Mercury Systems (MRCY) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions
MRCY Stock Forecast
Mercury Systems stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $43.75 (represents a 10.20% upside from MRCY’s last price of $39.70) and a rating consensus of 'Hold', based on 6 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.
MRCY Price Target
The average price target for Mercury Systems (MRCY) is $43.75 based on 1-year price targets from 6 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $48.00 to $37.00. This represents a potential 10.20% upside from MRCY's last price of $39.70.
MRCY Analyst Ratings
According to 6 Wall Street analysts, Mercury Systems's rating consensus is 'Hold'. The analyst rating breakdown for MRCY stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 2 'Buy' (33.33%), 3 'Hold' (50.00%), 1 'Sell' (16.67%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).
Mercury Systems Price Target by Analyst
| Date | Analyst | Company | Price Target | Price when Published | Price Target/Price when Published | Price Target/Last Closing Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2024 | Sheila Kahyaoglu | Jefferies | $42.00 | $34.28 | 22.52% | 5.79% |
| Aug 19, 2024 | Pete Skibitski | US Capital Advisors | $48.00 | $39.99 | 20.03% | 20.91% |
| Aug 19, 2024 | Peter Skibitski | Alembic Global | $48.00 | $40.26 | 19.24% | 20.91% |
| Aug 14, 2024 | Peter Arment | Robert W. Baird | $37.00 | $34.00 | 8.82% | -6.80% |
| May 09, 2024 | Sheila Kahyaoglu | Jefferies | $24.00 | $28.83 | -16.75% | -39.55% |
| Aug 15, 2023 | Seth Seifman | J.P. Morgan | $37.00 | $34.59 | 6.97% | -6.80% |
| Feb 06, 2023 | Jefferies | $55.00 | $54.90 | 0.18% | 38.54% | |
| Aug 03, 2022 | RBC Capital | $66.00 | $49.79 | 32.56% | 66.25% | |
| May 18, 2022 | Ken Herbert | RBC Capital | $72.00 | $58.77 | 22.51% | 81.36% |
| May 04, 2022 | RBC Capital | $60.00 | $57.83 | 3.76% | 51.13% |
The latest Mercury Systems stock forecast, released on Nov 11, 2024 by Sheila Kahyaoglu from Jefferies, set a price target of $42.00, which represents a 22.52% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($34.28), and a 5.79% increase from MRCY last price ($39.70).
Mercury Systems Price Target by Period
| 1M | 3M | 12M | |
|---|---|---|---|
| # Anlaysts | - | 1 | 5 |
| Avg Price Target | - | $42.00 | $39.80 |
| Last Closing Price | $39.70 | $39.70 | $39.70 |
| Upside/Downside | -100.00% | 5.79% | 0.25% |
In the current month, the average price target of Mercury Systems stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to Mercury Systems's last price of $39.70. This month's average price target is down -100.00% compared to last quarter, and down -100.00% compared to last year.
Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades
| Date | Company | Previous Rating | New Rating | Rating Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2024 | Jefferies | Underperform | Hold | Upgrade |
| Aug 19, 2024 | Alembic Global | Overweight | Upgrade | |
| Aug 12, 2024 | RBC Capital | Sector Perform | Sector Perform | Hold |
| Aug 12, 2024 | Goldman Sachs | Sell | Sell | Hold |
| May 09, 2024 | Jefferies | Underperform | Underperform | Hold |
| Jan 10, 2024 | Goldman Sachs | Sell | Downgrade | |
| Aug 15, 2023 | Jefferies | Hold | Hold | Hold |
| Aug 15, 2023 | Raymond James | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
| Jun 22, 2023 | Credit Suisse | Neutral | Downgrade | |
| Feb 06, 2023 | Jefferies | Hold | Hold | Hold |
| Dec 16, 2022 | RBC Capital | Outperform | Sector Perform | Downgrade |
| Aug 03, 2022 | RBC Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
| May 18, 2022 | RBC Capital | Outperform | Upgrade |
Mercury Systems's last stock rating was published by Jefferies on Nov 11, 2024. The company Upgrade its MRCY rating from "Underperform" to "Hold".
Mercury Systems Financial Forecast
Mercury Systems Revenue Forecast
| Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | Jun 19 | Mar 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $197.46M | $180.99M | $253.24M | $263.48M | $229.59M | $227.58M | $289.73M | $253.07M | $220.38M | $225.01M | $250.84M | $256.86M | - | $205.62M | $217.38M | $208.02M | $193.91M | $177.30M | $176.96M | $174.64M |
| Avg Forecast | $264.92M | $223.76M | $191.16M | $207.42M | $253.07M | $211.11M | $182.36M | $181.69M | $234.31M | $214.32M | $212.83M | $218.52M | $278.76M | $253.61M | $232.51M | $217.95M | $307.37M | $249.11M | $222.19M | $215.34M | $243.27M | $253.25M | $209.17M | $199.56M | $212.24M | $199.06M | $192.52M | $168.00M | $172.08M | $164.81M |
| High Forecast | $274.12M | $231.54M | $197.80M | $214.63M | $261.86M | $213.45M | $189.51M | $188.00M | $235.95M | $214.32M | $222.45M | $224.97M | $288.44M | $262.42M | $240.58M | $217.95M | $307.37M | $249.11M | $222.19M | $215.34M | $243.27M | $253.25M | $209.17M | $199.56M | $212.24M | $199.06M | $192.52M | $168.00M | $172.08M | $164.81M |
| Low Forecast | $258.15M | $218.05M | $186.28M | $202.13M | $246.60M | $209.61M | $175.82M | $177.05M | $232.66M | $214.32M | $197.61M | $204.41M | $271.64M | $247.13M | $226.57M | $217.95M | $307.37M | $249.11M | $222.19M | $215.34M | $243.27M | $253.25M | $209.17M | $199.56M | $212.24M | $199.06M | $192.52M | $168.00M | $172.08M | $164.81M |
| # Analysts | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.93% | 0.83% | 0.91% | 1.04% | 0.99% | 1.04% | 0.94% | 1.02% | 0.99% | 1.04% | 1.03% | 1.01% | - | 1.03% | 1.02% | 1.05% | 1.01% | 1.06% | 1.03% | 1.06% |
Mercury Systems's average Quarter revenue forecast for Mar 24 based on 4 analysts is $214.32M, with a low forecast of $214.32M, and a high forecast of $214.32M. MRCY's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a 8.54% increase compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $197.46M (Dec 23).
Mercury Systems EBITDA Forecast
| Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | Jun 19 | Mar 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
| EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $-32.62M | $-8.66M | $19.02M | $29.70M | $23.76M | $16.90M | $57.30M | $41.44M | $22.37M | $14.50M | $42.50M | $41.51M | - | $30.99M | $40.69M | $41.64M | $33.33M | $28.61M | $26.33M | $33.52M |
| Avg Forecast | $27.61M | $23.32M | $19.92M | $21.62M | $26.37M | $22.00M | $19.00M | $18.93M | $24.42M | $40.50M | $22.18M | $22.77M | $29.05M | $36.81M | $26.36M | $24.96M | $35.20M | $33.47M | $25.45M | $24.66M | $27.86M | $40.85M | $23.96M | $22.85M | $24.31M | $35.23M | $22.05M | $19.24M | $19.71M | $29.79M |
| High Forecast | $28.57M | $24.13M | $20.61M | $22.37M | $27.29M | $22.24M | $19.75M | $19.59M | $24.59M | $48.59M | $23.18M | $23.45M | $30.06M | $44.18M | $31.63M | $24.96M | $35.20M | $40.16M | $25.45M | $24.66M | $27.86M | $49.02M | $23.96M | $22.85M | $24.31M | $42.28M | $22.05M | $19.24M | $19.71M | $35.75M |
| Low Forecast | $26.90M | $22.72M | $19.41M | $21.06M | $25.70M | $21.84M | $18.32M | $18.45M | $24.25M | $32.40M | $20.59M | $21.30M | $28.31M | $29.45M | $21.09M | $24.96M | $35.20M | $26.77M | $25.45M | $24.66M | $27.86M | $32.68M | $23.96M | $22.85M | $24.31M | $28.19M | $22.05M | $19.24M | $19.71M | $23.83M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | -1.47% | -0.38% | 0.65% | 0.81% | 0.90% | 0.68% | 1.63% | 1.24% | 0.88% | 0.59% | 1.53% | 1.02% | - | 1.36% | 1.67% | 1.18% | 1.51% | 1.49% | 1.34% | 1.13% |
8 analysts predict MRCY's average Quarter EBITDA for Sep 23 to be $22.77M, with a high of $23.45M and a low of $21.30M. This is 19.76% upper than Mercury Systems's previous annual EBITDA (Jun 23) of $19.02M.
Mercury Systems Net Income Forecast
| Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | Jun 19 | Mar 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
| Net Income | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $-45.58M | $-36.71M | $-8.24M | $5.16M | $-10.92M | $-14.34M | $16.91M | $4.14M | $-2.64M | $-7.14M | $17.93M | $15.63M | - | $15.80M | $27.22M | $23.57M | $15.68M | $19.25M | $12.80M | $14.11M |
| Avg Forecast | $19.81M | $12.09M | $6.99M | $4.89M | $13.59M | $5.57M | $-2.78M | $-4.47M | $-323.69K | $5.18M | $4.34M | $10.42M | $30.49M | $4.71M | $-3.11M | $12.12M | $57.59M | $4.28M | $23.90M | $23.00M | $39.08M | $15.39M | $29.47M | $27.27M | $33.03M | $19.94M | $27.90M | $23.76M | $25.66M | $12.54M |
| High Forecast | $20.70M | $12.63M | $7.31M | $5.11M | $14.21M | $8.75M | $1.39M | $-4.32M | $-312.94K | $6.21M | $11.15M | $15.63M | $31.87M | $5.65M | $-2.49M | $12.12M | $57.59M | $5.14M | $23.90M | $23.00M | $39.08M | $18.46M | $29.47M | $27.27M | $33.03M | $23.93M | $27.90M | $23.76M | $25.66M | $15.05M |
| Low Forecast | $19.15M | $11.69M | $6.76M | $4.73M | $13.14M | $2.39M | $-4.87M | $-4.67M | $-338.31K | $4.14M | $-4.96M | $4.63M | $29.48M | $3.77M | $-3.73M | $12.12M | $57.59M | $3.42M | $23.90M | $23.00M | $39.08M | $12.31M | $29.47M | $27.27M | $33.03M | $15.95M | $27.90M | $23.76M | $25.66M | $10.03M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | -10.51% | -3.52% | -0.27% | 1.10% | 3.51% | -1.18% | 0.29% | 0.97% | -0.11% | -0.31% | 0.46% | 1.02% | - | 0.58% | 0.82% | 1.18% | 0.56% | 0.81% | 0.50% | 1.13% |
Mercury Systems's average Quarter net income forecast for Jun 23 is $30.49M, with a range of $29.48M to $31.87M. MRCY's average Quarter net income forecast represents a 491.33% increase compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $5.16M (Mar 23).
Mercury Systems SG&A Forecast
| Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | Jun 19 | Mar 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
| SG&A | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $44.47M | $35.79M | $32.01M | $44.63M | $45.06M | $38.94M | $44.02M | $39.26M | $36.81M | $36.96M | $31.59M | $38.25M | - | $32.90M | $35.49M | $33.99M | $32.80M | $29.97M | $30.75M | $27.41M |
| Avg Forecast | $44.24M | $37.37M | $31.92M | $34.64M | $42.26M | $35.25M | $30.45M | $30.34M | $39.13M | $49.12M | $35.54M | $36.49M | $46.55M | $44.65M | $43.38M | $36.40M | $51.33M | $40.59M | $37.10M | $35.96M | $40.62M | $37.64M | $34.93M | $33.32M | $35.44M | $28.76M | $32.15M | $28.05M | $28.74M | $24.37M |
| High Forecast | $45.77M | $38.66M | $33.03M | $35.84M | $43.73M | $35.64M | $31.65M | $31.39M | $39.40M | $58.94M | $37.15M | $37.57M | $48.17M | $53.58M | $52.06M | $36.40M | $51.33M | $48.71M | $37.10M | $35.96M | $40.62M | $45.17M | $34.93M | $33.32M | $35.44M | $34.51M | $32.15M | $28.05M | $28.74M | $29.24M |
| Low Forecast | $43.11M | $36.41M | $31.11M | $33.75M | $41.18M | $35.00M | $29.36M | $29.56M | $38.85M | $39.29M | $33.00M | $34.13M | $45.36M | $35.72M | $34.71M | $36.40M | $51.33M | $32.47M | $37.10M | $35.96M | $40.62M | $30.11M | $34.93M | $33.32M | $35.44M | $23.01M | $32.15M | $28.05M | $28.74M | $19.49M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.25% | 0.98% | 0.69% | 1.00% | 1.04% | 1.07% | 0.86% | 0.97% | 0.99% | 1.03% | 0.78% | 1.02% | - | 0.99% | 1.00% | 1.18% | 1.02% | 1.07% | 1.07% | 1.13% |
Mercury Systems's average Quarter SG&A projection for Mar 24 is $49.12M, based on 4 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $39.29M to $58.94M. The forecast indicates a 10.45% rise compared to MRCY last annual SG&A of $44.47M (Dec 23).
Mercury Systems EPS Forecast
| Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | Jun 19 | Mar 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
| EPS | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $-0.79 | $-0.64 | - | $0.09 | $-0.19 | $-0.26 | $0.30 | $0.07 | $-0.05 | $-0.13 | $0.32 | $0.28 | - | $0.29 | $0.50 | $0.43 | $0.29 | $0.35 | $0.26 | $0.30 |
| Avg Forecast | $0.34 | $0.21 | $0.12 | $0.08 | $0.23 | $0.10 | $-0.05 | $-0.08 | $-0.01 | $-0.02 | $0.07 | $0.18 | $0.52 | $0.37 | $0.33 | $0.21 | $0.99 | $0.58 | $0.41 | $0.40 | $0.67 | $0.62 | $0.51 | $0.47 | $0.57 | $0.52 | $0.48 | $0.41 | $0.44 | $0.45 |
| High Forecast | $0.36 | $0.22 | $0.13 | $0.09 | $0.24 | $0.15 | $0.02 | $-0.07 | $-0.01 | $-0.02 | $0.19 | $0.27 | $0.55 | $0.38 | $0.35 | $0.21 | $0.99 | $0.58 | $0.41 | $0.40 | $0.67 | $0.62 | $0.51 | $0.47 | $0.57 | $0.52 | $0.48 | $0.41 | $0.44 | $0.45 |
| Low Forecast | $0.33 | $0.20 | $0.12 | $0.08 | $0.23 | $0.04 | $-0.08 | $-0.08 | $-0.01 | $-0.02 | $-0.09 | $0.08 | $0.51 | $0.35 | $0.32 | $0.21 | $0.99 | $0.58 | $0.41 | $0.40 | $0.67 | $0.62 | $0.51 | $0.47 | $0.57 | $0.52 | $0.48 | $0.41 | $0.44 | $0.45 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | -10.61% | -3.58% | - | 0.25% | -0.57% | -1.24% | 0.30% | 0.12% | -0.12% | -0.33% | 0.47% | 0.45% | - | 0.62% | 0.88% | 0.82% | 0.60% | 0.85% | 0.59% | 0.66% |
According to 4 Wall Street analysts, Mercury Systems's projected average Quarter EPS for Jun 23 is $0.52, with a low estimate of $0.51 and a high estimate of $0.55. This represents a 481.48% increase compared to MRCY previous annual EPS of $0.09 (Mar 23).
Mercury Systems Peer Comparison by Price Target
| Ticker | Company | Last Closing Price | Avg Price Target | Upside/Downside | Avg Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIR | AAR | $62.80 | $80.00 | 27.39% | Buy |
| MRCY | Mercury Systems | $38.24 | $43.75 | 14.41% | Hold |
| HXL | Hexcel | $63.60 | $69.86 | 9.84% | Hold |
| VSEC | VSE | $109.38 | $115.00 | 5.14% | Buy |
| WWD | Woodward | $172.62 | $178.33 | 3.31% | Hold |
| DCO | Ducommun | $64.29 | $60.00 | -6.67% | Buy |
| CW | Curtiss-Wright | $364.49 | $328.67 | -9.83% | Buy |
| MOG-A | Moog | $198.44 | $131.00 | -33.99% | Buy |