Murphy USA (MUSA) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions
MUSA Stock Forecast
Murphy USA stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $322.50 (represents a -39.52% downside from MUSA’s last price of $533.25) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 4 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.
MUSA Price Target
The average price target for Murphy USA (MUSA) is $322.50 based on 1-year price targets from 4 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $360.00 to $300.00. This represents a potential -39.52% downside from MUSA's last price of $533.25.
MUSA Analyst Ratings
According to 4 Wall Street analysts, Murphy USA's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for MUSA stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 3 'Buy' (75.00%), 1 'Hold' (25.00%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).
Murphy USA Price Target by Analyst
| Date | Analyst | Company | Price Target | Price when Published | Price Target/Price when Published | Price Target/Last Closing Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 03, 2023 | - | Wells Fargo | $325.00 | $256.51 | 26.70% | -39.05% |
| Feb 03, 2023 | - | Raymond James | $305.00 | $260.86 | 16.92% | -42.80% |
| Jan 04, 2023 | - | Wells Fargo | $305.00 | $272.81 | 11.80% | -42.80% |
| Dec 15, 2022 | - | RBC Capital | $360.00 | $281.94 | 27.69% | -32.49% |
| Jul 29, 2022 | - | Raymond James | $315.00 | $292.79 | 7.59% | -40.93% |
| Jul 20, 2022 | - | Raymond James | $300.00 | $275.88 | 8.74% | -43.74% |
| Jul 11, 2022 | - | Stephens | $300.00 | $255.13 | 17.59% | -43.74% |
| May 05, 2022 | - | Raymond James | $270.00 | $243.28 | 10.98% | -49.37% |
| Apr 19, 2022 | - | Raymond James | $260.00 | $245.57 | 5.88% | -51.24% |
The latest Murphy USA stock forecast, released on Feb 03, 2023 by Wells Fargo company, set a price target of $325.00, which represents a 26.70% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($256.51), and a -39.05% decrease from MUSA last price ($533.25).
Murphy USA Price Target by Period
| 1M | 3M | 12M | |
|---|---|---|---|
| # Anlaysts | - | - | - |
| Avg Price Target | - | - | - |
| Last Closing Price | $533.25 | $533.25 | $533.25 |
| Upside/Downside | -100.00% | -100.00% | -100.00% |
In the current month, the average price target of Murphy USA stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to Murphy USA's last price of $533.25. This month's average price target is down NaN% compared to last quarter, and down NaN% compared to last year.
Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades
| Date | Company | Previous Rating | New Rating | Rating Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2024 | Raymond James | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
| Feb 09, 2024 | Wells Fargo | Overweight | Overweight | Hold |
| Feb 09, 2024 | Stephens | Overweight | Overweight | Hold |
| Feb 09, 2024 | Wells Fargo | Sector Perform | Sector Perform | Hold |
| Jul 18, 2023 | Raymond James | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
| Feb 03, 2023 | Wells Fargo | Overweight | Overweight | Hold |
| Jan 04, 2023 | Wells Fargo | Equal-Weight | Equal-Weight | Hold |
| Dec 15, 2022 | RBC Capital | - | Sector Perform | Initialise |
| Jul 20, 2022 | Raymond James | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
| Jul 11, 2022 | Stephens | Overweight | Overweight | Hold |
Murphy USA's last stock rating was published by Raymond James on Jul 18, 2024. The company gave MUSA a "Outperform" rating, the same as its previous rate.
Murphy USA Financial Forecast
Murphy USA Revenue Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $5.07B | $5.80B | $5.59B | $5.08B | $5.37B | $6.19B | - | $5.12B | $4.77B | $4.60B | $4.46B | $3.54B | $2.86B | $2.84B | $2.38B | $3.18B | $3.46B | $3.66B |
| Avg Forecast | $7.78B | $7.51B | $7.25B | $7.00B | $5.60B | $5.86B | $5.66B | $5.11B | $5.42B | $5.70B | $5.69B | $4.89B | $5.32B | $5.83B | $5.65B | $4.95B | $5.36B | $6.00B | $6.18B | $4.75B | $4.56B | $4.44B | $4.24B | $3.40B | $2.97B | $2.93B | $2.53B | $3.05B | $3.58B | $3.68B |
| High Forecast | $8.23B | $7.94B | $7.67B | $7.40B | $5.92B | $6.20B | $5.98B | $5.40B | $5.74B | $5.96B | $6.02B | $5.17B | $5.46B | $6.42B | $5.97B | $5.24B | $5.66B | $6.35B | $6.18B | $4.93B | $4.72B | $4.60B | $4.39B | $3.52B | $3.07B | $3.03B | $2.62B | $3.16B | $3.71B | $3.82B |
| Low Forecast | $7.44B | $7.18B | $6.93B | $6.68B | $5.35B | $5.60B | $5.41B | $4.88B | $5.18B | $5.49B | $5.44B | $4.67B | $5.18B | $4.73B | $5.40B | $4.73B | $5.12B | $5.74B | $6.18B | $4.58B | $4.39B | $4.28B | $4.08B | $3.27B | $2.86B | $2.82B | $2.43B | $2.94B | $3.45B | $3.55B |
| # Analysts | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 12 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.95% | 0.99% | 0.99% | 1.03% | 1.00% | 1.03% | - | 1.08% | 1.05% | 1.04% | 1.05% | 1.04% | 0.96% | 0.97% | 0.94% | 1.04% | 0.97% | 0.99% |
Murphy USA's average Quarter revenue forecast for Mar 24 based on 2 analysts is $4.89B, with a low forecast of $4.67B, and a high forecast of $5.17B. MUSA's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a -3.48% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $5.07B (Dec 23).
Murphy USA EBITDA Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 12 |
| EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $229.30M | $256.30M | $208.50M | $219.70M | $230.00M | $367.00M | - | $275.60M | $216.20M | $211.40M | $243.70M | $145.60M | $134.70M | $141.10M | $275.50M | $170.00M | $113.10M | $144.20M |
| Avg Forecast | $362.15M | $349.48M | $337.25M | $325.44M | $260.33M | $272.71M | $263.16M | $237.55M | $252.35M | $265.05M | $264.77M | $271.15M | $247.38M | $271.22M | $262.75M | $246.50M | $249.12M | $183.17M | $287.67M | $224.09M | $146.61M | $166.52M | $157.36M | $75.18M | $135.32M | $134.69M | $221.44M | $142.23M | $106.90M | $123.89M |
| High Forecast | $382.96M | $369.56M | $356.63M | $344.14M | $275.29M | $288.38M | $278.28M | $251.20M | $266.85M | $277.48M | $279.98M | $325.38M | $254.13M | $298.81M | $277.85M | $295.80M | $263.44M | $219.80M | $287.67M | $268.91M | $175.93M | $199.82M | $188.84M | $90.21M | $162.38M | $161.62M | $265.72M | $170.68M | $128.28M | $148.67M |
| Low Forecast | $346.03M | $333.92M | $322.24M | $310.96M | $248.74M | $260.57M | $251.45M | $226.97M | $241.11M | $255.39M | $252.98M | $216.92M | $241.09M | $219.94M | $251.06M | $197.20M | $238.03M | $146.54M | $287.67M | $179.27M | $117.29M | $133.21M | $125.89M | $60.14M | $108.26M | $107.75M | $177.15M | $113.78M | $85.52M | $99.12M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.93% | 0.94% | 0.79% | 0.89% | 0.92% | 2.00% | - | 1.23% | 1.47% | 1.27% | 1.55% | 1.94% | 1.00% | 1.05% | 1.24% | 1.20% | 1.06% | 1.16% |
2 analysts predict MUSA's average Quarter EBITDA for Mar 24 to be $271.15M, with a high of $325.38M and a low of $216.92M. This is 18.25% upper than Murphy USA's previous annual EBITDA (Dec 23) of $229.30M.
Murphy USA Net Income Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 12 |
| Net Income | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $150.00M | $167.70M | $132.80M | $106.30M | $117.70M | $219.50M | - | $152.40M | $108.80M | $104.00M | $128.80M | $55.30M | $61.00M | $66.90M | $168.90M | $89.30M | $47.60M | $69.20M |
| Avg Forecast | $174.28M | $178.05M | $188.30M | $150.01M | $158.12M | $158.17M | $157.63M | $118.13M | $151.34M | $141.28M | $144.03M | $150.05M | $135.75M | $133.47M | $125.05M | $136.41M | $133.21M | $90.11M | $98.44M | $124.01M | $73.78M | $81.92M | $83.17M | $28.55M | $61.28M | $63.86M | $135.75M | $74.71M | $44.99M | $59.46M |
| High Forecast | $187.30M | $191.35M | $202.36M | $161.22M | $169.93M | $169.99M | $169.40M | $126.95M | $162.64M | $147.99M | $154.79M | $180.06M | $152.56M | $152.91M | $134.40M | $163.69M | $143.16M | $108.13M | $98.44M | $148.81M | $88.54M | $98.30M | $99.80M | $34.26M | $73.54M | $76.63M | $162.91M | $89.66M | $53.99M | $71.35M |
| Low Forecast | $164.20M | $167.74M | $177.40M | $141.33M | $148.97M | $149.02M | $148.51M | $111.29M | $142.58M | $129.08M | $135.70M | $120.04M | $114.75M | $87.04M | $117.82M | $109.12M | $125.51M | $72.09M | $98.44M | $99.20M | $59.02M | $65.54M | $66.54M | $22.84M | $49.02M | $51.09M | $108.60M | $59.77M | $35.99M | $47.56M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.10% | 1.26% | 1.06% | 0.78% | 0.88% | 2.44% | - | 1.23% | 1.47% | 1.27% | 1.55% | 1.94% | 1.00% | 1.05% | 1.24% | 1.20% | 1.06% | 1.16% |
Murphy USA's average Quarter net income forecast for Mar 24 is $150.05M, with a range of $120.04M to $180.06M. MUSA's average Quarter net income forecast represents a 0.03% increase compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $150.00M (Dec 23).
Murphy USA SG&A Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 12 |
| SG&A | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $62.10M | $60.00M | $59.40M | $59.00M | $81.70M | $52.40M | - | $46.20M | $53.60M | $47.20M | $48.50M | $44.30M | $41.10M | $53.70M | $37.10M | $214.30M | $215.30M | $217.60M |
| Avg Forecast | $89.89M | $86.74M | $83.70M | $80.77M | $64.61M | $67.69M | $65.32M | $58.96M | $62.63M | $65.79M | $65.71M | $45.49M | $61.40M | $67.32M | $65.21M | $41.35M | $61.83M | $40.90M | $71.40M | $37.59M | $36.35M | $37.18M | $31.32M | $22.87M | $41.29M | $51.26M | $29.82M | $179.29M | $203.50M | $186.96M |
| High Forecast | $95.05M | $91.72M | $88.51M | $85.42M | $68.33M | $71.57M | $69.07M | $62.35M | $66.23M | $68.87M | $69.49M | $54.58M | $63.07M | $74.16M | $68.96M | $49.62M | $65.39M | $49.08M | $71.40M | $45.11M | $43.62M | $44.61M | $37.58M | $27.45M | $49.55M | $61.51M | $35.78M | $215.15M | $244.20M | $224.35M |
| Low Forecast | $85.88M | $82.88M | $79.98M | $77.18M | $61.74M | $64.67M | $62.41M | $56.33M | $59.84M | $63.39M | $62.79M | $36.39M | $59.84M | $54.59M | $62.31M | $33.08M | $59.08M | $32.72M | $71.40M | $30.07M | $29.08M | $29.74M | $25.05M | $18.30M | $33.03M | $41.01M | $23.86M | $143.44M | $162.80M | $149.57M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.01% | 0.89% | 0.91% | 1.43% | 1.32% | 1.28% | - | 1.23% | 1.47% | 1.27% | 1.55% | 1.94% | 1.00% | 1.05% | 1.24% | 1.20% | 1.06% | 1.16% |
Murphy USA's average Quarter SG&A projection for Mar 24 is $45.49M, based on 2 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $36.39M to $54.58M. The forecast indicates a -26.75% fall compared to MUSA last annual SG&A of $62.10M (Dec 23).
Murphy USA EPS Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 12 |
| EPS | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $7.12 | $7.83 | $0.01 | $4.89 | $5.31 | $9.46 | - | $6.18 | $4.30 | $4.03 | $4.85 | $2.04 | $2.19 | $2.30 | $5.79 | $2.95 | $1.56 | $2.20 |
| Avg Forecast | $8.33 | $8.51 | $9.00 | $7.17 | $7.56 | $7.56 | $7.53 | $5.65 | $7.23 | $6.75 | $6.88 | $4.48 | $6.49 | $6.38 | $5.98 | $4.02 | $6.37 | $7.57 | $4.65 | $3.01 | $3.20 | $3.44 | $3.09 | $1.47 | $2.17 | $2.49 | $5.15 | $2.65 | $1.46 | $1.46 |
| High Forecast | $8.95 | $9.15 | $9.67 | $7.71 | $8.12 | $8.12 | $8.10 | $6.07 | $7.77 | $7.07 | $7.40 | $4.81 | $7.29 | $7.31 | $6.42 | $4.32 | $6.84 | $8.13 | $4.65 | $3.15 | $3.35 | $3.60 | $3.23 | $1.54 | $2.27 | $2.61 | $5.39 | $2.78 | $1.53 | $1.53 |
| Low Forecast | $7.85 | $8.02 | $8.48 | $6.76 | $7.12 | $7.12 | $7.10 | $5.32 | $6.81 | $6.17 | $6.49 | $4.22 | $5.48 | $4.16 | $5.63 | $3.79 | $6.00 | $7.13 | $4.65 | $2.86 | $3.05 | $3.27 | $2.94 | $1.40 | $2.06 | $2.37 | $4.90 | $2.53 | $1.39 | $1.39 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.10% | 1.23% | 0.00% | 1.22% | 0.83% | 1.25% | - | 2.05% | 1.34% | 1.17% | 1.57% | 1.38% | 1.01% | 0.92% | 1.12% | 1.11% | 1.07% | 1.51% |
According to 2 Wall Street analysts, Murphy USA's projected average Quarter EPS for Mar 24 is $4.48, with a low estimate of $4.22 and a high estimate of $4.81. This represents a -37.09% decrease compared to MUSA previous annual EPS of $7.12 (Dec 23).
Murphy USA Peer Comparison by Price Target
| Ticker | Company | Last Closing Price | Avg Price Target | Upside/Downside | Avg Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MUR | Murphy Oil | $34.17 | $47.90 | 40.18% | Buy |
| LCII | LCI Industries | $117.65 | $150.00 | 27.50% | Buy |
| MTX | Minerals | $72.81 | $90.00 | 23.61% | Buy |
| GPI | Group 1 Automotive | $364.39 | $305.00 | -16.30% | Buy |
| PAG | Penske Automotive Group | $152.21 | $109.00 | -28.39% | Sell |
| MUSA | Murphy USA | $533.25 | $322.50 | -39.52% | Buy |
MUSA Forecast FAQ
Is Murphy USA a good buy?
Yes, according to 4 Wall Street analysts, Murphy USA (MUSA) is considered a 'Buy'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 3 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 75.00% of MUSA's total ratings.
What is MUSA's price target?
Murphy USA (MUSA) average price target is $322.5 with a range of $300 to $360, implying a -39.52% from its last price of $533.25. The data is based on 4 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.
Will Murphy USA stock go up soon?
According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for MUSA stock, the company can go down by -39.52% (from the last price of $533.25 to the average price target of $322.5), down by -32.49% based on the highest stock price target, and down by -43.74% based on the lowest stock price target.
Can Murphy USA stock reach $800?
MUSA's average twelve months analyst stock price target of $322.5 does not support the claim that Murphy USA can reach $800 in the near future.
What are Murphy USA's analysts' financial forecasts?
Murphy USA's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $22.22B (high $23.5B, low $21.23B), average EBITDA is $1.03B (high $1.09B, low $987.74M), average net income is $592.04M (high $636.27M, low $557.78M), average SG&A $256.58M (high $271.32M, low $245.16M), and average EPS is $28.3 (high $30.41, low $26.66). MUSA's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2026) are as follows: average revenue is $29.54B (high $31.24B, low $28.23B), average EBITDA is $1.37B (high $1.45B, low $1.31B), average net income is $690.64M (high $742.23M, low $650.67M), average SG&A $341.1M (high $360.71M, low $325.92M), and average EPS is $33.01 (high $35.48, low $31.1).
Did the MUSA's actual financial results beat the analysts' financial forecasts?
Based on Murphy USA's last annual report (Dec 2023), the company's revenue was $21.53B, which missed the average analysts forecast of $21.75B by -1.01%. Apple's EBITDA was $864.6M, missing the average prediction of $1.03B by -15.88%. The company's net income was $556.8M, beating the average estimation of $530.68M by 4.92%. Apple's SG&A was $240.5M, beating the average forecast of $235.28M by 2.22%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $25.91, beating the average prediction of $22.87 by 13.29%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Dec 2023), Murphy USA's revenue was $5.07B, missing the average analysts' forecast of $5.32B by -4.68%. The company's EBITDA was $229.3M, missing the average prediction of $247.38M by -7.31%. Murphy USA's net income was $150M, beating the average estimation of $135.75M by 10.49%. The company's SG&A was $62.1M, beating the average forecast of $61.4M by 1.14%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $7.12, beating the average prediction of $6.49 by 9.71%