Vail Resorts (MTN) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions

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MTN Stock Forecast

Vail Resorts stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $236.11 (represents a 34.96% upside from MTN’s last price of $174.95) and a rating consensus of 'Hold', based on 15 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.

MTN Price Target

The average price target for Vail Resorts (MTN) is $236.11 based on 1-year price targets from 15 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $333.00 to $155.00. This represents a potential 34.96% upside from MTN's last price of $174.95.

MTN Analyst Ratings

Hold

According to 15 Wall Street analysts, Vail Resorts's rating consensus is 'Hold'. The analyst rating breakdown for MTN stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 6 'Buy' (40.00%), 8 'Hold' (53.33%), 1 'Sell' (6.67%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).

Vail Resorts Price Target by Analyst

Date	Analyst	Company	Price Target	Price when Published	Price Target/Price when Published	Price Target/Last Closing Price
Oct 22, 2024	Jeffrey Stantial	Stifel Nicolaus	$216.00	$167.37	29.06%	23.46%
Sep 27, 2024	Shaun Kelley	Bank of America Securities	$195.00	$180.61	7.97%	11.46%
Sep 27, 2024	Brandt Montour	Barclays	$155.00	$187.95	-17.53%	-11.40%
Sep 23, 2024	Ben Chaiken	Mizuho Securities	$222.00	$185.39	19.75%	26.89%
Jun 10, 2024	Siye Desta	CFRA	$191.00	$180.43	5.86%	9.17%
Jun 07, 2024	Ben Chaiken	Mizuho Securities	$231.00	$193.95	19.10%	32.04%
Jun 07, 2024	Patrick Scholes	Truist Financial	$250.00	$193.95	28.90%	42.90%
Jun 07, 2024	Jeffrey Stantial	Stifel Nicolaus	$259.00	$193.95	33.54%	48.04%
Mar 25, 2024	Ben Chaiken	Mizuho Securities	$256.00	$218.77	17.02%	46.33%
Mar 12, 2024	Patrick Scholes	Truist Financial	$263.00	$226.25	16.24%	50.33%

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The latest Vail Resorts stock forecast, released on Oct 22, 2024 by Jeffrey Stantial from Stifel Nicolaus, set a price target of $216.00, which represents a 29.06% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($167.37), and a 23.46% increase from MTN last price ($174.95).

Vail Resorts Price Target by Period

	1M	3M	12M
# Anlaysts	1	4	10
Avg Price Target	$216.00	$197.00	$223.80
Last Closing Price	$174.95	$174.95	$174.95
Upside/Downside	23.46%	12.60%	27.92%

In the current month, the average price target of Vail Resorts stock is $216.00, according to 1 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a 23.46% increase as opposed to Vail Resorts's last price of $174.95. This month's average price target is up 9.64% compared to last quarter, and down -3.49% compared to last year.

Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades

Date	Company	Previous Rating	New Rating	Rating Change
Sep 27, 2024	Bank of America Securities	Neutral	Neutral	Hold
Sep 27, 2024	Barclays	Underweight	Underweight	Hold
Sep 25, 2024	Morgan Stanley	Equal-Weight	Equal-Weight	Hold
Jun 10, 2024	CFRA	Hold	Hold	Hold
Jun 07, 2024	Morgan Stanley	-	Equal-Weight	Downgrade
Jun 07, 2024	Piper Sandler	Overweight	Neutral	Downgrade
Jun 07, 2024	William Blair	-	Market Perform	Downgrade
Jun 07, 2024	Telsey Advisory	Neutral	Neutral	Hold
Jun 07, 2024	Piper Sandler	Overweight	Overweight	Hold
Jun 07, 2024	Needham	Buy	Buy	Hold

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Vail Resorts's last stock rating was published by Bank of America Securities on Sep 27, 2024. The company gave MTN a "Neutral" rating, the same as its previous rate.

Vail Resorts Financial Forecast

Vail Resorts Revenue Forecast

	Jul 27	May 27	Jan 27	Oct 26	Jul 26	May 26	Jan 26	Oct 25	Jul 25	May 25	Jan 25	Oct 24	Jul 24	May 24	Jan 24	Oct 23	Jul 23	May 23	Jan 23	Oct 22	Jul 22	May 22	Jan 22	Oct 21	Jul 21	May 21	Jan 21	Oct 20	Jul 20	May 20
Revenue	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	$1.08B	$254.28M	-	-	$1.10B	$279.45M	$267.14M	-	$906.53M	$175.58M	$204.20M	-	$684.64M	$131.79M	$77.21M	-
Avg Forecast	$284.34M	$1.43B	$1.22B	$262.60M	$278.04M	$1.38B	$1.17B	$256.92M	$275.18M	$1.33B	$1.14B	$251.36M	$264.84M	$1.31B	$1.15B	$272.88M	$282.26M	$1.27B	$1.07B	$259.42M	$262.30M	$1.16B	$956.79M	$192.75M	$169.29M	$887.55M	$644.68M	$158.39M	$138.27M	$623.64M
High Forecast	$296.38M	$1.50B	$1.27B	$273.72M	$289.81M	$1.44B	$1.21B	$267.80M	$286.84M	$1.38B	$1.19B	$260.56M	$267.25M	$1.31B	$1.15B	$286.76M	$294.21M	$1.32B	$1.11B	$270.91M	$272.16M	$1.20B	$992.73M	$199.99M	$175.65M	$920.89M	$668.89M	$164.34M	$143.46M	$647.07M
Low Forecast	$274.87M	$1.39B	$1.18B	$253.85M	$268.78M	$1.33B	$1.13B	$248.36M	$266.01M	$1.28B	$1.11B	$232.45M	$262.43M	$1.31B	$1.15B	$247.31M	$272.86M	$1.23B	$1.03B	$252.94M	$255.46M	$1.13B	$931.83M	$187.72M	$164.87M	$864.40M	$627.86M	$154.26M	$134.66M	$607.38M
# Analysts	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	6	6	3	3	3	6	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	6	6	6
Surprise %	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0.94%	0.93%	-	-	1.03%	1.08%	1.02%	-	0.95%	0.91%	1.21%	-	1.06%	0.83%	0.56%	-

Vail Resorts's average Quarter revenue forecast for May 24 based on 3 analysts is $1.31B, with a low forecast of $1.31B, and a high forecast of $1.31B. MTN's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a 21.11% increase compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $1.08B (Jan 24).

Vail Resorts EBITDA Forecast

	Jul 27	May 27	Jan 27	Oct 26	Jul 26	May 26	Jan 26	Oct 25	Jul 25	May 25	Jan 25	Oct 24	Jul 24	May 24	Jan 24	Oct 23	Jul 23	May 23	Jan 23	Oct 22	Jul 22	May 22	Jan 22	Oct 21	Jul 21	May 21	Jan 21	Oct 20	Jul 20	May 20
# Analysts	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	6	6	3	3	3	6	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	6	6	6
EBITDA	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	$21.83M	$-217.81M	-	-	$396.19M	$-99.36M	$-64.31M	-	$395.03M	$-109.57M	$-100.02M	-	$274.75M	$-95.98M	$-103.80M	-
Avg Forecast	$81.61M	$411.72M	$349.99M	$75.37M	$79.80M	$396.35M	$334.56M	$73.74M	$78.98M	$381.00M	$328.17M	$72.15M	$76.01M	$400.80M	$330.82M	$78.32M	$81.01M	$428.66M	$-96.33M	$71.53M	$72.33M	$389.69M	$263.82M	$53.15M	$46.68M	$120.70M	$177.76M	$43.67M	$38.13M	$390.98M
High Forecast	$85.07M	$429.15M	$364.81M	$78.56M	$83.18M	$413.13M	$348.73M	$76.86M	$82.33M	$397.13M	$342.57M	$74.79M	$76.70M	$480.96M	$330.94M	$82.30M	$84.44M	$514.40M	$-77.07M	$74.70M	$75.04M	$467.63M	$273.73M	$55.14M	$48.43M	$144.84M	$184.44M	$45.32M	$39.56M	$469.18M
Low Forecast	$78.89M	$398.00M	$338.32M	$72.86M	$77.14M	$383.14M	$323.41M	$71.28M	$76.35M	$368.30M	$319.54M	$66.72M	$75.32M	$320.64M	$330.70M	$70.98M	$78.32M	$342.93M	$-115.60M	$69.74M	$70.44M	$311.76M	$256.94M	$51.76M	$45.46M	$96.56M	$173.13M	$42.54M	$37.13M	$312.79M
Surprise %	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0.07%	-2.78%	-	-	-4.11%	-1.39%	-0.89%	-	1.50%	-2.06%	-2.14%	-	1.55%	-2.20%	-2.72%	-

3 analysts predict MTN's average Quarter EBITDA for May 24 to be $400.80M, with a high of $480.96M and a low of $320.64M. This is 1736.10% upper than Vail Resorts's previous annual EBITDA (Jan 24) of $21.83M.

Vail Resorts Net Income Forecast

	Jul 27	May 27	Jan 27	Oct 26	Jul 26	May 26	Jan 26	Oct 25	Jul 25	May 25	Jan 25	Oct 24	Jul 24	May 24	Jan 24	Oct 23	Jul 23	May 23	Jan 23	Oct 22	Jul 22	May 22	Jan 22	Oct 21	Jul 21	May 21	Jan 21	Oct 20	Jul 20	May 20
# Analysts	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	6	6	3	3	3	6	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	6	6	6
Net Income	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	$219.30M	$-175.51M	-	-	$208.68M	$-143.56M	$-109.66M	-	$233.93M	$-142.52M	$-144.94M	-	$147.80M	$-157.02M	$-157.97M	-
Avg Forecast	$-168.38M	$426.66M	$260.54M	$-188.23M	$-162.98M	$408.90M	$252.83M	$-185.75M	$-167.11M	$389.11M	$240.54M	$-187.16M	$-158.67M	$239.80M	$226.88M	$-172.42M	$-123.00M	$256.47M	$-136.75M	$-126.12M	$-109.68M	$233.15M	$214.72M	$-135.96M	$-132.60M	$64.74M	$86.84M	$-136.14M	$-130.39M	$221.90M
High Forecast	$-161.08M	$450.15M	$274.88M	$-180.08M	$-155.92M	$431.41M	$266.75M	$-177.70M	$-159.87M	$410.53M	$266.53M	$-180.26M	$-151.80M	$287.76M	$226.89M	$-155.71M	$-117.67M	$307.76M	$-109.40M	$-122.02M	$-105.96M	$279.79M	$225.21M	$-131.35M	$-128.10M	$77.69M	$91.08M	$-131.53M	$-125.97M	$266.27M
Low Forecast	$-177.65M	$408.18M	$249.25M	$-198.60M	$-171.95M	$391.19M	$241.88M	$-195.97M	$-176.31M	$372.26M	$224.79M	$-198.79M	$-167.41M	$191.84M	$226.86M	$-179.64M	$-129.77M	$205.18M	$-164.10M	$-133.38M	$-115.03M	$186.52M	$207.44M	$-142.60M	$-139.07M	$51.79M	$83.89M	$-142.79M	$-136.76M	$177.52M
Surprise %	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0.97%	1.02%	-	-	-1.53%	1.14%	1.00%	-	1.09%	1.05%	1.09%	-	1.70%	1.15%	1.21%	-

Vail Resorts's average Quarter net income forecast for May 24 is $239.80M, with a range of $191.84M to $287.76M. MTN's average Quarter net income forecast represents a 9.35% increase compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $219.30M (Jan 24).

Vail Resorts SG&A Forecast

	Jul 27	May 27	Jan 27	Oct 26	Jul 26	May 26	Jan 26	Oct 25	Jul 25	May 25	Jan 25	Oct 24	Jul 24	May 24	Jan 24	Oct 23	Jul 23	May 23	Jan 23	Oct 22	Jul 22	May 22	Jan 22	Oct 21	Jul 21	May 21	Jan 21	Oct 20	Jul 20	May 20
# Analysts	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	6	6	3	3	3	6	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	6	6	6
SG&A	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	$112.71M	$108.03M	-	-	$116.62M	$98.80M	$87.23M	-	$91.26M	$77.23M	$86.55M	-	$78.12M	$59.03M	$51.52M	-
Avg Forecast	$40.49M	$204.24M	$173.62M	$37.39M	$39.59M	$196.62M	$165.97M	$36.58M	$39.18M	$189.00M	$162.80M	$35.79M	$37.71M	$97.96M	$164.11M	$38.85M	$40.19M	$104.77M	$75.80M	$36.94M	$37.35M	$95.25M	$136.23M	$27.44M	$24.10M	$34.22M	$91.79M	$22.55M	$19.69M	$98.17M
High Forecast	$42.20M	$212.89M	$180.97M	$38.97M	$41.26M	$204.94M	$172.99M	$38.13M	$40.84M	$197.01M	$169.94M	$37.10M	$38.05M	$117.56M	$164.17M	$40.83M	$41.89M	$125.73M	$90.97M	$38.57M	$38.75M	$114.30M	$141.35M	$28.47M	$25.01M	$41.07M	$95.24M	$23.40M	$20.43M	$117.80M
Low Forecast	$39.14M	$197.44M	$167.83M	$36.14M	$38.27M	$190.07M	$160.44M	$35.36M	$37.88M	$182.71M	$158.52M	$33.10M	$37.37M	$78.37M	$164.05M	$35.21M	$38.85M	$83.82M	$60.64M	$36.01M	$36.37M	$76.20M	$132.68M	$26.73M	$23.48M	$27.38M	$89.40M	$21.96M	$19.17M	$78.54M
Surprise %	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0.69%	2.78%	-	-	1.54%	2.67%	2.34%	-	0.67%	2.81%	3.59%	-	0.85%	2.62%	2.62%	-

Vail Resorts's average Quarter SG&A projection for May 24 is $97.96M, based on 3 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $78.37M to $117.56M. The forecast indicates a -13.09% fall compared to MTN last annual SG&A of $112.71M (Jan 24).

Vail Resorts EPS Forecast

	Jul 27	May 27	Jan 27	Oct 26	Jul 26	May 26	Jan 26	Oct 25	Jul 25	May 25	Jan 25	Oct 24	Jul 24	May 24	Jan 24	Oct 23	Jul 23	May 23	Jan 23	Oct 22	Jul 22	May 22	Jan 22	Oct 21	Jul 21	May 21	Jan 21	Oct 20	Jul 20	May 20
# Analysts	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	6	6	3	3	3	6	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	6	6	6
EPS	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	$5.78	$-4.60	-	-	$5.17	$-3.56	$-2.72	-	$5.77	$-3.52	$-3.59	-	$3.67	$-3.90	$-3.93	-
Avg Forecast	$-4.48	$11.36	$6.94	$-5.01	$-4.34	$10.89	$6.73	$-4.95	$-4.45	$10.36	$6.41	$-4.98	$-4.23	$10.00	$6.04	$-4.59	$-3.28	$8.67	$6.11	$-3.36	$-2.92	$9.06	$5.72	$-3.62	$-3.53	$6.61	$2.31	$-3.63	$-3.47	$2.96
High Forecast	$-4.29	$11.99	$7.32	$-4.80	$-4.15	$11.49	$7.10	$-4.73	$-4.26	$10.93	$7.10	$-4.80	$-4.04	$10.00	$6.04	$-4.15	$-3.13	$9.15	$6.45	$-3.25	$-2.82	$9.50	$6.00	$-3.50	$-3.41	$6.93	$2.43	$-3.50	$-3.35	$3.10
Low Forecast	$-4.73	$10.87	$6.64	$-5.29	$-4.58	$10.42	$6.44	$-5.22	$-4.70	$9.91	$5.99	$-5.29	$-4.46	$10.00	$6.04	$-4.78	$-3.46	$8.30	$5.85	$-3.55	$-3.06	$8.75	$5.52	$-3.80	$-3.70	$6.38	$2.23	$-3.80	$-3.64	$2.86
Surprise %	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0.96%	1.00%	-	-	0.85%	1.06%	0.93%	-	1.01%	0.97%	1.02%	-	1.59%	1.08%	1.13%	-

According to 3 Wall Street analysts, Vail Resorts's projected average Quarter EPS for May 24 is $10.00, with a low estimate of $10.00 and a high estimate of $10.00. This represents a 73.02% increase compared to MTN previous annual EPS of $5.78 (Jan 24).

Vail Resorts Peer Comparison by Price Target

Ticker	Company	Last Closing Price	Avg Price Target	Upside/Downside	Avg Rating
CNTY	Century Casinos	$4.25	$9.00	111.76%	Buy
MLCO	Melco Resorts & Entertainment	$5.98	$10.06	68.23%	Buy
MTN	Vail Resorts	$174.95	$236.11	34.96%	Hold
VAC	Marriott Vacations Worldwide	$89.60	$113.92	27.14%	Buy
RRR	Red Rock Resorts	$49.52	$62.29	25.79%	Buy
HGV	Hilton Grand Vacations	$40.81	$51.20	25.46%	Buy
GDEN	Golden Entertainment	$33.20	$39.20	18.07%	Buy
PLYA	Playa Hotels & Resorts	$9.51	$11.00	15.67%	Buy
MCRI	Monarch Casino & Resort	$82.87	$84.00	1.36%	Hold
BALY	Bally's	$17.86	$18.10	1.34%	Hold
BVH	Bluegreen Vacations	$75.00	$45.00	-40.00%	-

MTN Forecast FAQ

Is Vail Resorts a good buy?

No, according to 15 Wall Street analysts, Vail Resorts (MTN) is considered a 'Hold'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 6 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 40.00% of MTN's total ratings.

What is MTN's price target?

Vail Resorts (MTN) average price target is $236.11 with a range of $155 to $333, implying a 34.96% from its last price of $174.95. The data is based on 15 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.

Will Vail Resorts stock go up soon?

According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for MTN stock, the company can go up by 34.96% (from the last price of $174.95 to the average price target of $236.11), up by 90.34% based on the highest stock price target, and down by -11.40% based on the lowest stock price target.

Can Vail Resorts stock reach $300?

MTN's highest twelve months analyst stock price target of $333 supports the claim that Vail Resorts can reach $300 in the near future.

What is Vail Resorts's current price target trend?

1 Wall Street analyst forecast a $216 price target for Vail Resorts (MTN) this month, up 23.46% from its last price of $174.95. Compared to the last 3 and 12 months, the average price target increased by 12.60% and increased by 27.92%, respectively.

What are Vail Resorts's analysts' financial forecasts?

Vail Resorts's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Jul 2026) are as follows: average revenue is $3.08B (high $3.21B, low $2.98B), average EBITDA is $884.45M (high $921.9M, low $854.98M), average net income is $313.01M (high $364.54M, low $265.15M), average SG&A $438.76M (high $457.33M, low $424.14M), and average EPS is $8.34 (high $9.71, low $7.06). MTN's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Jul 2027) are as follows: average revenue is $3.2B (high $3.34B, low $3.09B), average EBITDA is $918.69M (high $957.59M, low $888.07M), average net income is $330.59M (high $383.86M, low $281.19M), average SG&A $455.74M (high $475.04M, low $440.55M), and average EPS is $8.8 (high $10.22, low $7.49).

Did the MTN's actual financial results beat the analysts' financial forecasts?

Based on Vail Resorts's last annual report (Jul 2022), the company's revenue was $2.53B, which missed the average analysts forecast of $2.57B by -1.66%. Apple's EBITDA was $680.95M, missing the average prediction of $778.99M by -12.59%. The company's net income was $347.92M, beating the average estimation of $202.23M by 72.04%. Apple's SG&A was $347.49M, beating the average forecast of $296.27M by 17.29%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $8.6, beating the average prediction of $8.24 by 4.40%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Jan 2024), Vail Resorts's revenue was $1.08B, missing the average analysts' forecast of $1.15B by -6.49%. The company's EBITDA was $21.83M, missing the average prediction of $330.82M by -93.40%. Vail Resorts's net income was $219.3M, missing the average estimation of $226.88M by -3.34%. The company's SG&A was $112.71M, missing the average forecast of $164.11M by -31.32%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $5.78, missing the average prediction of $6.04 by -4.34%