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Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions

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TXRH Stock Forecast

Texas Roadhouse stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $175.20 (represents a -6.27% downside from TXRH’s last price of $186.92) and a rating consensus of 'Hold', based on 21 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.

TXRH Price Target

The average price target for Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) is $175.20 based on 1-year price targets from 21 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $200.00 to $155.00. This represents a potential -6.27% downside from TXRH's last price of $186.92.

TXRH Analyst Ratings

Hold

According to 21 Wall Street analysts, Texas Roadhouse's rating consensus is 'Hold'. The analyst rating breakdown for TXRH stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 10 'Buy' (47.62%), 11 'Hold' (52.38%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).

Texas Roadhouse Price Target by Analyst

DateAnalystCompanyPrice TargetPrice when PublishedPrice Target/Price when PublishedPrice Target/Last Closing Price
Oct 15, 2024David PalmerEvercore ISI$200.00$176.0513.60%7.00%
Jul 26, 2024Andrew StrelzikBMO Capital$155.00$173.25-10.53%-17.08%
Jul 26, 2024Jim SaleraStephens$176.00$173.131.66%-5.84%
Jul 16, 2024Brian HarbourMorgan Stanley$162.00$171.06-5.29%-13.33%
Jul 15, 2024Jim SaleraStephens$170.00$170.06-0.03%-9.05%
Jul 01, 2024Jake BartlettTruist Financial$183.00$171.716.58%-2.10%
Jun 07, 2024Christopher CarrilRBC Capital$175.00$170.162.84%-6.38%
May 06, 2024Chris O'CullStifel Nicolaus$175.00$163.616.96%-6.38%
May 05, 2024Dennis GeigerUBS$185.00$163.6113.07%-1.03%
May 03, 2024Alton StumpLoop Capital Markets$190.00$157.9020.33%1.65%
May 03, 2024Christopher CarrilRBC Capital$165.00$157.904.50%-11.73%
May 03, 2024Nick SetyanWedbush$180.00$157.9014.00%-3.70%
Apr 19, 2024Lauren SilbermanDeutsche Bank$168.00$150.4611.66%-10.12%
Apr 16, 2024Andy BarishJefferies$136.00$147.67-7.90%-27.24%
Apr 12, 2024Brian HarbourMorgan Stanley$145.00$148.67-2.47%-22.43%
Apr 09, 2024Brian MullanPiper Sandler$136.00$150.19-9.45%-27.24%
Apr 02, 2024Jake BartlettTruist Financial$168.00$155.168.28%-10.12%
Mar 13, 2024David TarantinoRobert W. Baird$175.00$154.6013.20%-6.38%
Dec 01, 2023Brian MullanPiper Sandler$110.00$114.44-3.88%-41.15%
Jun 29, 2023Nick SetyanWedbush$123.00$111.4910.32%-34.20%
Apr 17, 2023Brian VaccaroRaymond James$110.00$108.501.38%-41.15%
Sep 29, 2022Truist Financial$108.00$89.5520.60%-42.22%
Jul 27, 2022Dennis GeigerUBS$104.00$85.1522.14%-44.36%
Jul 19, 2022Raymond James$100.00$80.3324.49%-46.50%
Jul 12, 2022Deutsche Bank$91.00$79.4714.51%-51.32%
Jul 01, 2022Truist Financial$105.00$75.1639.70%-43.83%
Jun 27, 2022Katherine GriffinGriffin$145.00$76.7788.89%-22.43%
Jun 16, 2022Citigroup$103.00$73.3640.40%-44.90%
May 26, 2022MKM Partners$100.00$78.3827.58%-46.50%
May 09, 2022Deutsche Bank$107.00$78.1236.97%-42.76%
Feb 23, 2022Andrew StrelzikBMO Capital$95.00$87.458.63%-49.18%
Feb 22, 2022David TarantinoRobert W. Baird$98.00$88.0511.30%-47.57%
Feb 22, 2022Brian MullanDeutsche Bank$112.00$88.0527.20%-40.08%
Jan 06, 2022Dennis GeigerUBS$108.00$90.4119.46%-42.22%
Nov 01, 2021Lauren SilbermanCredit Suisse$115.00$92.1024.86%-38.48%
Oct 19, 2021James RutherfordStephens$95.00$88.836.95%-49.18%
Oct 18, 2021Jon TowerWells Fargo$97.00$90.157.60%-48.11%
Oct 05, 2021Alton StumpLoop Capital Markets$121.00$93.4629.47%-35.27%
Sep 15, 2021Brian VaccaroRaymond James$108.00$89.4420.75%-42.22%
May 07, 2021John IvankoeJ.P. Morgan$102.00$102.62-0.60%-45.43%

The latest Texas Roadhouse stock forecast, released on Oct 15, 2024 by David Palmer from Evercore ISI, set a price target of $200.00, which represents a 13.60% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($176.05), and a 7.00% increase from TXRH last price ($186.92).

Texas Roadhouse Price Target by Period

1M3M12M
# Anlaysts-118
Avg Price Target-$200.00$169.11
Last Closing Price$186.92$186.92$186.92
Upside/Downside-100.00%7.00%-9.53%

In the current month, the average price target of Texas Roadhouse stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to Texas Roadhouse's last price of $186.92. This month's average price target is down -100.00% compared to last quarter, and down -100.00% compared to last year.

Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades

DateCompanyPrevious RatingNew RatingRating Change
Oct 15, 2024Wells FargoMarket PerformMarket PerformHold
Oct 15, 2024WedbushUnderperformUnderperformHold
Oct 15, 2024Evercore ISIOutperformOutperformHold
Oct 01, 2024CitigroupBuyBuyHold
Sep 25, 2024GuggenheimBuyBuyHold
Sep 24, 2024Wells FargoMarket PerformMarket PerformHold
Sep 24, 2024WedbushUnderperformUnderperformHold
Jul 26, 2024Evercore ISIOutperformOutperformHold
Jul 26, 2024Loop Capital MarketsBuyBuyHold
Jul 26, 2024BMO CapitalMarket PerformMarket PerformHold
Jul 16, 2024Deutsche BankBuyBuyHold
Jul 16, 2024Morgan StanleyEqual-WeightEqual-WeightHold
Jul 15, 2024StephensEqual-WeightEqual-WeightHold
Jul 05, 2024UBSBuyBuyHold
Jun 07, 2024RBC CapitalSector PerformSector PerformHold
May 05, 2024UBSBuyBuyHold
May 03, 2024Wells FargoEqual-WeightEqual-WeightHold
May 03, 2024Loop Capital MarketsBuyBuyHold
May 03, 2024Morgan StanleyEqual-WeightEqual-WeightHold
May 03, 2024RBC CapitalSector PerformSector PerformHold
May 03, 2024WedbushOutperformOutperformHold
Apr 19, 2024Deutsche BankBuyBuyHold
Apr 16, 2024JefferiesHoldHoldHold
Apr 12, 2024Morgan StanleyEqual-WeightEqual-WeightHold
Apr 09, 2024Piper SandlerNeutralNeutralHold
Apr 05, 2024WedbushOutperformOutperformHold
Feb 16, 2024WedbushOutperformOutperformHold
Feb 16, 2024StephensEqual-WeightEqual-WeightHold
Jan 23, 2024WedbushBuyBuyHold
Jan 23, 2024Piper SandlerUnderperformUnderperformHold
Dec 01, 2023Piper SandlerNeutralDowngrade
Sep 29, 2023Northcoast ResearchBuyUpgrade
Jul 28, 2023WedbushBuyBuyHold
Jun 29, 2023WedbushOutperformOutperformHold
Apr 17, 2023Raymond JamesStrong BuyMarket PerformDowngrade
Apr 04, 2023BTIGBuyBuyHold
Oct 31, 2022Cowen & Co.Market PerformInitialise
Oct 31, 2022Deutsche BankBuyHoldDowngrade
Oct 11, 2022WedbushOutperformOutperformHold
Jul 27, 2022UBSBuyBuyHold
Jul 19, 2022Raymond JamesStrong BuyStrong BuyHold
Jul 12, 2022Deutsche BankBuyBuyHold
Jun 27, 2022Bank of America SecuritiesBuyInitialise
Jun 16, 2022CitigroupBuyBuyHold
Jun 14, 2022BernsteinEqual-WeightEqual-WeightHold
May 26, 2022MKM PartnersBuyBuyHold
Feb 23, 2022Deutsche BankBuyBuyHold
Feb 23, 2022WedbushOutperformOutperformHold
Feb 23, 2022BarclaysEqual-WeightEqual-WeightHold

Texas Roadhouse's last stock rating was published by Wells Fargo on Oct 15, 2024. The company gave TXRH a "Market Perform" rating, the same as its previous rate.

Texas Roadhouse Financial Forecast

Texas Roadhouse Revenue Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
Revenue------------$1.16B$1.12B$1.17B$1.17B$1.01B$993.30M$1.02B$987.49M$895.59M$868.94M$898.79M$800.63M$637.99M$631.18M$476.43M$652.52M$725.24M$650.49M
Avg Forecast$1.59B$1.54B$1.62B$1.61B$1.46B$1.42B$1.50B$1.48B$1.41B$1.27B$1.34B$1.32B$1.16B$1.12B$1.17B$1.15B$1.02B$974.97M$1.02B$972.99M$894.46M$869.89M$869.55M$745.77M$677.30M$615.63M$477.04M$700.77M$713.68M$648.50M
High Forecast$1.63B$1.57B$1.66B$1.64B$1.49B$1.45B$1.53B$1.51B$1.43B$1.27B$1.34B$1.32B$1.22B$1.14B$1.20B$1.18B$1.04B$974.97M$1.02B$972.99M$894.46M$869.89M$869.55M$745.77M$677.30M$615.63M$477.04M$700.77M$713.68M$648.50M
Low Forecast$1.55B$1.50B$1.57B$1.56B$1.42B$1.38B$1.46B$1.46B$1.39B$1.27B$1.34B$1.32B$1.14B$1.10B$1.14B$1.12B$992.11M$974.97M$1.02B$972.99M$894.46M$869.89M$869.55M$745.77M$677.30M$615.63M$477.04M$700.77M$713.68M$648.50M
# Analysts7117131266141797511211015991711102014101010169118
Surprise %------------1.00%1.00%1.00%1.02%0.99%1.02%1.00%1.01%1.00%1.00%1.03%1.07%0.94%1.03%1.00%0.93%1.02%1.00%

Texas Roadhouse's average Quarter revenue forecast for Mar 24 based on 5 analysts is $1.32B, with a low forecast of $1.32B, and a high forecast of $1.32B. TXRH's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a 13.63% increase compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $1.16B (Dec 23).

Texas Roadhouse EBITDA Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts7117131266141797511211015991711102014101010169118
EBITDA------------$122.30M$112.98M$132.98M$137.28M$106.44M$109.98M$121.29M$123.45M$94.84M$91.98M$119.17M$109.30M$46.83M$60.16M$-20.70M$43.21M$82.73M$71.58M
Avg Forecast$167.38M$161.74M$170.03M$168.90M$153.56M$149.17M$157.18M$155.28M$148.33M$133.86M$140.60M$73.23M$121.94M$117.86M$122.78M$66.57M$93.74M$103.82M$108.70M$60.52M$95.24M$92.63M$92.59M$55.02M$72.12M$65.55M$50.80M$62.36M$75.99M$69.05M
High Forecast$171.12M$165.36M$173.82M$172.67M$156.99M$152.50M$160.70M$158.41M$150.42M$133.89M$140.60M$87.88M$128.19M$119.75M$125.52M$79.89M$112.49M$103.82M$108.70M$72.63M$95.24M$92.63M$92.59M$66.02M$72.12M$65.55M$50.80M$74.83M$75.99M$69.05M
Low Forecast$162.74M$157.26M$165.31M$164.21M$149.31M$145.03M$152.83M$153.20M$146.24M$133.83M$140.60M$58.59M$119.86M$115.98M$119.37M$53.26M$75.00M$103.82M$108.70M$48.42M$95.24M$92.63M$92.59M$44.02M$72.12M$65.55M$50.80M$49.89M$75.99M$69.05M
Surprise %------------1.00%0.96%1.08%2.06%1.14%1.06%1.12%2.04%1.00%0.99%1.29%1.99%0.65%0.92%-0.41%0.69%1.09%1.04%

5 analysts predict TXRH's average Quarter EBITDA for Mar 24 to be $73.23M, with a high of $87.88M and a low of $58.59M. This is -40.12% lower than Texas Roadhouse's previous annual EBITDA (Dec 23) of $122.30M.

Texas Roadhouse Net Income Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts7117131266141797511211015991711102014101010169118
Net Income------------$72.43M$63.79M$82.27M$86.39M$59.87M$62.33M$72.42M$75.20M$54.74M$52.61M$75.48M$64.15M$19.55M$29.23M$-33.55M$16.03M$42.69M$36.53M
Avg Forecast$126.87M$110.31M$151.50M$148.02M$110.52M$99.74M$136.94M$134.02M$109.77M$88.48M$109.95M$42.98M$71.29M$70.85M$80.64M$39.07M$52.44M$59.63M$67.95M$35.52M$45.90M$54.20M$69.18M$32.29M$33.00M$12.66M$-41.85M$23.13M$34.98M$30.93M
High Forecast$130.56M$113.51M$155.90M$152.32M$113.73M$102.64M$140.92M$143.92M$123.66M$89.28M$109.96M$51.58M$74.62M$78.20M$81.06M$46.89M$62.93M$59.63M$67.95M$42.63M$45.90M$54.20M$69.87M$38.75M$33.00M$12.66M$-41.85M$27.76M$34.98M$30.93M
Low Forecast$122.30M$106.33M$146.04M$142.68M$106.53M$96.15M$132.01M$125.43M$103.16M$87.69M$109.93M$34.39M$67.29M$62.16M$80.23M$31.26M$41.95M$59.63M$67.95M$28.42M$45.90M$54.20M$68.49M$25.83M$33.00M$12.66M$-41.85M$18.51M$34.98M$30.93M
Surprise %------------1.02%0.90%1.02%2.21%1.14%1.05%1.07%2.12%1.19%0.97%1.09%1.99%0.59%2.31%0.80%0.69%1.22%1.18%

Texas Roadhouse's average Quarter net income forecast for Mar 24 is $42.98M, with a range of $34.39M to $51.58M. TXRH's average Quarter net income forecast represents a -40.66% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $72.43M (Dec 23).

Texas Roadhouse SG&A Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts7117131266141797511211015991711102014101010169118
SG&A------------$49.81M$47.71M$51.00M$49.87M$40.39M$42.81M$49.21M$40.29M$42.67M$41.23M$36.86M$36.71M$30.98M$25.95M$29.61M$32.95M$38.22M$35.23M
Avg Forecast$75.02M$72.50M$76.21M$75.70M$68.83M$66.86M$70.45M$69.60M$66.49M$60.00M$63.02M$24.60M$54.66M$52.83M$55.03M$22.36M$42.18M$45.83M$47.99M$20.33M$42.05M$40.89M$40.88M$18.48M$31.84M$28.94M$22.43M$96.86M$33.55M$30.48M
High Forecast$76.70M$74.12M$77.91M$77.39M$70.37M$68.36M$72.03M$71.00M$67.42M$60.01M$63.02M$29.52M$57.46M$53.67M$56.26M$26.83M$50.61M$45.83M$47.99M$24.39M$42.05M$40.89M$40.88M$22.18M$31.84M$28.94M$22.43M$116.23M$33.55M$30.48M
Low Forecast$72.94M$70.49M$74.10M$73.60M$66.92M$65.01M$68.50M$68.67M$65.55M$59.98M$63.02M$19.68M$53.72M$51.99M$53.51M$17.89M$33.74M$45.83M$47.99M$16.26M$42.05M$40.89M$40.88M$14.78M$31.84M$28.94M$22.43M$77.49M$33.55M$30.48M
Surprise %------------0.91%0.90%0.93%2.23%0.96%0.93%1.03%1.98%1.01%1.01%0.90%1.99%0.97%0.90%1.32%0.34%1.14%1.16%

Texas Roadhouse's average Quarter SG&A projection for Mar 24 is $24.60M, based on 5 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $19.68M to $29.52M. The forecast indicates a -50.62% fall compared to TXRH last annual SG&A of $49.81M (Dec 23).

Texas Roadhouse EPS Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts7117131266141797511211015991711102014101010169118
EPS------------$1.08$0.96$1.23$1.29$0.89$0.93$1.07$1.09$0.79$0.75$1.08$0.92$0.28$0.42$-0.48$0.23$0.61$0.53
Avg Forecast$1.90$1.65$2.26$2.21$1.65$1.49$2.05$2.00$1.64$1.32$1.64$1.63$1.06$1.06$1.20$1.36$1.03$0.89$1.01$0.91$0.68$0.81$1.03$0.59$0.49$0.19$-0.62$0.54$0.52$0.46
High Forecast$1.95$1.70$2.33$2.28$1.70$1.53$2.11$2.15$1.85$1.33$1.64$1.65$1.11$1.17$1.21$1.39$1.06$0.89$1.01$0.91$0.68$0.81$1.04$0.59$0.49$0.19$-0.62$0.54$0.52$0.46
Low Forecast$1.83$1.59$2.18$2.13$1.59$1.44$1.97$1.87$1.54$1.31$1.64$1.60$1.01$0.93$1.20$1.33$0.99$0.89$1.01$0.91$0.68$0.81$1.02$0.59$0.49$0.19$-0.62$0.54$0.52$0.46
Surprise %------------1.01%0.91%1.02%0.95%0.86%1.05%1.06%1.20%1.15%0.93%1.05%1.56%0.57%2.22%0.77%0.43%1.17%1.15%

According to 5 Wall Street analysts, Texas Roadhouse's projected average Quarter EPS for Mar 24 is $1.63, with a low estimate of $1.60 and a high estimate of $1.65. This represents a 50.66% increase compared to TXRH previous annual EPS of $1.08 (Dec 23).

Texas Roadhouse Peer Comparison by Price Target

TickerCompanyLast Closing PriceAvg Price TargetUpside/DownsideAvg Rating
BLMNBloomin' Brands$12.60$20.0058.73%Hold
WINGWingstop$295.84$419.0041.63%Buy
DINDine Brands Global$30.92$43.2539.88%Buy
PZZAPapa John's$41.96$58.5039.42%Buy
DRIDarden Restaurants$165.46$189.2114.35%Buy
DPZDomino's Pizza$446.74$488.719.39%Buy
YUMYum! Brands$134.73$145.868.26%Buy
BJRIBJ's Restaurants$37.33$39.606.08%Buy
CMGChipotle Mexican Grill$64.29$63.81-0.75%Buy
CAKECheesecake Factory$50.39$49.33-2.10%Buy
TXRHTexas Roadhouse$186.92$175.20-6.27%Hold
SHAKShake Shack$129.19$119.00-7.89%Hold
EATBrinker$133.77$100.50-24.87%Hold

TXRH Forecast FAQ

Is Texas Roadhouse a good buy?

No, according to 21 Wall Street analysts, Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) is considered a 'Hold'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 10 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 47.62% of TXRH's total ratings.

What is TXRH's price target?

Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) average price target is $175.2 with a range of $155 to $200, implying a -6.27% from its last price of $186.92. The data is based on 21 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.

Will Texas Roadhouse stock go up soon?

According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for TXRH stock, the company can go down by -6.27% (from the last price of $186.92 to the average price target of $175.2), up by 7.00% based on the highest stock price target, and down by -17.08% based on the lowest stock price target.

Can Texas Roadhouse stock reach $300?

TXRH's average twelve months analyst stock price target of $175.2 does not support the claim that Texas Roadhouse can reach $300 in the near future.

What are Texas Roadhouse's analysts' financial forecasts?

Texas Roadhouse's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $5.86B (high $5.99B, low $5.72B), average EBITDA is $615.2M (high $628.6M, low $600.36M), average net income is $481.22M (high $501.2M, low $460.12M), average SG&A $275.75M (high $281.75M, low $269.1M), and average EPS is $7.19 (high $7.49, low $6.87). TXRH's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2026) are as follows: average revenue is $6.36B (high $6.5B, low $6.19B), average EBITDA is $668.04M (high $682.96M, low $649.52M), average net income is $536.7M (high $552.29M, low $517.36M), average SG&A $299.43M (high $306.12M, low $291.13M), and average EPS is $8.02 (high $8.25, low $7.73).

Did the TXRH's actual financial results beat the analysts' financial forecasts?

Based on Texas Roadhouse's last annual report (Dec 2022), the company's revenue was $4.01B, beating the average analysts forecast of $3.99B by 0.65%. Apple's EBITDA was $460.27M, beating the average prediction of $366.78M by 25.49%. The company's net income was $269.82M, beating the average estimation of $215.54M by 25.18%. Apple's SG&A was $172.71M, beating the average forecast of $156.32M by 10.48%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $3.99, beating the average prediction of $3.84 by 3.82%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Dec 2023), Texas Roadhouse's revenue was $1.16B, beating the average analysts' forecast of $1.16B by 0.27%. The company's EBITDA was $122.3M, beating the average prediction of $121.94M by 0.29%. Texas Roadhouse's net income was $72.43M, beating the average estimation of $71.29M by 1.60%. The company's SG&A was $49.81M, missing the average forecast of $54.66M by -8.87%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $1.08, beating the average prediction of $1.06 by 1.42%