TriCo Bancshares (TCBK) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions


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TCBK Stock Forecast


TriCo Bancshares stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $53.75 (represents a 23.73% upside from TCBK’s last price of $43.44) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 5 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.

TCBK Price Target


The average price target for TriCo Bancshares (TCBK) is $53.75 based on 1-year price targets from 5 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $56.00 to $51.00. This represents a potential 23.73% upside from TCBK's last price of $43.44.

TCBK Analyst Ratings


Buy

According to 5 Wall Street analysts, TriCo Bancshares's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for TCBK stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 3 'Buy' (60.00%), 2 'Hold' (40.00%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).

TriCo Bancshares Price Target by Analyst


DateAnalystCompanyPrice TargetPrice when PublishedPrice Target/Price when PublishedPrice Target/Last Closing Price
Jul 29, 2024Jeff RulisD.A. Davidson$55.00$48.0114.56%26.61%
Jul 29, 2024Matthew ClarkPiper Sandler$53.00$47.2312.22%22.01%
Jan 31, 2023-Stephens$56.00$50.5510.78%28.91%
Jul 28, 2022-Raymond James$51.00$46.699.22%17.40%
Jul 07, 2022-Raymond James$48.00$46.273.73%10.50%
May 17, 2022-Piper Sandler$52.00$41.3025.91%19.71%
May 04, 2022-Stephens$46.00$40.3314.07%5.89%
Apr 29, 2022-Raymond James$44.00$38.4814.35%1.29%
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The latest TriCo Bancshares stock forecast, released on Jul 29, 2024 by Jeff Rulis from D.A. Davidson, set a price target of $55.00, which represents a 14.56% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($48.01), and a 26.61% increase from TCBK last price ($43.44).

TriCo Bancshares Price Target by Period


1M3M12M
# Anlaysts-22
Avg Price Target-$54.00$54.00
Last Closing Price$43.44$43.44$43.44
Upside/Downside-100.00%24.31%24.31%

In the current month, the average price target of TriCo Bancshares stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to TriCo Bancshares's last price of $43.44. This month's average price target is down -100.00% compared to last quarter, and down -100.00% compared to last year.

Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades


DateCompanyPrevious RatingNew RatingRating Change
Jul 29, 2024Piper SandlerOverweightOverweightHold
Jul 26, 2024Janney Montgomery-NeutralDowngrade
Jan 26, 2024Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMarket PerformMarket PerformHold
Jan 31, 2023StephensOverweightOverweightHold
Jul 28, 2022Raymond JamesOutperformOutperformHold
Jul 07, 2022Raymond JamesOutperformOutperformHold
May 11, 2022Stephens-OverweightUpgrade
Apr 29, 2022Raymond JamesOutperformOutperformHold
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TriCo Bancshares's last stock rating was published by Piper Sandler on Jul 29, 2024. The company gave TCBK a "Overweight" rating, the same as its previous rate.

TriCo Bancshares Financial Forecast


TriCo Bancshares Revenue Forecast

Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jul 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19Jun 19Mar 19Dec 18Sep 18
Revenue--------$131.93M$102.65M$104.34M$106.97M$114.78M$108.20M-$83.02M$86.28M$81.78M$83.06M$82.60M$83.18M$78.59M$76.33M$75.01M$76.87M$78.80M$77.89M$75.73M$75.22M$72.67M
Avg Forecast$106.05M$104.32M$101.68M$99.08M$99.02M$98.36M$98.12M$100.05M$102.16M$103.19M$104.72M$113.50M$112.59M$107.14M$98.15M$85.70M$84.07M$84.30M$83.72M$81.76M$79.57M$79.97M$76.09M$76.95M$78.36M$78.51M$78.01M$77.06M$67.59M$68.71M
High Forecast$106.84M$105.10M$102.43M$99.82M$99.75M$99.05M$98.85M$100.79M$102.92M$104.42M$105.50M$114.34M$113.42M$107.93M$98.15M$86.80M$85.15M$85.38M$84.79M$82.81M$80.59M$81.00M$77.06M$77.93M$79.36M$79.51M$79.01M$78.05M$81.11M$82.45M
Low Forecast$105.41M$103.70M$101.07M$98.49M$98.42M$97.66M$97.53M$99.45M$101.55M$101.90M$104.10M$112.82M$111.91M$106.49M$98.15M$84.79M$83.17M$83.41M$82.82M$80.89M$78.73M$79.12M$75.28M$76.13M$77.52M$77.67M$77.18M$76.24M$54.07M$54.97M
# Analysts111113112544331122210148810137791620
Surprise %--------1.29%0.99%1.00%0.94%1.02%1.01%-0.97%1.03%0.97%0.99%1.01%1.05%0.98%1.00%0.97%0.98%1.00%1.00%0.98%1.11%1.06%

TriCo Bancshares's average Quarter revenue forecast for Mar 24 based on 1 analysts is $100.05M, with a low forecast of $99.45M, and a high forecast of $100.79M. TCBK's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a -24.17% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $131.93M (Dec 23).

TriCo Bancshares EBITDA Forecast

Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jul 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19Jun 19Mar 19Dec 18Sep 18
# Analysts111113112544331122210148810137791620
EBITDA--------$36.40M$43.66M$33.45M$58.55M$59.98M$55.45M-$33.52M$43.91M$44.72M$44.94M$52.91M$38.49M$30.58M$15.38M$29.93M$43.56M$39.64M$37.54M$38.68M$38.14M$29.79M
Avg Forecast$41.61M$40.94M$39.90M$38.88M$38.85M$38.59M$38.50M$39.26M$40.09M$40.49M$41.09M$88.45M$44.18M$48.67M$38.51M$69.92M$40.61M$44.25M$42.68M$33.34M$31.78M$29.23M$18.52M$30.10M$37.45M$38.46M$36.52M$37.04M$34.27M$28.00M
High Forecast$41.92M$41.24M$40.19M$39.17M$39.14M$38.87M$38.79M$39.55M$40.39M$40.97M$41.40M$106.13M$44.51M$58.41M$38.51M$83.90M$48.73M$53.10M$51.21M$40.01M$38.14M$35.07M$22.22M$36.12M$44.95M$46.15M$43.82M$44.45M$41.12M$33.60M
Low Forecast$41.36M$40.69M$39.66M$38.65M$38.62M$38.32M$38.27M$39.02M$39.85M$39.98M$40.85M$70.76M$43.91M$38.94M$38.51M$55.93M$32.49M$35.40M$34.14M$26.68M$25.43M$23.38M$14.82M$24.08M$29.96M$30.76M$29.21M$29.63M$27.42M$22.40M
Surprise %--------0.91%1.08%0.81%0.66%1.36%1.14%-0.48%1.08%1.01%1.05%1.59%1.21%1.05%0.83%0.99%1.16%1.03%1.03%1.04%1.11%1.06%

1 analysts predict TCBK's average Quarter EBITDA for Mar 24 to be $39.26M, with a high of $39.55M and a low of $39.02M. This is 7.85% upper than TriCo Bancshares's previous annual EBITDA (Dec 23) of $36.40M.

TriCo Bancshares Net Income Forecast

Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jul 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19Jun 19Mar 19Dec 18Sep 18
# Analysts111113112544331122210148810137791620
Net Income--------$26.07M$30.59M$24.89M$35.83M$36.34M$37.34M-$20.37M$28.22M$27.42M$28.36M$33.65M$23.66M$17.61M$7.43M$16.12M$22.89M$23.39M$23.06M$22.73M$23.21M$16.17M
Avg Forecast$30.31M$29.42M$27.81M$26.15M$26.32M$26.93M$26.26M$93.80M$28.15M$29.37M$31.19M$74.15M$38.67M$30.81M$33.26M$58.62M$26.97M$28.01M$27.75M$21.75M$20.23M$17.61M$9.82M$16.98M$22.26M$22.43M$22.43M$21.77M$20.86M$15.20M
High Forecast$30.60M$29.70M$28.08M$26.40M$26.57M$28.24M$26.52M$112.56M$29.15M$30.70M$31.49M$88.98M$39.05M$36.97M$33.26M$70.34M$32.36M$33.61M$33.30M$26.09M$24.27M$21.13M$11.78M$20.38M$26.72M$26.92M$26.92M$26.12M$25.03M$18.24M
Low Forecast$30.07M$29.19M$27.60M$25.95M$26.11M$25.61M$26.06M$75.04M$26.81M$28.36M$30.95M$59.32M$38.37M$24.64M$33.26M$46.89M$21.57M$22.40M$22.20M$17.40M$16.18M$14.08M$7.85M$13.59M$17.81M$17.95M$17.94M$17.41M$16.69M$12.16M
Surprise %--------0.93%1.04%0.80%0.48%0.94%1.21%-0.35%1.05%0.98%1.02%1.55%1.17%1.00%0.76%0.95%1.03%1.04%1.03%1.04%1.11%1.06%

TriCo Bancshares's average Quarter net income forecast for Mar 24 is $93.80M, with a range of $75.04M to $112.56M. TCBK's average Quarter net income forecast represents a 259.72% increase compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $26.07M (Dec 23).

TriCo Bancshares SG&A Forecast

Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jul 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19Jun 19Mar 19Dec 18Sep 18
# Analysts111113112544331122210148810137791620
SG&A---------$35.34M$34.71M$32.56M$36.61M$34.52M-$33.69M$34.17M$32.62M$32.61M$30.60M$34.15M$35.37M$32.86M$32.74M$33.44M$33.42M$33.60M$31.70M$31.50M$31.86M
Avg Forecast$40.10M$39.45M$38.45M$37.47M$37.44M$37.19M$37.11M$37.83M$38.63M$39.02M$39.60M$42.92M$42.58M$36.64M$37.12M$32.41M$31.64M$33.31M$31.91M$19.77M$29.20M$35.37M$43.42M$34.50M$32.53M$32.05M$32.68M$30.36M$28.31M$29.95M
High Forecast$40.40M$39.74M$38.74M$37.75M$37.72M$37.46M$37.38M$38.11M$38.92M$39.49M$39.90M$43.24M$42.89M$43.97M$37.12M$32.83M$37.97M$39.97M$38.29M$23.73M$35.04M$42.45M$52.10M$41.40M$39.03M$38.46M$39.21M$36.43M$33.97M$35.94M
Low Forecast$39.86M$39.21M$38.22M$37.24M$37.22M$36.93M$36.88M$37.61M$38.40M$38.53M$39.36M$42.66M$42.32M$29.31M$37.12M$32.06M$25.31M$26.65M$25.53M$15.82M$23.36M$28.30M$34.74M$27.60M$26.02M$25.64M$26.14M$24.29M$22.64M$23.96M
Surprise %---------0.91%0.88%0.76%0.86%0.94%-1.04%1.08%0.98%1.02%1.55%1.17%1.00%0.76%0.95%1.03%1.04%1.03%1.04%1.11%1.06%

TriCo Bancshares's average Quarter SG&A projection for Dec 23 is $38.63M, based on 2 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $38.40M to $38.92M. The forecast indicates a 9.31% rise compared to TCBK last annual SG&A of $35.34M (Sep 23).

TriCo Bancshares EPS Forecast

Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jul 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19Jun 19Mar 19Dec 18Sep 18
# Analysts111113112544331122210148810137791620
EPS--------$0.78$0.92$0.75$1.08$1.09$1.12-$0.68$0.95$0.92$0.95$1.13$0.80$0.59$0.25$0.53$0.75$0.77$0.76$0.75$0.76$0.54
Avg Forecast$0.91$0.89$0.84$0.79$0.79$0.81$0.79$0.80$0.85$0.88$0.94$1.10$1.16$1.07$1.00$0.52$0.90$0.93$0.93$0.81$0.69$0.59$0.47$0.56$0.72$0.72$0.73$0.71$0.62$0.47
High Forecast$0.92$0.89$0.84$0.79$0.80$0.85$0.80$0.80$0.88$0.92$0.95$1.11$1.17$1.09$1.00$0.53$0.91$0.95$0.94$0.83$0.70$0.60$0.48$0.57$0.73$0.73$0.74$0.73$0.74$0.56
Low Forecast$0.90$0.88$0.83$0.78$0.79$0.77$0.78$0.79$0.81$0.85$0.93$1.09$1.15$1.07$1.00$0.51$0.89$0.92$0.91$0.80$0.68$0.58$0.47$0.56$0.71$0.71$0.72$0.70$0.50$0.38
Surprise %--------0.92%1.04%0.80%0.98%0.94%1.04%-1.32%1.06%0.99%1.03%1.39%1.15%1.00%0.53%0.94%1.04%1.07%1.04%1.05%1.23%1.15%

According to 1 Wall Street analysts, TriCo Bancshares's projected average Quarter EPS for Mar 24 is $0.80, with a low estimate of $0.79 and a high estimate of $0.80. This represents a 1.92% increase compared to TCBK previous annual EPS of $0.78 (Dec 23).

TriCo Bancshares Peer Comparison by Price Target


TickerCompanyLast Closing PriceAvg Price TargetUpside/DownsideAvg Rating
TCBKTriCo Bancshares$43.44$53.7523.73%Buy
THFFFirst Financial$44.86$50.0011.46%Buy
FNWBFirst Northwest Bancorp$10.68$11.507.68%Hold
FFNWFirst Financial Northwest$22.61$23.503.94%Hold
FCCOFirst Community$21.76$21.00-3.49%Buy
BMRCBank of Marin Bancorp$20.53$15.00-26.94%Hold

TCBK Forecast FAQ


Yes, according to 5 Wall Street analysts, TriCo Bancshares (TCBK) is considered a 'Buy'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 3 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 60.00% of TCBK's total ratings.

TriCo Bancshares (TCBK) average price target is $53.75 with a range of $51 to $56, implying a 23.73% from its last price of $43.44. The data is based on 5 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.

According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for TCBK stock, the company can go up by 23.73% (from the last price of $43.44 to the average price target of $53.75), up by 28.91% based on the highest stock price target, and up by 17.40% based on the lowest stock price target.

TCBK's average twelve months analyst stock price target of $53.75 does not support the claim that TriCo Bancshares can reach $70 in the near future.

TriCo Bancshares's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2024) are as follows: average revenue is $395.54M (high $398.44M, low $393.06M), average EBITDA is $155.21M (high $156.35M, low $154.23M), average net income is $173.31M (high $193.89M, low $152.82M), average SG&A $149.58M (high $150.68M, low $148.64M), and average EPS is $3.19 (high $3.25, low $3.13). TCBK's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $411.14M (high $414.19M, low $408.67M), average EBITDA is $161.33M (high $162.53M, low $160.36M), average net income is $113.69M (high $114.79M, low $112.81M), average SG&A $155.47M (high $156.63M, low $154.54M), and average EPS is $3.42 (high $3.45, low $3.39).

Based on TriCo Bancshares's last annual report (Dec 2023), the company's revenue was $499.89M, beating the average analysts forecast of $423.58M by 18.02%. Apple's EBITDA was $6.12M, missing the average prediction of $210.12M by -97.09%. The company's net income was $117.39M, missing the average estimation of $162.85M by -27.92%. Apple's SG&A was $0, missing the average forecast of $160.18M by -100.00%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $3.52, missing the average prediction of $3.77 by -6.67%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Dec 2023), TriCo Bancshares's revenue was $131.93M, beating the average analysts' forecast of $102.16M by 29.14%. The company's EBITDA was $36.4M, missing the average prediction of $40.09M by -9.20%. TriCo Bancshares's net income was $26.08M, missing the average estimation of $28.15M by -7.36%. The company's SG&A was $0, missing the average forecast of $38.63M by -100.00%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $0.78, missing the average prediction of $0.847 by -7.87%