O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions
ORLY Stock Forecast
O'Reilly Automotive stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $931.00 (represents a -21.69% downside from ORLY’s last price of $1.19K) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 11 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.
ORLY Price Target
The average price target for O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) is $931.00 based on 1-year price targets from 11 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $1.32K to $496.00. This represents a potential -21.69% downside from ORLY's last price of $1.19K.
ORLY Analyst Ratings
According to 11 Wall Street analysts, O'Reilly Automotive's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for ORLY stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 9 'Buy' (81.82%), 2 'Hold' (18.18%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).
O'Reilly Automotive Price Target by Analyst
| Date | Analyst | Company | Price Target | Price when Published | Price Target/Price when Published | Price Target/Last Closing Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2024 | Scot Ciccarelli | Truist Financial | $1.29K | $1.19K | 8.63% | 8.51% |
| Oct 14, 2024 | Zachary Fadem | Wells Fargo | $1.32K | $1.19K | 11.58% | 11.45% |
| Aug 22, 2024 | Greg Melich | Evercore ISI | $1.23K | $1.14K | 8.07% | 3.46% |
| Jul 26, 2024 | Bret Jordan | Jefferies | $1.26K | $1.11K | 13.48% | 5.98% |
| Jul 26, 2024 | Steven Shemesh | RBC Capital | $1.11K | $1.12K | -0.18% | -6.21% |
| Jul 25, 2024 | Scot Ciccarelli | Truist Financial | $1.20K | $1.09K | 10.16% | 1.27% |
| Jul 02, 2024 | Scot Ciccarelli | Truist Financial | $1.14K | $1.02K | 12.46% | -3.86% |
| Oct 26, 2023 | Garrett Nelson | CFRA | $1.10K | $921.64 | 19.35% | -7.48% |
| Feb 08, 2023 | - | Barclays | $815.00 | $801.02 | 1.75% | -31.45% |
| Jan 05, 2023 | - | Wells Fargo | $925.00 | $830.21 | 11.42% | -22.20% |
The latest O'Reilly Automotive stock forecast, released on Oct 14, 2024 by Scot Ciccarelli from Truist Financial, set a price target of $1.29K, which represents a 8.63% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($1.19K), and a 8.51% increase from ORLY last price ($1.19K).
O'Reilly Automotive Price Target by Period
| 1M | 3M | 12M | |
|---|---|---|---|
| # Anlaysts | - | 3 | 7 |
| Avg Price Target | - | $1.28K | $1.22K |
| Last Closing Price | $1.19K | $1.19K | $1.19K |
| Upside/Downside | -100.00% | 7.81% | 2.94% |
In the current month, the average price target of O'Reilly Automotive stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to O'Reilly Automotive's last price of $1.19K. This month's average price target is down -100.00% compared to last quarter, and down -100.00% compared to last year.
Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades
| Date | Company | Previous Rating | New Rating | Rating Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2024 | Morgan Stanley | Equal-Weight | Equal-Weight | Hold |
| Oct 24, 2024 | Jefferies | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Oct 14, 2024 | Wells Fargo | Overweight | Overweight | Hold |
| Aug 26, 2024 | JMP Securities | Market Outperform | Market Outperform | Hold |
| Aug 22, 2024 | Evercore ISI | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
| Aug 22, 2024 | Wells Fargo | Overweight | Overweight | Hold |
| Jul 26, 2024 | Jefferies | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Jul 26, 2024 | RBC Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
| Jul 25, 2024 | Goldman Sachs | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Apr 01, 2024 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Overweight | Overweight | Hold |
O'Reilly Automotive's last stock rating was published by Morgan Stanley on Oct 24, 2024. The company gave ORLY a "Equal-Weight" rating, the same as its previous rate.
O'Reilly Automotive Financial Forecast
O'Reilly Automotive Revenue Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $4.20B | $4.07B | $3.71B | $3.64B | $3.80B | $3.67B | $3.30B | $3.29B | $3.48B | $3.47B | $3.09B | $2.83B | $3.21B | $3.09B | $2.48B | $2.48B | $2.67B |
| Avg Forecast | $4.50B | $4.90B | $4.78B | $4.44B | $4.28B | $4.63B | $4.51B | $4.16B | $4.04B | $4.40B | $4.31B | $3.99B | $3.86B | $4.09B | $4.01B | $3.58B | $3.51B | $3.71B | $3.70B | $3.32B | $3.12B | $3.31B | $3.25B | $2.85B | $2.78B | $3.03B | $2.66B | $2.45B | $2.47B | $2.64B |
| High Forecast | $4.56B | $4.96B | $4.84B | $4.49B | $4.33B | $4.69B | $4.57B | $4.20B | $4.08B | $4.42B | $4.31B | $3.99B | $3.91B | $4.18B | $4.06B | $3.63B | $3.55B | $3.71B | $3.70B | $3.32B | $3.12B | $3.31B | $3.25B | $2.85B | $2.78B | $3.03B | $2.66B | $2.45B | $2.47B | $2.64B |
| Low Forecast | $4.43B | $4.82B | $4.71B | $4.37B | $4.21B | $4.56B | $4.44B | $4.12B | $3.97B | $4.39B | $4.30B | $3.99B | $3.82B | $3.98B | $3.95B | $3.53B | $3.45B | $3.71B | $3.70B | $3.32B | $3.12B | $3.31B | $3.25B | $2.85B | $2.78B | $3.03B | $2.66B | $2.45B | $2.47B | $2.64B |
| # Analysts | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.03% | 1.01% | 1.03% | 1.04% | 1.02% | 0.99% | 0.99% | 1.05% | 1.05% | 1.07% | 1.08% | 1.02% | 1.06% | 1.16% | 1.01% | 1.00% | 1.01% |
O'Reilly Automotive's average Quarter revenue forecast for Dec 23 based on 9 analysts is $3.86B, with a low forecast of $3.82B, and a high forecast of $3.91B. ORLY's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a -8.11% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $4.20B (Sep 23).
O'Reilly Automotive EBITDA Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $1.00B | $956.64M | $815.74M | $788.46M | $895.02M | $879.80M | $751.02M | $769.52M | $834.14M | $878.15M | $773.09M | $621.40M | $807.71M | $820.04M | $493.01M | $515.09M | $605.86M |
| Avg Forecast | $1.04B | $1.13B | $1.10B | $1.02B | $987.83M | $1.07B | $1.04B | $961.99M | $934.20M | $1.02B | $995.33M | $946.40M | $892.14M | $945.12M | $926.71M | $860.37M | $615.10M | $857.97M | $854.74M | $782.15M | $721.60M | $764.88M | $751.47M | $548.37M | $642.46M | $699.96M | $613.58M | $490.51M | $571.67M | $610.01M |
| High Forecast | $1.05B | $1.15B | $1.12B | $1.04B | $1.00B | $1.08B | $1.06B | $971.17M | $943.45M | $1.02B | $996.53M | $1.14B | $903.76M | $966.28M | $938.85M | $1.03B | $738.12M | $857.97M | $854.74M | $938.58M | $721.60M | $764.88M | $751.47M | $658.05M | $642.46M | $699.96M | $613.58M | $588.62M | $571.67M | $610.01M |
| Low Forecast | $1.02B | $1.11B | $1.09B | $1.01B | $972.91M | $1.05B | $1.03B | $950.51M | $918.01M | $1.01B | $994.13M | $757.12M | $882.85M | $919.18M | $912.72M | $688.29M | $492.08M | $857.97M | $854.74M | $625.72M | $721.60M | $764.88M | $751.47M | $438.70M | $642.46M | $699.96M | $613.58M | $392.41M | $571.67M | $610.01M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.06% | 1.03% | 0.95% | 1.28% | 1.04% | 1.03% | 0.96% | 1.07% | 1.09% | 1.17% | 1.41% | 0.97% | 1.15% | 1.34% | 1.01% | 0.90% | 0.99% |
9 analysts predict ORLY's average Quarter EBITDA for Dec 23 to be $892.14M, with a high of $903.76M and a low of $882.85M. This is -11.05% lower than O'Reilly Automotive's previous annual EBITDA (Sep 23) of $1.00B.
O'Reilly Automotive Net Income Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Net Income | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $649.83M | $627.37M | $516.88M | $528.57M | $585.44M | $576.76M | $481.88M | $518.97M | $558.65M | $585.45M | $501.61M | $392.94M | $527.25M | $531.67M | $300.44M | $324.92M | $391.29M |
| Avg Forecast | $748.75M | $867.70M | $818.95M | $707.56M | $632.25M | $738.68M | $700.35M | $589.22M | $574.30M | $677.86M | $641.21M | $607.24M | $541.02M | $614.73M | $595.41M | $552.04M | $414.83M | $502.16M | $529.33M | $501.85M | $362.41M | $425.91M | $452.78M | $355.80M | $302.69M | $380.20M | $259.30M | $298.92M | $252.12M | $282.82M |
| High Forecast | $761.50M | $882.48M | $832.89M | $719.61M | $643.01M | $751.25M | $712.27M | $621.31M | $601.50M | $681.74M | $644.70M | $728.69M | $558.92M | $639.62M | $605.55M | $662.44M | $497.80M | $502.16M | $529.33M | $602.22M | $362.41M | $425.91M | $452.78M | $426.96M | $302.69M | $380.20M | $259.30M | $358.70M | $252.12M | $282.82M |
| Low Forecast | $734.05M | $850.67M | $802.87M | $693.67M | $619.83M | $724.17M | $686.60M | $563.55M | $558.92M | $673.98M | $637.73M | $485.79M | $521.34M | $595.76M | $583.72M | $441.63M | $331.87M | $502.16M | $529.33M | $401.48M | $362.41M | $425.91M | $452.78M | $284.64M | $302.69M | $380.20M | $259.30M | $239.13M | $252.12M | $282.82M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.06% | 1.05% | 0.94% | 1.27% | 1.17% | 1.09% | 0.96% | 1.43% | 1.31% | 1.29% | 1.41% | 1.30% | 1.39% | 2.05% | 1.01% | 1.29% | 1.38% |
O'Reilly Automotive's average Quarter net income forecast for Dec 23 is $541.02M, with a range of $521.34M to $558.92M. ORLY's average Quarter net income forecast represents a -16.74% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $649.83M (Sep 23).
O'Reilly Automotive SG&A Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| SG&A | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $1.26B | $1.23B | $1.17B | $1.17B | $1.13B | $1.09B | $1.04B | $1.06B | $1.06B | $1.03B | $949.69M | $937.87M | $955.46M | $900.69M | $872.35M | $883.08M | $886.17M |
| Avg Forecast | $1.40B | $1.53B | $1.49B | $1.38B | $1.33B | $1.44B | $1.41B | $1.30B | $1.26B | $1.37B | $1.34B | $1.31B | $1.20B | $1.27B | $1.25B | $1.19B | $846.22M | $1.16B | $1.15B | $1.08B | $973.06M | $1.03B | $1.01B | $673.64M | $866.33M | $943.88M | $827.39M | $867.93M | $770.88M | $822.58M |
| High Forecast | $1.42B | $1.55B | $1.51B | $1.40B | $1.35B | $1.46B | $1.42B | $1.31B | $1.27B | $1.38B | $1.34B | $1.57B | $1.22B | $1.30B | $1.27B | $1.43B | $1.02B | $1.16B | $1.15B | $1.30B | $973.06M | $1.03B | $1.01B | $808.37M | $866.33M | $943.88M | $827.39M | $1.04B | $770.88M | $822.58M |
| Low Forecast | $1.38B | $1.50B | $1.47B | $1.36B | $1.31B | $1.42B | $1.38B | $1.28B | $1.24B | $1.37B | $1.34B | $1.05B | $1.19B | $1.24B | $1.23B | $951.79M | $676.97M | $1.16B | $1.15B | $865.27M | $973.06M | $1.03B | $1.01B | $538.91M | $866.33M | $943.88M | $827.39M | $694.34M | $770.88M | $822.58M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.99% | 0.99% | 0.99% | 1.38% | 0.98% | 0.94% | 0.96% | 1.09% | 1.03% | 1.02% | 1.41% | 1.08% | 1.01% | 1.09% | 1.01% | 1.15% | 1.08% |
O'Reilly Automotive's average Quarter SG&A projection for Dec 23 is $1.20B, based on 9 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $1.19B to $1.22B. The forecast indicates a -4.77% fall compared to ORLY last annual SG&A of $1.26B (Sep 23).
O'Reilly Automotive EPS Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| EPS | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $10.82 | $10.32 | $8.36 | $8.45 | $9.25 | $8.86 | $7.24 | $7.71 | $8.14 | $8.41 | $7.13 | $5.45 | $7.13 | $7.16 | $4.00 | $4.29 | $5.14 |
| Avg Forecast | $12.68 | $14.70 | $13.87 | $11.98 | $10.71 | $12.51 | $11.86 | $9.98 | $9.73 | $11.48 | $10.86 | $9.29 | $9.16 | $10.41 | $10.08 | $7.98 | $7.75 | $8.50 | $8.96 | $7.50 | $6.14 | $7.21 | $7.67 | $5.46 | $5.13 | $6.44 | $4.39 | $3.98 | $4.27 | $4.79 |
| High Forecast | $12.90 | $14.95 | $14.11 | $12.19 | $10.89 | $12.72 | $12.06 | $10.52 | $10.19 | $11.55 | $10.92 | $9.29 | $9.47 | $10.83 | $10.26 | $8.12 | $7.89 | $8.50 | $8.96 | $7.50 | $6.14 | $7.21 | $7.67 | $5.46 | $5.13 | $6.44 | $4.39 | $3.98 | $4.27 | $4.79 |
| Low Forecast | $12.43 | $14.41 | $13.60 | $11.75 | $10.50 | $12.26 | $11.63 | $9.54 | $9.47 | $11.41 | $10.80 | $9.29 | $8.83 | $10.09 | $9.89 | $7.83 | $7.60 | $8.50 | $8.96 | $7.50 | $6.14 | $7.21 | $7.67 | $5.46 | $5.13 | $6.44 | $4.39 | $3.98 | $4.27 | $4.79 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.04% | 1.02% | 1.05% | 1.09% | 1.09% | 0.99% | 0.97% | 1.26% | 1.13% | 1.10% | 1.31% | 1.06% | 1.11% | 1.63% | 1.01% | 1.00% | 1.07% |
According to 9 Wall Street analysts, O'Reilly Automotive's projected average Quarter EPS for Dec 23 is $9.16, with a low estimate of $8.83 and a high estimate of $9.47. This represents a -15.31% decrease compared to ORLY previous annual EPS of $10.82 (Sep 23).
O'Reilly Automotive Peer Comparison by Price Target
| Ticker | Company | Last Closing Price | Avg Price Target | Upside/Downside | Avg Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAP | Advance Auto Parts | $38.63 | $154.32 | 299.48% | Hold |
| FIVE | Five Below | $83.10 | $148.32 | 78.48% | Buy |
| ULTA | Ulta Beauty | $343.26 | $446.92 | 30.20% | Hold |
| GPC | Genuine Parts Company | $120.76 | $156.60 | 29.68% | Hold |
| RH | RH | $336.80 | $414.67 | 23.12% | Buy |
| DKS | DICK'S Sporting Goods | $194.18 | $225.90 | 16.34% | Buy |
| WSM | Williams-Sonoma | $175.04 | $201.11 | 14.89% | Hold |
| TSCO | Tractor Supply Company | $270.00 | $261.32 | -3.21% | Buy |
| AZO | AutoZone | $3.05K | $2.91K | -4.52% | Buy |
| ORLY | O'Reilly Automotive | $1.19K | $931.00 | -21.69% | Buy |