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Papa John's (PZZA) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions

OverviewRevenueOwnershipFinancialsChartTranscripts

PZZA Stock Forecast

Papa John's stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $58.50 (represents a 50.35% upside from PZZA’s last price of $38.91) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 13 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.

PZZA Price Target

The average price target for Papa John's (PZZA) is $58.50 based on 1-year price targets from 13 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $71.00 to $45.00. This represents a potential 50.35% upside from PZZA's last price of $38.91.

PZZA Analyst Ratings

Buy

According to 13 Wall Street analysts, Papa John's's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for PZZA stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 7 'Buy' (53.85%), 6 'Hold' (46.15%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).

Papa John's Price Target by Analyst

DateAnalystCompanyPrice TargetPrice when PublishedPrice Target/Price when PublishedPrice Target/Last Closing Price
Nov 08, 2024Lauren SilbermanDeutsche Bank$55.00$55.20-0.37%41.35%
Oct 22, 2024Sara SenatoreBank of America Securities$71.00$53.0333.89%82.47%
Aug 09, 2024Aisling GrueningerPiper Sandler$65.00$43.4449.64%67.05%
Aug 09, 2024Andrew StrelzikBMO Capital$65.00$43.4449.64%67.05%
Aug 09, 2024Eric GonzalezKeyBanc$50.00$43.2315.66%28.50%
Jun 26, 2024Chris O'CullStifel Nicolaus$45.00$47.91-6.07%15.65%
May 10, 2024Andrew StrelzikBMO Capital$75.00$52.5842.65%92.75%
May 10, 2024Eric GonzalezKeyBanc$64.00$52.5821.73%64.48%
Apr 21, 2024Chris O'CullStifel Nicolaus$60.00$62.50-4.00%54.20%
Apr 11, 2024Jim SaleraStephens$75.00$62.8619.31%92.75%
Mar 22, 2024Andrew StrelzikBMO Capital$80.00$65.7421.69%105.60%
Mar 21, 2024Eric GonzalezKeyBanc$84.00$68.2523.08%115.88%
Jan 12, 2024Brian MullanPiper Sandler$67.00$71.89-6.80%72.19%
Jan 11, 2024Nick SetyanWedbush$87.00$71.6621.41%123.59%
May 05, 2023Joshua LongStephens$90.00$77.6015.98%131.30%
Feb 08, 2023Wedbush$96.00$92.973.26%146.72%
Nov 03, 2022Nick SetyanWedbush$85.00$75.1513.11%118.45%
Oct 03, 2022Nick SetyanWedbush$95.00$73.9328.50%144.15%
Aug 05, 2022Eric GonzalezKeyBanc$105.00$91.9514.19%169.85%
May 13, 2022Dennis GeigerUBS$93.00$81.8013.69%139.01%
May 06, 2022Nick SeytanWedbush$112.00$87.3628.21%187.84%
May 06, 2022Andrew StrelzikBMO Capital$130.00$87.5348.52%234.10%
Feb 24, 2022Brian MullanDeutsche Bank$122.00$105.8215.29%213.54%
Feb 22, 2022Eric GonzalezKeyBanc$140.00$111.0126.11%259.80%
Dec 17, 2021Alexander SlagleJefferies$144.00$130.7210.16%270.08%
Nov 05, 2021Dennis GeigerUBS$144.00$131.569.46%270.08%

The latest Papa John's stock forecast, released on Nov 08, 2024 by Lauren Silberman from Deutsche Bank, set a price target of $55.00, which represents a -0.37% decrease from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($55.20), and a 41.35% increase from PZZA last price ($38.91).

Papa John's Price Target by Period

1M3M12M
# Anlaysts-214
Avg Price Target-$63.00$67.36
Last Closing Price$38.91$38.91$38.91
Upside/Downside-100.00%61.91%73.12%

In the current month, the average price target of Papa John's stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to Papa John's's last price of $38.91. This month's average price target is down -100.00% compared to last quarter, and down -100.00% compared to last year.

Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades

DateCompanyPrevious RatingNew RatingRating Change
Nov 14, 2024KeyBancOverweightSector WeightDowngrade
Oct 07, 2024StephensOverweightOverweightHold
Aug 23, 2024WedbushOutperformOutperformHold
Aug 09, 2024Piper SandlerOverweightOverweightHold
Aug 09, 2024BMO CapitalOutperformOutperformHold
Aug 09, 2024KeyBancOverweightOverweightHold
May 10, 2024BMO CapitalOutperformOutperformHold
May 10, 2024BenchmarkBuyBuyHold
May 10, 2024KeyBancOverweightOverweightHold
Jan 12, 2024Piper SandlerNeutralNeutralHold
Jan 11, 2024WedbushOutperformOutperformHold
Nov 06, 2023CFRAHoldUpgrade
Sep 01, 2023CitigroupBuyUpgrade
Sep 01, 2023Evercore ISINeutralDowngrade
Sep 01, 2023Telsey AdvisoryMarket PerformDowngrade
Sep 01, 2023WedbushNeutralOutperformUpgrade
Aug 31, 2023StephensOverweightOverweightHold
Jul 20, 2023OTR GlobalPositiveUpgrade
May 05, 2023StephensOverweightOverweightHold
Apr 11, 2023KeyBancOverweightOverweightHold
Feb 08, 2023WedbushNeutralNeutralHold
Dec 21, 2022WedbushOutperformNeutralDowngrade
Nov 03, 2022WedbushOutperformOutperformHold
Oct 03, 2022WedbushOutperformOutperformHold
Oct 03, 2022Deutsche BankHoldHoldHold
Aug 05, 2022KeyBancOverweightOverweightHold
May 13, 2022UBSNeutralNeutralHold
Feb 25, 2022Deutsche BankHoldHoldHold
Feb 25, 2022StephensOverweightOverweightHold

Papa John's's last stock rating was published by KeyBanc on Nov 14, 2024. The company Downgrade its PZZA rating from "Overweight" to "Sector Weight".

Papa John's Financial Forecast

Papa John's Revenue Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
Revenue------------$571.32M$522.81M$514.53M$527.05M$526.23M$510.51M$522.66M$542.69M$528.88M-$515.01M$511.75M$469.81M$472.94M$460.62M$409.86M$417.51M$403.71M
Avg Forecast$552.22M$537.80M$530.06M$528.51M$532.03M$519.13M$513.78M$515.61M$516.77M$497.28M$520.13M$544.46M$578.17M$530.32M$531.53M$534.00M$524.09M$514.41M$529.63M$540.38M$524.71M$500.92M$494.26M$469.85M$468.87M$466.15M$467.47M$413.01M$403.74M$384.54M
High Forecast$579.23M$564.11M$556.00M$554.36M$558.06M$544.53M$538.92M$527.73M$530.80M$498.79M$520.13M$544.46M$587.34M$530.33M$557.54M$560.13M$549.73M$514.41M$529.63M$540.38M$524.71M$500.92M$494.26M$469.85M$468.87M$466.15M$467.47M$413.01M$403.74M$384.54M
Low Forecast$537.89M$523.84M$516.31M$514.79M$518.22M$505.66M$500.45M$507.30M$502.00M$495.78M$520.13M$544.46M$568.77M$530.31M$517.74M$520.14M$510.49M$514.41M$529.63M$540.38M$524.71M$500.92M$494.26M$469.85M$468.87M$466.15M$467.47M$413.01M$403.74M$384.54M
# Analysts5485336912666128885555666611159988
Surprise %------------0.99%0.99%0.97%0.99%1.00%0.99%0.99%1.00%1.01%-1.04%1.09%1.00%1.01%0.99%0.99%1.03%1.05%

Papa John's's average Quarter revenue forecast for Mar 24 based on 6 analysts is $544.46M, with a low forecast of $544.46M, and a high forecast of $544.46M. PZZA's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a -4.70% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $571.32M (Dec 23).

Papa John's EBITDA Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts5485336912666128885555666611159988
EBITDA------------$-27.45M$48.27M$27.96M$52.52M$50.25M$46.93M$53.15M$57.17M$51.15M-$55.78M$58.34M$33.99M$36.62M$41.57M$27.22M$12.69M$16.89M
Avg Forecast$43.96M$42.81M$42.20M$42.07M$42.35M$41.33M$40.90M$41.05M$41.14M$39.59M$41.41M$30.46M$46.03M$42.22M$42.32M$27.69M$53.92M$41.68M$42.91M$25.17M$42.51M$40.58M$40.04M$25.21M$37.99M$37.77M$37.87M$39.57M$32.71M$31.15M
High Forecast$46.11M$44.91M$44.26M$44.13M$44.43M$43.35M$42.90M$42.01M$42.26M$39.71M$41.41M$36.55M$46.76M$42.22M$44.39M$33.23M$64.70M$41.68M$42.91M$30.21M$42.51M$40.58M$40.04M$30.25M$37.99M$37.77M$37.87M$47.48M$32.71M$31.15M
Low Forecast$42.82M$41.70M$41.10M$40.98M$41.26M$40.26M$39.84M$40.39M$39.96M$39.47M$41.41M$24.37M$45.28M$42.22M$41.22M$22.15M$43.13M$41.68M$42.91M$20.14M$42.51M$40.58M$40.04M$20.17M$37.99M$37.77M$37.87M$31.66M$32.71M$31.15M
Surprise %-------------0.60%1.14%0.66%1.90%0.93%1.13%1.24%2.27%1.20%-1.39%2.31%0.89%0.97%1.10%0.69%0.39%0.54%

12 analysts predict PZZA's average Quarter EBITDA for Dec 23 to be $46.03M, with a high of $46.76M and a low of $45.28M. This is -4.65% lower than Papa John's's previous annual EBITDA (Sep 23) of $48.27M.

Papa John's Net Income Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts5485336912666128885555666611159988
Net Income------------$26.09M$15.86M$17.77M$22.38M$23.51M$8.33M$25.43M$10.49M$25.54M-$32.25M$33.88M$13.17M$15.71M$20.61M$8.44M$-2.14M$385.00K
Avg Forecast$23.76M$19.25M$23.35M$23.63M$21.34M$17.57M$20.42M$21.11M$16.77M$14.16M$17.59M$12.56M$23.80M$18.62M$19.34M$11.42M$25.96M$19.84M$24.55M$10.38M$23.72M$23.43M$24.17M$14.64M$15.68M$10.88M$15.51M$12.27M$10.53M$7.17M
High Forecast$25.27M$20.48M$24.83M$25.13M$22.69M$18.68M$21.72M$24.30M$18.48M$14.24M$17.60M$15.08M$25.43M$18.63M$20.57M$13.70M$31.15M$19.84M$24.55M$12.46M$23.72M$23.43M$24.17M$17.57M$15.68M$10.88M$15.51M$14.73M$10.53M$7.17M
Low Forecast$22.96M$18.60M$22.56M$22.83M$20.62M$16.97M$19.73M$18.55M$15.06M$14.07M$17.59M$10.05M$21.52M$18.62M$18.69M$9.14M$20.77M$19.84M$24.55M$8.31M$23.72M$23.43M$24.17M$11.71M$15.68M$10.88M$15.51M$9.82M$10.53M$7.17M
Surprise %------------1.10%0.85%0.92%1.96%0.91%0.42%1.04%1.01%1.08%-1.33%2.31%0.84%1.44%1.33%0.69%-0.20%0.05%

Papa John's's average Quarter net income forecast for Mar 24 is $12.56M, with a range of $10.05M to $15.08M. PZZA's average Quarter net income forecast represents a -51.85% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $26.09M (Dec 23).

Papa John's SG&A Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts5485336912666128885555666611159988
SG&A------------$57.88M$52.17M$50.32M$51.94M$48.89M$44.71M$43.14M$46.30M$50.76M-$50.37M$46.13M$49.58M$52.60M$48.43M$47.65M$70.10M$53.50M
Avg Forecast$60.81M$59.22M$58.37M$58.19M$58.58M$57.16M$56.57M$56.77M$56.90M$54.76M$57.27M$55.43M$63.66M$58.39M$58.53M$50.39M$53.51M$57.09M$58.78M$45.81M$58.23M$55.59M$54.85M$19.93M$52.04M$51.73M$51.88M$69.28M$44.81M$42.68M
High Forecast$63.78M$62.11M$61.22M$61.04M$61.45M$59.96M$59.34M$58.11M$58.45M$54.92M$57.27M$66.51M$64.67M$58.40M$61.39M$60.47M$64.21M$57.09M$58.78M$54.97M$58.23M$55.59M$54.85M$23.92M$52.04M$51.73M$51.88M$83.13M$44.81M$42.68M
Low Forecast$59.23M$57.68M$56.85M$56.68M$57.06M$55.68M$55.11M$55.86M$55.28M$54.59M$57.27M$44.34M$62.63M$58.39M$57.01M$40.31M$42.80M$57.09M$58.78M$36.65M$58.23M$55.59M$54.85M$15.95M$52.04M$51.73M$51.88M$55.42M$44.81M$42.68M
Surprise %------------0.91%0.89%0.86%1.03%0.91%0.78%0.73%1.01%0.87%-0.92%2.31%0.95%1.02%0.93%0.69%1.56%1.25%

Papa John's's average Quarter SG&A projection for Mar 24 is $55.43M, based on 6 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $44.34M to $66.51M. The forecast indicates a -4.24% fall compared to PZZA last annual SG&A of $57.88M (Dec 23).

Papa John's EPS Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts5485336912666128885555666611159988
EPS------------$0.79$0.49$0.55$0.66$0.66$0.23$0.71$0.29$0.71-$-2.30$0.83$0.29$0.35$0.49$0.15$-0.18$-0.10
Avg Forecast$0.72$0.58$0.71$0.72$0.65$0.53$0.62$0.64$0.51$0.43$0.53$0.57$0.72$0.57$0.59$0.67$0.66$0.60$0.75$0.94$0.72$0.71$0.74$0.56$0.48$0.33$0.47$0.40$0.32$0.22
High Forecast$0.77$0.62$0.75$0.76$0.69$0.57$0.66$0.74$0.56$0.43$0.53$0.57$0.77$0.57$0.62$0.71$0.70$0.60$0.75$0.94$0.72$0.71$0.74$0.56$0.48$0.33$0.47$0.40$0.32$0.22
Low Forecast$0.70$0.56$0.69$0.69$0.63$0.52$0.60$0.56$0.46$0.43$0.53$0.57$0.65$0.57$0.57$0.64$0.64$0.60$0.75$0.94$0.72$0.71$0.74$0.56$0.48$0.33$0.47$0.40$0.32$0.22
Surprise %------------1.09%0.87%0.94%0.99%1.00%0.38%0.95%0.31%0.98%--3.13%1.47%0.61%1.06%1.04%0.37%-0.56%-0.46%

According to 6 Wall Street analysts, Papa John's's projected average Quarter EPS for Mar 24 is $0.57, with a low estimate of $0.57 and a high estimate of $0.57. This represents a -27.94% decrease compared to PZZA previous annual EPS of $0.79 (Dec 23).

Papa John's Peer Comparison by Price Target

TickerCompanyLast Closing PriceAvg Price TargetUpside/DownsideAvg Rating
BLMNBloomin' Brands$12.60$20.0058.73%Hold
JACKJack in the Box$42.85$61.3343.13%Buy
WINGWingstop$295.84$419.0041.63%Buy
DINDine Brands Global$30.92$43.2539.88%Buy
PZZAPapa John's$41.96$58.5039.42%Buy
QSRRestaurant Brands$67.48$83.0023.00%Buy
DRIDarden Restaurants$165.46$189.2114.35%Buy
DPZDomino's Pizza$446.74$488.719.39%Buy
YUMYum! Brands$134.73$145.868.26%Buy
BJRIBJ's Restaurants$37.33$39.606.08%Buy
CMGChipotle Mexican Grill$64.29$63.81-0.75%Buy
CAKECheesecake Factory$50.39$49.33-2.10%Buy
SHAKShake Shack$129.19$119.00-7.89%Hold
EATBrinker$133.77$100.50-24.87%Hold

PZZA Forecast FAQ

Is Papa John's a good buy?

Yes, according to 13 Wall Street analysts, Papa John's (PZZA) is considered a 'Buy'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 7 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 53.85% of PZZA's total ratings.

What is PZZA's price target?

Papa John's (PZZA) average price target is $58.5 with a range of $45 to $71, implying a 50.35% from its last price of $38.91. The data is based on 13 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.

Will Papa John's stock go up soon?

According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for PZZA stock, the company can go up by 50.35% (from the last price of $38.91 to the average price target of $58.5), up by 82.47% based on the highest stock price target, and up by 15.65% based on the lowest stock price target.

Can Papa John's stock reach $60?

PZZA's highest twelve months analyst stock price target of $71 supports the claim that Papa John's can reach $60 in the near future.

What are Papa John's's analysts' financial forecasts?

Papa John's's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $2.08B (high $2.17B, low $2.03B), average EBITDA is $165.63M (high $172.69M, low $161.74M), average net income is $80.43M (high $87.4M, low $75.87M), average SG&A $229.09M (high $238.86M, low $223.71M), and average EPS is $2.44 (high $2.65, low $2.3). PZZA's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2026) are as follows: average revenue is $2.15B (high $2.25B, low $2.09B), average EBITDA is $171.05M (high $179.42M, low $166.61M), average net income is $89.99M (high $95.72M, low $86.96M), average SG&A $236.58M (high $248.16M, low $230.44M), and average EPS is $2.73 (high $2.91, low $2.64).

Did the PZZA's actual financial results beat the analysts' financial forecasts?

Based on Papa John's's last annual report (Dec 2023), the company's revenue was $2.14B, which missed the average analysts forecast of $2.17B by -1.76%. Apple's EBITDA was $123.59M, missing the average prediction of $158.25M by -21.90%. The company's net income was $82.1M, beating the average estimation of $73.19M by 12.18%. Apple's SG&A was $210.36M, missing the average forecast of $230.98M by -8.93%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $2.48, missing the average prediction of $2.54 by -2.46%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Dec 2023), Papa John's's revenue was $571.32M, missing the average analysts' forecast of $578.17M by -1.18%. The company's EBITDA was $-27.447M, missing the average prediction of $46.03M by -159.63%. Papa John's's net income was $26.09M, beating the average estimation of $23.8M by 9.64%. The company's SG&A was $57.88M, missing the average forecast of $63.66M by -9.08%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $0.79, beating the average prediction of $0.723 by 9.31%