O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions


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ORLY Stock Forecast


O'Reilly Automotive stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $931.00 (represents a -19.57% downside from ORLY’s last price of $1.16K) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 11 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.

ORLY Price Target


The average price target for O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) is $931.00 based on 1-year price targets from 11 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $1.32K to $496.00. This represents a potential -19.57% downside from ORLY's last price of $1.16K.

ORLY Analyst Ratings


Buy

According to 11 Wall Street analysts, O'Reilly Automotive's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for ORLY stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 9 'Buy' (81.82%), 2 'Hold' (18.18%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).

O'Reilly Automotive Price Target by Analyst


DateAnalystCompanyPrice TargetPrice when PublishedPrice Target/Price when PublishedPrice Target/Last Closing Price
Oct 14, 2024Scot CiccarelliTruist Financial$1.29K$1.19K8.63%11.44%
Oct 14, 2024Zachary FademWells Fargo$1.32K$1.19K11.58%14.46%
Aug 22, 2024Greg MelichEvercore ISI$1.23K$1.14K8.07%6.26%
Jul 26, 2024Bret JordanJefferies$1.26K$1.11K13.48%8.85%
Jul 26, 2024Steven ShemeshRBC Capital$1.11K$1.12K-0.18%-3.68%
Jul 25, 2024Scot CiccarelliTruist Financial$1.20K$1.09K10.16%4.01%
Jul 02, 2024Scot CiccarelliTruist Financial$1.14K$1.02K12.46%-1.26%
Oct 26, 2023Garrett NelsonCFRA$1.10K$921.6419.35%-4.97%
Feb 08, 2023-Barclays$815.00$801.021.75%-29.59%
Jan 05, 2023-Wells Fargo$925.00$830.2111.42%-20.09%
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The latest O'Reilly Automotive stock forecast, released on Oct 14, 2024 by Scot Ciccarelli from Truist Financial, set a price target of $1.29K, which represents a 8.63% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($1.19K), and a 11.44% increase from ORLY last price ($1.16K).

O'Reilly Automotive Price Target by Period


1M3M12M
# Anlaysts237
Avg Price Target$1.31K$1.28K$1.22K
Last Closing Price$1.16K$1.16K$1.16K
Upside/Downside12.95%10.72%5.73%

In the current month, the average price target of O'Reilly Automotive stock is $1.31K, according to 2 Wall Street analysts offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a 12.95% increase as opposed to O'Reilly Automotive's last price of $1.16K. This month's average price target is up 2.02% compared to last quarter, and up 6.83% compared to last year.

Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades


DateCompanyPrevious RatingNew RatingRating Change
Oct 24, 2024Morgan StanleyEqual-WeightEqual-WeightHold
Oct 24, 2024JefferiesBuyBuyHold
Oct 14, 2024Wells FargoOverweightOverweightHold
Aug 26, 2024JMP SecuritiesMarket OutperformMarket OutperformHold
Aug 22, 2024Evercore ISIOutperformOutperformHold
Aug 22, 2024Wells FargoOverweightOverweightHold
Jul 26, 2024JefferiesBuyBuyHold
Jul 26, 2024RBC CapitalOutperformOutperformHold
Jul 25, 2024Goldman SachsBuyBuyHold
Apr 01, 2024Cantor FitzgeraldOverweightOverweightHold
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O'Reilly Automotive's last stock rating was published by Morgan Stanley on Oct 24, 2024. The company gave ORLY a "Equal-Weight" rating, the same as its previous rate.

O'Reilly Automotive Financial Forecast


O'Reilly Automotive Revenue Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
Revenue-------------$4.20B$4.07B$3.71B$3.64B$3.80B$3.67B$3.30B$3.29B$3.48B$3.47B$3.09B$2.83B$3.21B$3.09B$2.48B$2.48B$2.67B
Avg Forecast$4.50B$4.90B$4.78B$4.44B$4.28B$4.63B$4.51B$4.17B$4.05B$4.40B$4.31B$3.99B$3.86B$4.09B$4.01B$3.58B$3.51B$3.71B$3.70B$3.32B$3.12B$3.31B$3.25B$2.85B$2.78B$3.03B$2.66B$2.45B$2.47B$2.64B
High Forecast$4.56B$4.96B$4.84B$4.50B$4.34B$4.69B$4.57B$4.21B$4.09B$4.42B$4.31B$3.99B$3.91B$4.18B$4.07B$3.63B$3.55B$3.71B$3.70B$3.32B$3.12B$3.31B$3.25B$2.85B$2.78B$3.03B$2.66B$2.45B$2.47B$2.64B
Low Forecast$4.43B$4.83B$4.71B$4.37B$4.21B$4.56B$4.45B$4.12B$3.98B$4.39B$4.30B$3.99B$3.82B$3.98B$3.95B$3.53B$3.46B$3.71B$3.70B$3.32B$3.12B$3.31B$3.25B$2.85B$2.78B$3.03B$2.66B$2.45B$2.47B$2.64B
# Analysts66121110981315774918159101681099139945443
Surprise %-------------1.03%1.01%1.03%1.04%1.02%0.99%0.99%1.05%1.05%1.07%1.08%1.02%1.06%1.16%1.01%1.00%1.01%

O'Reilly Automotive's average Quarter revenue forecast for Dec 23 based on 9 analysts is $3.86B, with a low forecast of $3.82B, and a high forecast of $3.91B. ORLY's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a -8.11% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $4.20B (Sep 23).

O'Reilly Automotive EBITDA Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts66121110981315774918159101681099139945443
EBITDA-------------$1.00B$956.64M$815.74M$788.46M$895.02M$879.80M$751.02M$769.52M$834.14M$878.15M$773.09M$621.40M$807.71M$820.04M$493.01M$515.09M$605.86M
Avg Forecast$1.04B$1.13B$1.10B$1.02B$988.30M$1.07B$1.04B$962.32M$934.72M$1.02B$995.33M$946.40M$892.14M$945.12M$926.71M$860.37M$615.10M$857.97M$854.74M$782.15M$721.60M$764.88M$751.47M$548.37M$642.46M$699.96M$613.58M$490.51M$571.67M$610.01M
High Forecast$1.05B$1.15B$1.12B$1.04B$1.00B$1.08B$1.06B$971.50M$943.97M$1.02B$996.53M$1.14B$903.76M$966.28M$939.00M$1.03B$738.12M$857.97M$854.74M$938.58M$721.60M$764.88M$751.47M$658.05M$642.46M$699.96M$613.58M$588.62M$571.67M$610.01M
Low Forecast$1.02B$1.11B$1.09B$1.01B$973.53M$1.05B$1.03B$950.83M$918.52M$1.01B$994.13M$757.12M$882.85M$919.18M$912.86M$688.29M$492.08M$857.97M$854.74M$625.72M$721.60M$764.88M$751.47M$438.70M$642.46M$699.96M$613.58M$392.41M$571.67M$610.01M
Surprise %-------------1.06%1.03%0.95%1.28%1.04%1.03%0.96%1.07%1.09%1.17%1.41%0.97%1.15%1.34%1.01%0.90%0.99%

9 analysts predict ORLY's average Quarter EBITDA for Dec 23 to be $892.14M, with a high of $903.76M and a low of $882.85M. This is -11.05% lower than O'Reilly Automotive's previous annual EBITDA (Sep 23) of $1.00B.

O'Reilly Automotive Net Income Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts66121110981315774918159101681099139945443
Net Income-------------$649.83M$627.37M$516.88M$528.57M$585.44M$576.76M$481.88M$518.97M$558.65M$585.45M$501.61M$392.94M$527.25M$531.67M$300.44M$324.92M$391.29M
Avg Forecast$748.75M$867.70M$818.95M$707.56M$631.44M$739.66M$700.15M$588.92M$574.80M$677.86M$641.21M$607.24M$541.02M$614.73M$595.41M$552.04M$414.83M$502.16M$529.33M$501.85M$362.41M$425.91M$452.78M$355.80M$302.69M$380.20M$259.30M$298.92M$252.12M$282.82M
High Forecast$761.67M$882.67M$833.07M$719.76M$642.33M$752.42M$712.22M$620.99M$603.78M$681.74M$644.70M$728.69M$558.92M$639.62M$605.68M$662.44M$497.80M$502.16M$529.33M$602.22M$362.41M$425.91M$452.78M$426.96M$302.69M$380.20M$259.30M$358.70M$252.12M$282.82M
Low Forecast$734.21M$850.85M$803.04M$693.82M$619.17M$725.30M$686.55M$563.27M$558.84M$673.98M$637.73M$485.79M$521.34M$595.76M$583.85M$441.63M$331.87M$502.16M$529.33M$401.48M$362.41M$425.91M$452.78M$284.64M$302.69M$380.20M$259.30M$239.13M$252.12M$282.82M
Surprise %-------------1.06%1.05%0.94%1.27%1.17%1.09%0.96%1.43%1.31%1.29%1.41%1.30%1.39%2.05%1.01%1.29%1.38%

O'Reilly Automotive's average Quarter net income forecast for Dec 23 is $541.02M, with a range of $521.34M to $558.92M. ORLY's average Quarter net income forecast represents a -16.74% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $649.83M (Sep 23).

O'Reilly Automotive SG&A Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts66121110981315774918159101681099139945443
SG&A-------------$1.26B$1.23B$1.17B$1.17B$1.13B$1.09B$1.04B$1.06B$1.06B$1.03B$949.69M$937.87M$955.46M$900.69M$872.35M$883.08M$886.17M
Avg Forecast$1.40B$1.53B$1.49B$1.38B$1.33B$1.44B$1.41B$1.30B$1.26B$1.37B$1.34B$1.31B$1.20B$1.27B$1.25B$1.19B$846.22M$1.16B$1.15B$1.08B$973.06M$1.03B$1.01B$673.64M$866.33M$943.88M$827.39M$867.93M$770.88M$822.58M
High Forecast$1.42B$1.55B$1.51B$1.40B$1.35B$1.46B$1.42B$1.31B$1.27B$1.38B$1.34B$1.57B$1.22B$1.30B$1.27B$1.43B$1.02B$1.16B$1.15B$1.30B$973.06M$1.03B$1.01B$808.37M$866.33M$943.88M$827.39M$1.04B$770.88M$822.58M
Low Forecast$1.38B$1.50B$1.47B$1.36B$1.31B$1.42B$1.38B$1.28B$1.24B$1.37B$1.34B$1.05B$1.19B$1.24B$1.23B$951.79M$676.97M$1.16B$1.15B$865.27M$973.06M$1.03B$1.01B$538.91M$866.33M$943.88M$827.39M$694.34M$770.88M$822.58M
Surprise %-------------0.99%0.99%0.99%1.38%0.98%0.94%0.96%1.09%1.03%1.02%1.41%1.08%1.01%1.09%1.01%1.15%1.08%

O'Reilly Automotive's average Quarter SG&A projection for Dec 23 is $1.20B, based on 9 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $1.19B to $1.22B. The forecast indicates a -4.77% fall compared to ORLY last annual SG&A of $1.26B (Sep 23).

O'Reilly Automotive EPS Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts66121110981315774918159101681099139945443
EPS-------------$10.82$10.32$8.36$8.45$9.25$8.86$7.24$7.71$8.14$8.41$7.13$5.45$7.13$7.16$4.00$4.29$5.14
Avg Forecast$12.68$14.70$13.87$11.98$10.69$12.53$11.86$9.97$9.74$11.48$10.86$9.29$9.16$10.41$10.08$7.98$7.75$8.50$8.96$7.50$6.14$7.21$7.67$5.46$5.13$6.44$4.39$3.98$4.27$4.79
High Forecast$12.90$14.95$14.11$12.19$10.88$12.74$12.06$10.52$10.23$11.55$10.92$9.29$9.47$10.83$10.26$8.12$7.89$8.50$8.96$7.50$6.14$7.21$7.67$5.46$5.13$6.44$4.39$3.98$4.27$4.79
Low Forecast$12.43$14.41$13.60$11.75$10.49$12.28$11.63$9.54$9.46$11.41$10.80$9.29$8.83$10.09$9.89$7.83$7.60$8.50$8.96$7.50$6.14$7.21$7.67$5.46$5.13$6.44$4.39$3.98$4.27$4.79
Surprise %-------------1.04%1.02%1.05%1.09%1.09%0.99%0.97%1.26%1.13%1.10%1.31%1.06%1.11%1.63%1.01%1.00%1.07%

According to 9 Wall Street analysts, O'Reilly Automotive's projected average Quarter EPS for Dec 23 is $9.16, with a low estimate of $8.83 and a high estimate of $9.47. This represents a -15.31% decrease compared to ORLY previous annual EPS of $10.82 (Sep 23).

O'Reilly Automotive Peer Comparison by Price Target


TickerCompanyLast Closing PriceAvg Price TargetUpside/DownsideAvg Rating
AAPAdvance Auto Parts$37.45$155.41314.98%Hold
FIVEFive Below$95.00$148.3256.13%Buy
WSMWilliams-Sonoma$135.21$201.1148.74%Hold
GPCGenuine Parts Company$116.05$156.6034.94%Hold
RHRH$329.54$433.9231.67%Buy
ULTAUlta Beauty$383.90$446.9216.42%Hold
DKSDICK'S Sporting Goods$196.73$225.9014.83%Buy
TSCOTractor Supply Company$270.36$261.32-3.34%Buy
AZOAutoZone$3.05K$2.91K-4.42%Buy
ORLYO'Reilly Automotive$1.16K$931.00-19.57%Buy

ORLY Forecast FAQ


Yes, according to 11 Wall Street analysts, O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) is considered a 'Buy'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 9 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 81.82% of ORLY's total ratings.

O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) average price target is $931 with a range of $496 to $1.32K, implying a -19.57% from its last price of $1.16K. The data is based on 11 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.

According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for ORLY stock, the company can go down by -19.57% (from the last price of $1.16K to the average price target of $931), up by 14.46% based on the highest stock price target, and down by -57.15% based on the lowest stock price target.

ORLY's average twelve months analyst stock price target of $931 does not support the claim that O'Reilly Automotive can reach $2K in the near future.

2 Wall Street analysts forecast a $1.31K price target for O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) this month, up 12.95% from its last price of $1.16K. Compared to the last 3 and 12 months, the average price target increased by 10.72% and increased by 5.73%, respectively.

O'Reilly Automotive's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $17.58B (high $17.8B, low $17.33B), average EBITDA is $4.06B (high $4.11B, low $4B), average net income is $2.66B (high $2.73B, low $2.59B), average SG&A $5.48B (high $5.54B, low $5.4B), and average EPS is $45.05 (high $46.2, low $43.94). ORLY's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2026) are as follows: average revenue is $18.61B (high $18.86B, low $18.33B), average EBITDA is $4.3B (high $4.36B, low $4.23B), average net income is $3.14B (high $3.2B, low $3.08B), average SG&A $5.8B (high $5.87B, low $5.71B), and average EPS is $53.23 (high $54.15, low $52.2).

Based on O'Reilly Automotive's last annual report (Dec 2022), the company's revenue was $14.41B, beating the average analysts forecast of $14.25B by 1.15%. Apple's EBITDA was $3.31B, beating the average prediction of $3.11B by 6.57%. The company's net income was $2.17B, beating the average estimation of $1.95B by 11.52%. Apple's SG&A was $4.43B, beating the average forecast of $4.24B by 4.48%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $33.75, beating the average prediction of $32.72 by 3.14%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Sep 2023), O'Reilly Automotive's revenue was $4.2B, beating the average analysts' forecast of $4.09B by 2.73%. The company's EBITDA was $1B, beating the average prediction of $945.12M by 6.12%. O'Reilly Automotive's net income was $649.83M, beating the average estimation of $614.73M by 5.71%. The company's SG&A was $1.26B, missing the average forecast of $1.27B by -0.88%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $10.82, beating the average prediction of $10.41 by 3.93%