Toll Brothers (TOL) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions
TOL Stock Forecast
Toll Brothers stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $119.59 (represents a -20.17% downside from TOL’s last price of $149.80) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 28 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.
TOL Price Target
TOL Analyst Ratings
Toll Brothers Price Target by Analyst
Date | Analyst | Company | Price Target | Price when Published | Price Target/Price when Published | Price Target/Last Closing Price |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aug 22, 2024 | Mike Dahl | RBC Capital | $143.00 | $141.03 | 1.40% | -4.54% |
Aug 20, 2024 | Mark Weintraub | Seaport Global | $108.00 | $133.86 | -19.32% | -27.90% |
Aug 20, 2024 | Anthony Pettinari | Citigroup | $125.00 | $133.86 | -6.62% | -16.56% |
Aug 20, 2024 | Matthew Bouley | Barclays | $116.00 | $133.86 | -13.34% | -22.56% |
Jul 15, 2024 | Stephen Kim | Evercore ISI | $180.00 | $123.15 | 46.16% | 20.16% |
Jun 17, 2024 | Ryan MacDonald | Needham | $77.00 | $119.23 | -35.42% | -48.60% |
Jun 17, 2024 | Susan Maklari | Goldman Sachs | $124.00 | $119.32 | 3.92% | -17.22% |
Jun 06, 2024 | Chris Graja | Argus Research | $140.00 | $120.25 | 16.42% | -6.54% |
May 28, 2024 | Matthew Bouley | Barclays | $118.00 | $122.91 | -3.99% | -21.23% |
May 23, 2024 | Truman Patterson | Wolfe Research | $135.00 | $119.56 | 12.91% | -9.88% |
Toll Brothers Price Target by Period
1M | 3M | 12M | |
---|---|---|---|
# Anlaysts | 4 | 7 | 20 |
Avg Price Target | $123.00 | $124.71 | $134.35 |
Last Closing Price | $149.80 | $149.80 | $149.80 |
Upside/Downside | -17.89% | -16.75% | -10.31% |
Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades
Date | Company | Previous Rating | New Rating | Rating Change |
---|---|---|---|---|
Aug 27, 2024 | Wedbush | Neutral | Neutral | Hold |
Aug 22, 2024 | Oppenheimer | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
Aug 22, 2024 | RBC Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
Aug 22, 2024 | Wells Fargo | Overweight | Overweight | Hold |
Aug 21, 2024 | UBS | Buy | Buy | Hold |
Aug 20, 2024 | Barclays | Underweight | Underweight | Hold |
Aug 20, 2024 | Citigroup | Neutral | Neutral | Hold |
Aug 20, 2024 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
Aug 20, 2024 | Evercore ISI | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
Aug 05, 2024 | Seaport Global | Buy | Sell | Downgrade |
Toll Brothers Financial Forecast
Toll Brothers Revenue Forecast
Oct 26 | Jul 26 | May 26 | Jan 26 | Oct 25 | Jul 25 | May 25 | Jan 25 | Oct 24 | Jul 24 | May 24 | Jan 24 | Oct 23 | Jul 23 | May 23 | Jan 23 | Oct 22 | Jul 22 | Apr 22 | Jan 22 | Oct 21 | Jul 21 | Apr 21 | Jan 21 | Oct 20 | Jul 20 | Apr 20 | Jan 20 | Oct 19 | Jul 19 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $1.95B | $3.02B | $2.69B | - | $1.78B | $3.71B | $2.49B | $2.28B | $1.79B | $3.04B | $2.26B | $1.93B | $1.56B | $2.55B | $1.65B | $1.55B | $1.33B | $2.38B | $1.77B |
Avg Forecast | $3.55B | $2.99B | $2.58B | $2.05B | $3.29B | $2.92B | $2.66B | $2.06B | $3.16B | $2.71B | $2.58B | $1.88B | $2.78B | $2.40B | $2.06B | $1.74B | $3.17B | $2.50B | $2.08B | $1.78B | $2.90B | $2.25B | $1.77B | $1.35B | $2.08B | $1.52B | $1.56B | $1.44B | $2.19B | $1.70B |
High Forecast | $3.77B | $3.17B | $2.74B | $2.18B | $3.50B | $3.11B | $2.83B | $2.21B | $3.18B | $2.88B | $2.74B | $1.99B | $2.87B | $2.55B | $2.19B | $1.85B | $3.37B | $2.58B | $2.17B | $1.98B | $3.22B | $2.50B | $1.97B | $1.51B | $2.31B | $1.69B | $1.73B | $1.60B | $2.44B | $1.89B |
Low Forecast | $3.39B | $2.85B | $2.46B | $1.96B | $3.14B | $2.79B | $2.54B | $1.86B | $3.14B | $2.58B | $2.46B | $1.79B | $2.73B | $2.29B | $1.97B | $1.66B | $3.03B | $2.47B | $1.96B | $1.65B | $2.69B | $2.08B | $1.65B | $1.26B | $1.93B | $1.41B | $1.45B | $1.33B | $2.03B | $1.58B |
# Analysts | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.04% | 1.09% | 1.12% | - | 1.02% | 1.17% | 1.00% | 1.10% | 1.00% | 1.05% | 1.00% | 1.09% | 1.16% | 1.23% | 1.09% | 0.99% | 0.93% | 1.09% | 1.04% |
Toll Brothers EBITDA Forecast
Oct 26 | Jul 26 | May 26 | Jan 26 | Oct 25 | Jul 25 | May 25 | Jan 25 | Oct 24 | Jul 24 | May 24 | Jan 24 | Oct 23 | Jul 23 | May 23 | Jan 23 | Oct 22 | Jul 22 | Apr 22 | Jan 22 | Oct 21 | Jul 21 | Apr 21 | Jan 21 | Oct 20 | Jul 20 | Apr 20 | Jan 20 | Oct 19 | Jul 19 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
# Analysts | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $324.11M | $558.62M | $515.11M | - | $225.31M | $690.23M | $361.67M | $281.66M | $175.07M | $522.00M | $324.15M | $220.37M | $135.99M | $289.16M | $168.28M | $120.17M | $62.16M | $245.63M | $189.10M |
Avg Forecast | $434.36M | $365.25M | $315.16M | $251.05M | $402.94M | $357.57M | $325.57M | $251.80M | $386.81M | $331.24M | $276.39M | $229.38M | $340.14M | $293.99M | $218.49M | $212.61M | $233.29M | $306.36M | $254.00M | $410.89M | $249.51M | $137.27M | $60.78M | $216.87M | $123.25M | $82.78M | $87.76M | $268.55M | $163.03M | $162.80M |
High Forecast | $461.64M | $388.19M | $334.95M | $266.82M | $428.25M | $380.02M | $346.01M | $270.78M | $389.27M | $352.05M | $331.67M | $243.79M | $351.15M | $312.46M | $262.19M | $225.97M | $279.95M | $315.30M | $265.05M | $493.07M | $299.41M | $164.73M | $72.94M | $260.25M | $147.90M | $99.34M | $105.32M | $322.26M | $195.64M | $195.35M |
Low Forecast | $414.38M | $348.45M | $300.66M | $239.50M | $384.40M | $341.11M | $310.59M | $227.76M | $384.36M | $316.00M | $221.12M | $218.83M | $334.03M | $280.47M | $174.79M | $202.83M | $186.63M | $301.84M | $239.53M | $328.71M | $199.61M | $109.82M | $48.63M | $173.50M | $98.60M | $66.23M | $70.21M | $214.84M | $130.43M | $130.24M |
Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.41% | 1.64% | 1.75% | - | 1.06% | 2.96% | 1.18% | 1.11% | 0.43% | 2.09% | 2.36% | 3.63% | 0.63% | 2.35% | 2.03% | 1.37% | 0.23% | 1.51% | 1.16% |
Toll Brothers Net Income Forecast
Oct 26 | Jul 26 | May 26 | Jan 26 | Oct 25 | Jul 25 | May 25 | Jan 25 | Oct 24 | Jul 24 | May 24 | Jan 24 | Oct 23 | Jul 23 | May 23 | Jan 23 | Oct 22 | Jul 22 | Apr 22 | Jan 22 | Oct 21 | Jul 21 | Apr 21 | Jan 21 | Oct 20 | Jul 20 | Apr 20 | Jan 20 | Oct 19 | Jul 19 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
# Analysts | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
Net Income | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $239.56M | $445.54M | $414.79M | - | $191.53M | $640.54M | $273.47M | $220.59M | $151.90M | $374.33M | $234.93M | $127.87M | $96.50M | $199.32M | $114.76M | $75.67M | $56.88M | $202.31M | $146.32M |
Avg Forecast | $565.95M | $452.83M | $363.03M | $256.57M | $484.94M | $415.99M | $364.15M | $243.76M | $451.18M | $344.25M | $194.83M | $185.24M | $387.03M | $296.11M | $154.02M | $143.96M | $169.08M | $243.50M | $159.61M | $294.65M | $180.84M | $94.30M | $40.65M | $149.49M | $84.05M | $52.13M | $61.93M | $185.20M | $116.35M | $108.63M |
High Forecast | $612.15M | $489.81M | $392.67M | $277.52M | $524.53M | $449.96M | $393.88M | $265.14M | $459.60M | $372.35M | $233.80M | $200.37M | $397.66M | $320.29M | $184.82M | $155.72M | $202.90M | $252.74M | $168.64M | $353.58M | $217.00M | $113.16M | $48.78M | $179.39M | $100.86M | $62.55M | $74.32M | $222.24M | $139.62M | $130.36M |
Low Forecast | $532.10M | $425.75M | $341.32M | $241.23M | $455.93M | $391.11M | $342.37M | $224.51M | $443.82M | $323.66M | $155.87M | $174.16M | $367.89M | $278.40M | $123.21M | $135.35M | $135.27M | $238.83M | $147.80M | $235.72M | $144.67M | $75.44M | $32.52M | $119.59M | $67.24M | $41.70M | $49.55M | $148.16M | $93.08M | $86.91M |
Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.29% | 1.15% | 1.40% | - | 1.33% | 3.79% | 1.12% | 1.38% | 0.52% | 2.07% | 2.49% | 3.15% | 0.65% | 2.37% | 2.20% | 1.22% | 0.31% | 1.74% | 1.35% |
Toll Brothers SG&A Forecast
Oct 26 | Jul 26 | May 26 | Jan 26 | Oct 25 | Jul 25 | May 25 | Jan 25 | Oct 24 | Jul 24 | May 24 | Jan 24 | Oct 23 | Jul 23 | May 23 | Jan 23 | Oct 22 | Jul 22 | Apr 22 | Jan 22 | Oct 21 | Jul 21 | Apr 21 | Jan 21 | Oct 20 | Jul 20 | Apr 20 | Jan 20 | Oct 19 | Jul 19 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
# Analysts | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
SG&A | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $230.05M | $241.41M | $229.00M | - | $211.50M | $274.38M | $232.87M | $243.64M | $226.87M | $258.20M | $233.91M | $219.17M | $210.74M | $335.62M | $160.65M | $179.42M | $191.75M | $207.23M | $186.71M |
Avg Forecast | $366.01M | $307.77M | $265.56M | $211.55M | $339.53M | $301.30M | $274.33M | $212.17M | $325.94M | $279.12M | $290.98M | $193.28M | $286.61M | $247.73M | $230.03M | $179.16M | $168.35M | $258.15M | $214.02M | $203.24M | $180.05M | $161.64M | $88.78M | $251.72M | $117.66M | $123.60M | $208.80M | $189.70M | $148.47M | $149.83M |
High Forecast | $388.99M | $327.10M | $282.24M | $224.83M | $360.85M | $320.22M | $291.56M | $228.17M | $328.01M | $296.65M | $349.18M | $205.42M | $295.89M | $263.29M | $276.03M | $190.41M | $202.02M | $265.68M | $223.34M | $243.89M | $216.06M | $193.97M | $106.54M | $302.06M | $141.19M | $148.32M | $250.56M | $227.63M | $178.16M | $179.80M |
Low Forecast | $349.17M | $293.61M | $253.34M | $201.81M | $323.91M | $287.43M | $261.71M | $191.92M | $323.87M | $266.27M | $232.79M | $184.39M | $281.46M | $236.33M | $184.02M | $170.91M | $134.68M | $254.34M | $201.84M | $162.59M | $144.04M | $129.31M | $71.02M | $201.37M | $94.13M | $98.88M | $167.04M | $151.76M | $118.77M | $119.87M |
Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.19% | 0.84% | 0.92% | - | 1.18% | 1.63% | 0.90% | 1.14% | 1.12% | 1.43% | 1.45% | 2.47% | 0.84% | 2.85% | 1.30% | 0.86% | 1.01% | 1.40% | 1.25% |
Toll Brothers EPS Forecast
Oct 26 | Jul 26 | May 26 | Jan 26 | Oct 25 | Jul 25 | May 25 | Jan 25 | Oct 24 | Jul 24 | May 24 | Jan 24 | Oct 23 | Jul 23 | May 23 | Jan 23 | Oct 22 | Jul 22 | Apr 22 | Jan 22 | Oct 21 | Jul 21 | Apr 21 | Jan 21 | Oct 20 | Jul 20 | Apr 20 | Jan 20 | Oct 19 | Jul 19 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
# Analysts | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
EPS | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $2.25 | $4.15 | $3.77 | - | $1.72 | $5.67 | $2.37 | $1.87 | $1.26 | $3.06 | $1.90 | $1.03 | $0.77 | $1.57 | $0.91 | $0.59 | $0.41 | $1.43 | $1.01 |
Avg Forecast | $5.44 | $4.35 | $3.49 | $2.47 | $4.66 | $4.00 | $3.50 | $2.34 | $4.34 | $3.31 | $4.16 | $1.78 | $3.72 | $2.85 | $1.91 | $1.38 | $4.02 | $2.30 | $1.50 | $1.15 | $2.48 | $1.54 | $0.80 | $0.47 | $1.24 | $0.69 | $0.43 | $0.46 | $1.29 | $0.83 |
High Forecast | $5.89 | $4.71 | $3.78 | $2.67 | $5.04 | $4.33 | $3.79 | $2.55 | $4.42 | $3.58 | $4.50 | $1.93 | $3.82 | $3.08 | $2.06 | $1.50 | $4.35 | $2.39 | $1.59 | $1.32 | $2.84 | $1.77 | $0.92 | $0.54 | $1.42 | $0.80 | $0.49 | $0.52 | $1.48 | $0.95 |
Low Forecast | $5.12 | $4.09 | $3.28 | $2.32 | $4.38 | $3.76 | $3.29 | $2.16 | $4.27 | $3.11 | $3.91 | $1.67 | $3.54 | $2.68 | $1.79 | $1.30 | $3.78 | $2.26 | $1.39 | $1.04 | $2.25 | $1.40 | $0.72 | $0.43 | $1.12 | $0.63 | $0.39 | $0.42 | $1.17 | $0.75 |
Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.26% | 1.12% | 1.32% | - | 1.24% | 1.41% | 1.03% | 1.24% | 1.09% | 1.23% | 1.23% | 1.29% | 1.63% | 1.27% | 1.31% | 1.39% | 0.90% | 1.11% | 1.22% |
Toll Brothers Peer Comparison by Price Target
Ticker | Company | Last Closing Price | Avg Price Target | Upside/Downside | Avg Rating |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
BZH | Beazer Homes USA | $33.59 | $41.00 | 22.06% | Buy |
TMHC | Taylor Morrison Home | $68.66 | $64.20 | -6.50% | Buy |
MHO | M/I Homes | $166.49 | $141.50 | -15.01% | Strong Buy |
LEN | Lennar | $185.91 | $150.24 | -19.19% | Buy |
TOL | Toll Brothers | $149.80 | $119.59 | -20.17% | Buy |
DHI | D.R. Horton | $194.80 | $141.44 | -27.39% | Buy |
KBH | KB Home | $86.04 | $56.38 | -34.47% | Hold |
PHM | PulteGroup | $139.54 | $86.15 | -38.26% | Buy |
NVR | NVR | $9.37K | $4.90K | -47.70% | Hold |
TOL Forecast FAQ
Is Toll Brothers a good buy?
Yes, according to 28 Wall Street analysts, Toll Brothers (TOL) is considered a 'Buy'. The rating consensus is based on 1 'Strong Buy' and 19 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 71.43% of TOL's total ratings.
What is TOL's price target?
Toll Brothers (TOL) average price target is $119.59 with a range of $58 to $180, implying a -20.17% from its last price of $149.8. The data is based on 28 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.
Will Toll Brothers stock go up soon?
According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for TOL stock, the company can go down by -20.17% (from the last price of $149.8 to the average price target of $119.59), up by 20.16% based on the highest stock price target, and down by -61.28% based on the lowest stock price target.
Can Toll Brothers stock reach $200?
TOL's average twelve months analyst stock price target of $119.59 does not support the claim that Toll Brothers can reach $200 in the near future.
What is Toll Brothers's current price target trend?
4 Wall Street analysts forecast a $123 price target for Toll Brothers (TOL) this month, down -17.89% from its last price of $149.8. Compared to the last 3 and 12 months, the average price target decreased by -16.75% and decreased by -10.31%, respectively.
What are Toll Brothers's analysts' financial forecasts?
Toll Brothers's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Oct 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $10.94B (high $11.65B, low $10.33B), average EBITDA is $1.34B (high $1.43B, low $1.26B), average net income is $1.51B (high $1.63B, low $1.41B), average SG&A $1.13B (high $1.2B, low $1.06B), and average EPS is $14.51 (high $15.7, low $13.59). TOL's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Oct 2026) are as follows: average revenue is $11.17B (high $11.87B, low $10.65B), average EBITDA is $1.37B (high $1.45B, low $1.3B), average net income is $1.64B (high $1.77B, low $1.54B), average SG&A $1.15B (high $1.22B, low $1.1B), and average EPS is $15.75 (high $17.04, low $14.81).
Did the TOL's actual financial results beat the analysts' financial forecasts?
Based on Toll Brothers's last annual report (Oct 2023), the company's revenue was $9.99B, beating the average analysts forecast of $8.99B by 11.23%. Apple's EBITDA was $1.72B, beating the average prediction of $1.07B by 61.91%. The company's net income was $1.37B, beating the average estimation of $981.12M by 39.85%. Apple's SG&A was $909.45M, missing the average forecast of $943.53M by -3.61%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $12.47, beating the average prediction of $9.86 by 26.46%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Jan 2024), Toll Brothers's revenue was $1.95B, beating the average analysts' forecast of $1.88B by 3.86%. The company's EBITDA was $324.11M, beating the average prediction of $229.38M by 41.30%. Toll Brothers's net income was $239.56M, beating the average estimation of $185.24M by 29.32%. The company's SG&A was $230.05M, beating the average forecast of $193.28M by 19.02%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $2.25, beating the average prediction of $1.78 by 26.34%