NVR (NVR) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions

OverviewRevenue Ownership Financials Chart

NVR Stock Forecast

NVR stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $4.90K (represents a -40.80% downside from NVR’s last price of $8.28K) and a rating consensus of 'Hold', based on 4 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.

NVR Price Target

The average price target for NVR (NVR) is $4.90K based on 1-year price targets from 4 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $4.90K to $4.90K. This represents a potential -40.80% downside from NVR's last price of $8.28K.

NVR Analyst Ratings

Hold

According to 4 Wall Street analysts, NVR's rating consensus is 'Hold'. The analyst rating breakdown for NVR stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 1 'Buy' (25.00%), 3 'Hold' (75.00%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).

NVR Price Target by Analyst

Date	Analyst	Company	Price Target	Price when Published	Price Target/Price when Published	Price Target/Last Closing Price
Dec 07, 2023	Joe Ahlersmeyer	Deutsche Bank	$4.90K	$6.44K	-23.97%	-40.80%

The latest NVR stock forecast, released on Dec 07, 2023 by Joe Ahlersmeyer from Deutsche Bank, set a price target of $4.90K, which represents a -23.97% decrease from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($6.44K), and a -40.80% decrease from NVR last price ($8.28K).

NVR Price Target by Period

	1M	3M	12M
# Anlaysts	-	-	-
Avg Price Target	-	-	-
Last Closing Price	$8.28K	$8.28K	$8.28K
Upside/Downside	-100.00%	-100.00%	-100.00%

In the current month, the average price target of NVR stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to NVR's last price of $8.28K. This month's average price target is down NaN% compared to last quarter, and down NaN% compared to last year.

Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades

Date	Company	Previous Rating	New Rating	Rating Change
Oct 23, 2024	BTIG	Neutral	Neutral	Hold
Jul 22, 2024	Bank of America Securities	Buy	Buy	Hold
Jul 12, 2024	Zelman		Underperform	Downgrade
Dec 07, 2023	Deutsche Bank		Hold	Upgrade
Apr 26, 2022	UBS		Neutral	Upgrade

NVR's last stock rating was published by BTIG on Oct 23, 2024. The company gave NVR a "Neutral" rating, the same as its previous rate.

NVR Financial Forecast

NVR Revenue Forecast

	Dec 26	Sep 26	Jun 26	Mar 26	Dec 25	Sep 25	Jun 25	Mar 25	Dec 24	Sep 24	Jun 24	Mar 24	Dec 23	Sep 23	Jun 23	Mar 23	Dec 22	Sep 22	Jun 22	Mar 22	Dec 21	Sep 21	Jun 21	Mar 21	Dec 20	Sep 20	Jun 20	Mar 20	Dec 19	Sep 19
Revenue	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	$2.35B	$2.57B	$2.34B	$2.18B	$2.72B	$2.78B	$2.66B	$2.38B	$2.23B	$2.40B	$2.29B	$2.04B	$2.35B	$1.99B	$1.62B	$1.58B	$1.99B	$1.91B
Avg Forecast	$3.22B	$3.11B	$2.90B	$2.53B	$2.99B	$2.95B	$2.80B	$2.51B	$2.82B	$2.71B	$2.57B	$2.25B	$2.61B	$2.59B	$2.39B	$2.15B	$2.50B	$2.59B	$2.59B	$2.36B	$2.58B	$2.33B	$2.22B	$2.07B	$2.34B	$1.98B	$1.55B	$1.64B	$2.00B	$1.83B
High Forecast	$3.33B	$3.23B	$3.01B	$2.62B	$3.10B	$3.06B	$2.90B	$2.60B	$2.90B	$2.71B	$2.57B	$2.25B	$2.76B	$2.82B	$2.48B	$2.23B	$2.59B	$2.59B	$2.59B	$2.36B	$2.58B	$2.33B	$2.22B	$2.07B	$2.34B	$1.98B	$1.55B	$1.64B	$2.00B	$1.83B
Low Forecast	$3.09B	$2.99B	$2.78B	$2.43B	$2.87B	$2.84B	$2.69B	$2.41B	$2.77B	$2.71B	$2.57B	$2.25B	$2.35B	$2.43B	$2.30B	$2.06B	$2.40B	$2.59B	$2.59B	$2.36B	$2.58B	$2.33B	$2.22B	$2.07B	$2.34B	$1.98B	$1.55B	$1.64B	$2.00B	$1.83B
# Analysts	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	2	4	2	2	2	4	4	2	2	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	2	2	9	9	9	8	8
Surprise %	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0.90%	0.99%	0.98%	1.01%	1.09%	1.07%	1.03%	1.01%	0.86%	1.03%	1.03%	0.99%	1.00%	1.01%	1.04%	0.96%	1.00%	1.05%

NVR's average Quarter revenue forecast for Mar 24 based on 2 analysts is $2.25B, with a low forecast of $2.25B, and a high forecast of $2.25B. NVR's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a -4.16% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $2.35B (Dec 23).

NVR EBITDA Forecast

	Dec 26	Sep 26	Jun 26	Mar 26	Dec 25	Sep 25	Jun 25	Mar 25	Dec 24	Sep 24	Jun 24	Mar 24	Dec 23	Sep 23	Jun 23	Mar 23	Dec 22	Sep 22	Jun 22	Mar 22	Dec 21	Sep 21	Jun 21	Mar 21	Dec 20	Sep 20	Jun 20	Mar 20	Dec 19	Sep 19
# Analysts	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	2	4	2	2	2	4	4	2	2	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	2	2	9	9	9	8	8
EBITDA	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	$367.40M	$546.24M	$477.97M	$441.07M	$585.78M	$545.72M	$586.27M	$579.11M	$444.75M	$452.05M	$435.57M	$330.61M	$403.74M	$338.69M	$224.99M	$173.48M	$307.32M	$278.69M
Avg Forecast	$585.65M	$567.02M	$528.12M	$460.40M	$544.53M	$537.96M	$509.83M	$456.46M	$512.75M	$493.64M	$467.33M	$648.09M	$475.12M	$472.44M	$435.94M	$589.17M	$541.56M	$446.75M	$447.73M	$465.75M	$446.36M	$401.94M	$382.82M	$329.56M	$404.01M	$341.59M	$268.29M	$175.96M	$345.45M	$315.31M
High Forecast	$606.97M	$587.66M	$547.35M	$477.16M	$564.35M	$557.55M	$528.39M	$473.08M	$527.89M	$493.74M	$467.33M	$777.71M	$502.85M	$513.95M	$451.81M	$707.01M	$649.87M	$446.75M	$447.73M	$558.90M	$446.36M	$401.94M	$382.82M	$395.47M	$404.01M	$341.59M	$268.29M	$211.15M	$345.45M	$315.31M
Low Forecast	$562.35M	$544.47M	$507.12M	$442.09M	$522.87M	$516.57M	$489.55M	$438.30M	$505.18M	$493.53M	$467.33M	$518.47M	$428.90M	$442.01M	$418.60M	$471.34M	$433.25M	$446.75M	$447.73M	$372.60M	$446.36M	$401.94M	$382.82M	$263.65M	$404.01M	$341.59M	$268.29M	$140.76M	$345.45M	$315.31M
Surprise %	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0.77%	1.16%	1.10%	0.75%	1.08%	1.22%	1.31%	1.24%	1.00%	1.12%	1.14%	1.00%	1.00%	0.99%	0.84%	0.99%	0.89%	0.88%

2 analysts predict NVR's average Quarter EBITDA for Mar 24 to be $648.09M, with a high of $777.71M and a low of $518.47M. This is 76.40% upper than NVR's previous annual EBITDA (Dec 23) of $367.40M.

NVR Net Income Forecast

	Dec 26	Sep 26	Jun 26	Mar 26	Dec 25	Sep 25	Jun 25	Mar 25	Dec 24	Sep 24	Jun 24	Mar 24	Dec 23	Sep 23	Jun 23	Mar 23	Dec 22	Sep 22	Jun 22	Mar 22	Dec 21	Sep 21	Jun 21	Mar 21	Dec 20	Sep 20	Jun 20	Mar 20	Dec 19	Sep 19
# Analysts	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	2	4	2	2	2	4	4	2	2	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	2	2	9	9	9	8	8
Net Income	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	$410.07M	$433.16M	$404.03M	$344.35M	$454.77M	$411.39M	$433.31M	$426.10M	$334.58M	$332.08M	$321.30M	$248.76M	$305.00M	$256.47M	$164.07M	$175.70M	$256.14M	$223.79M
Avg Forecast	$548.93M	$507.46M	$464.85M	$403.27M	$497.45M	$464.58M	$424.87M	$364.31M	$429.95M	$430.98M	$398.78M	$473.21M	$399.74M	$380.32M	$341.35M	$430.19M	$407.40M	$404.29M	$421.07M	$340.07M	$331.39M	$294.87M	$240.58M	$247.97M	$265.13M	$200.02M	$145.01M	$178.21M	$194.94M	$168.52M
High Forecast	$574.91M	$531.48M	$486.85M	$422.35M	$521.00M	$486.57M	$444.98M	$381.55M	$460.78M	$431.87M	$398.78M	$567.85M	$457.66M	$431.48M	$357.50M	$516.23M	$488.88M	$404.29M	$421.07M	$408.09M	$331.39M	$294.87M	$240.58M	$297.57M	$265.13M	$200.02M	$145.01M	$213.85M	$194.94M	$168.52M
Low Forecast	$520.55M	$481.22M	$440.81M	$382.42M	$471.73M	$440.56M	$402.90M	$345.47M	$409.00M	$430.10M	$398.78M	$378.57M	$367.29M	$328.86M	$323.70M	$344.15M	$325.92M	$404.29M	$421.07M	$272.06M	$331.39M	$294.87M	$240.58M	$198.38M	$265.13M	$200.02M	$145.01M	$142.57M	$194.94M	$168.52M
Surprise %	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1.03%	1.14%	1.18%	0.80%	1.12%	1.02%	1.03%	1.25%	1.01%	1.13%	1.34%	1.00%	1.15%	1.28%	1.13%	0.99%	1.31%	1.33%

NVR's average Quarter net income forecast for Mar 24 is $473.21M, with a range of $378.57M to $567.85M. NVR's average Quarter net income forecast represents a 15.40% increase compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $410.07M (Dec 23).

NVR SG&A Forecast

	Dec 26	Sep 26	Jun 26	Mar 26	Dec 25	Sep 25	Jun 25	Mar 25	Dec 24	Sep 24	Jun 24	Mar 24	Dec 23	Sep 23	Jun 23	Mar 23	Dec 22	Sep 22	Jun 22	Mar 22	Dec 21	Sep 21	Jun 21	Mar 21	Dec 20	Sep 20	Jun 20	Mar 20	Dec 19	Sep 19
# Analysts	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	2	4	2	2	2	4	4	2	2	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	2	2	9	9	9	8	8
SG&A	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	$175.62M	$166.76M	$171.40M	$166.25M	$163.29M	$153.67M	$155.92M	$152.42M	$149.15M	$135.19M	$136.02M	$143.07M	$133.97M	$125.92M	$121.46M	$123.04M	$124.98M	$123.68M
Avg Forecast	$213.73M	$206.94M	$192.74M	$168.02M	$198.73M	$196.33M	$186.06M	$166.59M	$187.13M	$180.15M	$170.55M	$169.27M	$173.40M	$172.42M	$159.10M	$153.88M	$181.61M	$172.91M	$173.29M	$121.65M	$172.76M	$155.57M	$148.17M	$142.62M	$156.37M	$132.21M	$103.84M	$124.80M	$133.70M	$122.04M
High Forecast	$221.52M	$214.47M	$199.76M	$174.14M	$205.96M	$203.48M	$192.84M	$172.65M	$192.66M	$180.19M	$170.55M	$203.12M	$183.52M	$187.57M	$164.89M	$184.66M	$217.93M	$172.91M	$173.29M	$145.97M	$172.76M	$155.57M	$148.17M	$171.15M	$156.37M	$132.21M	$103.84M	$149.75M	$133.70M	$122.04M
Low Forecast	$205.23M	$198.71M	$185.07M	$161.34M	$190.82M	$188.52M	$178.66M	$159.96M	$184.37M	$180.12M	$170.55M	$135.42M	$156.53M	$161.31M	$152.77M	$123.10M	$145.29M	$172.91M	$173.29M	$97.32M	$172.76M	$155.57M	$148.17M	$114.10M	$156.37M	$132.21M	$103.84M	$99.84M	$133.70M	$122.04M
Surprise %	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1.01%	0.97%	1.08%	1.08%	0.90%	0.89%	0.90%	1.25%	0.86%	0.87%	0.92%	1.00%	0.86%	0.95%	1.17%	0.99%	0.93%	1.01%

NVR's average Quarter SG&A projection for Mar 24 is $169.27M, based on 2 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $135.42M to $203.12M. The forecast indicates a -3.62% fall compared to NVR last annual SG&A of $175.62M (Dec 23).

NVR EPS Forecast

	Dec 26	Sep 26	Jun 26	Mar 26	Dec 25	Sep 25	Jun 25	Mar 25	Dec 24	Sep 24	Jun 24	Mar 24	Dec 23	Sep 23	Jun 23	Mar 23	Dec 22	Sep 22	Jun 22	Mar 22	Dec 21	Sep 21	Jun 21	Mar 21	Dec 20	Sep 20	Jun 20	Mar 20	Dec 19	Sep 19
# Analysts	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	2	4	2	2	2	4	4	2	2	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	2	2	9	9	9	8	8
EPS	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	$121.58	$132.92	$123.84	$106.31	$141.82	$125.97	$131.84	$125.87	$96.48	$93.25	$88.69	$67.72	$82.08	$69.19	$44.56	$47.97	$69.78	$60.94
Avg Forecast	$166.85	$154.25	$141.29	$122.58	$151.20	$141.21	$129.14	$110.73	$130.69	$131.00	$121.21	$103.97	$121.50	$115.60	$103.76	$88.96	$98.88	$121.71	$126.77	$96.98	$99.77	$88.77	$72.43	$65.24	$79.82	$60.22	$43.66	$45.61	$58.69	$50.73
High Forecast	$174.75	$161.55	$147.98	$128.38	$158.36	$147.90	$135.25	$115.97	$140.06	$131.27	$121.21	$103.97	$139.11	$131.15	$108.67	$93.17	$103.56	$121.71	$126.77	$96.98	$99.77	$88.77	$72.43	$65.24	$79.82	$60.22	$43.66	$45.61	$58.69	$50.73
Low Forecast	$158.22	$146.27	$133.99	$116.24	$143.39	$133.91	$122.46	$105.01	$124.32	$130.73	$121.21	$103.97	$111.64	$99.96	$98.39	$84.36	$93.77	$121.71	$126.77	$96.98	$99.77	$88.77	$72.43	$65.24	$79.82	$60.22	$43.66	$45.61	$58.69	$50.73
Surprise %	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1.00%	1.15%	1.19%	1.19%	1.43%	1.03%	1.04%	1.30%	0.97%	1.05%	1.22%	1.04%	1.03%	1.15%	1.02%	1.05%	1.19%	1.20%

According to 2 Wall Street analysts, NVR's projected average Quarter EPS for Mar 24 is $103.97, with a low estimate of $103.97 and a high estimate of $103.97. This represents a -14.49% decrease compared to NVR previous annual EPS of $121.58 (Dec 23).

NVR Peer Comparison by Price Target

Ticker	Company	Last Closing Price	Avg Price Target	Upside/Downside	Avg Rating
BZH	Beazer Homes USA	$30.01	$45.00	49.95%	Buy
DHI	D.R. Horton	$146.71	$193.00	31.55%	Buy
PHM	PulteGroup	$115.89	$152.00	31.16%	Buy
MHO	M/I Homes	$150.73	$197.50	31.03%	Strong Buy
LGIH	LGI Homes	$96.47	$125.00	29.57%	Hold
LEN	Lennar	$151.47	$194.38	28.33%	Buy
TMHC	Taylor Morrison Home	$63.84	$77.20	20.93%	Buy
LEGH	Legacy Housing	$24.88	$29.50	18.57%	Buy
KBH	KB Home	$70.44	$77.40	9.88%	Buy
TOL	Toll Brothers	$132.73	$141.17	6.36%	Buy
CVCO	Cavco Industries	$473.29	$475.00	0.36%	Buy
CCS	Century Communities	$81.31	$60.67	-25.38%	Buy
NVR	NVR	$8.47K	$4.90K	-42.14%	Hold

NVR Forecast FAQ

Is NVR a good buy?

No, according to 4 Wall Street analysts, NVR (NVR) is considered a 'Hold'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 1 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 25.00% of NVR's total ratings.

What is NVR's price target?

NVR (NVR) average price target is $4.9K with a range of $4.9K to $4.9K, implying a -40.80% from its last price of $8.28K. The data is based on 4 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.

Will NVR stock go up soon?

According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for NVR stock, the company can go down by -40.80% (from the last price of $8.28K to the average price target of $4.9K), down by -40.80% based on the highest stock price target, and down by -40.80% based on the lowest stock price target.

Can NVR stock reach $12K?

NVR's average twelve months analyst stock price target of $4.9K does not support the claim that NVR can reach $12K in the near future.

What are NVR's analysts' financial forecasts?

NVR's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $11.25B (high $11.66B, low $10.8B), average EBITDA is $2.05B (high $2.12B, low $1.97B), average net income is $1.75B (high $1.83B, low $1.66B), average SG&A $747.71M (high $774.93M, low $717.97M), and average EPS is $532.29 (high $557.49, low $504.77). NVR's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2026) are as follows: average revenue is $11.76B (high $12.18B, low $11.29B), average EBITDA is $2.14B (high $2.22B, low $2.06B), average net income is $1.92B (high $2.02B, low $1.82B), average SG&A $781.43M (high $809.88M, low $750.36M), and average EPS is $584.97 (high $612.65, low $554.72).

Did the NVR's actual financial results beat the analysts' financial forecasts?

Based on NVR's last annual report (Dec 2023), the company's revenue was $9.31B, which missed the average analysts forecast of $9.75B by -4.43%. Apple's EBITDA was $1.82B, missing the average prediction of $1.97B by -7.61%. The company's net income was $1.59B, beating the average estimation of $1.55B by 2.58%. Apple's SG&A was $588.96M, missing the average forecast of $658.8M by -10.60%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $491.54, beating the average prediction of $429.82 by 14.36%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Dec 2023), NVR's revenue was $2.35B, missing the average analysts' forecast of $2.61B by -9.85%. The company's EBITDA was $367.4M, missing the average prediction of $475.12M by -22.67%. NVR's net income was $410.08M, beating the average estimation of $399.74M by 2.59%. The company's SG&A was $175.62M, beating the average forecast of $173.4M by 1.28%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $121.58, beating the average prediction of $121.5 by 0.06%