Vacasa (VCSA) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions

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VCSA Stock Forecast

Vacasa stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $2.88 (represents a -13.77% downside from VCSA’s last price of $3.34) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 4 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.

VCSA Price Target

The average price target for Vacasa (VCSA) is $2.88 based on 1-year price targets from 4 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $3.25 to $2.50. This represents a potential -13.77% downside from VCSA's last price of $3.34.

VCSA Analyst Ratings

Buy

According to 4 Wall Street analysts, Vacasa's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for VCSA stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 2 'Buy' (50.00%), 2 'Hold' (50.00%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).

Vacasa Price Target by Analyst

Date	Analyst	Company	Price Target	Price when Published	Price Target/Price when Published	Price Target/Last Closing Price
Nov 11, 2024	Bernie McTernan	Needham	$3.25	$2.85	14.03%	-2.69%
Aug 13, 2024	Lee Horowitz	Deutsche Bank	$2.50	$2.18	14.68%	-25.15%
Aug 09, 2024	Bernie McTernan	Needham	$5.00	$3.96	26.26%	49.70%
May 10, 2024	Bernie McTernan	Needham	$8.00	$6.38	25.39%	139.52%
Dec 20, 2022		JMP Securities	$3.00	$1.23	144.78%	-10.18%
Nov 11, 2022		JMP Securities	$5.00	$1.98	153.16%	49.70%
Nov 10, 2022		Goldman Sachs	$4.00	$1.97	103.05%	19.76%
Jun 09, 2022	Eric Sheridan	Goldman Sachs	$5.50	$3.30	66.67%	64.67%

The latest Vacasa stock forecast, released on Nov 11, 2024 by Bernie McTernan from Needham, set a price target of $3.25, which represents a 14.03% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($2.85), and a -2.69% decrease from VCSA last price ($3.34).

Vacasa Price Target by Period

	1M	3M	12M
# Anlaysts	-	1	4
Avg Price Target	-	$3.25	$4.69
Last Closing Price	$3.34	$3.34	$3.34
Upside/Downside	-100.00%	-2.69%	40.42%

In the current month, the average price target of Vacasa stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to Vacasa's last price of $3.34. This month's average price target is down -100.00% compared to last quarter, and down -100.00% compared to last year.

Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades

Date	Company	Previous Rating	New Rating	Rating Change
Aug 13, 2024	Deutsche Bank	Hold	Hold	Hold
Aug 09, 2024	Needham	Buy	Buy	Hold
May 17, 2024	KeyBanc	Sector Weight	Sector Weight	Hold
May 10, 2024	Needham	Buy	Buy	Hold
Mar 15, 2023	JMP Securities	Market Outperform	Market Outperform	Hold
Dec 20, 2022	JMP Securities	Market Outperform	Market Outperform	Hold
Nov 11, 2022	JMP Securities	Market Outperform	Market Outperform	Hold
Oct 31, 2022	Needham	Buy	Buy	Hold

Vacasa's last stock rating was published by Deutsche Bank on Aug 13, 2024. The company gave VCSA a "Hold" rating, the same as its previous rate.

Vacasa Financial Forecast

Vacasa Revenue Forecast

	Dec 26	Sep 26	Jun 26	Mar 26	Dec 25	Sep 25	Jun 25	Mar 25	Dec 24	Sep 24	Jun 24	Mar 24	Dec 23	Sep 23	Jun 23	Mar 23	Dec 22	Sep 22	Jun 22	Mar 22	Dec 21
Revenue	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	$379.08M	-	$256.85M	$218.16M	$412.18M	$310.35M	$247.26M	$192.10M
Avg Forecast	$146.94M	$329.56M	$244.96M	$203.42M	$132.22M	$290.20M	$219.06M	$179.21M	$144.65M	$305.20M	$248.72M	$200.86M	$173.85M	$349.31M	$294.79M	$233.39M	$206.22M	$391.18M	$285.46M	$251.13M	$179.92M
High Forecast	$151.80M	$340.45M	$253.06M	$210.15M	$136.59M	$299.79M	$226.31M	$185.13M	$148.57M	$310.37M	$248.72M	$200.86M	$177.81M	$349.58M	$304.54M	$241.11M	$213.03M	$391.18M	$285.46M	$251.13M	$179.92M
Low Forecast	$140.59M	$315.30M	$234.37M	$194.62M	$126.50M	$277.64M	$209.59M	$171.46M	$141.70M	$300.03M	$248.72M	$200.86M	$167.30M	$349.04M	$282.04M	$223.30M	$197.30M	$391.18M	$285.46M	$251.13M	$179.92M
# Analysts	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	2	5	4	3	3	6	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	3
Surprise %	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1.09%	-	1.10%	1.06%	1.05%	1.09%	0.98%	1.07%

Vacasa's average Quarter revenue forecast for Dec 23 based on 6 analysts is $173.85M, with a low forecast of $167.30M, and a high forecast of $177.81M. VCSA's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a -54.14% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $379.08M (Sep 23).

Vacasa EBITDA Forecast

	Dec 26	Sep 26	Jun 26	Mar 26	Dec 25	Sep 25	Jun 25	Mar 25	Dec 24	Sep 24	Jun 24	Mar 24	Dec 23	Sep 23	Jun 23	Mar 23	Dec 22	Sep 22	Jun 22	Mar 22	Dec 21
# Analysts	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	2	5	4	3	3	6	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	3
EBITDA	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	$-407.19M	-	$-21.84M	$-280.51M	$37.45M	$31.19M	$-33.34M	$-77.04M
Avg Forecast	$-28.39M	$-63.68M	$-47.33M	$-39.31M	$-25.55M	$-56.07M	$-42.33M	$-34.63M	$-27.95M	$-58.97M	$-48.06M	$-38.81M	$-33.59M	$-67.49M	$-56.96M	$-45.10M	$-39.85M	$-29.88M	$-21.81M	$-19.18M	$-13.74M
High Forecast	$-27.16M	$-60.92M	$-45.28M	$-37.60M	$-24.44M	$-53.65M	$-40.50M	$-33.13M	$-27.38M	$-57.97M	$-48.06M	$-38.81M	$-32.33M	$-67.44M	$-54.50M	$-43.15M	$-38.12M	$-29.88M	$-21.81M	$-19.18M	$-13.74M
Low Forecast	$-29.33M	$-65.78M	$-48.90M	$-40.60M	$-26.39M	$-57.93M	$-43.73M	$-35.77M	$-28.71M	$-59.97M	$-48.06M	$-38.81M	$-34.36M	$-67.55M	$-58.84M	$-46.59M	$-41.16M	$-29.88M	$-21.81M	$-19.18M	$-13.74M
Surprise %	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	6.03%	-	0.48%	7.04%	-1.25%	-1.43%	1.74%	5.61%

4 analysts predict VCSA's average Quarter EBITDA for Dec 22 to be $-39.85M, with a high of $-38.12M and a low of $-41.16M. This is -206.38% lower than Vacasa's previous annual EBITDA (Sep 22) of $37.45M.

Vacasa Net Income Forecast

	Dec 26	Sep 26	Jun 26	Mar 26	Dec 25	Sep 25	Jun 25	Mar 25	Dec 24	Sep 24	Jun 24	Mar 24	Dec 23	Sep 23	Jun 23	Mar 23	Dec 22	Sep 22	Jun 22	Mar 22	Dec 21
# Analysts	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	2	5	4	3	3	6	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	3
Net Income	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	$-228.19M	-	$-43.61M	$-301.97M	$15.81M	$9.95M	$-55.94M	$-118.18M
Avg Forecast	$-61.28M	$50.27M	$3.46M	$-20.51M	$-50.80M	$43.27M	$684.85K	$-28.88M	$-57.89M	$41.29M	$-34.29M	$-50.76M	$-134.54M	$20.30M	$-33.99M	$-91.96M	$-148.48M	$20.11M	$-55.34M	$-37.76M	$-82.72M
High Forecast	$-57.83M	$52.43M	$3.61M	$-19.36M	$-47.94M	$45.13M	$714.28K	$-27.26M	$-54.17M	$41.42M	$-32.36M	$-47.91M	$-119.35M	$20.44M	$-32.08M	$-86.79M	$-140.13M	$20.61M	$-55.34M	$-37.76M	$-82.72M
Low Forecast	$-63.91M	$47.44M	$3.27M	$-21.39M	$-52.98M	$40.83M	$646.33K	$-30.13M	$-60.13M	$41.16M	$-35.76M	$-52.94M	$-146.57M	$20.16M	$-35.46M	$-95.92M	$-154.87M	$19.60M	$-55.34M	$-37.76M	$-82.72M
Surprise %	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-11.24%	-	0.47%	2.03%	0.79%	-0.18%	1.48%	1.43%

Vacasa's average Quarter net income forecast for Dec 22 is $-148.48M, with a range of $-154.87M to $-140.13M. VCSA's average Quarter net income forecast represents a -1039.00% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $15.81M (Sep 22).

Vacasa SG&A Forecast

	Dec 26	Sep 26	Jun 26	Mar 26	Dec 25	Sep 25	Jun 25	Mar 25	Dec 24	Sep 24	Jun 24	Mar 24	Dec 23	Sep 23	Jun 23	Mar 23	Dec 22	Sep 22	Jun 22	Mar 22	Dec 21
# Analysts	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	2	5	4	3	3	6	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	3
SG&A	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	$76.99M	-	$83.21M	$74.40M	$106.06M	$91.47M	$82.86M	$102.41M
Avg Forecast	$44.37M	$99.50M	$73.96M	$61.42M	$39.92M	$87.62M	$66.14M	$54.11M	$43.67M	$92.15M	$75.09M	$60.64M	$52.49M	$105.47M	$89.01M	$70.47M	$62.26M	$117.40M	$85.68M	$75.37M	$54.00M
High Forecast	$45.83M	$102.79M	$76.41M	$63.45M	$41.24M	$90.52M	$68.33M	$55.90M	$44.86M	$93.71M	$75.09M	$60.64M	$53.69M	$105.55M	$91.95M	$72.80M	$64.32M	$117.40M	$85.68M	$75.37M	$54.00M
Low Forecast	$42.45M	$95.20M	$70.76M	$58.76M	$38.19M	$83.83M	$63.28M	$51.77M	$42.78M	$90.59M	$75.09M	$60.64M	$50.51M	$105.39M	$85.15M	$67.42M	$59.57M	$117.40M	$85.68M	$75.37M	$54.00M
Surprise %	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0.73%	-	1.18%	1.19%	0.90%	1.07%	1.10%	1.90%

Vacasa's average Quarter SG&A projection for Dec 23 is $52.49M, based on 6 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $50.51M to $53.69M. The forecast indicates a -31.82% fall compared to VCSA last annual SG&A of $76.99M (Sep 23).

Vacasa EPS Forecast

	Dec 26	Sep 26	Jun 26	Mar 26	Dec 25	Sep 25	Jun 25	Mar 25	Dec 24	Sep 24	Jun 24	Mar 24	Dec 23	Sep 23	Jun 23	Mar 23	Dec 22	Sep 22	Jun 22	Mar 22	Dec 21
# Analysts	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	2	5	4	3	3	6	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	3
EPS	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	$-18.37	-	$-0.18	$-1.35	$0.07	$0.05	$-0.26	$-0.55
Avg Forecast	$-3.07	$2.52	$0.17	$-1.03	$-2.54	$2.17	$0.03	$-1.45	$-2.90	$2.07	$-1.72	$-2.54	$-6.73	$1.02	$-1.70	$-4.60	$-7.43	$1.34	$-3.69	$-2.51	$-5.51
High Forecast	$-2.89	$2.62	$0.18	$-0.97	$-2.40	$2.26	$0.04	$-1.36	$-2.71	$2.07	$-1.62	$-2.40	$-5.97	$1.02	$-1.61	$-4.34	$-7.01	$1.37	$-3.69	$-2.51	$-5.51
Low Forecast	$-3.20	$2.37	$0.16	$-1.07	$-2.65	$2.04	$0.03	$-1.51	$-3.01	$2.06	$-1.79	$-2.65	$-7.34	$1.01	$-1.77	$-4.80	$-7.75	$1.31	$-3.69	$-2.51	$-5.51
Surprise %	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-18.08%	-	0.04%	0.18%	0.05%	-0.01%	0.10%	0.10%

According to 4 Wall Street analysts, Vacasa's projected average Quarter EPS for Dec 22 is $-7.43, with a low estimate of $-7.75 and a high estimate of $-7.01. This represents a -10763.40% decrease compared to VCSA previous annual EPS of $0.07 (Sep 22).

Vacasa Peer Comparison by Price Target

Ticker	Company	Last Closing Price	Avg Price Target	Upside/Downside	Avg Rating
FRGE	Forge Global	$0.96	$3.00	212.50%	Buy
ONTF	ON24	$6.68	$18.00	169.46%
DOMO	Domo	$7.69	$16.09	109.23%	Hold
VTEX	VTEX	$6.20	$10.13	63.39%	Buy
RSKD	Riskified	$4.85	$6.00	23.71%	Hold
MITK	Mitek Systems	$10.93	$12.63	15.55%	Buy
OLO	Olo	$8.02	$9.00	12.22%	Buy
LAW	CS Disco	$5.90	$6.00	1.69%	Hold
BMBL	Bumble	$8.27	$7.10	-14.15%	Hold
AMPL	Amplitude	$11.68	$10.00	-14.38%	Hold
VCSA	Vacasa	$3.79	$2.88	-24.01%	Buy
OPFI	OppFi	$7.71	$5.33	-30.87%	Buy
EXFY	Expensify	$3.86	$2.50	-35.23%	Buy

VCSA Forecast FAQ

Is Vacasa a good buy?

Yes, according to 4 Wall Street analysts, Vacasa (VCSA) is considered a 'Buy'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 2 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 50.00% of VCSA's total ratings.

What is VCSA's price target?

Vacasa (VCSA) average price target is $2.88 with a range of $2.5 to $3.25, implying a -13.77% from its last price of $3.34. The data is based on 4 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.

Will Vacasa stock go up soon?

According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for VCSA stock, the company can go down by -13.77% (from the last price of $3.34 to the average price target of $2.88), down by -2.69% based on the highest stock price target, and down by -25.15% based on the lowest stock price target.

Can Vacasa stock reach $5?

VCSA's average twelve months analyst stock price target of $2.88 does not support the claim that Vacasa can reach $5 in the near future.

What are Vacasa's analysts' financial forecasts?

Vacasa's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $820.69M (high $847.82M, low $785.19M), average EBITDA is $-159M (high $-152M, low $-164M), average net income is $-35.733M (high $-29.363M, low $-41.63M), average SG&A $247.79M (high $255.98M, low $237.07M), and average EPS is $-1.789 (high $-1.47, low $-2.084). VCSA's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2026) are as follows: average revenue is $924.89M (high $955.46M, low $884.87M), average EBITDA is $-179M (high $-171M, low $-185M), average net income is $-28.053M (high $-21.144M, low $-34.59M), average SG&A $279.25M (high $288.48M, low $267.17M), and average EPS is $-1.404 (high $-1.058, low $-1.731).

Did the VCSA's actual financial results beat the analysts' financial forecasts?

Based on Vacasa's last annual report (Dec 2023), the company's revenue was $1.12B, beating the average analysts forecast of $1.05B by 6.33%. Apple's EBITDA was $-537M, beating the average prediction of $-203M by 164.51%. The company's net income was $-299M, beating the average estimation of $-240M by 24.36%. Apple's SG&A was $293.88M, missing the average forecast of $317.43M by -7.42%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $-24.48, beating the average prediction of $-12.023 by 103.60%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Sep 2023), Vacasa's revenue was $379.08M, beating the average analysts' forecast of $349.31M by 8.52%. The company's EBITDA was $-407M, beating the average prediction of $-67.494M by 503.30%. Vacasa's net income was $-228M, missing the average estimation of $20.3M by -1224.26%. The company's SG&A was $76.99M, missing the average forecast of $105.47M by -27.00%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $-18.37, missing the average prediction of $1.02 by -1908.12%