MSC Industrial Direct (MSM) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions
MSM Stock Forecast
MSC Industrial Direct stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $105.71 (represents a 35.11% upside from MSM’s last price of $78.24) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 7 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.
MSM Price Target
The average price target for MSC Industrial Direct (MSM) is $105.71 based on 1-year price targets from 7 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $138.00 to $84.00. This represents a potential 35.11% upside from MSM's last price of $78.24.
MSM Analyst Ratings
According to 7 Wall Street analysts, MSC Industrial Direct's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for MSM stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 4 'Buy' (57.14%), 3 'Hold' (42.86%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).
MSC Industrial Direct Price Target by Analyst
| Date | Analyst | Company | Price Target | Price when Published | Price Target/Price when Published | Price Target/Last Closing Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2024 | David Manthey | Robert W. Baird | $84.00 | $76.64 | 9.60% | 7.36% |
| May 29, 2024 | David Manthey | Robert W. Baird | $95.00 | $86.20 | 10.21% | 21.42% |
| Mar 27, 2024 | Chris Dankert | Loop Capital Markets | $124.00 | $99.40 | 24.75% | 58.49% |
| Dec 28, 2023 | Alexandre Falcao | HSBC | $138.00 | $102.31 | 34.89% | 76.38% |
| Apr 26, 2023 | Ken Newman | Industrial Alliance Securities | $105.00 | $89.19 | 17.73% | 34.20% |
| Apr 21, 2023 | Ken Newman | KeyBanc | $105.00 | $91.19 | 15.15% | 34.20% |
| Apr 05, 2023 | Tommy Moll | Stephens | $100.00 | $85.39 | 17.11% | 27.81% |
| Mar 28, 2023 | Stephen Volkmann | Jefferies | $84.00 | $82.53 | 1.79% | 7.36% |
| Jun 30, 2022 | - | Robert W. Baird | $100.00 | $74.22 | 34.73% | 27.81% |
The latest MSC Industrial Direct stock forecast, released on Jun 14, 2024 by David Manthey from Robert W. Baird, set a price target of $84.00, which represents a 9.60% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($76.64), and a 7.36% increase from MSM last price ($78.24).
MSC Industrial Direct Price Target by Period
| 1M | 3M | 12M | |
|---|---|---|---|
| # Anlaysts | - | 1 | 4 |
| Avg Price Target | - | $84.00 | $110.25 |
| Last Closing Price | $78.24 | $78.24 | $78.24 |
| Upside/Downside | -100.00% | 7.36% | 40.91% |
In the current month, the average price target of MSC Industrial Direct stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to MSC Industrial Direct's last price of $78.24. This month's average price target is down -100.00% compared to last quarter, and down -100.00% compared to last year.
Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades
| Date | Company | Previous Rating | New Rating | Rating Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 03, 2024 | Stephens | Hold | Hold | Hold |
| Jul 03, 2024 | Loop Capital Markets | Underperform | Underperform | Hold |
| Jun 17, 2024 | Stephens | Neutral | Neutral | Hold |
| Jun 17, 2024 | Robert W. Baird | Underperform | Underperform | Hold |
| Jun 17, 2024 | Loop Capital Markets | Buy | Hold | Downgrade |
| Jun 17, 2024 | Loop Capital Markets | Buy | Negative | Downgrade |
| Jun 17, 2024 | KeyBanc | Overweight | Sector Weight | Downgrade |
| Mar 28, 2024 | Wells Fargo | Overweight | Overweight | Hold |
| Mar 28, 2024 | Oppenheimer | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
| Dec 28, 2023 | HSBC | Buy | Buy | Hold |
MSC Industrial Direct's last stock rating was published by Stephens on Jul 03, 2024. The company gave MSM a "Hold" rating, the same as its previous rate.
MSC Industrial Direct Financial Forecast
MSC Industrial Direct Revenue Forecast
| Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | Jun 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $935.35M | - | $1.04B | $1.05B | $961.63M | $957.75M | $1.02B | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $866.55M |
| Avg Forecast | $1.06B | $1.07B | $990.13M | $990.70M | $1.02B | $1.02B | $942.11M | $945.29M | $960.53M | $979.10M | $946.55M | $971.31M | $1.01B | $1.02B | $934.07M | $947.64M | $924.00M | $960.52M | $855.96M | $838.96M | $837.62M | $847.22M | $778.77M | $770.19M | $747.98M | $818.88M | $792.56M | $818.94M | $837.49M | $880.83M |
| High Forecast | $1.06B | $1.07B | $990.13M | $990.70M | $1.02B | $1.02B | $942.11M | $945.29M | $966.83M | $979.10M | $946.55M | $974.49M | $1.01B | $1.02B | $934.07M | $947.64M | $1.11B | $1.15B | $879.64M | $862.17M | $860.79M | $870.66M | $800.31M | $791.50M | $768.67M | $841.53M | $814.48M | $841.59M | $860.66M | $905.20M |
| Low Forecast | $1.06B | $1.07B | $990.13M | $990.70M | $1.02B | $1.02B | $942.11M | $945.29M | $955.68M | $979.10M | $946.55M | $965.71M | $998.80M | $1.02B | $934.07M | $947.64M | $739.20M | $768.42M | $831.73M | $815.21M | $813.91M | $823.24M | $756.72M | $748.39M | $726.80M | $795.70M | $770.12M | $795.75M | $813.78M | $855.90M |
| # Analysts | 7 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 18 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.99% | - | 1.03% | 1.03% | 1.03% | 1.01% | 1.11% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.98% |
MSC Industrial Direct's average Quarter revenue forecast for Jun 24 based on 4 analysts is $979.10M, with a low forecast of $979.10M, and a high forecast of $979.10M. MSM's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a 4.68% increase compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $935.35M (Mar 24).
MSC Industrial Direct EBITDA Forecast
| Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | Jun 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 7 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 18 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
| EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $91.19M | - | $141.57M | $135.39M | $132.57M | $135.43M | $137.69M | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $127.05M |
| Avg Forecast | $144.70M | $146.03M | $135.39M | $135.47M | $138.84M | $140.12M | $128.82M | $129.26M | $131.34M | $133.88M | $130.75M | $132.82M | $137.62M | $139.37M | $118.86M | $129.58M | $118.67M | $148.60M | $108.06M | $102.13M | $107.89M | $140.94M | $44.74M | $70.04M | $76.43M | $100.01M | $93.94M | $103.75M | $101.09M | $130.55M |
| High Forecast | $144.70M | $146.03M | $135.39M | $135.47M | $138.84M | $140.12M | $128.82M | $129.26M | $132.21M | $133.88M | $156.90M | $133.25M | $138.38M | $139.37M | $142.64M | $129.58M | $142.41M | $178.32M | $129.67M | $122.56M | $129.46M | $169.12M | $53.69M | $84.05M | $91.72M | $120.01M | $112.73M | $124.50M | $121.31M | $156.66M |
| Low Forecast | $144.70M | $146.03M | $135.39M | $135.47M | $138.84M | $140.12M | $128.82M | $129.26M | $130.68M | $133.88M | $104.60M | $132.05M | $136.58M | $139.37M | $95.09M | $129.58M | $94.94M | $118.88M | $86.45M | $81.71M | $86.31M | $112.75M | $35.79M | $56.03M | $61.15M | $80.01M | $75.15M | $83.00M | $80.87M | $104.44M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.70% | - | 1.03% | 0.97% | 1.12% | 1.05% | 1.16% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.97% |
4 analysts predict MSM's average Quarter EBITDA for Jun 24 to be $133.88M, with a high of $133.88M and a low of $133.88M. This is 46.81% upper than MSC Industrial Direct's previous annual EBITDA (Mar 24) of $91.19M.
MSC Industrial Direct Net Income Forecast
| Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | Jun 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 7 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 18 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
| Net Income | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $61.85M | - | $87.60M | $95.14M | $79.14M | $81.31M | $104.13M | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $79.60M |
| Avg Forecast | $77.39M | $82.08M | $62.55M | $63.49M | $75.09M | $81.50M | $57.34M | $55.72M | $60.85M | $74.83M | $79.76M | $73.21M | $91.42M | $98.60M | $72.51M | $82.45M | $72.53M | $95.67M | $65.92M | $62.74M | $65.93M | $90.99M | $17.91M | $37.74M | $44.12M | $61.63M | $54.94M | $63.18M | $62.82M | $81.74M |
| High Forecast | $77.39M | $82.08M | $62.55M | $63.49M | $75.09M | $81.50M | $57.34M | $55.72M | $62.54M | $74.83M | $95.71M | $79.92M | $93.11M | $98.60M | $87.01M | $82.45M | $87.03M | $114.80M | $79.10M | $75.28M | $79.12M | $109.19M | $21.49M | $45.29M | $52.94M | $73.95M | $65.93M | $75.82M | $75.38M | $98.09M |
| Low Forecast | $77.39M | $82.08M | $62.55M | $63.49M | $75.09M | $81.50M | $57.34M | $55.72M | $59.16M | $74.83M | $63.81M | $68.74M | $89.73M | $98.60M | $58.01M | $82.45M | $58.02M | $76.54M | $52.73M | $50.19M | $52.75M | $72.79M | $14.33M | $30.19M | $35.30M | $49.30M | $43.95M | $50.55M | $50.25M | $65.39M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.78% | - | 0.96% | 0.96% | 1.09% | 0.99% | 1.44% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.97% |
MSC Industrial Direct's average Quarter net income forecast for Jun 24 is $74.83M, with a range of $74.83M to $74.83M. MSM's average Quarter net income forecast represents a 20.99% increase compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $61.85M (Mar 24).
MSC Industrial Direct SG&A Forecast
| Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | Jun 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 7 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 18 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
| SG&A | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Avg Forecast | $310.64M | $313.51M | $290.67M | $290.84M | $298.06M | $300.82M | $276.57M | $277.51M | $281.98M | $287.43M | $277.87M | $285.14M | $295.44M | $299.20M | $274.21M | $278.20M | $271.26M | $281.98M | $251.28M | $246.29M | $245.90M | $248.71M | $228.62M | $226.10M | $219.58M | $240.40M | $232.67M | $240.41M | $245.86M | $258.58M |
| High Forecast | $310.64M | $313.51M | $290.67M | $290.84M | $298.06M | $300.82M | $276.57M | $277.51M | $283.83M | $287.43M | $277.87M | $286.08M | $297.09M | $299.20M | $274.21M | $278.20M | $325.51M | $338.37M | $258.23M | $253.10M | $252.70M | $255.59M | $234.94M | $232.36M | $225.65M | $247.05M | $239.10M | $247.06M | $252.66M | $265.74M |
| Low Forecast | $310.64M | $313.51M | $290.67M | $290.84M | $298.06M | $300.82M | $276.57M | $277.51M | $280.55M | $287.43M | $277.87M | $283.50M | $293.21M | $299.20M | $274.21M | $278.20M | $217.00M | $225.58M | $244.17M | $239.32M | $238.94M | $241.67M | $222.15M | $219.70M | $213.36M | $233.59M | $226.08M | $233.61M | $238.90M | $251.26M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
MSC Industrial Direct's average Quarter SG&A projection for undefined is $NaN, based on undefined Wall Street analysts, with a range of $NaN to $NaN. The forecast indicates a NaN% fall compared to MSM last annual SG&A of $NaN (undefined).
MSC Industrial Direct EPS Forecast
| Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | Jun 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 7 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 18 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
| EPS | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $1.10 | - | $1.57 | $1.70 | $1.42 | $1.45 | $1.86 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $1.44 |
| Avg Forecast | $1.37 | $1.46 | $1.11 | $1.13 | $1.33 | $1.45 | $1.02 | $0.99 | $1.08 | $1.33 | $1.16 | $1.30 | $1.62 | $1.75 | $1.35 | $1.46 | $1.27 | $1.15 | $1.23 | $1.20 | $1.27 | $1.38 | $1.02 | $1.08 | $0.94 | $1.16 | $1.00 | $1.17 | $1.23 | $1.49 |
| High Forecast | $1.37 | $1.46 | $1.11 | $1.13 | $1.33 | $1.45 | $1.02 | $0.99 | $1.11 | $1.33 | $1.16 | $1.42 | $1.65 | $1.75 | $1.35 | $1.46 | $1.27 | $1.15 | $1.27 | $1.24 | $1.32 | $1.42 | $1.06 | $1.11 | $0.98 | $1.20 | $1.03 | $1.21 | $1.27 | $1.54 |
| Low Forecast | $1.37 | $1.46 | $1.11 | $1.13 | $1.33 | $1.45 | $1.02 | $0.99 | $1.05 | $1.33 | $1.16 | $1.22 | $1.59 | $1.75 | $1.35 | $1.46 | $1.27 | $1.15 | $1.18 | $1.16 | $1.22 | $1.32 | $0.99 | $1.04 | $0.91 | $1.12 | $0.96 | $1.12 | $1.18 | $1.44 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.95% | - | 0.97% | 0.97% | 1.05% | 0.99% | 1.46% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.97% |
According to 4 Wall Street analysts, MSC Industrial Direct's projected average Quarter EPS for Jun 24 is $1.33, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.33. This represents a 20.71% increase compared to MSM previous annual EPS of $1.10 (Mar 24).
MSC Industrial Direct Peer Comparison by Price Target
| Ticker | Company | Last Closing Price | Avg Price Target | Upside/Downside | Avg Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BXC | BlueLinx | $93.12 | $135.00 | 44.97% | Buy |
| MSM | MSC Industrial Direct | $78.20 | $105.71 | 35.18% | Buy |
| CNM | Core & Main | $38.05 | $49.60 | 30.35% | Buy |
| AIT | Applied Industrial | $193.61 | $218.33 | 12.77% | Buy |
| SITE | SiteOne Landscape Supply | $135.72 | $151.71 | 11.78% | Hold |
| FERG | Ferguson | $190.20 | $206.00 | 8.31% | Buy |
| FAST | Fastenal Company | $65.89 | $63.44 | -3.72% | Hold |
| WSO | Watsco | $448.66 | $365.00 | -18.65% | Hold |
| GWW | W.W. Grainger | $947.93 | $733.14 | -22.66% | Buy |
MSM Forecast FAQ
Is MSC Industrial Direct a good buy?
Yes, according to 7 Wall Street analysts, MSC Industrial Direct (MSM) is considered a 'Buy'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 4 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 57.14% of MSM's total ratings.
What is MSM's price target?
MSC Industrial Direct (MSM) average price target is $105.71 with a range of $84 to $138, implying a 35.11% from its last price of $78.24. The data is based on 7 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.
Will MSC Industrial Direct stock go up soon?
According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for MSM stock, the company can go up by 35.11% (from the last price of $78.24 to the average price target of $105.71), up by 76.38% based on the highest stock price target, and up by 7.36% based on the lowest stock price target.
Can MSC Industrial Direct stock reach $120?
MSM's highest twelve months analyst stock price target of $138 supports the claim that MSC Industrial Direct can reach $120 in the near future.
What are MSC Industrial Direct's analysts' financial forecasts?
MSC Industrial Direct's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Sep 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $3.93B (high $3.93B, low $3.93B), average EBITDA is $537.04M (high $537.04M, low $537.04M), average net income is $269.64M (high $269.64M, low $269.64M), average SG&A $1.15B (high $1.15B, low $1.15B), and average EPS is $4.79 (high $4.79, low $4.79). MSM's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Sep 2026) are as follows: average revenue is $4.11B (high $4.11B, low $4.11B), average EBITDA is $561.59M (high $561.59M, low $561.59M), average net income is $285.51M (high $285.51M, low $285.51M), average SG&A $1.21B (high $1.21B, low $1.21B), and average EPS is $5.07 (high $5.07, low $5.07).
Did the MSM's actual financial results beat the analysts' financial forecasts?
Based on MSC Industrial Direct's last annual report (Sep 2022), the company's revenue was $3.69B, beating the average analysts forecast of $3.58B by 3.14%. Apple's EBITDA was $544.78M, beating the average prediction of $477.46M by 14.10%. The company's net income was $339.79M, beating the average estimation of $296.85M by 14.46%. Apple's SG&A was $0, missing the average forecast of $1.05B by -100.00%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $6.09, beating the average prediction of $4.85 by 25.52%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Mar 2024), MSC Industrial Direct's revenue was $935.35M, missing the average analysts' forecast of $946.55M by -1.18%. The company's EBITDA was $91.2M, missing the average prediction of $130.75M by -30.25%. MSC Industrial Direct's net income was $61.85M, missing the average estimation of $79.76M by -22.46%. The company's SG&A was $0, missing the average forecast of $277.87M by -100.00%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $1.1, missing the average prediction of $1.16 by -4.91%