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Taylor Morrison Home (TMHC) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions

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TMHC Stock Forecast

Taylor Morrison Home stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $73.83 (represents a 5.79% upside from TMHC’s last price of $69.79) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 10 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.

TMHC Price Target

The average price target for Taylor Morrison Home (TMHC) is $73.83 based on 1-year price targets from 10 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $85.00 to $57.00. This represents a potential 5.79% upside from TMHC's last price of $69.79.

TMHC Analyst Ratings

Buy

According to 10 Wall Street analysts, Taylor Morrison Home's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for TMHC stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 8 'Buy' (80.00%), 2 'Hold' (20.00%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).

Taylor Morrison Home Price Target by Analyst

DateAnalystCompanyPrice TargetPrice when PublishedPrice Target/Price when PublishedPrice Target/Last Closing Price
Oct 29, 2024Buck HorneRaymond James$84.00$68.1723.22%20.36%
Oct 25, 2024Jay McCanlessWedbush$85.00$68.5224.05%21.79%
Oct 24, 2024Mike DahlRBC Capital$77.00$67.2014.58%10.33%
Aug 19, 2024Carl ReichardtBTIG$78.00$61.5726.69%11.76%
Jul 12, 2024Matthew BouleyBarclays$62.00$59.364.45%-11.16%
May 01, 2024Jay McCanlessWedbush$61.00$56.018.91%-12.59%
May 01, 2024Mike DahlRBC Capital$63.00$55.4413.64%-9.73%
Jan 12, 2024Mike DahlRBC Capital$57.00$51.8210.00%-18.33%
Dec 07, 2023Joe AhlersmeyerDeutsche Bank$57.00$47.2720.58%-18.33%
Jun 22, 2022-RBC Capital$28.00$20.8034.62%-59.88%
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The latest Taylor Morrison Home stock forecast, released on Oct 29, 2024 by Buck Horne from Raymond James, set a price target of $84.00, which represents a 23.22% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($68.17), and a 20.36% increase from TMHC last price ($69.79).

Taylor Morrison Home Price Target by Period

1M3M12M
# Anlaysts349
Avg Price Target$82.00$81.00$69.33
Last Closing Price$69.79$69.79$69.79
Upside/Downside17.50%16.06%-0.66%

In the current month, the average price target of Taylor Morrison Home stock is $82.00, according to 3 Wall Street analysts offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a 17.50% increase as opposed to Taylor Morrison Home's last price of $69.79. This month's average price target is up 1.23% compared to last quarter, and up 18.27% compared to last year.

Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades

DateCompanyPrevious RatingNew RatingRating Change
Oct 29, 2024Raymond JamesOutperformOutperformHold
Oct 25, 2024WedbushNeutralOutperformUpgrade
Oct 24, 2024BTIGBuyBuyHold
Oct 24, 2024RBC CapitalOutperformOutperformHold
Oct 24, 2024BarclaysEqual-WeightEqual-WeightHold
Aug 19, 2024BTIG-BuyUpgrade
Aug 12, 2024ZelmanNeutralOutperformUpgrade
Jul 25, 2024RBC CapitalOutperformOutperformHold
Jul 23, 2024Raymond James-OutperformInitialise
Jul 12, 2024BarclaysEqual-WeightEqual-WeightHold
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Taylor Morrison Home's last stock rating was published by Raymond James on Oct 29, 2024. The company gave TMHC a "Outperform" rating, the same as its previous rate.

Taylor Morrison Home Financial Forecast

Taylor Morrison Home Revenue Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
Revenue-------------$1.68B$2.06B$1.66B$2.49B$2.03B$2.00B$1.70B$2.51B$1.86B$1.72B$1.42B$1.56B$1.70B$1.53B$1.35B$1.47B$1.11B
Avg Forecast$2.55B$2.26B$2.09B$1.82B$2.33B$2.21B$2.06B$1.74B$2.11B$1.96B$1.87B$1.66B$1.85B$1.64B$1.71B$1.54B$2.36B$2.16B$1.99B$1.64B$2.63B$1.78B$1.73B$1.47B$1.47B$1.47B$1.52B$1.17B$1.45B$1.09B
High Forecast$2.62B$2.32B$2.16B$1.88B$2.40B$2.27B$2.12B$1.78B$2.13B$1.97B$1.87B$1.71B$1.88B$1.67B$1.76B$1.59B$2.43B$2.16B$1.99B$1.64B$2.63B$1.78B$1.73B$1.47B$1.47B$1.47B$1.52B$1.17B$1.45B$1.09B
Low Forecast$2.47B$2.19B$2.03B$1.77B$2.26B$2.14B$2.00B$1.70B$2.08B$1.95B$1.87B$1.61B$1.82B$1.61B$1.66B$1.50B$2.29B$2.16B$1.99B$1.64B$2.63B$1.78B$1.73B$1.47B$1.47B$1.47B$1.52B$1.17B$1.45B$1.09B
# Analysts1111111363224763222234566159988
Surprise %-------------1.02%1.20%1.08%1.06%0.94%1.00%1.04%0.95%1.05%1.00%0.96%1.06%1.16%1.00%1.15%1.01%1.02%

Taylor Morrison Home's average Quarter revenue forecast for Dec 23 based on 4 analysts is $1.85B, with a low forecast of $1.82B, and a high forecast of $1.88B. TMHC's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a 10.40% increase compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $1.68B (Sep 23).

Taylor Morrison Home EBITDA Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts1111111363224763222234566159988
EBITDA-------------$224.20M$316.00M$240.54M$372.05M$418.51M$362.47M$244.70M$386.18M$231.16M$172.78M$136.96M$127.24M$157.86M$92.31M$-22.05M$63.05M$98.13M
Avg Forecast$308.47M$273.30M$253.44M$220.83M$282.34M$267.22M$249.05M$210.98M$255.04M$237.50M$226.14M$323.33M$224.10M$199.11M$207.41M$255.60M$404.48M$261.63M$240.63M$202.06M$318.25M$215.44M$209.03M$136.96M$178.36M$177.91M$184.10M$-52.27M$175.46M$131.68M
High Forecast$317.78M$281.55M$261.10M$227.50M$290.87M$275.29M$256.57M$215.70M$257.45M$238.28M$226.32M$388.00M$227.71M$202.72M$213.67M$306.72M$485.37M$261.63M$240.63M$242.47M$318.25M$215.44M$209.03M$164.35M$178.36M$177.91M$184.10M$-41.82M$175.46M$131.68M
Low Forecast$299.72M$265.55M$246.26M$214.57M$274.34M$259.65M$241.99M$206.27M$251.43M$236.72M$225.97M$258.67M$220.48M$195.45M$201.53M$204.48M$323.58M$261.63M$240.63M$161.64M$318.25M$215.44M$209.03M$109.56M$178.36M$177.91M$184.10M$-62.73M$175.46M$131.68M
Surprise %-------------1.13%1.52%0.94%0.92%1.60%1.51%1.21%1.21%1.07%0.83%1.00%0.71%0.89%0.50%0.42%0.36%0.75%

4 analysts predict TMHC's average Quarter EBITDA for Dec 23 to be $224.10M, with a high of $227.71M and a low of $220.48M. This is -0.04% lower than Taylor Morrison Home's previous annual EBITDA (Sep 23) of $224.20M.

Taylor Morrison Home Net Income Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts1111111363224763222234566159988
Net Income-------------$170.69M$234.91M$191.05M$275.33M$309.78M$290.99M$176.70M$282.70M$168.13M$124.15M$98.02M$94.42M$114.78M$65.67M$-31.43M$54.66M$67.01M
Avg Forecast$353.28M$316.68M$269.47M$210.06M$302.14M$274.98M$238.06M$189.90M$255.14M$220.12M$201.82M$242.37M$193.34M$167.34M$179.30M$191.60M$285.64M$267.63M$197.20M$151.46M$222.12M$128.59M$107.13M$98.02M$88.35M$66.49M$52.15M$-74.51M$108.68M$69.47M
High Forecast$367.15M$329.11M$280.05M$218.30M$314.00M$285.78M$247.41M$197.35M$261.52M$220.39M$202.36M$290.84M$204.33M$188.93M$186.34M$229.92M$342.77M$267.63M$197.20M$181.75M$231.75M$131.07M$107.79M$117.63M$88.35M$66.49M$52.15M$-59.61M$108.68M$69.47M
Low Forecast$340.26M$305.01M$259.54M$202.32M$291.01M$264.85M$229.29M$182.90M$251.96M$219.85M$201.27M$193.90M$184.55M$154.38M$172.69M$153.28M$228.51M$267.63M$197.20M$121.17M$212.50M$126.11M$106.47M$78.42M$88.35M$66.49M$52.15M$-89.42M$108.68M$69.47M
Surprise %-------------1.02%1.31%1.00%0.96%1.16%1.48%1.17%1.27%1.31%1.16%1.00%1.07%1.73%1.26%0.42%0.50%0.96%

Taylor Morrison Home's average Quarter net income forecast for Dec 23 is $193.34M, with a range of $184.55M to $204.33M. TMHC's average Quarter net income forecast represents a 13.27% increase compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $170.69M (Sep 23).

Taylor Morrison Home SG&A Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts1111111363224763222234566159988
SG&A-------------$167.79M$183.68M$159.02M$173.36M$147.05M$165.54M$157.26M$185.67M$167.61M$167.56M$147.50M$143.21M$147.17M$145.15M$136.85M$142.47M$119.10M
Avg Forecast$233.15M$206.57M$191.57M$166.92M$213.41M$201.98M$188.25M$159.47M$192.78M$179.51M$170.93M$215.71M$169.38M$150.50M$156.77M$170.52M$194.46M$197.76M$181.88M$134.80M$240.55M$162.84M$157.99M$147.50M$134.81M$134.47M$139.15M$324.44M$132.62M$99.53M
High Forecast$240.20M$212.81M$197.35M$171.96M$219.85M$208.08M$193.93M$163.03M$194.59M$180.10M$171.06M$258.85M$172.12M$153.23M$161.50M$204.62M$233.36M$197.76M$181.88M$161.76M$240.55M$162.84M$157.99M$177.01M$134.81M$134.47M$139.15M$389.33M$132.62M$99.53M
Low Forecast$226.55M$200.72M$186.14M$162.19M$207.36M$196.26M$182.91M$155.91M$190.05M$178.92M$170.80M$172.57M$166.65M$147.73M$152.33M$136.42M$155.57M$197.76M$181.88M$107.84M$240.55M$162.84M$157.99M$118.00M$134.81M$134.47M$139.15M$259.55M$132.62M$99.53M
Surprise %-------------1.11%1.17%0.93%0.89%0.74%0.91%1.17%0.77%1.03%1.06%1.00%1.06%1.09%1.04%0.42%1.07%1.20%

Taylor Morrison Home's average Quarter SG&A projection for Dec 23 is $169.38M, based on 4 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $166.65M to $172.12M. The forecast indicates a 0.95% rise compared to TMHC last annual SG&A of $167.79M (Sep 23).

Taylor Morrison Home EPS Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts1111111363224763222234566159988
EPS-------------$1.57$2.15$1.76$2.54$2.75$2.47$1.46$2.30$1.35$0.97$0.76$0.73$0.88$0.51$-0.26$0.52$0.64
Avg Forecast$3.33$2.98$2.54$1.98$2.85$2.59$2.24$1.79$2.40$2.07$1.90$1.61$1.82$1.58$1.69$1.32$2.77$2.50$1.84$1.25$2.07$1.20$1.00$0.75$0.82$0.62$0.49$0.44$1.01$0.65
High Forecast$3.46$3.10$2.64$2.06$2.96$2.69$2.33$1.86$2.47$2.08$1.91$1.63$1.93$1.78$1.76$1.38$2.88$2.50$1.84$1.25$2.16$1.22$1.01$0.75$0.82$0.62$0.49$0.44$1.01$0.65
Low Forecast$3.21$2.88$2.45$1.91$2.74$2.50$2.16$1.72$2.37$2.07$1.90$1.59$1.74$1.46$1.63$1.27$2.67$2.50$1.84$1.25$1.98$1.18$0.99$0.75$0.82$0.62$0.49$0.44$1.01$0.65
Surprise %-------------1.00%1.27%1.33%0.92%1.10%1.34%1.16%1.11%1.13%0.97%1.01%0.89%1.42%1.05%-0.59%0.51%0.99%

According to 4 Wall Street analysts, Taylor Morrison Home's projected average Quarter EPS for Dec 23 is $1.82, with a low estimate of $1.74 and a high estimate of $1.93. This represents a 16.08% increase compared to TMHC previous annual EPS of $1.57 (Sep 23).

Taylor Morrison Home Peer Comparison by Price Target

TickerCompanyLast Closing PriceAvg Price TargetUpside/DownsideAvg Rating
MHOM/I Homes$153.61$197.5028.57%Strong Buy
BZHBeazer Homes USA$31.96$41.0028.29%Buy
MTHMeritage Homes$177.92$190.006.79%Buy
TMHCTaylor Morrison Home$69.79$73.835.79%Buy
LGIHLGI Homes$103.93$107.253.19%Hold
TPHTri Pointe Homes$41.38$40.33-2.54%Hold
KBHKB Home$78.41$59.46-24.17%Buy
CCSCentury Communities$85.64$60.67-29.16%Buy

TMHC Forecast FAQ

Is Taylor Morrison Home a good buy?

Yes, according to 10 Wall Street analysts, Taylor Morrison Home (TMHC) is considered a 'Buy'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 8 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 80.00% of TMHC's total ratings.

What is TMHC's price target?

Taylor Morrison Home (TMHC) average price target is $73.83 with a range of $57 to $85, implying a 5.79% from its last price of $69.79. The data is based on 10 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.

Will Taylor Morrison Home stock go up soon?

According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for TMHC stock, the company can go up by 5.79% (from the last price of $69.79 to the average price target of $73.83), up by 21.79% based on the highest stock price target, and down by -18.33% based on the lowest stock price target.

Can Taylor Morrison Home stock reach $100?

TMHC's average twelve months analyst stock price target of $73.83 does not support the claim that Taylor Morrison Home can reach $100 in the near future.

What is Taylor Morrison Home's current price target trend?

3 Wall Street analysts forecast a $82 price target for Taylor Morrison Home (TMHC) this month, up 17.50% from its last price of $69.79. Compared to the last 3 and 12 months, the average price target increased by 16.06% and decreased by -0.66%, respectively.

What are Taylor Morrison Home's analysts' financial forecasts?

Taylor Morrison Home's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $8.33B (high $8.57B, low $8.11B), average EBITDA is $1.01B (high $1.04B, low $982.25M), average net income is $1.01B (high $1.04B, low $968.06M), average SG&A $763.11M (high $784.9M, low $742.44M), and average EPS is $9.47 (high $9.85, low $9.12). TMHC's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2026) are as follows: average revenue is $8.72B (high $8.98B, low $8.47B), average EBITDA is $1.06B (high $1.09B, low $1.03B), average net income is $1.15B (high $1.19B, low $1.11B), average SG&A $798.21M (high $822.31M, low $775.59M), and average EPS is $10.84 (high $11.26, low $10.44).

Did the TMHC's actual financial results beat the analysts' financial forecasts?

Based on Taylor Morrison Home's last annual report (Dec 2022), the company's revenue was $8.22B, beating the average analysts forecast of $8.14B by 1.01%. Apple's EBITDA was $1.4B, beating the average prediction of $1.11B by 25.94%. The company's net income was $1.05B, beating the average estimation of $901.93M by 16.73%. Apple's SG&A was $643.21M, missing the average forecast of $708.9M by -9.27%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $9.16, beating the average prediction of $8.36 by 9.58%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Sep 2023), Taylor Morrison Home's revenue was $1.68B, beating the average analysts' forecast of $1.64B by 1.94%. The company's EBITDA was $224.2M, beating the average prediction of $199.11M by 12.60%. Taylor Morrison Home's net income was $170.69M, beating the average estimation of $167.34M by 2.01%. The company's SG&A was $167.79M, beating the average forecast of $150.5M by 11.49%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $1.57, missing the average prediction of $1.58 by -0.46%