Marriott Vacations Worldwide (VAC) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions
VAC Stock Forecast
Marriott Vacations Worldwide stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $113.92 (represents a 22.89% upside from VAC’s last price of $92.70) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 8 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.
VAC Price Target
The average price target for Marriott Vacations Worldwide (VAC) is $113.92 based on 1-year price targets from 8 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $165.00 to $62.00. This represents a potential 22.89% upside from VAC's last price of $92.70.
VAC Analyst Ratings
According to 8 Wall Street analysts, Marriott Vacations Worldwide's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for VAC stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 5 'Buy' (62.50%), 2 'Hold' (25.00%), 1 'Sell' (12.50%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).
Marriott Vacations Worldwide Price Target by Analyst
| Date | Analyst | Company | Price Target | Price when Published | Price Target/Price when Published | Price Target/Last Closing Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2024 | Lizzie Dove | Goldman Sachs | $62.00 | $73.92 | -16.13% | -33.12% |
| Sep 13, 2024 | Simon Yarmak | Stifel Nicolaus | $96.50 | $73.50 | 31.29% | 4.10% |
| Sep 05, 2024 | Patrick Scholes | Truist Financial | $139.00 | $72.59 | 91.49% | 49.95% |
| Aug 06, 2024 | Chris Woronka | Deutsche Bank | $95.00 | $71.86 | 32.19% | 2.48% |
| Jul 19, 2024 | Patrick Scholes | Truist Financial | $159.00 | $88.34 | 79.99% | 71.52% |
| Jun 14, 2024 | Ben Chaiken | Mizuho Securities | $126.00 | $88.06 | 43.08% | 35.92% |
| May 28, 2024 | Patrick Scholes | Truist Financial | $161.00 | $93.24 | 72.67% | 73.68% |
| Aug 12, 2022 | - | Truist Financial | $202.00 | $146.68 | 37.71% | 117.91% |
| Aug 10, 2022 | - | Barclays | $165.00 | $146.01 | 13.00% | 77.99% |
| Aug 10, 2022 | - | Deutsche Bank | $192.00 | $143.55 | 33.75% | 107.12% |
The latest Marriott Vacations Worldwide stock forecast, released on Sep 18, 2024 by Lizzie Dove from Goldman Sachs, set a price target of $62.00, which represents a -16.13% decrease from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($73.92), and a -33.12% decrease from VAC last price ($92.70).
Marriott Vacations Worldwide Price Target by Period
| 1M | 3M | 12M | |
|---|---|---|---|
| # Anlaysts | - | 3 | 7 |
| Avg Price Target | - | $99.17 | $119.79 |
| Last Closing Price | $92.70 | $92.70 | $92.70 |
| Upside/Downside | -100.00% | 6.98% | 29.22% |
In the current month, the average price target of Marriott Vacations Worldwide stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to Marriott Vacations Worldwide's last price of $92.70. This month's average price target is down -100.00% compared to last quarter, and down -100.00% compared to last year.
Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades
| Date | Company | Previous Rating | New Rating | Rating Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2024 | Goldman Sachs | - | Sell | Initialise |
| Sep 13, 2024 | Stifel Nicolaus | Market Outperform | Market Outperform | Hold |
| Aug 06, 2024 | Truist Financial | Market Outperform | Market Outperform | Hold |
| Aug 06, 2024 | Mizuho Securities | Underperform | Underperform | Hold |
| Aug 06, 2024 | Deutsche Bank | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Jul 18, 2024 | JMP Securities | Underperform | Underperform | Hold |
| Jul 18, 2024 | Mizuho Securities | Market Outperform | Market Outperform | Hold |
| May 09, 2024 | Deutsche Bank | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Jan 08, 2024 | Wedbush | - | Outperform | Upgrade |
| Sep 25, 2023 | Morgan Stanley | - | Equal-Weight | Downgrade |
Marriott Vacations Worldwide's last stock rating was published by Goldman Sachs on Sep 18, 2024. The company Initialise its VAC rating from "null" to "Sell".
Marriott Vacations Worldwide Financial Forecast
Marriott Vacations Worldwide Revenue Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $1.19B | $1.19B | $1.18B | $1.17B | $1.18B | $1.25B | $1.16B | $1.05B | $1.10B | $1.05B | $979.00M | $759.00M | $747.00M | $649.00M | $480.00M | $1.01B | $1.15B | $1.08B |
| Avg Forecast | $1.33B | $1.40B | $1.30B | $1.25B | $1.28B | $1.34B | $1.24B | $1.22B | $1.24B | $1.26B | $1.21B | $1.17B | $1.15B | $1.19B | $1.24B | $1.14B | $1.20B | $1.20B | $1.15B | $1.04B | $1.11B | $1.05B | $920.22M | $782.53M | $717.63M | $617.80M | $445.64M | $1.01B | $1.14B | $1.08B |
| High Forecast | $1.36B | $1.42B | $1.33B | $1.28B | $1.31B | $1.37B | $1.27B | $1.24B | $1.26B | $1.27B | $1.21B | $1.17B | $1.21B | $1.23B | $1.27B | $1.16B | $1.23B | $1.20B | $1.15B | $1.04B | $1.11B | $1.05B | $920.22M | $782.53M | $717.63M | $617.80M | $445.64M | $1.01B | $1.14B | $1.08B |
| Low Forecast | $1.31B | $1.37B | $1.27B | $1.22B | $1.26B | $1.32B | $1.22B | $1.21B | $1.22B | $1.26B | $1.21B | $1.17B | $1.09B | $1.13B | $1.22B | $1.12B | $1.18B | $1.20B | $1.15B | $1.04B | $1.11B | $1.05B | $920.22M | $782.53M | $717.63M | $617.80M | $445.64M | $1.01B | $1.14B | $1.08B |
| # Analysts | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.04% | 1.00% | 0.95% | 1.03% | 0.98% | 1.05% | 1.02% | 1.01% | 0.99% | 1.00% | 1.06% | 0.97% | 1.04% | 1.05% | 1.08% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% |
Marriott Vacations Worldwide's average Quarter revenue forecast for Mar 24 based on 3 analysts is $1.17B, with a low forecast of $1.17B, and a high forecast of $1.17B. VAC's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a -1.83% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $1.19B (Dec 23).
Marriott Vacations Worldwide EBITDA Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $-321.00M | $15.00M | $38.00M | $214.00M | $230.00M | $273.00M | $279.00M | $181.00M | $142.00M | $163.00M | $113.00M | $45.00M | $38.00M | $-9.00M | $-16.00M | $-99.00M | $174.00M | $65.00M |
| Avg Forecast | $187.86M | $196.75M | $183.35M | $176.16M | $180.64M | $189.37M | $174.95M | $172.77M | $174.39M | $178.14M | $170.81M | $100.95M | $161.54M | $167.58M | $175.46M | $91.77M | $115.78M | $168.60M | $161.54M | $72.54M | $156.80M | $148.53M | $129.79M | $24.55M | $101.21M | $87.13M | $62.85M | $-73.53M | $161.40M | $153.00M |
| High Forecast | $191.86M | $200.94M | $187.25M | $179.91M | $184.49M | $193.41M | $178.68M | $175.53M | $177.20M | $178.80M | $170.81M | $121.13M | $169.97M | $173.96M | $179.19M | $110.12M | $138.94M | $168.60M | $161.54M | $87.05M | $156.80M | $148.53M | $129.79M | $29.45M | $101.21M | $87.13M | $62.85M | $-58.82M | $161.40M | $153.00M |
| Low Forecast | $184.15M | $192.86M | $179.72M | $172.67M | $177.07M | $185.63M | $171.49M | $170.00M | $171.58M | $177.48M | $170.81M | $80.76M | $153.11M | $159.41M | $171.99M | $73.41M | $92.62M | $168.60M | $161.54M | $58.04M | $156.80M | $148.53M | $129.79M | $19.64M | $101.21M | $87.13M | $62.85M | $-88.23M | $161.40M | $153.00M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | -1.99% | 0.09% | 0.22% | 2.33% | 1.99% | 1.62% | 1.73% | 2.50% | 0.91% | 1.10% | 0.87% | 1.83% | 0.38% | -0.10% | -0.25% | 1.35% | 1.08% | 0.42% |
6 analysts predict VAC's average Quarter EBITDA for Dec 23 to be $161.54M, with a high of $169.97M and a low of $153.11M. This is 976.95% upper than Marriott Vacations Worldwide's previous annual EBITDA (Sep 23) of $15.00M.
Marriott Vacations Worldwide Net Income Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Net Income | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $35.00M | $42.00M | $90.00M | $87.00M | $83.00M | $109.00M | $136.00M | $58.00M | $59.00M | $10.00M | $8.00M | $-25.00M | $-31.00M | $-58.00M | $-62.00M | $-105.00M | $74.00M | $-7.00M |
| Avg Forecast | $80.60M | $83.13M | $85.67M | $76.38M | $73.32M | $81.01M | $85.01M | $81.54M | $67.60M | $66.30M | $84.07M | $68.08M | $73.97M | $88.28M | $116.59M | $61.89M | $49.74M | $106.77M | $95.69M | $48.93M | $88.84M | $67.36M | $37.56M | $-15.27M | $-857.76K | $-28.44M | $-52.24M | $-78.73M | $108.70M | $85.19M |
| High Forecast | $82.83M | $85.44M | $88.04M | $78.50M | $75.35M | $83.25M | $87.36M | $97.24M | $75.41M | $66.93M | $84.08M | $81.70M | $80.95M | $109.63M | $119.81M | $74.27M | $59.68M | $106.77M | $95.69M | $58.71M | $88.84M | $67.36M | $37.56M | $-12.22M | $-857.76K | $-28.44M | $-52.24M | $-62.98M | $108.70M | $85.19M |
| Low Forecast | $78.53M | $81.00M | $83.46M | $74.42M | $71.43M | $78.92M | $82.82M | $70.69M | $59.78M | $65.67M | $84.07M | $54.46M | $62.46M | $78.02M | $113.59M | $49.51M | $39.79M | $106.77M | $95.69M | $39.14M | $88.84M | $67.36M | $37.56M | $-18.33M | $-857.76K | $-28.44M | $-52.24M | $-94.47M | $108.70M | $85.19M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.47% | 0.48% | 0.77% | 1.41% | 1.67% | 1.02% | 1.42% | 1.19% | 0.66% | 0.15% | 0.21% | 1.64% | 36.14% | 2.04% | 1.19% | 1.33% | 0.68% | -0.08% |
Marriott Vacations Worldwide's average Quarter net income forecast for Mar 24 is $68.08M, with a range of $54.46M to $81.70M. VAC's average Quarter net income forecast represents a 94.51% increase compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $35.00M (Dec 23).
Marriott Vacations Worldwide SG&A Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| SG&A | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $289.00M | $259.00M | $270.00M | $278.00M | $266.00M | $269.00M | $278.00M | $243.00M | $239.00M | $220.00M | $230.00M | $155.00M | $130.00M | $114.00M | $76.00M | $253.00M | $268.00M | $256.00M |
| Avg Forecast | $298.35M | $312.47M | $291.19M | $279.76M | $286.89M | $300.76M | $277.85M | $274.38M | $276.96M | $282.91M | $271.28M | $285.23M | $256.55M | $266.14M | $278.65M | $259.30M | $194.87M | $267.76M | $256.56M | $204.98M | $249.03M | $235.89M | $206.12M | $84.55M | $160.74M | $138.38M | $99.82M | $187.90M | $256.33M | $242.98M |
| High Forecast | $304.71M | $319.12M | $297.39M | $285.72M | $292.99M | $307.16M | $283.77M | $278.77M | $281.42M | $283.96M | $271.28M | $342.27M | $269.94M | $276.27M | $284.58M | $311.16M | $233.84M | $267.76M | $256.56M | $245.98M | $249.03M | $235.89M | $206.12M | $101.45M | $160.74M | $138.38M | $99.82M | $225.48M | $256.33M | $242.98M |
| Low Forecast | $292.45M | $306.29M | $285.43M | $274.23M | $281.21M | $294.81M | $272.36M | $269.99M | $272.49M | $281.86M | $271.28M | $228.18M | $243.17M | $253.17M | $273.14M | $207.44M | $155.90M | $267.76M | $256.56M | $163.98M | $249.03M | $235.89M | $206.12M | $67.64M | $160.74M | $138.38M | $99.82M | $150.32M | $256.33M | $242.98M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.13% | 0.97% | 0.97% | 1.07% | 1.37% | 1.00% | 1.08% | 1.19% | 0.96% | 0.93% | 1.12% | 1.83% | 0.81% | 0.82% | 0.76% | 1.35% | 1.05% | 1.05% |
Marriott Vacations Worldwide's average Quarter SG&A projection for Mar 24 is $285.23M, based on 3 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $228.18M to $342.27M. The forecast indicates a -1.30% fall compared to VAC last annual SG&A of $289.00M (Dec 23).
Marriott Vacations Worldwide EPS Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| EPS | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $-5.94 | $1.16 | $2.46 | $2.32 | $2.14 | $2.76 | $3.30 | $1.36 | $1.37 | $0.24 | $0.20 | $-0.61 | $-0.74 | $-1.41 | $-1.49 | $-2.53 | $1.74 | $-0.16 |
| Avg Forecast | $1.91 | $1.97 | $2.03 | $1.81 | $1.74 | $1.92 | $2.01 | $1.93 | $1.60 | $1.57 | $1.99 | $1.69 | $1.75 | $2.09 | $2.76 | $1.94 | $2.74 | $2.53 | $2.27 | $1.53 | $2.11 | $1.60 | $0.89 | $-0.30 | $-0.02 | $-0.67 | $-1.24 | $1.80 | $2.58 | $2.02 |
| High Forecast | $1.96 | $2.02 | $2.09 | $1.86 | $1.79 | $1.97 | $2.07 | $2.30 | $1.79 | $1.59 | $1.99 | $1.75 | $1.92 | $2.60 | $2.84 | $1.99 | $2.81 | $2.53 | $2.27 | $1.57 | $2.11 | $1.60 | $0.89 | $-0.30 | $-0.02 | $-0.67 | $-1.24 | $1.80 | $2.58 | $2.02 |
| Low Forecast | $1.86 | $1.92 | $1.98 | $1.76 | $1.69 | $1.87 | $1.96 | $1.68 | $1.42 | $1.56 | $1.99 | $1.63 | $1.48 | $1.85 | $2.69 | $1.89 | $2.66 | $2.53 | $2.27 | $1.48 | $2.11 | $1.60 | $0.89 | $-0.30 | $-0.02 | $-0.67 | $-1.24 | $1.80 | $2.58 | $2.02 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | -3.39% | 0.55% | 0.89% | 1.20% | 0.78% | 1.09% | 1.46% | 0.89% | 0.65% | 0.15% | 0.22% | 2.00% | 36.41% | 2.09% | 1.20% | -1.40% | 0.68% | -0.08% |
According to 6 Wall Street analysts, Marriott Vacations Worldwide's projected average Quarter EPS for Dec 23 is $1.75, with a low estimate of $1.48 and a high estimate of $1.92. This represents a 51.10% increase compared to VAC previous annual EPS of $1.16 (Sep 23).
Marriott Vacations Worldwide Peer Comparison by Price Target
| Ticker | Company | Last Closing Price | Avg Price Target | Upside/Downside | Avg Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLL | Full House Resorts | $4.83 | $13.00 | 169.15% | Buy |
| CNTY | Century Casinos | $4.20 | $9.00 | 114.29% | Buy |
| MTN | Vail Resorts | $179.85 | $236.11 | 31.28% | Hold |
| VAC | Marriott Vacations Worldwide | $92.70 | $113.92 | 22.89% | Buy |
| RRR | Red Rock Resorts | $51.28 | $62.29 | 21.47% | Buy |
| HGV | Hilton Grand Vacations | $43.72 | $51.20 | 17.11% | Buy |
| GDEN | Golden Entertainment | $33.62 | $39.20 | 16.60% | Buy |
| PLYA | Playa Hotels & Resorts | $9.69 | $11.00 | 13.52% | Buy |
| BALY | Bally's | $17.78 | $18.10 | 1.80% | Hold |
| MCRI | Monarch Casino & Resort | $83.40 | $84.00 | 0.72% | Hold |
| BVH | Bluegreen Vacations | $75.00 | $45.00 | -40.00% | - |