MFA Financial (MFA) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions

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MFA Stock Forecast

MFA Financial stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $14.25 (represents a 38.48% upside from MFA’s last price of $10.29) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 5 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.

MFA Price Target

The average price target for MFA Financial (MFA) is $14.25 based on 1-year price targets from 5 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $14.50 to $14.00. This represents a potential 38.48% upside from MFA's last price of $10.29.

MFA Analyst Ratings

Buy

According to 5 Wall Street analysts, MFA Financial's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for MFA stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 5 'Buy' (100.00%), 0 'Hold' (0.00%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).

MFA Financial Price Target by Analyst

Date	Analyst	Company	Price Target	Price when Published	Price Target/Price when Published	Price Target/Last Closing Price
Sep 19, 2024	Stephen Laws	Raymond James	$14.50	$13.15	10.27%	40.91%
Aug 09, 2024	Jay McCanless	Wedbush	$14.00	$11.70	19.66%	36.05%
Jan 09, 2023	Douglas Harter	Credit Suisse	$12.50	$10.25	21.95%	21.48%
Apr 26, 2022		JMP Securities	$18.00	$13.59	32.45%	74.93%

The latest MFA Financial stock forecast, released on Sep 19, 2024 by Stephen Laws from Raymond James, set a price target of $14.50, which represents a 10.27% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($13.15), and a 40.91% increase from MFA last price ($10.29).

MFA Financial Price Target by Period

	1M	3M	12M
# Anlaysts	-	1	2
Avg Price Target	-	$14.50	$14.25
Last Closing Price	$10.29	$10.29	$10.29
Upside/Downside	-100.00%	40.91%	38.48%

In the current month, the average price target of MFA Financial stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to MFA Financial's last price of $10.29. This month's average price target is down -100.00% compared to last quarter, and down -100.00% compared to last year.

Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades

Date	Company	Previous Rating	New Rating	Rating Change
Sep 19, 2024	Raymond James	Outperform	Outperform	Hold
Sep 06, 2024	JMP Securities	Outperform	Outperform	Hold
Aug 09, 2024	Wedbush	Outperform	Outperform	Hold
Dec 13, 2023	Keefe, Bruyette & Woods		Outperform	Upgrade
Nov 21, 2023	Raymond James	Outperform	Outperform	Hold
Jul 21, 2023	JMP Securities	Outperform	Outperform	Hold
Jan 09, 2023	Credit Suisse		Outperform	Upgrade
Apr 26, 2022	JMP Securities	Market Outperform	Market Outperform	Hold

MFA Financial's last stock rating was published by Raymond James on Sep 19, 2024. The company gave MFA a "Outperform" rating, the same as its previous rate.

MFA Financial Financial Forecast

MFA Financial Revenue Forecast

	Dec 26	Sep 26	Jun 26	Mar 26	Dec 25	Sep 25	Jun 25	Mar 25	Dec 24	Sep 24	Jun 24	Mar 24	Dec 23	Sep 23	Jun 23	Mar 23	Dec 22	Sep 22	Jun 22	Mar 22	Dec 21	Sep 21	Jun 21	Mar 21	Dec 20	Sep 20	Jun 20	Mar 20	Dec 19	Sep 19
Revenue	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	$280.27M	$105.52M	-	$105.09M	$31.32M	$-23.25M	$-37.10M	$-54.86M	$72.56M	$112.04M	$74.62M	$78.00M	$39.03M	$85.41M	$117.25M	$-740.23M	$113.35M	$108.54M
Avg Forecast	$97.46M	$94.53M	$93.00M	$89.83M	$82.35M	$82.22M	$81.25M	$79.24M	$79.25M	$70.15M	$75.73M	$80.01M	$70.77M	$62.55M	$58.18M	$64.07M	$72.74M	$63.85M	$66.43M	$79.65M	$81.35M	$66.15M	$51.32M	$44.65M	$49.69M	$57.76M	$52.91M	$105.18M	$59.00M	$66.90M
High Forecast	$117.26M	$113.73M	$111.89M	$108.08M	$99.08M	$98.92M	$97.76M	$81.14M	$79.34M	$70.20M	$75.73M	$80.01M	$74.41M	$67.12M	$70.00M	$77.09M	$87.52M	$63.85M	$66.43M	$79.65M	$81.35M	$66.15M	$51.32M	$44.65M	$49.69M	$57.76M	$52.91M	$105.18M	$59.00M	$66.90M
Low Forecast	$87.44M	$84.81M	$83.43M	$80.59M	$73.88M	$73.76M	$72.89M	$77.34M	$79.17M	$70.11M	$75.73M	$80.01M	$67.13M	$60.18M	$52.20M	$57.48M	$65.26M	$63.85M	$66.43M	$79.65M	$81.35M	$66.15M	$51.32M	$44.65M	$49.69M	$57.76M	$52.91M	$105.18M	$59.00M	$66.90M
# Analysts	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	3	3	1	1	1	2	3	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	9	9	9	13	13
Surprise %	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3.96%	1.69%	-	1.64%	0.43%	-0.36%	-0.56%	-0.69%	0.89%	1.69%	1.45%	1.75%	0.79%	1.48%	2.22%	-7.04%	1.92%	1.62%

MFA Financial's average Quarter revenue forecast for Mar 24 based on 1 analysts is $80.01M, with a low forecast of $80.01M, and a high forecast of $80.01M. MFA's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a -71.45% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $280.27M (Dec 23).

MFA Financial EBITDA Forecast

	Dec 26	Sep 26	Jun 26	Mar 26	Dec 25	Sep 25	Jun 25	Mar 25	Dec 24	Sep 24	Jun 24	Mar 24	Dec 23	Sep 23	Jun 23	Mar 23	Dec 22	Sep 22	Jun 22	Mar 22	Dec 21	Sep 21	Jun 21	Mar 21	Dec 20	Sep 20	Jun 20	Mar 20	Dec 19	Sep 19
# Analysts	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	3	3	1	1	1	2	3	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	9	9	9	13	13
EBITDA	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	$89.75M	$-56.44M	$-34.27M	$76.74M	$-4.60M	$-56.28M	$49.67M	$-36.31M	$20.39M	$164.88M	$92.27M	$115.59M	$87.99M	$143.17M	$184.96M	$-821.65M	$184.44M	$182.29M
Avg Forecast	$56.25M	$54.55M	$53.67M	$51.84M	$47.52M	$47.45M	$46.89M	$45.73M	$45.74M	$40.49M	$43.70M	$-121.79M	$40.84M	$36.10M	$33.58M	$-130.26M	$41.98M	$29.00M	$30.17M	$-139.32M	$36.94M	$30.04M	$23.31M	$20.27M	$22.57M	$26.23M	$24.02M	$47.76M	$26.79M	$30.38M
High Forecast	$67.67M	$65.63M	$64.57M	$62.37M	$57.18M	$57.09M	$56.41M	$46.82M	$45.78M	$40.51M	$43.70M	$-97.43M	$42.94M	$38.73M	$40.40M	$-104.21M	$50.51M	$29.00M	$30.17M	$-111.45M	$36.94M	$30.04M	$23.31M	$20.27M	$22.57M	$26.23M	$24.02M	$47.76M	$26.79M	$30.38M
Low Forecast	$50.46M	$48.94M	$48.15M	$46.51M	$42.64M	$42.57M	$42.07M	$44.64M	$45.69M	$40.46M	$43.70M	$-146.15M	$38.74M	$34.73M	$30.12M	$-156.31M	$37.66M	$29.00M	$30.17M	$-167.18M	$36.94M	$30.04M	$23.31M	$20.27M	$22.57M	$26.23M	$24.02M	$47.76M	$26.79M	$30.38M
Surprise %	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2.20%	-1.56%	-1.02%	-0.59%	-0.11%	-1.94%	1.65%	0.26%	0.55%	5.49%	3.96%	5.70%	3.90%	5.46%	7.70%	-17.20%	6.88%	6.00%

1 analysts predict MFA's average Quarter EBITDA for Mar 24 to be $-121.79M, with a high of $-97.43M and a low of $-146.15M. This is -235.71% lower than MFA Financial's previous annual EBITDA (Dec 23) of $89.75M.

MFA Financial Net Income Forecast

	Dec 26	Sep 26	Jun 26	Mar 26	Dec 25	Sep 25	Jun 25	Mar 25	Dec 24	Sep 24	Jun 24	Mar 24	Dec 23	Sep 23	Jun 23	Mar 23	Dec 22	Sep 22	Jun 22	Mar 22	Dec 21	Sep 21	Jun 21	Mar 21	Dec 20	Sep 20	Jun 20	Mar 20	Dec 19	Sep 19
# Analysts	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	3	3	1	1	1	2	3	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	9	9	9	13	13
Net Income	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	$89.75M	$-56.44M	$-34.27M	$162.96M	$2.76M	$-58.96M	$-104.30M	$-126.20M	$8.43M	$132.51M	$66.71M	$85.52M	$45.82M	$87.21M	$96.58M	$-909.00M	$100.62M	$95.60M
Avg Forecast	$56.49M	$53.03M	$51.29M	$47.54M	$52.44M	$52.18M	$51.78M	$50.12M	$50.05M	$52.09M	$48.22M	$-278.09M	$48.70M	$55.79M	$47.78M	$-297.42M	$64.71M	$-72.92M	$38.92M	$-318.10M	$48.38M	$45.58M	$42.07M	$40.32M	$27.65M	$24.40M	$113.37M	$44.17M	$82.04M	$79.93M
High Forecast	$71.41M	$67.03M	$64.83M	$60.10M	$66.29M	$65.96M	$65.46M	$51.40M	$63.27M	$52.78M	$48.23M	$-222.47M	$61.56M	$64.24M	$60.40M	$-237.94M	$77.66M	$-72.92M	$38.92M	$-254.48M	$48.38M	$45.58M	$42.07M	$48.38M	$27.65M	$24.40M	$136.05M	$44.17M	$82.04M	$79.93M
Low Forecast	$48.94M	$45.94M	$44.43M	$41.19M	$45.43M	$45.20M	$44.86M	$47.55M	$48.77M	$51.40M	$48.20M	$-333.71M	$47.45M	$35.50M	$41.39M	$-356.91M	$51.77M	$-72.92M	$38.92M	$-381.72M	$48.38M	$45.58M	$42.07M	$32.25M	$27.65M	$24.40M	$90.70M	$44.17M	$82.04M	$79.93M
Surprise %	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1.84%	-1.01%	-0.72%	-0.55%	0.04%	0.81%	-2.68%	0.40%	0.17%	2.91%	1.59%	2.12%	1.66%	3.57%	0.85%	-20.58%	1.23%	1.20%

MFA Financial's average Quarter net income forecast for Mar 24 is $-278.09M, with a range of $-333.71M to $-222.47M. MFA's average Quarter net income forecast represents a -409.86% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $89.75M (Dec 23).

MFA Financial SG&A Forecast

	Dec 26	Sep 26	Jun 26	Mar 26	Dec 25	Sep 25	Jun 25	Mar 25	Dec 24	Sep 24	Jun 24	Mar 24	Dec 23	Sep 23	Jun 23	Mar 23	Dec 22	Sep 22	Jun 22	Mar 22	Dec 21	Sep 21	Jun 21	Mar 21	Dec 20	Sep 20	Jun 20	Mar 20	Dec 19	Sep 19
# Analysts	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	3	3	1	1	1	2	3	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	9	9	9	13	13
SG&A	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	$12.58M	$10.61M	-	$31.02M	$24.84M	$29.88M	$29.57M	$28.25M	$28.68M	$24.87M	$16.77M	$15.23M	$8.92M	$18.27M	$16.23M	$13.47M	$12.73M	$12.94M
Avg Forecast	$27.36M	$26.54M	$26.11M	$25.22M	$23.12M	$23.08M	$22.81M	$22.25M	$22.25M	$19.69M	$21.26M	$22.46M	$19.87M	$17.56M	$16.33M	$17.99M	$42.06M	$18.91M	$19.68M	$23.59M	$24.09M	$19.59M	$15.20M	$7.18M	$14.72M	$17.11M	$19.05M	$31.15M	$17.48M	$19.82M
High Forecast	$32.92M	$31.93M	$31.41M	$30.34M	$27.81M	$27.77M	$27.44M	$22.78M	$22.27M	$19.71M	$21.26M	$22.46M	$20.89M	$18.84M	$19.65M	$21.64M	$50.47M	$18.91M	$19.68M	$23.59M	$24.09M	$19.59M	$15.20M	$8.62M	$14.72M	$17.11M	$22.86M	$31.15M	$17.48M	$19.82M
Low Forecast	$24.55M	$23.81M	$23.42M	$22.63M	$20.74M	$20.71M	$20.46M	$21.71M	$22.23M	$19.68M	$21.26M	$22.46M	$18.85M	$16.90M	$14.65M	$16.14M	$33.65M	$18.91M	$19.68M	$23.59M	$24.09M	$19.59M	$15.20M	$5.74M	$14.72M	$17.11M	$15.24M	$31.15M	$17.48M	$19.82M
Surprise %	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0.63%	0.60%	-	1.72%	0.59%	1.58%	1.50%	1.20%	1.19%	1.27%	1.10%	2.12%	0.61%	1.07%	0.85%	0.43%	0.73%	0.65%

MFA Financial's average Quarter SG&A projection for Mar 24 is $22.46M, based on 1 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $22.46M to $22.46M. The forecast indicates a 78.56% rise compared to MFA last annual SG&A of $12.58M (Dec 23).

MFA Financial EPS Forecast

	Dec 26	Sep 26	Jun 26	Mar 26	Dec 25	Sep 25	Jun 25	Mar 25	Dec 24	Sep 24	Jun 24	Mar 24	Dec 23	Sep 23	Jun 23	Mar 23	Dec 22	Sep 22	Jun 22	Mar 22	Dec 21	Sep 21	Jun 21	Mar 21	Dec 20	Sep 20	Jun 20	Mar 20	Dec 19	Sep 19
# Analysts	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	3	3	1	1	1	2	3	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	9	9	9	13	13
EPS	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	$0.80	$-0.64	-	$1.60	$0.03	$-0.58	$-1.02	$-1.18	$0.08	$0.28	$0.13	$0.68	$0.10	$0.68	$0.76	$-8.08	$0.21	$0.80
Avg Forecast	$0.45	$0.42	$0.40	$0.37	$0.41	$0.41	$0.41	$0.40	$0.39	$0.41	$0.38	$0.39	$0.38	$0.44	$0.38	$0.31	$0.25	$-0.69	$0.37	$0.39	$0.46	$0.43	$0.40	$0.33	$0.26	$0.23	$0.93	$0.42	$0.78	$0.76
High Forecast	$0.56	$0.53	$0.51	$0.47	$0.52	$0.52	$0.52	$0.41	$0.50	$0.42	$0.38	$0.50	$0.49	$0.51	$0.48	$0.39	$0.32	$-0.69	$0.37	$0.39	$0.46	$0.43	$0.40	$0.33	$0.26	$0.23	$0.93	$0.42	$0.78	$0.76
Low Forecast	$0.39	$0.36	$0.35	$0.32	$0.36	$0.36	$0.35	$0.37	$0.38	$0.41	$0.38	$0.34	$0.37	$0.28	$0.33	$0.27	$0.22	$-0.69	$0.37	$0.39	$0.46	$0.43	$0.40	$0.33	$0.26	$0.23	$0.93	$0.42	$0.78	$0.76
Surprise %	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2.08%	-1.45%	-	5.14%	0.11%	0.84%	-2.76%	-3.06%	0.17%	0.65%	0.33%	2.08%	0.38%	2.93%	0.82%	-19.24%	0.27%	1.05%

According to 1 Wall Street analysts, MFA Financial's projected average Quarter EPS for Mar 24 is $0.39, with a low estimate of $0.34 and a high estimate of $0.50. This represents a -50.93% decrease compared to MFA previous annual EPS of $0.80 (Dec 23).

MFA Financial Peer Comparison by Price Target

Ticker	Company	Last Closing Price	Avg Price Target	Upside/Downside	Avg Rating
NYMT	New York Mortgage Trust	$6.37	$12.25	92.31%	Hold
ARI	Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance	$9.06	$13.50	49.01%
MFA	MFA Financial	$10.73	$14.25	32.81%	Buy
TWO	Two Harbors Investment	$11.81	$15.00	27.01%	Buy
AGNC	AGNC Investment	$9.57	$11.33	18.39%	Buy
NLY	Annaly Capital Management	$19.48	$21.50	10.37%	Buy
EFC	Ellington Financial	$12.28	$13.50	9.93%	Buy
ACRE	Ares Commercial Real Estate	$6.57	$7.00	6.54%	Hold
IVR	Invesco Mortgage Capital	$8.49	$8.00	-5.77%	Hold
ARR	ARMOUR Residential REIT	$19.03	$11.50	-39.57%	Hold
CIM	Chimera Investment	$14.86	$7.25	-51.21%	Hold

MFA Forecast FAQ

Is MFA Financial a good buy?

Yes, according to 5 Wall Street analysts, MFA Financial (MFA) is considered a 'Buy'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 5 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 100.00% of MFA's total ratings.

What is MFA's price target?

MFA Financial (MFA) average price target is $14.25 with a range of $14 to $14.5, implying a 38.48% from its last price of $10.29. The data is based on 5 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.

Will MFA Financial stock go up soon?

According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for MFA stock, the company can go up by 38.48% (from the last price of $10.29 to the average price target of $14.25), up by 40.91% based on the highest stock price target, and up by 36.05% based on the lowest stock price target.

Can MFA Financial stock reach $20?

MFA's average twelve months analyst stock price target of $14.25 does not support the claim that MFA Financial can reach $20 in the near future.

What are MFA Financial's analysts' financial forecasts?

MFA Financial's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $325.06M (high $376.89M, low $297.88M), average EBITDA is $187.59M (high $217.5M, low $171.91M), average net income is $206.51M (high $249.1M, low $183.03M), average SG&A $91.26M (high $105.81M, low $83.63M), and average EPS is $1.63 (high $1.96, low $1.44). MFA's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2026) are as follows: average revenue is $374.83M (high $450.97M, low $336.28M), average EBITDA is $216.31M (high $260.25M, low $194.06M), average net income is $208.35M (high $263.37M, low $180.49M), average SG&A $105.23M (high $126.61M, low $94.41M), and average EPS is $1.64 (high $2.08, low $1.42).

Did the MFA's actual financial results beat the analysts' financial forecasts?

Based on MFA Financial's last annual report (Dec 2023), the company's revenue was $749.02M, beating the average analysts forecast of $255.58M by 193.07%. Apple's EBITDA was $80.16M, missing the average prediction of $-19.745M by -506.00%. The company's net income was $80.16M, missing the average estimation of $-145M by -155.23%. Apple's SG&A was $44.15M, missing the average forecast of $71.75M by -38.47%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $0.46, missing the average prediction of $1.51 by -69.58%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Dec 2023), MFA Financial's revenue was $280.28M, beating the average analysts' forecast of $70.77M by 296.04%. The company's EBITDA was $89.75M, beating the average prediction of $40.84M by 119.75%. MFA Financial's net income was $89.75M, beating the average estimation of $48.7M by 84.29%. The company's SG&A was $12.58M, missing the average forecast of $19.87M by -36.68%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $0.8, beating the average prediction of $0.384 by 108.30%