Yum China (YUMC) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions
YUMC Stock Forecast
Yum China stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $68.72 (represents a 96.91% upside from YUMC’s last price of $34.90) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 6 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.
YUMC Price Target
The average price target for Yum China (YUMC) is $68.72 based on 1-year price targets from 6 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $123.00 to $37.40. This represents a potential 96.91% upside from YUMC's last price of $34.90.
YUMC Analyst Ratings
According to 6 Wall Street analysts, Yum China's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for YUMC stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 4 'Buy' (66.67%), 1 'Hold' (16.67%), 1 'Sell' (16.67%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).
Yum China Price Target by Analyst
| Date | Analyst | Company | Price Target | Price when Published | Price Target/Price when Published | Price Target/Last Closing Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 06, 2024 | Linda Huang | Macquarie | $37.40 | $33.12 | 12.92% | 7.16% |
| Jun 24, 2024 | Lilian Hou | Morgan Stanley | $56.00 | $32.16 | 74.13% | 60.46% |
| Nov 03, 2022 | Edward Lui | BOCOM International Holdings Company | $55.80 | $46.32 | 20.47% | 59.89% |
| Apr 29, 2021 | Christopher Carril | RBC Capital | $123.00 | $62.63 | 96.39% | 252.44% |
| Apr 29, 2021 | Lina Yan | HSBC | $71.40 | $62.63 | 14.00% | 104.58% |
The latest Yum China stock forecast, released on Aug 06, 2024 by Linda Huang from Macquarie, set a price target of $37.40, which represents a 12.92% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($33.12), and a 7.16% increase from YUMC last price ($34.90).
Yum China Price Target by Period
| 1M | 3M | 12M | |
|---|---|---|---|
| # Anlaysts | - | 2 | 2 |
| Avg Price Target | - | $46.70 | $46.70 |
| Last Closing Price | $34.90 | $34.90 | $34.90 |
| Upside/Downside | -100.00% | 33.81% | 33.81% |
In the current month, the average price target of Yum China stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to Yum China's last price of $34.90. This month's average price target is down -100.00% compared to last quarter, and down -100.00% compared to last year.
Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades
| Date | Company | Previous Rating | New Rating | Rating Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 06, 2024 | Macquarie | - | Outperform | Upgrade |
| Jul 10, 2024 | OTR Global | Positive | Negative | Downgrade |
| Jun 24, 2024 | Morgan Stanley | Overweight | Overweight | Hold |
| Sep 15, 2023 | CLSA | - | Buy | Upgrade |
| May 05, 2023 | CMB International Securities | - | Buy | Upgrade |
| Apr 12, 2023 | OTR Global | - | Positive | Upgrade |
| Aug 10, 2022 | Citigroup | Cautious | Cautious | Hold |
| Apr 26, 2022 | Zacks Investment Research | - | Hold | Upgrade |
Yum China's last stock rating was published by Macquarie on Aug 06, 2024. The company Upgrade its YUMC rating from "null" to "Outperform".
Yum China Financial Forecast
Yum China Revenue Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $2.49B | $2.91B | $2.65B | $2.92B | $2.09B | $2.69B | - | $2.67B | $2.29B | $2.55B | $2.45B | $2.56B | $2.26B | $2.35B | $1.90B | $1.75B | $2.03B | $2.32B |
| Avg Forecast | $2.69B | $3.16B | $2.84B | $3.13B | $2.63B | $3.10B | $2.79B | $3.07B | $2.67B | $3.05B | $2.76B | $3.05B | $2.32B | $3.12B | $2.72B | $2.77B | $2.26B | $2.72B | $2.17B | $2.55B | $2.36B | $2.54B | $2.45B | $2.32B | $2.17B | $2.31B | $1.96B | $1.56B | $2.03B | $2.37B |
| High Forecast | $2.75B | $3.23B | $2.91B | $3.21B | $2.70B | $3.17B | $2.85B | $3.14B | $2.73B | $3.11B | $2.82B | $3.13B | $2.43B | $3.15B | $2.78B | $2.84B | $2.32B | $2.78B | $2.17B | $2.69B | $2.49B | $2.68B | $2.59B | $2.45B | $2.29B | $2.44B | $2.07B | $1.65B | $2.14B | $2.50B |
| Low Forecast | $2.65B | $3.11B | $2.80B | $3.09B | $2.60B | $3.05B | $2.75B | $3.02B | $2.63B | $3.02B | $2.72B | $3.01B | $2.18B | $3.08B | $2.68B | $2.73B | $2.23B | $2.68B | $2.17B | $2.49B | $2.30B | $2.48B | $2.39B | $2.26B | $2.11B | $2.25B | $1.91B | $1.52B | $1.98B | $2.31B |
| # Analysts | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 8 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.07% | 0.93% | 0.98% | 1.05% | 0.92% | 0.99% | - | 1.05% | 0.97% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.10% | 1.04% | 1.02% | 0.97% | 1.12% | 1.00% | 0.98% |
Yum China's average Quarter revenue forecast for Mar 24 based on 4 analysts is $3.05B, with a low forecast of $3.01B, and a high forecast of $3.13B. YUMC's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a 22.48% increase compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $2.49B (Dec 23).
Yum China EBITDA Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 8 |
| EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $258.00M | $438.00M | $408.00M | $556.00M | $215.00M | $513.00M | - | $421.00M | $783.00M | $292.00M | $385.00M | $475.00M | $352.00M | $718.00M | $290.00M | $212.00M | $328.00M | $509.00M |
| Avg Forecast | $491.52M | $578.00M | $520.09M | $572.70M | $481.57M | $566.40M | $509.62M | $560.78M | $488.46M | $557.98M | $504.26M | $490.95M | $424.50M | $570.98M | $497.50M | $446.32M | $413.71M | $391.74M | $396.81M | $405.74M | $1.26B | $356.13M | $377.58M | $380.00M | $239.31M | $471.33M | $180.95M | $527.80M | $217.58M | $471.78M |
| High Forecast | $503.27M | $591.82M | $532.52M | $586.39M | $493.08M | $579.94M | $521.80M | $574.19M | $500.14M | $568.85M | $516.31M | $589.14M | $444.21M | $577.18M | $509.40M | $535.58M | $423.60M | $470.09M | $396.81M | $486.89M | $1.52B | $427.35M | $453.10M | $456.00M | $287.17M | $565.60M | $217.14M | $633.36M | $261.09M | $566.14M |
| Low Forecast | $484.56M | $569.82M | $512.72M | $564.60M | $474.75M | $558.38M | $502.41M | $552.85M | $481.55M | $552.54M | $497.12M | $392.76M | $399.43M | $563.33M | $490.46M | $357.05M | $407.85M | $313.39M | $396.81M | $324.59M | $1.01B | $284.90M | $302.07M | $304.00M | $191.45M | $377.07M | $144.76M | $422.24M | $174.06M | $377.43M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.61% | 0.77% | 0.82% | 1.25% | 0.52% | 1.31% | - | 1.04% | 0.62% | 0.82% | 1.02% | 1.25% | 1.47% | 1.52% | 1.60% | 0.40% | 1.51% | 1.08% |
4 analysts predict YUMC's average Quarter EBITDA for Mar 24 to be $490.95M, with a high of $589.14M and a low of $392.76M. This is 90.29% upper than Yum China's previous annual EBITDA (Dec 23) of $258.00M.
Yum China Net Income Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 8 |
| Net Income | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $97.00M | $244.00M | $197.00M | $289.00M | $53.00M | $206.00M | - | $100.00M | $476.00M | $104.00M | $181.00M | $230.00M | $151.00M | $439.00M | $132.00M | $62.00M | $90.00M | $223.00M |
| Avg Forecast | $129.66M | $270.75M | $253.46M | $326.42M | $132.06M | $282.98M | $249.49M | $319.88M | $118.05M | $255.09M | $183.64M | $148.32M | $64.29M | $252.55M | $178.38M | $134.84M | $60.54M | $147.61M | $-1.91M | $122.58M | $779.56M | $134.19M | $185.21M | $190.00M | $503.46M | $292.67M | $84.70M | $161.20M | $61.58M | $210.84M |
| High Forecast | $133.69M | $279.17M | $261.34M | $336.57M | $136.17M | $291.77M | $257.24M | $329.83M | $121.71M | $277.93M | $189.35M | $177.99M | $84.07M | $259.98M | $183.92M | $161.81M | $62.42M | $177.14M | $-1.91M | $147.10M | $935.47M | $161.03M | $222.25M | $228.00M | $604.15M | $351.20M | $101.64M | $193.44M | $73.89M | $253.00M |
| Low Forecast | $127.27M | $265.77M | $248.80M | $320.42M | $129.64M | $277.77M | $244.90M | $314.00M | $115.88M | $243.67M | $180.27M | $118.66M | $39.57M | $245.12M | $175.10M | $107.87M | $59.42M | $118.09M | $-1.91M | $98.06M | $623.65M | $107.35M | $148.17M | $152.00M | $402.77M | $234.13M | $67.76M | $128.96M | $49.26M | $168.67M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.51% | 0.97% | 1.10% | 2.14% | 0.88% | 1.40% | - | 0.82% | 0.61% | 0.78% | 0.98% | 1.21% | 0.30% | 1.50% | 1.56% | 0.38% | 1.46% | 1.06% |
Yum China's average Quarter net income forecast for Mar 24 is $148.32M, with a range of $118.66M to $177.99M. YUMC's average Quarter net income forecast represents a 52.91% increase compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $97.00M (Dec 23).
Yum China SG&A Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 8 |
| SG&A | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $153.00M | $169.00M | $153.00M | $163.00M | $145.00M | $157.00M | - | $151.00M | $156.00M | $142.00M | $136.00M | $130.00M | $140.00M | $127.00M | $113.00M | $99.00M | $147.00M | $117.00M |
| Avg Forecast | $154.91M | $182.16M | $163.91M | $180.49M | $151.77M | $178.51M | $160.61M | $176.74M | $153.94M | $175.85M | $158.92M | $223.97M | $133.79M | $179.95M | $156.79M | $203.61M | $130.39M | $201.55M | $125.06M | $185.10M | $256.02M | $183.23M | $139.16M | $107.39M | $91.54M | $84.67M | $72.51M | $257.40M | $100.58M | $110.62M |
| High Forecast | $158.61M | $186.52M | $167.83M | $184.81M | $155.40M | $182.77M | $164.45M | $180.96M | $157.63M | $179.28M | $162.72M | $268.76M | $140.00M | $181.91M | $160.54M | $244.33M | $133.50M | $241.86M | $125.06M | $222.12M | $307.23M | $219.87M | $167.00M | $128.87M | $109.85M | $101.60M | $87.01M | $308.88M | $120.69M | $132.74M |
| Low Forecast | $152.71M | $179.59M | $161.59M | $177.94M | $149.62M | $175.98M | $158.34M | $174.24M | $151.77M | $174.14M | $156.67M | $179.17M | $125.88M | $177.54M | $154.58M | $162.89M | $128.54M | $161.24M | $125.06M | $148.08M | $204.82M | $146.58M | $111.33M | $85.91M | $73.23M | $67.73M | $58.01M | $205.92M | $80.46M | $88.49M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.14% | 0.94% | 0.98% | 0.80% | 1.11% | 0.78% | - | 0.82% | 0.61% | 0.78% | 0.98% | 1.21% | 1.53% | 1.50% | 1.56% | 0.38% | 1.46% | 1.06% |
Yum China's average Quarter SG&A projection for Mar 24 is $223.97M, based on 4 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $179.17M to $268.76M. The forecast indicates a 46.38% rise compared to YUMC last annual SG&A of $153.00M (Dec 23).
Yum China EPS Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 8 |
| EPS | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0.23 | $0.59 | $0.47 | $0.69 | $0.13 | $0.49 | - | $0.23 | $1.11 | $0.25 | $0.43 | $0.55 | $0.36 | $1.13 | $0.35 | $0.16 | $0.24 | $0.59 |
| Avg Forecast | $0.33 | $0.69 | $0.65 | $0.83 | $0.34 | $0.72 | $0.64 | $0.82 | $0.30 | $0.65 | $0.47 | $0.65 | $0.16 | $0.65 | $0.46 | $0.46 | $0.15 | $0.31 | $-0.00 | $0.27 | $0.20 | $0.31 | $0.44 | $0.46 | $0.27 | $0.46 | $0.24 | $-0.20 | $0.17 | $0.55 |
| High Forecast | $0.34 | $0.71 | $0.67 | $0.86 | $0.35 | $0.75 | $0.66 | $0.84 | $0.31 | $0.71 | $0.48 | $0.67 | $0.22 | $0.66 | $0.47 | $0.48 | $0.16 | $0.32 | $-0.00 | $0.29 | $0.22 | $0.33 | $0.47 | $0.49 | $0.29 | $0.50 | $0.26 | $-0.20 | $0.18 | $0.59 |
| Low Forecast | $0.33 | $0.68 | $0.64 | $0.82 | $0.33 | $0.71 | $0.63 | $0.80 | $0.30 | $0.62 | $0.46 | $0.63 | $0.10 | $0.63 | $0.45 | $0.45 | $0.15 | $0.30 | $-0.00 | $0.26 | $0.20 | $0.30 | $0.42 | $0.44 | $0.26 | $0.45 | $0.24 | $-0.22 | $0.17 | $0.53 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.40% | 0.91% | 1.03% | 1.50% | 0.84% | 1.59% | - | 0.85% | 5.46% | 0.82% | 0.98% | 1.20% | 1.33% | 2.43% | 1.44% | -0.79% | 1.39% | 1.07% |
According to 4 Wall Street analysts, Yum China's projected average Quarter EPS for Mar 24 is $0.65, with a low estimate of $0.63 and a high estimate of $0.67. This represents a 180.53% increase compared to YUMC previous annual EPS of $0.23 (Dec 23).
Yum China Peer Comparison by Price Target
| Ticker | Company | Last Closing Price | Avg Price Target | Upside/Downside | Avg Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DIN | Dine Brands Global | $30.01 | $62.63 | 108.70% | Buy |
| YUMC | Yum China | $34.90 | $68.72 | 96.91% | Buy |
| JACK | Jack in the Box | $43.63 | $77.50 | 77.63% | Buy |
| PZZA | Papa John's | $52.56 | $82.89 | 57.71% | Buy |
| WEN | Wendy's Company | $17.77 | $23.11 | 30.05% | Buy |
| BJRI | BJ's Restaurants | $32.25 | $39.60 | 22.79% | Buy |
| DPZ | Domino's Pizza | $412.44 | $492.75 | 19.47% | Buy |
| QSR | Restaurant Brands | $69.28 | $78.32 | 13.05% | Buy |
| YUM | Yum! Brands | $132.35 | $144.58 | 9.24% | Buy |
| DRI | Darden Restaurants | $161.53 | $159.46 | -1.28% | Buy |
| CMG | Chipotle Mexican Grill | $58.50 | $55.52 | -5.09% | Buy |
| EAT | Brinker | $75.19 | $55.30 | -26.45% | Hold |
| WING | Wingstop | $416.66 | $297.53 | -28.59% | Hold |
YUMC Forecast FAQ
Is Yum China a good buy?
Yes, according to 6 Wall Street analysts, Yum China (YUMC) is considered a 'Buy'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 4 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 66.67% of YUMC's total ratings.
What is YUMC's price target?
Yum China (YUMC) average price target is $68.72 with a range of $37.4 to $123, implying a 96.91% from its last price of $34.9. The data is based on 6 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.
Will Yum China stock go up soon?
According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for YUMC stock, the company can go up by 96.91% (from the last price of $34.9 to the average price target of $68.72), up by 252.44% based on the highest stock price target, and up by 7.16% based on the lowest stock price target.
Can Yum China stock reach $50?
YUMC's average twelve months analyst stock price target of $68.72 supports the claim that Yum China can reach $50 in the near future.
What are Yum China's analysts' financial forecasts?
Yum China's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $11.58B (high $11.86B, low $11.42B), average EBITDA is $2.12B (high $2.17B, low $2.09B), average net income is $984.41M (high $1.02B, low $966.3M), average SG&A $667.63M (high $683.59M, low $658.18M), and average EPS is $2.52 (high $2.6, low $2.47). YUMC's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2026) are as follows: average revenue is $11.82B (high $12.1B, low $11.65B), average EBITDA is $2.16B (high $2.21B, low $2.13B), average net income is $980.3M (high $1.01B, low $962.26M), average SG&A $681.48M (high $697.77M, low $671.83M), and average EPS is $2.51 (high $2.59, low $2.46).
Did the YUMC's actual financial results beat the analysts' financial forecasts?
Based on Yum China's last annual report (Dec 2023), the company's revenue was $10.98B, beating the average analysts forecast of $10.93B by 0.44%. Apple's EBITDA was $1.67B, missing the average prediction of $1.94B by -13.84%. The company's net income was $827M, beating the average estimation of $630.06M by 31.26%. Apple's SG&A was $638M, missing the average forecast of $674.14M by -5.36%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $1.97, beating the average prediction of $1.73 by 14.02%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Dec 2023), Yum China's revenue was $2.49B, beating the average analysts' forecast of $2.32B by 7.44%. The company's EBITDA was $258M, missing the average prediction of $424.5M by -39.22%. Yum China's net income was $97M, beating the average estimation of $64.29M by 50.87%. The company's SG&A was $153M, beating the average forecast of $133.79M by 14.36%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $0.23, beating the average prediction of $0.164 by 39.88%