NVR (NVR) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions
NVR Stock Forecast
NVR stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $4.90K (represents a -47.70% downside from NVR’s last price of $9.37K) and a rating consensus of 'Hold', based on 3 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.
NVR Price Target
The average price target for NVR (NVR) is $4.90K based on 1-year price targets from 3 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $4.90K to $4.90K. This represents a potential -47.70% downside from NVR's last price of $9.37K.
NVR Analyst Ratings
According to 3 Wall Street analysts, NVR's rating consensus is 'Hold'. The analyst rating breakdown for NVR stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 1 'Buy' (33.33%), 2 'Hold' (66.67%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).
NVR Price Target by Analyst
| Date | Analyst | Company | Price Target | Price when Published | Price Target/Price when Published | Price Target/Last Closing Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 07, 2023 | Joe Ahlersmeyer | Deutsche Bank | $4.90K | $6.44K | -23.97% | -47.70% |
The latest NVR stock forecast, released on Dec 07, 2023 by Joe Ahlersmeyer from Deutsche Bank, set a price target of $4.90K, which represents a -23.97% decrease from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($6.44K), and a -47.70% decrease from NVR last price ($9.37K).
NVR Price Target by Period
| 1M | 3M | 12M | |
|---|---|---|---|
| # Anlaysts | - | - | 1 |
| Avg Price Target | - | - | $4.90K |
| Last Closing Price | $9.37K | $9.37K | $9.37K |
| Upside/Downside | -100.00% | -100.00% | -47.70% |
In the current month, the average price target of NVR stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to NVR's last price of $9.37K. This month's average price target is down NaN% compared to last quarter, and down -100.00% compared to last year.
Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades
| Date | Company | Previous Rating | New Rating | Rating Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2024 | Bank of America Securities | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Jul 12, 2024 | Zelman | - | Underperform | Downgrade |
| Dec 07, 2023 | Deutsche Bank | - | Hold | Upgrade |
| Apr 26, 2022 | UBS | - | Neutral | Upgrade |
NVR's last stock rating was published by Bank of America Securities on Jul 22, 2024. The company gave NVR a "Buy" rating, the same as its previous rate.
NVR Financial Forecast
NVR Revenue Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $2.35B | $2.57B | $2.34B | $2.18B | $2.72B | $2.78B | - | $2.38B | $2.23B | $2.40B | $2.29B | $2.04B | $2.35B | $1.99B | $1.62B | $1.58B | $1.99B | $1.91B |
| Avg Forecast | $3.07B | $2.95B | $2.70B | $2.35B | $2.86B | $2.81B | $2.66B | $2.36B | $2.76B | $2.71B | $2.57B | $2.25B | $2.61B | $2.59B | $2.39B | $2.15B | $2.50B | $2.59B | $2.59B | $2.36B | $2.58B | $2.33B | $2.22B | $2.07B | $2.34B | $1.98B | $1.55B | $1.64B | $2.00B | $1.83B |
| High Forecast | $3.14B | $3.01B | $2.76B | $2.40B | $2.92B | $2.87B | $2.72B | $2.41B | $2.82B | $2.74B | $2.62B | $2.30B | $2.76B | $2.82B | $2.44B | $2.20B | $2.55B | $2.64B | $2.59B | $2.42B | $2.66B | $2.39B | $2.28B | $2.13B | $2.41B | $2.04B | $1.60B | $1.69B | $2.06B | $1.88B |
| Low Forecast | $3.01B | $2.89B | $2.64B | $2.30B | $2.80B | $2.75B | $2.61B | $2.31B | $2.70B | $2.66B | $2.51B | $2.21B | $2.35B | $2.43B | $2.34B | $2.11B | $2.45B | $2.53B | $2.59B | $2.28B | $2.50B | $2.25B | $2.14B | $2.00B | $2.26B | $1.91B | $1.50B | $1.59B | $1.93B | $1.76B |
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.90% | 0.99% | 0.98% | 1.01% | 1.09% | 1.07% | - | 1.01% | 0.86% | 1.03% | 1.03% | 0.99% | 1.00% | 1.01% | 1.04% | 0.96% | 1.00% | 1.05% |
NVR's average Quarter revenue forecast for Mar 24 based on 2 analysts is $2.25B, with a low forecast of $2.21B, and a high forecast of $2.30B. NVR's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a -4.16% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $2.35B (Dec 23).
NVR EBITDA Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $367.40M | $546.24M | $477.97M | $441.07M | $585.78M | $545.72M | - | $579.11M | $444.75M | $452.05M | $435.57M | $330.61M | $403.74M | $338.69M | $224.99M | $173.48M | $307.32M | $278.69M |
| Avg Forecast | $530.13M | $508.93M | $466.08M | $406.38M | $494.32M | $484.88M | $460.02M | $407.65M | $476.04M | $468.20M | $443.06M | $648.09M | $450.44M | $447.91M | $413.30M | $589.17M | $431.61M | $529.88M | $447.73M | $465.75M | $492.32M | $481.71M | $317.53M | $329.56M | $418.35M | $309.17M | $222.31M | $175.96M | $279.14M | $252.08M |
| High Forecast | $541.51M | $519.85M | $476.08M | $415.10M | $504.93M | $495.28M | $469.89M | $416.40M | $486.26M | $473.48M | $452.57M | $777.71M | $476.73M | $487.26M | $422.17M | $707.01M | $440.87M | $635.86M | $447.73M | $558.90M | $590.79M | $578.06M | $381.03M | $395.47M | $502.02M | $371.00M | $266.77M | $211.15M | $334.97M | $302.50M |
| Low Forecast | $519.08M | $498.33M | $456.37M | $397.91M | $484.02M | $474.77M | $450.43M | $399.15M | $466.12M | $459.40M | $433.82M | $518.47M | $406.62M | $419.05M | $404.69M | $471.34M | $422.62M | $423.91M | $447.73M | $372.60M | $393.86M | $385.37M | $254.02M | $263.65M | $334.68M | $247.34M | $177.85M | $140.76M | $223.31M | $201.67M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.82% | 1.22% | 1.16% | 0.75% | 1.36% | 1.03% | - | 1.24% | 0.90% | 0.94% | 1.37% | 1.00% | 0.97% | 1.10% | 1.01% | 0.99% | 1.10% | 1.11% |
2 analysts predict NVR's average Quarter EBITDA for Mar 24 to be $648.09M, with a high of $777.71M and a low of $518.47M. This is 76.40% upper than NVR's previous annual EBITDA (Dec 23) of $367.40M.
NVR Net Income Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| Net Income | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $410.07M | $433.16M | $404.03M | $344.35M | $454.77M | $411.39M | - | $426.10M | $334.58M | $332.08M | $321.30M | $248.76M | $305.00M | $256.47M | $164.07M | $175.70M | $256.14M | $223.79M |
| Avg Forecast | $514.42M | $483.62M | $423.01M | $353.22M | $488.74M | $464.43M | $418.40M | $363.85M | $435.07M | $436.85M | $402.62M | $473.21M | $403.59M | $383.99M | $344.64M | $430.19M | $328.46M | $389.26M | $429.35M | $340.07M | $370.37M | $353.87M | $234.22M | $247.97M | $316.05M | $234.11M | $162.12M | $178.21M | $232.65M | $202.42M |
| High Forecast | $528.77M | $497.11M | $434.81M | $363.08M | $502.38M | $477.39M | $430.08M | $374.00M | $447.21M | $460.51M | $413.86M | $567.85M | $462.07M | $435.64M | $354.25M | $516.23M | $337.62M | $467.11M | $429.35M | $408.09M | $444.44M | $424.64M | $281.07M | $297.57M | $379.26M | $280.93M | $194.55M | $213.85M | $279.18M | $242.91M |
| Low Forecast | $500.48M | $470.52M | $411.55M | $343.65M | $475.50M | $451.85M | $407.07M | $354.00M | $423.28M | $419.10M | $391.71M | $378.57M | $370.83M | $332.04M | $335.30M | $344.15M | $319.56M | $311.41M | $429.35M | $272.06M | $296.29M | $283.10M | $187.38M | $198.38M | $252.84M | $187.29M | $129.70M | $142.57M | $186.12M | $161.94M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.02% | 1.13% | 1.17% | 0.80% | 1.38% | 1.06% | - | 1.25% | 0.90% | 0.94% | 1.37% | 1.00% | 0.97% | 1.10% | 1.01% | 0.99% | 1.10% | 1.11% |
NVR's average Quarter net income forecast for Mar 24 is $473.21M, with a range of $378.57M to $567.85M. NVR's average Quarter net income forecast represents a 15.40% increase compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $410.07M (Dec 23).
NVR SG&A Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| SG&A | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $175.62M | $166.76M | $171.40M | $166.25M | $163.29M | $153.67M | - | $152.42M | $149.15M | $135.19M | $136.02M | $143.07M | $133.97M | $125.92M | $121.46M | $123.04M | $124.98M | $123.68M |
| Avg Forecast | $205.18M | $196.98M | $180.39M | $157.29M | $191.32M | $187.67M | $178.04M | $157.78M | $184.25M | $181.21M | $171.48M | $169.27M | $174.34M | $173.36M | $159.96M | $153.88M | $167.05M | $158.46M | $173.29M | $121.65M | $165.10M | $144.06M | $99.16M | $142.62M | $138.83M | $114.95M | $120.01M | $124.80M | $113.52M | $111.87M |
| High Forecast | $209.59M | $201.21M | $184.26M | $160.66M | $195.43M | $191.69M | $181.87M | $161.16M | $188.20M | $183.26M | $175.16M | $203.12M | $184.51M | $188.59M | $163.40M | $184.66M | $170.64M | $190.15M | $173.29M | $145.97M | $198.12M | $172.87M | $118.99M | $171.15M | $166.59M | $137.93M | $144.02M | $149.75M | $136.22M | $134.25M |
| Low Forecast | $200.91M | $192.87M | $176.63M | $154.01M | $187.33M | $183.76M | $174.33M | $154.49M | $180.41M | $177.81M | $167.91M | $135.42M | $157.38M | $162.19M | $156.63M | $123.10M | $163.57M | $126.77M | $173.29M | $97.32M | $132.08M | $115.24M | $79.33M | $114.10M | $111.06M | $91.96M | $96.01M | $99.84M | $90.82M | $89.50M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.01% | 0.96% | 1.07% | 1.08% | 0.98% | 0.97% | - | 1.25% | 0.90% | 0.94% | 1.37% | 1.00% | 0.97% | 1.10% | 1.01% | 0.99% | 1.10% | 1.11% |
NVR's average Quarter SG&A projection for Mar 24 is $169.27M, based on 2 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $135.42M to $203.12M. The forecast indicates a -3.62% fall compared to NVR last annual SG&A of $175.62M (Dec 23).
NVR EPS Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| EPS | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $121.58 | $132.92 | $123.84 | $106.31 | $141.82 | $125.97 | - | $125.87 | $96.48 | $93.25 | $88.69 | $67.72 | $82.08 | $69.19 | $44.56 | $47.97 | $69.78 | $60.94 |
| Avg Forecast | $154.87 | $145.60 | $127.35 | $106.34 | $147.14 | $139.82 | $125.96 | $109.54 | $130.98 | $131.52 | $121.21 | $103.97 | $121.50 | $115.60 | $103.76 | $88.96 | $98.88 | $121.71 | $126.77 | $96.98 | $99.77 | $88.77 | $72.43 | $65.24 | $79.82 | $60.22 | $43.66 | $45.61 | $58.69 | $50.73 |
| High Forecast | $159.19 | $149.66 | $130.90 | $109.31 | $151.24 | $143.72 | $129.48 | $112.60 | $134.63 | $138.64 | $124.59 | $106.87 | $139.11 | $131.15 | $106.65 | $91.45 | $101.64 | $125.11 | $126.77 | $100.62 | $103.51 | $92.10 | $75.14 | $67.69 | $82.81 | $62.48 | $45.29 | $47.32 | $60.89 | $52.64 |
| Low Forecast | $150.67 | $141.65 | $123.90 | $103.46 | $143.15 | $136.03 | $122.55 | $106.57 | $127.43 | $126.17 | $117.93 | $101.15 | $111.64 | $99.96 | $100.94 | $86.55 | $96.20 | $118.41 | $126.77 | $92.63 | $95.30 | $84.80 | $69.18 | $62.32 | $76.24 | $57.52 | $41.70 | $43.57 | $56.06 | $48.46 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.00% | 1.15% | 1.19% | 1.19% | 1.43% | 1.03% | - | 1.30% | 0.97% | 1.05% | 1.22% | 1.04% | 1.03% | 1.15% | 1.02% | 1.05% | 1.19% | 1.20% |
According to 2 Wall Street analysts, NVR's projected average Quarter EPS for Mar 24 is $103.97, with a low estimate of $101.15 and a high estimate of $106.87. This represents a -14.49% decrease compared to NVR previous annual EPS of $121.58 (Dec 23).
NVR Peer Comparison by Price Target
| Ticker | Company | Last Closing Price | Avg Price Target | Upside/Downside | Avg Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BZH | Beazer Homes USA | $33.59 | $41.00 | 22.06% | Buy |
| LEGH | Legacy Housing | $28.23 | $29.50 | 4.50% | Buy |
| CVCO | Cavco Industries | $427.53 | $401.00 | -6.21% | Buy |
| LGIH | LGI Homes | $114.47 | $107.25 | -6.31% | Hold |
| TMHC | Taylor Morrison Home | $68.66 | $64.20 | -6.50% | Buy |
| MHO | M/I Homes | $166.49 | $141.50 | -15.01% | Strong Buy |
| LEN | Lennar | $185.91 | $150.24 | -19.19% | Buy |
| TOL | Toll Brothers | $149.80 | $119.59 | -20.17% | Buy |
| DHI | D.R. Horton | $194.80 | $141.44 | -27.39% | Buy |
| KBH | KB Home | $86.04 | $56.38 | -34.47% | Hold |
| PHM | PulteGroup | $139.54 | $86.15 | -38.26% | Buy |
| CCS | Century Communities | $103.41 | $60.67 | -41.33% | Buy |
| NVR | NVR | $9.37K | $4.90K | -47.70% | Hold |
NVR Forecast FAQ
Is NVR a good buy?
No, according to 3 Wall Street analysts, NVR (NVR) is considered a 'Hold'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 1 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 33.33% of NVR's total ratings.
What is NVR's price target?
NVR (NVR) average price target is $4.9K with a range of $4.9K to $4.9K, implying a -47.70% from its last price of $9.37K. The data is based on 3 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.
Will NVR stock go up soon?
According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for NVR stock, the company can go down by -47.70% (from the last price of $9.37K to the average price target of $4.9K), down by -47.70% based on the highest stock price target, and down by -47.70% based on the lowest stock price target.
Can NVR stock reach $14K?
NVR's average twelve months analyst stock price target of $4.9K does not support the claim that NVR can reach $14K in the near future.
What are NVR's analysts' financial forecasts?
NVR's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $10.7B (high $10.93B, low $10.47B), average EBITDA is $1.85B (high $1.89B, low $1.81B), average net income is $1.74B (high $1.78B, low $1.69B), average SG&A $714.81M (high $730.15M, low $699.91M), and average EPS is $522.46 (high $537.03, low $508.3). NVR's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2026) are as follows: average revenue is $11.07B (high $11.31B, low $10.84B), average EBITDA is $1.91B (high $1.95B, low $1.87B), average net income is $1.77B (high $1.82B, low $1.73B), average SG&A $739.84M (high $755.71M, low $724.42M), and average EPS is $534.15 (high $549.05, low $519.68).
Did the NVR's actual financial results beat the analysts' financial forecasts?
Based on NVR's last annual report (Dec 2023), the company's revenue was $9.31B, which missed the average analysts forecast of $9.75B by -4.43%. Apple's EBITDA was $1.82B, missing the average prediction of $1.9B by -4.12%. The company's net income was $1.59B, beating the average estimation of $1.56B by 1.87%. Apple's SG&A was $588.96M, missing the average forecast of $661.54M by -10.97%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $491.54, beating the average prediction of $429.82 by 14.36%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Dec 2023), NVR's revenue was $2.35B, missing the average analysts' forecast of $2.61B by -9.85%. The company's EBITDA was $367.4M, missing the average prediction of $450.44M by -18.43%. NVR's net income was $410.08M, beating the average estimation of $403.59M by 1.61%. The company's SG&A was $175.62M, beating the average forecast of $174.34M by 0.74%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $121.58, beating the average prediction of $121.5 by 0.06%