Vital Farms (VITL) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions
VITL Stock Forecast
Vital Farms stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $41.50 (represents a 4.56% upside from VITL’s last price of $39.69) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 6 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.
VITL Price Target
The average price target for Vital Farms (VITL) is $41.50 based on 1-year price targets from 6 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $42.00 to $41.00. This represents a potential 4.56% upside from VITL's last price of $39.69.
VITL Analyst Ratings
According to 6 Wall Street analysts, Vital Farms's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for VITL stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 4 'Buy' (66.67%), 2 'Hold' (33.33%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).
Vital Farms Price Target by Analyst
| Date | Analyst | Company | Price Target | Price when Published | Price Target/Price when Published | Price Target/Last Closing Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2024 | Rob Dickerson | Jefferies | $41.00 | $35.49 | 15.53% | 3.30% |
| Oct 22, 2024 | Rob Dickerson | Jefferies | $45.00 | $38.90 | 15.68% | 13.38% |
| Jul 23, 2024 | Matthew Smith | Stifel Nicolaus | $42.00 | $39.23 | 7.06% | 5.82% |
| Jun 03, 2024 | Ben Klieve | Loop Capital Markets | $45.00 | $43.15 | 4.29% | 13.38% |
| May 09, 2024 | Matthew Smith | Stifel Nicolaus | $40.00 | $37.97 | 5.35% | 0.78% |
| Apr 24, 2024 | Ben Klieve | Loop Capital Markets | $32.00 | $26.71 | 19.81% | -19.38% |
| Apr 03, 2024 | Lake Street | $26.00 | $24.01 | 8.29% | -34.49% | |
| Apr 03, 2024 | Ben Klieve | Loop Capital Markets | $26.00 | $24.10 | 7.88% | -34.49% |
| Mar 27, 2024 | D.A. Davidson | $28.00 | $23.00 | 21.74% | -29.45% | |
| Mar 13, 2024 | Rob Dickerson | Jefferies | $25.00 | $20.98 | 19.16% | -37.01% |
| Jul 20, 2022 | Pamela Kaufman | Morgan Stanley | $12.00 | $9.98 | 20.18% | -69.77% |
The latest Vital Farms stock forecast, released on Nov 11, 2024 by Rob Dickerson from Jefferies, set a price target of $41.00, which represents a 15.53% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($35.49), and a 3.30% increase from VITL last price ($39.69).
Vital Farms Price Target by Period
| 1M | 3M | 12M | |
|---|---|---|---|
| # Anlaysts | - | 2 | 10 |
| Avg Price Target | - | $43.00 | $35.00 |
| Last Closing Price | $39.69 | $39.69 | $39.69 |
| Upside/Downside | -100.00% | 8.34% | -11.82% |
In the current month, the average price target of Vital Farms stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to Vital Farms's last price of $39.69. This month's average price target is down -100.00% compared to last quarter, and down -100.00% compared to last year.
Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades
| Date | Company | Previous Rating | New Rating | Rating Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2024 | Jefferies | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Sep 20, 2024 | William Blair | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
| Aug 09, 2024 | Cowen & Co. | Hold | Buy | Upgrade |
| Jun 03, 2024 | Lake Street | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| May 10, 2024 | Cowen & Co. | Hold | Hold | Hold |
| Apr 24, 2024 | Lake Street | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Apr 03, 2024 | Lake Street | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Sep 22, 2023 | Cowen & Co. | Market Perform | Market Perform | Hold |
| Jul 14, 2023 | Needham | Hold | Hold | Hold |
| Jul 20, 2022 | Morgan Stanley | Overweight | Equal-Weight | Upgrade |
| Jul 20, 2022 | Morgan Stanley | Overweight | Upgrade |
Vital Farms's last stock rating was published by Jefferies on Oct 22, 2024. The company gave VITL a "Buy" rating, the same as its previous rate.
Vital Farms Financial Forecast
Vital Farms Revenue Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Oct 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Oct 21 | Jul 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Oct 20 | Jul 20 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $110.43M | $106.44M | $119.17M | $110.08M | - | - | $77.06M | $77.41M | - | - | $58.55M | $53.99M | - | - |
| Avg Forecast | $231.95M | $210.48M | $209.82M | $214.14M | $191.66M | $174.90M | $174.24M | $177.07M | $160.49M | $145.27M | $138.41M | $136.90M | $131.02M | $110.20M | $105.17M | $103.59M | $100.27M | $88.84M | $79.84M | $76.37M | $71.63M | $63.67M | $58.26M | $56.36M | $51.98M | $51.77M | $57.84M |
| High Forecast | $234.17M | $212.50M | $211.83M | $216.19M | $193.49M | $176.57M | $175.90M | $178.76M | $161.69M | $145.88M | $138.41M | $136.90M | $131.42M | $110.31M | $106.18M | $104.58M | $101.23M | $88.84M | $79.84M | $76.37M | $71.63M | $63.67M | $58.26M | $56.36M | $51.98M | $51.77M | $57.84M |
| Low Forecast | $228.47M | $207.33M | $206.67M | $210.93M | $188.78M | $172.28M | $171.62M | $174.41M | $159.69M | $144.67M | $138.41M | $136.90M | $130.73M | $110.08M | $103.59M | $102.04M | $98.76M | $88.84M | $79.84M | $76.37M | $71.63M | $63.67M | $58.26M | $56.36M | $51.98M | $51.77M | $57.84M |
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.00% | 1.01% | 1.15% | 1.10% | - | - | 1.01% | 1.08% | - | - | 1.04% | 1.04% | - | - |
Vital Farms's average Quarter revenue forecast for Dec 23 based on 4 analysts is $131.02M, with a low forecast of $130.73M, and a high forecast of $131.42M. VITL's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a 18.65% increase compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $110.43M (Sep 23).
Vital Farms EBITDA Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Oct 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Oct 21 | Jul 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Oct 20 | Jul 20 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $8.54M | $10.69M | $12.30M | $3.79M | - | - | $-2.55M | $-3.17M | - | - | $3.98M | $-1.07M | - | - |
| Avg Forecast | $11.85M | $10.75M | $10.72M | $10.94M | $9.79M | $8.94M | $8.90M | $9.05M | $8.20M | $7.42M | $7.07M | $6.99M | $6.69M | $5.63M | $5.37M | $5.29M | $5.12M | $4.54M | $4.08M | $-5.02M | $3.66M | $3.25M | $2.98M | $35.91M | $2.66M | $5.44M | $2.96M |
| High Forecast | $11.96M | $10.86M | $10.82M | $11.05M | $9.89M | $9.02M | $8.99M | $9.13M | $8.26M | $7.45M | $7.07M | $6.99M | $6.72M | $5.64M | $5.43M | $5.34M | $5.17M | $4.54M | $4.08M | $-4.02M | $3.66M | $3.25M | $2.98M | $43.09M | $2.66M | $6.53M | $2.96M |
| Low Forecast | $11.67M | $10.59M | $10.56M | $10.78M | $9.65M | $8.80M | $8.77M | $8.91M | $8.16M | $7.39M | $7.07M | $6.99M | $6.68M | $5.62M | $5.29M | $5.21M | $5.05M | $4.54M | $4.08M | $-6.02M | $3.66M | $3.25M | $2.98M | $28.73M | $2.66M | $4.35M | $2.96M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.52% | 1.99% | 2.32% | 0.74% | - | - | 0.51% | -0.87% | - | - | 0.11% | -0.40% | - | - |
4 analysts predict VITL's average Quarter EBITDA for Dec 23 to be $6.69M, with a high of $6.72M and a low of $6.68M. This is -21.65% lower than Vital Farms's previous annual EBITDA (Sep 23) of $8.54M.
Vital Farms Net Income Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Oct 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Oct 21 | Jul 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Oct 20 | Jul 20 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Net Income | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $4.52M | $6.68M | $7.15M | $1.86M | - | - | $-1.54M | $-3.65M | - | - | $3.49M | $-648.00K | - | - |
| Avg Forecast | $18.74M | $17.51M | $17.68M | $18.59M | $13.41M | $12.21M | $14.40M | $17.34M | $7.31M | $5.46M | $9.25M | $9.60M | $4.15M | $2.08M | $3.13M | $2.07M | $1.47M | $168.59K | $-1.38M | $-1.97M | $-4.09M | $-2.25M | $-730.78K | $31.42M | $-589.11K | $3.02M | $5.96M |
| High Forecast | $18.98M | $17.73M | $17.90M | $18.82M | $13.57M | $12.36M | $14.58M | $17.56M | $8.77M | $5.71M | $9.26M | $9.61M | $6.23M | $2.08M | $3.17M | $2.09M | $1.48M | $168.59K | $-1.38M | $-1.58M | $-4.09M | $-2.25M | $-730.78K | $37.70M | $-589.11K | $3.62M | $5.96M |
| Low Forecast | $18.38M | $17.17M | $17.33M | $18.23M | $13.14M | $11.97M | $14.12M | $17.00M | $5.85M | $5.21M | $9.24M | $9.60M | $2.08M | $2.07M | $3.07M | $2.03M | $1.44M | $168.59K | $-1.38M | $-2.37M | $-4.09M | $-2.25M | $-730.78K | $25.14M | $-589.11K | $2.41M | $5.96M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2.18% | 2.13% | 3.46% | 1.27% | - | - | 0.78% | 0.89% | - | - | 0.11% | 1.10% | - | - |
Vital Farms's average Quarter net income forecast for Dec 23 is $4.15M, with a range of $2.08M to $6.23M. VITL's average Quarter net income forecast represents a -8.21% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $4.52M (Sep 23).
Vital Farms SG&A Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Oct 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Oct 21 | Jul 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Oct 20 | Jul 20 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| SG&A | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $31.44M | $29.76M | $31.77M | $29.87M | - | - | $25.79M | $24.04M | - | - | $18.25M | $19.77M | - | - |
| Avg Forecast | $67.69M | $61.43M | $61.23M | $62.49M | $55.93M | $51.04M | $50.85M | $51.67M | $46.84M | $42.40M | $40.39M | $39.95M | $38.24M | $32.16M | $30.69M | $30.23M | $29.26M | $25.93M | $23.30M | $22.66M | $20.90M | $18.58M | $17.00M | $16.45M | $15.17M | $28.69M | $16.88M |
| High Forecast | $68.34M | $62.01M | $61.82M | $63.09M | $56.47M | $51.53M | $51.33M | $52.17M | $47.19M | $42.57M | $40.39M | $39.95M | $38.35M | $32.19M | $30.99M | $30.52M | $29.54M | $25.93M | $23.30M | $27.19M | $20.90M | $18.58M | $17.00M | $16.45M | $15.17M | $34.42M | $16.88M |
| Low Forecast | $66.68M | $60.50M | $60.31M | $61.56M | $55.09M | $50.28M | $50.09M | $50.90M | $46.60M | $42.22M | $40.39M | $39.95M | $38.15M | $32.13M | $30.23M | $29.78M | $28.82M | $25.93M | $23.30M | $18.13M | $20.90M | $18.58M | $17.00M | $16.45M | $15.17M | $22.95M | $16.88M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.98% | 0.97% | 1.05% | 1.02% | - | - | 1.14% | 1.15% | - | - | 1.11% | 1.30% | - | - |
Vital Farms's average Quarter SG&A projection for Dec 23 is $38.24M, based on 4 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $38.15M to $38.35M. The forecast indicates a 21.63% rise compared to VITL last annual SG&A of $31.44M (Sep 23).
Vital Farms EPS Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Oct 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Oct 21 | Jul 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Oct 20 | Jul 20 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| EPS | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0.11 | $0.16 | $0.18 | $0.05 | - | - | $-0.04 | $-0.09 | - | - | $0.09 | $-0.02 | - | - |
| Avg Forecast | $0.41 | $0.39 | $0.39 | $0.41 | $0.29 | $0.27 | $0.32 | $0.38 | $0.16 | $0.12 | $0.20 | $0.21 | $0.09 | $0.05 | $0.07 | $0.05 | $0.03 | - | $-0.03 | $-0.07 | $-0.09 | $-0.05 | $-0.02 | $-0.01 | $-0.01 | $0.01 | $0.14 |
| High Forecast | $0.42 | $0.39 | $0.39 | $0.41 | $0.30 | $0.27 | $0.32 | $0.39 | $0.19 | $0.13 | $0.20 | $0.21 | $0.14 | $0.05 | $0.07 | $0.05 | $0.03 | - | $-0.03 | $-0.07 | $-0.09 | $-0.05 | $-0.02 | $-0.01 | $-0.01 | $0.01 | $0.14 |
| Low Forecast | $0.40 | $0.38 | $0.38 | $0.40 | $0.29 | $0.26 | $0.31 | $0.37 | $0.13 | $0.11 | $0.20 | $0.21 | $0.05 | $0.05 | $0.07 | $0.04 | $0.03 | - | $-0.03 | $-0.07 | $-0.09 | $-0.05 | $-0.02 | $-0.01 | $-0.01 | $0.01 | $0.14 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2.41% | 2.32% | 3.96% | 1.55% | - | - | 0.58% | 0.98% | - | - | -7.37% | 1.22% | - | - |
According to 4 Wall Street analysts, Vital Farms's projected average Quarter EPS for Dec 23 is $0.09, with a low estimate of $0.05 and a high estimate of $0.14. This represents a -16.99% decrease compared to VITL previous annual EPS of $0.11 (Sep 23).
Vital Farms Peer Comparison by Price Target
| Ticker | Company | Last Closing Price | Avg Price Target | Upside/Downside | Avg Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADM | Archer-Daniels-Midland Company | $51.49 | $70.60 | 37.11% | Hold |
| AGRO | Adecoagro | $10.11 | $12.25 | 21.17% | Buy |
| DOLE | Dole | $14.33 | $16.67 | 16.33% | Buy |
| BG | Bunge | $81.27 | $90.00 | 10.74% | Buy |
| TSN | Tyson Foods | $59.40 | $64.20 | 8.08% | Hold |
| VITL | Vital Farms | $38.82 | $41.50 | 6.90% | Buy |
| LMNR | Limoneira Company | $26.68 | $21.00 | -21.29% | Buy |
| CALM | Cal-Maine Foods | $106.66 | $55.00 | -48.43% | Buy |