Murphy USA (MUSA) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions
MUSA Stock Forecast
Murphy USA stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $322.50 (represents a -37.98% downside from MUSA’s last price of $519.99) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 4 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.
MUSA Price Target
The average price target for Murphy USA (MUSA) is $322.50 based on 1-year price targets from 4 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $360.00 to $300.00. This represents a potential -37.98% downside from MUSA's last price of $519.99.
MUSA Analyst Ratings
According to 4 Wall Street analysts, Murphy USA's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for MUSA stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 3 'Buy' (75.00%), 1 'Hold' (25.00%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).
Murphy USA Price Target by Analyst
| Date | Analyst | Company | Price Target | Price when Published | Price Target/Price when Published | Price Target/Last Closing Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 03, 2023 | Wells Fargo | $325.00 | $256.51 | 26.70% | -37.50% | |
| Feb 03, 2023 | Raymond James | $305.00 | $260.86 | 16.92% | -41.35% | |
| Jan 04, 2023 | Wells Fargo | $305.00 | $272.81 | 11.80% | -41.35% | |
| Dec 15, 2022 | RBC Capital | $360.00 | $281.94 | 27.69% | -30.77% | |
| Jul 29, 2022 | Raymond James | $315.00 | $292.79 | 7.59% | -39.42% | |
| Jul 20, 2022 | Raymond James | $300.00 | $275.88 | 8.74% | -42.31% | |
| Jul 11, 2022 | Stephens | $300.00 | $255.13 | 17.59% | -42.31% | |
| May 05, 2022 | Raymond James | $270.00 | $243.28 | 10.98% | -48.08% | |
| Apr 19, 2022 | Raymond James | $260.00 | $245.57 | 5.88% | -50.00% |
The latest Murphy USA stock forecast, released on Feb 03, 2023 by Wells Fargo company, set a price target of $325.00, which represents a 26.70% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($256.51), and a -37.50% decrease from MUSA last price ($519.99).
Murphy USA Price Target by Period
| 1M | 3M | 12M | |
|---|---|---|---|
| # Anlaysts | - | - | - |
| Avg Price Target | - | - | - |
| Last Closing Price | $519.99 | $519.99 | $519.99 |
| Upside/Downside | -100.00% | -100.00% | -100.00% |
In the current month, the average price target of Murphy USA stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to Murphy USA's last price of $519.99. This month's average price target is down NaN% compared to last quarter, and down NaN% compared to last year.
Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades
| Date | Company | Previous Rating | New Rating | Rating Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2024 | Raymond James | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
| Feb 09, 2024 | Wells Fargo | Overweight | Overweight | Hold |
| Feb 09, 2024 | Stephens | Overweight | Overweight | Hold |
| Feb 09, 2024 | Wells Fargo | Sector Perform | Sector Perform | Hold |
| Jul 18, 2023 | Raymond James | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
| Feb 03, 2023 | Wells Fargo | Overweight | Overweight | Hold |
| Jan 04, 2023 | Wells Fargo | Equal-Weight | Equal-Weight | Hold |
| Dec 15, 2022 | RBC Capital | Sector Perform | Initialise | |
| Jul 20, 2022 | Raymond James | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
| Jul 11, 2022 | Stephens | Overweight | Overweight | Hold |
Murphy USA's last stock rating was published by Raymond James on Jul 18, 2024. The company gave MUSA a "Outperform" rating, the same as its previous rate.
Murphy USA Financial Forecast
Murphy USA Revenue Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $5.07B | $5.80B | $5.59B | $5.08B | $5.37B | $6.19B | $6.77B | $5.12B | $4.77B | $4.60B | $4.46B | $3.54B | $2.86B | $2.84B | $2.38B | $3.18B | $3.46B | $3.66B |
| Avg Forecast | $7.22B | $6.97B | $6.72B | $6.49B | $5.42B | $5.57B | $5.53B | $5.02B | $5.20B | $5.54B | $5.69B | $4.89B | $5.32B | $5.83B | $5.65B | $4.95B | $5.36B | $6.00B | $6.18B | $4.75B | $4.56B | $4.44B | $4.24B | $3.40B | $2.97B | $2.93B | $2.53B | $3.05B | $3.58B | $3.68B |
| High Forecast | $7.45B | $7.19B | $6.93B | $6.69B | $5.59B | $5.75B | $5.71B | $5.12B | $5.35B | $5.62B | $5.69B | $4.89B | $5.46B | $6.42B | $5.83B | $5.11B | $5.52B | $6.00B | $6.18B | $4.75B | $4.56B | $4.44B | $4.24B | $3.40B | $2.97B | $2.93B | $2.53B | $3.05B | $3.58B | $3.68B |
| Low Forecast | $6.87B | $6.63B | $6.40B | $6.17B | $5.16B | $5.30B | $5.27B | $4.92B | $5.13B | $5.45B | $5.69B | $4.89B | $5.18B | $4.73B | $5.37B | $4.71B | $5.09B | $6.00B | $6.18B | $4.75B | $4.56B | $4.44B | $4.24B | $3.40B | $2.97B | $2.93B | $2.53B | $3.05B | $3.58B | $3.68B |
| # Analysts | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.95% | 0.99% | 0.99% | 1.03% | 1.00% | 1.03% | 1.09% | 1.08% | 1.05% | 1.04% | 1.05% | 1.04% | 0.96% | 0.97% | 0.94% | 1.04% | 0.97% | 0.99% |
Murphy USA's average Quarter revenue forecast for Mar 24 based on 2 analysts is $4.89B, with a low forecast of $4.89B, and a high forecast of $4.89B. MUSA's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a -3.48% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $5.07B (Dec 23).
Murphy USA EBITDA Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
| EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $229.30M | $256.30M | $208.50M | $219.70M | $230.00M | $367.00M | $315.10M | $275.60M | $216.20M | $211.40M | $243.70M | $145.60M | $134.70M | $141.10M | $275.50M | $170.00M | $113.10M | $144.20M |
| Avg Forecast | $349.21M | $336.99M | $325.20M | $313.81M | $262.33M | $269.59M | $267.72M | $243.06M | $251.68M | $267.81M | $275.33M | $271.15M | $257.26M | $282.05M | $273.24M | $246.50M | $161.27M | $279.31M | $287.67M | $224.09M | $212.03M | $206.55M | $197.27M | $75.18M | $138.02M | $136.10M | $117.47M | $142.23M | $166.57M | $171.36M |
| High Forecast | $360.23M | $347.63M | $335.46M | $323.72M | $270.61M | $278.10M | $276.17M | $247.71M | $258.77M | $271.76M | $275.33M | $325.38M | $264.27M | $310.74M | $281.86M | $295.80M | $193.53M | $279.31M | $287.67M | $268.91M | $212.03M | $206.55M | $197.27M | $90.21M | $138.02M | $136.10M | $117.47M | $170.68M | $166.57M | $171.36M |
| Low Forecast | $332.24M | $320.61M | $309.39M | $298.56M | $249.58M | $256.49M | $254.71M | $237.95M | $248.38M | $263.86M | $275.33M | $216.92M | $250.71M | $228.71M | $259.96M | $197.20M | $129.02M | $279.31M | $287.67M | $179.27M | $212.03M | $206.55M | $197.27M | $60.14M | $138.02M | $136.10M | $117.47M | $113.78M | $166.57M | $171.36M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.89% | 0.91% | 0.76% | 0.89% | 1.43% | 1.31% | 1.10% | 1.23% | 1.02% | 1.02% | 1.24% | 1.94% | 0.98% | 1.04% | 2.35% | 1.20% | 0.68% | 0.84% |
2 analysts predict MUSA's average Quarter EBITDA for Mar 24 to be $271.15M, with a high of $325.38M and a low of $216.92M. This is 18.25% upper than Murphy USA's previous annual EBITDA (Dec 23) of $229.30M.
Murphy USA Net Income Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
| Net Income | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $150.00M | $167.70M | $132.80M | $106.30M | $117.70M | $219.50M | $183.30M | $152.40M | $108.80M | $104.00M | $128.80M | $55.30M | $61.00M | $66.90M | $168.90M | $89.30M | $47.60M | $69.20M |
| Avg Forecast | $172.72M | $176.45M | $186.62M | $148.67M | $149.62M | $154.34M | $151.37M | $106.37M | $136.82M | $140.89M | $142.75M | $150.05M | $134.54M | $132.28M | $123.94M | $136.41M | $81.16M | $158.31M | $97.32M | $124.01M | $66.95M | $71.93M | $64.57M | $28.55M | $45.30M | $52.05M | $107.72M | $74.71M | $30.55M | $30.57M |
| High Forecast | $179.81M | $183.70M | $194.27M | $154.77M | $155.76M | $160.67M | $157.58M | $119.69M | $146.13M | $142.68M | $142.75M | $180.06M | $151.19M | $151.54M | $129.02M | $163.69M | $97.39M | $158.31M | $97.32M | $148.81M | $66.95M | $71.93M | $64.57M | $34.26M | $45.30M | $52.05M | $107.72M | $89.66M | $30.55M | $30.57M |
| Low Forecast | $161.81M | $165.31M | $174.82M | $139.28M | $140.17M | $144.59M | $141.80M | $85.96M | $125.23M | $139.11M | $142.74M | $120.04M | $113.72M | $86.26M | $116.11M | $109.12M | $64.93M | $158.31M | $97.32M | $99.20M | $66.95M | $71.93M | $64.57M | $22.84M | $45.30M | $52.05M | $107.72M | $59.77M | $30.55M | $30.57M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.11% | 1.27% | 1.07% | 0.78% | 1.45% | 1.39% | 1.88% | 1.23% | 1.63% | 1.45% | 1.99% | 1.94% | 1.35% | 1.29% | 1.57% | 1.20% | 1.56% | 2.26% |
Murphy USA's average Quarter net income forecast for Mar 24 is $150.05M, with a range of $120.04M to $180.06M. MUSA's average Quarter net income forecast represents a 0.03% increase compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $150.00M (Dec 23).
Murphy USA SG&A Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
| SG&A | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $62.10M | $60.00M | $59.40M | $59.00M | $81.70M | $52.40M | $52.20M | $46.20M | $53.60M | $47.20M | $48.50M | $44.30M | $41.10M | $53.70M | $37.10M | $214.30M | $215.30M | $217.60M |
| Avg Forecast | $83.35M | $80.43M | $77.62M | $74.90M | $62.61M | $64.34M | $63.90M | $58.01M | $60.07M | $63.92M | $65.71M | $45.49M | $61.40M | $67.32M | $65.21M | $41.35M | $39.98M | $69.32M | $71.40M | $37.59M | $52.62M | $51.26M | $48.96M | $22.87M | $34.26M | $33.78M | $29.16M | $179.29M | $41.34M | $42.53M |
| High Forecast | $85.98M | $82.97M | $80.07M | $77.26M | $64.59M | $66.37M | $65.91M | $59.12M | $61.76M | $64.86M | $65.71M | $54.58M | $63.07M | $74.16M | $67.27M | $49.62M | $47.98M | $69.32M | $71.40M | $45.11M | $52.62M | $51.26M | $48.96M | $27.45M | $34.26M | $33.78M | $29.16M | $215.15M | $41.34M | $42.53M |
| Low Forecast | $79.30M | $76.52M | $73.84M | $71.26M | $59.57M | $61.22M | $60.79M | $56.79M | $59.28M | $62.98M | $65.71M | $36.39M | $59.84M | $54.59M | $62.05M | $33.08M | $31.99M | $69.32M | $71.40M | $30.07M | $52.62M | $51.26M | $48.96M | $18.30M | $34.26M | $33.78M | $29.16M | $143.44M | $41.34M | $42.53M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.01% | 0.89% | 0.91% | 1.43% | 2.04% | 0.76% | 0.73% | 1.23% | 1.02% | 0.92% | 0.99% | 1.94% | 1.20% | 1.59% | 1.27% | 1.20% | 5.21% | 5.12% |
Murphy USA's average Quarter SG&A projection for Mar 24 is $45.49M, based on 2 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $36.39M to $54.58M. The forecast indicates a -26.75% fall compared to MUSA last annual SG&A of $62.10M (Dec 23).
Murphy USA EPS Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
| EPS | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $7.12 | $7.83 | $0.01 | $4.89 | $5.31 | $9.46 | $7.65 | $6.18 | $4.30 | $4.03 | $4.85 | $2.04 | $2.19 | $2.30 | $5.79 | $2.95 | $1.56 | $2.20 |
| Avg Forecast | $8.33 | $8.51 | $9.00 | $7.17 | $7.22 | $7.44 | $7.30 | $5.13 | $6.60 | $6.79 | $6.88 | $4.48 | $6.49 | $6.38 | $5.98 | $4.02 | $6.37 | $7.57 | $4.65 | $3.01 | $3.20 | $3.44 | $3.09 | $1.47 | $2.17 | $2.49 | $5.15 | $2.65 | $1.46 | $1.46 |
| High Forecast | $8.67 | $8.86 | $9.37 | $7.46 | $7.51 | $7.75 | $7.60 | $5.77 | $7.05 | $6.88 | $6.88 | $4.48 | $7.29 | $7.31 | $6.22 | $4.19 | $6.63 | $7.57 | $4.65 | $3.01 | $3.20 | $3.44 | $3.09 | $1.47 | $2.17 | $2.49 | $5.15 | $2.65 | $1.46 | $1.46 |
| Low Forecast | $7.80 | $7.97 | $8.43 | $6.72 | $6.76 | $6.97 | $6.84 | $4.15 | $6.04 | $6.71 | $6.88 | $4.48 | $5.48 | $4.16 | $5.60 | $3.77 | $5.96 | $7.57 | $4.65 | $3.01 | $3.20 | $3.44 | $3.09 | $1.47 | $2.17 | $2.49 | $5.15 | $2.65 | $1.46 | $1.46 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.10% | 1.23% | 0.00% | 1.22% | 0.83% | 1.25% | 1.64% | 2.05% | 1.34% | 1.17% | 1.57% | 1.38% | 1.01% | 0.92% | 1.12% | 1.11% | 1.07% | 1.51% |
According to 2 Wall Street analysts, Murphy USA's projected average Quarter EPS for Mar 24 is $4.48, with a low estimate of $4.48 and a high estimate of $4.48. This represents a -37.09% decrease compared to MUSA previous annual EPS of $7.12 (Dec 23).
Murphy USA Peer Comparison by Price Target
| Ticker | Company | Last Closing Price | Avg Price Target | Upside/Downside | Avg Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MUR | Murphy Oil | $29.28 | $47.60 | 62.57% | Buy |
| LCII | LCI Industries | $110.78 | $150.00 | 35.40% | Buy |
| MTX | Minerals | $78.82 | $90.00 | 14.18% | Buy |
| PAG | Penske Automotive Group | $161.76 | $180.00 | 11.28% | Buy |
| GPI | Group 1 Automotive | $421.48 | $430.00 | 2.02% | Buy |
| MUSA | Murphy USA | $539.71 | $322.50 | -40.25% | Buy |