Toll Brothers (TOL) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions


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TOL Stock Forecast


Toll Brothers stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $119.59 (represents a -20.17% downside from TOL’s last price of $149.80) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 28 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.

TOL Price Target


The average price target for Toll Brothers (TOL) is $119.59 based on 1-year price targets from 28 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $180.00 to $58.00. This represents a potential -20.17% downside from TOL's last price of $149.80.

TOL Analyst Ratings


Buy

According to 28 Wall Street analysts, Toll Brothers's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for TOL stock is 1 'Strong Buy' (3.57%), 19 'Buy' (67.86%), 5 'Hold' (17.86%), 3 'Sell' (10.71%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).

Toll Brothers Price Target by Analyst


DateAnalystCompanyPrice TargetPrice when PublishedPrice Target/Price when PublishedPrice Target/Last Closing Price
Aug 22, 2024Mike DahlRBC Capital$143.00$141.031.40%-4.54%
Aug 20, 2024Mark WeintraubSeaport Global$108.00$133.86-19.32%-27.90%
Aug 20, 2024Anthony PettinariCitigroup$125.00$133.86-6.62%-16.56%
Aug 20, 2024Matthew BouleyBarclays$116.00$133.86-13.34%-22.56%
Jul 15, 2024Stephen KimEvercore ISI$180.00$123.1546.16%20.16%
Jun 17, 2024Ryan MacDonaldNeedham$77.00$119.23-35.42%-48.60%
Jun 17, 2024Susan MaklariGoldman Sachs$124.00$119.323.92%-17.22%
Jun 06, 2024Chris GrajaArgus Research$140.00$120.2516.42%-6.54%
May 28, 2024Matthew BouleyBarclays$118.00$122.91-3.99%-21.23%
May 23, 2024Truman PattersonWolfe Research$135.00$119.5612.91%-9.88%
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The latest Toll Brothers stock forecast, released on Aug 22, 2024 by Mike Dahl from RBC Capital, set a price target of $143.00, which represents a 1.40% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($141.03), and a -4.54% decrease from TOL last price ($149.80).

Toll Brothers Price Target by Period


1M3M12M
# Anlaysts4720
Avg Price Target$123.00$124.71$134.35
Last Closing Price$149.80$149.80$149.80
Upside/Downside-17.89%-16.75%-10.31%

In the current month, the average price target of Toll Brothers stock is $123.00, according to 4 Wall Street analysts offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -17.89% decrease as opposed to Toll Brothers's last price of $149.80. This month's average price target is down -1.37% compared to last quarter, and down -8.45% compared to last year.

Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades


DateCompanyPrevious RatingNew RatingRating Change
Aug 27, 2024WedbushNeutralNeutralHold
Aug 22, 2024OppenheimerOutperformOutperformHold
Aug 22, 2024RBC CapitalOutperformOutperformHold
Aug 22, 2024Wells FargoOverweightOverweightHold
Aug 21, 2024UBSBuyBuyHold
Aug 20, 2024BarclaysUnderweightUnderweightHold
Aug 20, 2024CitigroupNeutralNeutralHold
Aug 20, 2024Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsOutperformOutperformHold
Aug 20, 2024Evercore ISIOutperformOutperformHold
Aug 05, 2024Seaport GlobalBuySellDowngrade
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Toll Brothers's last stock rating was published by Wedbush on Aug 27, 2024. The company gave TOL a "Neutral" rating, the same as its previous rate.

Toll Brothers Financial Forecast


Toll Brothers Revenue Forecast

Oct 26Jul 26May 26Jan 26Oct 25Jul 25May 25Jan 25Oct 24Jul 24May 24Jan 24Oct 23Jul 23May 23Jan 23Oct 22Jul 22Apr 22Jan 22Oct 21Jul 21Apr 21Jan 21Oct 20Jul 20Apr 20Jan 20Oct 19Jul 19
Revenue-----------$1.95B$3.02B$2.69B-$1.78B$3.71B$2.49B$2.28B$1.79B$3.04B$2.26B$1.93B$1.56B$2.55B$1.65B$1.55B$1.33B$2.38B$1.77B
Avg Forecast$3.55B$2.99B$2.58B$2.05B$3.29B$2.92B$2.66B$2.06B$3.16B$2.71B$2.58B$1.88B$2.78B$2.40B$2.06B$1.74B$3.17B$2.50B$2.08B$1.78B$2.90B$2.25B$1.77B$1.35B$2.08B$1.52B$1.56B$1.44B$2.19B$1.70B
High Forecast$3.77B$3.17B$2.74B$2.18B$3.50B$3.11B$2.83B$2.21B$3.18B$2.88B$2.74B$1.99B$2.87B$2.55B$2.19B$1.85B$3.37B$2.58B$2.17B$1.98B$3.22B$2.50B$1.97B$1.51B$2.31B$1.69B$1.73B$1.60B$2.44B$1.89B
Low Forecast$3.39B$2.85B$2.46B$1.96B$3.14B$2.79B$2.54B$1.86B$3.14B$2.58B$2.46B$1.79B$2.73B$2.29B$1.97B$1.66B$3.03B$2.47B$1.96B$1.65B$2.69B$2.08B$1.65B$1.26B$1.93B$1.41B$1.45B$1.33B$2.03B$1.58B
# Analysts63332237105551055548445556558549
Surprise %-----------1.04%1.09%1.12%-1.02%1.17%1.00%1.10%1.00%1.05%1.00%1.09%1.16%1.23%1.09%0.99%0.93%1.09%1.04%

Toll Brothers's average Quarter revenue forecast for May 24 based on 5 analysts is $2.58B, with a low forecast of $2.46B, and a high forecast of $2.74B. TOL's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a 32.48% increase compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $1.95B (Jan 24).

Toll Brothers EBITDA Forecast

Oct 26Jul 26May 26Jan 26Oct 25Jul 25May 25Jan 25Oct 24Jul 24May 24Jan 24Oct 23Jul 23May 23Jan 23Oct 22Jul 22Apr 22Jan 22Oct 21Jul 21Apr 21Jan 21Oct 20Jul 20Apr 20Jan 20Oct 19Jul 19
# Analysts63332237105551055548445556558549
EBITDA-----------$324.11M$558.62M$515.11M-$225.31M$690.23M$361.67M$281.66M$175.07M$522.00M$324.15M$220.37M$135.99M$289.16M$168.28M$120.17M$62.16M$245.63M$189.10M
Avg Forecast$434.36M$365.25M$315.16M$251.05M$402.94M$357.57M$325.57M$251.80M$386.81M$331.24M$276.39M$229.38M$340.14M$293.99M$218.49M$212.61M$233.29M$306.36M$254.00M$410.89M$249.51M$137.27M$60.78M$216.87M$123.25M$82.78M$87.76M$268.55M$163.03M$162.80M
High Forecast$461.64M$388.19M$334.95M$266.82M$428.25M$380.02M$346.01M$270.78M$389.27M$352.05M$331.67M$243.79M$351.15M$312.46M$262.19M$225.97M$279.95M$315.30M$265.05M$493.07M$299.41M$164.73M$72.94M$260.25M$147.90M$99.34M$105.32M$322.26M$195.64M$195.35M
Low Forecast$414.38M$348.45M$300.66M$239.50M$384.40M$341.11M$310.59M$227.76M$384.36M$316.00M$221.12M$218.83M$334.03M$280.47M$174.79M$202.83M$186.63M$301.84M$239.53M$328.71M$199.61M$109.82M$48.63M$173.50M$98.60M$66.23M$70.21M$214.84M$130.43M$130.24M
Surprise %-----------1.41%1.64%1.75%-1.06%2.96%1.18%1.11%0.43%2.09%2.36%3.63%0.63%2.35%2.03%1.37%0.23%1.51%1.16%

5 analysts predict TOL's average Quarter EBITDA for May 24 to be $276.39M, with a high of $331.67M and a low of $221.12M. This is -14.72% lower than Toll Brothers's previous annual EBITDA (Jan 24) of $324.11M.

Toll Brothers Net Income Forecast

Oct 26Jul 26May 26Jan 26Oct 25Jul 25May 25Jan 25Oct 24Jul 24May 24Jan 24Oct 23Jul 23May 23Jan 23Oct 22Jul 22Apr 22Jan 22Oct 21Jul 21Apr 21Jan 21Oct 20Jul 20Apr 20Jan 20Oct 19Jul 19
# Analysts63332237105551055548445556558549
Net Income-----------$239.56M$445.54M$414.79M-$191.53M$640.54M$273.47M$220.59M$151.90M$374.33M$234.93M$127.87M$96.50M$199.32M$114.76M$75.67M$56.88M$202.31M$146.32M
Avg Forecast$565.95M$452.83M$363.03M$256.57M$484.94M$415.99M$364.15M$243.76M$451.18M$344.25M$194.83M$185.24M$387.03M$296.11M$154.02M$143.96M$169.08M$243.50M$159.61M$294.65M$180.84M$94.30M$40.65M$149.49M$84.05M$52.13M$61.93M$185.20M$116.35M$108.63M
High Forecast$612.15M$489.81M$392.67M$277.52M$524.53M$449.96M$393.88M$265.14M$459.60M$372.35M$233.80M$200.37M$397.66M$320.29M$184.82M$155.72M$202.90M$252.74M$168.64M$353.58M$217.00M$113.16M$48.78M$179.39M$100.86M$62.55M$74.32M$222.24M$139.62M$130.36M
Low Forecast$532.10M$425.75M$341.32M$241.23M$455.93M$391.11M$342.37M$224.51M$443.82M$323.66M$155.87M$174.16M$367.89M$278.40M$123.21M$135.35M$135.27M$238.83M$147.80M$235.72M$144.67M$75.44M$32.52M$119.59M$67.24M$41.70M$49.55M$148.16M$93.08M$86.91M
Surprise %-----------1.29%1.15%1.40%-1.33%3.79%1.12%1.38%0.52%2.07%2.49%3.15%0.65%2.37%2.20%1.22%0.31%1.74%1.35%

Toll Brothers's average Quarter net income forecast for May 24 is $194.83M, with a range of $155.87M to $233.80M. TOL's average Quarter net income forecast represents a -18.67% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $239.56M (Jan 24).

Toll Brothers SG&A Forecast

Oct 26Jul 26May 26Jan 26Oct 25Jul 25May 25Jan 25Oct 24Jul 24May 24Jan 24Oct 23Jul 23May 23Jan 23Oct 22Jul 22Apr 22Jan 22Oct 21Jul 21Apr 21Jan 21Oct 20Jul 20Apr 20Jan 20Oct 19Jul 19
# Analysts63332237105551055548445556558549
SG&A-----------$230.05M$241.41M$229.00M-$211.50M$274.38M$232.87M$243.64M$226.87M$258.20M$233.91M$219.17M$210.74M$335.62M$160.65M$179.42M$191.75M$207.23M$186.71M
Avg Forecast$366.01M$307.77M$265.56M$211.55M$339.53M$301.30M$274.33M$212.17M$325.94M$279.12M$290.98M$193.28M$286.61M$247.73M$230.03M$179.16M$168.35M$258.15M$214.02M$203.24M$180.05M$161.64M$88.78M$251.72M$117.66M$123.60M$208.80M$189.70M$148.47M$149.83M
High Forecast$388.99M$327.10M$282.24M$224.83M$360.85M$320.22M$291.56M$228.17M$328.01M$296.65M$349.18M$205.42M$295.89M$263.29M$276.03M$190.41M$202.02M$265.68M$223.34M$243.89M$216.06M$193.97M$106.54M$302.06M$141.19M$148.32M$250.56M$227.63M$178.16M$179.80M
Low Forecast$349.17M$293.61M$253.34M$201.81M$323.91M$287.43M$261.71M$191.92M$323.87M$266.27M$232.79M$184.39M$281.46M$236.33M$184.02M$170.91M$134.68M$254.34M$201.84M$162.59M$144.04M$129.31M$71.02M$201.37M$94.13M$98.88M$167.04M$151.76M$118.77M$119.87M
Surprise %-----------1.19%0.84%0.92%-1.18%1.63%0.90%1.14%1.12%1.43%1.45%2.47%0.84%2.85%1.30%0.86%1.01%1.40%1.25%

Toll Brothers's average Quarter SG&A projection for May 24 is $290.98M, based on 5 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $232.79M to $349.18M. The forecast indicates a 26.49% rise compared to TOL last annual SG&A of $230.05M (Jan 24).

Toll Brothers EPS Forecast

Oct 26Jul 26May 26Jan 26Oct 25Jul 25May 25Jan 25Oct 24Jul 24May 24Jan 24Oct 23Jul 23May 23Jan 23Oct 22Jul 22Apr 22Jan 22Oct 21Jul 21Apr 21Jan 21Oct 20Jul 20Apr 20Jan 20Oct 19Jul 19
# Analysts63332237105551055548445556558549
EPS-----------$2.25$4.15$3.77-$1.72$5.67$2.37$1.87$1.26$3.06$1.90$1.03$0.77$1.57$0.91$0.59$0.41$1.43$1.01
Avg Forecast$5.44$4.35$3.49$2.47$4.66$4.00$3.50$2.34$4.34$3.31$4.16$1.78$3.72$2.85$1.91$1.38$4.02$2.30$1.50$1.15$2.48$1.54$0.80$0.47$1.24$0.69$0.43$0.46$1.29$0.83
High Forecast$5.89$4.71$3.78$2.67$5.04$4.33$3.79$2.55$4.42$3.58$4.50$1.93$3.82$3.08$2.06$1.50$4.35$2.39$1.59$1.32$2.84$1.77$0.92$0.54$1.42$0.80$0.49$0.52$1.48$0.95
Low Forecast$5.12$4.09$3.28$2.32$4.38$3.76$3.29$2.16$4.27$3.11$3.91$1.67$3.54$2.68$1.79$1.30$3.78$2.26$1.39$1.04$2.25$1.40$0.72$0.43$1.12$0.63$0.39$0.42$1.17$0.75
Surprise %-----------1.26%1.12%1.32%-1.24%1.41%1.03%1.24%1.09%1.23%1.23%1.29%1.63%1.27%1.31%1.39%0.90%1.11%1.22%

According to 5 Wall Street analysts, Toll Brothers's projected average Quarter EPS for May 24 is $4.16, with a low estimate of $3.91 and a high estimate of $4.50. This represents a 84.86% increase compared to TOL previous annual EPS of $2.25 (Jan 24).

Toll Brothers Peer Comparison by Price Target


TickerCompanyLast Closing PriceAvg Price TargetUpside/DownsideAvg Rating
BZHBeazer Homes USA$33.59$41.0022.06%Buy
TMHCTaylor Morrison Home$68.66$64.20-6.50%Buy
MHOM/I Homes$166.49$141.50-15.01%Strong Buy
LENLennar$185.91$150.24-19.19%Buy
TOLToll Brothers$149.80$119.59-20.17%Buy
DHID.R. Horton$194.80$141.44-27.39%Buy
KBHKB Home$86.04$56.38-34.47%Hold
PHMPulteGroup$139.54$86.15-38.26%Buy
NVRNVR$9.37K$4.90K-47.70%Hold

TOL Forecast FAQ


Yes, according to 28 Wall Street analysts, Toll Brothers (TOL) is considered a 'Buy'. The rating consensus is based on 1 'Strong Buy' and 19 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 71.43% of TOL's total ratings.

Toll Brothers (TOL) average price target is $119.59 with a range of $58 to $180, implying a -20.17% from its last price of $149.8. The data is based on 28 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.

According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for TOL stock, the company can go down by -20.17% (from the last price of $149.8 to the average price target of $119.59), up by 20.16% based on the highest stock price target, and down by -61.28% based on the lowest stock price target.

TOL's average twelve months analyst stock price target of $119.59 does not support the claim that Toll Brothers can reach $200 in the near future.

4 Wall Street analysts forecast a $123 price target for Toll Brothers (TOL) this month, down -17.89% from its last price of $149.8. Compared to the last 3 and 12 months, the average price target decreased by -16.75% and decreased by -10.31%, respectively.

Toll Brothers's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Oct 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $10.94B (high $11.65B, low $10.33B), average EBITDA is $1.34B (high $1.43B, low $1.26B), average net income is $1.51B (high $1.63B, low $1.41B), average SG&A $1.13B (high $1.2B, low $1.06B), and average EPS is $14.51 (high $15.7, low $13.59). TOL's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Oct 2026) are as follows: average revenue is $11.17B (high $11.87B, low $10.65B), average EBITDA is $1.37B (high $1.45B, low $1.3B), average net income is $1.64B (high $1.77B, low $1.54B), average SG&A $1.15B (high $1.22B, low $1.1B), and average EPS is $15.75 (high $17.04, low $14.81).

Based on Toll Brothers's last annual report (Oct 2023), the company's revenue was $9.99B, beating the average analysts forecast of $8.99B by 11.23%. Apple's EBITDA was $1.72B, beating the average prediction of $1.07B by 61.91%. The company's net income was $1.37B, beating the average estimation of $981.12M by 39.85%. Apple's SG&A was $909.45M, missing the average forecast of $943.53M by -3.61%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $12.47, beating the average prediction of $9.86 by 26.46%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Jan 2024), Toll Brothers's revenue was $1.95B, beating the average analysts' forecast of $1.88B by 3.86%. The company's EBITDA was $324.11M, beating the average prediction of $229.38M by 41.30%. Toll Brothers's net income was $239.56M, beating the average estimation of $185.24M by 29.32%. The company's SG&A was $230.05M, beating the average forecast of $193.28M by 19.02%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $2.25, beating the average prediction of $1.78 by 26.34%