Velocity Financial (VEL) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions


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VEL Stock Forecast


Velocity Financial stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $22.00 (represents a 9.24% upside from VEL’s last price of $20.14) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 9 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.

VEL Price Target


The average price target for Velocity Financial (VEL) is $22.00 based on 1-year price targets from 9 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $22.00 to $22.00. This represents a potential 9.24% upside from VEL's last price of $20.14.

VEL Analyst Ratings


Buy

According to 9 Wall Street analysts, Velocity Financial's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for VEL stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 7 'Buy' (77.78%), 1 'Hold' (11.11%), 1 'Sell' (11.11%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).

Velocity Financial Price Target by Analyst


DateAnalystCompanyPrice TargetPrice when PublishedPrice Target/Price when PublishedPrice Target/Last Closing Price
May 30, 2024Stephen LawsRaymond James$22.00$18.1820.98%9.24%
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The latest Velocity Financial stock forecast, released on May 30, 2024 by Stephen Laws from Raymond James, set a price target of $22.00, which represents a 20.98% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($18.18), and a 9.24% increase from VEL last price ($20.14).

Velocity Financial Price Target by Period


1M3M12M
# Anlaysts--1
Avg Price Target--$22.00
Last Closing Price$20.14$20.14$20.14
Upside/Downside-100.00%-100.00%9.24%

In the current month, the average price target of Velocity Financial stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to Velocity Financial's last price of $20.14. This month's average price target is down NaN% compared to last quarter, and down -100.00% compared to last year.

Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades


DateCompanyPrevious RatingNew RatingRating Change
Sep 20, 2024Wells Fargo-UnderweightDowngrade
Aug 02, 2024BTIGBuyBuyHold
Aug 02, 2024JMP SecuritiesOutperformOutperformHold
May 30, 2024Raymond JamesOutperformOutperformHold
Apr 30, 2024JMP SecuritiesOutperformOutperformHold
Dec 12, 2023BTIGBuyBuyHold
Oct 06, 2023CitigroupNeutralNeutralHold
Oct 13, 2022UBS-BuyInitialise
Oct 13, 2022MKM Partners-BuyInitialise
Oct 13, 2022Raymond James-Strong BuyInitialise
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Velocity Financial's last stock rating was published by Wells Fargo on Sep 20, 2024. The company Downgrade its VEL rating from "null" to "Underweight".

Velocity Financial Financial Forecast


Velocity Financial Revenue Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19
Revenue------------$107.94M--$33.08M$28.42M$24.04M$26.06M$14.55M$21.37M$20.44M$20.61M$13.49M$20.93M$16.30M$39.91M$14.83M$16.26M
Avg Forecast----$58.70M$57.70M$56.90M$55.50M$44.84M$43.78M$50.20M$46.20M$47.50M$37.30M$35.70M$30.20M$27.70M$27.60M$27.30M$25.70M$22.00M$20.90M$19.70M$18.90M$18.00M$16.20M$18.20M$15.70M$17.30M
High Forecast----$62.82M$61.75M$60.89M$59.39M$47.99M$43.78M$53.72M$49.44M$50.83M$39.92M$38.21M$32.32M$29.64M$27.60M$27.30M$25.70M$22.00M$20.90M$19.70M$18.90M$18.00M$16.20M$18.20M$15.70M$17.30M
Low Forecast----$56.61M$55.64M$54.87M$53.52M$43.24M$43.78M$48.41M$44.55M$45.80M$35.97M$34.43M$29.12M$26.71M$27.60M$27.30M$25.70M$22.00M$20.90M$19.70M$18.90M$18.00M$16.20M$18.20M$15.70M$17.30M
# Analysts----1111211111111111111111111
Surprise %------------2.27%--1.10%1.03%0.87%0.95%0.57%0.97%0.98%1.05%0.71%1.16%1.01%2.19%0.94%0.94%

Velocity Financial's average Quarter revenue forecast for Mar 24 based on 1 analysts is $46.20M, with a low forecast of $44.55M, and a high forecast of $49.44M. VEL's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a -57.20% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $107.94M (Dec 23).

Velocity Financial EBITDA Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19
# Analysts----1111211111111111111111111
EBITDA------------$78.64M$17.36M$14.04M$12.56M$27.98M$52.83M$48.13M$45.14M$40.15M$36.34M$38.26M$33.45M$35.71M$29.90M$-19.84M$33.52M$35.59M
Avg Forecast----$2.80M$2.76M$2.72M$2.65M$2.14M$2.09M$2.40M$2.21M$2.27M$1.78M$1.70M$1.44M$1.32M$18.11M$17.92M$17.20M$14.44M$13.72M$12.93M$12.40M$11.81M$10.63M$11.95M$10.30M$11.35M
High Forecast----$3.00M$2.95M$2.91M$2.84M$2.29M$2.09M$2.57M$2.36M$2.43M$1.91M$1.82M$1.54M$1.42M$18.11M$17.92M$20.64M$14.44M$13.72M$12.93M$12.40M$11.81M$10.63M$11.95M$10.30M$11.35M
Low Forecast----$2.70M$2.66M$2.62M$2.56M$2.07M$2.09M$2.31M$2.13M$2.19M$1.72M$1.64M$1.39M$1.28M$18.11M$17.92M$13.76M$14.44M$13.72M$12.93M$12.40M$11.81M$10.63M$11.95M$10.30M$11.35M
Surprise %------------34.67%9.75%8.23%8.71%21.15%2.92%2.69%2.62%2.78%2.65%2.96%2.70%3.02%2.81%-1.66%3.25%3.13%

1 analysts predict VEL's average Quarter EBITDA for Mar 24 to be $2.21M, with a high of $2.36M and a low of $2.13M. This is -97.19% lower than Velocity Financial's previous annual EBITDA (Dec 23) of $78.64M.

Velocity Financial Net Income Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19
# Analysts----1111211111111111111111111
Net Income------------$17.13M$11.90M$12.00M$10.65M$8.46M$9.98M$10.64M$3.12M$8.35M$8.02M$9.45M$3.40M$9.58M$3.48M$2.14M$2.58M$5.18M
Avg Forecast$21.43M$20.21M$19.20M$18.26M$21.36M$19.92M$19.11M$19.02M$17.41M$17.24M$14.61M$14.00M$13.51M$12.69M$11.69M$10.46M$10.26M$10.61M$10.32M$1.89M$8.52M$7.27M$6.03M$3.40M$4.56M$5.29M$7.46M$2.75M$17.33M
High Forecast$23.38M$22.05M$20.95M$19.93M$23.31M$21.74M$20.86M$20.76M$19.00M$17.64M$15.94M$15.28M$14.74M$12.70M$12.76M$11.41M$11.20M$10.61M$10.32M$2.27M$8.52M$7.27M$6.03M$4.08M$4.56M$5.29M$7.46M$3.29M$17.33M
Low Forecast$20.43M$19.27M$18.31M$17.42M$20.37M$19.00M$18.23M$18.14M$16.60M$16.84M$13.93M$13.35M$12.89M$12.69M$11.15M$9.97M$9.79M$10.61M$10.32M$1.51M$8.52M$7.27M$6.03M$2.72M$4.56M$5.29M$7.46M$2.20M$17.33M
Surprise %------------1.27%0.94%1.03%1.02%0.82%0.94%1.03%1.65%0.98%1.10%1.57%1.00%2.10%0.66%0.29%0.94%0.30%

Velocity Financial's average Quarter net income forecast for Mar 24 is $14.00M, with a range of $13.35M to $15.28M. VEL's average Quarter net income forecast represents a -18.28% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $17.13M (Dec 23).

Velocity Financial SG&A Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19
# Analysts----1111211111111111111111111
SG&A-------------$854.00K$1.06M$10.45M$12.23M$7.23M$6.98M$5.76M$12.14M$5.18M$4.98M$5.65M$11.05M$6.11M$6.31M$5.50M$10.18M
Avg Forecast----$22.21M$21.83M$21.53M$21.00M$16.97M$16.56M$18.99M$17.48M$17.97M$14.11M$13.51M$11.43M$10.48M$9.01M$8.91M$838.15K$7.18M$6.82M$6.43M$5.65M$5.87M$5.29M$5.94M$5.85M$5.65M
High Forecast----$23.77M$23.36M$23.04M$22.47M$18.16M$16.56M$20.33M$18.71M$19.23M$15.10M$14.46M$12.23M$11.22M$9.01M$8.91M$1.01M$7.18M$6.82M$6.43M$6.78M$5.87M$5.29M$5.94M$7.02M$5.65M
Low Forecast----$21.42M$21.05M$20.76M$20.25M$16.36M$16.56M$18.32M$16.86M$17.33M$13.61M$13.03M$11.02M$10.11M$9.01M$8.91M$670.52K$7.18M$6.82M$6.43M$4.52M$5.87M$5.29M$5.94M$4.68M$5.65M
Surprise %-------------0.06%0.08%0.91%1.17%0.80%0.78%6.88%1.69%0.76%0.77%1.00%1.88%1.16%1.06%0.94%1.80%

Velocity Financial's average Quarter SG&A projection for Dec 23 is $17.97M, based on 1 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $17.33M to $19.23M. The forecast indicates a 2004.39% rise compared to VEL last annual SG&A of $854.00K (Sep 23).

Velocity Financial EPS Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19
# Analysts----1111211111111111111111111
EPS------------$0.49$0.37$0.37$0.33$0.26$0.31$0.33$0.10$0.27$0.25$0.29$0.11$0.48$0.17$0.11$0.13$0.26
Avg Forecast$0.60$0.56$0.53$0.51$0.59$0.56$0.53$0.53$0.48$0.48$0.41$0.39$0.38$0.35$0.33$0.29$0.29$0.30$0.29$0.26$0.24$0.20$0.17$0.20$0.13$0.15$0.21$0.18$0.49
High Forecast$0.65$0.61$0.58$0.56$0.65$0.61$0.58$0.58$0.53$0.49$0.44$0.43$0.41$0.35$0.36$0.32$0.31$0.30$0.29$0.26$0.24$0.20$0.17$0.20$0.13$0.15$0.21$0.18$0.49
Low Forecast$0.57$0.54$0.51$0.49$0.57$0.53$0.51$0.51$0.46$0.47$0.39$0.37$0.36$0.35$0.31$0.28$0.27$0.30$0.29$0.26$0.24$0.20$0.17$0.20$0.13$0.15$0.21$0.18$0.49
Surprise %------------1.30%1.05%1.14%1.13%0.91%1.04%1.14%0.38%1.13%1.22%1.71%0.55%3.75%1.14%0.51%0.73%0.53%

According to 1 Wall Street analysts, Velocity Financial's projected average Quarter EPS for Mar 24 is $0.39, with a low estimate of $0.37 and a high estimate of $0.43. This represents a -20.41% decrease compared to VEL previous annual EPS of $0.49 (Dec 23).

Velocity Financial Peer Comparison by Price Target


TickerCompanyLast Closing PriceAvg Price TargetUpside/DownsideAvg Rating
UWMCUWM$6.07$9.2051.57%Buy
ECPGEncore Capital Group$47.60$58.0021.85%Buy
GHLDGuild Company$13.96$17.0021.78%Buy
VELVelocity Financial$20.14$22.009.24%Buy
PFSIPennyMac Financial Services$102.72$110.007.09%Buy
COOPMr. Cooper Group$97.09$100.203.20%Buy

VEL Forecast FAQ


Is Velocity Financial a good buy?

Yes, according to 9 Wall Street analysts, Velocity Financial (VEL) is considered a 'Buy'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 7 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 77.78% of VEL's total ratings.

What is VEL's price target?

Velocity Financial (VEL) average price target is $22 with a range of $22 to $22, implying a 9.24% from its last price of $20.14. The data is based on 9 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.

Will Velocity Financial stock go up soon?

According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for VEL stock, the company can go up by 9.24% (from the last price of $20.14 to the average price target of $22), up by 9.24% based on the highest stock price target, and up by 9.24% based on the lowest stock price target.

Can Velocity Financial stock reach $30?

VEL's average twelve months analyst stock price target of $22 does not support the claim that Velocity Financial can reach $30 in the near future.

What are Velocity Financial's analysts' financial forecasts?

Velocity Financial's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $228.8M (high $244.86M, low $220.65M), average EBITDA is $10.93M (high $11.69M, low $10.54M), average net income is $79.42M (high $86.66M, low $75.74M), average SG&A $86.57M (high $92.65M, low $83.49M), and average EPS is $2.21 (high $2.41, low $2.11). VEL's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2026) are as follows: average revenue is $0 (high $0, low $0), average EBITDA is $0 (high $0, low $0), average net income is $79.09M (high $86.31M, low $75.43M), average SG&A $0 (high $0, low $0), and average EPS is $2.2 (high $2.4, low $2.1).

Did the VEL's actual financial results beat the analysts' financial forecasts?

Based on Velocity Financial's last annual report (Dec 2023), the company's revenue was $376.69M, beating the average analysts forecast of $150.7M by 149.96%. Apple's EBITDA was $275.3M, beating the average prediction of $7.2M by 3725.22%. The company's net income was $51.52M, beating the average estimation of $48.35M by 6.56%. Apple's SG&A was $0, missing the average forecast of $57.02M by -100.00%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $1.49, beating the average prediction of $1.35 by 10.62%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Dec 2023), Velocity Financial's revenue was $107.94M, beating the average analysts' forecast of $47.5M by 127.26%. The company's EBITDA was $78.64M, beating the average prediction of $2.27M by 3367.01%. Velocity Financial's net income was $17.13M, beating the average estimation of $13.51M by 26.78%. The company's SG&A was $0, missing the average forecast of $17.97M by -100.00%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $0.49, beating the average prediction of $0.376 by 30.17%