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Vail Resorts (MTN) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions

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MTN Stock Forecast

Vail Resorts stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $200.00 (represents a 8.51% upside from MTN’s last price of $184.32) and a rating consensus of 'Hold', based on 15 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.

MTN Price Target

The average price target for Vail Resorts (MTN) is $200.00 based on 1-year price targets from 15 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $227.00 to $165.00. This represents a potential 8.51% upside from MTN's last price of $184.32.

MTN Analyst Ratings

Hold

According to 15 Wall Street analysts, Vail Resorts's rating consensus is 'Hold'. The analyst rating breakdown for MTN stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 6 'Buy' (40.00%), 8 'Hold' (53.33%), 1 'Sell' (6.67%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).

Vail Resorts Price Target by Analyst

DateAnalystCompanyPrice TargetPrice when PublishedPrice Target/Price when PublishedPrice Target/Last Closing Price
Dec 10, 2024Brandt MontourBarclays$165.00$195.44-15.58%-10.48%
Dec 10, 2024Megan AlexanderMorgan Stanley$197.00$195.440.80%6.88%
Dec 10, 2024Ben ChaikenMizuho Securities$227.00$195.4416.15%23.16%
Oct 22, 2024Jeffrey StantialStifel Nicolaus$216.00$167.3729.06%17.19%
Sep 27, 2024Shaun KelleyBank of America Securities$195.00$180.617.97%5.79%
Sep 27, 2024Brandt MontourBarclays$155.00$187.95-17.53%-15.91%
Sep 23, 2024Ben ChaikenMizuho Securities$222.00$185.3919.75%20.44%
Jun 10, 2024Siye DestaCFRA$191.00$180.435.86%3.62%
Jun 07, 2024Ben ChaikenMizuho Securities$231.00$193.9519.10%25.33%
Jun 07, 2024Patrick ScholesTruist Financial$250.00$193.9528.90%35.63%
Jun 07, 2024Jeffrey StantialStifel Nicolaus$259.00$193.9533.54%40.52%
Mar 25, 2024Ben ChaikenMizuho Securities$256.00$218.7717.02%38.89%
Mar 12, 2024Patrick ScholesTruist Financial$263.00$226.2516.24%42.69%
Jun 08, 2023Brandt MontourBarclays$222.00$255.15-12.99%20.44%
Jun 08, 2023Benjamin ChaikenCredit Suisse$333.00$255.1530.51%80.66%
Dec 22, 2022Truist Financial$292.00$241.7520.79%58.42%
Dec 12, 2022J.P. Morgan$262.00$257.871.60%42.14%
Dec 12, 2022Barclays$232.00$258.64-10.30%25.87%
Dec 09, 2022Lauren SilbermanCredit Suisse$105.00$251.21-58.20%-43.03%
Sep 29, 2022Patrick ScholesTruist Financial$270.00$210.2928.39%46.48%
Jun 20, 2022Chris WoronkaDeutsche Bank$301.00$226.8232.70%63.30%
Jun 10, 2022Patrick ScholesTruist Financial$281.00$249.0312.84%52.45%
Apr 28, 2022Chris WoronkaDeutsche Bank$303.00$261.7915.74%64.39%

The latest Vail Resorts stock forecast, released on Dec 10, 2024 by Brandt Montour from Barclays, set a price target of $165.00, which represents a -15.58% decrease from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($195.44), and a -10.48% decrease from MTN last price ($184.32).

Vail Resorts Price Target by Period

1M3M12M
# Anlaysts3713
Avg Price Target$196.33$196.71$217.46
Last Closing Price$184.32$184.32$184.32
Upside/Downside6.52%6.72%17.98%

In the current month, the average price target of Vail Resorts stock is $196.33, according to 3 Wall Street analysts offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a 6.52% increase as opposed to Vail Resorts's last price of $184.32. This month's average price target is down -0.19% compared to last quarter, and down -9.72% compared to last year.

Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades

DateCompanyPrevious RatingNew RatingRating Change
Dec 10, 2024BarclaysUnderweightUnderweightHold
Dec 10, 2024Morgan StanleyEqual-WeightEqual-WeightHold
Sep 27, 2024Bank of America SecuritiesNeutralNeutralHold
Sep 27, 2024BarclaysUnderweightUnderweightHold
Sep 25, 2024Morgan StanleyEqual-WeightEqual-WeightHold
Jun 10, 2024CFRAHoldHoldHold
Jun 07, 2024Morgan StanleyEqual-WeightDowngrade
Jun 07, 2024William BlairMarket PerformDowngrade
Jun 07, 2024Piper SandlerOverweightNeutralDowngrade
Jun 07, 2024Telsey AdvisoryNeutralNeutralHold
Jun 07, 2024OppenheimerBuyBuyHold
Jun 07, 2024NeedhamBuyBuyHold
Jun 07, 2024Piper SandlerOverweightOverweightHold
Jun 03, 2024Bank of America SecuritiesNeutralNeutralHold
Apr 22, 2024Mizuho SecuritiesUnderperformUnderperformHold
Apr 22, 2024Stifel NicolausBuyBuyHold
Mar 12, 2024BarclaysUnderperformUnderperformHold
Mar 12, 2024Deutsche BankBuyBuyHold
Sep 07, 2023Fox AdvisorsEqual-WeightDowngrade
Sep 07, 2023Alembic GlobalNeutralDowngrade
Sep 07, 2023Raymond JamesBuyUpgrade
Jun 08, 2023BarclaysUnderweightUnderweightHold
Jun 08, 2023Deutsche BankHoldHoldHold
Jun 08, 2023Credit SuisseOutperformOutperformHold
Dec 12, 2022BarclaysUnderweightUnderweightHold
Dec 09, 2022Credit SuisseOutperformOutperformHold
Sep 29, 2022BarclaysUnderweightUnderweightHold
Sep 29, 2022Credit SuisseOutperformOutperformHold
Jun 20, 2022Deutsche BankHoldHoldHold
Apr 26, 2022Deutsche BankHoldHoldHold

Vail Resorts's last stock rating was published by Barclays on Dec 10, 2024. The company gave MTN a "Underweight" rating, the same as its previous rate.

Vail Resorts Financial Forecast

Vail Resorts Revenue Forecast

Jul 27May 27Jan 27Oct 26Jul 26May 26Jan 26Oct 25Jul 25May 25Jan 25Oct 24Jul 24May 24Jan 24Oct 23Jul 23May 23Jan 23Oct 22Jul 22May 22Jan 22Oct 21Jul 21May 21Jan 21Oct 20Jul 20May 20
Revenue--------------$1.08B$254.28M--$1.10B$279.45M$267.14M-$906.53M$175.58M$204.20M-$684.64M$131.79M$77.21M-
Avg Forecast$286.54M$1.43B$1.23B$273.23M$280.17M$1.38B$1.18B$266.92M$275.60M$1.33B$1.15B$249.78M$264.84M$1.31B$1.15B$272.88M$282.26M$1.27B$1.07B$259.42M$262.30M$1.16B$956.79M$192.75M$169.29M$887.55M$644.68M$158.39M$138.27M$623.64M
High Forecast$297.20M$1.49B$1.27B$283.39M$290.59M$1.44B$1.23B$276.84M$285.85M$1.38B$1.20B$258.45M$267.25M$1.31B$1.15B$286.76M$292.76M$1.32B$1.11B$270.91M$272.16M$1.20B$992.73M$199.99M$175.65M$920.89M$668.89M$164.34M$143.46M$647.07M
Low Forecast$279.31M$1.40B$1.20B$266.34M$273.10M$1.35B$1.15B$260.19M$268.65M$1.30B$1.12B$230.57M$262.43M$1.31B$1.15B$247.31M$275.14M$1.24B$1.04B$252.94M$255.46M$1.13B$931.83M$187.72M$164.87M$864.40M$627.86M$154.26M$134.66M$607.38M
# Analysts456633322377633633333333333666
Surprise %--------------0.94%0.93%--1.03%1.08%1.02%-0.95%0.91%1.21%-1.06%0.83%0.56%-

Vail Resorts's average Quarter revenue forecast for May 24 based on 3 analysts is $1.31B, with a low forecast of $1.31B, and a high forecast of $1.31B. MTN's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a 21.11% increase compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $1.08B (Jan 24).

Vail Resorts EBITDA Forecast

Jul 27May 27Jan 27Oct 26Jul 26May 26Jan 26Oct 25Jul 25May 25Jan 25Oct 24Jul 24May 24Jan 24Oct 23Jul 23May 23Jan 23Oct 22Jul 22May 22Jan 22Oct 21Jul 21May 21Jan 21Oct 20Jul 20May 20
# Analysts456633322377633633333333333666
EBITDA--------------$21.83M$-217.81M--$396.19M$-99.36M$-64.31M-$395.03M$-109.57M$-100.02M-$274.75M$-95.98M$-103.80M-
Avg Forecast$81.53M$408.06M$349.76M$77.74M$79.72M$394.00M$336.43M$75.95M$78.42M$378.43M$326.55M$71.07M$75.36M$400.80M$327.96M$77.64M$80.31M$428.66M$-96.33M$71.53M$72.33M$389.69M$263.82M$53.15M$46.68M$120.70M$177.76M$43.67M$38.13M$390.98M
High Forecast$84.56M$423.24M$362.77M$80.64M$82.68M$408.65M$348.94M$78.77M$81.34M$392.51M$340.74M$73.54M$76.04M$480.96M$328.08M$81.59M$83.30M$514.40M$-77.07M$74.70M$75.04M$467.63M$273.73M$55.14M$48.43M$144.84M$184.44M$45.32M$39.56M$469.18M
Low Forecast$79.48M$397.77M$340.94M$75.78M$77.71M$384.06M$327.94M$74.03M$76.44M$368.89M$318.03M$65.61M$74.67M$320.64M$327.84M$70.37M$78.29M$342.93M$-115.60M$69.74M$70.44M$311.76M$256.94M$51.76M$45.46M$96.56M$173.13M$42.54M$37.13M$312.79M
Surprise %--------------0.07%-2.81%---4.11%-1.39%-0.89%-1.50%-2.06%-2.14%-1.55%-2.20%-2.72%-

3 analysts predict MTN's average Quarter EBITDA for May 24 to be $400.80M, with a high of $480.96M and a low of $320.64M. This is 1736.10% upper than Vail Resorts's previous annual EBITDA (Jan 24) of $21.83M.

Vail Resorts Net Income Forecast

Jul 27May 27Jan 27Oct 26Jul 26May 26Jan 26Oct 25Jul 25May 25Jan 25Oct 24Jul 24May 24Jan 24Oct 23Jul 23May 23Jan 23Oct 22Jul 22May 22Jan 22Oct 21Jul 21May 21Jan 21Oct 20Jul 20May 20
# Analysts456633322377633633333333333666
Net Income--------------$219.30M$-175.51M--$208.68M$-143.56M$-109.66M-$233.93M$-142.52M$-144.94M-$147.80M$-157.02M$-157.97M-
Avg Forecast$-171.76M$420.25M$266.95M$-183.89M$-167.24M$406.57M$255.15M$-181.83M$-168.52M$391.16M$237.69M$-187.44M$-158.36M$239.80M$226.42M$-172.08M$-122.75M$256.47M$-136.75M$-126.12M$-109.68M$233.15M$214.72M$-135.96M$-132.60M$64.74M$86.84M$-136.14M$-130.39M$221.90M
High Forecast$-166.13M$440.57M$279.86M$-177.86M$-161.76M$426.23M$267.49M$-175.87M$-163.00M$410.07M$240.29M$-180.88M$-153.17M$287.76M$226.44M$-155.40M$-118.73M$307.76M$-109.40M$-122.02M$-105.96M$279.79M$225.21M$-131.35M$-128.10M$77.69M$91.08M$-131.53M$-125.97M$266.27M
Low Forecast$-180.07M$406.47M$258.20M$-192.78M$-175.32M$393.25M$246.79M$-190.62M$-176.67M$378.34M$234.72M$-199.48M$-166.01M$191.84M$226.41M$-179.28M$-128.69M$205.18M$-164.10M$-133.38M$-115.03M$186.52M$207.44M$-142.60M$-139.07M$51.79M$83.89M$-142.79M$-136.76M$177.52M
Surprise %--------------0.97%1.02%---1.53%1.14%1.00%-1.09%1.05%1.09%-1.70%1.15%1.21%-

Vail Resorts's average Quarter net income forecast for May 24 is $239.80M, with a range of $191.84M to $287.76M. MTN's average Quarter net income forecast represents a 9.35% increase compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $219.30M (Jan 24).

Vail Resorts SG&A Forecast

Jul 27May 27Jan 27Oct 26Jul 26May 26Jan 26Oct 25Jul 25May 25Jan 25Oct 24Jul 24May 24Jan 24Oct 23Jul 23May 23Jan 23Oct 22Jul 22May 22Jan 22Oct 21Jul 21May 21Jan 21Oct 20Jul 20May 20
# Analysts456633322377633633333333333666
SG&A--------------$112.71M$108.03M--$116.62M$98.80M$87.23M-$91.26M$77.23M$86.55M-$78.12M$59.03M$51.52M-
Avg Forecast$40.80M$204.19M$175.02M$38.90M$39.89M$197.16M$168.35M$38.00M$39.24M$189.37M$163.40M$35.56M$37.71M$97.96M$164.11M$38.85M$40.19M$104.77M$75.80M$36.94M$37.35M$95.25M$136.23M$27.44M$24.10M$34.22M$91.79M$22.55M$19.69M$98.17M
High Forecast$42.32M$211.79M$181.53M$40.35M$41.38M$204.49M$174.61M$39.42M$40.70M$196.41M$170.51M$36.80M$38.05M$117.56M$164.17M$40.83M$41.68M$125.73M$90.97M$38.57M$38.75M$114.30M$141.35M$28.47M$25.01M$41.07M$95.24M$23.40M$20.43M$117.80M
Low Forecast$39.77M$199.04M$170.61M$37.92M$38.89M$192.19M$164.10M$37.05M$38.25M$184.59M$159.14M$32.83M$37.37M$78.37M$164.05M$35.21M$39.18M$83.82M$60.64M$36.01M$36.37M$76.20M$132.68M$26.73M$23.48M$27.38M$89.40M$21.96M$19.17M$78.54M
Surprise %--------------0.69%2.78%--1.54%2.67%2.34%-0.67%2.81%3.59%-0.85%2.62%2.62%-

Vail Resorts's average Quarter SG&A projection for May 24 is $97.96M, based on 3 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $78.37M to $117.56M. The forecast indicates a -13.09% fall compared to MTN last annual SG&A of $112.71M (Jan 24).

Vail Resorts EPS Forecast

Jul 27May 27Jan 27Oct 26Jul 26May 26Jan 26Oct 25Jul 25May 25Jan 25Oct 24Jul 24May 24Jan 24Oct 23Jul 23May 23Jan 23Oct 22Jul 22May 22Jan 22Oct 21Jul 21May 21Jan 21Oct 20Jul 20May 20
# Analysts456633322377633633333333333666
EPS--------------$5.78$-4.60--$5.17$-3.56$-2.72-$5.77$-3.52$-3.59-$3.67$-3.90$-3.93-
Avg Forecast$-4.58$11.21$7.12$-4.91$-4.46$10.85$6.81$-4.85$-4.50$10.44$6.34$-5.00$-4.23$10.00$6.04$-4.59$-3.28$8.67$6.11$-3.36$-2.92$9.06$5.72$-3.62$-3.53$6.61$2.31$-3.63$-3.47$2.96
High Forecast$-4.43$11.76$7.47$-4.75$-4.32$11.37$7.14$-4.69$-4.35$10.94$6.41$-4.83$-4.09$10.00$6.04$-4.15$-3.17$9.09$6.41$-3.25$-2.82$9.50$6.00$-3.50$-3.41$6.93$2.43$-3.50$-3.35$3.10
Low Forecast$-4.81$10.85$6.89$-5.14$-4.68$10.49$6.59$-5.09$-4.71$10.10$6.26$-5.32$-4.43$10.00$6.04$-4.78$-3.43$8.39$5.91$-3.55$-3.06$8.75$5.52$-3.80$-3.70$6.38$2.23$-3.80$-3.64$2.86
Surprise %--------------0.96%1.00%--0.85%1.06%0.93%-1.01%0.97%1.02%-1.59%1.08%1.13%-

According to 3 Wall Street analysts, Vail Resorts's projected average Quarter EPS for May 24 is $10.00, with a low estimate of $10.00 and a high estimate of $10.00. This represents a 73.02% increase compared to MTN previous annual EPS of $5.78 (Jan 24).

Vail Resorts Peer Comparison by Price Target

TickerCompanyLast Closing PriceAvg Price TargetUpside/DownsideAvg Rating
MLCOMelco Resorts & Entertainment$6.34$9.2045.11%Buy
CNTYCentury Casinos$3.75$5.0033.33%Buy
PLYAPlaya Hotels & Resorts$10.07$13.0029.10%Buy
RRRRed Rock Resorts$48.06$58.0020.68%Buy
GDENGolden Entertainment$33.06$38.3315.94%Buy
MTNVail Resorts$189.19$200.005.71%Hold
VACMarriott Vacations Worldwide$94.05$98.134.34%Buy
HGVHilton Grand Vacations$40.36$41.502.82%Buy
BALYBally's$17.74$18.172.42%Hold
MCRIMonarch Casino & Resort$82.16$84.002.24%Hold

MTN Forecast FAQ

Is Vail Resorts a good buy?

No, according to 15 Wall Street analysts, Vail Resorts (MTN) is considered a 'Hold'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 6 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 40.00% of MTN's total ratings.

What is MTN's price target?

Vail Resorts (MTN) average price target is $200 with a range of $165 to $227, implying a 8.51% from its last price of $184.32. The data is based on 15 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.

Will Vail Resorts stock go up soon?

According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for MTN stock, the company can go up by 8.51% (from the last price of $184.32 to the average price target of $200), up by 23.16% based on the highest stock price target, and down by -10.48% based on the lowest stock price target.

Can Vail Resorts stock reach $300?

MTN's average twelve months analyst stock price target of $200 does not support the claim that Vail Resorts can reach $300 in the near future.

What is Vail Resorts's current price target trend?

3 Wall Street analysts forecast a $196.33 price target for Vail Resorts (MTN) this month, up 6.52% from its last price of $184.32. Compared to the last 3 and 12 months, the average price target increased by 6.72% and increased by 17.98%, respectively.

What are Vail Resorts's analysts' financial forecasts?

Vail Resorts's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Jul 2026) are as follows: average revenue is $3.11B (high $3.23B, low $3.04B), average EBITDA is $886.09M (high $919.05M, low $863.75M), average net income is $312.66M (high $356.09M, low $274.09M), average SG&A $443.4M (high $459.89M, low $432.22M), and average EPS is $8.34 (high $9.5, low $7.31). MTN's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Jul 2027) are as follows: average revenue is $3.22B (high $3.34B, low $3.14B), average EBITDA is $917.09M (high $951.2M, low $893.97M), average net income is $331.54M (high $376.43M, low $291.82M), average SG&A $458.92M (high $475.98M, low $447.34M), and average EPS is $8.85 (high $10.05, low $7.79).

Did the MTN's actual financial results beat the analysts' financial forecasts?

Based on Vail Resorts's last annual report (Jul 2022), the company's revenue was $2.53B, which missed the average analysts forecast of $2.57B by -1.66%. Apple's EBITDA was $680.95M, missing the average prediction of $778.99M by -12.59%. The company's net income was $347.92M, beating the average estimation of $202.23M by 72.04%. Apple's SG&A was $347.49M, beating the average forecast of $296.27M by 17.29%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $8.6, beating the average prediction of $8.24 by 4.40%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Jan 2024), Vail Resorts's revenue was $1.08B, missing the average analysts' forecast of $1.15B by -6.49%. The company's EBITDA was $21.83M, missing the average prediction of $327.96M by -93.34%. Vail Resorts's net income was $219.3M, missing the average estimation of $226.42M by -3.15%. The company's SG&A was $112.71M, missing the average forecast of $164.11M by -31.32%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $5.78, missing the average prediction of $6.04 by -4.34%