Tricon Residential (TCN) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions


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TCN Stock Forecast


Tricon Residential stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $9.67 (represents a -14.04% downside from TCN’s last price of $11.25) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 10 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.

TCN Price Target


The average price target for Tricon Residential (TCN) is $9.67 based on 1-year price targets from 10 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $11.00 to $8.50. This represents a potential -14.04% downside from TCN's last price of $11.25.

TCN Analyst Ratings


Buy

According to 10 Wall Street analysts, Tricon Residential's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for TCN stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 6 'Buy' (60.00%), 4 'Hold' (40.00%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).

Tricon Residential Price Target by Analyst


DateAnalystCompanyPrice TargetPrice when PublishedPrice Target/Price when PublishedPrice Target/Last Closing Price
Dec 12, 2022-Morgan Stanley$8.50$7.6211.56%-24.44%
Dec 08, 2022-Goldman Sachs$9.50$8.1516.56%-15.56%
Nov 14, 2022-RBC Capital$11.00$9.0221.95%-2.22%
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The latest Tricon Residential stock forecast, released on Dec 12, 2022 by Morgan Stanley company, set a price target of $8.50, which represents a 11.56% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($7.62), and a -24.44% decrease from TCN last price ($11.25).

Tricon Residential Price Target by Period


1M3M12M
# Anlaysts---
Avg Price Target---
Last Closing Price$11.25$11.25$11.25
Upside/Downside-100.00%-100.00%-100.00%

In the current month, the average price target of Tricon Residential stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to Tricon Residential's last price of $11.25. This month's average price target is down NaN% compared to last quarter, and down NaN% compared to last year.

Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades


DateCompanyPrevious RatingNew RatingRating Change
Mar 13, 2023Wolfe ResearchPeer PerformOutperformUpgrade
Dec 12, 2022Morgan StanleyEqual-WeightEqual-WeightHold
Dec 08, 2022Goldman Sachs-NeutralDowngrade
Nov 29, 2022Wolfe Research-Peer PerformInitialise
Nov 14, 2022RBC CapitalOutperformOutperformHold
Sep 19, 2022Wells Fargo-Equal-WeightDowngrade
Sep 19, 2022Jefferies-BuyUpgrade
Sep 19, 2022Susquehanna-NeutralDowngrade
Sep 19, 2022Citigroup-BuyUpgrade
Aug 22, 2022National BankOutperformOutperformHold
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Tricon Residential's last stock rating was published by Wolfe Research on Mar 13, 2023. The company Upgrade its TCN rating from "Peer Perform" to "Outperform".

Tricon Residential Financial Forecast


Tricon Residential Revenue Forecast

Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Dec 19Sep 19Jun 19Mar 19
Revenue-----------$203.63M$195.71M$283.24M$175.52M$151.20M$141.05M$124.95M$119.03M$107.40M$134.70M$128.15M$126.24M$11.72M$11.32M$9.37M$7.49M
Avg Forecast$164.00M$159.00M$156.00M$154.00M$124.92M$122.50M$120.71M$118.90M$116.72M$103.78M$113.15M$110.34M$111.45M$108.08M$107.73M$99.94M$102.44M$94.77M$82.13M$102.29M$107.09M$103.93M$109.31M$61.85M$66.15M$50.40M$53.77M
High Forecast$164.00M$159.00M$156.00M$154.00M$124.92M$122.50M$120.71M$118.90M$116.72M$109.44M$113.15M$110.34M$111.45M$108.08M$107.73M$99.94M$102.44M$94.77M$82.13M$102.29M$107.09M$103.93M$109.31M$61.85M$66.15M$50.40M$53.77M
Low Forecast$164.00M$159.00M$156.00M$154.00M$124.92M$122.50M$120.71M$118.90M$116.72M$98.12M$113.15M$110.34M$111.45M$108.08M$107.73M$99.94M$102.44M$94.77M$82.13M$102.29M$107.09M$103.93M$109.31M$61.85M$66.15M$50.40M$53.77M
# Analysts111111111111111111111111111
Surprise %-----------1.85%1.76%2.62%1.63%1.51%1.38%1.32%1.45%1.05%1.26%1.23%1.15%0.19%0.17%0.19%0.14%

Tricon Residential's average Quarter revenue forecast for Jun 23 based on 1 analysts is $113.15M, with a low forecast of $113.15M, and a high forecast of $113.15M. TCN's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a -44.43% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $203.63M (Mar 23).

Tricon Residential EBITDA Forecast

Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Dec 19Sep 19Jun 19Mar 19
# Analysts111111111111111111111111111
EBITDA-----------$105.70M$98.15M$190.16M$92.07M$69.45M$201.14M$310.38M$232.88M$35.15M$152.76M$118.98M$64.12M$55.24M$47.43M$24.46M$38.03M
Avg Forecast$92.94M$90.11M$88.41M$87.27M$70.80M$69.42M$68.41M$67.38M$66.15M$58.81M$64.13M$62.53M$63.16M$61.25M$61.05M$56.64M$58.06M$53.71M$46.54M$57.97M$60.69M$58.90M$61.95M$35.05M$37.49M$28.56M$30.47M
High Forecast$92.94M$90.11M$88.41M$87.27M$70.80M$69.42M$68.41M$67.38M$66.15M$62.02M$64.13M$62.53M$63.16M$61.25M$61.05M$56.64M$58.06M$53.71M$46.54M$57.97M$60.69M$58.90M$61.95M$35.05M$37.49M$28.56M$30.47M
Low Forecast$92.94M$90.11M$88.41M$87.27M$70.80M$69.42M$68.41M$67.38M$66.15M$55.61M$64.13M$62.53M$63.16M$61.25M$61.05M$56.64M$58.06M$53.71M$46.54M$57.97M$60.69M$58.90M$61.95M$35.05M$37.49M$28.56M$30.47M
Surprise %-----------1.69%1.55%3.10%1.51%1.23%3.46%5.78%5.00%0.61%2.52%2.02%1.04%1.58%1.27%0.86%1.25%

1 analysts predict TCN's average Quarter EBITDA for Jun 23 to be $64.13M, with a high of $64.13M and a low of $64.13M. This is -39.33% lower than Tricon Residential's previous annual EBITDA (Mar 23) of $105.70M.

Tricon Residential Net Income Forecast

Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Dec 19Sep 19Jun 19Mar 19
# Analysts111111111111111111111111111
Net Income-----------$26.96M$57.71M$175.59M$415.83M$162.35M$126.98M$200.84M$145.52M$41.90M$79.68M$57.61M$17.05M$44.06M$31.66M$11.93M$23.92M
Avg Forecast----$41.08M$43.82M$41.08M$41.08M$39.71M$24.65M$23.28M$27.38M$78.05M$39.25M$39.71M$39.71M$36.97M$167.37M$35.60M$36.97M$42.45M$42.45M$39.24M$51.56M$56.56M$51.21M$54.77M
High Forecast----$41.08M$43.82M$41.08M$41.08M$39.71M$24.66M$23.28M$27.38M$78.05M$39.25M$39.71M$39.71M$36.97M$200.84M$35.60M$36.97M$42.45M$42.45M$39.24M$51.56M$56.56M$51.21M$54.77M
Low Forecast----$41.08M$43.82M$41.08M$41.08M$39.71M$24.63M$23.28M$27.38M$78.05M$39.25M$39.71M$39.71M$36.97M$133.90M$35.60M$36.97M$42.45M$42.45M$39.24M$51.56M$56.56M$51.21M$54.77M
Surprise %-----------0.98%0.74%4.47%10.47%4.09%3.43%1.20%4.09%1.13%1.88%1.36%0.43%0.85%0.56%0.23%0.44%

Tricon Residential's average Quarter net income forecast for Jun 23 is $23.28M, with a range of $23.28M to $23.28M. TCN's average Quarter net income forecast represents a -13.66% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $26.96M (Mar 23).

Tricon Residential SG&A Forecast

Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Dec 19Sep 19Jun 19Mar 19
# Analysts111111111111111111111111111
SG&A-----------$15.25M$18.16M$14.05M$13.90M$12.88M$91.14M$26.83M$29.52M$26.51M$20.69M$14.13M$15.59M$12.62M$11.36M$13.89M$11.49M
Avg Forecast$53.10M$51.48M$50.51M$49.86M$40.45M$39.66M$39.08M$38.50M$37.79M$33.60M$36.64M$35.73M$36.09M$34.99M$34.88M$32.36M$33.17M$22.36M$26.59M$33.12M$34.67M$33.65M$35.39M$20.03M$21.42M$16.32M$17.41M
High Forecast$53.10M$51.48M$50.51M$49.86M$40.45M$39.66M$39.08M$38.50M$37.79M$35.43M$36.64M$35.73M$36.09M$34.99M$34.88M$32.36M$33.17M$26.83M$26.59M$33.12M$34.67M$33.65M$35.39M$20.03M$21.42M$16.32M$17.41M
Low Forecast$53.10M$51.48M$50.51M$49.86M$40.45M$39.66M$39.08M$38.50M$37.79M$31.77M$36.64M$35.73M$36.09M$34.99M$34.88M$32.36M$33.17M$17.89M$26.59M$33.12M$34.67M$33.65M$35.39M$20.03M$21.42M$16.32M$17.41M
Surprise %-----------0.43%0.50%0.40%0.40%0.40%2.75%1.20%1.11%0.80%0.60%0.42%0.44%0.63%0.53%0.85%0.66%

Tricon Residential's average Quarter SG&A projection for Jun 23 is $36.64M, based on 1 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $36.64M to $36.64M. The forecast indicates a 140.25% rise compared to TCN last annual SG&A of $15.25M (Mar 23).

Tricon Residential EPS Forecast

Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Dec 19Sep 19Jun 19Mar 19
# Analysts111111111111111111111111111
EPS-----------$0.10$0.20$0.64$1.51$0.59$0.59$0.93$0.73$0.22$0.41$0.30$0.09$0.23$0.16$0.08$0.17
Avg Forecast----$0.15$0.16$0.15$0.15$0.14$0.09$0.09$0.10$0.28$0.14$0.14$0.14$0.14$0.13$0.13$0.14$0.15$0.15$0.14$0.19$0.21$0.19$0.20
High Forecast----$0.15$0.16$0.15$0.15$0.14$0.09$0.09$0.10$0.28$0.14$0.14$0.14$0.14$0.13$0.13$0.14$0.15$0.15$0.14$0.19$0.21$0.19$0.20
Low Forecast----$0.15$0.16$0.15$0.15$0.14$0.09$0.09$0.10$0.28$0.14$0.14$0.14$0.14$0.13$0.13$0.14$0.15$0.15$0.14$0.19$0.21$0.19$0.20
Surprise %-----------1.00%0.70%4.47%10.41%4.07%4.37%7.15%5.62%1.63%2.65%1.94%0.63%1.22%0.77%0.43%0.85%

According to 1 Wall Street analysts, Tricon Residential's projected average Quarter EPS for Jun 23 is $0.09, with a low estimate of $0.09 and a high estimate of $0.09. This represents a -15.00% decrease compared to TCN previous annual EPS of $0.10 (Mar 23).

Tricon Residential Peer Comparison by Price Target


TickerCompanyLast Closing PriceAvg Price TargetUpside/DownsideAvg Rating
HOUSAnywhere Real Estate$4.05$8.50109.88%Sell
RMAXRE/MAX$11.68$16.6742.72%Buy
CWKCushman & Wakefield$14.44$17.5021.19%Buy
CIGIColliers Group$149.02$159.677.15%Buy
JLLJones Lang LaSalle$267.04$273.332.36%Buy
NMRKNewmark Group$15.67$14.00-10.66%Buy
TCNTricon Residential$11.25$9.67-14.04%Buy
CBRECBRE Group$135.55$114.60-15.46%Hold
MMIMarcus & Millichap$41.17$26.00-36.85%Buy

TCN Forecast FAQ


Is Tricon Residential a good buy?

Yes, according to 10 Wall Street analysts, Tricon Residential (TCN) is considered a 'Buy'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 6 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 60.00% of TCN's total ratings.

What is TCN's price target?

Tricon Residential (TCN) average price target is $9.67 with a range of $8.5 to $11, implying a -14.04% from its last price of $11.25. The data is based on 10 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.

Will Tricon Residential stock go up soon?

According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for TCN stock, the company can go down by -14.04% (from the last price of $11.25 to the average price target of $9.67), down by -2.22% based on the highest stock price target, and down by -24.44% based on the lowest stock price target.

Can Tricon Residential stock reach $20?

TCN's average twelve months analyst stock price target of $9.67 does not support the claim that Tricon Residential can reach $20 in the near future.

What are Tricon Residential's analysts' financial forecasts?

Tricon Residential's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2024) are as follows: average revenue is $487.03M (high $487.03M, low $487.03M), average EBITDA is $276.01M (high $276.01M, low $276.01M), average net income is $167.05M (high $167.05M, low $167.05M), average SG&A $157.69M (high $157.69M, low $157.69M), and average EPS is $0.61 (high $0.61, low $0.61). TCN's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $633M (high $633M, low $633M), average EBITDA is $358.73M (high $358.73M, low $358.73M), average net income is $0 (high $0, low $0), average SG&A $204.95M (high $204.95M, low $204.95M), and average EPS is $0 (high $0, low $0).

Did the TCN's actual financial results beat the analysts' financial forecasts?

Based on Tricon Residential's last annual report (Dec 2022), the company's revenue was $805.67M, beating the average analysts forecast of $427.2M by 88.59%. Apple's EBITDA was $406.83M, beating the average prediction of $242.1M by 68.04%. The company's net income was $808.94M, beating the average estimation of $196.71M by 311.23%. Apple's SG&A was $58.99M, missing the average forecast of $138.32M by -57.35%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $2.95, beating the average prediction of $0.718 by 310.67%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Mar 2023), Tricon Residential's revenue was $203.63M, beating the average analysts' forecast of $110.34M by 84.54%. The company's EBITDA was $105.7M, beating the average prediction of $62.53M by 69.03%. Tricon Residential's net income was $26.96M, missing the average estimation of $27.38M by -1.55%. The company's SG&A was $15.25M, missing the average forecast of $35.73M by -57.32%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $0.1, beating the average prediction of $0.1 by 0%