Tri Pointe Homes (TPH) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions
TPH Stock Forecast
Tri Pointe Homes stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $40.33 (represents a -9.49% downside from TPH’s last price of $44.56) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 6 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.
TPH Price Target
The average price target for Tri Pointe Homes (TPH) is $40.33 based on 1-year price targets from 6 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $54.00 to $19.00. This represents a potential -9.49% downside from TPH's last price of $44.56.
TPH Analyst Ratings
According to 6 Wall Street analysts, Tri Pointe Homes's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for TPH stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 3 'Buy' (50.00%), 3 'Hold' (50.00%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).
Tri Pointe Homes Price Target by Analyst
| Date | Analyst | Company | Price Target | Price when Published | Price Target/Price when Published | Price Target/Last Closing Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2024 | Tyler Batory | Oppenheimer | $54.00 | $45.32 | 19.15% | 21.18% |
| Jul 26, 2024 | Mike Dahl | RBC Capital | $48.00 | $46.81 | 2.53% | 7.72% |
| Mar 13, 2024 | Mike Dahl | RBC Capital | $38.00 | $34.98 | 8.63% | -14.72% |
| Jun 17, 2022 | - | Wells Fargo | $19.00 | $15.63 | 21.56% | -57.36% |
The latest Tri Pointe Homes stock forecast, released on Jul 26, 2024 by Tyler Batory from Oppenheimer, set a price target of $54.00, which represents a 19.15% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($45.32), and a 21.18% increase from TPH last price ($44.56).
Tri Pointe Homes Price Target by Period
| 1M | 3M | 12M | |
|---|---|---|---|
| # Anlaysts | - | 2 | 3 |
| Avg Price Target | - | $51.00 | $46.67 |
| Last Closing Price | $44.56 | $44.56 | $44.56 |
| Upside/Downside | -100.00% | 14.45% | 4.74% |
In the current month, the average price target of Tri Pointe Homes stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to Tri Pointe Homes's last price of $44.56. This month's average price target is down -100.00% compared to last quarter, and down -100.00% compared to last year.
Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades
| Date | Company | Previous Rating | New Rating | Rating Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2024 | Seaport Global | - | Neutral | Initialise |
| Jul 26, 2024 | Oppenheimer | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
| Jul 26, 2024 | RBC Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
| Mar 13, 2024 | RBC Capital | Sector Perform | Outperform | Upgrade |
| Feb 21, 2024 | RBC Capital | Sector Perform | Sector Perform | Hold |
| Feb 21, 2024 | Wedbush | Neutral | Neutral | Hold |
| Sep 07, 2023 | Oppenheimer | - | Outperform | Upgrade |
| Aug 07, 2023 | Wolfe Research | - | Outperform | Upgrade |
| Jun 17, 2022 | Wells Fargo | Equal-Weight | Equal-Weight | Hold |
Tri Pointe Homes's last stock rating was published by Seaport Global on Aug 28, 2024. The company Initialise its TPH rating from "null" to "Neutral".
Tri Pointe Homes Financial Forecast
Tri Pointe Homes Revenue Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $827.76M | $826.96M | $779.66M | $1.52B | $1.07B | $1.02B | $736.24M | $1.21B | $1.03B | $1.02B | $720.97M | $1.06B | $832.46M | $770.11M | $597.05M | $1.14B | $748.39M |
| Avg Forecast | $1.40B | $1.27B | $1.15B | $902.91M | $1.32B | $1.22B | $1.19B | $944.70M | $1.25B | $1.05B | $1.08B | $887.13M | $1.19B | $766.05M | $714.83M | $590.73M | $1.25B | $1.00B | $997.67M | $666.34M | $1.18B | $928.55M | $997.31M | $734.87M | $951.66M | $731.87M | $708.97M | $566.16M | $1.09B | $683.54M |
| High Forecast | $1.47B | $1.33B | $1.21B | $944.62M | $1.38B | $1.27B | $1.25B | $988.34M | $1.31B | $1.07B | $1.12B | $928.11M | $1.22B | $802.88M | $747.85M | $618.01M | $1.31B | $1.05B | $1.02B | $682.16M | $1.21B | $950.60M | $1.02B | $752.31M | $974.25M | $749.25M | $725.80M | $579.61M | $1.12B | $699.77M |
| Low Forecast | $1.35B | $1.22B | $1.11B | $872.08M | $1.28B | $1.18B | $1.15B | $912.44M | $1.21B | $1.03B | $1.04B | $856.84M | $1.17B | $736.36M | $690.42M | $570.55M | $1.21B | $970.38M | $987.28M | $659.40M | $1.17B | $918.88M | $986.93M | $727.21M | $941.75M | $724.25M | $701.58M | $560.27M | $1.08B | $676.43M |
| # Analysts | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.08% | 1.16% | 1.32% | 1.22% | 1.07% | 1.02% | 1.10% | 1.02% | 1.11% | 1.02% | 0.98% | 1.11% | 1.14% | 1.09% | 1.05% | 1.05% | 1.09% |
Tri Pointe Homes's average Quarter revenue forecast for Dec 23 based on 3 analysts is $1.19B, with a low forecast of $1.17B, and a high forecast of $1.22B. TPH's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a 44.19% increase compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $827.76M (Sep 23).
Tri Pointe Homes EBITDA Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 |
| EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $83.25M | $69.34M | $95.38M | $272.31M | $202.77M | $190.36M | $123.75M | $204.88M | $185.55M | $166.12M | $101.53M | $164.30M | $110.02M | $81.39M | $47.16M | $160.92M | $91.52M |
| Avg Forecast | $183.88M | $166.45M | $151.42M | $118.55M | $173.61M | $159.92M | $156.82M | $124.04M | $164.57M | $138.40M | $141.16M | $132.28M | $156.71M | $100.58M | $93.86M | $104.57M | $164.29M | $139.89M | $130.99M | $82.66M | $155.15M | $121.92M | $130.94M | $72.84M | $124.95M | $96.09M | $93.09M | $25.94M | $143.19M | $89.75M |
| High Forecast | $192.37M | $174.13M | $158.42M | $124.03M | $181.63M | $167.31M | $164.07M | $129.77M | $172.18M | $141.11M | $147.68M | $158.74M | $160.70M | $105.42M | $98.19M | $125.48M | $171.88M | $167.87M | $134.10M | $99.20M | $158.83M | $124.81M | $134.05M | $87.41M | $127.92M | $98.37M | $95.30M | $31.13M | $146.59M | $91.88M |
| Low Forecast | $177.60M | $160.76M | $146.25M | $114.50M | $167.68M | $154.46M | $151.47M | $119.80M | $158.95M | $135.69M | $136.34M | $105.82M | $154.06M | $96.68M | $90.65M | $83.66M | $158.68M | $111.91M | $129.63M | $66.13M | $153.53M | $120.65M | $129.58M | $58.27M | $123.65M | $95.09M | $92.12M | $20.75M | $141.70M | $88.81M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.83% | 0.74% | 0.91% | 1.66% | 1.45% | 1.45% | 1.50% | 1.32% | 1.52% | 1.27% | 1.39% | 1.31% | 1.14% | 0.87% | 1.82% | 1.12% | 1.02% |
3 analysts predict TPH's average Quarter EBITDA for Dec 23 to be $156.71M, with a high of $160.70M and a low of $154.06M. This is 88.24% upper than Tri Pointe Homes's previous annual EBITDA (Sep 23) of $83.25M.
Tri Pointe Homes Net Income Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 |
| Net Income | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $117.86M | $101.95M | $74.74M | $202.97M | $149.23M | $136.38M | $87.48M | $147.44M | $133.16M | $117.87M | $70.80M | $115.11M | $78.68M | $56.53M | $31.88M | $117.99M | $62.86M |
| Avg Forecast | $165.09M | $138.96M | $122.19M | $85.11M | $150.87M | $125.06M | $122.93M | $87.87M | $133.72M | $102.05M | $106.91M | $94.09M | $111.47M | $53.91M | $55.36M | $74.38M | $146.38M | $100.39M | $113.55M | $58.80M | $118.32M | $81.90M | $79.48M | $50.79M | $63.12M | $41.33M | $31.74M | $17.54M | $66.79M | $33.99M |
| High Forecast | $175.00M | $147.31M | $129.52M | $90.22M | $159.93M | $132.57M | $130.31M | $93.15M | $141.75M | $103.05M | $113.33M | $112.91M | $112.46M | $59.59M | $58.68M | $89.25M | $155.17M | $120.47M | $117.06M | $70.56M | $121.97M | $84.42M | $81.93M | $60.95M | $65.07M | $42.61M | $32.72M | $21.04M | $68.85M | $35.04M |
| Low Forecast | $157.76M | $132.80M | $116.76M | $81.33M | $144.18M | $119.51M | $117.47M | $83.97M | $127.78M | $100.05M | $102.17M | $75.27M | $106.52M | $47.29M | $52.90M | $59.50M | $139.88M | $80.31M | $112.01M | $47.04M | $116.72M | $80.79M | $78.40M | $40.63M | $62.27M | $40.77M | $31.31M | $14.03M | $65.89M | $33.53M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2.19% | 1.84% | 1.00% | 1.39% | 1.49% | 1.20% | 1.49% | 1.25% | 1.63% | 1.48% | 1.39% | 1.82% | 1.90% | 1.78% | 1.82% | 1.77% | 1.85% |
Tri Pointe Homes's average Quarter net income forecast for Dec 23 is $111.47M, with a range of $106.52M to $112.46M. TPH's average Quarter net income forecast represents a -5.43% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $117.86M (Sep 23).
Tri Pointe Homes SG&A Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 |
| SG&A | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $101.23M | $97.47M | $88.23M | $114.73M | $96.74M | $95.35M | $80.69M | $102.45M | $98.36M | $96.75M | $81.81M | $103.16M | $81.04M | $82.75M | $82.47M | $104.22M | $86.58M |
| Avg Forecast | $144.00M | $130.35M | $118.59M | $92.84M | $135.96M | $125.25M | $122.82M | $97.14M | $128.89M | $108.39M | $110.55M | $86.79M | $122.73M | $78.77M | $73.50M | $68.61M | $128.67M | $74.16M | $102.59M | $54.24M | $121.51M | $95.48M | $102.55M | $58.69M | $97.86M | $75.26M | $72.90M | $45.36M | $112.14M | $70.29M |
| High Forecast | $150.65M | $136.37M | $124.06M | $97.13M | $142.24M | $131.03M | $128.49M | $101.63M | $134.84M | $110.51M | $115.66M | $104.15M | $125.85M | $82.56M | $76.90M | $82.33M | $134.61M | $88.99M | $105.02M | $65.09M | $124.39M | $97.75M | $104.98M | $70.43M | $100.18M | $77.04M | $74.63M | $54.43M | $114.80M | $71.95M |
| Low Forecast | $139.09M | $125.90M | $114.54M | $89.67M | $131.32M | $120.97M | $118.62M | $93.82M | $124.49M | $106.26M | $106.78M | $69.43M | $120.65M | $75.72M | $70.99M | $54.89M | $124.27M | $59.33M | $101.52M | $43.39M | $120.24M | $94.48M | $101.48M | $46.95M | $96.84M | $74.47M | $72.14M | $36.29M | $110.97M | $69.55M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.29% | 1.33% | 1.29% | 0.89% | 1.30% | 0.93% | 1.49% | 0.84% | 1.03% | 0.94% | 1.39% | 1.05% | 1.08% | 1.14% | 1.82% | 0.93% | 1.23% |
Tri Pointe Homes's average Quarter SG&A projection for Dec 23 is $122.73M, based on 3 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $120.65M to $125.85M. The forecast indicates a 21.24% rise compared to TPH last annual SG&A of $101.23M (Sep 23).
Tri Pointe Homes EPS Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 |
| EPS | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $1.20 | $0.61 | $0.74 | $2.01 | $1.47 | $1.33 | $0.82 | $1.34 | $1.18 | $1.01 | $0.59 | $0.93 | $0.61 | $0.43 | $0.24 | $0.85 | $0.45 |
| Avg Forecast | $1.74 | $1.47 | $1.29 | $0.90 | $1.59 | $1.32 | $1.30 | $0.93 | $1.41 | $1.08 | $1.13 | $0.82 | $1.18 | $0.57 | $0.58 | $0.43 | $1.55 | $1.23 | $1.20 | $0.61 | $1.25 | $0.86 | $0.84 | $0.47 | $0.67 | $0.44 | $0.34 | $0.17 | $0.70 | $0.36 |
| High Forecast | $1.85 | $1.55 | $1.37 | $0.95 | $1.69 | $1.40 | $1.38 | $0.98 | $1.50 | $1.09 | $1.20 | $0.87 | $1.19 | $0.63 | $0.62 | $0.46 | $1.64 | $1.30 | $1.24 | $0.63 | $1.29 | $0.89 | $0.86 | $0.48 | $0.69 | $0.45 | $0.35 | $0.17 | $0.73 | $0.37 |
| Low Forecast | $1.67 | $1.40 | $1.23 | $0.86 | $1.52 | $1.26 | $1.24 | $0.89 | $1.35 | $1.06 | $1.08 | $0.78 | $1.12 | $0.50 | $0.56 | $0.41 | $1.48 | $1.18 | $1.18 | $0.60 | $1.23 | $0.85 | $0.83 | $0.46 | $0.66 | $0.43 | $0.33 | $0.16 | $0.70 | $0.35 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2.11% | 1.04% | 1.71% | 1.30% | 1.20% | 1.11% | 1.34% | 1.07% | 1.37% | 1.20% | 1.26% | 1.40% | 1.40% | 1.28% | 1.44% | 1.21% | 1.25% |
According to 3 Wall Street analysts, Tri Pointe Homes's projected average Quarter EPS for Dec 23 is $1.18, with a low estimate of $1.12 and a high estimate of $1.19. This represents a -1.95% decrease compared to TPH previous annual EPS of $1.20 (Sep 23).
Tri Pointe Homes Peer Comparison by Price Target
| Ticker | Company | Last Closing Price | Avg Price Target | Upside/Downside | Avg Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BZH | Beazer Homes USA | $33.59 | $41.00 | 22.06% | Buy |
| LGIH | LGI Homes | $114.47 | $107.25 | -6.31% | Hold |
| TMHC | Taylor Morrison Home | $68.66 | $64.20 | -6.50% | Buy |
| TPH | Tri Pointe Homes | $44.56 | $40.33 | -9.49% | Buy |
| MHO | M/I Homes | $166.49 | $141.50 | -15.01% | Strong Buy |
| LEN | Lennar | $185.91 | $150.24 | -19.19% | Buy |
| MTH | Meritage Homes | $203.56 | $162.60 | -20.12% | Buy |
| DHI | D.R. Horton | $194.80 | $141.44 | -27.39% | Buy |
| KBH | KB Home | $86.04 | $56.38 | -34.47% | Hold |
| PHM | PulteGroup | $139.54 | $86.15 | -38.26% | Buy |
| CCS | Century Communities | $103.41 | $60.67 | -41.33% | Buy |
TPH Forecast FAQ
Is Tri Pointe Homes a good buy?
Yes, according to 6 Wall Street analysts, Tri Pointe Homes (TPH) is considered a 'Buy'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 3 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 50.00% of TPH's total ratings.
What is TPH's price target?
Tri Pointe Homes (TPH) average price target is $40.33 with a range of $19 to $54, implying a -9.49% from its last price of $44.56. The data is based on 6 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.
Will Tri Pointe Homes stock go up soon?
According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for TPH stock, the company can go down by -9.49% (from the last price of $44.56 to the average price target of $40.33), up by 21.18% based on the highest stock price target, and down by -57.36% based on the lowest stock price target.
Can Tri Pointe Homes stock reach $70?
TPH's average twelve months analyst stock price target of $40.33 does not support the claim that Tri Pointe Homes can reach $70 in the near future.
What are Tri Pointe Homes's analysts' financial forecasts?
Tri Pointe Homes's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $4.68B (high $4.9B, low $4.52B), average EBITDA is $614.39M (high $642.77M, low $593.41M), average net income is $486.73M (high $515.96M, low $465.12M), average SG&A $481.16M (high $503.39M, low $464.73M), and average EPS is $5.14 (high $5.45, low $4.91). TPH's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2026) are as follows: average revenue is $4.72B (high $4.94B, low $4.56B), average EBITDA is $620.29M (high $648.95M, low $599.11M), average net income is $511.35M (high $542.06M, low $488.65M), average SG&A $485.78M (high $508.22M, low $469.2M), and average EPS is $5.4 (high $5.72, low $5.16).
Did the TPH's actual financial results beat the analysts' financial forecasts?
Based on Tri Pointe Homes's last annual report (Dec 2022), the company's revenue was $4.35B, beating the average analysts forecast of $3.92B by 10.93%. Apple's EBITDA was $770.55M, beating the average prediction of $517.84M by 48.80%. The company's net income was $576.06M, beating the average estimation of $419.12M by 37.45%. Apple's SG&A was $387.51M, beating the average forecast of $359.65M by 7.75%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $5.6, beating the average prediction of $4.58 by 22.17%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Sep 2023), Tri Pointe Homes's revenue was $827.76M, beating the average analysts' forecast of $766.05M by 8.05%. The company's EBITDA was $83.25M, missing the average prediction of $100.58M by -17.23%. Tri Pointe Homes's net income was $117.86M, beating the average estimation of $53.91M by 118.62%. The company's SG&A was $101.23M, beating the average forecast of $78.77M by 28.52%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $1.2, beating the average prediction of $0.569 by 110.87%