Marriott Vacations Worldwide (VAC) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions


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VAC Stock Forecast


Marriott Vacations Worldwide stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $124.30 (represents a 69.60% upside from VAC’s last price of $73.29) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 7 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.

VAC Price Target


The average price target for Marriott Vacations Worldwide (VAC) is $124.30 based on 1-year price targets from 7 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $165.00 to $95.00. This represents a potential 69.60% upside from VAC's last price of $73.29.

VAC Analyst Ratings


Buy

According to 7 Wall Street analysts, Marriott Vacations Worldwide's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for VAC stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 5 'Buy' (71.43%), 2 'Hold' (28.57%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).

Marriott Vacations Worldwide Price Target by Analyst


DateAnalystCompanyPrice TargetPrice when PublishedPrice Target/Price when PublishedPrice Target/Last Closing Price
Sep 13, 2024Simon YarmakStifel Nicolaus$96.50$73.5031.29%31.67%
Sep 05, 2024Patrick ScholesTruist Financial$139.00$72.5991.49%89.66%
Aug 06, 2024Chris WoronkaDeutsche Bank$95.00$71.8632.19%29.62%
Jul 19, 2024Patrick ScholesTruist Financial$159.00$88.3479.99%116.95%
Jun 14, 2024Ben ChaikenMizuho Securities$126.00$88.0643.08%71.92%
May 28, 2024Patrick ScholesTruist Financial$161.00$93.2472.67%119.68%
Aug 12, 2022-Truist Financial$202.00$146.6837.71%175.62%
Aug 10, 2022-Barclays$165.00$146.0113.00%125.13%
Aug 10, 2022-Deutsche Bank$192.00$143.5533.75%161.97%
Jun 17, 2022-Deutsche Bank$188.00$113.8665.12%156.52%
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The latest Marriott Vacations Worldwide stock forecast, released on Sep 13, 2024 by Simon Yarmak from Stifel Nicolaus, set a price target of $96.50, which represents a 31.29% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($73.50), and a 31.67% increase from VAC last price ($73.29).

Marriott Vacations Worldwide Price Target by Period


1M3M12M
# Anlaysts246
Avg Price Target$117.75$122.38$129.42
Last Closing Price$73.29$73.29$73.29
Upside/Downside60.66%66.98%76.59%

In the current month, the average price target of Marriott Vacations Worldwide stock is $117.75, according to 2 Wall Street analysts offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a 60.66% increase as opposed to Marriott Vacations Worldwide's last price of $73.29. This month's average price target is down -3.78% compared to last quarter, and down -9.02% compared to last year.

Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades


DateCompanyPrevious RatingNew RatingRating Change
Sep 13, 2024Stifel NicolausMarket OutperformMarket OutperformHold
Aug 06, 2024Truist FinancialMarket OutperformMarket OutperformHold
Aug 06, 2024Mizuho SecuritiesUnderperformUnderperformHold
Aug 06, 2024Deutsche BankBuyBuyHold
Jul 18, 2024JMP SecuritiesUnderperformUnderperformHold
Jul 18, 2024Mizuho SecuritiesMarket OutperformMarket OutperformHold
May 09, 2024Deutsche BankBuyBuyHold
Jan 08, 2024Wedbush-OutperformUpgrade
Sep 25, 2023Morgan Stanley-Equal-WeightDowngrade
Feb 03, 2023StephensEqual-WeightEqual-WeightHold
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Marriott Vacations Worldwide's last stock rating was published by Stifel Nicolaus on Sep 13, 2024. The company gave VAC a "Market Outperform" rating, the same as its previous rate.

Marriott Vacations Worldwide Financial Forecast


Marriott Vacations Worldwide Revenue Forecast

Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jul 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19Jun 19Mar 19Dec 18Sep 18
Revenue--------$1.19B$1.19B$1.18B$1.17B$1.18B$1.25B-$1.05B$1.10B$1.05B$979.00M$759.00M$747.00M$649.00M$480.00M$1.01B$1.15B$1.08B$1.07B$1.06B$1.05B$750.00M
Avg Forecast$1.28B$1.32B$1.23B$1.22B$1.24B$1.26B$1.21B$1.17B$1.15B$1.19B$1.24B$1.14B$1.20B$1.20B$1.15B$1.04B$1.11B$1.05B$920.22M$782.53M$717.63M$617.80M$445.64M$1.01B$1.14B$1.08B$1.11B$1.08B$931.97M$950.70M
High Forecast$1.32B$1.36B$1.27B$1.26B$1.28B$1.30B$1.25B$1.21B$1.21B$1.23B$1.29B$1.18B$1.24B$1.24B$1.15B$1.08B$1.16B$1.10B$960.65M$816.91M$749.16M$644.95M$465.22M$1.06B$1.19B$1.13B$1.16B$1.13B$1.12B$1.14B
Low Forecast$1.17B$1.21B$1.13B$1.12B$1.14B$1.20B$1.11B$1.08B$1.09B$1.13B$1.14B$1.05B$1.10B$1.10B$1.15B$892.77M$955.86M$905.43M$791.16M$672.78M$616.98M$531.16M$383.14M$869.81M$983.87M$932.64M$956.23M$931.51M$745.58M$760.56M
# Analysts452237336763222345691016910881181819
Surprise %--------1.04%1.00%0.95%1.03%0.98%1.05%-1.01%0.99%1.00%1.06%0.97%1.04%1.05%1.08%1.00%1.00%1.00%0.96%0.98%1.13%0.79%

Marriott Vacations Worldwide's average Quarter revenue forecast for Mar 24 based on 3 analysts is $1.17B, with a low forecast of $1.08B, and a high forecast of $1.21B. VAC's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a -1.83% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $1.19B (Dec 23).

Marriott Vacations Worldwide EBITDA Forecast

Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jul 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19Jun 19Mar 19Dec 18Sep 18
# Analysts452237336763222345691016910881181819
EBITDA--------$-321.00M$15.00M$38.00M$214.00M$230.00M$273.00M-$181.00M$142.00M$163.00M$113.00M$45.00M$38.00M$-9.00M$-16.00M$-99.00M$174.00M$65.00M$145.00M$110.00M$174.00M$-36.37M
Avg Forecast$180.30M$186.26M$173.67M$172.36M$174.75M$178.14M$170.81M$100.95M$161.54M$167.58M$175.46M$91.77M$169.41M$-7.14M$161.54M$72.54M$123.83M$148.53M$118.08M$24.55M$20.90M$-5.64M$-10.22M$-73.53M$184.12M$66.92M$126.98M$122.74M$151.59M$-44.05M
High Forecast$186.33M$192.48M$179.47M$178.13M$180.59M$183.79M$176.52M$121.13M$169.97M$173.96M$181.32M$110.12M$175.08M$-5.71M$161.54M$87.05M$148.60M$155.06M$141.69M$29.45M$25.08M$-4.52M$-8.18M$-58.82M$220.94M$80.31M$152.37M$147.29M$181.91M$-35.24M
Low Forecast$165.47M$170.94M$159.39M$158.19M$160.38M$169.65M$156.77M$80.76M$153.11M$159.41M$161.03M$73.41M$155.48M$-8.57M$161.54M$58.04M$99.06M$127.70M$94.46M$19.64M$16.72M$-6.77M$-12.26M$-88.23M$147.29M$53.54M$101.58M$98.20M$121.27M$-52.86M
Surprise %---------1.99%0.09%0.22%2.33%1.36%-38.24%-2.50%1.15%1.10%0.96%1.83%1.82%1.59%1.57%1.35%0.95%0.97%1.14%0.90%1.15%0.83%

6 analysts predict VAC's average Quarter EBITDA for Dec 23 to be $161.54M, with a high of $169.97M and a low of $153.11M. This is 976.95% upper than Marriott Vacations Worldwide's previous annual EBITDA (Sep 23) of $15.00M.

Marriott Vacations Worldwide Net Income Forecast

Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jul 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19Jun 19Mar 19Dec 18Sep 18
# Analysts452237336763222345691016910881181819
Net Income--------$35.00M$42.00M$90.00M$87.00M$83.00M$109.00M-$58.00M$59.00M$10.00M$8.00M$-25.00M$-31.00M$-58.00M$-62.00M$-105.00M$74.00M$-7.00M$49.00M$24.00M$66.00M$-58.00M
Avg Forecast$73.50M$64.90M$84.84M$78.59M$70.76M$66.71M$84.07M$68.08M$73.97M$88.28M$116.59M$61.89M$115.42M$-49.18M$95.69M$48.93M$53.19M$67.84M$6.27M$-15.27M$-20.35M$-38.88M$-44.71M$-78.73M$78.30M$-9.27M$42.91M$26.78M$57.50M$-70.24M
High Forecast$76.70M$67.73M$88.52M$82.00M$73.84M$75.37M$87.73M$81.70M$80.95M$109.63M$121.65M$74.27M$120.44M$-39.35M$95.69M$58.71M$63.83M$71.71M$7.52M$-12.22M$-16.28M$-31.11M$-35.77M$-62.98M$93.96M$-7.41M$51.49M$32.14M$69.00M$-56.20M
Low Forecast$65.64M$57.97M$75.77M$70.19M$63.20M$55.01M$75.09M$54.46M$62.46M$78.02M$104.12M$49.51M$103.08M$-59.02M$95.69M$39.14M$42.56M$55.47M$5.02M$-18.33M$-24.42M$-46.66M$-53.65M$-94.47M$62.64M$-11.12M$34.33M$21.42M$46.00M$-84.29M
Surprise %--------0.47%0.48%0.77%1.41%0.72%-2.22%-1.19%1.11%0.15%1.28%1.64%1.52%1.49%1.39%1.33%0.95%0.76%1.14%0.90%1.15%0.83%

Marriott Vacations Worldwide's average Quarter net income forecast for Mar 24 is $68.08M, with a range of $54.46M to $81.70M. VAC's average Quarter net income forecast represents a 94.51% increase compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $35.00M (Dec 23).

Marriott Vacations Worldwide SG&A Forecast

Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jul 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19Jun 19Mar 19Dec 18Sep 18
# Analysts452237336763222345691016910881181819
SG&A--------$289.00M$259.00M$270.00M$278.00M$266.00M$269.00M-$243.00M$239.00M$220.00M$230.00M$155.00M$130.00M$114.00M$76.00M$253.00M$268.00M$256.00M$272.00M$266.00M$265.00M$188.00M
Avg Forecast$286.34M$295.80M$275.81M$273.74M$277.52M$282.91M$271.28M$285.23M$256.55M$266.14M$278.65M$259.30M$269.05M$90.44M$256.56M$204.98M$208.42M$235.89M$240.34M$84.55M$71.50M$71.49M$48.54M$187.90M$283.58M$263.57M$238.19M$296.82M$230.87M$227.69M
High Forecast$295.91M$305.69M$285.03M$282.89M$286.80M$291.89M$280.35M$342.27M$269.94M$276.27M$287.97M$311.16M$278.05M$108.52M$256.56M$245.98M$250.10M$246.25M$288.40M$101.45M$85.80M$85.79M$58.25M$225.48M$340.30M$316.28M$285.83M$356.18M$277.05M$273.23M
Low Forecast$262.79M$271.48M$253.13M$251.23M$254.70M$269.44M$248.97M$228.18M$243.17M$253.17M$255.74M$207.44M$246.93M$72.35M$256.56M$163.98M$166.73M$202.81M$192.27M$67.64M$57.20M$57.19M$38.83M$150.32M$226.87M$210.85M$190.55M$237.45M$184.70M$182.15M
Surprise %--------1.13%0.97%0.97%1.07%0.99%2.97%-1.19%1.15%0.93%0.96%1.83%1.82%1.59%1.57%1.35%0.95%0.97%1.14%0.90%1.15%0.83%

Marriott Vacations Worldwide's average Quarter SG&A projection for Mar 24 is $285.23M, based on 3 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $228.18M to $342.27M. The forecast indicates a -1.30% fall compared to VAC last annual SG&A of $289.00M (Dec 23).

Marriott Vacations Worldwide EPS Forecast

Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jul 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19Jun 19Mar 19Dec 18Sep 18
# Analysts452237336763222345691016910881181819
EPS--------$-5.94$1.16$2.46$2.32$2.14$2.76-$1.36$1.37$0.24$0.20$-0.61$-0.74$-1.41$-1.49$-2.53$1.74$-0.16$1.11$0.52$0.92$-1.77
Avg Forecast$1.74$1.54$2.01$1.86$1.68$1.58$1.99$1.69$1.75$2.09$2.76$1.94$2.74$2.53$2.27$1.53$2.11$1.60$0.89$-0.30$-0.02$-0.67$-1.24$1.80$2.58$2.02$1.76$1.64$1.15$2.18
High Forecast$1.82$1.60$2.10$1.94$1.75$1.79$2.08$1.76$1.92$2.60$2.88$2.02$2.85$2.64$2.27$1.61$2.23$1.69$0.94$-0.25$-0.02$-0.55$-1.01$1.91$2.72$2.13$1.86$1.73$1.38$2.62
Low Forecast$1.56$1.37$1.80$1.66$1.50$1.30$1.78$1.51$1.48$1.85$2.47$1.73$2.44$2.26$2.27$1.25$1.72$1.31$0.73$-0.32$-0.02$-0.71$-1.31$1.48$2.11$1.65$1.44$1.34$0.92$1.74
Surprise %---------3.39%0.55%0.89%1.20%0.78%1.09%-0.89%0.65%0.15%0.22%2.00%36.41%2.09%1.20%-1.40%0.68%-0.08%0.63%0.32%0.80%-0.81%

According to 6 Wall Street analysts, Marriott Vacations Worldwide's projected average Quarter EPS for Dec 23 is $1.75, with a low estimate of $1.48 and a high estimate of $1.92. This represents a 51.10% increase compared to VAC previous annual EPS of $1.16 (Sep 23).

Marriott Vacations Worldwide Peer Comparison by Price Target


TickerCompanyLast Closing PriceAvg Price TargetUpside/DownsideAvg Rating
CNTYCentury Casinos$2.57$13.00405.84%Buy
FLLFull House Resorts$5.08$13.00155.91%Buy
VACMarriott Vacations Worldwide$73.29$124.3069.60%Buy
HGVHilton Grand Vacations$36.93$56.2552.32%Buy
MTNVail Resorts$180.00$256.1342.29%Hold
PLYAPlaya Hotels & Resorts$7.77$11.0041.57%Buy
GDENGolden Entertainment$32.58$41.0025.84%Buy
MCRIMonarch Casino & Resort$75.36$84.0011.46%Hold
RRRRed Rock Resorts$54.20$60.2911.24%Buy
BALYBally's$17.31$18.104.56%Hold
BVHBluegreen Vacations$75.00$45.00-40.00%-

VAC Forecast FAQ


Yes, according to 7 Wall Street analysts, Marriott Vacations Worldwide (VAC) is considered a 'Buy'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 5 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 71.43% of VAC's total ratings.

Marriott Vacations Worldwide (VAC) average price target is $124.3 with a range of $95 to $165, implying a 69.60% from its last price of $73.29. The data is based on 7 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.

According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for VAC stock, the company can go up by 69.60% (from the last price of $73.29 to the average price target of $124.3), up by 125.13% based on the highest stock price target, and up by 29.62% based on the lowest stock price target.

VAC's average twelve months analyst stock price target of $124.3 supports the claim that Marriott Vacations Worldwide can reach $110 in the near future.

2 Wall Street analysts forecast a $117.75 price target for Marriott Vacations Worldwide (VAC) this month, up 60.66% from its last price of $73.29. Compared to the last 3 and 12 months, the average price target increased by 66.98% and increased by 76.59%, respectively.

Marriott Vacations Worldwide's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2024) are as follows: average revenue is $4.89B (high $5.05B, low $4.53B), average EBITDA is $624.64M (high $662.04M, low $567.56M), average net income is $289.63M (high $318.64M, low $247.76M), average SG&A $1.12B (high $1.2B, low $1B), and average EPS is $6.94 (high $7.38, low $6.09). VAC's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $5.05B (high $5.22B, low $4.64B), average EBITDA is $712.59M (high $736.41M, low $653.99M), average net income is $301.83M (high $314.95M, low $269.56M), average SG&A $1.13B (high $1.17B, low $1.04B), and average EPS is $7.15 (high $7.46, low $6.39).

Based on Marriott Vacations Worldwide's last annual report (Dec 2023), the company's revenue was $4.73B, beating the average analysts forecast of $4.72B by 0.19%. Apple's EBITDA was $98M, missing the average prediction of $596.34M by -83.57%. The company's net income was $254M, missing the average estimation of $340.72M by -25.45%. Apple's SG&A was $1.1B, beating the average forecast of $1.06B by 3.33%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $0, missing the average prediction of $8.54 by -100.00%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Dec 2023), Marriott Vacations Worldwide's revenue was $1.19B, beating the average analysts' forecast of $1.15B by 4.25%. The company's EBITDA was $-321M, missing the average prediction of $161.54M by -298.71%. Marriott Vacations Worldwide's net income was $35M, missing the average estimation of $73.97M by -52.68%. The company's SG&A was $289M, beating the average forecast of $256.55M by 12.65%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $-5.94, missing the average prediction of $1.75 by -438.90%