MFA Financial (MFA) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions
MFA Stock Forecast
MFA Financial stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $14.25 (represents a 40.81% upside from MFA’s last price of $10.12) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 6 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.
MFA Price Target
The average price target for MFA Financial (MFA) is $14.25 based on 1-year price targets from 6 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $14.50 to $14.00. This represents a potential 40.81% upside from MFA's last price of $10.12.
MFA Analyst Ratings
According to 6 Wall Street analysts, MFA Financial's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for MFA stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 6 'Buy' (100.00%), 0 'Hold' (0.00%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).
MFA Financial Price Target by Analyst
| Date | Analyst | Company | Price Target | Price when Published | Price Target/Price when Published | Price Target/Last Closing Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2024 | Stephen Laws | Raymond James | $14.50 | $13.15 | 10.27% | 43.28% |
| Aug 09, 2024 | Jay McCanless | Wedbush | $14.00 | $11.70 | 19.66% | 38.34% |
| Jan 09, 2023 | Douglas Harter | Credit Suisse | $12.50 | $10.25 | 21.95% | 23.52% |
| Apr 26, 2022 | JMP Securities | $18.00 | $13.59 | 32.45% | 77.87% |
The latest MFA Financial stock forecast, released on Sep 19, 2024 by Stephen Laws from Raymond James, set a price target of $14.50, which represents a 10.27% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($13.15), and a 43.28% increase from MFA last price ($10.12).
MFA Financial Price Target by Period
| 1M | 3M | 12M | |
|---|---|---|---|
| # Anlaysts | - | - | 2 |
| Avg Price Target | - | - | $14.25 |
| Last Closing Price | $10.12 | $10.12 | $10.12 |
| Upside/Downside | -100.00% | -100.00% | 40.81% |
In the current month, the average price target of MFA Financial stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to MFA Financial's last price of $10.12. This month's average price target is down NaN% compared to last quarter, and down -100.00% compared to last year.
Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades
| Date | Company | Previous Rating | New Rating | Rating Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2024 | Janney Montgomery | Buy | Initialise | |
| Sep 19, 2024 | Raymond James | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
| Sep 06, 2024 | JMP Securities | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
| Aug 09, 2024 | Wedbush | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
| Dec 13, 2023 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Outperform | Upgrade | |
| Nov 21, 2023 | Raymond James | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
| Jul 21, 2023 | JMP Securities | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
| Jan 09, 2023 | Credit Suisse | Outperform | Upgrade | |
| Apr 26, 2022 | JMP Securities | Market Outperform | Market Outperform | Hold |
MFA Financial's last stock rating was published by Janney Montgomery on Dec 31, 2024. The company Initialise its MFA rating from "null" to "Buy".
MFA Financial Financial Forecast
MFA Financial Revenue Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $280.27M | $105.52M | - | $105.09M | $31.32M | $-23.25M | $-37.10M | $-54.86M | $72.56M | $112.04M | $74.62M | $78.00M | $39.03M | $85.41M | $117.25M | $-740.23M | $113.35M | $108.54M |
| Avg Forecast | $97.71M | $94.77M | $93.21M | $89.99M | $90.40M | $89.25M | $89.46M | $88.21M | $88.01M | $70.15M | $75.73M | $80.01M | $70.77M | $62.55M | $58.18M | $64.07M | $72.74M | $63.85M | $66.43M | $79.65M | $81.35M | $66.15M | $51.32M | $44.65M | $49.69M | $57.76M | $52.91M | $105.18M | $59.00M | $66.90M |
| High Forecast | $115.70M | $112.21M | $110.36M | $106.55M | $107.04M | $105.68M | $105.93M | $94.02M | $94.96M | $70.20M | $75.73M | $80.01M | $74.41M | $67.12M | $68.89M | $75.87M | $87.52M | $63.85M | $66.43M | $79.65M | $81.35M | $66.15M | $51.32M | $44.65M | $49.69M | $57.76M | $52.91M | $105.18M | $59.00M | $66.90M |
| Low Forecast | $88.27M | $85.61M | $84.20M | $81.29M | $81.66M | $80.63M | $80.82M | $83.26M | $84.44M | $70.11M | $75.73M | $80.01M | $67.13M | $60.18M | $52.56M | $57.88M | $65.26M | $63.85M | $66.43M | $79.65M | $81.35M | $66.15M | $51.32M | $44.65M | $49.69M | $57.76M | $52.91M | $105.18M | $59.00M | $66.90M |
| # Analysts | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 13 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3.96% | 1.69% | - | 1.64% | 0.43% | -0.36% | -0.56% | -0.69% | 0.89% | 1.69% | 1.45% | 1.75% | 0.79% | 1.48% | 2.22% | -7.04% | 1.92% | 1.62% |
MFA Financial's average Quarter revenue forecast for Mar 24 based on 1 analysts is $80.01M, with a low forecast of $80.01M, and a high forecast of $80.01M. MFA's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a -71.45% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $280.27M (Dec 23).
MFA Financial EBITDA Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 13 |
| EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $89.75M | $-56.44M | $-34.27M | $76.74M | $-4.60M | $-56.28M | $49.67M | $-36.31M | $20.39M | $164.88M | $92.27M | $115.59M | $87.99M | $143.17M | $184.96M | $-821.65M | $184.44M | $182.29M |
| Avg Forecast | $56.39M | $54.69M | $53.79M | $51.93M | $52.17M | $51.51M | $51.63M | $50.90M | $50.79M | $40.49M | $43.70M | $-121.79M | $40.84M | $36.10M | $33.58M | $-130.26M | $41.98M | $29.00M | $30.17M | $-139.32M | $36.94M | $30.04M | $23.31M | $20.27M | $22.57M | $26.23M | $24.02M | $47.76M | $26.79M | $30.38M |
| High Forecast | $66.77M | $64.76M | $63.69M | $61.49M | $61.77M | $60.99M | $61.13M | $54.26M | $54.80M | $40.51M | $43.70M | $-97.43M | $42.94M | $38.73M | $39.76M | $-104.21M | $50.51M | $29.00M | $30.17M | $-111.45M | $36.94M | $30.04M | $23.31M | $20.27M | $22.57M | $26.23M | $24.02M | $47.76M | $26.79M | $30.38M |
| Low Forecast | $50.94M | $49.41M | $48.59M | $46.91M | $47.13M | $46.53M | $46.64M | $48.05M | $48.73M | $40.46M | $43.70M | $-146.15M | $38.74M | $34.73M | $30.33M | $-156.31M | $37.66M | $29.00M | $30.17M | $-167.18M | $36.94M | $30.04M | $23.31M | $20.27M | $22.57M | $26.23M | $24.02M | $47.76M | $26.79M | $30.38M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2.20% | -1.56% | -1.02% | -0.59% | -0.11% | -1.94% | 1.65% | 0.26% | 0.55% | 5.49% | 3.96% | 5.70% | 3.90% | 5.46% | 7.70% | -17.20% | 6.88% | 6.00% |
1 analysts predict MFA's average Quarter EBITDA for Mar 24 to be $-121.79M, with a high of $-97.43M and a low of $-146.15M. This is -235.71% lower than MFA Financial's previous annual EBITDA (Dec 23) of $89.75M.
MFA Financial Net Income Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 13 |
| Net Income | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $89.75M | $-56.44M | $-34.27M | $162.96M | $2.76M | $-58.96M | $-104.30M | $-126.20M | $8.43M | $132.51M | $66.71M | $85.52M | $45.82M | $87.21M | $96.58M | $-909.00M | $100.62M | $95.60M |
| Avg Forecast | $55.22M | $51.74M | $49.96M | $46.14M | $52.46M | $51.85M | $51.52M | $49.74M | $50.08M | $52.09M | $48.22M | $-278.09M | $48.70M | $55.79M | $47.78M | $-297.42M | $64.71M | $-72.92M | $38.92M | $-318.10M | $48.38M | $45.58M | $42.07M | $40.32M | $27.65M | $24.40M | $113.37M | $44.17M | $82.04M | $79.93M |
| High Forecast | $68.43M | $64.12M | $61.91M | $57.18M | $65.02M | $64.25M | $63.84M | $51.01M | $51.36M | $52.78M | $48.23M | $-222.47M | $60.35M | $64.24M | $59.21M | $-237.94M | $77.66M | $-72.92M | $38.92M | $-254.48M | $48.38M | $45.58M | $42.07M | $48.38M | $27.65M | $24.40M | $136.05M | $44.17M | $82.04M | $79.93M |
| Low Forecast | $48.28M | $45.24M | $43.68M | $40.34M | $45.87M | $45.33M | $45.05M | $47.19M | $48.79M | $51.40M | $48.20M | $-333.71M | $47.45M | $35.50M | $41.78M | $-356.91M | $51.77M | $-72.92M | $38.92M | $-381.72M | $48.38M | $45.58M | $42.07M | $32.25M | $27.65M | $24.40M | $90.70M | $44.17M | $82.04M | $79.93M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.84% | -1.01% | -0.72% | -0.55% | 0.04% | 0.81% | -2.68% | 0.40% | 0.17% | 2.91% | 1.59% | 2.12% | 1.66% | 3.57% | 0.85% | -20.58% | 1.23% | 1.20% |
MFA Financial's average Quarter net income forecast for Mar 24 is $-278.09M, with a range of $-333.71M to $-222.47M. MFA's average Quarter net income forecast represents a -409.86% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $89.75M (Dec 23).
MFA Financial SG&A Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 13 |
| SG&A | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $12.58M | $10.61M | - | $31.02M | $24.84M | $29.88M | $29.57M | $28.25M | $28.68M | $24.87M | $16.77M | $15.23M | $8.92M | $18.27M | $16.23M | $13.47M | $12.73M | $12.94M |
| Avg Forecast | $27.43M | $26.61M | $26.17M | $25.26M | $25.38M | $25.06M | $25.12M | $24.76M | $24.71M | $19.69M | $21.26M | $22.46M | $19.87M | $17.56M | $16.33M | $17.99M | $42.06M | $18.91M | $19.68M | $23.59M | $24.09M | $19.59M | $15.20M | $7.18M | $14.72M | $17.11M | $19.05M | $31.15M | $17.48M | $19.82M |
| High Forecast | $32.48M | $31.50M | $30.98M | $29.91M | $30.05M | $29.67M | $29.74M | $26.40M | $26.66M | $19.71M | $21.26M | $22.46M | $20.89M | $18.84M | $19.34M | $21.30M | $50.47M | $18.91M | $19.68M | $23.59M | $24.09M | $19.59M | $15.20M | $8.62M | $14.72M | $17.11M | $22.86M | $31.15M | $17.48M | $19.82M |
| Low Forecast | $24.78M | $24.04M | $23.64M | $22.82M | $22.93M | $22.64M | $22.69M | $23.38M | $23.71M | $19.68M | $21.26M | $22.46M | $18.85M | $16.90M | $14.76M | $16.25M | $33.65M | $18.91M | $19.68M | $23.59M | $24.09M | $19.59M | $15.20M | $5.74M | $14.72M | $17.11M | $15.24M | $31.15M | $17.48M | $19.82M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.63% | 0.60% | - | 1.72% | 0.59% | 1.58% | 1.50% | 1.20% | 1.19% | 1.27% | 1.10% | 2.12% | 0.61% | 1.07% | 0.85% | 0.43% | 0.73% | 0.65% |
MFA Financial's average Quarter SG&A projection for Mar 24 is $22.46M, based on 1 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $22.46M to $22.46M. The forecast indicates a 78.56% rise compared to MFA last annual SG&A of $12.58M (Dec 23).
MFA Financial EPS Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 13 |
| EPS | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0.80 | $-0.64 | - | $1.60 | $0.03 | $-0.58 | $-1.02 | $-1.18 | $0.08 | $0.28 | $0.13 | $0.68 | $0.10 | $0.68 | $0.76 | $-8.08 | $0.21 | $0.80 |
| Avg Forecast | $0.44 | $0.41 | $0.39 | $0.36 | $0.41 | $0.41 | $0.41 | $0.39 | $0.39 | $0.41 | $0.38 | $0.39 | $0.38 | $0.44 | $0.38 | $0.31 | $0.25 | $-0.69 | $0.37 | $0.39 | $0.46 | $0.43 | $0.40 | $0.33 | $0.26 | $0.23 | $0.93 | $0.42 | $0.78 | $0.76 |
| High Forecast | $0.54 | $0.51 | $0.49 | $0.45 | $0.51 | $0.51 | $0.50 | $0.40 | $0.41 | $0.42 | $0.38 | $0.49 | $0.48 | $0.51 | $0.47 | $0.39 | $0.32 | $-0.69 | $0.37 | $0.39 | $0.46 | $0.43 | $0.40 | $0.33 | $0.26 | $0.23 | $0.93 | $0.42 | $0.78 | $0.76 |
| Low Forecast | $0.38 | $0.36 | $0.34 | $0.32 | $0.36 | $0.36 | $0.36 | $0.37 | $0.38 | $0.41 | $0.38 | $0.34 | $0.37 | $0.28 | $0.33 | $0.27 | $0.22 | $-0.69 | $0.37 | $0.39 | $0.46 | $0.43 | $0.40 | $0.33 | $0.26 | $0.23 | $0.93 | $0.42 | $0.78 | $0.76 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2.08% | -1.45% | - | 5.14% | 0.11% | 0.84% | -2.76% | -3.06% | 0.17% | 0.65% | 0.33% | 2.08% | 0.38% | 2.93% | 0.82% | -19.24% | 0.27% | 1.05% |
According to 1 Wall Street analysts, MFA Financial's projected average Quarter EPS for Mar 24 is $0.39, with a low estimate of $0.34 and a high estimate of $0.49. This represents a -50.93% decrease compared to MFA previous annual EPS of $0.80 (Dec 23).
MFA Financial Peer Comparison by Price Target
| Ticker | Company | Last Closing Price | Avg Price Target | Upside/Downside | Avg Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYMT | New York Mortgage Trust | $5.92 | $12.25 | 106.93% | Hold |
| ARI | Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance | $8.79 | $13.50 | 53.58% | |
| MFA | MFA Financial | $10.12 | $14.25 | 40.81% | Buy |
| TWO | Two Harbors Investment | $11.77 | $15.00 | 27.44% | Buy |
| ACRE | Ares Commercial Real Estate | $5.64 | $7.00 | 24.11% | Hold |
| AGNC | AGNC Investment | $9.83 | $11.33 | 15.26% | Buy |
| NLY | Annaly Capital Management | $19.76 | $21.50 | 8.81% | Buy |
| EFC | Ellington Financial | $12.45 | $13.50 | 8.43% | Buy |
| IVR | Invesco Mortgage Capital | $8.15 | $8.00 | -1.84% | Hold |
| ARR | ARMOUR Residential REIT | $18.51 | $11.50 | -37.87% | Hold |
| CIM | Chimera Investment | $14.31 | $7.25 | -49.34% | Hold |