Vail Resorts (MTN) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions


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MTN Stock Forecast


Vail Resorts stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $256.13 (represents a 42.29% upside from MTN’s last price of $180.00) and a rating consensus of 'Hold', based on 14 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.

MTN Price Target


The average price target for Vail Resorts (MTN) is $256.13 based on 1-year price targets from 14 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $333.00 to $191.00. This represents a potential 42.29% upside from MTN's last price of $180.00.

MTN Analyst Ratings


Hold

According to 14 Wall Street analysts, Vail Resorts's rating consensus is 'Hold'. The analyst rating breakdown for MTN stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 6 'Buy' (42.86%), 8 'Hold' (57.14%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).

Vail Resorts Price Target by Analyst


DateAnalystCompanyPrice TargetPrice when PublishedPrice Target/Price when PublishedPrice Target/Last Closing Price
Jun 10, 2024Siye DestaCFRA$191.00$180.435.86%6.11%
Jun 07, 2024Ben ChaikenMizuho Securities$231.00$193.9519.10%28.33%
Jun 07, 2024Patrick ScholesTruist Financial$250.00$193.9528.90%38.89%
Jun 07, 2024Jeffrey StantialStifel Nicolaus$259.00$193.9533.54%43.89%
Mar 25, 2024Ben ChaikenMizuho Securities$256.00$218.7717.02%42.22%
Mar 12, 2024Patrick ScholesTruist Financial$263.00$226.2516.24%46.11%
Jun 08, 2023Benjamin ChaikenCredit Suisse$333.00$255.1530.51%85.00%
Jun 08, 2023Brandt MontourBarclays$222.00$255.15-12.99%23.33%
Dec 22, 2022-Truist Financial$292.00$241.7520.79%62.22%
Dec 12, 2022-J.P. Morgan$262.00$257.871.60%45.56%
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The latest Vail Resorts stock forecast, released on Jun 10, 2024 by Siye Desta from CFRA, set a price target of $191.00, which represents a 5.86% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($180.43), and a 6.11% increase from MTN last price ($180.00).

Vail Resorts Price Target by Period


1M3M12M
# Anlaysts--6
Avg Price Target--$241.67
Last Closing Price$180.00$180.00$180.00
Upside/Downside-100.00%-100.00%34.26%

In the current month, the average price target of Vail Resorts stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to Vail Resorts's last price of $180.00. This month's average price target is down NaN% compared to last quarter, and down -100.00% compared to last year.

Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades


DateCompanyPrevious RatingNew RatingRating Change
Jun 10, 2024CFRAHoldHoldHold
Jun 07, 2024Piper SandlerOverweightNeutralDowngrade
Jun 07, 2024William Blair-Market PerformDowngrade
Jun 07, 2024Morgan Stanley-Equal-WeightDowngrade
Jun 07, 2024Telsey AdvisoryNeutralNeutralHold
Jun 07, 2024OppenheimerBuyBuyHold
Jun 07, 2024NeedhamBuyBuyHold
Jun 07, 2024Piper SandlerOverweightOverweightHold
Jun 03, 2024Bank of America SecuritiesNeutralNeutralHold
Apr 22, 2024Stifel NicolausBuyBuyHold
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Vail Resorts's last stock rating was published by CFRA on Jun 10, 2024. The company gave MTN a "Hold" rating, the same as its previous rate.

Vail Resorts Financial Forecast


Vail Resorts Revenue Forecast

Jul 26Apr 26Jan 26Oct 25Jul 25Apr 25Jan 25Oct 24Jul 24Apr 24Jan 24Oct 23Jul 23Apr 23Jan 23Oct 22Jul 22Apr 22Jan 22Oct 21Jul 21Apr 21Jan 21Oct 20Jul 20Apr 20Jan 20Oct 19Jul 19Apr 19
Revenue----------$1.08B$254.28M-$1.24B$1.10B$279.45M$267.14M$1.18B$906.53M$175.58M$204.20M$889.08M$684.64M$131.79M$77.21M$694.09M$924.64M$267.77M$244.01M$957.99M
Avg Forecast$278.48M$1.40B$1.20B$270.01M$275.25M$1.34B$1.15B$263.36M$269.65M$1.31B$1.15B$272.88M$282.26M$1.27B$1.07B$259.42M$262.30M$1.16B$956.79M$192.75M$169.29M$887.55M$644.68M$158.39M$138.27M$623.64M$951.04M$257.57M$239.89M$958.35M
High Forecast$278.48M$1.40B$1.20B$270.01M$275.25M$1.34B$1.15B$263.36M$291.07M$1.31B$1.15B$286.76M$282.26M$1.27B$1.07B$259.42M$262.30M$1.16B$956.79M$192.75M$169.29M$887.55M$644.68M$158.39M$138.27M$623.64M$951.04M$257.57M$239.89M$958.35M
Low Forecast$278.48M$1.40B$1.20B$270.01M$275.25M$1.34B$1.15B$263.36M$247.61M$1.31B$1.15B$247.31M$282.26M$1.27B$1.07B$259.42M$262.30M$1.16B$956.79M$192.75M$169.29M$887.55M$644.68M$158.39M$138.27M$623.64M$951.04M$257.57M$239.89M$958.35M
# Analysts454434358556333222255556666888
Surprise %----------0.94%0.93%-0.97%1.03%1.08%1.02%1.02%0.95%0.91%1.21%1.00%1.06%0.83%0.56%1.11%0.97%1.04%1.02%1.00%

Vail Resorts's average Quarter revenue forecast for Apr 24 based on 5 analysts is $1.31B, with a low forecast of $1.31B, and a high forecast of $1.31B. MTN's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a 21.11% increase compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $1.08B (Jan 24).

Vail Resorts EBITDA Forecast

Jul 26Apr 26Jan 26Oct 25Jul 25Apr 25Jan 25Oct 24Jul 24Apr 24Jan 24Oct 23Jul 23Apr 23Jan 23Oct 22Jul 22Apr 22Jan 22Oct 21Jul 21Apr 21Jan 21Oct 20Jul 20Apr 20Jan 20Oct 19Jul 19Apr 19
# Analysts454434358556333222255556666888
EBITDA----------$21.83M$-217.81M-$621.80M$396.19M$-99.36M$-64.31M$607.46M$395.03M$-109.57M$-100.02M$461.00M$274.75M$-95.98M$-103.80M$303.62M$377.02M$-77.83M$-60.84M$479.57M
Avg Forecast$78.16M$394.21M$336.84M$75.78M$77.25M$375.18M$322.23M$73.92M$75.68M$400.80M$323.49M$76.59M$79.22M$428.66M$299.50M$-101.63M$73.62M$389.69M$268.54M$54.10M$47.51M$120.70M$180.94M$44.46M$38.81M$390.98M$266.93M$72.29M$67.33M$332.93M
High Forecast$78.16M$394.21M$336.84M$75.78M$77.25M$375.18M$322.23M$73.92M$81.69M$480.96M$323.49M$80.48M$79.22M$514.40M$299.50M$-81.30M$73.62M$467.63M$268.54M$54.10M$47.51M$144.84M$180.94M$44.46M$38.81M$469.18M$266.93M$72.29M$67.33M$399.51M
Low Forecast$78.16M$394.21M$336.84M$75.78M$77.25M$375.18M$322.23M$73.92M$69.50M$320.64M$323.49M$69.41M$79.22M$342.93M$299.50M$-121.95M$73.62M$311.76M$268.54M$54.10M$47.51M$96.56M$180.94M$44.46M$38.81M$312.79M$266.93M$72.29M$67.33M$266.34M
Surprise %----------0.07%-2.84%-1.45%1.32%0.98%-0.87%1.56%1.47%-2.03%-2.11%3.82%1.52%-2.16%-2.67%0.78%1.41%-1.08%-0.90%1.44%

5 analysts predict MTN's average Quarter EBITDA for Apr 24 to be $400.80M, with a high of $480.96M and a low of $320.64M. This is 1736.10% upper than Vail Resorts's previous annual EBITDA (Jan 24) of $21.83M.

Vail Resorts Net Income Forecast

Jul 26Apr 26Jan 26Oct 25Jul 25Apr 25Jan 25Oct 24Jul 24Apr 24Jan 24Oct 23Jul 23Apr 23Jan 23Oct 22Jul 22Apr 22Jan 22Oct 21Jul 21Apr 21Jan 21Oct 20Jul 20Apr 20Jan 20Oct 19Jul 19Apr 19
# Analysts454434358556333222255556666888
Net Income----------$219.30M$-175.51M-$325.01M$208.68M$-143.56M$-109.66M$372.55M$233.93M$-142.52M$-144.94M$274.63M$147.80M$-157.02M$-157.97M$152.55M$206.37M$-109.83M$-92.30M$292.13M
Avg Forecast$-163.74M$408.77M$254.58M$-190.82M$-152.78M$401.95M$251.79M$-174.31M$-159.47M$239.80M$229.22M$-174.20M$-124.27M$256.47M$231.89M$-137.08M$-110.81M$233.15M$216.94M$-137.37M$-133.97M$64.74M$87.73M$-137.55M$-131.74M$221.90M$206.70M$-113.10M$-96.11M$198.23M
High Forecast$-163.74M$408.77M$254.58M$-190.82M$-152.78M$401.95M$251.79M$-174.31M$-145.62M$287.76M$229.22M$-157.32M$-124.27M$307.76M$231.89M$-109.67M$-110.81M$279.79M$216.94M$-137.37M$-133.97M$77.69M$87.73M$-137.55M$-131.74M$266.27M$206.70M$-113.10M$-96.11M$237.88M
Low Forecast$-163.74M$408.77M$254.58M$-190.82M$-152.78M$401.95M$251.79M$-174.31M$-180.80M$191.84M$229.22M$-181.49M$-124.27M$205.18M$231.89M$-164.50M$-110.81M$186.52M$216.94M$-137.37M$-133.97M$51.79M$87.73M$-137.55M$-131.74M$177.52M$206.70M$-113.10M$-96.11M$158.59M
Surprise %----------0.96%1.01%-1.27%0.90%1.05%0.99%1.60%1.08%1.04%1.08%4.24%1.68%1.14%1.20%0.69%1.00%0.97%0.96%1.47%

Vail Resorts's average Quarter net income forecast for Apr 24 is $239.80M, with a range of $191.84M to $287.76M. MTN's average Quarter net income forecast represents a 9.35% increase compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $219.30M (Jan 24).

Vail Resorts SG&A Forecast

Jul 26Apr 26Jan 26Oct 25Jul 25Apr 25Jan 25Oct 24Jul 24Apr 24Jan 24Oct 23Jul 23Apr 23Jan 23Oct 22Jul 22Apr 22Jan 22Oct 21Jul 21Apr 21Jan 21Oct 20Jul 20Apr 20Jan 20Oct 19Jul 19Apr 19
# Analysts454434358556333222255556666888
SG&A----------$112.71M$108.03M-$88.86M$116.62M$98.80M$87.23M$91.76M$91.26M$77.23M$86.55M$73.29M$78.12M$59.03M$51.52M$60.82M$91.30M$75.06M$64.46M$68.21M
Avg Forecast$38.46M$194.00M$165.77M$37.29M$38.02M$184.63M$158.58M$36.38M$37.24M$97.96M$159.20M$37.69M$38.99M$104.77M$147.39M$84.26M$36.23M$95.25M$132.15M$26.62M$23.38M$34.22M$89.04M$21.88M$19.10M$98.17M$131.36M$35.58M$33.13M$74.32M
High Forecast$38.46M$194.00M$165.77M$37.29M$38.02M$184.63M$158.58M$36.38M$40.20M$117.56M$159.20M$39.61M$38.99M$125.73M$147.39M$101.11M$36.23M$114.30M$132.15M$26.62M$23.38M$41.07M$89.04M$21.88M$19.10M$117.80M$131.36M$35.58M$33.13M$89.18M
Low Forecast$38.46M$194.00M$165.77M$37.29M$38.02M$184.63M$158.58M$36.38M$34.20M$78.37M$159.20M$34.16M$38.99M$83.82M$147.39M$67.41M$36.23M$76.20M$132.15M$26.62M$23.38M$27.38M$89.04M$21.88M$19.10M$78.54M$131.36M$35.58M$33.13M$59.46M
Surprise %----------0.71%2.87%-0.85%0.79%1.17%2.41%0.96%0.69%2.90%3.70%2.14%0.88%2.70%2.70%0.62%0.70%2.11%1.95%0.92%

Vail Resorts's average Quarter SG&A projection for Apr 24 is $97.96M, based on 5 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $78.37M to $117.56M. The forecast indicates a -13.09% fall compared to MTN last annual SG&A of $112.71M (Jan 24).

Vail Resorts EPS Forecast

Jul 26Apr 26Jan 26Oct 25Jul 25Apr 25Jan 25Oct 24Jul 24Apr 24Jan 24Oct 23Jul 23Apr 23Jan 23Oct 22Jul 22Apr 22Jan 22Oct 21Jul 21Apr 21Jan 21Oct 20Jul 20Apr 20Jan 20Oct 19Jul 19Apr 19
# Analysts454434358556333222255556666888
EPS----------$5.78$-4.60-$8.20$5.17$-3.56$-2.72$9.18$5.77$-3.52$-3.59$6.82$3.67$-3.90$-3.93$3.79$5.12$-2.72$-2.29$7.26
Avg Forecast$-4.32$10.78$6.71$-5.03$-4.03$10.60$6.64$-4.59$-4.20$10.00$6.04$-4.59$-3.28$8.67$6.11$-3.36$-2.92$9.06$5.72$-3.62$-3.53$6.61$2.31$-3.63$-3.47$2.96$5.45$-2.98$-2.53$7.08
High Forecast$-4.32$10.78$6.71$-5.03$-4.03$10.60$6.64$-4.59$-3.84$10.00$6.04$-4.15$-3.28$8.67$6.11$-3.36$-2.92$9.06$5.72$-3.62$-3.53$6.61$2.31$-3.63$-3.47$2.96$5.45$-2.98$-2.53$7.08
Low Forecast$-4.32$10.78$6.71$-5.03$-4.03$10.60$6.64$-4.59$-4.77$10.00$6.04$-4.78$-3.28$8.67$6.11$-3.36$-2.92$9.06$5.72$-3.62$-3.53$6.61$2.31$-3.63$-3.47$2.96$5.45$-2.98$-2.53$7.08
Surprise %----------0.96%1.00%-0.95%0.85%1.06%0.93%1.01%1.01%0.97%1.02%1.03%1.59%1.08%1.13%1.28%0.94%0.91%0.90%1.03%

According to 5 Wall Street analysts, Vail Resorts's projected average Quarter EPS for Apr 24 is $10.00, with a low estimate of $10.00 and a high estimate of $10.00. This represents a 73.02% increase compared to MTN previous annual EPS of $5.78 (Jan 24).

Vail Resorts Peer Comparison by Price Target


TickerCompanyLast Closing PriceAvg Price TargetUpside/DownsideAvg Rating
CNTYCentury Casinos$2.57$13.00405.84%Buy
MLCOMelco Resorts & Entertainment$5.71$9.7270.23%Buy
VACMarriott Vacations Worldwide$73.29$124.3069.60%Buy
HGVHilton Grand Vacations$36.93$56.2552.32%Buy
MTNVail Resorts$180.00$256.1342.29%Hold
PLYAPlaya Hotels & Resorts$7.77$11.0041.57%Buy
GDENGolden Entertainment$32.58$41.0025.84%Buy
MCRIMonarch Casino & Resort$75.36$84.0011.46%Hold
RRRRed Rock Resorts$54.20$60.2911.24%Buy
BALYBally's$17.31$18.104.56%Hold
BVHBluegreen Vacations$75.00$45.00-40.00%-

MTN Forecast FAQ


No, according to 14 Wall Street analysts, Vail Resorts (MTN) is considered a 'Hold'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 6 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 42.86% of MTN's total ratings.

Vail Resorts (MTN) average price target is $256.13 with a range of $191 to $333, implying a 42.29% from its last price of $180. The data is based on 14 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.

According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for MTN stock, the company can go up by 42.29% (from the last price of $180 to the average price target of $256.13), up by 85.00% based on the highest stock price target, and up by 6.11% based on the lowest stock price target.

MTN's highest twelve months analyst stock price target of $333 supports the claim that Vail Resorts can reach $300 in the near future.

Vail Resorts's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Jul 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $3.02B (high $3.02B, low $3.02B), average EBITDA is $848.58M (high $848.58M, low $848.58M), average net income is $326.64M (high $326.64M, low $326.64M), average SG&A $417.6M (high $417.6M, low $417.6M), and average EPS is $8.61 (high $8.61, low $8.61). MTN's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Jul 2026) are as follows: average revenue is $3.15B (high $3.15B, low $3.15B), average EBITDA is $885M (high $885M, low $885M), average net income is $308.8M (high $308.8M, low $308.8M), average SG&A $435.53M (high $435.53M, low $435.53M), and average EPS is $8.14 (high $8.14, low $8.14).

Based on Vail Resorts's last annual report (Jul 2022), the company's revenue was $2.53B, which missed the average analysts forecast of $2.57B by -1.66%. Apple's EBITDA was $680.95M, missing the average prediction of $785.95M by -13.36%. The company's net income was $347.92M, beating the average estimation of $201.92M by 72.31%. Apple's SG&A was $347.49M, beating the average forecast of $290.26M by 19.72%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $8.6, beating the average prediction of $8.24 by 4.40%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Jan 2024), Vail Resorts's revenue was $1.08B, missing the average analysts' forecast of $1.15B by -6.49%. The company's EBITDA was $21.83M, missing the average prediction of $323.49M by -93.25%. Vail Resorts's net income was $219.3M, missing the average estimation of $229.22M by -4.33%. The company's SG&A was $112.71M, missing the average forecast of $159.2M by -29.20%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $5.78, missing the average prediction of $6.04 by -4.34%