Yum China (YUMC) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions


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YUMC Stock Forecast


Yum China stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $64.49 (represents a 33.52% upside from YUMC’s last price of $48.30) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 8 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.

YUMC Price Target


The average price target for Yum China (YUMC) is $64.49 based on 1-year price targets from 8 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $123.00 to $37.40. This represents a potential 33.52% upside from YUMC's last price of $48.30.

YUMC Analyst Ratings


Buy

According to 8 Wall Street analysts, Yum China's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for YUMC stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 6 'Buy' (75.00%), 1 'Hold' (12.50%), 1 'Sell' (12.50%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).

Yum China Price Target by Analyst


DateAnalystCompanyPrice TargetPrice when PublishedPrice Target/Price when PublishedPrice Target/Last Closing Price
Oct 16, 2024Chen LuoBank of America Securities$49.00$44.1910.88%1.45%
Sep 30, 2024Xiaopo WeiCitigroup$58.80$45.3529.66%21.74%
Aug 06, 2024Linda HuangMacquarie$37.40$33.1212.92%-22.57%
Jun 24, 2024Lilian HouMorgan Stanley$56.00$32.1674.13%15.94%
Nov 03, 2022Edward LuiBOCOM International Holdings Company$55.80$46.3220.47%15.53%
Apr 29, 2021Christopher CarrilRBC Capital$123.00$62.6396.39%154.66%
Apr 29, 2021Lina YanHSBC$71.40$62.6314.00%47.83%
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The latest Yum China stock forecast, released on Oct 16, 2024 by Chen Luo from Bank of America Securities, set a price target of $49.00, which represents a 10.88% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($44.19), and a 1.45% increase from YUMC last price ($48.30).

Yum China Price Target by Period


1M3M12M
# Anlaysts134
Avg Price Target$49.00$48.40$50.30
Last Closing Price$48.30$48.30$48.30
Upside/Downside1.45%0.21%4.14%

In the current month, the average price target of Yum China stock is $49.00, according to 1 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a 1.45% increase as opposed to Yum China's last price of $48.30. This month's average price target is up 1.24% compared to last quarter, and down -2.58% compared to last year.

Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades


DateCompanyPrevious RatingNew RatingRating Change
Oct 16, 2024Bank of America SecuritiesBuyBuyHold
Sep 30, 2024CitigroupBuyBuyHold
Aug 06, 2024Macquarie-OutperformUpgrade
Jul 10, 2024OTR GlobalPositiveNegativeDowngrade
Jun 24, 2024Morgan StanleyOverweightOverweightHold
Sep 15, 2023CLSA-BuyUpgrade
May 05, 2023CMB International Securities-BuyUpgrade
Apr 12, 2023OTR Global-PositiveUpgrade
Aug 10, 2022CitigroupCautiousCautiousHold
Apr 26, 2022Zacks Investment Research-HoldUpgrade
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Yum China's last stock rating was published by Bank of America Securities on Oct 16, 2024. The company gave YUMC a "Buy" rating, the same as its previous rate.

Yum China Financial Forecast


Yum China Revenue Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
Revenue------------$2.49B$2.91B$2.65B$2.92B$2.09B$2.69B$2.13B$2.67B$2.29B$2.55B$2.45B$2.56B$2.26B$2.35B$1.90B$1.75B$2.03B$2.32B
Avg Forecast$2.69B$3.16B$2.84B$3.13B$2.63B$3.10B$2.79B$3.07B$2.63B$3.03B$2.76B$3.05B$2.32B$3.12B$2.72B$2.77B$2.26B$2.72B$2.17B$2.55B$2.36B$2.54B$2.45B$2.32B$2.17B$2.31B$1.96B$1.56B$2.03B$2.37B
High Forecast$2.69B$3.16B$2.84B$3.13B$2.63B$3.10B$2.79B$3.07B$2.63B$3.08B$2.76B$3.05B$2.43B$3.15B$2.72B$2.77B$2.26B$2.72B$2.17B$2.55B$2.36B$2.54B$2.45B$2.32B$2.17B$2.31B$1.96B$1.56B$2.03B$2.37B
Low Forecast$2.69B$3.16B$2.84B$3.13B$2.63B$3.10B$2.79B$3.07B$2.63B$3.00B$2.76B$3.05B$2.18B$3.08B$2.72B$2.77B$2.26B$2.72B$2.17B$2.55B$2.36B$2.54B$2.45B$2.32B$2.17B$2.31B$1.96B$1.56B$2.03B$2.37B
# Analysts444433334544554433334444499988
Surprise %------------1.07%0.93%0.98%1.05%0.92%0.99%0.98%1.05%0.97%1.00%1.00%1.10%1.04%1.02%0.97%1.12%1.00%0.98%

Yum China's average Quarter revenue forecast for Mar 24 based on 4 analysts is $3.05B, with a low forecast of $3.05B, and a high forecast of $3.05B. YUMC's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a 22.48% increase compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $2.49B (Dec 23).

Yum China EBITDA Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts444433334544554433334444499988
EBITDA------------$258.00M$438.00M$408.00M$556.00M$215.00M$513.00M$266.00M$421.00M$783.00M$292.00M$385.00M$475.00M$352.00M$718.00M$290.00M$212.00M$328.00M$509.00M
Avg Forecast$491.52M$578.00M$520.09M$572.70M$481.57M$566.40M$509.62M$560.78M$481.36M$553.56M$504.26M$490.95M$424.50M$570.98M$497.50M$446.32M$1.39B$496.88M$396.81M$405.74M$430.93M$465.03M$448.52M$380.00M$396.51M$422.21M$358.94M$527.80M$370.85M$433.06M
High Forecast$491.52M$578.00M$520.09M$572.70M$481.57M$566.40M$509.62M$560.78M$481.36M$564.34M$504.26M$589.14M$444.21M$577.18M$497.50M$535.58M$1.67B$496.88M$396.81M$486.89M$430.93M$465.03M$448.52M$456.00M$396.51M$422.21M$358.94M$633.36M$370.85M$433.06M
Low Forecast$491.52M$578.00M$520.09M$572.70M$481.57M$566.40M$509.62M$560.78M$481.36M$548.17M$504.26M$392.76M$399.43M$563.33M$497.50M$357.05M$1.11B$496.88M$396.81M$324.59M$430.93M$465.03M$448.52M$304.00M$396.51M$422.21M$358.94M$422.24M$370.85M$433.06M
Surprise %------------0.61%0.77%0.82%1.25%0.15%1.03%0.67%1.04%1.82%0.63%0.86%1.25%0.89%1.70%0.81%0.40%0.88%1.18%

4 analysts predict YUMC's average Quarter EBITDA for Mar 24 to be $490.95M, with a high of $589.14M and a low of $392.76M. This is 90.29% upper than Yum China's previous annual EBITDA (Dec 23) of $258.00M.

Yum China Net Income Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts444433334544554433334444499988
Net Income------------$97.00M$244.00M$197.00M$289.00M$53.00M$206.00M$83.00M$100.00M$476.00M$104.00M$181.00M$230.00M$151.00M$439.00M$132.00M$62.00M$90.00M$223.00M
Avg Forecast$129.66M$270.75M$253.46M$326.42M$139.88M$286.89M$247.53M$312.06M$118.05M$259.00M$183.64M$148.32M$64.29M$252.55M$178.38M$134.84M$857.51M$120.30M$-1.86M$122.58M$79.53M$119.70M$171.53M$190.00M$105.99M$181.74M$95.04M$161.20M$67.42M$214.87M
High Forecast$129.66M$270.75M$253.46M$326.42M$139.88M$286.89M$247.53M$312.06M$118.05M$278.05M$183.71M$177.99M$84.07M$259.98M$178.38M$161.81M$1.03B$120.30M$-1.86M$147.10M$79.53M$119.70M$171.53M$228.00M$105.99M$181.74M$95.04M$193.44M$67.42M$214.87M
Low Forecast$129.66M$270.75M$253.46M$326.42M$139.88M$286.89M$247.53M$312.06M$118.05M$243.77M$183.58M$118.66M$39.57M$245.12M$178.38M$107.87M$686.01M$120.30M$-1.86M$98.06M$79.53M$119.70M$171.53M$152.00M$105.99M$181.74M$95.04M$128.96M$67.42M$214.87M
Surprise %------------1.51%0.97%1.10%2.14%0.06%1.71%-44.72%0.82%5.98%0.87%1.06%1.21%1.42%2.42%1.39%0.38%1.33%1.04%

Yum China's average Quarter net income forecast for Mar 24 is $148.32M, with a range of $118.66M to $177.99M. YUMC's average Quarter net income forecast represents a 52.91% increase compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $97.00M (Dec 23).

Yum China SG&A Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts444433334544554433334444499988
SG&A------------$153.00M$169.00M$153.00M$163.00M$145.00M$157.00M$141.00M$151.00M$156.00M$142.00M$136.00M$130.00M$140.00M$127.00M$113.00M$99.00M$147.00M$117.00M
Avg Forecast$154.91M$182.16M$163.91M$180.49M$151.77M$178.51M$160.61M$176.74M$151.71M$174.46M$158.92M$223.97M$133.79M$179.95M$156.79M$203.61M$281.63M$156.60M$125.06M$185.10M$135.81M$146.56M$141.36M$107.39M$124.97M$133.06M$113.12M$257.40M$116.88M$136.49M
High Forecast$154.91M$182.16M$163.91M$180.49M$151.77M$178.51M$160.61M$176.74M$151.71M$177.86M$158.92M$268.76M$140.00M$181.91M$156.79M$244.33M$337.95M$156.60M$125.06M$222.12M$135.81M$146.56M$141.36M$128.87M$124.97M$133.06M$113.12M$308.88M$116.88M$136.49M
Low Forecast$154.91M$182.16M$163.91M$180.49M$151.77M$178.51M$160.61M$176.74M$151.71M$172.76M$158.92M$179.17M$125.88M$177.54M$156.79M$162.89M$225.30M$156.60M$125.06M$148.08M$135.81M$146.56M$141.36M$85.91M$124.97M$133.06M$113.12M$205.92M$116.88M$136.49M
Surprise %------------1.14%0.94%0.98%0.80%0.51%1.00%1.13%0.82%1.15%0.97%0.96%1.21%1.12%0.95%1.00%0.38%1.26%0.86%

Yum China's average Quarter SG&A projection for Mar 24 is $223.97M, based on 4 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $179.17M to $268.76M. The forecast indicates a 46.38% rise compared to YUMC last annual SG&A of $153.00M (Dec 23).

Yum China EPS Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts444433334544554433334444499988
EPS------------$0.23$0.59$0.47$0.69$0.13$0.49$0.20$0.23$1.11$0.25$0.43$0.55$0.36$1.13$0.35$0.16$0.24$0.59
Avg Forecast$0.33$0.69$0.65$0.83$0.36$0.73$0.63$0.80$0.30$0.66$0.47$0.65$0.16$0.65$0.46$0.46$0.15$0.31$-0.00$0.27$0.20$0.31$0.44$0.46$0.27$0.46$0.24$-0.20$0.17$0.55
High Forecast$0.33$0.69$0.65$0.83$0.36$0.73$0.63$0.80$0.30$0.71$0.47$0.65$0.22$0.66$0.46$0.46$0.15$0.31$-0.00$0.27$0.20$0.31$0.44$0.46$0.27$0.46$0.24$-0.20$0.17$0.55
Low Forecast$0.33$0.69$0.65$0.83$0.36$0.73$0.63$0.80$0.30$0.62$0.47$0.65$0.10$0.63$0.46$0.46$0.15$0.31$-0.00$0.27$0.20$0.31$0.44$0.46$0.27$0.46$0.24$-0.20$0.17$0.55
Surprise %------------1.40%0.91%1.03%1.50%0.84%1.59%-42.13%0.85%5.46%0.82%0.98%1.20%1.33%2.43%1.44%-0.79%1.39%1.07%

According to 4 Wall Street analysts, Yum China's projected average Quarter EPS for Mar 24 is $0.65, with a low estimate of $0.65 and a high estimate of $0.65. This represents a 180.53% increase compared to YUMC previous annual EPS of $0.23 (Dec 23).

Yum China Peer Comparison by Price Target


TickerCompanyLast Closing PriceAvg Price TargetUpside/DownsideAvg Rating
DINDine Brands Global$29.85$56.7590.12%Buy
JACKJack in the Box$50.10$76.0851.86%Buy
PZZAPapa John's$56.14$81.7045.53%Buy
YUMCYum China$48.30$64.4933.52%Buy
BJRIBJ's Restaurants$33.44$39.6018.42%Buy
WINGWingstop$297.18$346.4416.58%Buy
WENWendy's Company$19.72$22.9616.43%Buy
DRIDarden Restaurants$158.77$178.3412.33%Buy
QSRRestaurant Brands$70.04$78.3211.82%Buy
DPZDomino's Pizza$429.98$479.5311.52%Buy
YUMYum! Brands$132.76$144.688.98%Buy
CMGChipotle Mexican Grill$56.38$55.49-1.58%Buy
EATBrinker$107.94$69.10-35.98%Hold

YUMC Forecast FAQ


Yes, according to 8 Wall Street analysts, Yum China (YUMC) is considered a 'Buy'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 6 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 75.00% of YUMC's total ratings.

Yum China (YUMC) average price target is $64.49 with a range of $37.4 to $123, implying a 33.52% from its last price of $48.3. The data is based on 8 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.

According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for YUMC stock, the company can go up by 33.52% (from the last price of $48.3 to the average price target of $64.49), up by 154.66% based on the highest stock price target, and down by -22.57% based on the lowest stock price target.

YUMC's highest twelve months analyst stock price target of $123 supports the claim that Yum China can reach $70 in the near future.

1 Wall Street analyst forecast a $49 price target for Yum China (YUMC) this month, up 1.45% from its last price of $48.3. Compared to the last 3 and 12 months, the average price target increased by 0.21% and increased by 4.14%, respectively.

Yum China's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $11.58B (high $11.58B, low $11.58B), average EBITDA is $2.12B (high $2.12B, low $2.12B), average net income is $986.37M (high $986.37M, low $986.37M), average SG&A $667.63M (high $667.63M, low $667.63M), and average EPS is $2.52 (high $2.52, low $2.52). YUMC's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2026) are as follows: average revenue is $11.82B (high $11.82B, low $11.82B), average EBITDA is $2.16B (high $2.16B, low $2.16B), average net income is $980.3M (high $980.3M, low $980.3M), average SG&A $681.48M (high $681.48M, low $681.48M), and average EPS is $2.51 (high $2.51, low $2.51).

Based on Yum China's last annual report (Dec 2023), the company's revenue was $10.98B, beating the average analysts forecast of $10.93B by 0.44%. Apple's EBITDA was $1.67B, missing the average prediction of $1.94B by -13.84%. The company's net income was $827M, beating the average estimation of $630.06M by 31.26%. Apple's SG&A was $638M, missing the average forecast of $674.14M by -5.36%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $1.97, beating the average prediction of $1.73 by 14.02%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Dec 2023), Yum China's revenue was $2.49B, beating the average analysts' forecast of $2.32B by 7.44%. The company's EBITDA was $258M, missing the average prediction of $424.5M by -39.22%. Yum China's net income was $97M, beating the average estimation of $64.29M by 50.87%. The company's SG&A was $153M, beating the average forecast of $133.79M by 14.36%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $0.23, beating the average prediction of $0.164 by 39.88%