Penske Automotive Group (PAG) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions
PAG Stock Forecast
Penske Automotive Group stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $109.00 (represents a -28.39% downside from PAG’s last price of $152.21) and a rating consensus of 'Sell', based on 4 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.
PAG Price Target
The average price target for Penske Automotive Group (PAG) is $109.00 based on 1-year price targets from 4 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $125.00 to $93.00. This represents a potential -28.39% downside from PAG's last price of $152.21.
PAG Analyst Ratings
According to 4 Wall Street analysts, Penske Automotive Group's rating consensus is 'Sell'. The analyst rating breakdown for PAG stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 1 'Buy' (25.00%), 1 'Hold' (25.00%), 2 'Sell' (50.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).
Penske Automotive Group Price Target by Analyst
| Date | Analyst | Company | Price Target | Price when Published | Price Target/Price when Published | Price Target/Last Closing Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2024 | Garrett Nelson | CFRA | $125.00 | $152.91 | -18.25% | -17.88% |
| Jul 14, 2022 | - | Morgan Stanley | $93.00 | $102.31 | -9.10% | -38.90% |
The latest Penske Automotive Group stock forecast, released on Apr 30, 2024 by Garrett Nelson from CFRA, set a price target of $125.00, which represents a -18.25% decrease from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($152.91), and a -17.88% decrease from PAG last price ($152.21).
Penske Automotive Group Price Target by Period
| 1M | 3M | 12M | |
|---|---|---|---|
| # Anlaysts | - | - | 1 |
| Avg Price Target | - | - | $125.00 |
| Last Closing Price | $152.21 | $152.21 | $152.21 |
| Upside/Downside | -100.00% | -100.00% | -17.88% |
In the current month, the average price target of Penske Automotive Group stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to Penske Automotive Group's last price of $152.21. This month's average price target is down NaN% compared to last quarter, and down -100.00% compared to last year.
Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades
| Date | Company | Previous Rating | New Rating | Rating Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2024 | Stephens | - | Equal-Weight | Initialise |
| Apr 30, 2024 | CFRA | Sell | Sell | Hold |
| Apr 11, 2023 | Benchmark | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Jul 14, 2022 | Morgan Stanley | Underweight | Underweight | Hold |
Penske Automotive Group's last stock rating was published by Stephens on Sep 11, 2024. The company Initialise its PAG rating from "null" to "Equal-Weight".
Penske Automotive Group Financial Forecast
Penske Automotive Group Revenue Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $7.45B | $7.47B | $7.34B | $7.01B | $6.92B | - | $6.98B | $6.30B | $6.50B | $6.99B | $5.77B | $5.81B | $5.97B | $3.65B | $5.01B | $5.89B | $5.97B |
| Avg Forecast | $7.83B | $7.82B | $7.78B | $7.77B | $7.73B | $7.82B | $7.84B | $7.79B | $7.65B | $7.76B | $7.59B | $7.52B | $7.20B | $7.28B | $7.20B | $7.02B | $6.42B | $6.79B | $7.01B | $6.34B | $6.21B | $6.42B | $6.20B | $5.44B | $5.74B | $5.58B | $3.99B | $5.24B | $5.78B | $5.90B |
| High Forecast | $8.13B | $8.12B | $8.08B | $8.07B | $8.03B | $8.12B | $8.14B | $8.09B | $7.94B | $7.93B | $7.88B | $7.81B | $7.66B | $7.59B | $7.47B | $7.29B | $6.67B | $7.05B | $7.01B | $6.53B | $6.39B | $6.61B | $6.39B | $5.60B | $5.91B | $5.75B | $4.11B | $5.39B | $5.95B | $6.07B |
| Low Forecast | $7.66B | $7.65B | $7.61B | $7.60B | $7.56B | $7.65B | $7.67B | $7.62B | $7.48B | $7.64B | $7.42B | $7.36B | $6.87B | $7.04B | $7.04B | $6.87B | $6.28B | $6.64B | $7.01B | $6.16B | $6.04B | $6.25B | $6.03B | $5.29B | $5.58B | $5.43B | $3.88B | $5.09B | $5.62B | $5.73B |
| # Analysts | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 5 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.02% | 1.04% | 1.05% | 1.09% | 1.02% | - | 1.10% | 1.01% | 1.01% | 1.13% | 1.06% | 1.01% | 1.07% | 0.92% | 0.96% | 1.02% | 1.01% |
Penske Automotive Group's average Quarter revenue forecast for Dec 23 based on 4 analysts is $7.20B, with a low forecast of $6.87B, and a high forecast of $7.66B. PAG's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a -3.35% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $7.45B (Sep 23).
Penske Automotive Group EBITDA Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 5 |
| EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $451.90M | $489.40M | $489.50M | $468.10M | $530.40M | - | $553.50M | $469.00M | $527.60M | $520.10M | $303.70M | $329.90M | $378.50M | $129.60M | $149.70M | $219.60M | $240.40M |
| Avg Forecast | $443.89M | $443.15M | $440.89M | $440.33M | $438.19M | $443.37M | $444.55M | $441.58M | $433.39M | $439.78M | $429.93M | $566.30M | $407.97M | $412.35M | $407.81M | $514.82M | $364.06M | $427.89M | $397.25M | $406.97M | $414.05M | $388.99M | $457.53M | $228.19M | $274.14M | $269.40M | $127.24M | $160.55M | $212.34M | $238.70M |
| High Forecast | $460.83M | $460.07M | $457.72M | $457.14M | $454.92M | $460.29M | $461.52M | $458.43M | $449.94M | $449.39M | $446.34M | $679.56M | $434.07M | $429.87M | $423.37M | $617.78M | $377.96M | $513.47M | $397.25M | $488.37M | $496.86M | $466.79M | $549.04M | $273.83M | $328.97M | $323.28M | $152.69M | $192.66M | $254.81M | $286.43M |
| Low Forecast | $434.20M | $433.48M | $431.27M | $430.72M | $428.63M | $433.69M | $434.85M | $431.94M | $423.93M | $433.00M | $420.55M | $453.04M | $389.24M | $399.15M | $398.90M | $411.86M | $356.12M | $342.31M | $397.25M | $325.58M | $331.24M | $311.19M | $366.03M | $182.56M | $219.31M | $215.52M | $101.79M | $128.44M | $169.87M | $190.96M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.10% | 1.20% | 0.95% | 1.29% | 1.24% | - | 1.36% | 1.13% | 1.36% | 1.14% | 1.33% | 1.20% | 1.40% | 1.02% | 0.93% | 1.03% | 1.01% |
4 analysts predict PAG's average Quarter EBITDA for Dec 23 to be $407.97M, with a high of $434.07M and a low of $389.24M. This is -9.72% lower than Penske Automotive Group's previous annual EBITDA (Sep 23) of $451.90M.
Penske Automotive Group Net Income Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 5 |
| Net Income | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $263.40M | $300.80M | $298.30M | $298.00M | $340.10M | - | $367.90M | $312.00M | $355.10M | $338.90M | $182.50M | $200.20M | $246.60M | $45.10M | $51.70M | $101.60M | $116.20M |
| Avg Forecast | $230.12M | $236.14M | $237.48M | $240.16M | $224.10M | $236.81M | $237.48M | $229.45M | $229.41M | $235.39M | $227.06M | $377.50M | $241.22M | $270.46M | $279.13M | $343.18M | $264.49M | $287.99M | $299.84M | $271.29M | $274.83M | $261.81M | $298.13M | $137.13M | $166.36M | $175.52M | $44.28M | $55.45M | $98.24M | $115.38M |
| High Forecast | $241.54M | $247.86M | $249.26M | $252.07M | $235.22M | $248.56M | $249.26M | $240.84M | $240.79M | $257.39M | $238.32M | $453.00M | $258.36M | $275.82M | $292.98M | $411.82M | $277.61M | $345.59M | $299.84M | $325.55M | $329.79M | $314.17M | $357.76M | $164.55M | $199.64M | $210.62M | $53.14M | $66.54M | $117.89M | $138.45M |
| Low Forecast | $223.59M | $229.44M | $230.74M | $233.34M | $217.74M | $230.09M | $230.74M | $222.94M | $222.90M | $218.05M | $220.61M | $302.00M | $220.79M | $267.79M | $271.21M | $274.55M | $256.98M | $230.39M | $299.84M | $217.03M | $219.86M | $209.45M | $238.50M | $109.70M | $133.09M | $140.42M | $35.42M | $44.36M | $78.59M | $92.30M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.97% | 1.08% | 0.87% | 1.13% | 1.18% | - | 1.36% | 1.14% | 1.36% | 1.14% | 1.33% | 1.20% | 1.40% | 1.02% | 0.93% | 1.03% | 1.01% |
Penske Automotive Group's average Quarter net income forecast for Dec 23 is $241.22M, with a range of $220.79M to $258.36M. PAG's average Quarter net income forecast represents a -8.42% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $263.40M (Sep 23).
Penske Automotive Group SG&A Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 5 |
| SG&A | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $853.50M | $858.10M | $844.90M | $815.50M | $792.70M | - | $797.80M | $791.10M | $757.70M | $749.80M | $664.30M | $625.80M | $643.30M | $453.60M | $641.80M | $685.10M | $672.80M |
| Avg Forecast | $906.77M | $905.27M | $900.66M | $899.51M | $895.13M | $905.71M | $908.13M | $902.05M | $885.34M | $898.38M | $878.26M | $818.62M | $833.40M | $842.34M | $833.06M | $744.20M | $743.71M | $614.51M | $811.50M | $588.30M | $698.41M | $558.64M | $659.60M | $499.14M | $520.03M | $457.87M | $445.35M | $688.31M | $662.45M | $668.03M |
| High Forecast | $941.38M | $939.83M | $935.04M | $933.85M | $929.30M | $940.29M | $942.80M | $936.48M | $919.13M | $918.01M | $911.79M | $982.34M | $886.72M | $878.14M | $864.86M | $893.04M | $772.10M | $737.41M | $811.50M | $705.96M | $838.09M | $670.37M | $791.52M | $598.97M | $624.04M | $549.45M | $534.42M | $825.97M | $794.94M | $801.63M |
| Low Forecast | $886.98M | $885.52M | $881.00M | $879.88M | $875.60M | $885.95M | $888.31M | $882.36M | $866.01M | $884.53M | $859.09M | $654.89M | $795.15M | $815.39M | $814.88M | $595.36M | $727.48M | $491.61M | $811.50M | $470.64M | $558.73M | $446.91M | $527.68M | $399.31M | $416.02M | $366.30M | $356.28M | $550.65M | $529.96M | $534.42M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.01% | 1.03% | 1.14% | 1.10% | 1.29% | - | 1.36% | 1.13% | 1.36% | 1.14% | 1.33% | 1.20% | 1.40% | 1.02% | 0.93% | 1.03% | 1.01% |
Penske Automotive Group's average Quarter SG&A projection for Dec 23 is $833.40M, based on 4 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $795.15M to $886.72M. The forecast indicates a -2.36% fall compared to PAG last annual SG&A of $853.50M (Sep 23).
Penske Automotive Group EPS Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 5 |
| EPS | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $3.92 | $4.41 | $4.31 | $4.21 | $4.61 | - | $4.76 | $3.99 | $4.47 | $4.20 | $2.26 | $2.49 | $3.07 | $0.56 | $0.64 | $1.25 | $1.42 |
| Avg Forecast | $3.44 | $3.53 | $3.55 | $3.59 | $3.35 | $3.54 | $3.55 | $3.43 | $3.43 | $3.52 | $3.39 | $3.37 | $3.61 | $4.04 | $4.17 | $4.09 | $3.95 | $4.39 | $4.47 | $3.77 | $3.83 | $3.54 | $2.93 | $1.81 | $2.13 | $1.65 | $0.42 | $0.70 | $1.21 | $1.42 |
| High Forecast | $3.61 | $3.71 | $3.73 | $3.77 | $3.52 | $3.72 | $3.73 | $3.60 | $3.60 | $3.85 | $3.56 | $3.54 | $3.86 | $4.12 | $4.38 | $4.29 | $4.15 | $4.61 | $4.47 | $3.92 | $3.97 | $3.68 | $3.04 | $1.87 | $2.21 | $1.71 | $0.44 | $0.73 | $1.26 | $1.47 |
| Low Forecast | $3.34 | $3.43 | $3.45 | $3.49 | $3.25 | $3.44 | $3.45 | $3.33 | $3.33 | $3.26 | $3.30 | $3.28 | $3.30 | $4.00 | $4.05 | $3.97 | $3.84 | $4.27 | $4.47 | $3.64 | $3.69 | $3.41 | $2.82 | $1.74 | $2.06 | $1.59 | $0.41 | $0.68 | $1.17 | $1.36 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.97% | 1.06% | 1.05% | 1.06% | 1.05% | - | 1.26% | 1.04% | 1.26% | 1.43% | 1.25% | 1.17% | 1.86% | 1.32% | 0.91% | 1.03% | 1.00% |
According to 4 Wall Street analysts, Penske Automotive Group's projected average Quarter EPS for Dec 23 is $3.61, with a low estimate of $3.30 and a high estimate of $3.86. This represents a -8.01% decrease compared to PAG previous annual EPS of $3.92 (Sep 23).
Penske Automotive Group Peer Comparison by Price Target
| Ticker | Company | Last Closing Price | Avg Price Target | Upside/Downside | Avg Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAH | Sonic Automotive | $55.96 | $64.00 | 14.37% | Buy |
| LAD | Lithia Motors | $279.51 | $313.20 | 12.05% | Buy |
| AN | AutoNation | $166.96 | $172.00 | 3.02% | Buy |
| ABG | Asbury Automotive Group | $221.70 | $201.50 | -9.11% | Buy |
| GPI | Group 1 Automotive | $364.39 | $305.00 | -16.30% | Buy |
| PAG | Penske Automotive Group | $152.21 | $109.00 | -28.39% | Sell |
PAG Forecast FAQ
Is Penske Automotive Group a good buy?
No, according to 4 Wall Street analysts, Penske Automotive Group (PAG) is considered a 'Sell'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 1 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 25.00% of PAG's total ratings.
What is PAG's price target?
Penske Automotive Group (PAG) average price target is $109 with a range of $93 to $125, implying a -28.39% from its last price of $152.21. The data is based on 4 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.
Will Penske Automotive Group stock go up soon?
According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for PAG stock, the company can go down by -28.39% (from the last price of $152.21 to the average price target of $109), down by -17.88% based on the highest stock price target, and down by -38.90% based on the lowest stock price target.
Can Penske Automotive Group stock reach $200?
PAG's average twelve months analyst stock price target of $109 does not support the claim that Penske Automotive Group can reach $200 in the near future.
What are Penske Automotive Group's analysts' financial forecasts?
Penske Automotive Group's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $31.19B (high $32.38B, low $30.51B), average EBITDA is $1.77B (high $1.84B, low $1.73B), average net income is $927.84M (high $973.88M, low $901.51M), average SG&A $3.61B (high $3.75B, low $3.53B), and average EPS is $13.87 (high $14.56, low $13.48). PAG's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2026) are as follows: average revenue is $31.2B (high $32.39B, low $30.52B), average EBITDA is $1.77B (high $1.84B, low $1.73B), average net income is $943.9M (high $990.74M, low $917.11M), average SG&A $3.61B (high $3.75B, low $3.53B), and average EPS is $14.11 (high $14.81, low $13.71).
Did the PAG's actual financial results beat the analysts' financial forecasts?
Based on Penske Automotive Group's last annual report (Dec 2022), the company's revenue was $27.81B, beating the average analysts forecast of $26.56B by 4.72%. Apple's EBITDA was $2.11B, beating the average prediction of $1.6B by 32.15%. The company's net income was $1.38B, beating the average estimation of $1.12B by 22.82%. Apple's SG&A was $3.22B, beating the average forecast of $2.76B by 16.88%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $18.55, beating the average prediction of $16.59 by 11.82%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Sep 2023), Penske Automotive Group's revenue was $7.45B, beating the average analysts' forecast of $7.28B by 2.36%. The company's EBITDA was $451.9M, beating the average prediction of $412.35M by 9.59%. Penske Automotive Group's net income was $263.4M, missing the average estimation of $270.46M by -2.61%. The company's SG&A was $853.5M, beating the average forecast of $842.34M by 1.33%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $3.92, missing the average prediction of $4.04 by -3.04%