Vale (VALE) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions
VALE Stock Forecast
Vale stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $19.82 (represents a 88.58% upside from VALE’s last price of $10.51) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 11 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.
VALE Price Target
The average price target for Vale (VALE) is $19.82 based on 1-year price targets from 11 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $26.00 to $12.70. This represents a potential 88.58% upside from VALE's last price of $10.51.
VALE Analyst Ratings
According to 11 Wall Street analysts, Vale's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for VALE stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 9 'Buy' (81.82%), 2 'Hold' (18.18%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).
Vale Price Target by Analyst
| Date | Analyst | Company | Price Target | Price when Published | Price Target/Price when Published | Price Target/Last Closing Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 05, 2024 | Myles Allsop | UBS | $14.50 | $11.61 | 24.89% | 37.96% |
| Jul 03, 2024 | Marcio Farid | Goldman Sachs | $16.00 | $11.61 | 37.81% | 52.24% |
| Jun 21, 2024 | Alan Spence | BNP Paribas | $12.70 | $11.29 | 12.49% | 20.84% |
| May 07, 2024 | Myles Allsop | UBS | $15.00 | $12.59 | 19.14% | 42.72% |
| Nov 21, 2023 | Marcio Farid | Goldman Sachs | $19.50 | $15.90 | 22.64% | 85.54% |
| Jun 06, 2023 | Tyler Broda | RBC Capital | $15.00 | $13.74 | 9.13% | 42.72% |
| Dec 09, 2022 | - | Morgan Stanley | $20.00 | $16.43 | 21.73% | 90.29% |
| Jul 13, 2022 | Sylvain Brunet | BNP Paribas | $16.00 | $13.55 | 18.04% | 52.24% |
| Jun 14, 2022 | Christopher LaFemina | Jefferies | $24.00 | $15.85 | 51.42% | 128.35% |
| Apr 25, 2022 | - | RBC Capital | $18.00 | $16.70 | 7.78% | 71.27% |
The latest Vale stock forecast, released on Jul 05, 2024 by Myles Allsop from UBS, set a price target of $14.50, which represents a 24.89% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($11.61), and a 37.96% increase from VALE last price ($10.51).
Vale Price Target by Period
| 1M | 3M | 12M | |
|---|---|---|---|
| # Anlaysts | - | 3 | 5 |
| Avg Price Target | - | $14.40 | $15.54 |
| Last Closing Price | $10.51 | $10.51 | $10.51 |
| Upside/Downside | -100.00% | 37.01% | 47.86% |
In the current month, the average price target of Vale stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to Vale's last price of $10.51. This month's average price target is down -100.00% compared to last quarter, and down -100.00% compared to last year.
Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades
| Date | Company | Previous Rating | New Rating | Rating Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 2024 | Wolfe Research | Outperform | Peer Perform | Downgrade |
| Jul 05, 2024 | UBS | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Jul 03, 2024 | Goldman Sachs | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Jun 12, 2024 | Citigroup | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| May 07, 2024 | UBS | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| May 07, 2024 | RBC Capital | Underperform | Underperform | Hold |
| Apr 16, 2024 | Barclays | Overweight | Overweight | Hold |
| Apr 09, 2024 | RBC Capital | Hold | Hold | Hold |
| Feb 12, 2024 | UBS | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Nov 21, 2023 | Goldman Sachs | - | Buy | Upgrade |
Vale's last stock rating was published by Wolfe Research on Jul 17, 2024. The company Downgrade its VALE rating from "Outperform" to "Peer Perform".
Vale Financial Forecast
Vale Revenue Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $8.43B | $11.94B | $9.93B | $11.16B | $10.81B | - | $12.68B | $16.68B | $12.64B | $14.77B | $10.76B | $7.52B | $6.97B | $9.96B | $10.22B |
| Avg Forecast | $11.09B | $10.97B | $10.85B | $10.73B | $11.89B | $10.83B | $10.02B | $9.17B | $11.31B | $10.17B | $10.00B | $8.52B | $13.26B | $10.86B | $9.83B | $8.93B | $11.48B | $10.15B | $11.38B | $11.66B | $12.63B | $13.89B | $16.83B | $12.93B | $13.46B | $10.81B | $7.56B | $7.15B | $9.64B | $10.49B |
| High Forecast | $11.64B | $11.51B | $11.39B | $11.26B | $12.48B | $11.36B | $10.52B | $9.63B | $11.87B | $10.68B | $10.50B | $8.95B | $13.46B | $11.41B | $10.32B | $9.37B | $12.05B | $10.65B | $11.38B | $12.36B | $13.40B | $14.73B | $17.84B | $13.71B | $14.27B | $11.47B | $8.02B | $7.58B | $10.22B | $11.13B |
| Low Forecast | $10.41B | $10.30B | $10.19B | $10.07B | $11.16B | $10.17B | $9.41B | $8.61B | $10.62B | $10.16B | $9.39B | $8.00B | $13.05B | $10.20B | $9.23B | $8.38B | $10.78B | $9.53B | $11.38B | $10.95B | $11.87B | $13.05B | $15.82B | $12.15B | $12.65B | $10.16B | $7.10B | $6.72B | $9.06B | $9.86B |
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.94% | 1.04% | 0.98% | 0.98% | 0.93% | - | 0.91% | 0.99% | 0.98% | 1.10% | 1.00% | 0.99% | 0.97% | 1.03% | 0.97% |
Vale's average Quarter revenue forecast for Jun 23 based on 3 analysts is $9.83B, with a low forecast of $9.23B, and a high forecast of $10.32B. VALE's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a 16.59% increase compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $8.43B (Mar 23).
Vale EBITDA Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $3.25B | $4.46B | $4.50B | $6.27B | $6.63B | - | $4.40B | $10.97B | $9.29B | $2.67B | $5.25B | $2.39B | $679.00M | $-1.36B | $4.32B |
| Avg Forecast | $5.46B | $5.40B | $5.34B | $5.29B | $5.86B | $5.33B | $4.94B | $4.52B | $5.57B | $5.01B | $4.93B | $4.20B | $6.53B | $5.35B | $4.85B | $4.40B | $5.66B | $4.48B | $5.61B | $9.83B | $5.04B | $4.08B | $10.16B | $8.93B | $4.39B | $6.01B | $2.74B | $984.55M | $-2.83B | $5.59B |
| High Forecast | $5.74B | $5.67B | $5.61B | $5.55B | $6.15B | $5.60B | $5.18B | $4.74B | $5.85B | $5.26B | $5.17B | $4.41B | $6.63B | $5.62B | $5.09B | $4.62B | $5.94B | $5.38B | $5.61B | $11.79B | $6.05B | $4.89B | $12.19B | $10.72B | $5.27B | $7.21B | $3.29B | $1.18B | $-2.27B | $6.71B |
| Low Forecast | $5.13B | $5.07B | $5.02B | $4.96B | $5.50B | $5.01B | $4.64B | $4.24B | $5.23B | $5.01B | $4.63B | $3.94B | $6.43B | $5.03B | $4.55B | $4.13B | $5.31B | $3.59B | $5.61B | $7.86B | $4.03B | $3.26B | $8.13B | $7.15B | $3.51B | $4.81B | $2.19B | $787.64M | $-3.40B | $4.47B |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.74% | 0.79% | 1.00% | 1.12% | 0.67% | - | 1.08% | 1.08% | 1.04% | 0.61% | 0.87% | 0.87% | 0.69% | 0.48% | 0.77% |
3 analysts predict VALE's average Quarter EBITDA for Jun 23 to be $4.85B, with a high of $5.09B and a low of $4.55B. This is 49.31% upper than Vale's previous annual EBITDA (Mar 23) of $3.25B.
Vale Net Income Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| Net Income | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $1.84B | $3.72B | $4.46B | $4.14B | $4.46B | - | $3.89B | $7.59B | $5.55B | $739.00M | $2.91B | $995.00M | $239.00M | $-1.56B | $1.65B |
| Avg Forecast | $2.28B | $2.34B | $2.46B | $2.51B | $2.75B | $2.54B | $2.25B | $2.14B | $2.65B | $2.30B | $1.88B | $7.10B | $4.13B | $2.58B | $2.26B | $6.46B | $2.62B | $3.96B | $3.44B | $5.87B | $3.85B | $3.60B | $7.02B | $5.33B | $1.21B | $3.33B | $1.14B | $346.55M | $-3.26B | $2.14B |
| High Forecast | $2.42B | $2.49B | $2.62B | $2.67B | $2.93B | $2.71B | $2.40B | $2.27B | $2.82B | $2.81B | $2.00B | $8.52B | $4.36B | $2.74B | $2.40B | $7.75B | $2.79B | $4.75B | $3.44B | $7.04B | $4.62B | $4.32B | $8.43B | $6.40B | $1.45B | $4.00B | $1.37B | $415.86M | $-2.60B | $2.57B |
| Low Forecast | $2.10B | $2.16B | $2.27B | $2.31B | $2.53B | $2.34B | $2.08B | $1.97B | $2.44B | $1.93B | $1.73B | $5.68B | $3.65B | $2.37B | $2.08B | $5.16B | $2.41B | $3.17B | $3.44B | $4.69B | $3.08B | $2.88B | $5.62B | $4.27B | $969.94M | $2.66B | $913.93M | $277.24M | $-3.91B | $1.71B |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.28% | 1.42% | 1.13% | 1.21% | 0.76% | - | 1.08% | 1.08% | 1.04% | 0.61% | 0.87% | 0.87% | 0.69% | 0.48% | 0.77% |
Vale's average Quarter net income forecast for Jun 23 is $2.26B, with a range of $2.08B to $2.40B. VALE's average Quarter net income forecast represents a 22.76% increase compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $1.84B (Mar 23).
Vale SG&A Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| SG&A | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $107.00M | $139.00M | $110.00M | $115.00M | $110.00M | - | $104.00M | $123.00M | $96.00M | $179.00M | $118.00M | $110.00M | $98.00M | $125.00M | $116.00M |
| Avg Forecast | $125.48M | $124.09M | $122.72M | $121.37M | $134.49M | $122.50M | $113.38M | $103.79M | $127.96M | $115.10M | $113.14M | $122.91M | $150.03M | $122.93M | $111.27M | $111.73M | $129.91M | $105.93M | $128.77M | $101.58M | $82.28M | $96.30M | $113.86M | $92.34M | $293.67M | $135.10M | $126.30M | $142.10M | $260.53M | $150.12M |
| High Forecast | $131.72M | $130.27M | $128.83M | $127.41M | $141.18M | $128.59M | $119.03M | $108.96M | $134.32M | $120.83M | $118.77M | $147.49M | $152.34M | $129.05M | $116.81M | $134.08M | $136.37M | $127.11M | $128.77M | $121.89M | $98.73M | $115.56M | $136.63M | $110.81M | $352.41M | $162.12M | $151.56M | $170.52M | $312.63M | $180.14M |
| Low Forecast | $117.83M | $116.53M | $115.24M | $113.97M | $126.29M | $115.03M | $106.47M | $97.47M | $120.16M | $114.99M | $106.24M | $98.33M | $147.71M | $115.44M | $104.49M | $89.39M | $121.99M | $84.74M | $128.77M | $81.26M | $65.82M | $77.04M | $91.09M | $73.87M | $234.94M | $108.08M | $101.04M | $113.68M | $208.42M | $120.09M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.96% | 1.07% | 1.04% | 0.89% | 1.08% | - | 1.08% | 1.08% | 1.04% | 0.61% | 0.87% | 0.87% | 0.69% | 0.48% | 0.77% |
Vale's average Quarter SG&A projection for Jun 23 is $111.27M, based on 3 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $104.49M to $116.81M. The forecast indicates a 3.99% rise compared to VALE last annual SG&A of $107.00M (Mar 23).
Vale EPS Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| EPS | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0.41 | $0.82 | $0.98 | $0.89 | $0.93 | - | $0.76 | $1.49 | $1.08 | $0.14 | $0.57 | $0.19 | $0.05 | $-0.30 | $0.32 |
| Avg Forecast | $0.53 | $0.55 | $0.58 | $0.59 | $0.64 | $0.59 | $0.53 | $0.50 | $0.62 | $0.54 | $0.44 | $0.36 | $0.96 | $0.60 | $0.53 | $0.52 | $0.61 | $0.56 | $0.80 | $0.84 | $0.80 | $1.09 | $1.48 | $1.04 | $0.86 | $0.69 | $0.29 | $0.11 | $0.36 | $0.51 |
| High Forecast | $0.57 | $0.58 | $0.61 | $0.62 | $0.68 | $0.63 | $0.56 | $0.53 | $0.66 | $0.66 | $0.47 | $0.39 | $1.02 | $0.64 | $0.56 | $0.55 | $0.65 | $0.60 | $0.80 | $0.90 | $0.86 | $1.18 | $1.60 | $1.12 | $0.92 | $0.75 | $0.31 | $0.12 | $0.39 | $0.55 |
| Low Forecast | $0.49 | $0.50 | $0.53 | $0.54 | $0.59 | $0.55 | $0.48 | $0.46 | $0.57 | $0.45 | $0.40 | $0.33 | $0.85 | $0.55 | $0.49 | $0.47 | $0.56 | $0.52 | $0.80 | $0.77 | $0.74 | $1.01 | $1.37 | $0.96 | $0.79 | $0.64 | $0.27 | $0.10 | $0.33 | $0.47 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.80% | 1.34% | 1.75% | 1.11% | 1.11% | - | 0.69% | 1.00% | 1.04% | 0.17% | 0.82% | 0.66% | 0.46% | -0.83% | 0.63% |
According to 3 Wall Street analysts, Vale's projected average Quarter EPS for Jun 23 is $0.53, with a low estimate of $0.49 and a high estimate of $0.56. This represents a 28.52% increase compared to VALE previous annual EPS of $0.41 (Mar 23).
Vale Peer Comparison by Price Target
| Ticker | Company | Last Closing Price | Avg Price Target | Upside/Downside | Avg Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAC | Lithium Americas | $2.39 | $23.02 | 863.18% | Buy |
| VALE | Vale | $10.51 | $19.82 | 88.58% | Buy |
| PLL | Piedmont Lithium | $7.42 | $12.15 | 63.75% | Hold |
| MP | MP Materials | $13.80 | $22.42 | 62.46% | Buy |
| RIO | Rio Tinto Group | $62.55 | $93.25 | 49.08% | Buy |
| BHP | BHP Group | $52.89 | $52.20 | -1.30% | Hold |
| TECK | Teck Resources | $46.33 | $40.31 | -12.99% | Buy |
VALE Forecast FAQ
Is Vale a good buy?
Yes, according to 11 Wall Street analysts, Vale (VALE) is considered a 'Buy'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 9 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 81.82% of VALE's total ratings.
What is VALE's price target?
Vale (VALE) average price target is $19.82 with a range of $12.7 to $26, implying a 88.58% from its last price of $10.51. The data is based on 11 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.
Will Vale stock go up soon?
According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for VALE stock, the company can go up by 88.58% (from the last price of $10.51 to the average price target of $19.82), up by 147.38% based on the highest stock price target, and up by 20.84% based on the lowest stock price target.
Can Vale stock reach $20?
VALE's highest twelve months analyst stock price target of $26 supports the claim that Vale can reach $20 in the near future.
What are Vale's analysts' financial forecasts?
Vale's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $41.91B (high $43.99B, low $39.35B), average EBITDA is $20.65B (high $21.68B, low $19.39B), average net income is $9.68B (high $10.3B, low $8.91B), average SG&A $474.16M (high $497.76M, low $445.26M), and average EPS is $2.26 (high $2.41, low $2.08). VALE's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2026) are as follows: average revenue is $43.63B (high $45.8B, low $40.97B), average EBITDA is $21.5B (high $22.57B, low $20.19B), average net income is $9.59B (high $10.21B, low $8.83B), average SG&A $493.66M (high $518.24M, low $463.58M), and average EPS is $2.24 (high $2.39, low $2.06).
Did the VALE's actual financial results beat the analysts' financial forecasts?
Based on Vale's last annual report (Dec 2022), the company's revenue was $43.84B, which missed the average analysts forecast of $44.66B by -1.85%. Apple's EBITDA was $21.62B, missing the average prediction of $25.57B by -15.47%. The company's net income was $18.79B, beating the average estimation of $15.88B by 18.30%. Apple's SG&A was $474M, beating the average forecast of $466.18M by 1.68%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $4.05, beating the average prediction of $2.81 by 44.09%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Mar 2023), Vale's revenue was $8.43B, missing the average analysts' forecast of $8.93B by -5.52%. The company's EBITDA was $3.24B, missing the average prediction of $4.4B by -26.22%. Vale's net income was $1.84B, missing the average estimation of $6.46B by -71.54%. The company's SG&A was $107M, missing the average forecast of $111.73M by -4.24%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $0.41, missing the average prediction of $0.516 by -20.47%