Mercury Systems (MRCY) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions


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MRCY Stock Forecast


Mercury Systems stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $46.33 (represents a 18.89% upside from MRCY’s last price of $38.97) and a rating consensus of 'Hold', based on 6 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.

MRCY Price Target


The average price target for Mercury Systems (MRCY) is $46.33 based on 1-year price targets from 6 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $66.00 to $37.00. This represents a potential 18.89% upside from MRCY's last price of $38.97.

MRCY Analyst Ratings


Hold

According to 6 Wall Street analysts, Mercury Systems's rating consensus is 'Hold'. The analyst rating breakdown for MRCY stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 2 'Buy' (33.33%), 3 'Hold' (50.00%), 1 'Sell' (16.67%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).

Mercury Systems Price Target by Analyst


DateAnalystCompanyPrice TargetPrice when PublishedPrice Target/Price when PublishedPrice Target/Last Closing Price
Nov 11, 2024Sheila KahyaogluJefferies$42.00$34.2822.52%7.78%
Aug 19, 2024Pete SkibitskiUS Capital Advisors$48.00$39.9920.03%23.17%
Aug 19, 2024Peter SkibitskiAlembic Global$48.00$40.2619.24%23.17%
Aug 14, 2024Peter ArmentRobert W. Baird$37.00$34.008.82%-5.06%
May 09, 2024Sheila KahyaogluJefferies$24.00$28.83-16.75%-38.41%
Aug 15, 2023Seth SeifmanJ.P. Morgan$37.00$34.596.97%-5.06%
Feb 06, 2023-Jefferies$55.00$54.900.18%41.13%
Aug 03, 2022-RBC Capital$66.00$49.7932.56%69.36%
May 18, 2022Ken HerbertRBC Capital$72.00$58.7722.51%84.76%
May 04, 2022-RBC Capital$60.00$57.833.76%53.96%
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The latest Mercury Systems stock forecast, released on Nov 11, 2024 by Sheila Kahyaoglu from Jefferies, set a price target of $42.00, which represents a 22.52% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($34.28), and a 7.78% increase from MRCY last price ($38.97).

Mercury Systems Price Target by Period


1M3M12M
# Anlaysts115
Avg Price Target$42.00$42.00$39.80
Last Closing Price$38.97$38.97$38.97
Upside/Downside7.78%7.78%2.13%

In the current month, the average price target of Mercury Systems stock is $42.00, according to 1 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a 7.78% increase as opposed to Mercury Systems's last price of $38.97. This month's average price target is down 0.00% compared to last quarter, and up 5.53% compared to last year.

Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades


DateCompanyPrevious RatingNew RatingRating Change
Nov 11, 2024JefferiesUnderperformHoldUpgrade
Aug 19, 2024Alembic Global-OverweightUpgrade
Aug 12, 2024RBC CapitalSector PerformSector PerformHold
Aug 12, 2024Goldman SachsSellSellHold
May 09, 2024JefferiesUnderperformUnderperformHold
Jan 10, 2024Goldman Sachs-SellDowngrade
Aug 15, 2023JefferiesHoldHoldHold
Aug 15, 2023Raymond JamesOutperformOutperformHold
Jun 22, 2023Credit Suisse-NeutralDowngrade
Feb 06, 2023JefferiesHoldHoldHold
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Mercury Systems's last stock rating was published by Jefferies on Nov 11, 2024. The company Upgrade its MRCY rating from "Underperform" to "Hold".

Mercury Systems Financial Forecast


Mercury Systems Revenue Forecast

Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19Jun 19Mar 19
Revenue----------$197.46M$180.99M$253.24M$263.48M$229.59M$227.58M$289.73M$253.07M$220.38M$225.01M$250.84M$256.86M-$205.62M$217.38M$208.02M$193.91M$177.30M$176.96M$174.64M
Avg Forecast$264.92M$223.76M$191.16M$207.42M$253.07M$211.11M$182.36M$181.69M$234.31M$214.32M$212.83M$218.52M$278.76M$253.61M$232.51M$217.95M$307.37M$249.11M$222.19M$215.34M$243.27M$253.25M$209.17M$199.56M$212.24M$199.06M$192.52M$168.00M$172.08M$164.81M
High Forecast$276.15M$233.25M$199.27M$216.22M$263.80M$213.35M$194.80M$189.39M$235.95M$214.32M$222.45M$224.97M$290.58M$264.37M$242.37M$217.95M$307.37M$249.11M$222.19M$215.34M$243.27M$253.25M$209.17M$199.56M$212.24M$199.06M$192.52M$168.00M$172.08M$164.81M
Low Forecast$256.42M$216.58M$185.03M$200.77M$244.95M$209.51M$172.69M$175.86M$232.66M$214.32M$197.61M$204.41M$269.81M$245.47M$225.05M$217.95M$307.37M$249.11M$222.19M$215.34M$243.27M$253.25M$209.17M$199.56M$212.24M$199.06M$192.52M$168.00M$172.08M$164.81M
# Analysts3322377644684636364747471376686
Surprise %----------0.93%0.83%0.91%1.04%0.99%1.04%0.94%1.02%0.99%1.04%1.03%1.01%-1.03%1.02%1.05%1.01%1.06%1.03%1.06%

Mercury Systems's average Quarter revenue forecast for Mar 24 based on 4 analysts is $214.32M, with a low forecast of $214.32M, and a high forecast of $214.32M. MRCY's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a 8.54% increase compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $197.46M (Dec 23).

Mercury Systems EBITDA Forecast

Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19Jun 19Mar 19
# Analysts3322377644684636364747471376686
EBITDA----------$-32.62M$-8.66M$19.02M$29.70M$23.76M$16.90M$57.30M$41.44M$22.37M$14.50M$42.50M$41.51M-$30.99M$40.69M$41.64M$33.33M$28.61M$26.33M$33.52M
Avg Forecast$27.61M$23.32M$19.92M$21.62M$26.37M$22.00M$19.00M$18.93M$24.42M$40.50M$22.18M$22.77M$29.05M$36.81M$26.36M$24.96M$35.20M$33.47M$25.45M$24.66M$27.86M$40.85M$23.96M$22.85M$24.31M$35.23M$22.05M$19.24M$19.71M$29.79M
High Forecast$28.78M$24.31M$20.77M$22.53M$27.49M$22.23M$20.30M$19.74M$24.59M$48.59M$23.18M$23.45M$30.28M$44.18M$31.63M$24.96M$35.20M$40.16M$25.45M$24.66M$27.86M$49.02M$23.96M$22.85M$24.31M$42.28M$22.05M$19.24M$19.71M$35.75M
Low Forecast$26.72M$22.57M$19.28M$20.92M$25.53M$21.83M$18.00M$18.33M$24.25M$32.40M$20.59M$21.30M$28.12M$29.45M$21.09M$24.96M$35.20M$26.77M$25.45M$24.66M$27.86M$32.68M$23.96M$22.85M$24.31M$28.19M$22.05M$19.24M$19.71M$23.83M
Surprise %-----------1.47%-0.38%0.65%0.81%0.90%0.68%1.63%1.24%0.88%0.59%1.53%1.02%-1.36%1.67%1.18%1.51%1.49%1.34%1.13%

8 analysts predict MRCY's average Quarter EBITDA for Sep 23 to be $22.77M, with a high of $23.45M and a low of $21.30M. This is 19.76% upper than Mercury Systems's previous annual EBITDA (Jun 23) of $19.02M.

Mercury Systems Net Income Forecast

Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19Jun 19Mar 19
# Analysts3322377644684636364747471376686
Net Income----------$-45.58M$-36.71M$-8.24M$5.16M$-10.92M$-14.34M$16.91M$4.14M$-2.64M$-7.14M$17.93M$15.63M-$15.80M$27.22M$23.57M$15.68M$19.25M$12.80M$14.11M
Avg Forecast$19.81M$12.09M$6.99M$4.89M$13.59M$5.57M$-2.78M$-4.47M$-323.69K$5.18M$4.34M$10.42M$30.49M$4.71M$-3.11M$12.12M$57.59M$4.28M$23.90M$23.00M$39.08M$15.39M$29.47M$27.27M$33.03M$19.94M$27.90M$23.76M$25.66M$12.54M
High Forecast$20.90M$12.76M$7.38M$5.16M$14.34M$15.31M$1.39M$-4.28M$-310.19K$6.21M$11.15M$15.63M$32.17M$5.65M$-2.49M$12.12M$57.59M$5.14M$23.90M$23.00M$39.08M$18.46M$29.47M$27.27M$33.03M$23.93M$27.90M$23.76M$25.66M$15.05M
Low Forecast$18.98M$11.58M$6.70M$4.69M$13.03M$-11.13M$-8.00M$-4.71M$-341.54K$4.14M$-4.96M$4.63M$29.22M$3.77M$-3.73M$12.12M$57.59M$3.42M$23.90M$23.00M$39.08M$12.31M$29.47M$27.27M$33.03M$15.95M$27.90M$23.76M$25.66M$10.03M
Surprise %-----------10.51%-3.52%-0.27%1.10%3.51%-1.18%0.29%0.97%-0.11%-0.31%0.46%1.02%-0.58%0.82%1.18%0.56%0.81%0.50%1.13%

Mercury Systems's average Quarter net income forecast for Jun 23 is $30.49M, with a range of $29.22M to $32.17M. MRCY's average Quarter net income forecast represents a 491.33% increase compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $5.16M (Mar 23).

Mercury Systems SG&A Forecast

Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19Jun 19Mar 19
# Analysts3322377644684636364747471376686
SG&A----------$44.47M$35.79M$32.01M$44.63M$45.06M$38.94M$44.02M$39.26M$36.81M$36.96M$31.59M$38.25M-$32.90M$35.49M$33.99M$32.80M$29.97M$30.75M$27.41M
Avg Forecast$44.24M$37.37M$31.92M$34.64M$42.26M$35.25M$30.45M$30.34M$39.13M$49.12M$35.54M$36.49M$46.55M$44.65M$43.38M$36.40M$51.33M$40.59M$37.10M$35.96M$40.62M$37.64M$34.93M$33.32M$35.44M$28.76M$32.15M$28.05M$28.74M$24.37M
High Forecast$46.11M$38.95M$33.28M$36.11M$44.05M$35.63M$32.53M$31.63M$39.40M$58.94M$37.15M$37.57M$48.52M$53.58M$52.06M$36.40M$51.33M$48.71M$37.10M$35.96M$40.62M$45.17M$34.93M$33.32M$35.44M$34.51M$32.15M$28.05M$28.74M$29.24M
Low Forecast$42.82M$36.17M$30.90M$33.53M$40.90M$34.99M$28.84M$29.37M$38.85M$39.29M$33.00M$34.13M$45.06M$35.72M$34.71M$36.40M$51.33M$32.47M$37.10M$35.96M$40.62M$30.11M$34.93M$33.32M$35.44M$23.01M$32.15M$28.05M$28.74M$19.49M
Surprise %----------1.25%0.98%0.69%1.00%1.04%1.07%0.86%0.97%0.99%1.03%0.78%1.02%-0.99%1.00%1.18%1.02%1.07%1.07%1.13%

Mercury Systems's average Quarter SG&A projection for Mar 24 is $49.12M, based on 4 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $39.29M to $58.94M. The forecast indicates a 10.45% rise compared to MRCY last annual SG&A of $44.47M (Dec 23).

Mercury Systems EPS Forecast

Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19Jun 19Mar 19
# Analysts3322377644684636364747471376686
EPS----------$-0.79$-0.64-$0.09$-0.19$-0.26$0.30$0.07$-0.05$-0.13$0.32$0.28-$0.29$0.50$0.43$0.29$0.35$0.26$0.30
Avg Forecast$0.34$0.21$0.12$0.08$0.23$0.10$-0.05$-0.08$-0.01$-0.02$0.07$0.18$0.52$0.37$0.33$0.21$0.99$0.58$0.41$0.40$0.67$0.62$0.51$0.47$0.57$0.52$0.48$0.41$0.44$0.45
High Forecast$0.36$0.22$0.13$0.09$0.25$0.26$0.02$-0.07$-0.01$-0.02$0.19$0.27$0.55$0.39$0.35$0.21$0.99$0.58$0.41$0.40$0.67$0.62$0.51$0.47$0.57$0.52$0.48$0.41$0.44$0.45
Low Forecast$0.33$0.20$0.11$0.08$0.22$-0.19$-0.14$-0.08$-0.01$-0.02$-0.09$0.08$0.50$0.35$0.32$0.21$0.99$0.58$0.41$0.40$0.67$0.62$0.51$0.47$0.57$0.52$0.48$0.41$0.44$0.45
Surprise %-----------10.61%-3.58%-0.25%-0.57%-1.24%0.30%0.12%-0.12%-0.33%0.47%0.45%-0.62%0.88%0.82%0.60%0.85%0.59%0.66%

According to 4 Wall Street analysts, Mercury Systems's projected average Quarter EPS for Jun 23 is $0.52, with a low estimate of $0.50 and a high estimate of $0.55. This represents a 481.48% increase compared to MRCY previous annual EPS of $0.09 (Mar 23).

Mercury Systems Peer Comparison by Price Target


TickerCompanyLast Closing PriceAvg Price TargetUpside/DownsideAvg Rating
MRCYMercury Systems$38.97$46.3318.89%Hold
AIRAAR$67.35$80.0018.78%Buy
HXLHexcel$58.78$67.6215.04%Hold
VSECVSE$115.39$115.00-0.34%Buy
WWDWoodward$170.85$166.80-2.37%Hold
DCODucommun$65.73$60.00-8.72%Buy
CWCurtiss-Wright$361.84$327.20-9.57%Buy
MOG-AMoog$218.19$131.00-39.96%Buy

MRCY Forecast FAQ


Is Mercury Systems a good buy?

No, according to 6 Wall Street analysts, Mercury Systems (MRCY) is considered a 'Hold'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 2 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 33.33% of MRCY's total ratings.

What is MRCY's price target?

Mercury Systems (MRCY) average price target is $46.33 with a range of $37 to $66, implying a 18.89% from its last price of $38.97. The data is based on 6 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.

Will Mercury Systems stock go up soon?

According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for MRCY stock, the company can go up by 18.89% (from the last price of $38.97 to the average price target of $46.33), up by 69.36% based on the highest stock price target, and down by -5.06% based on the lowest stock price target.

Can Mercury Systems stock reach $60?

MRCY's highest twelve months analyst stock price target of $66 supports the claim that Mercury Systems can reach $60 in the near future.

What is Mercury Systems's current price target trend?

1 Wall Street analyst forecast a $42 price target for Mercury Systems (MRCY) this month, up 7.78% from its last price of $38.97. Compared to the last 3 and 12 months, the average price target increased by 7.78% and increased by 2.13%, respectively.

What are Mercury Systems's analysts' financial forecasts?

Mercury Systems's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Jun 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $828.23M (high $861.34M, low $803M), average EBITDA is $86.31M (high $89.76M, low $83.68M), average net income is $11.91M (high $26.76M, low $-10.823M), average SG&A $138.31M (high $143.84M, low $134.09M), and average EPS is $0.204 (high $0.459, low $-0.186). MRCY's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Jun 2026) are as follows: average revenue is $887.27M (high $924.9M, low $858.8M), average EBITDA is $92.46M (high $96.39M, low $89.5M), average net income is $43.78M (high $46.2M, low $41.96M), average SG&A $148.16M (high $154.45M, low $143.41M), and average EPS is $0.751 (high $0.793, low $0.72).

Did the MRCY's actual financial results beat the analysts' financial forecasts?

Based on Mercury Systems's last annual report (Jun 2023), the company's revenue was $973.88M, which missed the average analysts forecast of $982.83M by -0.91%. Apple's EBITDA was $-21.685M, missing the average prediction of $117.19M by -118.50%. The company's net income was $-28.335M, missing the average estimation of $44.2M by -164.10%. Apple's SG&A was $160.64M, missing the average forecast of $170.98M by -6.05%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $-0.5, missing the average prediction of $1.43 by -134.92%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Dec 2023), Mercury Systems's revenue was $197.46M, missing the average analysts' forecast of $212.83M by -7.22%. The company's EBITDA was $-32.622M, missing the average prediction of $22.18M by -247.08%. Mercury Systems's net income was $-45.581M, missing the average estimation of $4.34M by -1150.95%. The company's SG&A was $44.47M, beating the average forecast of $35.54M by 25.12%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $-0.79, missing the average prediction of $0.0744 by -1161.20%