MSC Industrial Direct (MSM) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions
MSM Stock Forecast
MSC Industrial Direct stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $105.71 (represents a 37.70% upside from MSM’s last price of $76.77) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 7 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.
MSM Price Target
The average price target for MSC Industrial Direct (MSM) is $105.71 based on 1-year price targets from 7 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $138.00 to $84.00. This represents a potential 37.70% upside from MSM's last price of $76.77.
MSM Analyst Ratings
According to 7 Wall Street analysts, MSC Industrial Direct's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for MSM stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 4 'Buy' (57.14%), 3 'Hold' (42.86%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).
MSC Industrial Direct Price Target by Analyst
| Date | Analyst | Company | Price Target | Price when Published | Price Target/Price when Published | Price Target/Last Closing Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2024 | David Manthey | Robert W. Baird | $84.00 | $76.64 | 9.60% | 9.42% |
| May 29, 2024 | David Manthey | Robert W. Baird | $95.00 | $86.20 | 10.21% | 23.75% |
| Mar 27, 2024 | Chris Dankert | Loop Capital Markets | $124.00 | $99.40 | 24.75% | 61.52% |
| Dec 28, 2023 | Alexandre Falcao | HSBC | $138.00 | $102.31 | 34.89% | 79.76% |
| Apr 26, 2023 | Ken Newman | Industrial Alliance Securities | $105.00 | $89.19 | 17.73% | 36.77% |
| Apr 21, 2023 | Ken Newman | KeyBanc | $105.00 | $91.19 | 15.15% | 36.77% |
| Apr 05, 2023 | Tommy Moll | Stephens | $100.00 | $85.39 | 17.11% | 30.26% |
| Mar 28, 2023 | Stephen Volkmann | Jefferies | $84.00 | $82.53 | 1.79% | 9.42% |
| Jun 30, 2022 | Robert W. Baird | $100.00 | $74.22 | 34.73% | 30.26% |
The latest MSC Industrial Direct stock forecast, released on Jun 14, 2024 by David Manthey from Robert W. Baird, set a price target of $84.00, which represents a 9.60% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($76.64), and a 9.42% increase from MSM last price ($76.77).
MSC Industrial Direct Price Target by Period
| 1M | 3M | 12M | |
|---|---|---|---|
| # Anlaysts | - | - | 4 |
| Avg Price Target | - | - | $110.25 |
| Last Closing Price | $76.77 | $76.77 | $76.77 |
| Upside/Downside | -100.00% | -100.00% | 43.61% |
In the current month, the average price target of MSC Industrial Direct stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to MSC Industrial Direct's last price of $76.77. This month's average price target is down NaN% compared to last quarter, and down -100.00% compared to last year.
Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades
| Date | Company | Previous Rating | New Rating | Rating Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 03, 2024 | Stephens | Hold | Hold | Hold |
| Jul 03, 2024 | Loop Capital Markets | Underperform | Underperform | Hold |
| Jun 17, 2024 | Stephens | Neutral | Neutral | Hold |
| Jun 17, 2024 | Robert W. Baird | Underperform | Underperform | Hold |
| Jun 17, 2024 | Loop Capital Markets | Buy | Hold | Downgrade |
| Jun 17, 2024 | Loop Capital Markets | Buy | Negative | Downgrade |
| Jun 17, 2024 | KeyBanc | Overweight | Sector Weight | Downgrade |
| Mar 28, 2024 | Wells Fargo | Overweight | Overweight | Hold |
| Mar 28, 2024 | Oppenheimer | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
| Dec 28, 2023 | HSBC | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Oct 09, 2023 | Loop Capital Markets | Neutral | Buy | Upgrade |
| Apr 26, 2023 | Cowen & Co. | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
| Apr 21, 2023 | KeyBanc | Overweight | Overweight | Hold |
| Apr 05, 2023 | Loop Capital Markets | Neutral | Neutral | Hold |
| Mar 28, 2023 | Wells Fargo | Overweight | Overweight | Hold |
| Jun 29, 2022 | William Blair | Market Perform | Downgrade |
MSC Industrial Direct's last stock rating was published by Stephens on Jul 03, 2024. The company gave MSM a "Hold" rating, the same as its previous rate.
MSC Industrial Direct Financial Forecast
MSC Industrial Direct Revenue Forecast
| Aug 26 | May 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Aug 25 | May 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Aug 24 | May 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Aug 23 | May 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | Jun 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $935.35M | - | - | - | $961.63M | $957.75M | $1.02B | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $866.55M |
| Avg Forecast | $1.01B | $1.03B | $948.73M | $947.66M | $973.15M | $985.72M | $906.86M | $904.90M | $959.74M | $979.10M | $946.55M | $971.31M | $1.01B | $1.02B | $934.07M | $941.27M | $1.01B | $960.51M | $855.96M | $838.96M | $837.62M | $847.22M | $778.77M | $770.19M | $747.98M | $818.88M | $792.56M | $818.94M | $837.49M | $880.83M |
| High Forecast | $1.01B | $1.03B | $953.81M | $952.73M | $978.36M | $991.00M | $912.16M | $906.79M | $960.14M | $979.10M | $946.55M | $974.49M | $1.01B | $1.02B | $939.07M | $1.13B | $1.01B | $960.51M | $855.96M | $838.96M | $837.62M | $847.22M | $778.77M | $770.19M | $747.98M | $818.88M | $792.56M | $818.94M | $837.49M | $880.83M |
| Low Forecast | $995.10M | $1.01B | $936.03M | $934.97M | $960.12M | $972.53M | $895.16M | $896.89M | $959.35M | $979.10M | $946.55M | $965.71M | $998.80M | $1.01B | $921.56M | $753.02M | $1.01B | $960.51M | $855.96M | $838.96M | $837.62M | $847.22M | $778.77M | $770.19M | $747.98M | $818.88M | $792.56M | $818.94M | $837.49M | $880.83M |
| # Analysts | 6 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 3 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.99% | - | - | - | 1.03% | 1.02% | 1.01% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.98% |
MSC Industrial Direct's average Quarter revenue forecast for May 24 based on 7 analysts is $979.10M, with a low forecast of $979.10M, and a high forecast of $979.10M. MSM's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a 4.68% increase compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $935.35M (Mar 24).
MSC Industrial Direct EBITDA Forecast
| Aug 26 | May 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Aug 25 | May 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Aug 24 | May 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Aug 23 | May 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | Jun 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 6 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 3 |
| EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $91.19M | - | - | - | $132.57M | $135.43M | $137.69M | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $127.05M |
| Avg Forecast | $134.21M | $136.41M | $126.24M | $126.10M | $129.49M | $131.16M | $120.67M | $120.41M | $127.71M | $130.28M | $130.75M | $129.25M | $133.92M | $135.62M | $118.86M | $112.35M | $137.80M | $131.34M | $108.06M | $114.72M | $114.54M | $115.85M | $44.74M | $105.32M | $102.28M | $111.97M | $93.94M | $111.98M | $114.52M | $120.45M |
| High Forecast | $134.93M | $137.14M | $126.92M | $126.77M | $130.19M | $131.87M | $121.38M | $120.66M | $127.76M | $130.28M | $156.90M | $129.67M | $134.66M | $136.34M | $142.64M | $134.81M | $137.80M | $131.34M | $129.67M | $114.72M | $114.54M | $115.85M | $53.69M | $105.32M | $102.28M | $111.97M | $112.73M | $111.98M | $114.52M | $120.45M |
| Low Forecast | $132.41M | $134.59M | $124.55M | $124.41M | $127.76M | $129.41M | $119.11M | $119.34M | $127.66M | $130.28M | $104.60M | $128.50M | $132.90M | $133.80M | $95.09M | $89.88M | $137.80M | $131.34M | $86.45M | $114.72M | $114.54M | $115.85M | $35.79M | $105.32M | $102.28M | $111.97M | $75.15M | $111.98M | $114.52M | $120.45M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.70% | - | - | - | 1.12% | 1.21% | 1.00% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.05% |
7 analysts predict MSM's average Quarter EBITDA for May 24 to be $130.28M, with a high of $130.28M and a low of $130.28M. This is 42.86% upper than MSC Industrial Direct's previous annual EBITDA (Mar 24) of $91.19M.
MSC Industrial Direct Net Income Forecast
| Aug 26 | May 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Aug 25 | May 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Aug 24 | May 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Aug 23 | May 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | Jun 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 6 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 3 |
| Net Income | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $61.85M | - | - | - | $79.14M | $81.31M | $104.13M | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $79.60M |
| Avg Forecast | $62.74M | $61.73M | $48.35M | $49.70M | $60.79M | $61.17M | $40.22M | $40.93M | $60.29M | $74.66M | $79.76M | $73.04M | $91.21M | $98.38M | $72.51M | $69.01M | $100.39M | $97.89M | $65.92M | $67.62M | $71.63M | $77.48M | $17.91M | $60.62M | $53.07M | $65.50M | $54.94M | $65.71M | $69.31M | $84.03M |
| High Forecast | $63.18M | $62.16M | $48.69M | $50.05M | $61.21M | $61.60M | $43.01M | $42.62M | $60.50M | $75.07M | $95.71M | $79.74M | $92.90M | $99.06M | $87.01M | $82.81M | $100.39M | $97.89M | $79.10M | $67.62M | $72.36M | $77.48M | $21.49M | $60.62M | $53.07M | $65.50M | $65.93M | $65.71M | $69.31M | $84.03M |
| Low Forecast | $61.65M | $60.66M | $47.51M | $48.84M | $59.73M | $60.11M | $36.31M | $39.25M | $60.07M | $74.24M | $63.81M | $68.58M | $89.52M | $96.67M | $58.01M | $55.21M | $100.39M | $97.89M | $52.73M | $67.62M | $70.90M | $77.48M | $14.33M | $60.62M | $53.07M | $65.50M | $43.95M | $65.71M | $69.31M | $84.03M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.78% | - | - | - | 1.09% | 1.18% | 1.04% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.95% |
MSC Industrial Direct's average Quarter net income forecast for May 24 is $74.66M, with a range of $74.24M to $75.07M. MSM's average Quarter net income forecast represents a 20.71% increase compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $61.85M (Mar 24).
MSC Industrial Direct SG&A Forecast
| Aug 26 | May 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Aug 25 | May 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Aug 24 | May 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Aug 23 | May 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | Jun 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 6 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 3 |
| SG&A | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Avg Forecast | $235.31M | $239.17M | $221.34M | $221.09M | $227.04M | $229.97M | $211.57M | $211.11M | $223.91M | $228.42M | $220.83M | $226.61M | $234.79M | $237.78M | $217.92M | $219.60M | $295.84M | $281.97M | $251.28M | $246.29M | $245.90M | $248.71M | $228.62M | $226.10M | $219.58M | $240.40M | $232.67M | $240.41M | $245.86M | $258.58M |
| High Forecast | $236.57M | $240.45M | $222.52M | $222.27M | $228.25M | $231.20M | $212.81M | $211.56M | $224.00M | $228.42M | $220.83M | $227.35M | $236.10M | $239.05M | $219.08M | $263.52M | $295.84M | $281.97M | $251.28M | $246.29M | $245.90M | $248.71M | $228.62M | $226.10M | $219.58M | $240.40M | $232.67M | $240.41M | $245.86M | $258.58M |
| Low Forecast | $232.16M | $235.97M | $218.38M | $218.13M | $224.00M | $226.89M | $208.84M | $209.25M | $223.82M | $228.42M | $220.83M | $225.30M | $233.02M | $234.60M | $215.00M | $175.68M | $295.84M | $281.97M | $251.28M | $246.29M | $245.90M | $248.71M | $228.62M | $226.10M | $219.58M | $240.40M | $232.67M | $240.41M | $245.86M | $258.58M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
MSC Industrial Direct's average Quarter SG&A projection for undefined is $NaN, based on undefined Wall Street analysts, with a range of $NaN to $NaN. The forecast indicates a NaN% fall compared to MSM last annual SG&A of $NaN (undefined).
MSC Industrial Direct EPS Forecast
| Aug 26 | May 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Aug 25 | May 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Aug 24 | May 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Aug 23 | May 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | Jun 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 6 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 3 |
| EPS | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $1.10 | - | - | - | $1.42 | $1.45 | $1.86 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $1.44 |
| Avg Forecast | $1.12 | $1.10 | $0.86 | $0.88 | $1.08 | $1.09 | $0.72 | $0.73 | $1.07 | $1.33 | $1.16 | $1.30 | $1.62 | $1.75 | $1.35 | $1.95 | $1.78 | $1.74 | $1.23 | $1.20 | $1.27 | $1.38 | $1.02 | $1.08 | $0.94 | $1.16 | $1.00 | $1.17 | $1.23 | $1.49 |
| High Forecast | $1.12 | $1.11 | $0.87 | $0.89 | $1.09 | $1.10 | $0.76 | $0.76 | $1.08 | $1.34 | $1.16 | $1.42 | $1.65 | $1.76 | $1.39 | $1.97 | $1.78 | $1.74 | $1.23 | $1.20 | $1.28 | $1.38 | $1.02 | $1.08 | $0.94 | $1.16 | $1.00 | $1.17 | $1.23 | $1.49 |
| Low Forecast | $1.10 | $1.08 | $0.85 | $0.87 | $1.06 | $1.07 | $0.65 | $0.70 | $1.07 | $1.32 | $1.16 | $1.22 | $1.59 | $1.72 | $1.31 | $1.92 | $1.78 | $1.74 | $1.23 | $1.20 | $1.26 | $1.38 | $1.02 | $1.08 | $0.94 | $1.16 | $1.00 | $1.17 | $1.23 | $1.49 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.95% | - | - | - | 1.05% | 0.74% | 1.04% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.97% |
According to 7 Wall Street analysts, MSC Industrial Direct's projected average Quarter EPS for May 24 is $1.33, with a low estimate of $1.32 and a high estimate of $1.34. This represents a 20.71% increase compared to MSM previous annual EPS of $1.10 (Mar 24).
MSC Industrial Direct Peer Comparison by Price Target
| Ticker | Company | Last Closing Price | Avg Price Target | Upside/Downside | Avg Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSM | MSC Industrial Direct | $81.34 | $105.71 | 29.96% | Buy |
| FERG | Ferguson | $185.05 | $224.86 | 21.51% | Buy |
| BXC | BlueLinx | $116.36 | $135.00 | 16.02% | Buy |
| SITE | SiteOne Landscape Supply | $140.20 | $154.00 | 9.84% | Hold |
| FAST | Fastenal Company | $77.64 | $77.80 | 0.21% | Hold |
| CNM | Core & Main | $51.99 | $51.00 | -1.90% | Buy |
| AIT | Applied Industrial | $254.29 | $241.00 | -5.23% | Buy |
| GWW | W.W. Grainger | $1.12K | $1.02K | -8.62% | Buy |
| WSO | Watsco | $508.47 | $457.50 | -10.02% | Hold |