Yum China (YUMC) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions
YUMC Stock Forecast
Yum China stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $64.49 (represents a 36.11% upside from YUMC’s last price of $47.38) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 8 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.
YUMC Price Target
The average price target for Yum China (YUMC) is $64.49 based on 1-year price targets from 8 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $123.00 to $37.40. This represents a potential 36.11% upside from YUMC's last price of $47.38.
YUMC Analyst Ratings
According to 8 Wall Street analysts, Yum China's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for YUMC stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 6 'Buy' (75.00%), 1 'Hold' (12.50%), 1 'Sell' (12.50%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).
Yum China Price Target by Analyst
| Date | Analyst | Company | Price Target | Price when Published | Price Target/Price when Published | Price Target/Last Closing Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2024 | Chen Luo | Bank of America Securities | $49.00 | $44.19 | 10.88% | 3.42% |
| Sep 30, 2024 | Xiaopo Wei | Citigroup | $58.80 | $45.35 | 29.66% | 24.10% |
| Aug 06, 2024 | Linda Huang | Macquarie | $37.40 | $33.12 | 12.92% | -21.06% |
| Jun 24, 2024 | Lilian Hou | Morgan Stanley | $56.00 | $32.16 | 74.13% | 18.19% |
| Nov 03, 2022 | Edward Lui | BOCOM International Holdings Company | $55.80 | $46.32 | 20.47% | 17.77% |
| Apr 29, 2021 | Christopher Carril | RBC Capital | $123.00 | $62.63 | 96.39% | 159.60% |
| Apr 29, 2021 | Lina Yan | HSBC | $71.40 | $62.63 | 14.00% | 50.70% |
The latest Yum China stock forecast, released on Oct 16, 2024 by Chen Luo from Bank of America Securities, set a price target of $49.00, which represents a 10.88% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($44.19), and a 3.42% increase from YUMC last price ($47.38).
Yum China Price Target by Period
| 1M | 3M | 12M | |
|---|---|---|---|
| # Anlaysts | - | 2 | 4 |
| Avg Price Target | - | $53.90 | $50.30 |
| Last Closing Price | $47.38 | $47.38 | $47.38 |
| Upside/Downside | -100.00% | 13.76% | 6.16% |
In the current month, the average price target of Yum China stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to Yum China's last price of $47.38. This month's average price target is down -100.00% compared to last quarter, and down -100.00% compared to last year.
Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades
| Date | Company | Previous Rating | New Rating | Rating Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2024 | Bank of America Securities | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Sep 30, 2024 | Citigroup | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Aug 06, 2024 | Macquarie | - | Outperform | Upgrade |
| Jul 10, 2024 | OTR Global | Positive | Negative | Downgrade |
| Jun 24, 2024 | Morgan Stanley | Overweight | Overweight | Hold |
| Sep 15, 2023 | CLSA | - | Buy | Upgrade |
| May 05, 2023 | CMB International Securities | - | Buy | Upgrade |
| Apr 12, 2023 | OTR Global | - | Positive | Upgrade |
| Aug 10, 2022 | Citigroup | Cautious | Cautious | Hold |
| Apr 26, 2022 | Zacks Investment Research | - | Hold | Upgrade |
Yum China's last stock rating was published by Bank of America Securities on Oct 16, 2024. The company gave YUMC a "Buy" rating, the same as its previous rate.
Yum China Financial Forecast
Yum China Revenue Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $2.49B | $2.91B | $2.65B | $2.92B | $2.09B | $2.69B | $2.13B | $2.67B | $2.29B | $2.55B | $2.45B | $2.56B | $2.26B | $2.35B | $1.90B | $1.75B | $2.03B | $2.32B |
| Avg Forecast | $2.98B | $3.52B | $3.05B | $3.38B | $2.82B | $3.31B | $2.88B | $3.18B | $2.61B | $3.03B | $2.76B | $3.05B | $2.32B | $3.12B | $2.72B | $2.77B | $2.26B | $2.72B | $2.17B | $2.55B | $2.36B | $2.54B | $2.45B | $2.32B | $2.17B | $2.31B | $1.96B | $1.56B | $2.03B | $2.37B |
| High Forecast | $3.02B | $3.57B | $3.10B | $3.43B | $2.86B | $3.36B | $2.92B | $3.22B | $2.63B | $3.04B | $2.76B | $3.05B | $2.43B | $3.15B | $2.76B | $2.81B | $2.29B | $2.72B | $2.17B | $2.55B | $2.36B | $2.54B | $2.45B | $2.32B | $2.17B | $2.31B | $1.96B | $1.56B | $2.03B | $2.37B |
| Low Forecast | $2.92B | $3.45B | $2.99B | $3.31B | $2.76B | $3.25B | $2.82B | $3.13B | $2.58B | $3.01B | $2.76B | $3.05B | $2.18B | $3.08B | $2.66B | $2.71B | $2.21B | $2.72B | $2.17B | $2.55B | $2.36B | $2.54B | $2.45B | $2.32B | $2.17B | $2.31B | $1.96B | $1.56B | $2.03B | $2.37B |
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.07% | 0.93% | 0.98% | 1.05% | 0.92% | 0.99% | 0.98% | 1.05% | 0.97% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.10% | 1.04% | 1.02% | 0.97% | 1.12% | 1.00% | 0.98% |
Yum China's average Quarter revenue forecast for Mar 24 based on 4 analysts is $3.05B, with a low forecast of $3.05B, and a high forecast of $3.05B. YUMC's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a 22.48% increase compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $2.49B (Dec 23).
Yum China EBITDA Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $258.00M | $438.00M | $408.00M | $556.00M | $215.00M | $513.00M | $266.00M | $421.00M | $783.00M | $292.00M | $385.00M | $475.00M | $352.00M | $718.00M | $290.00M | $212.00M | $328.00M | $509.00M |
| Avg Forecast | $579.86M | $685.17M | $594.18M | $657.79M | $548.01M | $645.18M | $560.05M | $618.76M | $508.81M | $589.00M | $536.54M | $490.95M | $451.68M | $607.53M | $529.35M | $446.32M | $1.39B | $496.88M | $396.81M | $405.74M | $430.93M | $465.03M | $448.52M | $380.00M | $396.51M | $422.21M | $358.94M | $527.80M | $370.85M | $433.06M |
| High Forecast | $588.23M | $695.06M | $602.75M | $667.28M | $555.91M | $654.49M | $568.13M | $626.60M | $512.58M | $591.35M | $536.54M | $589.14M | $472.64M | $614.13M | $536.99M | $535.58M | $1.67B | $496.88M | $396.81M | $486.89M | $430.93M | $465.03M | $448.52M | $456.00M | $396.51M | $422.21M | $358.94M | $633.36M | $370.85M | $433.06M |
| Low Forecast | $567.95M | $671.10M | $581.97M | $644.28M | $536.75M | $631.93M | $548.55M | $608.97M | $503.16M | $586.65M | $536.54M | $392.76M | $425.00M | $599.40M | $518.48M | $357.05M | $1.11B | $496.88M | $396.81M | $324.59M | $430.93M | $465.03M | $448.52M | $304.00M | $396.51M | $422.21M | $358.94M | $422.24M | $370.85M | $433.06M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.57% | 0.72% | 0.77% | 1.25% | 0.15% | 1.03% | 0.67% | 1.04% | 1.82% | 0.63% | 0.86% | 1.25% | 0.89% | 1.70% | 0.81% | 0.40% | 0.88% | 1.18% |
4 analysts predict YUMC's average Quarter EBITDA for Mar 24 to be $490.95M, with a high of $589.14M and a low of $392.76M. This is 90.29% upper than Yum China's previous annual EBITDA (Dec 23) of $258.00M.
Yum China Net Income Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| Net Income | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $97.00M | $244.00M | $197.00M | $289.00M | $53.00M | $206.00M | $83.00M | $100.00M | $476.00M | $104.00M | $181.00M | $230.00M | $151.00M | $439.00M | $132.00M | $62.00M | $90.00M | $223.00M |
| Avg Forecast | $151.42M | $375.49M | $279.10M | $362.96M | $138.45M | $318.99M | $244.45M | $315.51M | $117.85M | $255.03M | $180.83M | $148.32M | $63.31M | $248.68M | $175.64M | $134.84M | $857.51M | $120.30M | $-1.86M | $122.58M | $79.53M | $119.70M | $171.53M | $190.00M | $105.99M | $181.74M | $95.04M | $161.20M | $67.42M | $214.87M |
| High Forecast | $154.27M | $382.54M | $284.34M | $369.77M | $141.04M | $324.97M | $249.03M | $323.21M | $125.46M | $257.03M | $180.89M | $177.99M | $82.78M | $255.99M | $178.94M | $161.81M | $1.03B | $120.30M | $-1.86M | $147.10M | $79.53M | $119.70M | $171.53M | $228.00M | $105.99M | $181.74M | $95.04M | $193.44M | $67.42M | $214.87M |
| Low Forecast | $147.38M | $365.47M | $271.65M | $353.27M | $134.75M | $310.48M | $237.92M | $307.82M | $114.05M | $253.03M | $180.77M | $118.66M | $38.96M | $241.36M | $170.95M | $107.87M | $686.01M | $120.30M | $-1.86M | $98.06M | $79.53M | $119.70M | $171.53M | $152.00M | $105.99M | $181.74M | $95.04M | $128.96M | $67.42M | $214.87M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.53% | 0.98% | 1.12% | 2.14% | 0.06% | 1.71% | -44.72% | 0.82% | 5.98% | 0.87% | 1.06% | 1.21% | 1.42% | 2.42% | 1.39% | 0.38% | 1.33% | 1.04% |
Yum China's average Quarter net income forecast for Mar 24 is $148.32M, with a range of $118.66M to $177.99M. YUMC's average Quarter net income forecast represents a 52.91% increase compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $97.00M (Dec 23).
Yum China SG&A Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| SG&A | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $153.00M | $169.00M | $153.00M | $163.00M | $145.00M | $157.00M | $141.00M | $151.00M | $156.00M | $142.00M | $136.00M | $130.00M | $140.00M | $127.00M | $113.00M | $99.00M | $147.00M | $117.00M |
| Avg Forecast | $171.76M | $202.95M | $176.00M | $194.84M | $162.32M | $191.10M | $165.89M | $183.28M | $150.71M | $174.46M | $158.92M | $223.97M | $133.79M | $179.95M | $156.79M | $203.61M | $281.63M | $156.60M | $125.06M | $185.10M | $135.81M | $146.56M | $141.36M | $107.39M | $124.97M | $133.06M | $113.12M | $257.40M | $116.88M | $136.49M |
| High Forecast | $174.23M | $205.88M | $178.53M | $197.65M | $164.66M | $193.86M | $168.28M | $185.60M | $151.83M | $175.16M | $158.92M | $268.76M | $140.00M | $181.91M | $159.06M | $244.33M | $337.95M | $156.60M | $125.06M | $222.12M | $135.81M | $146.56M | $141.36M | $128.87M | $124.97M | $133.06M | $113.12M | $308.88M | $116.88M | $136.49M |
| Low Forecast | $168.23M | $198.78M | $172.38M | $190.84M | $158.99M | $187.18M | $162.48M | $180.38M | $149.04M | $173.77M | $158.92M | $179.17M | $125.88M | $177.54M | $153.57M | $162.89M | $225.30M | $156.60M | $125.06M | $148.08M | $135.81M | $146.56M | $141.36M | $85.91M | $124.97M | $133.06M | $113.12M | $205.92M | $116.88M | $136.49M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.14% | 0.94% | 0.98% | 0.80% | 0.51% | 1.00% | 1.13% | 0.82% | 1.15% | 0.97% | 0.96% | 1.21% | 1.12% | 0.95% | 1.00% | 0.38% | 1.26% | 0.86% |
Yum China's average Quarter SG&A projection for Mar 24 is $223.97M, based on 4 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $179.17M to $268.76M. The forecast indicates a 46.38% rise compared to YUMC last annual SG&A of $153.00M (Dec 23).
Yum China EPS Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| EPS | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0.23 | $0.59 | $0.47 | $0.69 | $0.13 | $0.49 | $0.20 | $0.23 | $1.11 | $0.25 | $0.43 | $0.55 | $0.36 | $1.13 | $0.35 | $0.16 | $0.24 | $0.59 |
| Avg Forecast | $0.39 | $0.98 | $0.72 | $0.94 | $0.36 | $0.83 | $0.63 | $0.82 | $0.31 | $0.66 | $0.47 | $0.65 | $0.16 | $0.65 | $0.46 | $0.46 | $0.15 | $0.31 | $-0.00 | $0.27 | $0.20 | $0.31 | $0.44 | $0.46 | $0.27 | $0.46 | $0.24 | $-0.20 | $0.17 | $0.55 |
| High Forecast | $0.40 | $0.99 | $0.74 | $0.96 | $0.37 | $0.84 | $0.65 | $0.84 | $0.33 | $0.67 | $0.47 | $0.65 | $0.22 | $0.66 | $0.46 | $0.47 | $0.16 | $0.31 | $-0.00 | $0.27 | $0.20 | $0.31 | $0.44 | $0.46 | $0.27 | $0.46 | $0.24 | $-0.20 | $0.17 | $0.55 |
| Low Forecast | $0.38 | $0.95 | $0.71 | $0.92 | $0.35 | $0.81 | $0.62 | $0.80 | $0.30 | $0.66 | $0.47 | $0.65 | $0.10 | $0.63 | $0.44 | $0.45 | $0.15 | $0.31 | $-0.00 | $0.27 | $0.20 | $0.31 | $0.44 | $0.46 | $0.27 | $0.46 | $0.24 | $-0.20 | $0.17 | $0.55 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.40% | 0.91% | 1.03% | 1.50% | 0.84% | 1.59% | -42.13% | 0.85% | 5.46% | 0.82% | 0.98% | 1.20% | 1.33% | 2.43% | 1.44% | -0.79% | 1.39% | 1.07% |
According to 4 Wall Street analysts, Yum China's projected average Quarter EPS for Mar 24 is $0.65, with a low estimate of $0.65 and a high estimate of $0.65. This represents a 180.53% increase compared to YUMC previous annual EPS of $0.23 (Dec 23).
Yum China Peer Comparison by Price Target
| Ticker | Company | Last Closing Price | Avg Price Target | Upside/Downside | Avg Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DIN | Dine Brands Global | $32.52 | $55.50 | 70.66% | Buy |
| PZZA | Papa John's | $47.31 | $75.00 | 58.53% | Buy |
| JACK | Jack in the Box | $45.60 | $71.75 | 57.35% | Buy |
| YUMC | Yum China | $47.38 | $64.49 | 36.11% | Buy |
| WEN | Wendy's Company | $17.92 | $22.88 | 27.68% | Buy |
| BJRI | BJ's Restaurants | $34.13 | $39.60 | 16.03% | Buy |
| QSR | Restaurant Brands | $69.41 | $78.21 | 12.68% | Buy |
| DPZ | Domino's Pizza | $438.97 | $484.20 | 10.30% | Buy |
| DRI | Darden Restaurants | $162.59 | $178.34 | 9.69% | Buy |
| YUM | Yum! Brands | $132.88 | $144.68 | 8.88% | Buy |
| WING | Wingstop | $333.21 | $348.24 | 4.51% | Buy |
| CMG | Chipotle Mexican Grill | $58.88 | $56.59 | -3.89% | Buy |
| EAT | Brinker | $124.74 | $69.10 | -44.60% | Hold |