Tri Pointe Homes (TPH) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions
TPH Stock Forecast
Tri Pointe Homes stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $40.33 (represents a -2.54% downside from TPH’s last price of $41.38) and a rating consensus of 'Hold', based on 7 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.
TPH Price Target
The average price target for Tri Pointe Homes (TPH) is $40.33 based on 1-year price targets from 7 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $54.00 to $19.00. This represents a potential -2.54% downside from TPH's last price of $41.38.
TPH Analyst Ratings
According to 7 Wall Street analysts, Tri Pointe Homes's rating consensus is 'Hold'. The analyst rating breakdown for TPH stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 3 'Buy' (42.86%), 4 'Hold' (57.14%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).
Tri Pointe Homes Price Target by Analyst
| Date | Analyst | Company | Price Target | Price when Published | Price Target/Price when Published | Price Target/Last Closing Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2024 | Tyler Batory | Oppenheimer | $54.00 | $45.32 | 19.15% | 30.50% |
| Jul 26, 2024 | Mike Dahl | RBC Capital | $48.00 | $46.81 | 2.53% | 16.00% |
| Mar 13, 2024 | Mike Dahl | RBC Capital | $38.00 | $34.98 | 8.63% | -8.17% |
| Jun 17, 2022 | - | Wells Fargo | $19.00 | $15.63 | 21.56% | -54.08% |
The latest Tri Pointe Homes stock forecast, released on Jul 26, 2024 by Tyler Batory from Oppenheimer, set a price target of $54.00, which represents a 19.15% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($45.32), and a 30.50% increase from TPH last price ($41.38).
Tri Pointe Homes Price Target by Period
| 1M | 3M | 12M | |
|---|---|---|---|
| # Anlaysts | - | - | 3 |
| Avg Price Target | - | - | $46.67 |
| Last Closing Price | $41.38 | $41.38 | $41.38 |
| Upside/Downside | -100.00% | -100.00% | 12.78% |
In the current month, the average price target of Tri Pointe Homes stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to Tri Pointe Homes's last price of $41.38. This month's average price target is down NaN% compared to last quarter, and down -100.00% compared to last year.
Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades
| Date | Company | Previous Rating | New Rating | Rating Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2024 | Zelman | - | Neutral | Upgrade |
| Aug 28, 2024 | Seaport Global | - | Neutral | Initialise |
| Jul 26, 2024 | Oppenheimer | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
| Jul 26, 2024 | RBC Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
| Mar 13, 2024 | RBC Capital | Sector Perform | Outperform | Upgrade |
| Feb 21, 2024 | RBC Capital | Sector Perform | Sector Perform | Hold |
| Feb 21, 2024 | Wedbush | Neutral | Neutral | Hold |
| Sep 07, 2023 | Oppenheimer | - | Outperform | Upgrade |
| Aug 07, 2023 | Wolfe Research | - | Outperform | Upgrade |
| Jun 17, 2022 | Wells Fargo | Equal-Weight | Equal-Weight | Hold |
Tri Pointe Homes's last stock rating was published by Zelman on Sep 17, 2024. The company Upgrade its TPH rating from "null" to "Neutral".
Tri Pointe Homes Financial Forecast
Tri Pointe Homes Revenue Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $827.76M | $826.96M | $779.66M | $1.52B | $1.07B | $1.02B | $736.24M | $1.21B | $1.03B | $1.02B | $720.97M | $1.06B | $832.46M | $770.11M | $597.05M | $1.14B | $748.39M |
| Avg Forecast | $1.38B | $1.27B | $1.13B | $858.21M | $1.27B | $1.22B | $1.13B | $872.93M | $1.22B | $1.05B | $1.08B | $887.13M | $1.19B | $766.05M | $714.83M | $590.73M | $1.25B | $1.00B | $997.67M | $666.34M | $1.18B | $928.55M | $997.31M | $734.87M | $951.66M | $731.87M | $708.97M | $566.16M | $1.09B | $683.54M |
| High Forecast | $1.41B | $1.30B | $1.16B | $876.15M | $1.29B | $1.25B | $1.15B | $887.35M | $1.24B | $1.06B | $1.08B | $896.81M | $1.22B | $802.88M | $729.77M | $603.07M | $1.28B | $1.00B | $997.67M | $666.34M | $1.18B | $928.55M | $997.31M | $734.87M | $951.66M | $731.87M | $708.97M | $566.16M | $1.09B | $683.54M |
| Low Forecast | $1.35B | $1.25B | $1.11B | $840.71M | $1.24B | $1.20B | $1.10B | $858.52M | $1.21B | $1.05B | $1.07B | $877.45M | $1.17B | $736.36M | $700.25M | $578.68M | $1.23B | $1.00B | $997.67M | $666.34M | $1.18B | $928.55M | $997.31M | $734.87M | $951.66M | $731.87M | $708.97M | $566.16M | $1.09B | $683.54M |
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.08% | 1.16% | 1.32% | 1.22% | 1.07% | 1.02% | 1.10% | 1.02% | 1.11% | 1.02% | 0.98% | 1.11% | 1.14% | 1.09% | 1.05% | 1.05% | 1.09% |
Tri Pointe Homes's average Quarter revenue forecast for Dec 23 based on 3 analysts is $1.19B, with a low forecast of $1.17B, and a high forecast of $1.22B. TPH's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a 44.19% increase compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $827.76M (Sep 23).
Tri Pointe Homes EBITDA Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 |
| EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $83.25M | $69.34M | $95.38M | $272.31M | $202.77M | $190.36M | $123.75M | $204.88M | $185.55M | $166.12M | $101.53M | $164.30M | $110.02M | $81.39M | $47.16M | $160.92M | $91.52M |
| Avg Forecast | $181.38M | $166.90M | $148.77M | $112.68M | $166.34M | $160.53M | $148.05M | $114.61M | $159.63M | $138.25M | $141.16M | $132.28M | $156.71M | $100.58M | $93.86M | $104.57M | $203.02M | $131.91M | $130.99M | $82.66M | $155.15M | $121.92M | $130.94M | $72.84M | $124.95M | $96.09M | $93.09M | $25.94M | $143.19M | $89.75M |
| High Forecast | $185.17M | $170.39M | $151.87M | $115.04M | $169.82M | $163.88M | $151.14M | $116.51M | $162.29M | $138.79M | $141.78M | $158.74M | $160.70M | $105.42M | $95.82M | $125.48M | $243.62M | $131.91M | $130.99M | $99.20M | $155.15M | $121.92M | $130.94M | $87.41M | $124.95M | $96.09M | $93.09M | $31.13M | $143.19M | $89.75M |
| Low Forecast | $177.68M | $163.50M | $145.73M | $110.38M | $162.95M | $157.25M | $145.03M | $112.72M | $158.30M | $137.70M | $140.54M | $105.82M | $154.06M | $96.68M | $91.94M | $83.66M | $162.41M | $131.91M | $130.99M | $66.13M | $155.15M | $121.92M | $130.94M | $58.27M | $124.95M | $96.09M | $93.09M | $20.75M | $143.19M | $89.75M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.83% | 0.74% | 0.91% | 1.34% | 1.54% | 1.45% | 1.50% | 1.32% | 1.52% | 1.27% | 1.39% | 1.31% | 1.14% | 0.87% | 1.82% | 1.12% | 1.02% |
3 analysts predict TPH's average Quarter EBITDA for Dec 23 to be $156.71M, with a high of $160.70M and a low of $154.06M. This is 88.24% upper than Tri Pointe Homes's previous annual EBITDA (Sep 23) of $83.25M.
Tri Pointe Homes Net Income Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 |
| Net Income | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $117.86M | $101.95M | $74.74M | $202.97M | $149.23M | $136.38M | $87.48M | $147.44M | $133.16M | $117.87M | $70.80M | $115.11M | $78.68M | $56.53M | $31.88M | $117.99M | $62.86M |
| Avg Forecast | $165.24M | $138.23M | $126.39M | $77.38M | $138.88M | $125.16M | $114.04M | $75.24M | $123.03M | $101.40M | $106.80M | $94.09M | $111.35M | $53.86M | $55.30M | $74.38M | $146.10M | $116.53M | $113.55M | $58.80M | $118.32M | $81.90M | $79.48M | $50.79M | $63.12M | $41.33M | $31.74M | $17.54M | $66.79M | $33.99M |
| High Forecast | $169.73M | $141.98M | $129.83M | $79.48M | $142.66M | $128.56M | $117.14M | $76.93M | $127.91M | $102.04M | $108.72M | $112.91M | $112.34M | $59.52M | $56.80M | $89.25M | $175.32M | $118.50M | $115.63M | $70.56M | $118.32M | $81.90M | $79.48M | $60.95M | $63.12M | $41.33M | $31.74M | $21.04M | $66.79M | $33.99M |
| Low Forecast | $160.86M | $134.56M | $123.04M | $75.33M | $135.20M | $121.84M | $111.02M | $72.70M | $120.10M | $100.76M | $104.89M | $75.27M | $108.40M | $47.24M | $53.83M | $59.50M | $116.88M | $114.56M | $111.47M | $47.04M | $118.32M | $81.90M | $79.48M | $40.63M | $63.12M | $41.33M | $31.74M | $14.03M | $66.79M | $33.99M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2.19% | 1.84% | 1.00% | 1.39% | 1.28% | 1.20% | 1.49% | 1.25% | 1.63% | 1.48% | 1.39% | 1.82% | 1.90% | 1.78% | 1.82% | 1.77% | 1.85% |
Tri Pointe Homes's average Quarter net income forecast for Dec 23 is $111.35M, with a range of $108.40M to $112.34M. TPH's average Quarter net income forecast represents a -5.53% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $117.86M (Sep 23).
Tri Pointe Homes SG&A Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 |
| SG&A | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $101.23M | $97.47M | $88.23M | $114.73M | $96.74M | $95.35M | $80.69M | $102.45M | $98.36M | $96.75M | $81.81M | $103.16M | $81.04M | $82.75M | $82.47M | $104.22M | $86.58M |
| Avg Forecast | $142.05M | $130.71M | $116.51M | $88.25M | $130.27M | $125.72M | $115.95M | $89.76M | $125.01M | $108.27M | $110.55M | $86.79M | $122.73M | $78.77M | $73.50M | $68.61M | $101.52M | $103.31M | $102.59M | $54.24M | $121.51M | $95.48M | $102.55M | $58.69M | $97.86M | $75.26M | $72.90M | $45.36M | $112.14M | $70.29M |
| High Forecast | $145.02M | $133.44M | $118.94M | $90.09M | $133.00M | $128.35M | $118.37M | $91.24M | $127.10M | $108.70M | $111.04M | $104.15M | $125.85M | $82.56M | $75.04M | $82.33M | $121.82M | $103.31M | $102.59M | $65.09M | $121.51M | $95.48M | $102.55M | $70.43M | $97.86M | $75.26M | $72.90M | $54.43M | $112.14M | $70.29M |
| Low Forecast | $139.15M | $128.04M | $114.13M | $86.45M | $127.62M | $123.15M | $113.58M | $88.28M | $123.97M | $107.84M | $110.06M | $69.43M | $120.65M | $75.72M | $72.00M | $54.89M | $81.22M | $103.31M | $102.59M | $43.39M | $121.51M | $95.48M | $102.55M | $46.95M | $97.86M | $75.26M | $72.90M | $36.29M | $112.14M | $70.29M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.29% | 1.33% | 1.29% | 1.13% | 0.94% | 0.93% | 1.49% | 0.84% | 1.03% | 0.94% | 1.39% | 1.05% | 1.08% | 1.14% | 1.82% | 0.93% | 1.23% |
Tri Pointe Homes's average Quarter SG&A projection for Dec 23 is $122.73M, based on 3 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $120.65M to $125.85M. The forecast indicates a 21.24% rise compared to TPH last annual SG&A of $101.23M (Sep 23).
Tri Pointe Homes EPS Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 |
| EPS | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $1.20 | $0.61 | $0.74 | $2.01 | $1.47 | $1.33 | $0.82 | $1.34 | $1.18 | $1.01 | $0.59 | $0.93 | $0.61 | $0.43 | $0.24 | $0.85 | $0.45 |
| Avg Forecast | $1.75 | $1.46 | $1.34 | $0.82 | $1.47 | $1.32 | $1.21 | $0.80 | $1.30 | $1.07 | $1.13 | $0.82 | $1.18 | $0.57 | $0.58 | $0.43 | $1.55 | $1.23 | $1.20 | $0.61 | $1.25 | $0.86 | $0.84 | $0.47 | $0.67 | $0.44 | $0.34 | $0.17 | $0.70 | $0.36 |
| High Forecast | $1.79 | $1.50 | $1.37 | $0.84 | $1.51 | $1.36 | $1.24 | $0.81 | $1.35 | $1.08 | $1.15 | $0.84 | $1.19 | $0.63 | $0.60 | $0.45 | $1.59 | $1.25 | $1.22 | $0.61 | $1.25 | $0.86 | $0.84 | $0.47 | $0.67 | $0.44 | $0.34 | $0.17 | $0.70 | $0.36 |
| Low Forecast | $1.70 | $1.42 | $1.30 | $0.80 | $1.43 | $1.29 | $1.17 | $0.77 | $1.27 | $1.06 | $1.11 | $0.79 | $1.15 | $0.50 | $0.57 | $0.42 | $1.50 | $1.21 | $1.18 | $0.61 | $1.25 | $0.86 | $0.84 | $0.47 | $0.67 | $0.44 | $0.34 | $0.17 | $0.70 | $0.36 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2.11% | 1.04% | 1.71% | 1.30% | 1.20% | 1.11% | 1.34% | 1.07% | 1.37% | 1.20% | 1.26% | 1.40% | 1.40% | 1.28% | 1.44% | 1.21% | 1.25% |
According to 3 Wall Street analysts, Tri Pointe Homes's projected average Quarter EPS for Dec 23 is $1.18, with a low estimate of $1.15 and a high estimate of $1.19. This represents a -1.95% decrease compared to TPH previous annual EPS of $1.20 (Sep 23).
Tri Pointe Homes Peer Comparison by Price Target
| Ticker | Company | Last Closing Price | Avg Price Target | Upside/Downside | Avg Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MHO | M/I Homes | $153.61 | $197.50 | 28.57% | Strong Buy |
| BZH | Beazer Homes USA | $31.96 | $41.00 | 28.29% | Buy |
| MTH | Meritage Homes | $177.92 | $190.00 | 6.79% | Buy |
| TMHC | Taylor Morrison Home | $69.79 | $73.83 | 5.79% | Buy |
| LGIH | LGI Homes | $103.93 | $107.25 | 3.19% | Hold |
| TPH | Tri Pointe Homes | $41.38 | $40.33 | -2.54% | Hold |
| LEN | Lennar | $166.33 | $160.61 | -3.44% | Buy |
| DHI | D.R. Horton | $161.13 | $150.82 | -6.40% | Buy |
| KBH | KB Home | $78.41 | $59.46 | -24.17% | Buy |
| PHM | PulteGroup | $127.48 | $92.50 | -27.44% | Buy |
| CCS | Century Communities | $85.64 | $60.67 | -29.16% | Buy |