Taylor Morrison Home (TMHC) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions
TMHC Stock Forecast
Taylor Morrison Home stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $64.20 (represents a -6.50% downside from TMHC’s last price of $68.66) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 10 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.
TMHC Price Target
The average price target for Taylor Morrison Home (TMHC) is $64.20 based on 1-year price targets from 10 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $78.00 to $57.00. This represents a potential -6.50% downside from TMHC's last price of $68.66.
TMHC Analyst Ratings
According to 10 Wall Street analysts, Taylor Morrison Home's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for TMHC stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 7 'Buy' (70.00%), 3 'Hold' (30.00%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).
Taylor Morrison Home Price Target by Analyst
| Date | Analyst | Company | Price Target | Price when Published | Price Target/Price when Published | Price Target/Last Closing Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2024 | Carl Reichardt | BTIG | $78.00 | $61.57 | 26.69% | 13.60% |
| Jul 12, 2024 | Matthew Bouley | Barclays | $62.00 | $59.36 | 4.45% | -9.70% |
| May 01, 2024 | Jay McCanless | Wedbush | $61.00 | $56.01 | 8.91% | -11.16% |
| May 01, 2024 | Mike Dahl | RBC Capital | $63.00 | $55.44 | 13.64% | -8.24% |
| Jan 12, 2024 | Mike Dahl | RBC Capital | $57.00 | $51.82 | 10.00% | -16.98% |
| Dec 07, 2023 | Joe Ahlersmeyer | Deutsche Bank | $57.00 | $47.27 | 20.58% | -16.98% |
| Jun 22, 2022 | - | RBC Capital | $28.00 | $20.80 | 34.62% | -59.22% |
The latest Taylor Morrison Home stock forecast, released on Aug 19, 2024 by Carl Reichardt from BTIG, set a price target of $78.00, which represents a 26.69% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($61.57), and a 13.60% increase from TMHC last price ($68.66).
Taylor Morrison Home Price Target by Period
| 1M | 3M | 12M | |
|---|---|---|---|
| # Anlaysts | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| Avg Price Target | $78.00 | $70.00 | $63.00 |
| Last Closing Price | $68.66 | $68.66 | $68.66 |
| Upside/Downside | 13.60% | 1.95% | -8.24% |
In the current month, the average price target of Taylor Morrison Home stock is $78.00, according to 1 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a 13.60% increase as opposed to Taylor Morrison Home's last price of $68.66. This month's average price target is up 11.43% compared to last quarter, and up 23.81% compared to last year.
Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades
| Date | Company | Previous Rating | New Rating | Rating Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2024 | BTIG | - | Buy | Upgrade |
| Aug 12, 2024 | Zelman | Neutral | Outperform | Upgrade |
| Jul 25, 2024 | RBC Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
| Jul 23, 2024 | Raymond James | - | Outperform | Initialise |
| Jul 12, 2024 | Barclays | Equal-Weight | Equal-Weight | Hold |
| May 01, 2024 | Wedbush | Neutral | Neutral | Hold |
| May 01, 2024 | RBC Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
| May 01, 2024 | Barclays | Equal-Weight | Equal-Weight | Hold |
| Apr 12, 2024 | Zelman | - | Neutral | Upgrade |
| Jan 12, 2024 | RBC Capital | Sector Perform | Outperform | Upgrade |
Taylor Morrison Home's last stock rating was published by BTIG on Aug 19, 2024. The company Upgrade its TMHC rating from "null" to "Buy".
Taylor Morrison Home Financial Forecast
Taylor Morrison Home Revenue Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $1.68B | $2.06B | $1.66B | $2.49B | $2.03B | - | $1.70B | $2.51B | $1.86B | $1.72B | $1.42B | $1.56B | $1.70B | $1.53B | $1.35B | $1.47B | $1.11B |
| Avg Forecast | $2.58B | $2.28B | $2.11B | $1.81B | $2.36B | $2.12B | $2.03B | $1.67B | $2.21B | $1.96B | $1.87B | $1.66B | $1.85B | $1.64B | $1.71B | $1.54B | $2.36B | $2.16B | $1.99B | $1.64B | $2.63B | $1.78B | $1.73B | $1.47B | $1.47B | $1.47B | $1.52B | $1.17B | $1.45B | $1.09B |
| High Forecast | $2.67B | $2.35B | $2.18B | $1.86B | $2.44B | $2.19B | $2.09B | $1.73B | $2.28B | $1.97B | $1.93B | $1.72B | $1.88B | $1.67B | $1.77B | $1.59B | $2.44B | $2.23B | $1.99B | $1.77B | $2.84B | $1.92B | $1.86B | $1.59B | $1.59B | $1.59B | $1.64B | $1.26B | $1.56B | $1.17B |
| Low Forecast | $2.56B | $2.26B | $2.09B | $1.79B | $2.34B | $2.10B | $2.00B | $1.65B | $2.18B | $1.94B | $1.85B | $1.64B | $1.82B | $1.61B | $1.69B | $1.52B | $2.34B | $2.14B | $1.99B | $1.55B | $2.48B | $1.68B | $1.63B | $1.39B | $1.39B | $1.39B | $1.44B | $1.11B | $1.37B | $1.03B |
| # Analysts | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 5 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.02% | 1.20% | 1.08% | 1.06% | 0.94% | - | 1.04% | 0.95% | 1.05% | 1.00% | 0.96% | 1.06% | 1.16% | 1.00% | 1.15% | 1.01% | 1.02% |
Taylor Morrison Home's average Quarter revenue forecast for Dec 23 based on 4 analysts is $1.85B, with a low forecast of $1.82B, and a high forecast of $1.88B. TMHC's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a 10.40% increase compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $1.68B (Sep 23).
Taylor Morrison Home EBITDA Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 5 |
| EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $224.20M | $316.00M | $240.54M | $372.05M | $418.51M | - | $244.70M | $386.18M | $231.16M | $172.78M | $136.96M | $127.24M | $157.86M | $92.31M | $-22.05M | $63.05M | $98.13M |
| Avg Forecast | $312.72M | $276.08M | $256.16M | $218.75M | $286.49M | $257.03M | $245.33M | $202.46M | $267.36M | $236.94M | $226.14M | $323.33M | $224.10M | $199.11M | $207.41M | $255.60M | $285.75M | $224.61M | $240.63M | $202.06M | $367.71M | $204.19M | $183.04M | $136.96M | $142.76M | $103.63M | $95.86M | $-52.27M | $84.83M | $101.15M |
| High Forecast | $322.86M | $285.04M | $264.47M | $225.84M | $295.79M | $265.37M | $253.28M | $209.03M | $276.03M | $238.13M | $233.48M | $388.00M | $227.71M | $202.72M | $214.13M | $306.72M | $295.02M | $269.53M | $240.63M | $242.47M | $441.25M | $245.03M | $219.65M | $164.35M | $171.31M | $124.35M | $115.03M | $-41.82M | $101.80M | $121.38M |
| Low Forecast | $309.57M | $273.31M | $253.58M | $216.55M | $283.61M | $254.45M | $242.86M | $200.43M | $264.67M | $234.56M | $223.87M | $258.67M | $220.48M | $195.45M | $205.32M | $204.48M | $282.88M | $179.69M | $240.63M | $161.64M | $294.17M | $163.35M | $146.43M | $109.56M | $114.21M | $82.90M | $76.69M | $-62.73M | $67.86M | $80.92M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.13% | 1.52% | 0.94% | 1.30% | 1.86% | - | 1.21% | 1.05% | 1.13% | 0.94% | 1.00% | 0.89% | 1.52% | 0.96% | 0.42% | 0.74% | 0.97% |
4 analysts predict TMHC's average Quarter EBITDA for Dec 23 to be $224.10M, with a high of $227.71M and a low of $220.48M. This is -0.04% lower than Taylor Morrison Home's previous annual EBITDA (Sep 23) of $224.20M.
Taylor Morrison Home Net Income Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 5 |
| Net Income | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $170.69M | $234.91M | $191.05M | $275.33M | $309.78M | - | $176.70M | $282.70M | $168.13M | $124.15M | $98.02M | $94.42M | $114.78M | $65.67M | $-31.43M | $54.66M | $67.01M |
| Avg Forecast | $318.53M | $271.34M | $243.46M | $201.09M | $300.94M | $246.89M | $228.87M | $181.89M | $261.38M | $223.08M | $204.02M | $242.37M | $195.45M | $169.16M | $181.26M | $191.60M | $297.14M | $163.37M | $199.62M | $151.46M | $259.68M | $148.52M | $131.52M | $98.02M | $105.93M | $75.35M | $68.20M | $-74.51M | $73.54M | $69.07M |
| High Forecast | $331.96M | $282.78M | $253.72M | $209.57M | $313.63M | $257.30M | $238.52M | $189.56M | $272.40M | $231.74M | $212.63M | $290.84M | $206.56M | $190.99M | $188.90M | $229.92M | $309.67M | $196.04M | $199.62M | $181.75M | $311.61M | $178.22M | $157.83M | $117.63M | $127.12M | $90.41M | $81.84M | $-59.61M | $88.25M | $82.89M |
| Low Forecast | $314.37M | $267.79M | $240.27M | $198.46M | $297.01M | $243.66M | $225.88M | $179.52M | $257.96M | $212.25M | $201.35M | $193.90M | $186.57M | $156.07M | $178.89M | $153.28M | $293.26M | $130.70M | $199.62M | $121.17M | $207.74M | $118.81M | $105.22M | $78.42M | $84.75M | $60.28M | $54.56M | $-89.42M | $58.84M | $55.26M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.01% | 1.30% | 1.00% | 0.93% | 1.90% | - | 1.17% | 1.09% | 1.13% | 0.94% | 1.00% | 0.89% | 1.52% | 0.96% | 0.42% | 0.74% | 0.97% |
Taylor Morrison Home's average Quarter net income forecast for Dec 23 is $195.45M, with a range of $186.57M to $206.56M. TMHC's average Quarter net income forecast represents a 14.51% increase compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $170.69M (Sep 23).
Taylor Morrison Home SG&A Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 5 |
| SG&A | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $167.79M | $183.68M | $159.02M | $173.36M | $147.05M | - | $157.26M | $185.67M | $167.61M | $167.56M | $147.50M | $143.21M | $147.17M | $145.15M | $136.85M | $142.47M | $119.10M |
| Avg Forecast | $236.37M | $208.68M | $193.62M | $165.34M | $216.55M | $194.28M | $185.43M | $153.03M | $202.08M | $179.09M | $170.93M | $215.71M | $169.38M | $150.50M | $156.77M | $170.52M | $215.99M | $162.86M | $181.88M | $134.80M | $176.79M | $148.06M | $177.51M | $147.50M | $160.67M | $96.61M | $150.73M | $324.44M | $191.70M | $122.76M |
| High Forecast | $244.04M | $215.45M | $199.90M | $170.70M | $223.57M | $200.58M | $191.45M | $158.00M | $208.64M | $179.99M | $176.48M | $258.85M | $172.12M | $153.23M | $161.85M | $204.62M | $222.99M | $195.43M | $181.88M | $161.76M | $212.14M | $177.67M | $213.01M | $177.01M | $192.80M | $115.93M | $180.88M | $389.33M | $230.04M | $147.32M |
| Low Forecast | $233.99M | $206.58M | $191.67M | $163.68M | $214.37M | $192.32M | $183.57M | $151.49M | $200.05M | $177.29M | $169.21M | $172.57M | $166.65M | $147.73M | $155.19M | $136.42M | $213.82M | $130.29M | $181.88M | $107.84M | $141.43M | $118.44M | $142.01M | $118.00M | $128.54M | $77.29M | $120.59M | $259.55M | $153.36M | $98.21M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.11% | 1.17% | 0.93% | 0.80% | 0.90% | - | 1.17% | 1.05% | 1.13% | 0.94% | 1.00% | 0.89% | 1.52% | 0.96% | 0.42% | 0.74% | 0.97% |
Taylor Morrison Home's average Quarter SG&A projection for Dec 23 is $169.38M, based on 4 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $166.65M to $172.12M. The forecast indicates a 0.95% rise compared to TMHC last annual SG&A of $167.79M (Sep 23).
Taylor Morrison Home EPS Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 5 |
| EPS | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $1.57 | $2.15 | $1.76 | $2.54 | $2.75 | - | $1.46 | $2.30 | $1.35 | $0.97 | $0.76 | $0.73 | $0.88 | $0.51 | $-0.26 | $0.52 | $0.64 |
| Avg Forecast | $2.97 | $2.53 | $2.27 | $1.88 | $2.81 | $2.30 | $2.13 | $1.70 | $2.44 | $2.08 | $1.90 | $1.61 | $1.82 | $1.58 | $1.69 | $1.32 | $2.77 | $2.50 | $1.84 | $1.25 | $2.07 | $1.20 | $1.00 | $0.75 | $0.82 | $0.62 | $0.49 | $0.44 | $1.01 | $0.65 |
| High Forecast | $3.10 | $2.64 | $2.37 | $1.95 | $2.92 | $2.40 | $2.22 | $1.77 | $2.54 | $2.16 | $1.98 | $1.68 | $1.93 | $1.78 | $1.76 | $1.38 | $2.89 | $2.60 | $1.84 | $1.38 | $2.29 | $1.32 | $1.10 | $0.83 | $0.91 | $0.68 | $0.54 | $0.49 | $1.12 | $0.72 |
| Low Forecast | $2.93 | $2.50 | $2.24 | $1.85 | $2.77 | $2.27 | $2.11 | $1.67 | $2.41 | $1.98 | $1.88 | $1.59 | $1.74 | $1.46 | $1.67 | $1.30 | $2.73 | $2.46 | $1.84 | $1.17 | $1.93 | $1.11 | $0.93 | $0.70 | $0.77 | $0.58 | $0.45 | $0.41 | $0.94 | $0.60 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.00% | 1.27% | 1.33% | 0.92% | 1.10% | - | 1.16% | 1.11% | 1.13% | 0.97% | 1.01% | 0.89% | 1.42% | 1.05% | -0.59% | 0.51% | 0.99% |
According to 4 Wall Street analysts, Taylor Morrison Home's projected average Quarter EPS for Dec 23 is $1.82, with a low estimate of $1.74 and a high estimate of $1.93. This represents a 16.08% increase compared to TMHC previous annual EPS of $1.57 (Sep 23).
Taylor Morrison Home Peer Comparison by Price Target
| Ticker | Company | Last Closing Price | Avg Price Target | Upside/Downside | Avg Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BZH | Beazer Homes USA | $33.59 | $41.00 | 22.06% | Buy |
| LGIH | LGI Homes | $114.47 | $107.25 | -6.31% | Hold |
| TMHC | Taylor Morrison Home | $68.66 | $64.20 | -6.50% | Buy |
| TPH | Tri Pointe Homes | $44.56 | $40.33 | -9.49% | Buy |
| MHO | M/I Homes | $166.49 | $141.50 | -15.01% | Strong Buy |
| MTH | Meritage Homes | $203.56 | $162.60 | -20.12% | Buy |
| KBH | KB Home | $86.04 | $56.38 | -34.47% | Hold |
| CCS | Century Communities | $103.41 | $60.67 | -41.33% | Buy |
TMHC Forecast FAQ
Is Taylor Morrison Home a good buy?
Yes, according to 10 Wall Street analysts, Taylor Morrison Home (TMHC) is considered a 'Buy'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 7 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 70.00% of TMHC's total ratings.
What is TMHC's price target?
Taylor Morrison Home (TMHC) average price target is $64.2 with a range of $57 to $78, implying a -6.50% from its last price of $68.66. The data is based on 10 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.
Will Taylor Morrison Home stock go up soon?
According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for TMHC stock, the company can go down by -6.50% (from the last price of $68.66 to the average price target of $64.2), up by 13.60% based on the highest stock price target, and down by -16.98% based on the lowest stock price target.
Can Taylor Morrison Home stock reach $100?
TMHC's average twelve months analyst stock price target of $64.2 does not support the claim that Taylor Morrison Home can reach $100 in the near future.
What is Taylor Morrison Home's current price target trend?
1 Wall Street analyst forecast a $78 price target for Taylor Morrison Home (TMHC) this month, up 13.60% from its last price of $68.66. Compared to the last 3 and 12 months, the average price target increased by 1.95% and decreased by -8.24%, respectively.
What are Taylor Morrison Home's analysts' financial forecasts?
Taylor Morrison Home's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $8.18B (high $8.45B, low $8.1B), average EBITDA is $991.31M (high $1.02B, low $981.34M), average net income is $958.59M (high $999.01M, low $946.06M), average SG&A $749.29M (high $773.59M, low $741.75M), and average EPS is $8.94 (high $9.31, low $8.82). TMHC's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2026) are as follows: average revenue is $8.78B (high $9.07B, low $8.69B), average EBITDA is $1.06B (high $1.1B, low $1.05B), average net income is $1.03B (high $1.08B, low $1.02B), average SG&A $804M (high $830.08M, low $795.92M), and average EPS is $9.64 (high $10.05, low $9.52).
Did the TMHC's actual financial results beat the analysts' financial forecasts?
Based on Taylor Morrison Home's last annual report (Dec 2022), the company's revenue was $8.22B, beating the average analysts forecast of $8.14B by 1.01%. Apple's EBITDA was $1.4B, beating the average prediction of $953.05M by 46.53%. The company's net income was $1.05B, beating the average estimation of $811.6M by 29.72%. Apple's SG&A was $643.21M, missing the average forecast of $695.53M by -7.52%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $9.16, beating the average prediction of $8.36 by 9.58%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Sep 2023), Taylor Morrison Home's revenue was $1.68B, beating the average analysts' forecast of $1.64B by 1.94%. The company's EBITDA was $224.2M, beating the average prediction of $199.11M by 12.60%. Taylor Morrison Home's net income was $170.69M, beating the average estimation of $169.16M by 0.90%. The company's SG&A was $167.79M, beating the average forecast of $150.5M by 11.49%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $1.57, missing the average prediction of $1.58 by -0.46%