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Valero Energy (VLO) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions

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VLO Stock Forecast

Valero Energy stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $155.00 (represents a 11.13% upside from VLO’s last price of $139.48) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 19 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.

VLO Price Target

The average price target for Valero Energy (VLO) is $155.00 based on 1-year price targets from 19 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $165.00 to $141.00. This represents a potential 11.13% upside from VLO's last price of $139.48.

VLO Analyst Ratings

Buy

According to 19 Wall Street analysts, Valero Energy's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for VLO stock is 1 'Strong Buy' (5.26%), 16 'Buy' (84.21%), 1 'Hold' (5.26%), 1 'Sell' (5.26%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).

Valero Energy Price Target by Analyst

DateAnalystCompanyPrice TargetPrice when PublishedPrice Target/Price when PublishedPrice Target/Last Closing Price
Jan 10, 2025Ryan ToddPiper Sandler$149.00$127.1517.18%6.83%
Dec 19, 2024Joe LaetschMorgan Stanley$160.00$132.3220.92%14.71%
Oct 17, 2024Jean Ann SalisburyBank of America Securities$150.00$135.5210.68%7.54%
Oct 10, 2024Paul ChengScotiabank$141.00$139.361.18%1.09%
Oct 09, 2024Roger ReadWells Fargo$165.00$139.3618.40%18.30%
Oct 04, 2024Phillip JungwirthBMO Capital$165.00$144.0314.56%18.30%
Sep 20, 2024Ryan ToddPiper Sandler$123.00$138.69-11.31%-11.82%
Jul 17, 2024Doug LeggateWolfe Research$177.00$150.0517.96%26.90%
Jul 17, 2024Nitin KumarMizuho Securities$175.00$150.0516.63%25.47%
Jul 12, 2024Paul ChengScotiabank$173.00$146.6417.98%24.03%
Jul 12, 2024Roger ReadWells Fargo$156.00$146.646.38%11.84%
Jun 20, 2024Nitin KumarMizuho Securities$171.00$149.9414.05%22.60%
Jun 14, 2024Ryan ToddPiper Sandler$169.00$149.9712.69%21.16%
May 14, 2024Ryan ToddPiper Sandler$187.00$154.6220.94%34.07%
Apr 04, 2024Roger ReadWells Fargo$184.00$180.372.01%31.92%
Apr 03, 2024Ryan ToddPiper Sandler$198.00$177.2211.73%41.96%
Mar 26, 2024Manav GuptaUBS$197.00$168.4916.92%41.24%
Mar 22, 2024Nitin KumarMizuho Securities$173.00$169.641.98%24.03%
Nov 22, 2023Justin JenkinsRaymond James$154.00$123.1725.03%10.41%
Aug 08, 2023Theresa ChenBarclays$142.00$128.0010.94%1.81%
Apr 11, 2023Nitin KumarMizuho Securities$174.00$136.7127.28%24.75%
Jan 13, 2023Raymond James$169.00$135.6324.60%21.16%
Jan 05, 2023Wells Fargo$140.00$124.5912.37%0.37%
Dec 19, 2022Piper Sandler$165.00$119.3738.23%18.30%
Sep 21, 2022Wells Fargo$131.00$106.6722.81%-6.08%
Sep 12, 2022Piper Sandler$148.00$114.0829.73%6.11%
Aug 24, 2022Piper Sandler$150.00$122.1122.84%7.54%
Aug 16, 2022Barclays$139.00$113.3722.61%-0.34%
Jul 19, 2022Piper Sandler$142.00$106.3133.57%1.81%
Jul 15, 2022Morgan Stanley$140.00$104.5933.86%0.37%
Jul 06, 2022Barclays$133.00$103.9827.90%-4.65%
Jul 02, 2022Roger ReadWells Fargo$166.00$107.9853.73%19.01%
May 27, 2022Raymond James$150.00$128.1217.08%7.54%
May 23, 2022Piper Sandler$135.00$123.309.49%-3.21%
May 21, 2022Roger ReadWells Fargo$136.00$122.9810.59%-2.49%
Apr 29, 2022Theresa ChenBarclays$120.00$111.487.64%-13.97%
Apr 27, 2022Credit Suisse$120.00$105.4813.77%-13.97%
Apr 27, 2022RBC Capital$120.00$105.1414.13%-13.97%
Apr 27, 2022Wells Fargo$126.00$105.1419.84%-9.66%
Apr 27, 2022Raymond James$125.00$105.1418.89%-10.38%
Apr 26, 2022Citigroup$120.00$101.7917.89%-13.97%
Apr 24, 2022Connor LynaghMorgan Stanley$125.00$103.0521.30%-10.38%
Apr 21, 2022Wells Fargo$122.00$108.0712.89%-12.53%
Apr 18, 2022Ryan ToddPiper Sandler$121.00$110.359.65%-13.25%
Apr 11, 2022TJ SchultzRBC Capital$108.00$100.907.04%-22.57%
Mar 16, 2022Justin JenkinsRaymond James$105.00$84.9423.62%-24.72%
Mar 05, 2022Connor LynaghMorgan Stanley$100.00$85.9816.31%-28.31%
Jan 25, 2022Ryan ToddPiper Sandler$95.00$80.2418.39%-31.89%
Jan 19, 2022Prashant RaoCitigroup$94.00$83.2612.90%-32.61%
Nov 17, 2021Lloyd ByrneUBS$85.00$72.6217.05%-39.06%
Oct 26, 2021Bill SeleskyArgus Research$93.00$79.9316.35%-33.32%
Oct 25, 2021Theresa ChenBarclays$97.00$80.7220.17%-30.46%
Apr 12, 2021Manav GuptaCredit Suisse$90.00$66.8134.71%-35.47%

The latest Valero Energy stock forecast, released on Jan 10, 2025 by Ryan Todd from Piper Sandler, set a price target of $149.00, which represents a 17.18% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($127.15), and a 6.83% increase from VLO last price ($139.48).

Valero Energy Price Target by Period

1M3M12M
# Anlaysts1218
Avg Price Target$149.00$154.50$167.39
Last Closing Price$139.48$139.48$139.48
Upside/Downside6.83%10.77%20.01%

In the current month, the average price target of Valero Energy stock is $149.00, according to 1 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a 6.83% increase as opposed to Valero Energy's last price of $139.48. This month's average price target is down -3.56% compared to last quarter, and down -10.99% compared to last year.

Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades

DateCompanyPrevious RatingNew RatingRating Change
Jan 10, 2025Piper SandlerNeutralOverweightUpgrade
Dec 19, 2024Morgan StanleyOverweightOverweightHold
Oct 10, 2024ScotiabankOutperformOutperformHold
Oct 08, 2024Wells FargoEqual-WeightOverweightUpgrade
Oct 04, 2024BMO CapitalOutperformOutperformHold
Sep 20, 2024Piper SandlerOverweightNeutralDowngrade
Jul 17, 2024Wolfe ResearchOutperformInitialise
Jul 13, 2024JefferiesBuyBuyHold
Jul 12, 2024ScotiabankOutperformOutperformHold
Jul 12, 2024Wells FargoEqual-WeightEqual-WeightHold
Jun 14, 2024Piper SandlerOverweightOverweightHold
May 14, 2024Piper SandlerOverweightOverweightHold
Apr 18, 2024CitigroupBuyBuyHold
Apr 11, 2024ScotiabankOutperformOutperformHold
Apr 08, 2024Cowen & Co.BuyBuyHold
Apr 03, 2024Piper SandlerOverweightOverweightHold
Apr 03, 2024BarclaysOverweightOverweightHold
Mar 26, 2024UBSBuyBuyHold
Mar 15, 2024Bank of America SecuritiesBuyUpgrade
Jan 10, 2024Raymond JamesStrong BuyStrong BuyHold
Nov 22, 2023Piper SandlerOverweightOverweightHold
Nov 22, 2023Raymond JamesStrong BuyStrong BuyHold
Oct 03, 2023Piper SandlerOverweightOverweightHold
Aug 08, 2023BarclaysOverweightOverweightHold
Jul 31, 2023Tudor PickeringBuyUpgrade
Jun 05, 2023Goldman SachsNegativeNegativeHold
Apr 10, 2023Raymond JamesStrong BuyStrong BuyHold
Apr 06, 2023BarclaysOverweightOverweightHold
Jan 13, 2023Raymond JamesStrong BuyStrong BuyHold
Jan 05, 2023Wells FargoOverweightOverweightHold
Dec 19, 2022Piper SandlerOverweightOverweightHold
Oct 26, 2022CFRABuyUpgrade
Sep 21, 2022Wells FargoOverweightOverweightHold
Aug 24, 2022Piper SandlerOverweightOverweightHold
Aug 16, 2022BarclaysOverweightOverweightHold
Jul 19, 2022Piper SandlerOverweightOverweightHold
Jul 15, 2022Morgan StanleyOverweightOverweightHold
Jul 06, 2022BarclaysOverweightOverweightHold
Jun 14, 2022Wells FargoOverweightOverweightHold
May 27, 2022Raymond JamesStrong BuyStrong BuyHold
May 23, 2022Piper SandlerOverweightOverweightHold
May 18, 2022Wells FargoOverweightOverweightHold
Apr 27, 2022BarclaysOverweightOverweightHold
Apr 27, 2022Credit SuisseOutperformOutperformHold
Apr 27, 2022Cowen & Co.OutperformOutperformHold
Apr 27, 2022Wells FargoOverweightOverweightHold
Apr 27, 2022Raymond JamesStrong BuyStrong BuyHold
Apr 26, 2022CitigroupBuyBuyHold
Apr 25, 2022Zacks Investment ResearchHoldDowngrade
Apr 24, 2022Morgan StanleyOverweightOverweightHold
Apr 18, 2022Piper SandlerOverweightOverweightHold
Apr 11, 2022RBC CapitalOutperformOutperformHold
Mar 16, 2022Raymond JamesStrong BuyStrong BuyHold
Mar 05, 2022Morgan StanleyOverweightOverweightHold

Valero Energy's last stock rating was published by Piper Sandler on Jan 10, 2025. The company Upgrade its VLO rating from "Neutral" to "Overweight".

Valero Energy Financial Forecast

Valero Energy Revenue Forecast

Dec 28Sep 28Jun 28Mar 28Dec 27Sep 27Jun 27Mar 27Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21
Revenue---------------------$38.40B$63.94B$36.44B$41.75B$44.45B$51.64B$38.54B$35.90B$29.52B
Avg Forecast$66.59B$63.88B$61.28B$58.78B$56.39B$54.09B$51.89B$49.78B$29.33B$30.12B$30.05B$28.58B$28.79B$30.99B$30.54B$29.59B$30.07B$31.04B$32.97B$32.24B$34.76B$38.46B$34.37B$34.28B$39.52B$38.78B$41.25B$31.64B$27.77B$24.97B
High Forecast$71.36B$68.46B$65.67B$63.00B$60.43B$57.97B$55.61B$53.35B$31.43B$32.28B$32.20B$30.63B$30.86B$33.21B$32.73B$31.58B$30.69B$32.41B$32.97B$32.35B$37.15B$40.48B$36.83B$36.74B$46.38B$38.78B$41.25B$31.64B$27.77B$24.97B
Low Forecast$60.51B$58.05B$55.69B$53.42B$51.24B$49.16B$47.16B$45.24B$26.65B$27.37B$27.31B$25.97B$26.17B$28.16B$27.75B$27.26B$28.44B$29.67B$32.97B$32.13B$32.90B$31.83B$31.23B$31.15B$33.44B$38.78B$41.25B$31.64B$27.77B$24.97B
# Analysts333344444444333563224763222234
Surprise %---------------------1.00%1.86%1.06%1.06%1.15%1.25%1.22%1.29%1.18%

Valero Energy's average Quarter revenue forecast for Dec 23 based on 4 analysts is $34.76B, with a low forecast of $32.90B, and a high forecast of $37.15B. VLO's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a -9.49% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $38.40B (Sep 23).

Valero Energy EBITDA Forecast

Dec 28Sep 28Jun 28Mar 28Dec 27Sep 27Jun 27Mar 27Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21
# Analysts333344444444333563224763222234
EBITDA---------------------$3.63B$3.05B$4.17B$4.45B$3.87B$6.85B$1.36B$1.93B$1.32B
Avg Forecast$4.21B$4.03B$3.87B$3.71B$3.56B$3.42B$3.28B$3.14B$1.85B$1.90B$1.90B$1.80B$1.82B$1.96B$1.93B$1.87B$1.90B$1.96B$2.08B$1.40B$2.20B$2.43B$2.17B$1.28B$1.39B$1.75B$1.86B$1.16B$1.25B$1.13B
High Forecast$4.51B$4.32B$4.15B$3.98B$3.82B$3.66B$3.51B$3.37B$1.99B$2.04B$2.03B$1.93B$1.95B$2.10B$2.07B$1.99B$1.94B$2.05B$2.08B$1.69B$2.35B$2.56B$2.33B$1.53B$1.67B$1.75B$1.86B$1.39B$1.25B$1.13B
Low Forecast$3.82B$3.67B$3.52B$3.37B$3.24B$3.10B$2.98B$2.86B$1.68B$1.73B$1.72B$1.64B$1.65B$1.78B$1.75B$1.72B$1.80B$1.87B$2.08B$1.12B$2.08B$2.01B$1.97B$1.02B$1.12B$1.75B$1.86B$928.71M$1.25B$1.13B
Surprise %---------------------1.49%1.40%3.27%3.19%2.21%3.68%1.17%1.54%1.17%

4 analysts predict VLO's average Quarter EBITDA for Dec 23 to be $2.20B, with a high of $2.35B and a low of $2.08B. This is -39.44% lower than Valero Energy's previous annual EBITDA (Sep 23) of $3.63B.

Valero Energy Net Income Forecast

Dec 28Sep 28Jun 28Mar 28Dec 27Sep 27Jun 27Mar 27Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21
# Analysts333344444444333563224763222234
Net Income---------------------$2.61B$1.94B$3.07B$3.11B$2.82B$4.69B$905.00M$1.11B$463.00M
Avg Forecast$92.25M$900.23M$1.04B$-145.99M$501.80M$1.28B$1.37B$484.71M$616.41M$1.16B$1.15B$519.50M$389.22M$843.42M$869.21M$342.35M$32.70M$312.41M$825.65M$666.27M$939.58M$2.38B$1.60B$605.70M$729.88M$2.20B$3.00B$550.63M$595.32M$298.60M
High Forecast$100.85M$984.18M$1.14B$-128.68M$548.59M$1.40B$1.50B$529.91M$673.90M$1.27B$1.26B$567.94M$425.52M$922.08M$950.27M$559.89M$70.06M$341.54M$825.71M$799.52M$961.87M$2.51B$1.75B$726.83M$875.86M$2.20B$3.00B$660.76M$604.09M$298.60M
Low Forecast$81.31M$793.46M$920.88M$-159.61M$442.28M$1.13B$1.21B$427.23M$543.31M$1.02B$1.01B$457.89M$343.06M$743.39M$766.12M$89.15M$7.01M$275.36M$825.59M$533.01M$923.65M$2.25B$1.41B$484.56M$583.90M$2.20B$3.00B$440.51M$586.55M$298.60M
Surprise %---------------------1.10%1.21%5.06%4.27%1.28%1.56%1.64%1.86%1.55%

Valero Energy's average Quarter net income forecast for Dec 23 is $939.58M, with a range of $923.65M to $961.87M. VLO's average Quarter net income forecast represents a -64.06% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $2.61B (Sep 23).

Valero Energy SG&A Forecast

Dec 28Sep 28Jun 28Mar 28Dec 27Sep 27Jun 27Mar 27Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21
# Analysts333344444444333563224763222234
SG&A---------------------$250.00M$209.00M$244.00M$282.00M$214.00M$233.00M$205.00M$286.00M$195.00M
Avg Forecast$525.21M$503.83M$483.32M$463.64M$444.77M$426.67M$409.30M$392.64M$231.33M$237.54M$236.99M$225.40M$227.10M$244.43M$240.89M$233.36M$237.21M$244.81M$260.04M$150.92M$274.17M$303.35M$271.08M$137.20M$206.88M$305.87M$325.35M$124.73M$219.04M$196.96M
High Forecast$562.88M$539.97M$517.99M$496.90M$476.68M$457.27M$438.66M$420.80M$247.92M$254.58M$253.99M$241.57M$243.39M$261.97M$258.17M$249.10M$242.07M$255.63M$260.04M$181.11M$293.01M$319.28M$290.52M$164.64M$248.26M$305.87M$325.35M$149.67M$219.04M$196.96M
Low Forecast$477.29M$457.86M$439.22M$421.35M$404.19M$387.74M$371.96M$356.82M$210.22M$215.87M$215.37M$204.83M$206.38M$222.13M$218.91M$215.04M$224.33M$234.00M$260.04M$120.74M$259.47M$251.07M$246.35M$109.76M$165.51M$305.87M$325.35M$99.78M$219.04M$196.96M
Surprise %---------------------0.82%0.77%1.78%1.36%0.70%0.72%1.64%1.31%0.99%

Valero Energy's average Quarter SG&A projection for Dec 23 is $274.17M, based on 4 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $259.47M to $293.01M. The forecast indicates a 9.67% rise compared to VLO last annual SG&A of $250.00M (Sep 23).

Valero Energy EPS Forecast

Dec 28Sep 28Jun 28Mar 28Dec 27Sep 27Jun 27Mar 27Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21
# Analysts333344444444333563224763222234
EPS---------------------$7.49$5.43$8.29$8.15$7.20$11.58$2.21$2.72$1.13
Avg Forecast$0.29$2.83$3.29$-0.46$1.58$4.01$4.32$1.52$1.94$3.64$3.62$1.63$1.22$2.65$2.73$1.08$0.10$0.98$2.60$3.20$2.95$7.47$5.04$7.23$7.32$6.80$9.26$1.69$1.84$0.92
High Forecast$0.32$3.09$3.59$-0.40$1.73$4.39$4.73$1.67$2.12$3.98$3.96$1.79$1.34$2.90$2.99$1.76$0.22$1.07$2.60$3.21$3.02$7.90$5.51$7.91$8.97$6.80$9.26$1.69$1.86$0.92
Low Forecast$0.26$2.50$2.90$-0.50$1.39$3.54$3.81$1.34$1.71$3.21$3.19$1.44$1.08$2.34$2.41$0.28$0.02$0.87$2.60$3.19$2.90$7.06$4.44$6.38$5.85$6.80$9.26$1.69$1.81$0.92
Surprise %---------------------1.00%1.08%1.15%1.11%1.06%1.25%1.31%1.48%1.23%

According to 4 Wall Street analysts, Valero Energy's projected average Quarter EPS for Dec 23 is $2.95, with a low estimate of $2.90 and a high estimate of $3.02. This represents a -60.55% decrease compared to VLO previous annual EPS of $7.49 (Sep 23).

Valero Energy Peer Comparison by Price Target

TickerCompanyLast Closing PriceAvg Price TargetUpside/DownsideAvg Rating
DINOHF Sinclair$36.48$51.6741.64%Buy
PSXPhillips 66$122.16$138.7513.58%Buy
SUNSunoco LP$56.70$64.0012.87%Buy
DKDelek US$18.61$21.0012.84%Hold
MPCMarathon Petroleum$151.39$170.4012.56%Buy
VLOValero Energy$139.48$155.0011.13%Buy
PBFPBF Energy$30.45$31.001.81%Buy
DKLDelek Logistics Partners, LP$43.52$43.670.34%Buy
CVICVR Energy$19.67$19.50-0.86%Buy

VLO Forecast FAQ

Is Valero Energy a good buy?

Yes, according to 19 Wall Street analysts, Valero Energy (VLO) is considered a 'Buy'. The rating consensus is based on 1 'Strong Buy' and 16 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 89.47% of VLO's total ratings.

What is VLO's price target?

Valero Energy (VLO) average price target is $155 with a range of $141 to $165, implying a 11.13% from its last price of $139.48. The data is based on 19 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.

Will Valero Energy stock go up soon?

According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for VLO stock, the company can go up by 11.13% (from the last price of $139.48 to the average price target of $155), up by 18.30% based on the highest stock price target, and up by 1.09% based on the lowest stock price target.

Can Valero Energy stock reach $200?

VLO's average twelve months analyst stock price target of $155 does not support the claim that Valero Energy can reach $200 in the near future.

What is Valero Energy's current price target trend?

1 Wall Street analyst forecast a $149 price target for Valero Energy (VLO) this month, up 6.83% from its last price of $139.48. Compared to the last 3 and 12 months, the average price target increased by 10.77% and increased by 20.01%, respectively.

What are Valero Energy's analysts' financial forecasts?

Valero Energy's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2027) are as follows: average revenue is $212.15B (high $227.37B, low $192.8B), average EBITDA is $13.4B (high $14.36B, low $12.18B), average net income is $3.64B (high $3.98B, low $3.21B), average SG&A $1.67B (high $1.79B, low $1.52B), and average EPS is $11.44 (high $12.51, low $10.08). VLO's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2028) are as follows: average revenue is $250.52B (high $268.49B, low $227.66B), average EBITDA is $15.82B (high $16.96B, low $14.38B), average net income is $1.89B (high $2.1B, low $1.64B), average SG&A $1.98B (high $2.12B, low $1.8B), and average EPS is $5.95 (high $6.6, low $5.14).

Did the VLO's actual financial results beat the analysts' financial forecasts?

Based on Valero Energy's last annual report (Dec 2022), the company's revenue was $176.38B, beating the average analysts forecast of $151.19B by 16.66%. Apple's EBITDA was $15.93B, beating the average prediction of $6.17B by 158.27%. The company's net income was $11.53B, beating the average estimation of $6.48B by 77.77%. Apple's SG&A was $934M, missing the average forecast of $962.83M by -2.99%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $29.05, beating the average prediction of $25.07 by 15.88%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Sep 2023), Valero Energy's revenue was $38.4B, missing the average analysts' forecast of $38.46B by -0.14%. The company's EBITDA was $3.62B, beating the average prediction of $2.43B by 49.25%. Valero Energy's net income was $2.61B, beating the average estimation of $2.38B by 10.00%. The company's SG&A was $250M, missing the average forecast of $303.35M by -17.59%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $7.49, beating the average prediction of $7.47 by 0.23%