93B | $2.65B | $2.75B | $4.34B | $11.88B | $2.19B | $2.12B | $3.64B | $2.43B | $1.95B | $1.92B | $1.54B | $2.08B | $1.57B | $1.61B | $3.70B | $1.69B | $1.35B |
| Low Forecast | $3.89B | $3.17B | $3.34B | $3.10B | $3.60B | $2.99B | $3.10B | $2.91B | $3.26B | $2.72B | $2.90B | $3.35B | $2.93B | $2.65B | $2.75B | $2.89B | $7.92B | $2.19B | $2.12B | $2.43B | $2.43B | $1.95B | $1.92B | $1.54B | $2.08B | $1.57B | $1.61B | $2.46B | $1.69B | $1.35B |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.56% | 0.26% | 1.06% | 0.99% | 0.40% | 0.89% | 0.74% | 0.82% | 0.45% | 0.77% | 0.76% | 1.09% | 0.16% | 1.57% | 1.17% |
2 analysts predict ZTO's average Quarter EBITDA for Jun 23 to be $2.75B, with a high of $2.75B and a low of $2.75B. This is 34.85% upper than ZTO Express's previous annual EBITDA (Mar 23) of $2.04B.
ZTO Express Net Income Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 12 |
| Net Income | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $1.67B | $2.16B | $1.93B | $1.81B | $906.27M | $1.73B | $1.17B | $1.29B | $533.63M | $1.29B | $1.20B | $1.45B | $374.70M | $2.33B | $1.31B |
| Avg Forecast | $3.38B | $2.91B | $3.15B | $3.00B | $3.09B | $2.71B | $2.91B | $2.78B | $2.73B | $2.38B | $2.62B | $3.10B | $2.25B | $2.31B | $2.35B | $2.68B | $7.38B | $1.54B | $1.53B | $2.25B | $1.73B | $1.23B | $7.99B | $573.68M | $1.49B | $1.25B | $1.57B | $2.29B | $1.63B | $1.27B |
| High Forecast | $3.38B | $2.91B | $3.15B | $3.00B | $3.09B | $2.71B | $2.91B | $2.78B | $2.73B | $2.38B | $2.64B | $3.73B | $2.25B | $2.31B | $2.35B | $3.22B | $8.86B | $1.54B | $1.53B | $2.71B | $1.73B | $1.23B | $9.59B | $573.68M | $1.49B | $1.25B | $1.57B | $2.74B | $1.63B | $1.27B |
| Low Forecast | $3.38B | $2.91B | $3.15B | $3.00B | $3.09B | $2.71B | $2.91B | $2.78B | $2.73B | $2.32B | $2.61B | $2.48B | $2.25B | $2.31B | $2.35B | $2.15B | $5.90B | $1.54B | $1.53B | $1.80B | $1.73B | $1.23B | $6.39B | $573.68M | $1.49B | $1.25B | $1.57B | $1.83B | $1.63B | $1.27B |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.62% | 0.29% | 1.25% | 1.18% | 0.40% | 1.00% | 0.95% | 0.16% | 0.93% | 0.86% | 0.96% | 0.92% | 0.16% | 1.43% | 1.03% |
ZTO Express's average Quarter net income forecast for Jun 23 is $2.35B, with a range of $2.35B to $2.35B. ZTO's average Quarter net income forecast represents a 40.60% increase compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $1.67B (Mar 23).
ZTO Express SG&A Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 12 |
| SG&A | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $786.61M | $560.86M | $441.41M | $456.91M | $618.20M | $472.28M | $389.36M | $394.01M | $620.22M | $417.57M | $373.67M | $312.42M | $560.05M | $392.21M | $290.89M |
| Avg Forecast | $921.25M | $750.61M | $792.10M | $734.28M | $853.89M | $708.92M | $735.28M | $688.36M | $773.15M | $662.70M | $687.07M | $4.64B | $694.31M | $628.84M | $652.53M | $4.01B | $1.96B | $556.78M | $538.75M | $3.37B | $616.39M | $495.55M | $2.44B | $391.78M | $526.59M | $398.73M | $407.32M | $3.42B | $429.58M | $341.88M |
| High Forecast | $921.25M | $750.61M | $792.10M | $734.28M | $853.89M | $708.92M | $735.28M | $688.36M | $773.15M | $673.56M | $687.07M | $5.57B | $694.31M | $628.84M | $652.53M | $4.81B | $2.36B | $556.78M | $538.75M | $4.04B | $616.39M | $495.55M | $2.92B | $391.78M | $526.59M | $398.73M | $407.32M | $4.10B | $429.58M | $341.88M |
| Low Forecast | $921.25M | $750.61M | $792.10M | $734.28M | $853.89M | $708.92M | $735.28M | $688.36M | $773.15M | $645.03M | $687.07M | $3.71B | $694.31M | $628.84M | $652.53M | $3.21B | $1.57B | $556.78M | $538.75M | $2.70B | $616.39M | $495.55M | $1.95B | $391.78M | $526.59M | $398.73M | $407.32M | $2.73B | $429.58M | $341.88M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.20% | 0.29% | 0.79% | 0.85% | 0.18% | 0.77% | 0.79% | 0.16% | 1.58% | 0.79% | 0.94% | 0.77% | 0.16% | 0.91% | 0.85% |
ZTO Express's average Quarter SG&A projection for Jun 23 is $652.53M, based on 2 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $652.53M to $652.53M. The forecast indicates a -17.05% fall compared to ZTO last annual SG&A of $786.61M (Mar 23).
ZTO Express EPS Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 12 |
| EPS | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $2.07 | $2.67 | $2.39 | $2.23 | $1.12 | $2.14 | $1.43 | $1.56 | $0.64 | $1.55 | $1.53 | $1.85 | $0.48 | $2.98 | $1.67 |
| Avg Forecast | $4.02 | $3.47 | $3.76 | $3.57 | $3.68 | $3.22 | $3.46 | $3.31 | $3.25 | $2.84 | $3.12 | $2.27 | $2.68 | $2.75 | $2.80 | $1.79 | $2.57 | $1.84 | $1.82 | $1.35 | $2.06 | $1.46 | $1.49 | $0.68 | $1.77 | $1.49 | $1.87 | $0.66 | $1.94 | $1.51 |
| High Forecast | $4.02 | $3.47 | $3.76 | $3.57 | $3.68 | $3.22 | $3.46 | $3.31 | $3.25 | $2.84 | $3.14 | $2.27 | $2.68 | $2.75 | $2.80 | $1.79 | $2.57 | $1.84 | $1.82 | $1.35 | $2.06 | $1.46 | $1.49 | $0.68 | $1.77 | $1.49 | $1.87 | $0.66 | $1.94 | $1.51 |
| Low Forecast | $4.02 | $3.47 | $3.76 | $3.57 | $3.68 | $3.22 | $3.46 | $3.31 | $3.25 | $2.77 | $3.10 | $2.27 | $2.68 | $2.75 | $2.80 | $1.79 | $2.57 | $1.84 | $1.82 | $1.35 | $2.06 | $1.46 | $1.49 | $0.68 | $1.77 | $1.49 | $1.87 | $0.66 | $1.94 | $1.51 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.15% | 1.04% | 1.30% | 1.22% | 0.83% | 1.04% | 0.98% | 1.04% | 0.94% | 0.87% | 1.03% | 0.99% | 0.72% | 1.54% | 1.10% |
According to 2 Wall Street analysts, ZTO Express's projected average Quarter EPS for Jun 23 is $2.80, with a low estimate of $2.80 and a high estimate of $2.80. This represents a 35.11% increase compared to ZTO previous annual EPS of $2.07 (Mar 23).
ZTO Express Peer Comparison by Price Target
| Ticker | Company | Last Closing Price | Avg Price Target | Upside/Downside | Avg Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FWRD | Forward Air | $36.07 | $73.83 | 104.69% | Buy |
| HUBG | Hub Group | $49.88 | $86.62 | 73.66% | Hold |
| ZTO | ZTO Express | $20.92 | $27.93 | 33.51% | Buy |
| EXPD | Expeditors of Washington | $120.96 | $155.57 | 28.61% | Hold |
| JBHT | J.B. Hunt Transport Services | $184.51 | $192.60 | 4.38% | Buy |
| CHRW | C.H. Robinson Worldwide | $111.48 | $104.90 | -5.90% | Buy |
| LSTR | Landstar System | $187.41 | $166.60 | -11.10% | Hold |