Triumph Group (TGI) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions


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TGI Stock Forecast


Triumph Group stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $18.00 (represents a 33.73% upside from TGI’s last price of $13.46) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 10 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.

TGI Price Target


The average price target for Triumph Group (TGI) is $18.00 based on 1-year price targets from 10 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $22.00 to $14.00. This represents a potential 33.73% upside from TGI's last price of $13.46.

TGI Analyst Ratings


Buy

According to 10 Wall Street analysts, Triumph Group's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for TGI stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 5 'Buy' (50.00%), 5 'Hold' (50.00%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).

Triumph Group Price Target by Analyst


DateAnalystCompanyPrice TargetPrice when PublishedPrice Target/Price when PublishedPrice Target/Last Closing Price
Aug 12, 2024Sheila KahyaogluJefferies$14.00$13.483.86%4.01%
Jul 24, 2024Sheila KahyaogluJefferies$20.00$17.0217.47%48.59%
May 29, 2024David StraussBarclays$18.00$14.0128.48%33.73%
May 24, 2024Michael CiarmoliTruist Financial$22.00$13.2665.91%63.45%
Mar 28, 2024Myles WaltonWolfe Research$18.00$14.5124.05%33.73%
Jan 16, 2024Peter ArmentRobert W. Baird$20.00$15.1532.01%48.59%
Jan 05, 2024Kannan VenkateshwarBarclays$20.00$15.6627.71%48.59%
Jul 19, 2022Michael CiarmoliTruist Financial$20.00$14.6336.71%48.59%
Jul 12, 2022-Goldman Sachs$16.00$13.1022.14%18.87%
May 20, 2022-Goldman Sachs$18.00$13.5333.04%33.73%
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The latest Triumph Group stock forecast, released on Aug 12, 2024 by Sheila Kahyaoglu from Jefferies, set a price target of $14.00, which represents a 3.86% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($13.48), and a 4.01% increase from TGI last price ($13.46).

Triumph Group Price Target by Period


1M3M12M
# Anlaysts-27
Avg Price Target-$17.00$18.86
Last Closing Price$13.46$13.46$13.46
Upside/Downside-100.00%26.30%40.12%

In the current month, the average price target of Triumph Group stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to Triumph Group's last price of $13.46. This month's average price target is down -100.00% compared to last quarter, and down -100.00% compared to last year.

Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades


DateCompanyPrevious RatingNew RatingRating Change
Aug 12, 2024JefferiesBuyHoldDowngrade
Jul 24, 2024JefferiesBuyBuyHold
May 29, 2024BarclaysOverweightOverweightHold
May 28, 2024Cowen & Co.BuyHoldDowngrade
Apr 09, 2024Cowen & Co.BuyBuyHold
Mar 28, 2024Wolfe Research-OutperformUpgrade
Jan 25, 2024Bank of America Securities-BuyUpgrade
Jan 16, 2024Piper SandlerOverweightOutperformUpgrade
Jan 05, 2024Barclays-OverweightUpgrade
Nov 09, 2023Cowen & Co.-OutperformUpgrade
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Triumph Group's last stock rating was published by Jefferies on Aug 12, 2024. The company Downgrade its TGI rating from "Buy" to "Hold".

Triumph Group Financial Forecast


Triumph Group Revenue Forecast

Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jul 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19Jun 19Mar 19Dec 18
Revenue---------$284.95M$354.06M$327.14M$393.29M$328.86M$307.60M-$386.65M$319.25M$357.40M$396.65M$466.83M$425.99M$481.81M$495.08M$693.11M$704.67M$772.11M$730.23M$869.03M$807.89M
Avg Forecast$236.07M$242.02M$248.12M$305.40M$352.56M$295.87M$280.70M$274.60M$341.91M$367.96M$337.52M$322.52M$345.98M$308.09M$297.87M$336.64M$405.23M$371.91M$377.81M$395.80M$437.64M$447.97M$470.24M$455.95M$660.90M$680.81M$720.03M$699.67M$846.61M$788.66M
High Forecast$252.36M$258.72M$265.24M$326.47M$376.88M$316.28M$288.98M$293.54M$365.50M$374.66M$347.12M$344.77M$369.85M$329.34M$318.42M$336.64M$428.65M$393.40M$399.65M$418.68M$462.94M$473.86M$497.42M$482.30M$699.10M$720.15M$761.65M$740.10M$895.54M$946.39M
Low Forecast$227.12M$232.85M$238.72M$293.82M$339.19M$284.66M$272.03M$264.19M$328.95M$362.69M$328.15M$310.29M$332.87M$296.41M$286.58M$336.64M$383.54M$352.01M$357.60M$374.63M$414.22M$424.00M$445.08M$431.55M$625.54M$644.38M$681.50M$662.23M$801.31M$630.93M
# Analysts433334541385443512227787109611614
Surprise %---------0.77%1.05%1.01%1.14%1.07%1.03%-0.95%0.86%0.95%1.00%1.07%0.95%1.02%1.09%1.05%1.04%1.07%1.04%1.03%1.02%

Triumph Group's average Quarter revenue forecast for Mar 24 based on 1 analysts is $341.91M, with a low forecast of $328.95M, and a high forecast of $365.50M. TGI's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a 19.99% increase compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $284.95M (Dec 23).

Triumph Group EBITDA Forecast

Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jul 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19Jun 19Mar 19Dec 18
# Analysts433334541385443512227787109611614
EBITDA---------$24.97M$44.37M$31.45M$62.29M$52.96M$47.68M-$34.88M$52.32M$39.84M$24.85M$-13.45M$-418.00K$41.95M$-212.90M$-21.63M$45.49M$119.67M$94.44M$-141.12M$36.99M
Avg Forecast$30.53M$31.30M$32.09M$39.49M$45.59M$38.26M$36.30M$35.51M$-13.43M$47.58M$43.65M$41.71M$-12.21M$39.84M$27.55M$43.53M$-11.10M$49.70M$25.05M$22.93M$-10.09M$52.37M$65.09M$-241.93M$-19.94M$46.77M$111.69M$90.14M$-81.17M$36.09M
High Forecast$32.63M$33.46M$34.30M$42.22M$48.74M$40.90M$37.37M$37.96M$-10.74M$48.45M$44.89M$44.58M$-9.77M$42.59M$33.06M$43.53M$-8.88M$59.65M$30.05M$27.51M$-8.07M$55.39M$78.11M$-193.55M$-15.95M$56.13M$134.03M$108.17M$-64.94M$43.31M
Low Forecast$29.37M$30.11M$30.87M$38.00M$43.86M$36.81M$35.18M$34.16M$-16.12M$46.90M$42.44M$40.13M$-14.65M$38.33M$22.04M$43.53M$-13.32M$39.76M$20.04M$18.34M$-12.11M$49.56M$52.07M$-290.32M$-23.93M$37.42M$89.36M$72.11M$-97.41M$28.87M
Surprise %---------0.52%1.02%0.75%-5.10%1.33%1.73%--3.14%1.05%1.59%1.08%1.33%-0.01%0.64%0.88%1.08%0.97%1.07%1.05%1.74%1.03%

1 analysts predict TGI's average Quarter EBITDA for Mar 24 to be $-13.43M, with a high of $-10.74M and a low of $-16.12M. This is -153.78% lower than Triumph Group's previous annual EBITDA (Dec 23) of $24.97M.

Triumph Group Net Income Forecast

Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jul 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19Jun 19Mar 19Dec 18
# Analysts433334541385443512227787109611614
Net Income---------$-15.90M$-1.30M$-12.75M$-17.54M$10.95M$106.53M-$-10.57M$7.24M$-9.07M$-30.35M$-73.52M$-68.12M$-33.49M$-277.31M$-75.07M$-13.85M$42.70M$18.09M$-199.61M$-30.95M
Avg Forecast$30.86M$15.89M$15.59M$7.68M$30.34M$9.61M$1.45M$-2.73M$-73.39M$10.71M$-878.83K$-3.39M$-66.72M$8.20M$-6.27M$7.74M$-60.65M$6.88M$-5.70M$-28.00M$-55.14M$-4.39M$-51.97M$-315.13M$-69.20M$-14.24M$39.85M$17.27M$-114.82M$-30.19M
High Forecast$33.63M$17.32M$16.98M$8.37M$33.06M$10.47M$2.65M$-2.60M$-58.71M$14.00M$4.39M$-3.22M$-53.37M$8.94M$-5.02M$7.74M$-48.52M$8.25M$-4.56M$-22.40M$-44.11M$-4.09M$-41.57M$-252.10M$-55.36M$-11.39M$47.83M$20.72M$-91.86M$-24.15M
Low Forecast$29.34M$15.11M$14.82M$7.30M$28.85M$9.13M$964.48K$-2.98M$-88.07M$7.41M$-3.52M$-3.69M$-80.06M$7.80M$-7.53M$7.74M$-72.78M$5.50M$-6.84M$-33.60M$-66.17M$-4.72M$-62.36M$-378.16M$-83.05M$-17.08M$31.88M$13.81M$-137.79M$-36.23M
Surprise %----------1.49%1.47%3.77%0.26%1.34%-16.99%-0.17%1.05%1.59%1.08%1.33%15.50%0.64%0.88%1.08%0.97%1.07%1.05%1.74%1.03%

Triumph Group's average Quarter net income forecast for Mar 23 is $-66.72M, with a range of $-80.06M to $-53.37M. TGI's average Quarter net income forecast represents a -709.19% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $10.95M (Dec 22).

Triumph Group SG&A Forecast

Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jul 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19Jun 19Mar 19Dec 18
# Analysts433334541385443512227787109611614
SG&A---------$42.85M$47.48M$55.79M$54.00M$44.27M$60.42M-$49.30M$42.42M$54.11M$56.25M$53.77M$48.75M$56.24M$57.20M$63.02M$65.97M$66.20M$62.34M$75.36M$71.82M
Avg Forecast$30.52M$31.29M$32.08M$39.49M$45.59M$38.26M$36.29M$35.51M$53.68M$47.58M$43.64M$41.70M$48.80M$39.84M$37.41M$43.53M$44.36M$40.30M$34.01M$51.89M$40.33M$52.32M$87.27M$65.00M$58.09M$67.83M$61.79M$59.50M$43.35M$70.07M
High Forecast$32.63M$33.45M$34.30M$42.21M$48.73M$40.90M$37.36M$37.96M$64.41M$48.44M$44.88M$44.58M$58.56M$42.58M$44.89M$43.53M$53.24M$48.35M$40.81M$62.27M$48.40M$55.34M$104.72M$78.00M$69.71M$81.40M$74.15M$71.40M$52.02M$84.09M
Low Forecast$29.37M$30.11M$30.87M$37.99M$43.86M$36.81M$35.17M$34.16M$42.94M$46.90M$42.43M$40.12M$39.04M$38.33M$29.93M$43.53M$35.49M$32.24M$27.21M$41.52M$32.26M$49.52M$69.81M$52.00M$46.48M$54.27M$49.43M$47.60M$34.68M$56.06M
Surprise %---------0.90%1.09%1.34%1.11%1.11%1.61%-1.11%1.05%1.59%1.08%1.33%0.93%0.64%0.88%1.08%0.97%1.07%1.05%1.74%1.03%

Triumph Group's average Quarter SG&A projection for Mar 24 is $53.68M, based on 1 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $42.94M to $64.41M. The forecast indicates a 25.28% rise compared to TGI last annual SG&A of $42.85M (Dec 23).

Triumph Group EPS Forecast

Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jul 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19Jun 19Mar 19Dec 18
# Analysts433334541385443512227787109611614
EPS---------$-0.21$-0.02$-0.19$-0.27$0.17$1.64-$-0.16$0.11$-0.14$-0.47$-1.27$-1.30$-0.64$-5.35$-1.45$-0.27$0.85$0.36$-4.01$-0.62
Avg Forecast$0.40$0.21$0.20$0.10$0.39$0.12$0.02$-0.04$0.22$0.14$-0.01$-0.04$0.25$0.11$-0.00$0.10$0.42$0.20$0.10$0.05$0.08$-0.06$-0.17$-0.22$0.64$0.65$0.60$0.44$0.67$0.40
High Forecast$0.44$0.22$0.22$0.11$0.43$0.14$0.03$-0.03$0.24$0.18$0.06$-0.04$0.27$0.12$-0.00$0.10$0.46$0.22$0.11$0.05$0.09$-0.05$-0.16$-0.20$0.69$0.70$0.65$0.47$0.72$0.48
Low Forecast$0.38$0.20$0.19$0.09$0.37$0.12$0.01$-0.04$0.21$0.10$-0.05$-0.05$0.23$0.10$-0.00$0.10$0.39$0.19$0.09$0.04$0.07$-0.06$-0.18$-0.23$0.59$0.61$0.56$0.41$0.63$0.32
Surprise %----------1.51%1.49%4.33%-1.10%1.60%-738.07%--0.38%0.54%-1.42%-10.27%-15.77%22.75%3.80%24.58%-2.27%-0.41%1.42%0.82%-5.95%-1.55%

According to 4 Wall Street analysts, Triumph Group's projected average Quarter EPS for Mar 23 is $0.25, with a low estimate of $0.23 and a high estimate of $0.27. This represents a 44.76% increase compared to TGI previous annual EPS of $0.17 (Dec 22).

Triumph Group Peer Comparison by Price Target


TickerCompanyLast Closing PriceAvg Price TargetUpside/DownsideAvg Rating
TGITriumph Group$13.46$18.0033.73%Buy
AIRAAR$67.64$80.0018.27%Buy
HXLHexcel$60.84$69.8214.76%Hold
MRCYMercury Systems$38.02$43.3313.97%Buy
CWCurtiss-Wright$309.95$310.000.02%Buy
DCODucommun$64.74$60.00-7.32%Buy
VSECVSE$87.91$70.00-20.37%Buy
MOG-AMoog$196.88$131.00-33.46%Buy

TGI Forecast FAQ


Yes, according to 10 Wall Street analysts, Triumph Group (TGI) is considered a 'Buy'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 5 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 50.00% of TGI's total ratings.

Triumph Group (TGI) average price target is $18 with a range of $14 to $22, implying a 33.73% from its last price of $13.46. The data is based on 10 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.

According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for TGI stock, the company can go up by 33.73% (from the last price of $13.46 to the average price target of $18), up by 63.45% based on the highest stock price target, and up by 4.01% based on the lowest stock price target.

TGI's highest twelve months analyst stock price target of $22 supports the claim that Triumph Group can reach $20 in the near future.

Triumph Group's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Mar 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $1.2B (high $1.28B, low $1.16B), average EBITDA is $155.66M (high $164.97M, low $150.02M), average net income is $38.66M (high $43.58M, low $35.96M), average SG&A $155.64M (high $164.95M, low $150M), and average EPS is $0.501 (high $0.565, low $0.466). TGI's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Mar 2026) are as follows: average revenue is $1.03B (high $1.1B, low $992.51M), average EBITDA is $133.41M (high $142.61M, low $128.35M), average net income is $70.02M (high $76.3M, low $66.57M), average SG&A $133.39M (high $142.59M, low $128.33M), and average EPS is $0.908 (high $0.989, low $0.863).

Based on Triumph Group's last annual report (Mar 2023), the company's revenue was $1.38B, beating the average analysts forecast of $1.29B by 7.03%. Apple's EBITDA was $196.76M, beating the average prediction of $98.72M by 99.32%. The company's net income was $89.59M, missing the average estimation of $-57.052M by -257.04%. Apple's SG&A was $210.43M, beating the average forecast of $169.57M by 24.09%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $1.38, beating the average prediction of $0.45 by 206.95%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Dec 2023), Triumph Group's revenue was $284.96M, missing the average analysts' forecast of $367.96M by -22.56%. The company's EBITDA was $24.97M, missing the average prediction of $47.58M by -47.53%. Triumph Group's net income was $-15.902M, missing the average estimation of $10.71M by -248.51%. The company's SG&A was $42.85M, missing the average forecast of $47.58M by -9.94%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $-0.21, missing the average prediction of $0.139 by -251.32%