Valero Energy (VLO) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions
VLO Stock Forecast
Valero Energy stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $148.92 (represents a 10.92% upside from VLO’s last price of $134.26) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 18 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.
VLO Price Target
The average price target for Valero Energy (VLO) is $148.92 based on 1-year price targets from 18 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $197.00 to $93.00. This represents a potential 10.92% upside from VLO's last price of $134.26.
VLO Analyst Ratings
According to 18 Wall Street analysts, Valero Energy's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for VLO stock is 1 'Strong Buy' (5.56%), 14 'Buy' (77.78%), 2 'Hold' (11.11%), 1 'Sell' (5.56%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).
Valero Energy Price Target by Analyst
| Date | Analyst | Company | Price Target | Price when Published | Price Target/Price when Published | Price Target/Last Closing Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 2024 | Doug Leggate | Wolfe Research | $177.00 | $150.05 | 17.96% | 31.83% |
| Jul 17, 2024 | Nitin Kumar | Mizuho Securities | $175.00 | $150.05 | 16.63% | 30.34% |
| Jul 12, 2024 | Paul Cheng | Scotiabank | $173.00 | $146.64 | 17.98% | 28.85% |
| Jul 12, 2024 | Roger Read | Wells Fargo | $156.00 | $146.64 | 6.38% | 16.19% |
| Jun 20, 2024 | Nitin Kumar | Mizuho Securities | $171.00 | $149.94 | 14.05% | 27.36% |
| Jun 14, 2024 | Ryan Todd | Piper Sandler | $169.00 | $149.97 | 12.69% | 25.88% |
| May 14, 2024 | Ryan Todd | Piper Sandler | $187.00 | $154.62 | 20.94% | 39.28% |
| Apr 04, 2024 | Roger Read | Wells Fargo | $184.00 | $180.37 | 2.01% | 37.05% |
| Apr 03, 2024 | Ryan Todd | Piper Sandler | $198.00 | $177.22 | 11.73% | 47.48% |
| Mar 26, 2024 | Manav Gupta | UBS | $197.00 | $168.49 | 16.92% | 46.73% |
The latest Valero Energy stock forecast, released on Jul 17, 2024 by Doug Leggate from Wolfe Research, set a price target of $177.00, which represents a 17.96% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($150.05), and a 31.83% increase from VLO last price ($134.26).
Valero Energy Price Target by Period
| 1M | 3M | 12M | |
|---|---|---|---|
| # Anlaysts | - | 5 | 12 |
| Avg Price Target | - | $170.40 | $176.17 |
| Last Closing Price | $134.26 | $134.26 | $134.26 |
| Upside/Downside | -100.00% | 26.92% | 31.22% |
In the current month, the average price target of Valero Energy stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to Valero Energy's last price of $134.26. This month's average price target is down -100.00% compared to last quarter, and down -100.00% compared to last year.
Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades
| Date | Company | Previous Rating | New Rating | Rating Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 2024 | Wolfe Research | - | Outperform | Initialise |
| Jul 13, 2024 | Jefferies | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Jul 12, 2024 | Scotiabank | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
| Jul 12, 2024 | Wells Fargo | Equal-Weight | Equal-Weight | Hold |
| Jun 14, 2024 | Piper Sandler | Overweight | Overweight | Hold |
| May 14, 2024 | Piper Sandler | Overweight | Overweight | Hold |
| Apr 18, 2024 | Citigroup | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Apr 11, 2024 | Scotiabank | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
| Apr 08, 2024 | Cowen & Co. | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Apr 03, 2024 | Piper Sandler | Overweight | Overweight | Hold |
Valero Energy's last stock rating was published by Wolfe Research on Jul 17, 2024. The company Initialise its VLO rating from "null" to "Outperform".
Valero Energy Financial Forecast
Valero Energy Revenue Forecast
| Dec 27 | Sep 27 | Jun 27 | Mar 27 | Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $38.40B | $63.94B | $36.44B | $41.75B | $44.45B | $51.64B | $38.54B | $35.90B | $29.52B | $27.75B | $20.81B | $16.60B | $15.81B |
| Avg Forecast | $61.67B | $59.16B | $56.75B | $54.44B | $29.37B | $29.76B | $29.85B | $28.60B | $31.74B | $32.35B | $35.33B | $31.95B | $32.48B | $33.51B | $32.97B | $32.24B | $34.76B | $38.46B | $34.37B | $34.28B | $39.52B | $38.78B | $41.25B | $31.64B | $27.77B | $24.97B | $21.75B | $19.13B | $15.31B | $15.60B |
| High Forecast | $69.76B | $66.92B | $64.20B | $61.58B | $33.22B | $33.66B | $33.77B | $32.35B | $35.90B | $36.59B | $39.96B | $36.14B | $36.75B | $35.93B | $37.29B | $36.47B | $37.15B | $40.48B | $38.88B | $38.78B | $44.70B | $43.87B | $45.23B | $34.69B | $30.45B | $27.38B | $23.85B | $20.98B | $16.78B | $17.11B |
| Low Forecast | $55.37B | $53.12B | $50.95B | $48.88B | $26.37B | $26.72B | $26.80B | $25.68B | $28.49B | $29.04B | $31.72B | $28.69B | $29.16B | $31.27B | $29.60B | $28.94B | $32.90B | $31.83B | $30.86B | $30.78B | $35.48B | $34.82B | $37.57B | $28.81B | $25.29B | $22.74B | $19.81B | $17.42B | $13.94B | $14.21B |
| # Analysts | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 16 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.00% | 1.86% | 1.06% | 1.06% | 1.15% | 1.25% | 1.22% | 1.29% | 1.18% | 1.28% | 1.09% | 1.08% | 1.01% |
Valero Energy's average Quarter revenue forecast for Dec 23 based on 4 analysts is $34.76B, with a low forecast of $32.90B, and a high forecast of $37.15B. VLO's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a -9.49% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $38.40B (Sep 23).
Valero Energy EBITDA Forecast
| Dec 27 | Sep 27 | Jun 27 | Mar 27 | Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 16 |
| EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $3.63B | $3.05B | $4.17B | $4.45B | $3.87B | $6.85B | $1.36B | $1.93B | $1.32B | $1.07B | $-125.00M | $82.00M | $-44.00M |
| Avg Forecast | $2.78B | $2.67B | $2.56B | $2.46B | $1.33B | $1.34B | $1.35B | $1.29B | $1.43B | $1.46B | $1.59B | $1.44B | $1.47B | $1.51B | $1.49B | $1.40B | $1.57B | $1.74B | $1.55B | $1.28B | $1.78B | $979.26M | $1.86B | $1.16B | $1.25B | $1.13B | $981.62M | $-135.58M | $690.89M | $704.17M |
| High Forecast | $3.15B | $3.02B | $2.90B | $2.78B | $1.50B | $1.52B | $1.52B | $1.46B | $1.62B | $1.65B | $1.80B | $1.63B | $1.66B | $1.62B | $1.68B | $1.69B | $1.68B | $1.83B | $1.75B | $1.53B | $2.02B | $1.18B | $2.04B | $1.39B | $1.37B | $1.24B | $1.08B | $-108.47M | $757.60M | $772.16M |
| Low Forecast | $2.50B | $2.40B | $2.30B | $2.21B | $1.19B | $1.21B | $1.21B | $1.16B | $1.29B | $1.31B | $1.43B | $1.29B | $1.32B | $1.41B | $1.34B | $1.12B | $1.48B | $1.44B | $1.39B | $1.02B | $1.60B | $783.41M | $1.70B | $928.71M | $1.14B | $1.03B | $893.99M | $-162.70M | $629.21M | $641.31M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2.09% | 1.97% | 3.27% | 2.49% | 3.95% | 3.68% | 1.17% | 1.54% | 1.17% | 1.09% | 0.92% | 0.12% | -0.06% |
4 analysts predict VLO's average Quarter EBITDA for Dec 23 to be $1.57B, with a high of $1.68B and a low of $1.48B. This is -56.72% lower than Valero Energy's previous annual EBITDA (Sep 23) of $3.63B.
Valero Energy Net Income Forecast
| Dec 27 | Sep 27 | Jun 27 | Mar 27 | Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 16 |
| Net Income | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $2.61B | $1.94B | $3.07B | $3.11B | $2.82B | $4.69B | $905.00M | $1.11B | $463.00M | $162.00M | $-704.00M | $-359.00M | $-464.00M |
| Avg Forecast | $929.25M | $2.09B | $1.08B | $436.10M | $687.09M | $1.27B | $1.25B | $620.39M | $810.52M | $1.34B | $1.30B | $754.12M | $760.49M | $919.42M | $841.23M | $666.27M | $957.30M | $2.42B | $1.63B | $605.70M | $2.37B | $343.22M | $3.00B | $550.63M | $595.32M | $298.60M | $45.89M | $-763.60M | $-460.55M | $-483.31M |
| High Forecast | $1.09B | $2.45B | $1.26B | $510.47M | $804.25M | $1.49B | $1.46B | $726.18M | $948.73M | $1.57B | $1.52B | $882.71M | $890.16M | $1.22B | $984.67M | $799.52M | $980.02M | $2.56B | $1.91B | $726.83M | $2.78B | $411.87M | $3.38B | $660.76M | $670.05M | $336.09M | $51.65M | $-610.88M | $-407.10M | $-427.22M |
| Low Forecast | $805.79M | $1.81B | $933.42M | $378.16M | $595.80M | $1.10B | $1.08B | $537.96M | $702.83M | $1.16B | $1.13B | $653.93M | $659.45M | $693.90M | $729.46M | $533.01M | $941.08M | $2.29B | $1.42B | $484.56M | $2.06B | $274.58M | $2.65B | $440.51M | $526.23M | $263.95M | $40.56M | $-916.32M | $-518.36M | $-543.98M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.08% | 1.19% | 5.06% | 1.31% | 8.21% | 1.56% | 1.64% | 1.86% | 1.55% | 3.53% | 0.92% | 0.78% | 0.96% |
Valero Energy's average Quarter net income forecast for Dec 23 is $957.30M, with a range of $941.08M to $980.02M. VLO's average Quarter net income forecast represents a -63.38% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $2.61B (Sep 23).
Valero Energy SG&A Forecast
| Dec 27 | Sep 27 | Jun 27 | Mar 27 | Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 16 |
| SG&A | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $250.00M | $209.00M | $244.00M | $282.00M | $214.00M | $233.00M | $205.00M | $286.00M | $195.00M | $176.00M | $208.00M | $224.00M | $186.00M |
| Avg Forecast | $486.43M | $466.62M | $447.63M | $429.40M | $231.62M | $234.70M | $235.46M | $225.59M | $250.31M | $255.16M | $278.65M | $252.01M | $256.22M | $264.34M | $260.03M | $150.92M | $274.16M | $303.33M | $271.06M | $137.20M | $311.69M | $144.55M | $325.35M | $124.73M | $219.04M | $196.96M | $171.53M | $225.61M | $120.72M | $123.04M |
| High Forecast | $550.24M | $527.83M | $506.34M | $485.72M | $262.01M | $265.49M | $266.34M | $255.18M | $283.14M | $288.63M | $315.20M | $285.07M | $289.82M | $283.38M | $294.14M | $181.11M | $293.00M | $319.27M | $306.62M | $164.64M | $352.57M | $173.47M | $356.77M | $149.67M | $240.19M | $215.98M | $188.09M | $270.73M | $132.38M | $134.93M |
| Low Forecast | $436.72M | $418.94M | $401.88M | $385.52M | $207.95M | $210.71M | $211.39M | $202.53M | $224.73M | $229.08M | $250.17M | $226.26M | $230.03M | $246.63M | $233.45M | $120.74M | $259.46M | $251.06M | $243.36M | $109.76M | $279.84M | $115.64M | $296.31M | $99.78M | $199.49M | $179.38M | $156.21M | $180.49M | $109.95M | $112.06M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.82% | 0.77% | 1.78% | 0.90% | 1.48% | 0.72% | 1.64% | 1.31% | 0.99% | 1.03% | 0.92% | 1.86% | 1.51% |
Valero Energy's average Quarter SG&A projection for Dec 23 is $274.16M, based on 4 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $259.46M to $293.00M. The forecast indicates a 9.66% rise compared to VLO last annual SG&A of $250.00M (Sep 23).
Valero Energy EPS Forecast
| Dec 27 | Sep 27 | Jun 27 | Mar 27 | Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 16 |
| EPS | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $7.49 | $5.43 | $8.29 | $8.15 | $7.20 | $11.58 | $2.21 | $2.72 | $1.13 | $0.39 | $-1.73 | $-0.88 | $-1.14 |
| Avg Forecast | $2.87 | $6.46 | $3.32 | $1.35 | $2.12 | $3.93 | $3.85 | $1.91 | $2.50 | $4.14 | $4.01 | $2.33 | $2.35 | $2.84 | $2.60 | $3.20 | $2.95 | $7.47 | $5.04 | $7.23 | $7.32 | $6.80 | $9.26 | $1.69 | $1.84 | $0.92 | $0.14 | $-1.88 | $-1.42 | $-1.49 |
| High Forecast | $3.36 | $7.56 | $3.89 | $1.58 | $2.48 | $4.60 | $4.51 | $2.24 | $2.93 | $4.84 | $4.69 | $2.72 | $2.75 | $3.77 | $3.04 | $3.75 | $3.02 | $7.90 | $5.90 | $8.47 | $8.57 | $7.96 | $10.42 | $1.90 | $2.07 | $1.04 | $0.16 | $-1.67 | $-1.26 | $-1.32 |
| Low Forecast | $2.49 | $5.60 | $2.88 | $1.17 | $1.84 | $3.41 | $3.34 | $1.66 | $2.17 | $3.59 | $3.47 | $2.02 | $2.04 | $2.14 | $2.25 | $2.78 | $2.90 | $7.06 | $4.37 | $6.27 | $6.35 | $5.90 | $8.19 | $1.49 | $1.62 | $0.81 | $0.13 | $-2.12 | $-1.60 | $-1.68 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.00% | 1.08% | 1.15% | 1.11% | 1.06% | 1.25% | 1.31% | 1.48% | 1.23% | 2.75% | 0.92% | 0.62% | 0.76% |
According to 4 Wall Street analysts, Valero Energy's projected average Quarter EPS for Dec 23 is $2.95, with a low estimate of $2.90 and a high estimate of $3.02. This represents a -60.55% decrease compared to VLO previous annual EPS of $7.49 (Sep 23).
Valero Energy Peer Comparison by Price Target
| Ticker | Company | Last Closing Price | Avg Price Target | Upside/Downside | Avg Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PBF | PBF Energy | $32.61 | $45.00 | 37.99% | Buy |
| DINO | HF Sinclair | $45.19 | $58.88 | 30.29% | Buy |
| DK | Delek US | $19.40 | $23.14 | 19.28% | Hold |
| VLO | Valero Energy | $134.26 | $148.92 | 10.92% | Buy |
| SUN | Sunoco LP | $53.50 | $54.60 | 2.06% | Buy |
| CVI | CVR Energy | $22.15 | $22.00 | -0.68% | Buy |
| PSX | Phillips 66 | $126.70 | $124.50 | -1.74% | Buy |
| MPC | Marathon Petroleum | $163.58 | $158.80 | -2.92% | Buy |
| DKL | Delek Logistics Partners, LP | $41.99 | $40.00 | -4.74% | Buy |
VLO Forecast FAQ
Is Valero Energy a good buy?
Yes, according to 18 Wall Street analysts, Valero Energy (VLO) is considered a 'Buy'. The rating consensus is based on 1 'Strong Buy' and 14 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 83.33% of VLO's total ratings.
What is VLO's price target?
Valero Energy (VLO) average price target is $148.92 with a range of $93 to $197, implying a 10.92% from its last price of $134.26. The data is based on 18 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.
Will Valero Energy stock go up soon?
According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for VLO stock, the company can go up by 10.92% (from the last price of $134.26 to the average price target of $148.92), up by 46.73% based on the highest stock price target, and down by -30.73% based on the lowest stock price target.
Can Valero Energy stock reach $200?
VLO's average twelve months analyst stock price target of $148.92 does not support the claim that Valero Energy can reach $200 in the near future.
What are Valero Energy's analysts' financial forecasts?
Valero Energy's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2026) are as follows: average revenue is $117.58B (high $133B, low $105.56B), average EBITDA is $5.31B (high $6B, low $4.76B), average net income is $3.83B (high $4.48B, low $3.32B), average SG&A $927.37M (high $1.05B, low $832.59M), and average EPS is $11.82 (high $13.83, low $10.25). VLO's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2027) are as follows: average revenue is $232.03B (high $262.47B, low $208.32B), average EBITDA is $10.47B (high $11.85B, low $9.4B), average net income is $4.53B (high $5.31B, low $3.93B), average SG&A $1.83B (high $2.07B, low $1.64B), and average EPS is $13.99 (high $16.38, low $12.14).
Did the VLO's actual financial results beat the analysts' financial forecasts?
Based on Valero Energy's last annual report (Dec 2022), the company's revenue was $176.38B, beating the average analysts forecast of $151.19B by 16.66%. Apple's EBITDA was $15.93B, beating the average prediction of $5.79B by 175.33%. The company's net income was $11.53B, beating the average estimation of $6.26B by 84.01%. Apple's SG&A was $934M, beating the average forecast of $906.32M by 3.05%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $29.05, beating the average prediction of $25.07 by 15.88%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Sep 2023), Valero Energy's revenue was $38.4B, missing the average analysts' forecast of $38.46B by -0.14%. The company's EBITDA was $3.62B, beating the average prediction of $1.74B by 108.82%. Valero Energy's net income was $2.61B, beating the average estimation of $2.42B by 7.97%. The company's SG&A was $250M, missing the average forecast of $303.33M by -17.58%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $7.49, beating the average prediction of $7.47 by 0.23%