Vacasa (VCSA) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions
VCSA Stock Forecast
Vacasa stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $3.63 (represents a -13.37% downside from VCSA’s last price of $4.19) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 4 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.
VCSA Price Target
The average price target for Vacasa (VCSA) is $3.63 based on 1-year price targets from 4 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $5.00 to $2.50. This represents a potential -13.37% downside from VCSA's last price of $4.19.
VCSA Analyst Ratings
According to 4 Wall Street analysts, Vacasa's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for VCSA stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 2 'Buy' (50.00%), 2 'Hold' (50.00%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).
Vacasa Price Target by Analyst
| Date | Analyst | Company | Price Target | Price when Published | Price Target/Price when Published | Price Target/Last Closing Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2024 | Lee Horowitz | Deutsche Bank | $2.50 | $2.18 | 14.68% | -40.33% |
| Aug 09, 2024 | Bernie McTernan | Needham | $5.00 | $3.96 | 26.26% | 19.33% |
| May 10, 2024 | Bernie McTernan | Needham | $8.00 | $6.38 | 25.39% | 90.93% |
| Dec 20, 2022 | - | JMP Securities | $3.00 | $1.23 | 144.78% | -28.40% |
| Nov 11, 2022 | - | JMP Securities | $5.00 | $1.98 | 153.16% | 19.33% |
| Nov 10, 2022 | - | Goldman Sachs | $4.00 | $1.97 | 103.05% | -4.53% |
| Jun 09, 2022 | Eric Sheridan | Goldman Sachs | $5.50 | $3.30 | 66.67% | 31.26% |
The latest Vacasa stock forecast, released on Aug 13, 2024 by Lee Horowitz from Deutsche Bank, set a price target of $2.50, which represents a 14.68% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($2.18), and a -40.33% decrease from VCSA last price ($4.19).
Vacasa Price Target by Period
| 1M | 3M | 12M | |
|---|---|---|---|
| # Anlaysts | - | 2 | 3 |
| Avg Price Target | - | $3.75 | $5.17 |
| Last Closing Price | $4.19 | $4.19 | $4.19 |
| Upside/Downside | -100.00% | -10.50% | 23.39% |
In the current month, the average price target of Vacasa stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to Vacasa's last price of $4.19. This month's average price target is down -100.00% compared to last quarter, and down -100.00% compared to last year.
Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades
| Date | Company | Previous Rating | New Rating | Rating Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2024 | Deutsche Bank | Hold | Hold | Hold |
| Aug 09, 2024 | Needham | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| May 17, 2024 | KeyBanc | Sector Weight | Sector Weight | Hold |
| May 10, 2024 | Needham | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Mar 15, 2023 | JMP Securities | Market Outperform | Market Outperform | Hold |
| Dec 20, 2022 | JMP Securities | Market Outperform | Market Outperform | Hold |
| Nov 11, 2022 | JMP Securities | Market Outperform | Market Outperform | Hold |
| Oct 31, 2022 | Needham | Buy | Buy | Hold |
Vacasa's last stock rating was published by Deutsche Bank on Aug 13, 2024. The company gave VCSA a "Hold" rating, the same as its previous rate.
Vacasa Financial Forecast
Vacasa Revenue Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $379.08M | - | $256.85M | $218.16M | $412.18M | $310.35M | $247.26M | $192.10M |
| Avg Forecast | $161.17M | $364.60M | $261.56M | $214.82M | $158.82M | $328.58M | $237.23M | $191.11M | $147.86M | $305.16M | $248.72M | $200.86M | $173.85M | $349.31M | $294.79M | $233.39M | $206.22M | $391.18M | $285.46M | $251.13M | $179.92M |
| High Forecast | $170.70M | $386.15M | $277.02M | $227.52M | $168.21M | $348.00M | $251.25M | $202.41M | $156.60M | $307.50M | $263.42M | $212.73M | $177.81M | $369.96M | $312.22M | $247.19M | $218.41M | $414.30M | $294.81M | $259.36M | $185.81M |
| Low Forecast | $139.86M | $316.38M | $226.96M | $186.41M | $137.82M | $285.12M | $205.85M | $165.84M | $128.30M | $301.90M | $215.82M | $174.29M | $167.30M | $303.11M | $255.80M | $202.53M | $178.94M | $339.44M | $265.49M | $233.56M | $167.33M |
| # Analysts | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.09% | - | 1.10% | 1.06% | 1.05% | 1.09% | 0.98% | 1.07% |
Vacasa's average Quarter revenue forecast for Dec 23 based on 6 analysts is $173.85M, with a low forecast of $167.30M, and a high forecast of $177.81M. VCSA's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a -54.14% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $379.08M (Sep 23).
Vacasa EBITDA Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $-407.19M | - | $-21.84M | $-280.51M | $37.45M | $31.19M | $-33.34M | $-77.04M |
| Avg Forecast | $-12.31M | $-27.85M | $-19.98M | $-16.41M | $-12.13M | $-25.10M | $-18.12M | $-14.60M | $-11.30M | $-23.31M | $-19.00M | $-15.34M | $-13.28M | $-26.68M | $-22.52M | $-17.83M | $-15.75M | $-29.88M | $-21.81M | $-19.18M | $-13.74M |
| High Forecast | $-10.68M | $-24.17M | $-17.34M | $-14.24M | $-10.53M | $-21.78M | $-15.73M | $-12.67M | $-9.80M | $-23.06M | $-16.49M | $-13.31M | $-12.78M | $-23.15M | $-19.54M | $-15.47M | $-13.67M | $-25.93M | $-20.28M | $-17.84M | $-12.78M |
| Low Forecast | $-13.04M | $-29.50M | $-21.16M | $-17.38M | $-12.85M | $-26.58M | $-19.19M | $-15.46M | $-11.96M | $-23.49M | $-20.12M | $-16.25M | $-13.58M | $-28.26M | $-23.85M | $-18.88M | $-16.68M | $-31.65M | $-22.52M | $-19.81M | $-14.19M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 15.26% | - | 1.22% | 17.81% | -1.25% | -1.43% | 1.74% | 5.61% |
4 analysts predict VCSA's average Quarter EBITDA for Dec 22 to be $-15.75M, with a high of $-13.67M and a low of $-16.68M. This is -142.06% lower than Vacasa's previous annual EBITDA (Sep 22) of $37.45M.
Vacasa Net Income Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Net Income | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $-228.19M | - | $-43.61M | $-301.97M | $15.81M | $9.95M | $-55.94M | $-118.18M |
| Avg Forecast | $-31.18M | $32.24M | $1.86M | $-11.66M | $-34.99M | $49.80M | $5.45M | $-25.14M | $-45.21M | $31.04M | $-25.77M | $-38.16M | $-101.13M | $15.26M | $-25.55M | $-69.13M | $-111.61M | $20.11M | $-55.34M | $-37.76M | $-82.72M |
| High Forecast | $-25.82M | $34.72M | $2.01M | $-9.66M | $-28.98M | $53.62M | $5.86M | $-20.81M | $-37.44M | $42.36M | $-21.34M | $-31.60M | $-89.71M | $16.43M | $-21.16M | $-57.24M | $-92.42M | $21.65M | $-50.31M | $-34.32M | $-75.19M |
| Low Forecast | $-33.58M | $26.70M | $1.54M | $-12.56M | $-37.68M | $41.23M | $4.51M | $-27.07M | $-48.69M | $25.22M | $-27.75M | $-41.09M | $-110.18M | $12.63M | $-27.52M | $-74.44M | $-120.19M | $16.65M | $-57.70M | $-39.36M | $-86.24M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | -14.96% | - | 0.63% | 2.71% | 0.79% | -0.18% | 1.48% | 1.43% |
Vacasa's average Quarter net income forecast for Dec 22 is $-111.61M, with a range of $-120.19M to $-92.42M. VCSA's average Quarter net income forecast represents a -805.83% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $15.81M (Sep 22).
Vacasa SG&A Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| SG&A | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $76.99M | - | $83.21M | $74.40M | $106.06M | $91.47M | $82.86M | $102.41M |
| Avg Forecast | $48.37M | $109.43M | $78.50M | $64.47M | $47.67M | $98.62M | $71.20M | $57.36M | $44.38M | $91.59M | $74.65M | $60.28M | $52.18M | $104.84M | $88.47M | $70.05M | $61.89M | $117.40M | $85.68M | $75.37M | $54.00M |
| High Forecast | $51.23M | $115.89M | $83.14M | $68.28M | $50.48M | $104.44M | $75.41M | $60.75M | $47.00M | $92.29M | $79.06M | $63.85M | $53.37M | $111.03M | $93.71M | $74.19M | $65.55M | $124.34M | $88.48M | $77.84M | $55.77M |
| Low Forecast | $41.97M | $94.95M | $68.12M | $55.95M | $41.36M | $85.57M | $61.78M | $49.77M | $38.51M | $90.61M | $64.77M | $52.31M | $50.21M | $90.97M | $76.77M | $60.78M | $53.71M | $101.88M | $79.68M | $70.10M | $50.22M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.73% | - | 1.19% | 1.20% | 0.90% | 1.07% | 1.10% | 1.90% |
Vacasa's average Quarter SG&A projection for Dec 23 is $52.18M, based on 6 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $50.21M to $53.37M. The forecast indicates a -32.22% fall compared to VCSA last annual SG&A of $76.99M (Sep 23).
Vacasa EPS Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| EPS | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $-18.37 | - | $-0.18 | $-1.35 | $0.07 | $0.05 | $-0.26 | $-0.55 |
| Avg Forecast | $-2.08 | $2.15 | $0.12 | $-0.78 | $-2.33 | $3.32 | $0.36 | $-1.67 | $-3.01 | $2.07 | $-1.72 | $-2.54 | $-6.73 | $1.02 | $-1.70 | $-4.60 | $-7.43 | $1.34 | $-3.69 | $-2.51 | $-5.51 |
| High Forecast | $-1.72 | $2.31 | $0.13 | $-0.64 | $-1.93 | $3.57 | $0.39 | $-1.39 | $-2.49 | $2.82 | $-1.42 | $-2.10 | $-5.97 | $1.09 | $-1.41 | $-3.81 | $-6.15 | $1.44 | $-3.35 | $-2.29 | $-5.01 |
| Low Forecast | $-2.24 | $1.78 | $0.10 | $-0.84 | $-2.51 | $2.75 | $0.30 | $-1.80 | $-3.24 | $1.68 | $-1.85 | $-2.74 | $-7.34 | $0.84 | $-1.83 | $-4.96 | $-8.00 | $1.11 | $-3.84 | $-2.62 | $-5.74 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | -18.08% | - | 0.04% | 0.18% | 0.05% | -0.01% | 0.10% | 0.10% |
According to 4 Wall Street analysts, Vacasa's projected average Quarter EPS for Dec 22 is $-7.43, with a low estimate of $-8.00 and a high estimate of $-6.15. This represents a -10763.40% decrease compared to VCSA previous annual EPS of $0.07 (Sep 22).
Vacasa Peer Comparison by Price Target
| Ticker | Company | Last Closing Price | Avg Price Target | Upside/Downside | Avg Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EXFY | Expensify | $2.24 | $13.75 | 513.84% | Buy |
| FRGE | Forge Global | $1.31 | $6.50 | 396.18% | Buy |
| LAW | CS Disco | $5.82 | $26.86 | 361.51% | Hold |
| ONTF | ON24 | $6.07 | $18.00 | 196.54% | - |
| BMBL | Bumble | $6.21 | $18.22 | 193.40% | Buy |
| DOMO | Domo | $7.04 | $16.09 | 128.55% | Hold |
| OLO | Olo | $4.93 | $9.00 | 82.56% | Buy |
| AMPL | Amplitude | $8.84 | $15.80 | 78.73% | Hold |
| MITK | Mitek Systems | $8.55 | $14.13 | 65.26% | Buy |
| VTEX | VTEX | $6.85 | $10.13 | 47.88% | Buy |
| OPFI | OppFi | $4.36 | $5.33 | 22.25% | Buy |
| RSKD | Riskified | $4.71 | $5.67 | 20.38% | Hold |
| ENV | Envestnet | $62.50 | $67.86 | 8.58% | Hold |
| PWSC | PowerSchool | $22.76 | $24.08 | 5.80% | Hold |
| VCSA | Vacasa | $4.19 | $3.63 | -13.37% | Buy |
VCSA Forecast FAQ
Is Vacasa a good buy?
Yes, according to 4 Wall Street analysts, Vacasa (VCSA) is considered a 'Buy'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 2 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 50.00% of VCSA's total ratings.
What is VCSA's price target?
Vacasa (VCSA) average price target is $3.63 with a range of $2.5 to $5, implying a -13.37% from its last price of $4.19. The data is based on 4 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.
Will Vacasa stock go up soon?
According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for VCSA stock, the company can go down by -13.37% (from the last price of $4.19 to the average price target of $3.63), up by 19.33% based on the highest stock price target, and down by -40.33% based on the lowest stock price target.
Can Vacasa stock reach $6?
VCSA's average twelve months analyst stock price target of $3.63 does not support the claim that Vacasa can reach $6 in the near future.
What are Vacasa's analysts' financial forecasts?
Vacasa's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $915.74M (high $969.88M, low $794.63M), average EBITDA is $-69.954M (high $-60.702M, low $-74.09M), average net income is $-4.889M (high $9.69M, low $-19.008M), average SG&A $274.84M (high $291.09M, low $238.49M), and average EPS is $-0.326 (high $0.646, low $-1.266). VCSA's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2026) are as follows: average revenue is $1B (high $1.06B, low $869.6M), average EBITDA is $-76.555M (high $-66.43M, low $-81.08M), average net income is $-8.736M (high $1.25M, low $-17.893M), average SG&A $300.77M (high $318.55M, low $260.99M), and average EPS is $-0.582 (high $0.0833, low $-1.192).
Did the VCSA's actual financial results beat the analysts' financial forecasts?
Based on Vacasa's last annual report (Dec 2023), the company's revenue was $1.12B, beating the average analysts forecast of $1.05B by 6.33%. Apple's EBITDA was $-537M, beating the average prediction of $-80.313M by 569.05%. The company's net income was $-299M, beating the average estimation of $-181M by 65.44%. Apple's SG&A was $293.88M, missing the average forecast of $315.54M by -6.86%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $-24.48, beating the average prediction of $-12.023 by 103.60%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Sep 2023), Vacasa's revenue was $379.08M, beating the average analysts' forecast of $349.31M by 8.52%. The company's EBITDA was $-407M, beating the average prediction of $-26.684M by 1425.97%. Vacasa's net income was $-228M, missing the average estimation of $15.26M by -1595.67%. The company's SG&A was $76.99M, missing the average forecast of $104.84M by -26.57%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $-18.37, missing the average prediction of $1.02 by -1908.12%