MFA Financial (MFA) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions
MFA Stock Forecast
MFA Financial stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $14.75 (represents a 33.24% upside from MFA’s last price of $11.07) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 5 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.
MFA Price Target
The average price target for MFA Financial (MFA) is $14.75 based on 1-year price targets from 5 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $18.00 to $12.50. This represents a potential 33.24% upside from MFA's last price of $11.07.
MFA Analyst Ratings
According to 5 Wall Street analysts, MFA Financial's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for MFA stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 5 'Buy' (100.00%), 0 'Hold' (0.00%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).
MFA Financial Price Target by Analyst
| Date | Analyst | Company | Price Target | Price when Published | Price Target/Price when Published | Price Target/Last Closing Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2024 | Stephen Laws | Raymond James | $14.50 | $13.15 | 10.27% | 30.98% |
| Aug 09, 2024 | Jay McCanless | Wedbush | $14.00 | $11.70 | 19.66% | 26.47% |
| Jan 09, 2023 | Douglas Harter | Credit Suisse | $12.50 | $10.25 | 21.95% | 12.92% |
| Apr 26, 2022 | - | JMP Securities | $18.00 | $13.59 | 32.45% | 62.60% |
The latest MFA Financial stock forecast, released on Sep 19, 2024 by Stephen Laws from Raymond James, set a price target of $14.50, which represents a 10.27% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($13.15), and a 30.98% increase from MFA last price ($11.07).
MFA Financial Price Target by Period
| 1M | 3M | 12M | |
|---|---|---|---|
| # Anlaysts | - | 1 | 2 |
| Avg Price Target | - | $14.50 | $14.25 |
| Last Closing Price | $11.07 | $11.07 | $11.07 |
| Upside/Downside | -100.00% | 30.98% | 28.73% |
In the current month, the average price target of MFA Financial stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to MFA Financial's last price of $11.07. This month's average price target is down -100.00% compared to last quarter, and down -100.00% compared to last year.
Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades
| Date | Company | Previous Rating | New Rating | Rating Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2024 | Raymond James | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
| Sep 06, 2024 | JMP Securities | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
| Aug 09, 2024 | Wedbush | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
| Dec 13, 2023 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | - | Outperform | Upgrade |
| Nov 21, 2023 | Raymond James | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
| Jul 21, 2023 | JMP Securities | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
| Jan 09, 2023 | Credit Suisse | - | Outperform | Upgrade |
| Apr 26, 2022 | JMP Securities | Market Outperform | Market Outperform | Hold |
MFA Financial's last stock rating was published by Raymond James on Sep 19, 2024. The company gave MFA a "Outperform" rating, the same as its previous rate.
MFA Financial Financial Forecast
MFA Financial Revenue Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $280.27M | $105.52M | - | $105.09M | $31.32M | $-23.25M | $-37.10M | $-54.86M | $72.56M | $112.04M | $74.62M | $78.00M | $39.03M | $85.41M | $117.25M | $-740.23M | $113.35M | $108.54M |
| Avg Forecast | $97.46M | $94.53M | $93.00M | $89.83M | $77.71M | $77.16M | $75.74M | $73.48M | $73.94M | $70.15M | $75.73M | $80.01M | $70.77M | $62.55M | $58.18M | $64.07M | $72.74M | $63.85M | $66.43M | $79.65M | $81.35M | $66.15M | $51.32M | $44.65M | $49.69M | $57.76M | $52.91M | $105.18M | $59.00M | $66.90M |
| High Forecast | $108.99M | $105.71M | $104.00M | $100.46M | $86.90M | $86.29M | $84.70M | $77.07M | $79.45M | $70.20M | $75.73M | $80.01M | $74.41M | $67.12M | $65.07M | $71.65M | $81.35M | $63.85M | $66.43M | $79.65M | $81.35M | $66.15M | $51.32M | $44.65M | $49.69M | $57.76M | $52.91M | $105.18M | $59.00M | $66.90M |
| Low Forecast | $88.04M | $85.39M | $84.01M | $81.15M | $70.20M | $69.70M | $68.41M | $69.89M | $68.44M | $70.11M | $75.73M | $80.01M | $67.13M | $60.18M | $52.56M | $57.88M | $65.71M | $63.85M | $66.43M | $79.65M | $81.35M | $66.15M | $51.32M | $44.65M | $49.69M | $57.76M | $52.91M | $105.18M | $59.00M | $66.90M |
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 13 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3.96% | 1.69% | - | 1.64% | 0.43% | -0.36% | -0.56% | -0.69% | 0.89% | 1.69% | 1.45% | 1.75% | 0.79% | 1.48% | 2.22% | -7.04% | 1.92% | 1.62% |
MFA Financial's average Quarter revenue forecast for Mar 24 based on 1 analysts is $80.01M, with a low forecast of $80.01M, and a high forecast of $80.01M. MFA's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a -71.45% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $280.27M (Dec 23).
MFA Financial EBITDA Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 13 |
| EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $89.75M | $-56.44M | $-34.27M | $76.74M | $-4.60M | $-56.28M | $49.67M | $-36.31M | $20.39M | $164.88M | $92.27M | $115.59M | $87.99M | $143.17M | $184.96M | $-821.65M | $184.44M | $182.29M |
| Avg Forecast | $44.26M | $42.93M | $42.23M | $40.79M | $35.29M | $35.04M | $34.39M | $33.37M | $33.58M | $31.86M | $34.39M | $-121.79M | $32.14M | $28.40M | $26.42M | $-130.26M | $33.03M | $29.00M | $30.17M | $-139.32M | $36.94M | $30.04M | $23.31M | $20.27M | $22.57M | $26.23M | $24.02M | $47.76M | $26.79M | $30.38M |
| High Forecast | $49.49M | $48.00M | $47.23M | $45.62M | $39.46M | $39.18M | $38.46M | $35.00M | $36.08M | $31.88M | $34.39M | $-97.43M | $33.79M | $30.48M | $29.55M | $-104.21M | $36.94M | $29.00M | $30.17M | $-111.45M | $36.94M | $30.04M | $23.31M | $20.27M | $22.57M | $26.23M | $24.02M | $47.76M | $26.79M | $30.38M |
| Low Forecast | $39.98M | $38.77M | $38.15M | $36.85M | $31.88M | $31.65M | $31.07M | $31.74M | $31.08M | $31.84M | $34.39M | $-146.15M | $30.48M | $27.33M | $23.87M | $-156.31M | $29.84M | $29.00M | $30.17M | $-167.18M | $36.94M | $30.04M | $23.31M | $20.27M | $22.57M | $26.23M | $24.02M | $47.76M | $26.79M | $30.38M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2.79% | -1.99% | -1.30% | -0.59% | -0.14% | -1.94% | 1.65% | 0.26% | 0.55% | 5.49% | 3.96% | 5.70% | 3.90% | 5.46% | 7.70% | -17.20% | 6.88% | 6.00% |
1 analysts predict MFA's average Quarter EBITDA for Mar 24 to be $-121.79M, with a high of $-97.43M and a low of $-146.15M. This is -235.71% lower than MFA Financial's previous annual EBITDA (Dec 23) of $89.75M.
MFA Financial Net Income Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 13 |
| Net Income | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $89.75M | $-56.44M | $-34.27M | $162.96M | $2.76M | $-58.96M | $-104.30M | $-126.20M | $8.43M | $132.51M | $66.71M | $85.52M | $45.82M | $87.21M | $96.58M | $-909.00M | $100.62M | $95.60M |
| Avg Forecast | $56.49M | $53.03M | $51.29M | $47.54M | $53.07M | $52.60M | $51.78M | $50.12M | $49.73M | $52.09M | $48.22M | $-278.09M | $48.70M | $55.79M | $47.78M | $-297.42M | $64.71M | $-72.92M | $38.92M | $-318.10M | $48.38M | $45.58M | $42.07M | $40.32M | $27.65M | $24.40M | $113.37M | $44.17M | $82.04M | $79.93M |
| High Forecast | $65.18M | $61.18M | $59.17M | $54.86M | $61.23M | $60.69M | $59.74M | $57.82M | $57.38M | $52.78M | $48.23M | $-222.47M | $56.19M | $64.24M | $55.13M | $-237.94M | $77.66M | $-72.92M | $38.92M | $-254.48M | $48.38M | $45.58M | $42.07M | $48.38M | $27.65M | $24.40M | $136.05M | $44.17M | $82.04M | $79.93M |
| Low Forecast | $49.39M | $46.36M | $44.84M | $41.57M | $46.40M | $45.99M | $45.27M | $48.86M | $43.48M | $51.40M | $48.20M | $-333.71M | $47.45M | $35.50M | $41.77M | $-356.91M | $51.77M | $-72.92M | $38.92M | $-381.72M | $48.38M | $45.58M | $42.07M | $32.25M | $27.65M | $24.40M | $90.70M | $44.17M | $82.04M | $79.93M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.84% | -1.01% | -0.72% | -0.55% | 0.04% | 0.81% | -2.68% | 0.40% | 0.17% | 2.91% | 1.59% | 2.12% | 1.66% | 3.57% | 0.85% | -20.58% | 1.23% | 1.20% |
MFA Financial's average Quarter net income forecast for Mar 24 is $-278.09M, with a range of $-333.71M to $-222.47M. MFA's average Quarter net income forecast represents a -409.86% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $89.75M (Dec 23).
MFA Financial SG&A Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 13 |
| SG&A | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $12.58M | $10.61M | - | $31.02M | $24.84M | $29.88M | $29.57M | $28.25M | $28.68M | $24.87M | $16.77M | $15.23M | $8.92M | $18.27M | $16.23M | $13.47M | $12.73M | $12.94M |
| Avg Forecast | $28.87M | $28.00M | $27.55M | $26.61M | $23.02M | $22.86M | $22.43M | $21.76M | $21.90M | $20.78M | $22.43M | $23.70M | $20.96M | $18.53M | $17.23M | $18.98M | $42.06M | $18.91M | $19.68M | $23.59M | $24.09M | $19.59M | $15.20M | $7.18M | $14.72M | $17.11M | $19.05M | $31.15M | $17.48M | $19.82M |
| High Forecast | $32.28M | $31.31M | $30.80M | $29.76M | $25.74M | $25.56M | $25.09M | $22.83M | $23.53M | $20.79M | $22.43M | $23.70M | $22.04M | $19.88M | $19.27M | $21.22M | $50.47M | $18.91M | $19.68M | $23.59M | $24.09M | $19.59M | $15.20M | $8.62M | $14.72M | $17.11M | $22.86M | $31.15M | $17.48M | $19.82M |
| Low Forecast | $26.08M | $25.29M | $24.88M | $24.04M | $20.79M | $20.65M | $20.26M | $20.70M | $20.27M | $20.77M | $22.43M | $23.70M | $19.88M | $17.83M | $15.57M | $17.14M | $33.65M | $18.91M | $19.68M | $23.59M | $24.09M | $19.59M | $15.20M | $5.74M | $14.72M | $17.11M | $15.24M | $31.15M | $17.48M | $19.82M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.60% | 0.57% | - | 1.63% | 0.59% | 1.58% | 1.50% | 1.20% | 1.19% | 1.27% | 1.10% | 2.12% | 0.61% | 1.07% | 0.85% | 0.43% | 0.73% | 0.65% |
MFA Financial's average Quarter SG&A projection for Mar 24 is $23.70M, based on 1 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $23.70M to $23.70M. The forecast indicates a 88.39% rise compared to MFA last annual SG&A of $12.58M (Dec 23).
MFA Financial EPS Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 13 |
| EPS | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0.80 | $-0.64 | - | $1.60 | $0.03 | $-0.58 | $-1.02 | $-1.18 | $0.08 | $0.28 | $0.13 | $0.68 | $0.10 | $0.68 | $0.76 | $-8.08 | $0.21 | $0.80 |
| Avg Forecast | $0.45 | $0.42 | $0.40 | $0.37 | $0.42 | $0.41 | $0.41 | $0.40 | $0.39 | $0.41 | $0.38 | $0.39 | $0.38 | $0.44 | $0.38 | $0.31 | $0.25 | $-0.69 | $0.37 | $0.39 | $0.46 | $0.43 | $0.40 | $0.33 | $0.26 | $0.23 | $0.93 | $0.42 | $0.78 | $0.76 |
| High Forecast | $0.51 | $0.48 | $0.47 | $0.43 | $0.48 | $0.48 | $0.47 | $0.46 | $0.45 | $0.42 | $0.38 | $0.45 | $0.44 | $0.51 | $0.43 | $0.36 | $0.29 | $-0.69 | $0.37 | $0.39 | $0.46 | $0.43 | $0.40 | $0.33 | $0.26 | $0.23 | $0.93 | $0.42 | $0.78 | $0.76 |
| Low Forecast | $0.39 | $0.37 | $0.35 | $0.33 | $0.37 | $0.36 | $0.36 | $0.39 | $0.34 | $0.41 | $0.38 | $0.34 | $0.37 | $0.28 | $0.33 | $0.27 | $0.22 | $-0.69 | $0.37 | $0.39 | $0.46 | $0.43 | $0.40 | $0.33 | $0.26 | $0.23 | $0.93 | $0.42 | $0.78 | $0.76 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2.08% | -1.45% | - | 5.14% | 0.11% | 0.84% | -2.76% | -3.06% | 0.17% | 0.65% | 0.33% | 2.08% | 0.38% | 2.93% | 0.82% | -19.24% | 0.27% | 1.05% |
According to 1 Wall Street analysts, MFA Financial's projected average Quarter EPS for Mar 24 is $0.39, with a low estimate of $0.34 and a high estimate of $0.45. This represents a -50.93% decrease compared to MFA previous annual EPS of $0.80 (Dec 23).
MFA Financial Peer Comparison by Price Target
| Ticker | Company | Last Closing Price | Avg Price Target | Upside/Downside | Avg Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYMT | New York Mortgage Trust | $5.80 | $21.25 | 266.38% | Hold |
| ACRE | Ares Commercial Real Estate | $7.12 | $11.50 | 61.52% | Hold |
| ARI | Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance | $9.13 | $13.50 | 47.86% | - |
| TWO | Two Harbors Investment | $11.61 | $15.50 | 33.51% | Buy |
| MFA | MFA Financial | $11.07 | $14.75 | 33.24% | Buy |
| NLY | Annaly Capital Management | $19.62 | $25.00 | 27.42% | Buy |
| AGNC | AGNC Investment | $9.52 | $10.63 | 11.66% | Buy |
| EFC | Ellington Financial | $12.21 | $13.50 | 10.57% | Buy |
| IVR | Invesco Mortgage Capital | $8.22 | $7.13 | -13.26% | Hold |
| ARR | ARMOUR Residential REIT | $19.02 | $11.50 | -39.54% | Hold |
| CIM | Chimera Investment | $14.82 | $7.25 | -51.08% | Hold |