​
​

Valero Energy (VLO) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions

OverviewRevenueOwnershipFinancialsChartTranscripts

VLO Stock Forecast

Valero Energy stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $145.47 (represents a 3.02% upside from VLO’s last price of $141.20) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 19 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.

VLO Price Target

The average price target for Valero Energy (VLO) is $145.47 based on 1-year price targets from 19 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $197.00 to $93.00. This represents a potential 3.02% upside from VLO's last price of $141.20.

VLO Analyst Ratings

Buy

According to 19 Wall Street analysts, Valero Energy's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for VLO stock is 1 'Strong Buy' (5.26%), 15 'Buy' (78.95%), 2 'Hold' (10.53%), 1 'Sell' (5.26%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).

Valero Energy Price Target by Analyst

DateAnalystCompanyPrice TargetPrice when PublishedPrice Target/Price when PublishedPrice Target/Last Closing Price
Oct 17, 2024Jean Ann SalisburyBank of America Securities$150.00$135.5210.68%6.23%
Oct 10, 2024Paul ChengScotiabank$141.00$139.361.18%-0.14%
Oct 09, 2024Roger ReadWells Fargo$165.00$139.3618.40%16.86%
Oct 04, 2024Phillip JungwirthBMO Capital$165.00$144.0314.56%16.86%
Sep 20, 2024Ryan ToddPiper Sandler$123.00$138.69-11.31%-12.89%
Jul 17, 2024Doug LeggateWolfe Research$177.00$150.0517.96%25.35%
Jul 17, 2024Nitin KumarMizuho Securities$175.00$150.0516.63%23.94%
Jul 12, 2024Paul ChengScotiabank$173.00$146.6417.98%22.52%
Jul 12, 2024Roger ReadWells Fargo$156.00$146.646.38%10.48%
Jun 20, 2024Nitin KumarMizuho Securities$171.00$149.9414.05%21.10%
Row per page
Go to

The latest Valero Energy stock forecast, released on Oct 17, 2024 by Jean Ann Salisbury from Bank of America Securities, set a price target of $150.00, which represents a 10.68% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($135.52), and a 6.23% increase from VLO last price ($141.20).

Valero Energy Price Target by Period

1M3M12M
# Anlaysts-517
Avg Price Target-$148.80$168.12
Last Closing Price$141.20$141.20$141.20
Upside/Downside-100.00%5.38%19.07%

In the current month, the average price target of Valero Energy stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to Valero Energy's last price of $141.20. This month's average price target is down -100.00% compared to last quarter, and down -100.00% compared to last year.

Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades

DateCompanyPrevious RatingNew RatingRating Change
Oct 10, 2024ScotiabankOutperformOutperformHold
Oct 08, 2024Wells FargoEqual-WeightOverweightUpgrade
Oct 04, 2024BMO CapitalOutperformOutperformHold
Sep 20, 2024Piper SandlerOverweightNeutralDowngrade
Jul 17, 2024Wolfe Research-OutperformInitialise
Jul 13, 2024JefferiesBuyBuyHold
Jul 12, 2024ScotiabankOutperformOutperformHold
Jul 12, 2024Wells FargoEqual-WeightEqual-WeightHold
Jun 14, 2024Piper SandlerOverweightOverweightHold
May 14, 2024Piper SandlerOverweightOverweightHold
Row per page
Go to

Valero Energy's last stock rating was published by Scotiabank on Oct 10, 2024. The company gave VLO a "Outperform" rating, the same as its previous rate.

Valero Energy Financial Forecast

Valero Energy Revenue Forecast

Dec 27Sep 27Jun 27Mar 27Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20
Revenue-----------------$38.40B$63.94B$36.44B$41.75B$44.45B$51.64B$38.54B$35.90B$29.52B$27.75B$20.81B$16.60B$15.81B
Avg Forecast$55.17B$53.02B$50.95B$48.96B$29.42B$29.97B$29.96B$28.78B$30.59B$33.48B$32.86B$31.40B$30.76B$31.04B$32.97B$32.24B$34.76B$38.46B$34.37B$34.28B$39.52B$38.78B$41.25B$31.64B$27.77B$24.97B$21.75B$19.13B$15.31B$15.60B
High Forecast$61.74B$59.33B$57.01B$54.78B$32.92B$33.53B$33.53B$32.21B$34.23B$37.46B$36.77B$33.72B$31.51B$32.41B$32.97B$32.35B$37.15B$40.48B$38.46B$38.36B$44.22B$38.78B$41.25B$31.64B$27.77B$24.97B$21.75B$19.13B$15.31B$15.60B
Low Forecast$48.34B$46.45B$44.64B$42.89B$25.78B$26.25B$26.25B$25.22B$26.80B$29.33B$28.79B$27.99B$30.29B$29.67B$32.97B$32.13B$32.90B$31.83B$30.11B$30.04B$34.62B$38.78B$41.25B$31.64B$27.77B$24.97B$21.75B$19.13B$15.31B$15.60B
# Analysts4444444433356322476322223456616
Surprise %-----------------1.00%1.86%1.06%1.06%1.15%1.25%1.22%1.29%1.18%1.28%1.09%1.08%1.01%

Valero Energy's average Quarter revenue forecast for Dec 23 based on 4 analysts is $34.76B, with a low forecast of $32.90B, and a high forecast of $37.15B. VLO's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a -9.49% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $38.40B (Sep 23).

Valero Energy EBITDA Forecast

Dec 27Sep 27Jun 27Mar 27Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20
# Analysts4444444433356322476322223456616
EBITDA-----------------$3.63B$3.05B$4.17B$4.45B$3.87B$6.85B$1.36B$1.93B$1.32B$1.07B$-125.00M$82.00M$-44.00M
Avg Forecast$3.53B$3.39B$3.26B$3.13B$1.88B$1.92B$1.92B$1.84B$1.96B$2.14B$2.10B$2.01B$1.97B$1.99B$2.11B$1.40B$2.22B$2.46B$2.20B$1.28B$1.39B$1.75B$1.86B$1.16B$1.25B$1.13B$981.62M$-135.58M$690.89M$704.17M
High Forecast$3.95B$3.80B$3.65B$3.51B$2.11B$2.15B$2.15B$2.06B$2.19B$2.40B$2.35B$2.16B$2.02B$2.07B$2.11B$1.69B$2.38B$2.59B$2.46B$1.53B$1.67B$1.75B$1.86B$1.39B$1.25B$1.13B$981.62M$-108.47M$690.89M$704.17M
Low Forecast$3.09B$2.97B$2.86B$2.74B$1.65B$1.68B$1.68B$1.61B$1.72B$1.88B$1.84B$1.79B$1.94B$1.90B$2.11B$1.12B$2.11B$2.04B$1.93B$1.02B$1.12B$1.75B$1.86B$928.71M$1.25B$1.13B$981.62M$-162.70M$690.89M$704.17M
Surprise %-----------------1.47%1.39%3.27%3.19%2.21%3.68%1.17%1.54%1.17%1.09%0.92%0.12%-0.06%

4 analysts predict VLO's average Quarter EBITDA for Dec 23 to be $2.22B, with a high of $2.38B and a low of $2.11B. This is -38.64% lower than Valero Energy's previous annual EBITDA (Sep 23) of $3.63B.

Valero Energy Net Income Forecast

Dec 27Sep 27Jun 27Mar 27Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20
# Analysts4444444433356322476322223456616
Net Income-----------------$2.61B$1.94B$3.07B$3.11B$2.82B$4.69B$905.00M$1.11B$463.00M$162.00M$-704.00M$-359.00M$-464.00M
Avg Forecast$490.45M$1.60B$1.43B$-62.68M$614.86M$1.25B$1.20B$599.45M$562.37M$983.75M$966.18M$511.37M$227.49M$312.41M$825.65M$666.27M$939.58M$2.38B$1.60B$605.70M$729.88M$2.20B$3.00B$550.63M$595.32M$298.60M$45.89M$-763.60M$-460.55M$-483.31M
High Forecast$566.32M$1.84B$1.65B$-52.58M$709.98M$1.45B$1.39B$692.18M$649.37M$1.14B$1.12B$681.82M$418.09M$360.74M$825.71M$799.52M$961.87M$2.51B$1.85B$726.83M$875.86M$2.20B$3.00B$660.76M$604.09M$298.60M$45.89M$-610.88M$-460.55M$-483.31M
Low Forecast$411.48M$1.34B$1.20B$-72.37M$515.86M$1.05B$1.01B$502.93M$471.82M$825.35M$810.61M$340.91M$153.71M$262.11M$825.59M$533.01M$923.65M$2.25B$1.35B$484.56M$583.90M$2.20B$3.00B$440.51M$586.55M$298.60M$45.89M$-916.32M$-460.55M$-483.31M
Surprise %-----------------1.10%1.21%5.06%4.27%1.28%1.56%1.64%1.86%1.55%3.53%0.92%0.78%0.96%

Valero Energy's average Quarter net income forecast for Dec 23 is $939.58M, with a range of $923.65M to $961.87M. VLO's average Quarter net income forecast represents a -64.06% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $2.61B (Sep 23).

Valero Energy SG&A Forecast

Dec 27Sep 27Jun 27Mar 27Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20
# Analysts4444444433356322476322223456616
SG&A-----------------$250.00M$209.00M$244.00M$282.00M$214.00M$233.00M$205.00M$286.00M$195.00M$176.00M$208.00M$224.00M$186.00M
Avg Forecast$438.32M$421.21M$404.76M$388.96M$233.73M$238.07M$238.04M$228.67M$243.05M$265.98M$261.07M$249.45M$244.36M$246.59M$261.93M$150.92M$276.16M$305.55M$273.04M$137.20M$206.88M$305.87M$325.35M$124.73M$219.04M$196.96M$171.53M$225.61M$120.72M$123.04M
High Forecast$490.48M$471.33M$452.93M$435.25M$261.55M$266.40M$266.37M$255.88M$271.97M$297.63M$292.14M$267.89M$250.31M$257.48M$261.93M$181.11M$295.14M$321.60M$305.53M$164.64M$248.26M$305.87M$325.35M$149.67M$219.04M$196.96M$171.53M$270.73M$120.72M$123.04M
Low Forecast$384.03M$369.04M$354.63M$340.78M$204.78M$208.58M$208.56M$200.35M$212.94M$233.04M$228.73M$222.37M$240.62M$235.69M$261.93M$120.74M$261.35M$252.89M$239.22M$109.76M$165.51M$305.87M$325.35M$99.78M$219.04M$196.96M$171.53M$180.49M$120.72M$123.04M
Surprise %-----------------0.82%0.77%1.78%1.36%0.70%0.72%1.64%1.31%0.99%1.03%0.92%1.86%1.51%

Valero Energy's average Quarter SG&A projection for Dec 23 is $276.16M, based on 4 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $261.35M to $295.14M. The forecast indicates a 10.46% rise compared to VLO last annual SG&A of $250.00M (Sep 23).

Valero Energy EPS Forecast

Dec 27Sep 27Jun 27Mar 27Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20
# Analysts4444444433356322476322223456616
EPS-----------------$7.49$5.43$8.29$8.15$7.20$11.58$2.21$2.72$1.13$0.39$-1.73$-0.88$-1.14
Avg Forecast$1.54$5.02$4.50$-0.20$1.93$3.94$3.79$1.89$1.77$3.09$3.04$1.61$0.72$0.98$2.60$3.20$2.95$7.47$5.04$7.23$7.32$6.80$9.26$1.69$1.84$0.92$0.14$-1.88$-1.42$-1.49
High Forecast$1.78$5.80$5.19$-0.17$2.23$4.55$4.37$2.18$2.04$3.57$3.51$2.14$1.31$1.13$2.60$3.21$3.02$7.90$5.82$8.35$8.45$6.80$9.26$1.69$1.86$0.92$0.14$-1.88$-1.42$-1.49
Low Forecast$1.29$4.21$3.77$-0.23$1.62$3.31$3.18$1.58$1.48$2.60$2.55$1.07$0.48$0.82$2.60$3.19$2.90$7.06$4.23$6.07$6.14$6.80$9.26$1.69$1.81$0.92$0.14$-1.88$-1.42$-1.49
Surprise %-----------------1.00%1.08%1.15%1.11%1.06%1.25%1.31%1.48%1.23%2.75%0.92%0.62%0.76%

According to 4 Wall Street analysts, Valero Energy's projected average Quarter EPS for Dec 23 is $2.95, with a low estimate of $2.90 and a high estimate of $3.02. This represents a -60.55% decrease compared to VLO previous annual EPS of $7.49 (Sep 23).

Valero Energy Peer Comparison by Price Target

TickerCompanyLast Closing PriceAvg Price TargetUpside/DownsideAvg Rating
DINOHF Sinclair$42.33$57.5035.84%Buy
PBFPBF Energy$31.63$39.9226.21%Buy
DKDelek US$18.04$22.0021.95%Hold
VLOValero Energy$141.20$145.473.02%Buy
MPCMarathon Petroleum$159.38$163.442.55%Buy
SUNSunoco LP$53.43$54.602.19%Buy
DKLDelek Logistics Partners, LP$39.63$40.000.93%Buy
PSXPhillips 66$131.45$127.30-3.16%Buy
CVICVR Energy$18.70$17.67-5.51%Buy

VLO Forecast FAQ

Is Valero Energy a good buy?

Yes, according to 19 Wall Street analysts, Valero Energy (VLO) is considered a 'Buy'. The rating consensus is based on 1 'Strong Buy' and 15 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 84.21% of VLO's total ratings.

What is VLO's price target?

Valero Energy (VLO) average price target is $145.47 with a range of $93 to $197, implying a 3.02% from its last price of $141.2. The data is based on 19 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.

Will Valero Energy stock go up soon?

According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for VLO stock, the company can go up by 3.02% (from the last price of $141.2 to the average price target of $145.47), up by 39.52% based on the highest stock price target, and down by -34.14% based on the lowest stock price target.

Can Valero Energy stock reach $200?

VLO's average twelve months analyst stock price target of $145.47 does not support the claim that Valero Energy can reach $200 in the near future.

What are Valero Energy's analysts' financial forecasts?

Valero Energy's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2026) are as follows: average revenue is $118.13B (high $132.19B, low $103.5B), average EBITDA is $7.56B (high $8.46B, low $6.62B), average net income is $3.67B (high $4.24B, low $3.08B), average SG&A $938.51M (high $1.05B, low $822.27M), and average EPS is $11.55 (high $13.34, low $9.69). VLO's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2027) are as follows: average revenue is $208.09B (high $232.85B, low $182.32B), average EBITDA is $13.32B (high $14.9B, low $11.67B), average net income is $3.45B (high $4.01B, low $2.88B), average SG&A $1.65B (high $1.85B, low $1.45B), and average EPS is $10.86 (high $12.61, low $9.05).

Did the VLO's actual financial results beat the analysts' financial forecasts?

Based on Valero Energy's last annual report (Dec 2022), the company's revenue was $176.38B, beating the average analysts forecast of $151.19B by 16.66%. Apple's EBITDA was $15.93B, beating the average prediction of $6.17B by 158.27%. The company's net income was $11.53B, beating the average estimation of $6.48B by 77.77%. Apple's SG&A was $934M, missing the average forecast of $962.83M by -2.99%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $29.05, beating the average prediction of $25.07 by 15.88%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Sep 2023), Valero Energy's revenue was $38.4B, missing the average analysts' forecast of $38.46B by -0.14%. The company's EBITDA was $3.62B, beating the average prediction of $2.46B by 47.29%. Valero Energy's net income was $2.61B, beating the average estimation of $2.38B by 10.00%. The company's SG&A was $250M, missing the average forecast of $305.55M by -18.18%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $7.49, beating the average prediction of $7.47 by 0.23%