Papa John's (PZZA) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions


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PZZA Stock Forecast


Papa John's stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $82.89 (represents a 76.62% upside from PZZA’s last price of $46.93) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 13 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.

PZZA Price Target


The average price target for Papa John's (PZZA) is $82.89 based on 1-year price targets from 13 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $144.00 to $45.00. This represents a potential 76.62% upside from PZZA's last price of $46.93.

PZZA Analyst Ratings


Buy

According to 13 Wall Street analysts, Papa John's's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for PZZA stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 8 'Buy' (61.54%), 5 'Hold' (38.46%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).

Papa John's Price Target by Analyst


DateAnalystCompanyPrice TargetPrice when PublishedPrice Target/Price when PublishedPrice Target/Last Closing Price
Aug 09, 2024Aisling GrueningerPiper Sandler$65.00$43.4449.64%38.50%
Aug 09, 2024Andrew StrelzikBMO Capital$65.00$43.4449.64%38.50%
Aug 09, 2024Eric GonzalezKeyBanc$50.00$43.2315.66%6.54%
Jun 26, 2024Chris O'CullStifel Nicolaus$45.00$47.91-6.07%-4.11%
May 10, 2024Andrew StrelzikBMO Capital$75.00$52.5842.65%59.81%
May 10, 2024Eric GonzalezKeyBanc$64.00$52.5821.73%36.37%
Apr 21, 2024Chris O'CullStifel Nicolaus$60.00$62.50-4.00%27.85%
Apr 11, 2024Jim SaleraStephens$75.00$62.8619.31%59.81%
Mar 22, 2024Andrew StrelzikBMO Capital$80.00$65.7421.69%70.47%
Mar 21, 2024Eric GonzalezKeyBanc$84.00$68.2523.08%78.99%
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The latest Papa John's stock forecast, released on Aug 09, 2024 by Aisling Grueninger from Piper Sandler, set a price target of $65.00, which represents a 49.64% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($43.44), and a 38.50% increase from PZZA last price ($46.93).

Papa John's Price Target by Period


1M3M12M
# Anlaysts3412
Avg Price Target$60.00$56.25$68.08
Last Closing Price$46.93$46.93$46.93
Upside/Downside27.85%19.86%45.07%

In the current month, the average price target of Papa John's stock is $60.00, according to 3 Wall Street analysts offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a 27.85% increase as opposed to Papa John's's last price of $46.93. This month's average price target is up 6.67% compared to last quarter, and down -11.87% compared to last year.

Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades


DateCompanyPrevious RatingNew RatingRating Change
Aug 23, 2024WedbushOutperformOutperformHold
Aug 09, 2024Piper SandlerOverweightOverweightHold
Aug 09, 2024BMO CapitalOutperformOutperformHold
Aug 09, 2024KeyBancOverweightOverweightHold
May 10, 2024BMO CapitalOutperformOutperformHold
May 10, 2024BenchmarkBuyBuyHold
May 10, 2024KeyBancOverweightOverweightHold
Jan 12, 2024Piper SandlerNeutralNeutralHold
Jan 11, 2024WedbushOutperformOutperformHold
Nov 06, 2023CFRA-HoldUpgrade
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Papa John's's last stock rating was published by Wedbush on Aug 23, 2024. The company gave PZZA a "Outperform" rating, the same as its previous rate.

Papa John's Financial Forecast


Papa John's Revenue Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jul 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
Revenue------------$571.32M$522.81M$514.53M$527.05M$526.23M$510.51M-$542.69M$528.88M-$515.01M$511.75M$469.81M$472.94M$460.62M$409.86M$417.51M$403.71M
Avg Forecast$548.03M$529.07M$528.94M$523.33M$538.96M$522.73M$522.18M$524.78M$517.12M$497.85M$520.13M$544.46M$578.17M$530.32M$531.53M$534.00M$524.09M$514.41M$529.63M$540.38M$524.71M$500.92M$494.26M$469.85M$468.87M$466.15M$467.47M$413.01M$403.74M$384.54M
High Forecast$576.83M$556.87M$556.73M$550.83M$567.28M$550.20M$549.62M$552.36M$544.30M$504.12M$547.46M$573.07M$587.34M$558.19M$559.47M$562.06M$551.63M$541.44M$529.63M$551.37M$535.38M$511.11M$504.30M$479.40M$478.40M$475.62M$476.98M$421.41M$411.95M$392.35M
Low Forecast$533.24M$514.78M$514.66M$509.20M$524.41M$508.62M$508.08M$510.61M$503.16M$490.65M$506.09M$529.76M$568.77M$516.00M$517.19M$519.58M$509.94M$500.52M$529.63M$530.76M$515.37M$492.00M$485.45M$461.48M$460.52M$457.85M$459.15M$405.66M$396.55M$377.69M
# Analysts1075585448115612999555566677871096
Surprise %------------0.99%0.99%0.97%0.99%1.00%0.99%-1.00%1.01%-1.04%1.09%1.00%1.01%0.99%0.99%1.03%1.05%

Papa John's's average Quarter revenue forecast for Mar 24 based on 6 analysts is $544.46M, with a low forecast of $529.76M, and a high forecast of $573.07M. PZZA's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a -4.70% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $571.32M (Dec 23).

Papa John's EBITDA Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jul 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts1075585448115612999555566677871096
EBITDA------------$-27.45M$48.27M$27.96M$52.52M$50.25M$46.93M-$57.17M$51.15M-$55.78M$58.34M$33.99M$36.62M$41.57M$27.22M$12.69M$16.89M
Avg Forecast$44.40M$42.86M$42.85M$42.40M$43.66M$42.35M$42.31M$42.52M$41.90M$40.33M$42.14M$30.46M$46.84M$42.96M$43.06M$27.69M$42.46M$37.84M$42.91M$25.17M$49.01M$40.58M$36.38M$25.21M$38.43M$34.40M$38.80M$39.57M$11.15M$18.36M
High Forecast$46.73M$45.12M$45.10M$44.63M$45.96M$44.58M$44.53M$44.75M$44.10M$40.84M$44.35M$36.55M$47.58M$45.22M$45.33M$33.23M$44.69M$45.41M$42.91M$30.21M$58.82M$41.41M$43.65M$30.25M$46.11M$41.29M$46.56M$47.48M$13.38M$22.03M
Low Forecast$43.20M$41.71M$41.70M$41.25M$42.49M$41.21M$41.16M$41.37M$40.76M$39.75M$41.00M$24.37M$46.08M$41.80M$41.90M$22.15M$41.31M$30.28M$42.91M$20.14M$39.21M$39.86M$29.10M$20.17M$30.74M$27.52M$31.04M$31.66M$8.92M$14.68M
Surprise %-------------0.59%1.12%0.65%1.90%1.18%1.24%-2.27%1.04%-1.53%2.31%0.88%1.06%1.07%0.69%1.14%0.92%

12 analysts predict PZZA's average Quarter EBITDA for Dec 23 to be $46.84M, with a high of $47.58M and a low of $46.08M. This is -2.96% lower than Papa John's's previous annual EBITDA (Sep 23) of $48.27M.

Papa John's Net Income Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jul 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts1075585448115612999555566677871096
Net Income------------$26.09M$15.86M$17.77M$22.38M$23.51M$8.33M-$10.49M$25.54M-$32.25M$33.88M$13.17M$15.71M$20.61M$8.44M$-2.14M$385.00K
Avg Forecast$25.55M$20.06M$24.43M$24.77M$22.30M$18.13M$21.27M$22.66M$18.60M$14.07M$17.55M$12.56M$23.74M$18.58M$19.30M$11.42M$21.77M$16.23M$24.59M$10.38M$23.60M$23.42M$21.04M$14.64M$14.88M$14.76M$19.24M$12.27M$-1.88M$418.48K
High Forecast$27.29M$21.43M$26.09M$26.46M$23.82M$19.37M$22.72M$24.20M$19.87M$15.83M$18.75M$15.08M$25.37M$19.85M$20.61M$13.70M$23.25M$19.48M$24.59M$12.46M$28.32M$24.03M$25.24M$17.57M$17.86M$17.71M$23.09M$14.73M$-1.51M$502.17K
Low Forecast$24.65M$19.35M$23.57M$23.90M$21.52M$17.49M$20.52M$21.86M$17.95M$11.61M$16.94M$10.05M$21.47M$17.93M$18.62M$9.14M$21.00M$12.99M$24.59M$8.31M$18.88M$22.87M$16.83M$11.71M$11.91M$11.80M$15.39M$9.82M$-2.26M$334.78K
Surprise %------------1.10%0.85%0.92%1.96%1.08%0.51%-1.01%1.08%-1.53%2.31%0.88%1.06%1.07%0.69%1.14%0.92%

Papa John's's average Quarter net income forecast for Mar 24 is $12.56M, with a range of $10.05M to $15.08M. PZZA's average Quarter net income forecast represents a -51.85% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $26.09M (Dec 23).

Papa John's SG&A Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jul 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts1075585448115612999555566677871096
SG&A------------$57.88M$52.17M$50.32M$51.94M$48.89M$44.71M-$46.30M$50.76M-$50.37M$46.13M$49.58M$52.60M$48.43M$47.65M$70.10M$53.50M
Avg Forecast$60.82M$58.72M$58.70M$58.08M$59.81M$58.01M$57.95M$58.24M$57.39M$55.25M$57.73M$55.43M$64.17M$58.86M$58.99M$50.39M$58.17M$54.35M$58.78M$45.81M$48.64M$55.59M$32.85M$19.93M$56.04M$49.41M$45.20M$69.28M$61.61M$58.16M
High Forecast$64.02M$61.80M$61.79M$61.13M$62.96M$61.06M$61.00M$61.30M$60.41M$55.95M$60.76M$66.51M$65.18M$61.95M$62.09M$60.47M$61.22M$65.23M$58.78M$54.97M$58.37M$56.72M$39.42M$23.92M$67.25M$59.30M$54.24M$83.13M$73.93M$69.79M
Low Forecast$59.18M$57.13M$57.12M$56.51M$58.20M$56.45M$56.39M$56.67M$55.84M$54.45M$56.17M$44.34M$63.12M$57.27M$57.40M$40.31M$56.59M$43.48M$58.78M$36.65M$38.91M$54.60M$26.28M$15.95M$44.83M$39.53M$36.16M$55.42M$49.29M$46.52M
Surprise %------------0.90%0.89%0.85%1.03%0.84%0.82%-1.01%1.04%-1.53%2.31%0.88%1.06%1.07%0.69%1.14%0.92%

Papa John's's average Quarter SG&A projection for Mar 24 is $55.43M, based on 6 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $44.34M to $66.51M. The forecast indicates a -4.24% fall compared to PZZA last annual SG&A of $57.88M (Dec 23).

Papa John's EPS Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jul 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts1075585448115612999555566677871096
EPS------------$0.79$0.49$0.55$0.66$0.66$0.23-$0.29$0.71-$-2.30$0.83$0.29$0.35$0.49$0.15$-0.18$-0.10
Avg Forecast$0.78$0.61$0.74$0.75$0.68$0.55$0.65$0.69$0.57$0.43$0.53$0.57$0.72$0.57$0.59$0.67$0.66$0.60$0.75$0.94$0.72$0.71$0.74$0.56$0.48$0.33$0.47$0.40$0.32$0.22
High Forecast$0.83$0.65$0.79$0.81$0.73$0.59$0.69$0.74$0.60$0.48$0.57$0.61$0.77$0.60$0.63$0.71$0.71$0.65$0.75$0.96$0.74$0.73$0.76$0.58$0.49$0.34$0.48$0.41$0.33$0.22
Low Forecast$0.75$0.59$0.72$0.73$0.65$0.53$0.62$0.67$0.55$0.35$0.52$0.55$0.65$0.55$0.57$0.64$0.64$0.58$0.75$0.92$0.71$0.70$0.72$0.55$0.47$0.32$0.46$0.39$0.31$0.21
Surprise %------------1.09%0.87%0.94%0.99%1.00%0.38%-0.31%0.98%--3.13%1.47%0.61%1.06%1.04%0.37%-0.56%-0.46%

According to 6 Wall Street analysts, Papa John's's projected average Quarter EPS for Mar 24 is $0.57, with a low estimate of $0.55 and a high estimate of $0.61. This represents a -27.94% decrease compared to PZZA previous annual EPS of $0.79 (Dec 23).

Papa John's Peer Comparison by Price Target


TickerCompanyLast Closing PriceAvg Price TargetUpside/DownsideAvg Rating
DINDine Brands Global$30.75$62.63103.67%Buy
PZZAPapa John's$46.93$82.8976.62%Buy
JACKJack in the Box$45.84$77.5069.07%Buy
BLMNBloomin' Brands$16.84$25.5051.43%Hold
BJRIBJ's Restaurants$29.52$39.6034.15%Buy
DPZDomino's Pizza$408.49$493.2920.76%Buy
QSRRestaurant Brands$67.63$76.9513.78%Buy
SHAKShake Shack$93.35$101.718.96%Hold
CAKECheesecake Factory$37.46$40.778.84%Buy
YUMYum! Brands$133.87$144.588.00%Buy
CMGChipotle Mexican Grill$53.68$55.523.43%Buy
DRIDarden Restaurants$157.43$159.001.00%Buy
WINGWingstop$362.41$297.53-17.90%Hold
EATBrinker$69.14$55.30-20.02%Hold

PZZA Forecast FAQ


Yes, according to 13 Wall Street analysts, Papa John's (PZZA) is considered a 'Buy'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 8 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 61.54% of PZZA's total ratings.

Papa John's (PZZA) average price target is $82.89 with a range of $45 to $144, implying a 76.62% from its last price of $46.93. The data is based on 13 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.

According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for PZZA stock, the company can go up by 76.62% (from the last price of $46.93 to the average price target of $82.89), up by 206.84% based on the highest stock price target, and down by -4.11% based on the lowest stock price target.

PZZA's average twelve months analyst stock price target of $82.89 supports the claim that Papa John's can reach $70 in the near future.

3 Wall Street analysts forecast a $60 price target for Papa John's (PZZA) this month, up 27.85% from its last price of $46.93. Compared to the last 3 and 12 months, the average price target increased by 19.86% and increased by 45.07%, respectively.

Papa John's's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $2.11B (high $2.22B, low $2.05B), average EBITDA is $170.84M (high $179.81M, low $166.22M), average net income is $84.35M (high $90.11M, low $81.39M), average SG&A $234.02M (high $246.32M, low $227.71M), and average EPS is $2.57 (high $2.74, low $2.48). PZZA's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2026) are as follows: average revenue is $2.13B (high $2.24B, low $2.07B), average EBITDA is $172.51M (high $181.58M, low $167.86M), average net income is $94.8M (high $101.28M, low $91.48M), average SG&A $236.32M (high $248.74M, low $229.94M), and average EPS is $2.89 (high $3.08, low $2.78).

Based on Papa John's's last annual report (Dec 2023), the company's revenue was $2.14B, which missed the average analysts forecast of $2.17B by -1.76%. Apple's EBITDA was $123.59M, missing the average prediction of $160.56M by -23.02%. The company's net income was $82.1M, beating the average estimation of $73.04M by 12.40%. Apple's SG&A was $210.36M, missing the average forecast of $232.4M by -9.49%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $2.48, missing the average prediction of $2.54 by -2.46%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Dec 2023), Papa John's's revenue was $571.32M, missing the average analysts' forecast of $578.17M by -1.18%. The company's EBITDA was $-27.447M, missing the average prediction of $46.84M by -158.60%. Papa John's's net income was $26.09M, beating the average estimation of $23.74M by 9.89%. The company's SG&A was $57.88M, missing the average forecast of $64.17M by -9.79%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $0.79, beating the average prediction of $0.723 by 9.31%