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Mattel (MAT) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions

OverviewRevenueOwnershipFinancialsChartTranscripts

MAT Stock Forecast

Mattel stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $21.33 (represents a 19.43% upside from MAT’s last price of $17.86) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 6 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.

MAT Price Target

The average price target for Mattel (MAT) is $21.33 based on 1-year price targets from 6 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $22.00 to $20.00. This represents a potential 19.43% upside from MAT's last price of $17.86.

MAT Analyst Ratings

Buy

According to 6 Wall Street analysts, Mattel's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for MAT stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 5 'Buy' (83.33%), 1 'Hold' (16.67%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).

Mattel Price Target by Analyst

DateAnalystCompanyPrice TargetPrice when PublishedPrice Target/Price when PublishedPrice Target/Last Closing Price
Oct 24, 2024Megan AlexanderMorgan Stanley$22.00$17.7823.73%23.18%
Oct 24, 2024Stephen LaszczykGoldman Sachs$22.00$17.7823.73%23.18%
Oct 01, 2024Kylie CohuJefferies$20.00$19.054.99%11.98%
Mar 13, 2024Arpine KocharyanUBS$26.00$20.2028.71%45.58%
Mar 08, 2024Linda Bolton WeiserD.A. Davidson$26.00$19.7431.69%45.58%
Dec 27, 2023Linda Bolton WeiserD.A. Davidson$25.00$19.0431.34%39.98%
Sep 27, 2023Megan AlexanderMorgan Stanley$27.00$21.8423.63%51.18%
Oct 26, 2022Linda Bolton WeiserD.A. Davidson$31.00$19.3460.29%73.57%
Jul 15, 2022Jefferies$24.00$21.0314.12%34.38%
Jul 10, 2022Michael NgGoldman Sachs$31.00$22.7636.20%73.57%
Feb 26, 2022Drew CrumStifel Nicolaus$33.00$25.4329.77%84.77%
Feb 15, 2022Linda Bolton WeiserD.A. Davidson$45.00$25.3077.87%151.96%
Jan 13, 2022Eric HandlerMKM Partners$30.00$22.8231.46%67.97%
May 26, 2021Shawn CollinsCitigroup$23.00$20.5611.87%28.78%

The latest Mattel stock forecast, released on Oct 24, 2024 by Megan Alexander from Morgan Stanley, set a price target of $22.00, which represents a 23.73% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($17.78), and a 23.18% increase from MAT last price ($17.86).

Mattel Price Target by Period

1M3M12M
# Anlaysts-36
Avg Price Target-$21.33$23.50
Last Closing Price$17.86$17.86$17.86
Upside/Downside-100.00%19.43%31.58%

In the current month, the average price target of Mattel stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to Mattel's last price of $17.86. This month's average price target is down -100.00% compared to last quarter, and down -100.00% compared to last year.

Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades

DateCompanyPrevious RatingNew RatingRating Change
Oct 24, 2024JefferiesBuyBuyHold
Oct 24, 2024Morgan StanleyEqual-WeightEqual-WeightHold
Oct 24, 2024Goldman SachsBuyBuyHold
Oct 01, 2024JefferiesHoldHoldHold
Jul 31, 2024Zacks Investment ResearchMixedMixedHold
Apr 24, 2024Bank of America SecuritiesBuyBuyHold
Mar 08, 2024D.A. DavidsonBuyBuyHold
Dec 27, 2023D.A. DavidsonBuyBuyHold
Oct 26, 2023Morgan StanleyOverweightOverweightHold
Sep 27, 2023Morgan StanleyOverweightInitialise
Aug 24, 2022D.A. DavidsonBuyBuyHold
Jul 15, 2022JefferiesHoldHoldHold
Jul 10, 2022Goldman SachsBuyUpgrade
Jul 07, 2022MKM PartnersBuyBuyHold

Mattel's last stock rating was published by Jefferies on Oct 24, 2024. The company gave MAT a "Buy" rating, the same as its previous rate.

Mattel Financial Forecast

Mattel Revenue Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
Revenue------------$1.62B$1.92B$1.09B$814.60M$1.40B$1.76B$1.24B$1.04B$1.79B$1.76B$1.03B$874.19M$1.63B$1.63B$732.14M$594.07M$1.47B$1.48B
Avg Forecast$1.67B$1.95B$1.12B$840.08M$1.64B$1.91B$1.11B$828.37M$1.64B$1.86B$1.10B$833.52M$1.65B$1.84B$1.00B$741.91M$1.68B$1.78B$1.10B$916.86M$1.66B$1.68B$878.81M$684.19M$1.58B$1.47B$678.00M$652.66M$1.50B$1.43B
High Forecast$1.70B$1.99B$1.14B$854.88M$1.67B$1.94B$1.13B$837.36M$1.73B$1.86B$1.10B$833.52M$1.77B$1.88B$1.02B$754.98M$1.71B$1.78B$1.10B$916.86M$1.66B$1.68B$878.81M$684.19M$1.58B$1.47B$678.00M$652.66M$1.50B$1.43B
Low Forecast$1.61B$1.88B$1.08B$806.83M$1.58B$1.83B$1.06B$815.87M$1.60B$1.86B$1.10B$833.52M$1.61B$1.81B$963.93M$712.55M$1.61B$1.78B$1.10B$916.86M$1.66B$1.68B$878.81M$684.19M$1.58B$1.47B$678.00M$652.66M$1.50B$1.43B
# Analysts222211147333685443435454559644
Surprise %------------0.98%1.04%1.08%1.10%0.83%0.99%1.12%1.14%1.08%1.05%1.17%1.28%1.03%1.11%1.08%0.91%0.98%1.04%

Mattel's average Quarter revenue forecast for Mar 24 based on 3 analysts is $833.52M, with a low forecast of $833.52M, and a high forecast of $833.52M. MAT's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a -48.57% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $1.62B (Dec 23).

Mattel EBITDA Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts222211147333685443435454559644
EBITDA------------$191.60M$480.80M$69.20M$-107.10M$47.50M$397.60M$119.90M$72.10M$300.70M$431.56M$94.93M$78.99M$240.60M$436.39M$1.30M$-96.25M$127.45M$212.14M
Avg Forecast$218.31M$255.02M$146.70M$109.70M$214.53M$249.08M$144.79M$108.17M$213.97M$242.67M$143.28M$389.08M$215.18M$240.48M$131.06M$416.13M$125.48M$171.67M$106.48M$445.05M$159.76M$162.60M$84.81M$125.92M$152.39M$141.43M$65.43M$-61.04M$144.57M$137.93M
High Forecast$222.16M$259.51M$149.28M$111.64M$218.31M$253.47M$147.34M$109.35M$225.50M$242.71M$143.28M$466.89M$230.55M$245.13M$133.37M$499.35M$150.58M$171.67M$106.48M$534.06M$159.76M$162.60M$84.81M$151.11M$152.39M$141.43M$65.43M$-48.83M$144.57M$137.93M
Low Forecast$209.67M$244.93M$140.89M$105.36M$206.04M$239.22M$139.06M$106.54M$208.84M$242.63M$143.28M$311.26M$210.05M$236.72M$125.88M$332.90M$100.39M$171.67M$106.48M$356.04M$159.76M$162.60M$84.81M$100.74M$152.39M$141.43M$65.43M$-73.24M$144.57M$137.93M
Surprise %------------0.89%2.00%0.53%-0.26%0.38%2.32%1.13%0.16%1.88%2.65%1.12%0.63%1.58%3.09%0.02%1.58%0.88%1.54%

3 analysts predict MAT's average Quarter EBITDA for Mar 24 to be $389.08M, with a high of $466.89M and a low of $311.26M. This is 103.07% upper than Mattel's previous annual EBITDA (Dec 23) of $191.60M.

Mattel Net Income Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts222211147333685443435454559644
Net Income------------$147.30M$146.30M$27.20M$-111.20M$9.10M$289.90M$66.40M$15.20M$225.13M$795.08M$-9.60M$-117.84M$130.55M$315.99M$-109.17M$-210.74M$175.00K$70.60M
Avg Forecast$103.86M$411.51M$70.38M$-28.09M$96.38M$389.05M$64.97M$-26.94M$68.23M$323.88M$58.30M$67.52M$107.01M$294.82M$-8.67M$72.21M$107.63M$256.12M$21.94M$77.23M$104.86M$248.44M$-18.69M$-177.76M$80.85M$134.51M$-118.37M$-133.64M$3.16M$54.29M
High Forecast$106.23M$420.94M$71.99M$-26.65M$98.59M$397.96M$66.46M$-13.47M$124.05M$325.11M$58.32M$81.02M$131.97M$339.38M$-8.23M$86.66M$129.16M$256.12M$21.94M$92.68M$104.86M$248.44M$-18.69M$-142.21M$80.85M$134.51M$-118.37M$-106.91M$3.16M$54.29M
Low Forecast$98.51M$390.34M$66.76M$-28.73M$91.43M$369.03M$61.63M$-40.41M$52.72M$322.65M$58.28M$54.02M$82.04M$263.96M$-8.87M$57.77M$86.11M$256.12M$21.94M$61.79M$104.86M$248.44M$-18.69M$-213.32M$80.85M$134.51M$-118.37M$-160.37M$3.16M$54.29M
Surprise %------------1.38%0.50%-3.14%-1.54%0.08%1.13%3.03%0.20%2.15%3.20%0.51%0.66%1.61%2.35%0.92%1.58%0.06%1.30%

Mattel's average Quarter net income forecast for Mar 24 is $67.52M, with a range of $54.02M to $81.02M. MAT's average Quarter net income forecast represents a -54.16% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $147.30M (Dec 23).

Mattel SG&A Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts222211147333685443435454559644
SG&A------------$643.20M$504.10M$427.00M$440.80M$523.70M$455.50M$423.80M$402.90M$626.80M$453.46M$438.87M$377.97M$642.50M$448.23M$366.99M$404.99M$645.60M$536.34M
Avg Forecast$631.56M$737.75M$424.38M$317.36M$620.62M$720.56M$418.86M$312.94M$618.99M$702.03M$414.51M$314.89M$622.49M$695.69M$379.16M$280.28M$298.77M$654.42M$405.91M$337.31M$609.00M$619.84M$323.31M$583.15M$580.92M$539.14M$249.43M$256.82M$551.11M$525.78M
High Forecast$642.68M$750.75M$431.86M$322.95M$631.55M$733.26M$426.24M$316.34M$652.35M$702.16M$414.51M$314.89M$666.95M$709.13M$385.84M$285.21M$358.53M$654.42M$405.91M$337.31M$609.00M$619.84M$323.31M$699.78M$580.92M$539.14M$249.43M$308.19M$551.11M$525.78M
Low Forecast$606.56M$708.55M$407.59M$304.80M$596.06M$692.05M$402.29M$308.22M$604.16M$701.91M$414.51M$314.89M$607.67M$684.83M$364.15M$269.18M$239.02M$654.42M$405.91M$337.31M$609.00M$619.84M$323.31M$466.52M$580.92M$539.14M$249.43M$205.46M$551.11M$525.78M
Surprise %------------1.03%0.72%1.13%1.57%1.75%0.70%1.04%1.19%1.03%0.73%1.36%0.65%1.11%0.83%1.47%1.58%1.17%1.02%

Mattel's average Quarter SG&A projection for Mar 24 is $314.89M, based on 3 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $314.89M to $314.89M. The forecast indicates a -51.04% fall compared to MAT last annual SG&A of $643.20M (Dec 23).

Mattel EPS Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts222211147333685443435454559644
EPS------------$0.42$0.41$0.08$-0.31$0.03$0.82$0.19$0.04$0.64$2.32$-0.03$-0.34$0.38$0.91$-0.31$-0.61-$0.20
Avg Forecast$0.30$1.21$0.21$-0.08$0.28$1.14$0.19$-0.08$0.20$0.95$0.17$-0.12$0.31$0.86$-0.03$-0.26$0.29$0.74$0.06$-0.04$0.30$0.72$-0.05$-0.35$0.23$0.39$-0.34$-0.42$0.01$0.16
High Forecast$0.31$1.23$0.21$-0.08$0.29$1.17$0.19$-0.04$0.36$0.95$0.17$-0.12$0.39$0.99$-0.02$-0.24$0.29$0.74$0.06$-0.04$0.30$0.72$-0.05$-0.35$0.23$0.39$-0.34$-0.42$0.01$0.16
Low Forecast$0.29$1.14$0.20$-0.08$0.27$1.08$0.18$-0.12$0.15$0.95$0.17$-0.13$0.24$0.77$-0.03$-0.26$0.27$0.74$0.06$-0.04$0.30$0.72$-0.05$-0.35$0.23$0.39$-0.34$-0.42$0.01$0.16
Surprise %------------1.34%0.47%-3.15%1.20%0.09%1.10%2.98%-1.16%2.10%3.22%0.51%0.98%1.62%2.33%0.90%1.45%0.07%1.27%

According to 3 Wall Street analysts, Mattel's projected average Quarter EPS for Mar 24 is $-0.12, with a low estimate of $-0.13 and a high estimate of $-0.12. This represents a -129.69% decrease compared to MAT previous annual EPS of $0.42 (Dec 23).

Mattel Peer Comparison by Price Target

TickerCompanyLast Closing PriceAvg Price TargetUpside/DownsideAvg Rating
JAKKJAKKS Pacific$26.62$43.5063.41%Buy
HASHasbro$60.15$88.0046.30%Buy
MSGESphere Entertainment$34.42$46.5035.10%Buy
OSWOneSpaWorld$20.36$24.0017.88%Buy
FNKOFunko$11.81$13.8317.10%Buy
LTHLife Time Group$23.40$27.3316.79%Hold
FUNSix Flags Entertainment$47.51$55.1716.12%Buy
MATMattel$18.66$21.3314.31%Buy
XPOFXponential Fitness$15.50$16.758.06%Buy
GOLFAcushnet$73.30$52.67-28.14%Buy

MAT Forecast FAQ

Is Mattel a good buy?

Yes, according to 6 Wall Street analysts, Mattel (MAT) is considered a 'Buy'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 5 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 83.33% of MAT's total ratings.

What is MAT's price target?

Mattel (MAT) average price target is $21.33 with a range of $20 to $22, implying a 19.43% from its last price of $17.86. The data is based on 6 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.

Will Mattel stock go up soon?

According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for MAT stock, the company can go up by 19.43% (from the last price of $17.86 to the average price target of $21.33), up by 23.18% based on the highest stock price target, and up by 11.98% based on the lowest stock price target.

Can Mattel stock reach $30?

MAT's average twelve months analyst stock price target of $21.33 does not support the claim that Mattel can reach $30 in the near future.

What are Mattel's analysts' financial forecasts?

Mattel's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $5.49B (high $5.58B, low $5.29B), average EBITDA is $716.57M (high $728.46M, low $690.86M), average net income is $523.47M (high $549.54M, low $481.68M), average SG&A $2.07B (high $2.11B, low $2B), and average EPS is $1.53 (high $1.61, low $1.41). MAT's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2026) are as follows: average revenue is $5.59B (high $5.69B, low $5.37B), average EBITDA is $729.73M (high $742.59M, low $700.85M), average net income is $557.66M (high $572.52M, low $526.88M), average SG&A $2.11B (high $2.15B, low $2.03B), and average EPS is $1.63 (high $1.68, low $1.54).

Did the MAT's actual financial results beat the analysts' financial forecasts?

Based on Mattel's last annual report (Dec 2023), the company's revenue was $5.44B, beating the average analysts forecast of $5.23B by 3.94%. Apple's EBITDA was $820.9M, missing the average prediction of $1B by -18.14%. The company's net income was $214.3M, missing the average estimation of $465.36M by -53.95%. Apple's SG&A was $1.94B, missing the average forecast of $1.98B by -1.83%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $0.6, missing the average prediction of $0.894 by -32.90%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Dec 2023), Mattel's revenue was $1.62B, missing the average analysts' forecast of $1.65B by -1.64%. The company's EBITDA was $191.6M, missing the average prediction of $215.18M by -10.96%. Mattel's net income was $147.3M, beating the average estimation of $107.01M by 37.66%. The company's SG&A was $643.2M, beating the average forecast of $622.49M by 3.33%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $0.42, beating the average prediction of $0.314 by 33.93%