Triumph Financial (TFIN) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions


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TFIN Stock Forecast


Triumph Financial stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $74.00 (represents a -20.17% downside from TFIN’s last price of $92.70) and a rating consensus of 'Hold', based on 5 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.

TFIN Price Target


The average price target for Triumph Financial (TFIN) is $74.00 based on 1-year price targets from 5 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $74.00 to $74.00. This represents a potential -20.17% downside from TFIN's last price of $92.70.

TFIN Analyst Ratings


Hold

According to 5 Wall Street analysts, Triumph Financial's rating consensus is 'Hold'. The analyst rating breakdown for TFIN stock is 1 'Strong Buy' (20.00%), 1 'Buy' (20.00%), 3 'Hold' (60.00%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).

Triumph Financial Price Target by Analyst


DateAnalystCompanyPrice TargetPrice when PublishedPrice Target/Price when PublishedPrice Target/Last Closing Price
Jul 19, 2024Gary TennerD.A. Davidson$74.00$82.38-10.17%-20.17%
Sep 15, 2022Stephens$74.00$62.1219.12%-20.17%
Jul 22, 2022Raymond James$103.00$70.7545.58%11.11%
Jul 07, 2022Raymond James$94.00$65.0844.44%1.40%
Apr 22, 2022Wells Fargo$90.00$74.2821.16%-2.91%
Apr 22, 2022Piper Sandler$87.00$71.7521.25%-6.15%

The latest Triumph Financial stock forecast, released on Jul 19, 2024 by Gary Tenner from D.A. Davidson, set a price target of $74.00, which represents a -10.17% decrease from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($82.38), and a -20.17% decrease from TFIN last price ($92.70).

Triumph Financial Price Target by Period


1M3M12M
# Anlaysts--1
Avg Price Target--$74.00
Last Closing Price$92.70$92.70$92.70
Upside/Downside-100.00%-100.00%-20.17%

In the current month, the average price target of Triumph Financial stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to Triumph Financial's last price of $92.70. This month's average price target is down NaN% compared to last quarter, and down -100.00% compared to last year.

Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades


DateCompanyPrevious RatingNew RatingRating Change
Oct 02, 2024StephensEqual-WeightEqual-WeightHold
Jul 19, 2024StephensMarket PerformMarket PerformHold
Jul 19, 2024Piper SandlerUnderperformUnderperformHold
Jul 19, 2024Piper SandlerUnderweightUnderweightHold
Jun 18, 2024Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMarket PerformMarket PerformHold
Jul 22, 2022B. Riley SecuritiesBuyBuyHold
Jul 07, 2022Raymond JamesStrong BuyStrong BuyHold
Apr 26, 2022Zacks Investment ResearchHoldDowngrade

Triumph Financial's last stock rating was published by Stephens on Oct 02, 2024. The company gave TFIN a "Equal-Weight" rating, the same as its previous rate.

Triumph Financial Financial Forecast


Triumph Financial Revenue Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
Revenue--------------$102.96M$104.40M$112.83M$110.94M$149.59M$111.20M$118.32M$103.83M$104.18M$97.31M$105.98M$84.87M$74.52M$69.98M$75.07M$72.51M
Avg Forecast$142.20M$137.05M$131.95M$127.40M$124.33M$118.75M$112.67M$107.22M$108.71M$107.21M$104.08M$106.01M$106.92M$107.00M$106.17M$106.52M$110.50M$113.39M$114.80M$115.37M$110.85M$108.78M$99.32M$89.25M$85.67M$78.29M$71.49M$71.00M$75.20M$74.17M
High Forecast$143.52M$138.32M$133.17M$128.58M$125.48M$119.86M$113.71M$108.22M$109.81M$110.88M$105.04M$106.01M$107.40M$108.00M$107.15M$107.51M$111.53M$114.42M$115.84M$116.41M$111.85M$109.76M$100.22M$90.05M$86.44M$79.00M$72.13M$71.64M$75.88M$74.84M
Low Forecast$140.74M$135.64M$130.59M$126.09M$123.05M$117.53M$111.51M$106.12M$107.61M$103.55M$103.00M$106.01M$106.42M$105.90M$105.08M$105.43M$109.37M$112.37M$113.77M$114.33M$109.85M$107.80M$98.43M$88.44M$84.89M$77.58M$70.84M$70.36M$74.52M$73.50M
# Analysts111111123122422211112222222211
Surprise %--------------0.97%0.98%1.02%0.98%1.30%0.96%1.07%0.95%1.05%1.09%1.24%1.08%1.04%0.99%1.00%0.98%

Triumph Financial's average Quarter revenue forecast for Sep 23 based on 2 analysts is $107.00M, with a low forecast of $105.90M, and a high forecast of $108.00M. TFIN's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a 3.92% increase compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $102.96M (Jun 23).

Triumph Financial EBITDA Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts111111123122422211112222222211
EBITDA------------$8.82M$17.67M$26.96M$2.85M$33.58M$32.60M$68.31M$117.30M$43.27M$43.52M$45.00M$54.50M$53.75M$42.75M$32.49M$12.15M$41.06M$36.37M
Avg Forecast$43.46M$41.88M$40.32M$38.93M$37.99M$36.29M$34.43M$32.77M$33.22M$32.76M$31.80M$32.40M$32.67M$32.70M$32.44M$32.55M$33.77M$31.21M$31.60M$31.76M$30.51M$29.94M$27.34M$24.56M$23.58M$21.55M$19.68M$19.54M$20.70M$20.42M
High Forecast$43.86M$42.27M$40.70M$39.29M$38.35M$36.63M$34.75M$33.07M$33.56M$33.88M$32.10M$32.40M$32.82M$33.00M$32.75M$32.85M$34.08M$31.49M$31.89M$32.04M$30.79M$30.21M$27.59M$24.79M$23.79M$21.74M$19.85M$19.72M$20.88M$20.60M
Low Forecast$43.01M$41.45M$39.91M$38.53M$37.60M$35.92M$34.08M$32.43M$32.89M$31.64M$31.48M$32.40M$32.52M$32.36M$32.11M$32.22M$33.42M$30.93M$31.31M$31.47M$30.24M$29.67M$27.09M$24.34M$23.37M$21.35M$19.50M$19.37M$20.51M$20.23M
Surprise %------------0.27%0.54%0.83%0.09%0.99%1.04%2.16%3.69%1.42%1.45%1.65%2.22%2.28%1.98%1.65%0.62%1.98%1.78%

2 analysts predict TFIN's average Quarter EBITDA for Mar 24 to be $32.40M, with a high of $32.40M and a low of $32.40M. This is 267.09% upper than Triumph Financial's previous annual EBITDA (Dec 23) of $8.82M.

Triumph Financial Net Income Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts111111123122422211112222222211
Net Income------------$8.82M$12.79M$7.65M$11.01M$17.56M$16.23M$44.19M$24.33M$26.64M$24.43M$27.98M$33.92M$32.13M$22.90M$13.44M$-4.45M$16.71M$14.32M
Avg Forecast$21.83M$19.45M$14.95M$13.64M$15.72M$11.63M$6.82M$3.91M$5.79M$4.37M$5.22M$7.51M$9.21M$8.90M$9.61M$12.22M$15.82M$19.02M$20.97M$23.71M$25.81M$25.66M$24.15M$21.49M$19.65M$11.51M$1.58M$6.76M$14.43M$13.25M
High Forecast$22.09M$19.69M$15.13M$13.81M$15.91M$11.77M$6.90M$3.96M$6.48M$4.42M$5.28M$7.52M$9.89M$9.00M$9.72M$12.37M$16.01M$19.24M$21.22M$23.99M$26.11M$25.96M$24.23M$21.74M$19.88M$11.64M$1.60M$6.84M$14.60M$13.41M
Low Forecast$21.54M$19.19M$14.75M$13.46M$15.51M$11.47M$6.73M$3.86M$5.09M$4.31M$5.15M$7.51M$8.54M$8.78M$9.48M$12.05M$15.61M$18.80M$20.73M$23.44M$25.50M$25.36M$24.07M$21.24M$19.42M$11.37M$1.56M$6.68M$14.26M$13.10M
Surprise %------------0.96%1.44%0.80%0.90%1.11%0.85%2.11%1.03%1.03%0.95%1.16%1.58%1.63%1.99%8.50%-0.66%1.16%1.08%

Triumph Financial's average Quarter net income forecast for Mar 24 is $7.51M, with a range of $7.51M to $7.52M. TFIN's average Quarter net income forecast represents a -14.87% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $8.82M (Dec 23).

Triumph Financial SG&A Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts111111123122422211112222222211
SG&A--------------$56.59M$58.27M$54.68M$71.35M$67.67M$58.11M$63.73M$53.97M$50.39M$44.16M$41.85M$39.00M$38.09M$37.83M$41.80M$35.48M
Avg Forecast$66.61M$64.20M$61.81M$59.68M$58.24M$55.63M$52.77M$50.23M$50.92M$50.22M$48.75M$49.66M$50.08M$50.12M$49.73M$49.90M$51.76M$54.52M$55.20M$55.47M$53.30M$52.30M$47.75M$42.91M$41.19M$37.64M$34.37M$34.14M$36.15M$35.66M
High Forecast$67.23M$64.79M$62.38M$60.23M$58.78M$56.14M$53.26M$50.69M$51.44M$51.94M$49.20M$49.66M$50.31M$50.59M$50.19M$50.36M$52.24M$55.01M$55.70M$55.97M$53.78M$52.77M$48.19M$43.30M$41.56M$37.98M$34.68M$34.45M$36.48M$35.98M
Low Forecast$65.92M$63.54M$61.17M$59.06M$57.64M$55.05M$52.23M$49.71M$50.41M$48.50M$48.25M$49.66M$49.85M$49.61M$49.22M$49.38M$51.23M$54.03M$54.70M$54.97M$52.82M$51.83M$47.32M$42.52M$40.82M$37.30M$34.06M$33.83M$35.83M$35.34M
Surprise %--------------1.14%1.17%1.06%1.31%1.23%1.05%1.20%1.03%1.06%1.03%1.02%1.04%1.11%1.11%1.16%0.99%

Triumph Financial's average Quarter SG&A projection for Sep 23 is $50.12M, based on 2 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $49.61M to $50.59M. The forecast indicates a -11.43% fall compared to TFIN last annual SG&A of $56.59M (Jun 23).

Triumph Financial EPS Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts111111123122422211112222222211
EPS------------$0.38$0.55$0.30$0.44$0.69$0.64$1.78$0.95$1.07$0.95$1.10$1.34$1.27$0.89$0.56$-0.18$0.67$0.56
Avg Forecast$0.92$0.82$0.63$0.57$0.66$0.49$0.29$0.17$0.24$0.18$0.22$0.32$0.39$0.38$0.40$0.52$0.67$0.80$0.88$1.00$1.09$1.08$1.02$0.91$0.83$0.48$0.07$0.28$0.61$0.56
High Forecast$0.93$0.83$0.64$0.58$0.67$0.50$0.29$0.17$0.27$0.19$0.22$0.32$0.42$0.38$0.41$0.52$0.67$0.81$0.89$1.01$1.10$1.09$1.02$0.92$0.84$0.49$0.07$0.29$0.62$0.57
Low Forecast$0.91$0.81$0.62$0.57$0.65$0.48$0.28$0.16$0.21$0.18$0.22$0.32$0.36$0.37$0.40$0.51$0.66$0.79$0.87$0.99$1.07$1.07$1.01$0.90$0.82$0.48$0.07$0.28$0.60$0.55
Surprise %------------0.98%1.47%0.74%0.85%1.03%0.80%2.01%0.95%0.98%0.88%1.08%1.48%1.53%1.84%8.40%-0.63%1.10%1.00%

According to 2 Wall Street analysts, Triumph Financial's projected average Quarter EPS for Mar 24 is $0.32, with a low estimate of $0.32 and a high estimate of $0.32. This represents a -16.67% decrease compared to TFIN previous annual EPS of $0.38 (Dec 23).

Triumph Financial Peer Comparison by Price Target


TickerCompanyLast Closing PriceAvg Price TargetUpside/DownsideAvg Rating
SMBCSouthern Missouri Bancorp$58.69$69.0017.57%Buy
FFNWFirst Financial Northwest$21.33$23.5010.17%Hold
IBTXIndependent Bank Group$60.98$66.008.23%Buy
BOKFBOK Financial$109.83$118.758.12%Hold
THFFFirst Financial$47.10$50.006.16%Buy
TCBITexas Capital Bancshares$78.30$77.67-0.80%Buy
FBNCFirst Bancorp$44.92$43.00-4.27%Buy
GBCIGlacier Bancorp$50.94$47.00-7.73%Hold
FFBCFirst Financial Ban$27.40$25.00-8.76%Hold
TFINTriumph Financial$92.70$74.00-20.17%Hold
BANFBancFirst$120.22$95.00-20.98%Sell
QCRHQCR$81.85$64.00-21.81%Buy

TFIN Forecast FAQ


Is Triumph Financial a good buy?

No, according to 5 Wall Street analysts, Triumph Financial (TFIN) is considered a 'Hold'. The rating consensus is based on 1 'Strong Buy' and 1 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 40.00% of TFIN's total ratings.

What is TFIN's price target?

Triumph Financial (TFIN) average price target is $74 with a range of $74 to $74, implying a -20.17% from its last price of $92.7. The data is based on 5 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.

Will Triumph Financial stock go up soon?

According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for TFIN stock, the company can go down by -20.17% (from the last price of $92.7 to the average price target of $74), down by -20.17% based on the highest stock price target, and down by -20.17% based on the lowest stock price target.

Can Triumph Financial stock reach $140?

TFIN's average twelve months analyst stock price target of $74 does not support the claim that Triumph Financial can reach $140 in the near future.

What are Triumph Financial's analysts' financial forecasts?

Triumph Financial's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $462.97M (high $467.27M, low $458.21M), average EBITDA is $141.48M (high $142.8M, low $140.03M), average net income is $38.08M (high $38.54M, low $37.57M), average SG&A $216.86M (high $218.88M, low $214.63M), and average EPS is $1.6 (high $1.62, low $1.58). TFIN's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2026) are as follows: average revenue is $538.6M (high $543.6M, low $533.05M), average EBITDA is $164.59M (high $166.12M, low $162.9M), average net income is $69.87M (high $70.71M, low $68.94M), average SG&A $252.29M (high $254.63M, low $249.69M), and average EPS is $2.95 (high $2.98, low $2.91).

Did the TFIN's actual financial results beat the analysts' financial forecasts?

Based on Triumph Financial's last annual report (Dec 2022), the company's revenue was $484.56M, beating the average analysts forecast of $454.08M by 6.71%. Apple's EBITDA was $167.67M, beating the average prediction of $128.34M by 30.65%. The company's net income was $102.31M, beating the average estimation of $79.53M by 28.65%. Apple's SG&A was $210.62M, missing the average forecast of $216.95M by -2.92%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $4.06, beating the average prediction of $3.35 by 21.12%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Jun 2023), Triumph Financial's revenue was $102.96M, missing the average analysts' forecast of $106.17M by -3.02%. The company's EBITDA was $26.96M, missing the average prediction of $32.44M by -16.91%. Triumph Financial's net income was $7.65M, missing the average estimation of $9.61M by -20.37%. The company's SG&A was $56.59M, beating the average forecast of $49.73M by 13.80%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $0.3, missing the average prediction of $0.405 by -25.91%