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Marriott Vacations Worldwide (VAC) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions

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VAC Stock Forecast

Marriott Vacations Worldwide stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $98.13 (represents a 8.74% upside from VAC’s last price of $90.24) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 8 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.

VAC Price Target

The average price target for Marriott Vacations Worldwide (VAC) is $98.13 based on 1-year price targets from 8 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $139.00 to $62.00. This represents a potential 8.74% upside from VAC's last price of $90.24.

VAC Analyst Ratings

Buy

According to 8 Wall Street analysts, Marriott Vacations Worldwide's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for VAC stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 5 'Buy' (62.50%), 2 'Hold' (25.00%), 1 'Sell' (12.50%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).

Marriott Vacations Worldwide Price Target by Analyst

DateAnalystCompanyPrice TargetPrice when PublishedPrice Target/Price when PublishedPrice Target/Last Closing Price
Sep 18, 2024Lizzie DoveGoldman Sachs$62.00$73.92-16.13%-31.29%
Sep 13, 2024Simon YarmakStifel Nicolaus$96.50$73.5031.29%6.94%
Sep 05, 2024Patrick ScholesTruist Financial$139.00$72.5991.49%54.03%
Aug 06, 2024Chris WoronkaDeutsche Bank$95.00$71.8632.19%5.27%
Jul 19, 2024Patrick ScholesTruist Financial$159.00$88.3479.99%76.20%
Jun 14, 2024Ben ChaikenMizuho Securities$126.00$88.0643.08%39.63%
May 28, 2024Patrick ScholesTruist Financial$161.00$93.2472.67%78.41%
Aug 12, 2022Truist Financial$202.00$146.6837.71%123.85%
Aug 10, 2022Barclays$165.00$146.0113.00%82.85%
Aug 10, 2022Deutsche Bank$192.00$143.5533.75%112.77%
Jun 17, 2022Deutsche Bank$188.00$113.8665.12%108.33%
May 17, 2022Deutsche Bank$202.00$145.7438.60%123.85%

The latest Marriott Vacations Worldwide stock forecast, released on Sep 18, 2024 by Lizzie Dove from Goldman Sachs, set a price target of $62.00, which represents a -16.13% decrease from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($73.92), and a -31.29% decrease from VAC last price ($90.24).

Marriott Vacations Worldwide Price Target by Period

1M3M12M
# Anlaysts--7
Avg Price Target--$119.79
Last Closing Price$90.24$90.24$90.24
Upside/Downside-100.00%-100.00%32.75%

In the current month, the average price target of Marriott Vacations Worldwide stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to Marriott Vacations Worldwide's last price of $90.24. This month's average price target is down NaN% compared to last quarter, and down -100.00% compared to last year.

Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades

DateCompanyPrevious RatingNew RatingRating Change
Sep 18, 2024Goldman SachsSellInitialise
Sep 13, 2024Stifel NicolausMarket OutperformMarket OutperformHold
Aug 06, 2024Truist FinancialMarket OutperformMarket OutperformHold
Aug 06, 2024Mizuho SecuritiesUnderperformUnderperformHold
Aug 06, 2024Deutsche BankBuyBuyHold
Jul 18, 2024JMP SecuritiesUnderperformUnderperformHold
Jul 18, 2024Mizuho SecuritiesMarket OutperformMarket OutperformHold
May 09, 2024Deutsche BankBuyBuyHold
Jan 08, 2024WedbushOutperformUpgrade
Sep 25, 2023Morgan StanleyEqual-WeightDowngrade
Feb 03, 2023StephensEqual-WeightEqual-WeightHold
Aug 10, 2022BarclaysOverweightOverweightHold
Aug 10, 2022Deutsche BankBuyBuyHold
Jun 17, 2022Deutsche BankBuyBuyHold
May 17, 2022Deutsche BankBuyBuyHold

Marriott Vacations Worldwide's last stock rating was published by Goldman Sachs on Sep 18, 2024. The company Initialise its VAC rating from "null" to "Sell".

Marriott Vacations Worldwide Financial Forecast

Marriott Vacations Worldwide Revenue Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
Revenue------------$1.19B$1.19B$1.18B$1.17B$1.18B$1.25B$1.16B$1.05B$1.10B$1.05B$979.00M$759.00M$747.00M$649.00M$480.00M$1.01B$1.15B$1.08B
Avg Forecast$1.33B$1.40B$1.30B$1.25B$1.28B$1.34B$1.24B$1.23B$1.24B$1.26B$1.21B$1.17B$1.15B$1.19B$1.24B$1.14B$1.20B$1.20B$1.15B$1.04B$1.11B$1.05B$920.22M$782.53M$717.63M$617.80M$445.64M$1.01B$1.14B$1.08B
High Forecast$1.37B$1.43B$1.33B$1.28B$1.31B$1.38B$1.27B$1.25B$1.28B$1.27B$1.21B$1.17B$1.21B$1.23B$1.28B$1.17B$1.23B$1.20B$1.15B$1.04B$1.11B$1.05B$920.22M$782.53M$717.63M$617.80M$445.64M$1.01B$1.14B$1.08B
Low Forecast$1.31B$1.37B$1.28B$1.23B$1.26B$1.32B$1.22B$1.22B$1.22B$1.26B$1.21B$1.17B$1.09B$1.13B$1.23B$1.12B$1.18B$1.20B$1.15B$1.04B$1.11B$1.05B$920.22M$782.53M$717.63M$617.80M$445.64M$1.01B$1.14B$1.08B
# Analysts222211147333676322223456633322
Surprise %------------1.04%1.00%0.95%1.03%0.98%1.05%1.02%1.01%0.99%1.00%1.06%0.97%1.04%1.05%1.08%1.00%1.00%1.00%

Marriott Vacations Worldwide's average Quarter revenue forecast for Mar 24 based on 3 analysts is $1.17B, with a low forecast of $1.17B, and a high forecast of $1.17B. VAC's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a -1.83% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $1.19B (Dec 23).

Marriott Vacations Worldwide EBITDA Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts222211147333676322223456633322
EBITDA------------$-321.00M$15.00M$38.00M$214.00M$230.00M$273.00M$279.00M$181.00M$142.00M$163.00M$113.00M$45.00M$38.00M$-9.00M$-16.00M$-99.00M$174.00M$65.00M
Avg Forecast$187.86M$196.75M$183.35M$176.16M$180.78M$189.44M$175.05M$172.96M$175.07M$178.14M$170.81M$100.95M$161.54M$167.58M$175.46M$91.77M$115.78M$168.60M$161.54M$72.54M$156.80M$148.53M$129.79M$24.55M$101.21M$87.13M$62.85M$-73.53M$161.40M$153.00M
High Forecast$192.64M$201.75M$188.01M$180.64M$185.38M$194.26M$179.50M$175.73M$180.72M$178.80M$170.81M$121.13M$169.97M$173.96M$179.92M$110.12M$138.94M$168.60M$161.54M$87.05M$156.80M$148.53M$129.79M$29.45M$101.21M$87.13M$62.85M$-58.82M$161.40M$153.00M
Low Forecast$185.00M$193.75M$180.56M$173.47M$178.03M$186.56M$172.39M$171.58M$172.25M$177.48M$170.81M$80.76M$153.11M$159.41M$172.78M$73.41M$92.62M$168.60M$161.54M$58.04M$156.80M$148.53M$129.79M$19.64M$101.21M$87.13M$62.85M$-88.23M$161.40M$153.00M
Surprise %-------------1.99%0.09%0.22%2.33%1.99%1.62%1.73%2.50%0.91%1.10%0.87%1.83%0.38%-0.10%-0.25%1.35%1.08%0.42%

6 analysts predict VAC's average Quarter EBITDA for Dec 23 to be $161.54M, with a high of $169.97M and a low of $153.11M. This is 976.95% upper than Marriott Vacations Worldwide's previous annual EBITDA (Sep 23) of $15.00M.

Marriott Vacations Worldwide Net Income Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts222211147333676322223456633322
Net Income------------$35.00M$42.00M$90.00M$87.00M$83.00M$109.00M$136.00M$58.00M$59.00M$10.00M$8.00M$-25.00M$-31.00M$-58.00M$-62.00M$-105.00M$74.00M$-7.00M
Avg Forecast$80.41M$82.94M$85.46M$76.20M$67.59M$83.09M$82.22M$83.32M$67.95M$66.14M$83.87M$68.08M$73.79M$88.07M$116.31M$61.89M$49.74M$106.77M$95.69M$48.93M$88.84M$67.36M$37.56M$-15.27M$-857.76K$-28.44M$-52.24M$-78.73M$108.70M$85.19M
High Forecast$83.07M$85.68M$88.29M$78.72M$69.83M$85.83M$84.93M$98.72M$85.62M$66.77M$83.88M$81.70M$80.76M$109.37M$120.15M$74.27M$59.68M$106.77M$95.69M$58.71M$88.84M$67.36M$37.56M$-12.22M$-857.76K$-28.44M$-52.24M$-62.98M$108.70M$85.19M
Low Forecast$78.82M$81.30M$83.77M$74.69M$66.26M$81.44M$80.59M$75.27M$35.33M$65.52M$83.87M$54.46M$62.31M$77.83M$114.01M$49.51M$39.79M$106.77M$95.69M$39.14M$88.84M$67.36M$37.56M$-18.33M$-857.76K$-28.44M$-52.24M$-94.47M$108.70M$85.19M
Surprise %------------0.47%0.48%0.77%1.41%1.67%1.02%1.42%1.19%0.66%0.15%0.21%1.64%36.14%2.04%1.19%1.33%0.68%-0.08%

Marriott Vacations Worldwide's average Quarter net income forecast for Mar 24 is $68.08M, with a range of $54.46M to $81.70M. VAC's average Quarter net income forecast represents a 94.51% increase compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $35.00M (Dec 23).

Marriott Vacations Worldwide SG&A Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts222211147333676322223456633322
SG&A------------$289.00M$259.00M$270.00M$278.00M$266.00M$269.00M$278.00M$243.00M$239.00M$220.00M$230.00M$155.00M$130.00M$114.00M$76.00M$253.00M$268.00M$256.00M
Avg Forecast$298.35M$312.47M$291.19M$279.76M$287.11M$300.86M$278.01M$274.69M$278.04M$282.91M$271.28M$285.23M$256.55M$266.14M$278.65M$259.30M$194.87M$267.76M$256.56M$204.98M$249.03M$235.89M$206.12M$84.55M$160.74M$138.38M$99.82M$187.90M$256.33M$242.98M
High Forecast$305.94M$320.41M$298.59M$286.88M$294.41M$308.51M$285.08M$279.08M$287.01M$283.96M$271.28M$342.27M$269.94M$276.27M$285.74M$311.16M$233.84M$267.76M$256.56M$245.98M$249.03M$235.89M$206.12M$101.45M$160.74M$138.38M$99.82M$225.48M$256.33M$242.98M
Low Forecast$293.81M$307.71M$286.75M$275.50M$282.74M$296.28M$273.78M$272.49M$273.56M$281.86M$271.28M$228.18M$243.17M$253.17M$274.41M$207.44M$155.90M$267.76M$256.56M$163.98M$249.03M$235.89M$206.12M$67.64M$160.74M$138.38M$99.82M$150.32M$256.33M$242.98M
Surprise %------------1.13%0.97%0.97%1.07%1.37%1.00%1.08%1.19%0.96%0.93%1.12%1.83%0.81%0.82%0.76%1.35%1.05%1.05%

Marriott Vacations Worldwide's average Quarter SG&A projection for Mar 24 is $285.23M, based on 3 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $228.18M to $342.27M. The forecast indicates a -1.30% fall compared to VAC last annual SG&A of $289.00M (Dec 23).

Marriott Vacations Worldwide EPS Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts222211147333676322223456633322
EPS------------$-5.94$1.16$2.46$2.32$2.14$2.76$3.30$1.36$1.37$0.24$0.20$-0.61$-0.74$-1.41$-1.49$-2.53$1.74$-0.16
Avg Forecast$1.91$1.97$2.03$1.81$1.61$1.97$1.95$1.98$1.61$1.57$1.99$1.69$1.75$2.09$2.76$1.94$2.74$2.53$2.27$1.53$2.11$1.60$0.89$-0.30$-0.02$-0.67$-1.24$1.80$2.58$2.02
High Forecast$1.97$2.04$2.10$1.87$1.66$2.04$2.02$2.35$2.03$1.59$1.99$1.75$1.92$2.60$2.85$2.00$2.83$2.53$2.27$1.57$2.11$1.60$0.89$-0.30$-0.02$-0.67$-1.24$1.80$2.58$2.02
Low Forecast$1.87$1.93$1.99$1.77$1.57$1.93$1.91$1.79$0.84$1.56$1.99$1.63$1.48$1.85$2.71$1.90$2.68$2.53$2.27$1.48$2.11$1.60$0.89$-0.30$-0.02$-0.67$-1.24$1.80$2.58$2.02
Surprise %-------------3.39%0.55%0.89%1.20%0.78%1.09%1.46%0.89%0.65%0.15%0.22%2.00%36.41%2.09%1.20%-1.40%0.68%-0.08%

According to 6 Wall Street analysts, Marriott Vacations Worldwide's projected average Quarter EPS for Dec 23 is $1.75, with a low estimate of $1.48 and a high estimate of $1.92. This represents a 51.10% increase compared to VAC previous annual EPS of $1.16 (Sep 23).

Marriott Vacations Worldwide Peer Comparison by Price Target

TickerCompanyLast Closing PriceAvg Price TargetUpside/DownsideAvg Rating
FLLFull House Resorts$4.20$13.00209.52%Buy
CNTYCentury Casinos$3.75$5.0033.33%Buy
PLYAPlaya Hotels & Resorts$10.07$13.0029.10%Buy
RRRRed Rock Resorts$48.06$58.0020.68%Buy
GDENGolden Entertainment$33.06$38.3315.94%Buy
MTNVail Resorts$189.19$200.005.71%Hold
VACMarriott Vacations Worldwide$94.05$98.134.34%Buy
HGVHilton Grand Vacations$40.36$41.502.82%Buy
BALYBally's$17.74$18.172.42%Hold
MCRIMonarch Casino & Resort$82.16$84.002.24%Hold

VAC Forecast FAQ

Is Marriott Vacations Worldwide a good buy?

Yes, according to 8 Wall Street analysts, Marriott Vacations Worldwide (VAC) is considered a 'Buy'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 5 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 62.50% of VAC's total ratings.

What is VAC's price target?

Marriott Vacations Worldwide (VAC) average price target is $98.13 with a range of $62 to $139, implying a 8.74% from its last price of $90.24. The data is based on 8 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.

Will Marriott Vacations Worldwide stock go up soon?

According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for VAC stock, the company can go up by 8.74% (from the last price of $90.24 to the average price target of $98.13), up by 54.03% based on the highest stock price target, and down by -31.29% based on the lowest stock price target.

Can Marriott Vacations Worldwide stock reach $140?

VAC's average twelve months analyst stock price target of $98.13 does not support the claim that Marriott Vacations Worldwide can reach $140 in the near future.

What are Marriott Vacations Worldwide's analysts' financial forecasts?

Marriott Vacations Worldwide's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $5.09B (high $5.21B, low $5.02B), average EBITDA is $718.24M (high $734.87M, low $708.55M), average net income is $316.22M (high $339.32M, low $303.56M), average SG&A $1.14B (high $1.17B, low $1.13B), and average EPS is $7.51 (high $8.06, low $7.21). VAC's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2026) are as follows: average revenue is $5.28B (high $5.41B, low $5.2B), average EBITDA is $744.12M (high $763.03M, low $732.79M), average net income is $325.01M (high $335.75M, low $318.58M), average SG&A $1.18B (high $1.21B, low $1.16B), and average EPS is $7.72 (high $7.98, low $7.57).

Did the VAC's actual financial results beat the analysts' financial forecasts?

Based on Marriott Vacations Worldwide's last annual report (Dec 2023), the company's revenue was $4.73B, beating the average analysts forecast of $4.72B by 0.19%. Apple's EBITDA was $98M, missing the average prediction of $596.34M by -83.57%. The company's net income was $254M, missing the average estimation of $340.06M by -25.31%. Apple's SG&A was $1.1B, beating the average forecast of $1.06B by 3.33%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $0, missing the average prediction of $8.54 by -100.00%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Dec 2023), Marriott Vacations Worldwide's revenue was $1.19B, beating the average analysts' forecast of $1.15B by 4.25%. The company's EBITDA was $-321M, missing the average prediction of $161.54M by -298.71%. Marriott Vacations Worldwide's net income was $35M, missing the average estimation of $73.79M by -52.57%. The company's SG&A was $289M, beating the average forecast of $256.55M by 12.65%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $-5.94, missing the average prediction of $1.75 by -438.90%