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O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions

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ORLY Stock Forecast

O'Reilly Automotive stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $1.24K (represents a 2.04% upside from ORLY’s last price of $1.22K) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 11 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.

ORLY Price Target

The average price target for O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) is $1.24K based on 1-year price targets from 11 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $1.32K to $1.11K. This represents a potential 2.04% upside from ORLY's last price of $1.22K.

ORLY Analyst Ratings

Buy

According to 11 Wall Street analysts, O'Reilly Automotive's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for ORLY stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 9 'Buy' (81.82%), 2 'Hold' (18.18%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).

O'Reilly Automotive Price Target by Analyst

DateAnalystCompanyPrice TargetPrice when PublishedPrice Target/Price when PublishedPrice Target/Last Closing Price
Oct 14, 2024Scot CiccarelliTruist Financial$1.29K$1.19K8.63%5.81%
Oct 14, 2024Zachary FademWells Fargo$1.32K$1.19K11.58%8.69%
Aug 22, 2024Greg MelichEvercore ISI$1.23K$1.14K8.07%0.89%
Jul 26, 2024Bret JordanJefferies$1.26K$1.11K13.48%3.35%
Jul 26, 2024Steven ShemeshRBC Capital$1.11K$1.12K-0.18%-8.54%
Jul 25, 2024Scot CiccarelliTruist Financial$1.20K$1.09K10.16%-1.24%
Jul 02, 2024Scot CiccarelliTruist Financial$1.14K$1.02K12.46%-6.24%
Oct 26, 2023Garrett NelsonCFRA$1.10K$921.6419.35%-9.77%
Feb 08, 2023Barclays$815.00$801.021.75%-33.15%
Jan 05, 2023Wells Fargo$925.00$830.2111.42%-24.12%
Nov 23, 2022Citigroup$855.00$851.380.43%-29.87%
Jun 29, 2022Mike BakerD.A. Davidson$740.00$637.6016.06%-39.30%
Apr 29, 2022Morgan Stanley$650.00$618.485.10%-46.68%
Apr 29, 2022RBC Capital$806.00$623.2829.32%-33.89%
Apr 25, 2022Zachary FademWells Fargo$800.00$703.6013.70%-34.38%
Jan 18, 2022Steven ZacconeCitigroup$720.00$665.678.16%-40.94%
Dec 30, 2021Michael BakerD.A. Davidson$700.00$701.77-0.25%-42.58%
Dec 09, 2021Brian NagelOppenheimer$800.00$672.0019.05%-34.38%
Oct 18, 2021Michael LasserUBS$720.00$638.3312.79%-40.94%
Jul 20, 2021Kate McShaneGoldman Sachs$638.00$607.385.04%-47.67%
May 18, 2021Lavesh HemnaniCredit Suisse$496.00$548.07-9.50%-59.31%

The latest O'Reilly Automotive stock forecast, released on Oct 14, 2024 by Scot Ciccarelli from Truist Financial, set a price target of $1.29K, which represents a 8.63% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($1.19K), and a 5.81% increase from ORLY last price ($1.22K).

O'Reilly Automotive Price Target by Period

1M3M12M
# Anlaysts-27
Avg Price Target-$1.31K$1.22K
Last Closing Price$1.22K$1.22K$1.22K
Upside/Downside-100.00%7.25%0.39%

In the current month, the average price target of O'Reilly Automotive stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to O'Reilly Automotive's last price of $1.22K. This month's average price target is down -100.00% compared to last quarter, and down -100.00% compared to last year.

Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades

DateCompanyPrevious RatingNew RatingRating Change
Oct 24, 2024Morgan StanleyEqual-WeightEqual-WeightHold
Oct 24, 2024JefferiesBuyBuyHold
Oct 14, 2024Wells FargoOverweightOverweightHold
Aug 26, 2024JMP SecuritiesMarket OutperformMarket OutperformHold
Aug 22, 2024Evercore ISIOutperformOutperformHold
Aug 22, 2024Wells FargoOverweightOverweightHold
Jul 26, 2024JefferiesBuyBuyHold
Jul 26, 2024RBC CapitalOutperformOutperformHold
Jul 25, 2024Goldman SachsBuyBuyHold
Apr 01, 2024Cantor FitzgeraldOverweightOverweightHold
Apr 01, 2024Wells FargoOverweightOverweightHold
Oct 06, 2023OppenheimerPerformDowngrade
Oct 05, 2023CitigroupNeutralBuyUpgrade
Feb 08, 2023BarclaysEqual-WeightInitialise
Jan 05, 2023Wells FargoOverweightOverweightHold
Nov 23, 2022CitigroupNeutralNeutralHold
Oct 25, 2022CitigroupNeutralNeutralHold
May 19, 2022Wells FargoHoldHoldHold
May 10, 2022Bank of America SecuritiesBuyUpgrade
Apr 29, 2022Morgan StanleyEqual-WeightEqual-WeightHold
Apr 29, 2022RBC CapitalOutperformOutperformHold
Apr 25, 2022Wells FargoOverweightOverweightHold

O'Reilly Automotive's last stock rating was published by Morgan Stanley on Oct 24, 2024. The company gave ORLY a "Equal-Weight" rating, the same as its previous rate.

O'Reilly Automotive Financial Forecast

O'Reilly Automotive Revenue Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
Revenue-------------$4.20B$4.07B$3.71B$3.64B$3.80B$3.67B$3.30B$3.29B$3.48B$3.47B$3.09B$2.83B$3.21B$3.09B$2.48B$2.48B$2.67B
Avg Forecast$4.52B$4.91B$4.77B$4.43B$4.28B$4.63B$4.51B$4.16B$4.04B$4.40B$4.31B$3.99B$3.86B$4.09B$4.01B$3.58B$3.51B$3.71B$3.70B$3.32B$3.12B$3.31B$3.25B$2.85B$2.78B$3.03B$2.66B$2.45B$2.47B$2.64B
High Forecast$4.58B$4.98B$4.84B$4.49B$4.34B$4.69B$4.57B$4.20B$4.09B$4.42B$4.31B$3.99B$3.91B$4.18B$4.07B$3.64B$3.56B$3.71B$3.70B$3.32B$3.12B$3.31B$3.25B$2.85B$2.78B$3.03B$2.66B$2.45B$2.47B$2.64B
Low Forecast$4.45B$4.84B$4.70B$4.36B$4.22B$4.56B$4.45B$4.11B$3.98B$4.39B$4.30B$3.99B$3.82B$3.98B$3.95B$3.53B$3.46B$3.71B$3.70B$3.32B$3.12B$3.31B$3.25B$2.85B$2.78B$3.03B$2.66B$2.45B$2.47B$2.64B
# Analysts66121110981316874918159101681099139945443
Surprise %-------------1.03%1.01%1.03%1.04%1.02%0.99%0.99%1.05%1.05%1.07%1.08%1.02%1.06%1.16%1.01%1.00%1.01%

O'Reilly Automotive's average Quarter revenue forecast for Dec 23 based on 9 analysts is $3.86B, with a low forecast of $3.82B, and a high forecast of $3.91B. ORLY's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a -8.11% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $4.20B (Sep 23).

O'Reilly Automotive EBITDA Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts66121110981316874918159101681099139945443
EBITDA-------------$1.00B$956.64M$815.74M$788.46M$895.02M$879.80M$751.02M$769.52M$834.14M$878.15M$773.09M$621.40M$807.71M$820.04M$493.01M$515.09M$605.86M
Avg Forecast$1.04B$1.13B$1.10B$1.02B$988.14M$1.07B$1.04B$961.81M$934.10M$1.02B$995.33M$946.40M$892.14M$945.12M$926.71M$860.37M$615.10M$857.97M$854.74M$782.15M$721.60M$764.88M$751.47M$548.37M$642.46M$699.96M$613.58M$490.51M$571.67M$610.01M
High Forecast$1.06B$1.15B$1.12B$1.04B$1.00B$1.08B$1.06B$970.99M$945.69M$1.02B$996.53M$1.14B$903.76M$966.28M$939.92M$1.03B$738.12M$857.97M$854.74M$938.58M$721.60M$764.88M$751.47M$658.05M$642.46M$699.96M$613.58M$588.62M$571.67M$610.01M
Low Forecast$1.03B$1.12B$1.09B$1.01B$974.04M$1.05B$1.03B$950.33M$920.20M$1.01B$994.13M$757.12M$882.85M$919.18M$913.49M$688.29M$492.08M$857.97M$854.74M$625.72M$721.60M$764.88M$751.47M$438.70M$642.46M$699.96M$613.58M$392.41M$571.67M$610.01M
Surprise %-------------1.06%1.03%0.95%1.28%1.04%1.03%0.96%1.07%1.09%1.17%1.41%0.97%1.15%1.34%1.01%0.90%0.99%

9 analysts predict ORLY's average Quarter EBITDA for Dec 23 to be $892.14M, with a high of $903.76M and a low of $882.85M. This is -11.05% lower than O'Reilly Automotive's previous annual EBITDA (Sep 23) of $1.00B.

O'Reilly Automotive Net Income Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts66121110981316874918159101681099139945443
Net Income-------------$649.83M$627.37M$516.88M$528.57M$585.44M$576.76M$481.88M$518.97M$558.65M$585.45M$501.61M$392.94M$527.25M$531.67M$300.44M$324.92M$391.29M
Avg Forecast$728.51M$845.09M$806.92M$692.16M$624.19M$729.25M$692.47M$582.43M$567.45M$669.72M$633.52M$607.24M$534.53M$607.34M$588.26M$552.04M$414.83M$502.16M$529.33M$501.85M$362.41M$425.91M$452.78M$355.80M$302.69M$380.20M$259.30M$298.92M$252.12M$282.82M
High Forecast$742.01M$860.75M$821.87M$704.98M$635.76M$742.76M$705.30M$614.14M$593.73M$673.55M$636.96M$728.69M$552.21M$631.94M$599.16M$662.44M$497.80M$502.16M$529.33M$602.22M$362.41M$425.91M$452.78M$426.96M$302.69M$380.20M$259.30M$358.70M$252.12M$282.82M
Low Forecast$715.00M$829.42M$791.95M$679.32M$612.61M$715.72M$679.62M$557.05M$551.69M$665.88M$630.07M$485.79M$515.08M$588.60M$577.35M$441.63M$331.87M$502.16M$529.33M$401.48M$362.41M$425.91M$452.78M$284.64M$302.69M$380.20M$259.30M$239.13M$252.12M$282.82M
Surprise %-------------1.07%1.07%0.94%1.27%1.17%1.09%0.96%1.43%1.31%1.29%1.41%1.30%1.39%2.05%1.01%1.29%1.38%

O'Reilly Automotive's average Quarter net income forecast for Dec 23 is $534.53M, with a range of $515.08M to $552.21M. ORLY's average Quarter net income forecast represents a -17.74% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $649.83M (Sep 23).

O'Reilly Automotive SG&A Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts66121110981316874918159101681099139945443
SG&A-------------$1.26B$1.23B$1.17B$1.17B$1.13B$1.09B$1.04B$1.06B$1.06B$1.03B$949.69M$937.87M$955.46M$900.69M$872.35M$883.08M$886.17M
Avg Forecast$1.41B$1.53B$1.49B$1.38B$1.33B$1.44B$1.40B$1.30B$1.26B$1.37B$1.34B$1.31B$1.20B$1.27B$1.25B$1.19B$846.22M$1.16B$1.15B$1.08B$973.06M$1.03B$1.01B$673.64M$866.33M$943.88M$827.39M$867.93M$770.88M$822.58M
High Forecast$1.43B$1.55B$1.51B$1.40B$1.35B$1.46B$1.42B$1.31B$1.28B$1.38B$1.34B$1.57B$1.22B$1.30B$1.27B$1.43B$1.02B$1.16B$1.15B$1.30B$973.06M$1.03B$1.01B$808.37M$866.33M$943.88M$827.39M$1.04B$770.88M$822.58M
Low Forecast$1.39B$1.51B$1.46B$1.36B$1.31B$1.42B$1.38B$1.28B$1.24B$1.37B$1.34B$1.05B$1.19B$1.24B$1.23B$951.79M$676.97M$1.16B$1.15B$865.27M$973.06M$1.03B$1.01B$538.91M$866.33M$943.88M$827.39M$694.34M$770.88M$822.58M
Surprise %-------------0.99%0.99%0.99%1.38%0.98%0.94%0.96%1.09%1.03%1.02%1.41%1.08%1.01%1.09%1.01%1.15%1.08%

O'Reilly Automotive's average Quarter SG&A projection for Dec 23 is $1.20B, based on 9 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $1.19B to $1.22B. The forecast indicates a -4.77% fall compared to ORLY last annual SG&A of $1.26B (Sep 23).

O'Reilly Automotive EPS Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts66121110981316874918159101681099139945443
EPS-------------$10.82$10.32$8.36$8.45$9.25$8.86$7.24$7.71$8.14$8.41$7.13$5.45$7.13$7.16$4.00$4.29$5.14
Avg Forecast$12.49$14.49$13.83$11.87$10.70$12.50$11.87$9.98$9.73$11.48$10.86$9.29$9.16$10.41$10.08$7.98$7.75$8.50$8.96$7.50$6.14$7.21$7.67$5.46$5.13$6.44$4.39$3.98$4.27$4.79
High Forecast$12.72$14.76$14.09$12.09$10.90$12.73$12.09$10.53$10.18$11.55$10.92$9.29$9.47$10.83$10.27$8.13$7.90$8.50$8.96$7.50$6.14$7.21$7.67$5.46$5.13$6.44$4.39$3.98$4.27$4.79
Low Forecast$12.26$14.22$13.58$11.65$10.50$12.27$11.65$9.55$9.46$11.41$10.80$9.29$8.83$10.09$9.90$7.84$7.61$8.50$8.96$7.50$6.14$7.21$7.67$5.46$5.13$6.44$4.39$3.98$4.27$4.79
Surprise %-------------1.04%1.02%1.05%1.09%1.09%0.99%0.97%1.26%1.13%1.10%1.31%1.06%1.11%1.63%1.01%1.00%1.07%

According to 9 Wall Street analysts, O'Reilly Automotive's projected average Quarter EPS for Dec 23 is $9.16, with a low estimate of $8.83 and a high estimate of $9.47. This represents a -15.31% decrease compared to ORLY previous annual EPS of $10.82 (Sep 23).

O'Reilly Automotive Peer Comparison by Price Target

TickerCompanyLast Closing PriceAvg Price TargetUpside/DownsideAvg Rating
AAPAdvance Auto Parts$44.46$54.0021.46%Hold
TSCOTractor Supply Company$275.21$305.7811.11%Buy
DKSDICK'S Sporting Goods$225.97$245.298.55%Buy
GPCGenuine Parts Company$118.49$125.005.49%Hold
AZOAutoZone$3.32K$3.40K2.47%Buy
ULTAUlta Beauty$423.57$427.500.93%Hold
ORLYO'Reilly Automotive$1.25K$1.24K-0.17%Buy
FIVEFive Below$105.05$101.73-3.16%Buy
RHRH$411.72$319.00-22.52%Buy
WSMWilliams-Sonoma$198.21$147.00-25.84%Hold

ORLY Forecast FAQ

Is O'Reilly Automotive a good buy?

Yes, according to 11 Wall Street analysts, O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) is considered a 'Buy'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 9 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 81.82% of ORLY's total ratings.

What is ORLY's price target?

O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) average price target is $1.24K with a range of $1.12K to $1.32K, implying a 2.04% from its last price of $1.22K. The data is based on 11 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.

Will O'Reilly Automotive stock go up soon?

According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for ORLY stock, the company can go up by 2.04% (from the last price of $1.22K to the average price target of $1.24K), up by 8.69% based on the highest stock price target, and down by -8.54% based on the lowest stock price target.

Can O'Reilly Automotive stock reach $2K?

ORLY's average twelve months analyst stock price target of $1.24K does not support the claim that O'Reilly Automotive can reach $2K in the near future.

What are O'Reilly Automotive's analysts' financial forecasts?

O'Reilly Automotive's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $17.58B (high $17.81B, low $17.34B), average EBITDA is $4.06B (high $4.11B, low $4B), average net income is $2.63B (high $2.7B, low $2.57B), average SG&A $5.48B (high $5.55B, low $5.4B), and average EPS is $45.06 (high $46.25, low $43.97). ORLY's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2026) are as follows: average revenue is $18.62B (high $18.89B, low $18.36B), average EBITDA is $4.3B (high $4.36B, low $4.24B), average net income is $3.07B (high $3.13B, low $3.02B), average SG&A $5.8B (high $5.88B, low $5.72B), and average EPS is $52.67 (high $53.65, low $51.7).

Did the ORLY's actual financial results beat the analysts' financial forecasts?

Based on O'Reilly Automotive's last annual report (Dec 2022), the company's revenue was $14.41B, beating the average analysts forecast of $14.25B by 1.15%. Apple's EBITDA was $3.31B, beating the average prediction of $3.11B by 6.57%. The company's net income was $2.17B, beating the average estimation of $1.95B by 11.52%. Apple's SG&A was $4.43B, beating the average forecast of $4.24B by 4.48%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $33.75, beating the average prediction of $32.72 by 3.14%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Sep 2023), O'Reilly Automotive's revenue was $4.2B, beating the average analysts' forecast of $4.09B by 2.73%. The company's EBITDA was $1B, beating the average prediction of $945.12M by 6.12%. O'Reilly Automotive's net income was $649.83M, beating the average estimation of $607.34M by 6.99%. The company's SG&A was $1.26B, missing the average forecast of $1.27B by -0.88%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $10.82, beating the average prediction of $10.41 by 3.93%