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Triumph Group (TGI) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions

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TGI Stock Forecast

Triumph Group stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $12.67 (represents a -28.74% downside from TGI’s last price of $17.78) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 10 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.

TGI Price Target

The average price target for Triumph Group (TGI) is $12.67 based on 1-year price targets from 10 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $14.00 to $12.00. This represents a potential -28.74% downside from TGI's last price of $17.78.

TGI Analyst Ratings

Buy

According to 10 Wall Street analysts, Triumph Group's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for TGI stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 5 'Buy' (50.00%), 5 'Hold' (50.00%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).

Triumph Group Price Target by Analyst

DateAnalystCompanyPrice TargetPrice when PublishedPrice Target/Price when PublishedPrice Target/Last Closing Price
Oct 18, 2024Michael CiarmoliTruist Financial$12.00$14.99-19.95%-32.51%
Sep 24, 2024Ronald EpsteinBank of America Securities$12.00$13.55-11.44%-32.51%
Aug 12, 2024Sheila KahyaogluJefferies$14.00$13.483.86%-21.26%
Jul 24, 2024Sheila KahyaogluJefferies$20.00$17.0217.47%12.49%
May 29, 2024David StraussBarclays$18.00$14.0128.48%1.24%
May 24, 2024Michael CiarmoliTruist Financial$22.00$13.2665.91%23.73%
Mar 28, 2024Myles WaltonWolfe Research$18.00$14.5124.05%1.24%
Jan 16, 2024Peter ArmentRobert W. Baird$20.00$15.1532.01%12.49%
Jan 05, 2024Kannan VenkateshwarBarclays$20.00$15.6627.71%12.49%
Jul 19, 2022Michael CiarmoliTruist Financial$20.00$14.6336.71%12.49%
Jul 12, 2022Goldman Sachs$16.00$13.1022.14%-10.01%
May 20, 2022Goldman Sachs$18.00$13.5333.04%1.24%
May 19, 2022Robert W. Baird$26.00$15.5167.66%46.23%

The latest Triumph Group stock forecast, released on Oct 18, 2024 by Michael Ciarmoli from Truist Financial, set a price target of $12.00, which represents a -19.95% decrease from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($14.99), and a -32.51% decrease from TGI last price ($17.78).

Triumph Group Price Target by Period

1M3M12M
# Anlaysts-29
Avg Price Target-$12.00$17.33
Last Closing Price$17.78$17.78$17.78
Upside/Downside-100.00%-32.51%-2.53%

In the current month, the average price target of Triumph Group stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to Triumph Group's last price of $17.78. This month's average price target is down -100.00% compared to last quarter, and down -100.00% compared to last year.

Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades

DateCompanyPrevious RatingNew RatingRating Change
Nov 13, 2024Cowen & Co.HoldHoldHold
Sep 24, 2024Bank of America SecuritiesBuyPositiveDowngrade
Aug 12, 2024JefferiesBuyHoldDowngrade
Jul 24, 2024JefferiesBuyBuyHold
May 29, 2024BarclaysOverweightOverweightHold
May 28, 2024Cowen & Co.BuyHoldDowngrade
Apr 09, 2024Cowen & Co.BuyBuyHold
Mar 28, 2024Wolfe ResearchOutperformUpgrade
Jan 25, 2024Bank of America SecuritiesBuyUpgrade
Jan 16, 2024Piper SandlerOverweightOutperformUpgrade
Jan 05, 2024BarclaysOverweightUpgrade
Nov 09, 2023Cowen & Co.OutperformUpgrade
Aug 11, 2023William BlairMarket PerformInitialise
Aug 11, 2023Piper SandlerOverweightInitialise
Aug 11, 2023Hovde GroupMarket PerformInitialise
Aug 11, 2023GuggenheimBuyInitialise
Jul 12, 2022Goldman SachsNeutralNeutralHold
May 20, 2022Goldman SachsNeutralNeutralHold

Triumph Group's last stock rating was published by Cowen & Co. on Nov 13, 2024. The company gave TGI a "Hold" rating, the same as its previous rate.

Triumph Group Financial Forecast

Triumph Group Revenue Forecast

Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19Jun 19Mar 19Mar 18
Revenue---------$284.95M$354.06M$327.14M$393.29M$328.86M$307.60M$349.38M$386.65M$319.25M$357.40M$396.65M$466.83M$425.99M$481.81M$495.08M$693.11M$704.67M$772.11M$730.23M$869.03M$896.86M
Avg Forecast$247.60M$253.85M$316.75M$302.10M$339.56M$290.92M$283.10M$274.60M$341.91M$367.96M$337.52M$322.52M$345.98M$308.09M$297.87M$336.64M$405.23M$371.91M$377.81M$395.80M$437.64M$447.97M$470.24M$455.95M$660.90M$680.81M$720.03M$699.67M$846.61M$861.38M
High Forecast$257.24M$263.73M$329.08M$313.87M$347.71M$302.02M$284.59M$274.62M$341.93M$374.66M$347.12M$335.08M$359.46M$320.08M$297.87M$336.64M$405.23M$371.91M$377.81M$395.80M$437.64M$447.97M$470.24M$455.95M$660.90M$680.81M$720.03M$699.67M$846.61M$1.03B
Low Forecast$238.23M$244.24M$304.76M$290.67M$331.15M$281.15M$281.62M$274.58M$341.90M$362.69M$328.15M$310.32M$332.89M$296.43M$297.87M$336.64M$405.23M$371.91M$377.81M$395.80M$437.64M$447.97M$470.24M$455.95M$660.90M$680.81M$720.03M$699.67M$846.61M$689.10M
# Analysts43335541138544343545459991313131315
Surprise %---------0.77%1.05%1.01%1.14%1.07%1.03%1.04%0.95%0.86%0.95%1.00%1.07%0.95%1.02%1.09%1.05%1.04%1.07%1.04%1.03%1.04%

Triumph Group's average Quarter revenue forecast for Mar 24 based on 1 analysts is $341.91M, with a low forecast of $341.90M, and a high forecast of $341.93M. TGI's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a 19.99% increase compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $284.95M (Dec 23).

Triumph Group EBITDA Forecast

Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19Jun 19Mar 19Mar 18
# Analysts43335541138544343545459991313131315
EBITDA---------$24.97M$44.37M$31.45M$62.29M$52.96M$47.68M$33.83M$34.88M$52.32M$39.84M$24.85M$-13.45M$-418.00K$41.95M$-212.90M$-21.63M$45.49M$119.67M$94.44M$-141.12M$-240.91M
Avg Forecast$16.89M$17.32M$21.61M$20.61M$23.16M$19.84M$19.31M$18.73M$-13.43M$25.10M$23.02M$22.00M$-12.21M$54.68M$38.52M$43.53M$-11.10M$48.09M$48.86M$51.18M$-10.09M$57.93M$60.81M$58.96M$-19.94M$88.04M$93.11M$90.48M$-81.17M$-230.97M
High Forecast$17.55M$17.99M$22.45M$21.41M$23.72M$20.60M$19.41M$18.73M$-10.74M$25.56M$23.68M$22.86M$-9.77M$65.61M$38.52M$43.53M$-8.88M$48.09M$48.86M$51.18M$-8.07M$57.93M$60.81M$58.96M$-15.95M$88.04M$93.11M$90.48M$-64.94M$-184.78M
Low Forecast$16.25M$16.66M$20.79M$19.83M$22.59M$19.18M$19.21M$18.73M$-16.12M$24.74M$22.38M$21.17M$-14.65M$43.74M$38.52M$43.53M$-13.32M$48.09M$48.86M$51.18M$-12.11M$57.93M$60.81M$58.96M$-23.93M$88.04M$93.11M$90.48M$-97.41M$-277.17M
Surprise %---------0.99%1.93%1.43%-5.10%0.97%1.24%0.78%-3.14%1.09%0.82%0.49%1.33%-0.01%0.69%-3.61%1.08%0.52%1.29%1.04%1.74%1.04%

1 analysts predict TGI's average Quarter EBITDA for Mar 24 to be $-13.43M, with a high of $-10.74M and a low of $-16.12M. This is -153.78% lower than Triumph Group's previous annual EBITDA (Dec 23) of $24.97M.

Triumph Group Net Income Forecast

Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19Jun 19Mar 19Mar 18
# Analysts43335541138544343545459991313131315
Net Income---------$-15.90M$-1.30M$-12.75M$-17.54M$10.95M$106.53M$-10.34M$-10.57M$7.24M$-9.07M$-30.35M$-73.52M$-68.12M$-33.49M$-277.31M$-75.07M$-13.85M$42.70M$18.09M$-199.61M$-304.83M
Avg Forecast$37.05M$13.91M$15.85M$9.79M$29.83M$15.15M$1.41M$-2.75M$-73.39M$10.79M$-885.21K$-3.41M$-66.72M$7.56M$-171.44K$7.67M$-60.65M$15.69M$7.61M$3.53M$-55.14M$-4.41M$-12.98M$-16.80M$-69.20M$50.30M$46.34M$33.92M$-114.82M$-292.26M
High Forecast$38.92M$14.62M$16.66M$10.29M$32.97M$23.57M$1.48M$-2.62M$-58.71M$14.10M$4.43M$-3.24M$-53.37M$9.08M$-171.44K$7.67M$-48.52M$15.69M$7.61M$3.53M$-44.11M$-4.41M$-12.98M$-16.80M$-55.36M$50.30M$46.34M$33.92M$-91.86M$-233.81M
Low Forecast$35.22M$13.23M$15.07M$9.31M$26.69M$7.58M$1.34M$-2.89M$-88.07M$7.47M$-3.54M$-3.58M$-80.06M$6.05M$-171.44K$7.67M$-72.78M$15.69M$7.61M$3.53M$-66.17M$-4.41M$-12.98M$-16.80M$-83.05M$50.30M$46.34M$33.92M$-137.79M$-350.71M
Surprise %----------1.47%1.46%3.74%0.26%1.45%-621.34%-1.35%0.17%0.46%-1.19%-8.59%1.33%15.45%2.58%16.51%1.08%-0.28%0.92%0.53%1.74%1.04%

Triumph Group's average Quarter net income forecast for Mar 23 is $-66.72M, with a range of $-80.06M to $-53.37M. TGI's average Quarter net income forecast represents a -709.19% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $10.95M (Dec 22).

Triumph Group SG&A Forecast

Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19Jun 19Mar 19Mar 18
# Analysts43335541138544343545459991313131315
SG&A---------$42.85M$47.48M$55.79M$54.00M$44.27M$60.42M$51.74M$49.30M$42.42M$54.11M$56.25M$53.77M$48.75M$56.24M$57.20M$63.02M$65.97M$66.20M$62.34M$75.36M$75.59M
Avg Forecast$32.02M$32.82M$40.96M$39.06M$43.91M$37.62M$36.61M$35.51M$53.68M$47.58M$43.64M$41.70M$48.80M$44.32M$38.52M$43.53M$44.36M$48.09M$48.85M$51.18M$40.33M$57.92M$60.80M$58.95M$58.09M$88.03M$93.10M$90.47M$43.35M$72.47M
High Forecast$33.26M$34.10M$42.55M$40.58M$44.96M$39.05M$36.80M$35.51M$64.41M$48.44M$44.88M$43.33M$58.56M$53.19M$38.52M$43.53M$53.24M$48.09M$48.85M$51.18M$48.40M$57.92M$60.80M$58.95M$69.71M$88.03M$93.10M$90.47M$52.02M$86.96M
Low Forecast$30.80M$31.58M$39.41M$37.58M$42.82M$36.35M$36.41M$35.50M$42.94M$46.90M$42.43M$40.12M$39.04M$35.46M$38.52M$43.53M$35.49M$48.09M$48.85M$51.18M$32.26M$57.92M$60.80M$58.95M$46.48M$88.03M$93.10M$90.47M$34.68M$57.98M
Surprise %---------0.90%1.09%1.34%1.11%1.00%1.57%1.19%1.11%0.88%1.11%1.10%1.33%0.84%0.92%0.97%1.08%0.75%0.71%0.69%1.74%1.04%

Triumph Group's average Quarter SG&A projection for Mar 24 is $53.68M, based on 1 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $42.94M to $64.41M. The forecast indicates a 25.28% rise compared to TGI last annual SG&A of $42.85M (Dec 23).

Triumph Group EPS Forecast

Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19Jun 19Mar 19Mar 18
# Analysts43335541138544343545459991313131315
EPS---------$-0.21$-0.02$-0.19$-0.27$0.17$1.64$-0.16$-0.16$0.11$-0.14$-0.47$-1.27$-1.30$-0.64$-5.35$-1.45$-0.27$0.85$0.36$-4.01$-6.04
Avg Forecast$0.48$0.18$0.20$0.13$0.38$0.19$0.02$-0.04$0.22$0.14$-0.01$-0.04$0.25$0.11$-0.00$0.10$0.42$0.20$0.10$0.05$0.08$-0.06$-0.17$-0.22$0.64$0.65$0.60$0.44$0.67$0.93
High Forecast$0.50$0.19$0.21$0.13$0.42$0.30$0.02$-0.03$0.23$0.18$0.06$-0.04$0.26$0.11$-0.00$0.10$0.42$0.20$0.10$0.05$0.08$-0.06$-0.17$-0.22$0.64$0.65$0.60$0.44$0.67$1.12
Low Forecast$0.45$0.17$0.19$0.12$0.34$0.10$0.02$-0.04$0.21$0.10$-0.05$-0.05$0.23$0.10$-0.00$0.10$0.42$0.20$0.10$0.05$0.08$-0.06$-0.17$-0.22$0.64$0.65$0.60$0.44$0.67$0.74
Surprise %----------1.51%1.49%4.33%-1.10%1.60%-738.07%-1.61%-0.38%0.54%-1.42%-10.27%-15.77%22.75%3.80%24.58%-2.27%-0.41%1.42%0.82%-5.95%-6.49%

According to 4 Wall Street analysts, Triumph Group's projected average Quarter EPS for Mar 23 is $0.25, with a low estimate of $0.23 and a high estimate of $0.26. This represents a 44.76% increase compared to TGI previous annual EPS of $0.17 (Dec 22).

Triumph Group Peer Comparison by Price Target

TickerCompanyLast Closing PriceAvg Price TargetUpside/DownsideAvg Rating
AIRAAR$62.80$80.0027.39%Buy
ATROAstronics$16.36$20.0022.25%
MRCYMercury Systems$38.24$43.7514.41%Hold
HXLHexcel$63.60$69.869.84%Hold
VSECVSE$109.38$115.005.14%Buy
DCODucommun$64.29$60.00-6.67%Buy
CWCurtiss-Wright$364.49$328.67-9.83%Buy
TGITriumph Group$18.57$12.67-31.77%Buy
MOG-AMoog$198.44$131.00-33.99%Buy

TGI Forecast FAQ

Is Triumph Group a good buy?

Yes, according to 10 Wall Street analysts, Triumph Group (TGI) is considered a 'Buy'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 5 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 50.00% of TGI's total ratings.

What is TGI's price target?

Triumph Group (TGI) average price target is $12.67 with a range of $12 to $14, implying a -28.74% from its last price of $17.78. The data is based on 10 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.

Will Triumph Group stock go up soon?

According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for TGI stock, the company can go down by -28.74% (from the last price of $17.78 to the average price target of $12.67), down by -21.26% based on the highest stock price target, and down by -32.51% based on the lowest stock price target.

Can Triumph Group stock reach $30?

TGI's average twelve months analyst stock price target of $12.67 does not support the claim that Triumph Group can reach $30 in the near future.

What are Triumph Group's analysts' financial forecasts?

Triumph Group's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Mar 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $1.19B (high $1.21B, low $1.17B), average EBITDA is $81.05M (high $82.47M, low $79.71M), average net income is $43.64M (high $55.41M, low $32.72M), average SG&A $153.63M (high $156.32M, low $151.09M), and average EPS is $0.562 (high $0.713, low $0.421). TGI's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Mar 2026) are as follows: average revenue is $1.12B (high $1.16B, low $1.08B), average EBITDA is $76.42M (high $79.39M, low $73.53M), average net income is $76.6M (high $80.48M, low $72.84M), average SG&A $144.86M (high $150.5M, low $139.37M), and average EPS is $0.986 (high $1.04, low $0.937).

Did the TGI's actual financial results beat the analysts' financial forecasts?

Based on Triumph Group's last annual report (Mar 2023), the company's revenue was $1.38B, beating the average analysts forecast of $1.29B by 7.03%. Apple's EBITDA was $196.76M, beating the average prediction of $124.52M by 58.02%. The company's net income was $89.59M, missing the average estimation of $-51.654M by -273.45%. Apple's SG&A was $210.43M, beating the average forecast of $175.17M by 20.13%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $1.38, beating the average prediction of $0.45 by 206.95%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Dec 2023), Triumph Group's revenue was $284.96M, missing the average analysts' forecast of $367.96M by -22.56%. The company's EBITDA was $24.97M, missing the average prediction of $25.1M by -0.52%. Triumph Group's net income was $-15.902M, missing the average estimation of $10.79M by -247.44%. The company's SG&A was $42.85M, missing the average forecast of $47.58M by -9.94%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $-0.21, missing the average prediction of $0.139 by -251.32%