MFA Financial (MFA) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions
MFA Stock Forecast
MFA Financial stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $14.83 (represents a 13.90% upside from MFA’s last price of $13.02) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 5 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.
MFA Price Target
The average price target for MFA Financial (MFA) is $14.83 based on 1-year price targets from 5 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $18.00 to $12.50. This represents a potential 13.90% upside from MFA's last price of $13.02.
MFA Analyst Ratings
According to 5 Wall Street analysts, MFA Financial's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for MFA stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 5 'Buy' (100.00%), 0 'Hold' (0.00%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).
MFA Financial Price Target by Analyst
| Date | Analyst | Company | Price Target | Price when Published | Price Target/Price when Published | Price Target/Last Closing Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 09, 2024 | Jay McCanless | Wedbush | $14.00 | $11.70 | 19.66% | 7.53% |
| Jan 09, 2023 | Douglas Harter | Credit Suisse | $12.50 | $10.25 | 21.95% | -3.99% |
| Apr 26, 2022 | - | JMP Securities | $18.00 | $13.59 | 32.45% | 38.25% |
The latest MFA Financial stock forecast, released on Aug 09, 2024 by Jay McCanless from Wedbush, set a price target of $14.00, which represents a 19.66% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($11.70), and a 7.53% increase from MFA last price ($13.02).
MFA Financial Price Target by Period
| 1M | 3M | 12M | |
|---|---|---|---|
| # Anlaysts | - | 1 | 1 |
| Avg Price Target | - | $14.00 | $14.00 |
| Last Closing Price | $13.02 | $13.02 | $13.02 |
| Upside/Downside | -100.00% | 7.53% | 7.53% |
In the current month, the average price target of MFA Financial stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to MFA Financial's last price of $13.02. This month's average price target is down -100.00% compared to last quarter, and down -100.00% compared to last year.
Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades
| Date | Company | Previous Rating | New Rating | Rating Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 06, 2024 | JMP Securities | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
| Aug 09, 2024 | Wedbush | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
| Dec 13, 2023 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | - | Outperform | Upgrade |
| Nov 21, 2023 | Raymond James | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
| Jul 21, 2023 | JMP Securities | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
| Jan 09, 2023 | Credit Suisse | - | Outperform | Upgrade |
| Apr 26, 2022 | JMP Securities | Market Outperform | Market Outperform | Hold |
MFA Financial's last stock rating was published by JMP Securities on Sep 06, 2024. The company gave MFA a "Outperform" rating, the same as its previous rate.
MFA Financial Financial Forecast
MFA Financial Revenue Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $280.27M | $105.52M | - | $105.09M | $31.32M | $-23.25M | - | $-54.86M | $72.56M | $112.04M | $74.62M | $78.00M | $39.03M | $85.41M | $117.25M | $-740.23M | $113.35M | $108.54M |
| Avg Forecast | $101.43M | $99.98M | $99.01M | $97.82M | $76.30M | $74.64M | $72.22M | $69.80M | $71.64M | $70.16M | $75.73M | $80.01M | $70.77M | $62.55M | $58.18M | $64.07M | $72.74M | $63.85M | $66.43M | $79.65M | $81.35M | $66.15M | $51.32M | $44.65M | $49.69M | $57.76M | $52.91M | $105.18M | $59.00M | $66.90M |
| High Forecast | $119.20M | $117.50M | $116.36M | $114.96M | $89.67M | $87.72M | $84.88M | $82.03M | $84.20M | $71.46M | $89.00M | $94.03M | $74.41M | $67.12M | $68.38M | $75.30M | $85.49M | $75.04M | $66.43M | $85.48M | $87.29M | $70.98M | $55.08M | $47.91M | $53.33M | $61.98M | $56.78M | $112.87M | $63.31M | $71.79M |
| Low Forecast | $82.88M | $81.69M | $80.90M | $79.93M | $62.34M | $60.99M | $59.01M | $57.03M | $58.54M | $68.86M | $61.88M | $65.38M | $67.13M | $60.18M | $47.54M | $52.36M | $59.44M | $52.17M | $66.43M | $75.62M | $77.23M | $62.79M | $48.72M | $42.38M | $47.17M | $54.83M | $50.23M | $99.85M | $56.01M | $63.51M |
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 7 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3.96% | 1.69% | - | 1.64% | 0.43% | -0.36% | - | -0.69% | 0.89% | 1.69% | 1.45% | 1.75% | 0.79% | 1.48% | 2.22% | -7.04% | 1.92% | 1.62% |
MFA Financial's average Quarter revenue forecast for Mar 24 based on 1 analysts is $80.01M, with a low forecast of $65.38M, and a high forecast of $94.03M. MFA's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a -71.45% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $280.27M (Dec 23).
MFA Financial EBITDA Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 7 |
| EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $89.75M | $-56.44M | $-34.27M | $76.74M | $-4.60M | $-56.28M | - | $-36.31M | $20.39M | $164.88M | $92.27M | $115.59M | $87.99M | $143.17M | $184.96M | $-821.65M | $184.44M | $182.29M |
| Avg Forecast | $46.06M | $45.40M | $44.96M | $44.42M | $34.65M | $33.89M | $32.80M | $31.70M | $32.53M | $31.86M | $34.39M | $-121.79M | $32.14M | $28.40M | $26.42M | $-130.26M | $33.03M | $29.00M | $30.17M | $-139.32M | $36.94M | $30.04M | $38.06M | $20.27M | $22.57M | $26.23M | $24.02M | $47.76M | $26.79M | $30.38M |
| High Forecast | $54.13M | $53.35M | $52.84M | $52.20M | $40.72M | $39.83M | $38.54M | $37.25M | $38.23M | $32.45M | $40.41M | $-97.43M | $33.79M | $30.48M | $31.05M | $-104.21M | $38.82M | $34.08M | $30.17M | $-111.45M | $39.64M | $32.23M | $45.67M | $21.76M | $24.21M | $28.15M | $25.78M | $51.25M | $28.75M | $32.60M |
| Low Forecast | $37.64M | $37.10M | $36.74M | $36.30M | $28.31M | $27.70M | $26.80M | $25.90M | $26.58M | $31.27M | $28.10M | $-146.15M | $30.48M | $27.33M | $21.59M | $-156.31M | $26.99M | $23.69M | $30.17M | $-167.18M | $35.07M | $28.51M | $30.45M | $19.25M | $21.42M | $24.90M | $22.81M | $45.34M | $25.43M | $28.84M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2.79% | -1.99% | -1.30% | -0.59% | -0.14% | -1.94% | - | 0.26% | 0.55% | 5.49% | 2.42% | 5.70% | 3.90% | 5.46% | 7.70% | -17.20% | 6.88% | 6.00% |
1 analysts predict MFA's average Quarter EBITDA for Mar 24 to be $-121.79M, with a high of $-97.43M and a low of $-146.15M. This is -235.71% lower than MFA Financial's previous annual EBITDA (Dec 23) of $89.75M.
MFA Financial Net Income Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 7 |
| Net Income | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $89.75M | $-56.44M | $-34.27M | $162.96M | $2.76M | $-58.96M | - | $-126.20M | $8.43M | $132.51M | $66.71M | $85.52M | $45.82M | $87.21M | $96.58M | $-909.00M | $100.62M | $95.60M |
| Avg Forecast | $49.67M | $48.31M | $47.47M | $46.40M | $45.08M | $44.21M | $42.87M | $41.77M | $42.51M | $43.06M | $39.99M | $-278.09M | $40.39M | $46.28M | $39.63M | $-297.42M | $26.71M | $72.88M | $38.94M | $-318.10M | $58.83M | $66.26M | $27.52M | $40.32M | $39.27M | $72.67M | $113.37M | $45.23M | $95.59M | $90.57M |
| High Forecast | $60.99M | $59.32M | $58.29M | $56.97M | $55.35M | $54.29M | $52.63M | $51.29M | $52.19M | $52.87M | $49.10M | $-222.47M | $49.60M | $53.29M | $48.66M | $-237.94M | $32.80M | $87.46M | $38.94M | $-254.48M | $70.60M | $79.51M | $33.02M | $48.38M | $47.13M | $87.21M | $136.05M | $49.53M | $114.71M | $108.68M |
| Low Forecast | $37.86M | $36.83M | $36.19M | $35.37M | $34.36M | $33.70M | $32.68M | $31.84M | $32.40M | $42.01M | $30.49M | $-333.71M | $39.36M | $29.45M | $30.21M | $-356.91M | $20.36M | $58.30M | $38.94M | $-381.72M | $47.06M | $53.00M | $22.02M | $32.25M | $31.42M | $58.14M | $90.70M | $42.25M | $76.47M | $72.45M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2.22% | -1.22% | -0.86% | -0.55% | 0.10% | -0.81% | - | 0.40% | 0.14% | 2.00% | 2.42% | 2.12% | 1.17% | 1.20% | 0.85% | -20.10% | 1.05% | 1.06% |
MFA Financial's average Quarter net income forecast for Mar 24 is $-278.09M, with a range of $-333.71M to $-222.47M. MFA's average Quarter net income forecast represents a -409.86% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $89.75M (Dec 23).
MFA Financial SG&A Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 7 |
| SG&A | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $12.58M | $10.61M | - | $31.02M | $24.84M | $29.88M | - | $28.25M | $28.68M | $24.87M | $16.77M | $15.23M | $8.92M | $18.27M | $16.23M | $13.47M | $12.73M | $12.94M |
| Avg Forecast | $30.04M | $29.61M | $29.33M | $28.97M | $22.60M | $22.11M | $21.39M | $20.67M | $21.22M | $20.78M | $22.43M | $23.70M | $20.96M | $18.53M | $17.23M | $18.98M | $21.55M | $13.68M | $19.68M | $23.59M | $38.23M | $12.43M | $6.92M | $7.18M | $7.64M | $15.22M | $19.05M | $31.15M | $12.10M | $12.26M |
| High Forecast | $35.31M | $34.80M | $34.46M | $34.05M | $26.56M | $25.98M | $25.14M | $24.30M | $24.94M | $21.16M | $26.36M | $27.85M | $22.04M | $19.88M | $20.25M | $22.30M | $25.32M | $16.41M | $19.68M | $25.32M | $45.88M | $14.92M | $8.30M | $8.62M | $9.17M | $18.27M | $22.86M | $33.43M | $14.51M | $14.71M |
| Low Forecast | $24.55M | $24.20M | $23.96M | $23.67M | $18.47M | $18.07M | $17.48M | $16.89M | $17.34M | $20.39M | $18.33M | $19.36M | $19.88M | $17.83M | $14.08M | $15.51M | $17.61M | $10.94M | $19.68M | $22.40M | $30.59M | $9.95M | $5.54M | $5.74M | $6.12M | $12.18M | $15.24M | $29.57M | $9.68M | $9.81M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.60% | 0.57% | - | 1.63% | 1.15% | 2.18% | - | 1.20% | 0.75% | 2.00% | 2.42% | 2.12% | 1.17% | 1.20% | 0.85% | 0.43% | 1.05% | 1.06% |
MFA Financial's average Quarter SG&A projection for Mar 24 is $23.70M, based on 1 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $19.36M to $27.85M. The forecast indicates a 88.39% rise compared to MFA last annual SG&A of $12.58M (Dec 23).
MFA Financial EPS Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 7 |
| EPS | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0.80 | $-0.64 | - | $1.60 | $0.03 | $-0.58 | - | $-1.18 | $0.08 | $0.28 | $0.13 | $0.68 | $0.10 | $0.68 | $0.76 | $-8.08 | $0.21 | $0.80 |
| Avg Forecast | $0.47 | $0.46 | $0.45 | $0.44 | $0.43 | $0.42 | $0.41 | $0.40 | $0.40 | $0.41 | $0.38 | $0.39 | $0.38 | $0.44 | $0.38 | $0.31 | $0.25 | $-0.69 | $0.37 | $0.39 | $0.46 | $0.43 | $0.40 | $0.33 | $0.26 | $0.23 | $0.93 | $0.42 | $0.78 | $0.76 |
| High Forecast | $0.58 | $0.56 | $0.55 | $0.54 | $0.53 | $0.52 | $0.50 | $0.49 | $0.50 | $0.50 | $0.47 | $0.48 | $0.47 | $0.51 | $0.46 | $0.38 | $0.31 | $-0.53 | $0.37 | $0.42 | $0.50 | $0.47 | $0.44 | $0.36 | $0.29 | $0.25 | $1.02 | $0.46 | $0.85 | $0.83 |
| Low Forecast | $0.36 | $0.35 | $0.34 | $0.34 | $0.33 | $0.32 | $0.31 | $0.30 | $0.31 | $0.40 | $0.29 | $0.30 | $0.37 | $0.28 | $0.29 | $0.24 | $0.19 | $-0.85 | $0.37 | $0.36 | $0.43 | $0.40 | $0.37 | $0.31 | $0.25 | $0.22 | $0.87 | $0.39 | $0.73 | $0.71 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2.08% | -1.45% | - | 5.14% | 0.11% | 0.84% | - | -3.06% | 0.17% | 0.65% | 0.33% | 2.08% | 0.38% | 2.93% | 0.82% | -19.24% | 0.27% | 1.05% |
According to 1 Wall Street analysts, MFA Financial's projected average Quarter EPS for Mar 24 is $0.39, with a low estimate of $0.30 and a high estimate of $0.48. This represents a -50.93% decrease compared to MFA previous annual EPS of $0.80 (Dec 23).
MFA Financial Peer Comparison by Price Target
| Ticker | Company | Last Closing Price | Avg Price Target | Upside/Downside | Avg Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYMT | New York Mortgage Trust | $6.61 | $21.25 | 221.48% | Hold |
| ACRE | Ares Commercial Real Estate | $7.54 | $16.00 | 112.20% | Hold |
| ARI | Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance | $9.56 | $13.50 | 41.21% | - |
| NLY | Annaly Capital Management | $20.45 | $26.20 | 28.12% | Buy |
| MFA | MFA Financial | $13.02 | $14.83 | 13.90% | Buy |
| TWO | Two Harbors Investment | $14.02 | $15.63 | 11.48% | Buy |
| EFC | Ellington Financial | $13.30 | $13.50 | 1.50% | Buy |
| AGNC | AGNC Investment | $10.35 | $10.20 | -1.45% | Buy |
| IVR | Invesco Mortgage Capital | $8.87 | $6.25 | -29.54% | Buy |
| ARR | ARMOUR Residential REIT | $20.76 | $11.50 | -44.61% | Hold |
| CIM | Chimera Investment | $15.86 | $7.25 | -54.29% | Hold |
MFA Forecast FAQ
Is MFA Financial a good buy?
Yes, according to 5 Wall Street analysts, MFA Financial (MFA) is considered a 'Buy'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 5 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 100.00% of MFA's total ratings.
What is MFA's price target?
MFA Financial (MFA) average price target is $14.83 with a range of $12.5 to $18, implying a 13.90% from its last price of $13.02. The data is based on 5 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.
Will MFA Financial stock go up soon?
According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for MFA stock, the company can go up by 13.90% (from the last price of $13.02 to the average price target of $14.83), up by 38.25% based on the highest stock price target, and down by -3.99% based on the lowest stock price target.
Can MFA Financial stock reach $20?
MFA's average twelve months analyst stock price target of $14.83 does not support the claim that MFA Financial can reach $20 in the near future.
What are MFA Financial's analysts' financial forecasts?
MFA Financial's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $292.96M (high $344.3M, low $239.38M), average EBITDA is $133.03M (high $156.34M, low $108.7M), average net income is $173.94M (high $213.56M, low $132.58M), average SG&A $86.77M (high $101.98M, low $70.9M), and average EPS is $1.65 (high $2.03, low $1.26). MFA's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2026) are as follows: average revenue is $398.24M (high $468.02M, low $325.41M), average EBITDA is $180.84M (high $212.53M, low $147.76M), average net income is $191.86M (high $235.56M, low $146.24M), average SG&A $117.96M (high $138.63M, low $96.38M), and average EPS is $1.82 (high $2.24, low $1.39).
Did the MFA's actual financial results beat the analysts' financial forecasts?
Based on MFA Financial's last annual report (Dec 2023), the company's revenue was $749.02M, beating the average analysts forecast of $255.58M by 193.07%. Apple's EBITDA was $80.16M, missing the average prediction of $-43.3M by -285.14%. The company's net income was $80.16M, missing the average estimation of $-171M by -146.85%. Apple's SG&A was $44.15M, missing the average forecast of $75.7M by -41.68%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $0.46, missing the average prediction of $1.51 by -69.58%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Dec 2023), MFA Financial's revenue was $280.28M, beating the average analysts' forecast of $70.77M by 296.04%. The company's EBITDA was $89.75M, beating the average prediction of $32.14M by 179.27%. MFA Financial's net income was $89.75M, beating the average estimation of $40.39M by 122.17%. The company's SG&A was $12.58M, missing the average forecast of $20.96M by -39.98%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $0.8, beating the average prediction of $0.384 by 108.30%