Napco Security (NSSC) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions
NSSC Stock Forecast
Napco Security stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $49.25 (represents a 31.90% upside from NSSC’s last price of $37.34) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 8 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.
NSSC Price Target
The average price target for Napco Security (NSSC) is $49.25 based on 1-year price targets from 8 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $60.00 to $32.00. This represents a potential 31.90% upside from NSSC's last price of $37.34.
NSSC Analyst Ratings
According to 8 Wall Street analysts, Napco Security's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for NSSC stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 7 'Buy' (87.50%), 1 'Hold' (12.50%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).
Napco Security Price Target by Analyst
| Date | Analyst | Company | Price Target | Price when Published | Price Target/Price when Published | Price Target/Last Closing Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 05, 2024 | Jeremy Hamblin | Craig-Hallum | $48.00 | $35.75 | 34.27% | 28.55% |
| Sep 17, 2024 | Jaeson Schmidt | New Street | $60.00 | $40.93 | 46.59% | 60.69% |
| Aug 27, 2024 | James Ricchiuti | Needham | $57.00 | $47.38 | 20.30% | 52.65% |
| May 24, 2024 | Jeremy Hamblin | Craig-Hallum | $65.00 | $49.09 | 32.40% | 74.08% |
| May 07, 2024 | James Ricchiuti | Needham | $52.00 | $45.30 | 14.79% | 39.26% |
| Aug 21, 2023 | James Ricchiuti | Needham | $30.00 | $20.16 | 48.78% | -19.66% |
| Aug 30, 2022 | Jaeson Schmidt | Lake Street | $32.00 | $29.34 | 9.08% | -14.30% |
| Aug 30, 2022 | James Ricchiuti | Needham | $33.00 | $29.34 | 12.49% | -11.62% |
The latest Napco Security stock forecast, released on Nov 05, 2024 by Jeremy Hamblin from Craig-Hallum, set a price target of $48.00, which represents a 34.27% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($35.75), and a 28.55% increase from NSSC last price ($37.34).
Napco Security Price Target by Period
| 1M | 3M | 12M | |
|---|---|---|---|
| # Anlaysts | 1 | 3 | 5 |
| Avg Price Target | $48.00 | $55.00 | $56.40 |
| Last Closing Price | $37.34 | $37.34 | $37.34 |
| Upside/Downside | 28.55% | 47.30% | 51.04% |
In the current month, the average price target of Napco Security stock is $48.00, according to 1 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a 28.55% increase as opposed to Napco Security's last price of $37.34. This month's average price target is down -12.73% compared to last quarter, and down -14.89% compared to last year.
Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades
| Date | Company | Previous Rating | New Rating | Rating Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2024 | New Street | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Aug 27, 2024 | Craig-Hallum | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Aug 27, 2024 | Cowen & Co. | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Aug 27, 2024 | Needham | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Jun 12, 2024 | Lake Street | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| May 28, 2024 | Cowen & Co. | - | Buy | Initialise |
| May 07, 2024 | B. Riley | Neutral | Neutral | Hold |
| May 07, 2024 | Lake Street | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| May 07, 2024 | Needham | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| May 06, 2024 | Imperial Capital | - | Outperform | Upgrade |
Napco Security's last stock rating was published by New Street on Sep 17, 2024. The company gave NSSC a "Buy" rating, the same as its previous rate.
Napco Security Financial Forecast
Napco Security Revenue Forecast
| Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | Jun 19 | Mar 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $41.68M | $44.66M | $43.53M | $42.31M | $39.49M | $43.23M | $35.91M | $33.41M | $31.05M | $35.43M | $28.23M | $27.20M | $23.17M | $23.01M | $26.24M | $25.83M | $26.29M | $29.58M | $25.14M |
| Avg Forecast | $63.89M | $60.78M | $56.64M | $49.79M | $55.69M | $53.45M | $49.92M | $46.56M | $50.13M | $48.32M | $43.92M | $40.92M | $45.81M | $42.11M | $39.14M | $36.34M | $39.57M | $34.66M | $31.60M | $29.53M | $29.80M | $27.68M | $24.17M | $24.12M | $26.44M | $26.17M | $27.04M | $25.98M | $29.47M | $23.84M |
| High Forecast | $64.33M | $61.20M | $57.03M | $50.13M | $56.07M | $53.82M | $49.93M | $46.88M | $50.13M | $48.40M | $44.06M | $42.58M | $46.13M | $42.40M | $39.41M | $36.34M | $39.57M | $34.66M | $31.60M | $29.53M | $29.80M | $27.68M | $24.17M | $24.12M | $26.44M | $26.17M | $27.04M | $25.98M | $29.47M | $23.84M |
| Low Forecast | $63.15M | $60.08M | $55.98M | $49.21M | $55.04M | $52.83M | $49.90M | $46.02M | $50.13M | $48.24M | $43.77M | $38.47M | $45.28M | $41.62M | $38.69M | $36.34M | $39.57M | $34.66M | $31.60M | $29.53M | $29.80M | $27.68M | $24.17M | $24.12M | $26.44M | $26.17M | $27.04M | $25.98M | $29.47M | $23.84M |
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.02% | 0.97% | 1.03% | 1.08% | 1.09% | 1.09% | 1.04% | 1.06% | 1.05% | 1.19% | 1.02% | 1.13% | 0.96% | 0.87% | 1.00% | 0.96% | 1.01% | 1.00% | 1.05% |
Napco Security's average Quarter revenue forecast for Dec 23 based on 2 analysts is $43.92M, with a low forecast of $43.77M, and a high forecast of $44.06M. NSSC's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a 5.39% increase compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $41.68M (Sep 23).
Napco Security EBITDA Forecast
| Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | Jun 19 | Mar 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $11.55M | $11.81M | $12.40M | $9.91M | $7.71M | $8.64M | $4.54M | $1.72M | $713.00K | $6.41M | $5.44M | $4.10M | $3.08M | $-458.00K | $4.42M | $4.37M | $3.97M | $5.14M | $4.01M |
| Avg Forecast | $11.98M | $11.39M | $10.62M | $9.33M | $10.44M | $10.02M | $9.36M | $8.73M | $9.40M | $9.06M | $8.23M | $7.67M | $8.59M | $7.89M | $7.34M | $6.78M | $7.38M | $3.59M | $5.89M | $5.50M | $5.56M | $3.63M | $4.51M | $4.50M | $4.93M | $3.64M | $5.04M | $4.84M | $5.49M | $2.78M |
| High Forecast | $12.06M | $11.47M | $10.69M | $9.40M | $10.51M | $10.09M | $9.36M | $8.79M | $9.40M | $9.07M | $8.26M | $7.98M | $8.65M | $7.95M | $7.39M | $6.78M | $7.38M | $4.31M | $5.89M | $5.50M | $5.56M | $4.35M | $4.51M | $4.50M | $4.93M | $4.37M | $5.04M | $4.84M | $5.49M | $3.33M |
| Low Forecast | $11.84M | $11.26M | $10.49M | $9.22M | $10.32M | $9.90M | $9.35M | $8.63M | $9.40M | $9.04M | $8.21M | $7.21M | $8.49M | $7.80M | $7.25M | $6.78M | $7.38M | $2.87M | $5.89M | $5.50M | $5.56M | $2.90M | $4.51M | $4.50M | $4.93M | $2.91M | $5.04M | $4.84M | $5.49M | $2.22M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.51% | 1.38% | 1.57% | 1.35% | 1.14% | 1.17% | 1.27% | 0.29% | 0.13% | 1.15% | 1.50% | 0.91% | 0.69% | -0.09% | 1.21% | 0.87% | 0.82% | 0.94% | 1.44% |
2 analysts predict NSSC's average Quarter EBITDA for Dec 23 to be $8.23M, with a high of $8.26M and a low of $8.21M. This is -28.74% lower than Napco Security's previous annual EBITDA (Sep 23) of $11.55M.
Napco Security Net Income Forecast
| Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | Jun 19 | Mar 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Net Income | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $10.48M | $10.56M | $10.84M | $8.45M | $6.40M | $7.54M | $2.88M | $1.04M | $7.75M | $5.03M | $4.36M | $3.20M | $2.32M | $-1.90M | $3.62M | $3.57M | $3.23M | $4.73M | $3.12M |
| Avg Forecast | $19.52M | $18.78M | $16.92M | $15.24M | $15.18M | $14.38M | $12.64M | $12.39M | $13.20M | $12.18M | $9.67M | $7.71M | $9.98M | $7.14M | $5.28M | $4.99M | $4.10M | $2.47M | $3.72M | $4.61M | $4.65M | $2.91M | $2.05M | $1.74M | $3.35M | $2.98M | $3.35M | $2.70M | $4.82M | $2.16M |
| High Forecast | $19.69M | $18.94M | $17.07M | $15.38M | $15.32M | $14.51M | $12.75M | $12.50M | $13.32M | $12.22M | $10.04M | $8.45M | $10.07M | $7.20M | $5.33M | $4.99M | $4.10M | $2.96M | $3.72M | $4.61M | $4.65M | $3.49M | $2.05M | $1.74M | $3.35M | $3.57M | $3.35M | $2.70M | $4.82M | $2.59M |
| Low Forecast | $19.22M | $18.49M | $16.66M | $15.01M | $14.95M | $14.16M | $12.45M | $12.21M | $13.00M | $12.13M | $9.29M | $6.98M | $9.83M | $7.03M | $5.20M | $4.99M | $4.10M | $1.97M | $3.72M | $4.61M | $4.65M | $2.33M | $2.05M | $1.74M | $3.35M | $2.38M | $3.35M | $2.70M | $4.82M | $1.73M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.36% | 1.06% | 1.52% | 1.60% | 1.28% | 1.84% | 1.17% | 0.28% | 1.68% | 1.08% | 1.50% | 1.56% | 1.33% | -0.57% | 1.21% | 1.07% | 1.20% | 0.98% | 1.44% |
Napco Security's average Quarter net income forecast for Dec 23 is $9.67M, with a range of $9.29M to $10.04M. NSSC's average Quarter net income forecast represents a -7.74% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $10.48M (Sep 23).
Napco Security SG&A Forecast
| Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | Jun 19 | Mar 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| SG&A | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $8.42M | $8.86M | $8.43M | $7.80M | $8.49M | $8.92M | $8.44M | $8.20M | $7.35M | $7.22M | $5.98M | $5.85M | $6.15M | $5.10M | $6.10M | $6.31M | $6.16M | $6.31M | $5.23M |
| Avg Forecast | $13.77M | $13.11M | $12.21M | $10.73M | $12.01M | $11.53M | $10.76M | $10.04M | $10.81M | $10.42M | $9.47M | $8.82M | $9.88M | $9.08M | $8.44M | $7.84M | $8.53M | $7.24M | $6.81M | $6.37M | $6.43M | $3.99M | $5.21M | $5.20M | $5.70M | $5.02M | $5.83M | $5.60M | $6.35M | $3.62M |
| High Forecast | $13.87M | $13.20M | $12.30M | $10.81M | $12.09M | $11.60M | $10.77M | $10.11M | $10.81M | $10.43M | $9.50M | $9.18M | $9.95M | $9.14M | $8.50M | $7.84M | $8.53M | $8.68M | $6.81M | $6.37M | $6.43M | $4.78M | $5.21M | $5.20M | $5.70M | $6.02M | $5.83M | $5.60M | $6.35M | $4.35M |
| Low Forecast | $13.61M | $12.95M | $12.07M | $10.61M | $11.87M | $11.39M | $10.76M | $9.92M | $10.81M | $10.40M | $9.44M | $8.29M | $9.76M | $8.97M | $8.34M | $7.84M | $8.53M | $5.79M | $6.81M | $6.37M | $6.43M | $3.19M | $5.21M | $5.20M | $5.70M | $4.02M | $5.83M | $5.60M | $6.35M | $2.90M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.95% | 0.90% | 0.93% | 0.92% | 1.08% | 1.05% | 1.17% | 1.20% | 1.15% | 1.12% | 1.50% | 1.12% | 1.18% | 0.90% | 1.21% | 1.08% | 1.10% | 0.99% | 1.44% |
Napco Security's average Quarter SG&A projection for Dec 23 is $9.47M, based on 2 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $9.44M to $9.50M. The forecast indicates a 12.46% rise compared to NSSC last annual SG&A of $8.42M (Sep 23).
Napco Security EPS Forecast
| Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | Jun 19 | Mar 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| EPS | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0.28 | $0.29 | $0.29 | $0.23 | $0.17 | $0.21 | $0.09 | $0.03 | $0.21 | $0.14 | $0.12 | $0.09 | $0.07 | $-0.05 | $0.10 | $0.10 | $0.09 | $0.13 | $0.09 |
| Avg Forecast | $0.53 | $0.51 | $0.46 | $0.41 | $0.41 | $0.39 | $0.34 | $0.33 | $0.35 | $0.33 | $0.26 | $0.21 | $0.27 | $0.19 | $0.14 | $0.13 | $0.11 | $0.07 | $0.10 | $0.12 | $0.12 | $0.09 | $0.06 | $0.05 | $0.09 | $0.08 | $0.09 | $0.07 | $0.13 | $0.06 |
| High Forecast | $0.53 | $0.51 | $0.46 | $0.41 | $0.41 | $0.39 | $0.34 | $0.34 | $0.36 | $0.33 | $0.27 | $0.23 | $0.27 | $0.19 | $0.14 | $0.13 | $0.11 | $0.07 | $0.10 | $0.12 | $0.12 | $0.09 | $0.06 | $0.05 | $0.09 | $0.08 | $0.09 | $0.07 | $0.13 | $0.06 |
| Low Forecast | $0.52 | $0.50 | $0.45 | $0.40 | $0.40 | $0.38 | $0.33 | $0.33 | $0.35 | $0.33 | $0.25 | $0.19 | $0.26 | $0.19 | $0.14 | $0.13 | $0.11 | $0.07 | $0.10 | $0.12 | $0.12 | $0.09 | $0.06 | $0.05 | $0.09 | $0.08 | $0.09 | $0.07 | $0.13 | $0.06 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.35% | 1.08% | 1.51% | 1.62% | 1.27% | 1.91% | 1.25% | 0.28% | 1.70% | 1.12% | 1.36% | 1.55% | 1.39% | -0.58% | 1.19% | 1.06% | 1.17% | 1.00% | 1.34% |
According to 2 Wall Street analysts, Napco Security's projected average Quarter EPS for Dec 23 is $0.26, with a low estimate of $0.25 and a high estimate of $0.27. This represents a -7.14% decrease compared to NSSC previous annual EPS of $0.28 (Sep 23).