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Vistra (VST) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions

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VST Stock Forecast

Vistra stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $130.20 (represents a -8.39% downside from VST’s last price of $142.12) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 9 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.

VST Price Target

The average price target for Vistra (VST) is $130.20 based on 1-year price targets from 9 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $141.00 to $116.00. This represents a potential -8.39% downside from VST's last price of $142.12.

VST Analyst Ratings

Buy

According to 9 Wall Street analysts, Vistra's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for VST stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 8 'Buy' (88.89%), 1 'Hold' (11.11%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).

Vistra Price Target by Analyst

DateAnalystCompanyPrice TargetPrice when PublishedPrice Target/Price when PublishedPrice Target/Last Closing Price
Oct 03, 2024Shelby TuckerRBC Capital$141.00$132.456.46%-0.79%
Sep 23, 2024Julien Dumoulin-SmithJefferies$137.00$111.6322.73%-3.60%
Sep 23, 2024David ArcaroMorgan Stanley$132.00$107.8822.36%-7.12%
Sep 19, 2024James ThalackerBMO Capital$125.00$91.7336.26%-12.05%
Sep 12, 2024Julien Dumoulin-SmithJefferies$99.00$80.4723.03%-30.34%
Aug 09, 2024James ThalackerBMO Capital$120.00$79.0851.75%-15.56%
Jun 13, 2024Angie StorozynskiSeaport Global$116.00$88.4031.22%-18.38%
Jun 03, 2024James ThalackerBMO Capital$121.00$93.4529.47%-14.86%
May 28, 2024David ArcaroMorgan Stanley$110.00$105.923.85%-22.60%
May 10, 2024James ThalackerBMO Capital$109.00$95.2514.44%-23.30%
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The latest Vistra stock forecast, released on Oct 03, 2024 by Shelby Tucker from RBC Capital, set a price target of $141.00, which represents a 6.46% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($132.45), and a -0.79% decrease from VST last price ($142.12).

Vistra Price Target by Period

1M3M12M
# Anlaysts-511
Avg Price Target-$126.80$118.64
Last Closing Price$142.12$142.12$142.12
Upside/Downside-100.00%-10.78%-16.52%

In the current month, the average price target of Vistra stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to Vistra's last price of $142.12. This month's average price target is down -100.00% compared to last quarter, and down -100.00% compared to last year.

Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades

DateCompanyPrevious RatingNew RatingRating Change
Oct 29, 2024BMO CapitalOutperformOutperformHold
Oct 22, 2024Seaport GlobalBuyBuyHold
Oct 14, 2024Exane BNP Paribas-OutperformInitialise
Oct 03, 2024RBC CapitalSector PerformSector PerformHold
Oct 03, 2024RBC CapitalOutperformOutperformHold
Sep 30, 2024CICC-OutperformInitialise
Sep 23, 2024JefferiesBuyBuyHold
Sep 23, 2024Morgan StanleyOverweightOverweightHold
Sep 19, 2024BMO CapitalOutperformOutperformHold
Sep 12, 2024Jefferies-BuyInitialise
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Vistra's last stock rating was published by BMO Capital on Oct 29, 2024. The company gave VST a "Outperform" rating, the same as its previous rate.

Vistra Financial Forecast

Vistra Revenue Forecast

Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19Jun 19Mar 19Mar 18Mar 17
Revenue---------$4.09B$3.19B$4.42B$3.87B$5.15B$1.59B$3.13B$3.31B$2.99B$2.56B$3.21B$2.52B$3.55B$2.51B$2.86B$2.86B$3.19B$2.83B$2.92B$765.00M$1.36B
Avg Forecast$3.33B$5.32B$3.29B$4.95B$3.72B$5.01B$3.96B$2.92B$3.47B$5.08B$2.80B$1.89B$6.43B$6.63B$4.01B$3.83B$6.01B$5.02B$3.31B$1.90B$3.39B$3.86B$2.84B$2.81B$3.54B$3.36B$2.52B$2.65B$140.07M$1.26B
High Forecast$3.37B$5.40B$3.33B$5.01B$3.77B$5.07B$3.96B$2.92B$3.52B$5.23B$2.84B$1.91B$6.51B$6.63B$4.01B$3.83B$6.01B$5.02B$3.31B$1.90B$3.39B$3.86B$2.84B$2.81B$3.54B$3.36B$2.52B$2.65B$168.08M$1.51B
Low Forecast$3.28B$5.25B$3.24B$4.88B$3.67B$4.96B$3.96B$2.92B$3.42B$4.93B$2.77B$1.86B$6.34B$6.63B$4.01B$3.83B$6.01B$5.02B$3.31B$1.90B$3.39B$3.86B$2.84B$2.81B$3.54B$3.36B$2.52B$2.65B$112.06M$1.01B
# Analysts11111111111111111111987655551317
Surprise %---------0.80%1.14%2.34%0.60%0.78%0.40%0.82%0.55%0.60%0.77%1.69%0.75%0.92%0.88%1.02%0.81%0.95%1.12%1.10%5.46%1.08%

Vistra's average Quarter revenue forecast for Dec 23 based on 1 analysts is $3.47B, with a low forecast of $3.42B, and a high forecast of $3.52B. VST's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a -15.06% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $4.09B (Sep 23).

Vistra EBITDA Forecast

Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19Jun 19Mar 19Mar 18Mar 17
# Analysts11111111111111111111987655551317
EBITDA---------$-222.00M$-153.00M$1.61B$369.00M$1.49B$-1.23B$160.00M$1.46B$740.00M$487.00M$-1.91B$588.00M$1.24B$883.00M$687.00M$864.00M$804.00M$1.08B$910.00M$-168.00M$396.00M
Avg Forecast$734.61M$1.18B$726.26M$1.09B$822.38M$1.11B$875.51M$-2.34B$766.46M$1.12B$619.39M$-1.85B$508.42M$1.46B$885.16M$-1.46B$1.33B$1.11B$731.04M$-1.16B$747.97M$852.47M$626.14M$1.05B$782.70M$741.11M$557.13M$839.53M$-1.13B$365.33M
High Forecast$744.71M$1.19B$736.24M$1.11B$833.68M$1.12B$875.51M$-1.88B$777.00M$1.16B$627.90M$-1.48B$610.10M$1.46B$885.16M$-1.17B$1.33B$1.11B$731.04M$-926.37M$747.97M$852.47M$626.14M$1.26B$782.70M$741.11M$557.13M$1.01B$-902.55M$438.40M
Low Forecast$724.52M$1.16B$716.28M$1.08B$811.07M$1.10B$875.51M$-2.81B$755.93M$1.09B$610.88M$-2.22B$406.74M$1.46B$885.16M$-1.76B$1.33B$1.11B$731.04M$-1.39B$747.97M$852.47M$626.14M$842.22M$782.70M$741.11M$557.13M$671.62M$-1.35B$292.27M
Surprise %----------0.20%-0.25%-0.87%0.73%1.02%-1.38%-0.11%1.10%0.67%0.67%1.65%0.79%1.45%1.41%0.65%1.10%1.08%1.94%1.08%0.15%1.08%

1 analysts predict VST's average Quarter EBITDA for Jun 23 to be $619.39M, with a high of $627.90M and a low of $610.88M. This is -61.50% lower than Vistra's previous annual EBITDA (Mar 23) of $1.61B.

Vistra Net Income Forecast

Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19Jun 19Mar 19Mar 18Mar 17
# Analysts11111111111111111111987655551317
Net Income---------$465.00M$439.00M$699.00M$-248.00M$668.00M$-1.36B$-284.00M$730.00M$10.00M$36.00M$-2.04B$-27.00M$443.00M$166.00M$56.00M$234.00M$113.00M$356.00M$225.00M$-306.00M$78.00M
Avg Forecast$266.15M$700.41M$462.27M$392.23M$487.30M$405.96M$483.80M$-2.50B$-13.83M$556.18M$307.30M$-1.98B$-92.24M$571.65M$86.12M$-1.56B$884.78M$466.10M$195.34M$-1.24B$269.75M$270.78M$156.57M$85.82M$192.28M$307.31M$91.92M$207.58M$-2.05B$71.96M
High Forecast$270.91M$712.92M$470.53M$405.75M$536.52M$413.21M$490.60M$-2.00B$-13.59M$585.40M$312.79M$-1.58B$-73.79M$571.65M$86.12M$-1.25B$884.78M$478.53M$195.34M$-989.32M$269.75M$270.78M$156.57M$102.98M$192.28M$307.31M$91.92M$249.09M$-1.64B$86.35M
Low Forecast$261.40M$687.89M$454.01M$378.70M$433.15M$398.71M$476.99M$-3.00B$-14.08M$526.97M$301.81M$-2.37B$-110.68M$571.65M$86.12M$-1.88B$884.78M$453.67M$195.34M$-1.48B$269.75M$270.78M$156.57M$68.65M$192.28M$307.31M$91.92M$166.06M$-2.47B$57.57M
Surprise %---------0.84%1.43%-0.35%2.69%1.17%-15.76%0.18%0.83%0.02%0.18%1.65%-0.10%1.64%1.06%0.65%1.22%0.37%3.87%1.08%0.15%1.08%

Vistra's average Quarter net income forecast for Dec 23 is $-13.83M, with a range of $-14.08M to $-13.59M. VST's average Quarter net income forecast represents a -102.98% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $465.00M (Sep 23).

Vistra SG&A Forecast

Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19Jun 19Mar 19Mar 18Mar 17
# Analysts11111111111111111111987655551317
SG&A---------$357.00M$309.00M$288.00M$295.00M$323.00M$280.00M$288.00M$269.00M$269.00M$252.00M$251.00M$280.00M$268.00M$236.00M$252.00M$267.00M$246.00M$210.00M$182.00M$162.00M$135.00M
Avg Forecast$284.89M$456.03M$281.65M$423.63M$318.93M$429.29M$339.53M$307.56M$297.24M$435.30M$240.21M$243.13M$-6.92B$567.90M$343.27M$192.20M$514.49M$429.76M$283.51M$151.93M$290.07M$330.60M$242.83M$1.03B$303.54M$287.41M$216.06M$541.54M$12.00M$281.38M
High Forecast$288.81M$462.30M$285.52M$429.46M$323.31M$433.81M$339.53M$369.07M$301.33M$448.33M$243.51M$291.75M$-5.53B$567.90M$343.27M$230.63M$514.49M$429.76M$283.51M$182.32M$290.07M$330.60M$242.83M$1.23B$303.54M$287.41M$216.06M$649.85M$14.40M$337.66M
Low Forecast$280.98M$449.76M$277.78M$417.81M$314.54M$424.78M$339.53M$246.05M$293.16M$422.26M$236.90M$194.50M$-8.30B$567.90M$343.27M$153.76M$514.49M$429.76M$283.51M$121.55M$290.07M$330.60M$242.83M$822.61M$303.54M$287.41M$216.06M$433.23M$9.60M$225.10M
Surprise %---------0.82%1.29%1.18%-0.04%0.57%0.82%1.50%0.52%0.63%0.89%1.65%0.97%0.81%0.97%0.25%0.88%0.86%0.97%0.34%13.50%0.48%

Vistra's average Quarter SG&A projection for Dec 23 is $297.24M, based on 1 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $293.16M to $301.33M. The forecast indicates a -16.74% fall compared to VST last annual SG&A of $357.00M (Sep 23).

Vistra EPS Forecast

Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19Jun 19Mar 19Mar 18Mar 17
# Analysts11111111111111111111987655551317
EPS---------$1.27$1.18$1.72$-0.60$1.53$-3.16$-0.63$1.51$0.01$0.07$-4.21$-0.06$0.91$0.34$0.11$0.48$0.23$0.71$0.45$-0.71$0.18
Avg Forecast$0.76$2.00$1.32$1.12$1.39$1.16$1.38$0.62$-0.04$1.59$0.88$0.06$1.32$1.61$0.24$0.19$2.50$1.32$0.55$-2.83$0.76$0.76$0.44$0.35$0.54$0.87$0.26$0.24$0.87$0.07
High Forecast$0.77$2.04$1.34$1.16$1.53$1.18$1.40$0.62$-0.04$1.67$0.89$0.06$1.34$1.61$0.24$0.19$2.50$1.35$0.55$-2.83$0.76$0.76$0.44$0.35$0.54$0.87$0.26$0.24$1.05$0.09
Low Forecast$0.75$1.96$1.30$1.08$1.24$1.14$1.36$0.62$-0.04$1.50$0.86$0.06$1.30$1.61$0.24$0.19$2.50$1.28$0.55$-2.83$0.76$0.76$0.44$0.35$0.54$0.87$0.26$0.24$0.70$0.06
Surprise %---------0.80%1.34%27.77%-0.45%0.95%-13.00%-3.39%0.60%0.01%0.13%1.49%-0.07%1.19%0.77%0.31%0.88%0.27%2.74%1.85%-0.82%2.57%

According to 1 Wall Street analysts, Vistra's projected average Quarter EPS for Dec 23 is $-0.04, with a low estimate of $-0.04 and a high estimate of $-0.04. This represents a -103.11% decrease compared to VST previous annual EPS of $1.27 (Sep 23).

Vistra Peer Comparison by Price Target

TickerCompanyLast Closing PriceAvg Price TargetUpside/DownsideAvg Rating
TACTransAlta$10.00$16.0060.00%Buy
VSTVistra$142.12$130.20-8.39%Buy
NRGNRG Energy$92.48$66.20-28.42%Hold
PAMPampa Energía$73.97$46.00-37.81%Buy

VST Forecast FAQ

Is Vistra a good buy?

Yes, according to 9 Wall Street analysts, Vistra (VST) is considered a 'Buy'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 8 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 88.89% of VST's total ratings.

What is VST's price target?

Vistra (VST) average price target is $130.2 with a range of $116 to $141, implying a -8.39% from its last price of $142.12. The data is based on 9 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.

Will Vistra stock go up soon?

According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for VST stock, the company can go down by -8.39% (from the last price of $142.12 to the average price target of $130.2), down by -0.79% based on the highest stock price target, and down by -18.38% based on the lowest stock price target.

Can Vistra stock reach $200?

VST's average twelve months analyst stock price target of $130.2 does not support the claim that Vistra can reach $200 in the near future.

What are Vistra's analysts' financial forecasts?

Vistra's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2024) are as follows: average revenue is $15.62B (high $15.73B, low $15.52B), average EBITDA is $460.79M (high $952.55M, low $-30.963M), average net income is $-1.126B (high $-562M, low $-1.695B), average SG&A $1.4B (high $1.47B, low $1.32B), and average EPS is $4.55 (high $4.73, low $4.36). VST's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $16.89B (high $17.12B, low $16.65B), average EBITDA is $3.73B (high $3.78B, low $3.68B), average net income is $1.82B (high $1.86B, low $1.78B), average SG&A $1.45B (high $1.47B, low $1.43B), and average EPS is $5.2 (high $5.31, low $5.09).

Did the VST's actual financial results beat the analysts' financial forecasts?

Based on Vistra's last annual report (Dec 2023), the company's revenue was $14.78B, beating the average analysts forecast of $13.25B by 11.57%. Apple's EBITDA was $-1.407B, missing the average prediction of $655.29M by -314.71%. The company's net income was $1.34B, missing the average estimation of $-1.129B by -218.93%. Apple's SG&A was $1.31B, beating the average forecast of $1.22B by 7.58%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $0, missing the average prediction of $2.49 by -100.00%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Sep 2023), Vistra's revenue was $4.09B, missing the average analysts' forecast of $5.08B by -19.61%. The company's EBITDA was $-222M, missing the average prediction of $1.12B by -119.78%. Vistra's net income was $465M, missing the average estimation of $556.18M by -16.39%. The company's SG&A was $357M, missing the average forecast of $435.3M by -17.99%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $1.27, missing the average prediction of $1.59 by -20.03%