Mattel (MAT) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions


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MAT Stock Forecast


Mattel stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $27.50 (represents a 44.66% upside from MAT’s last price of $19.01) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 6 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.

MAT Price Target


The average price target for Mattel (MAT) is $27.50 based on 1-year price targets from 6 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $33.00 to $23.00. This represents a potential 44.66% upside from MAT's last price of $19.01.

MAT Analyst Ratings


Buy

According to 6 Wall Street analysts, Mattel's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for MAT stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 5 'Buy' (83.33%), 1 'Hold' (16.67%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).

Mattel Price Target by Analyst


DateAnalystCompanyPrice TargetPrice when PublishedPrice Target/Price when PublishedPrice Target/Last Closing Price
Mar 13, 2024Arpine KocharyanUBS$26.00$20.2028.71%36.77%
Mar 08, 2024Linda Bolton WeiserD.A. Davidson$26.00$19.7431.69%36.77%
Dec 27, 2023Linda Bolton WeiserD.A. Davidson$25.00$19.0431.34%31.51%
Sep 27, 2023Megan AlexanderMorgan Stanley$27.00$21.8423.63%42.03%
Oct 26, 2022Linda Bolton WeiserD.A. Davidson$31.00$19.3460.29%63.07%
Jul 15, 2022-Jefferies$24.00$21.0314.12%26.25%
Jul 10, 2022Michael NgGoldman Sachs$31.00$22.7636.20%63.07%
Feb 26, 2022Drew CrumStifel Nicolaus$33.00$25.4329.77%73.59%
Feb 15, 2022Linda Bolton WeiserD.A. Davidson$45.00$25.3077.87%136.72%
Jan 13, 2022Eric HandlerMKM Partners$30.00$22.8231.46%57.81%
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The latest Mattel stock forecast, released on Mar 13, 2024 by Arpine Kocharyan from UBS, set a price target of $26.00, which represents a 28.71% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($20.20), and a 36.77% increase from MAT last price ($19.01).

Mattel Price Target by Period


1M3M12M
# Anlaysts--4
Avg Price Target--$26.00
Last Closing Price$19.01$19.01$19.01
Upside/Downside-100.00%-100.00%36.77%

In the current month, the average price target of Mattel stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to Mattel's last price of $19.01. This month's average price target is down NaN% compared to last quarter, and down -100.00% compared to last year.

Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades


DateCompanyPrevious RatingNew RatingRating Change
Jul 31, 2024Zacks Investment ResearchMixedMixedHold
Apr 24, 2024Bank of America SecuritiesBuyBuyHold
Mar 08, 2024D.A. DavidsonBuyBuyHold
Dec 27, 2023D.A. DavidsonBuyBuyHold
Oct 26, 2023Morgan StanleyOverweightOverweightHold
Sep 27, 2023Morgan Stanley-OverweightInitialise
Aug 24, 2022D.A. DavidsonBuyBuyHold
Jul 15, 2022JefferiesHoldHoldHold
Jul 10, 2022Goldman Sachs-BuyUpgrade
Jul 07, 2022MKM PartnersBuyBuyHold
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Mattel's last stock rating was published by Zacks Investment Research on Jul 31, 2024. The company gave MAT a "Mixed" rating, the same as its previous rate.

Mattel Financial Forecast


Mattel Revenue Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
Revenue------------$1.62B$1.92B$1.09B$814.60M$1.40B$1.76B$1.24B$1.04B$1.79B$1.76B$1.03B$874.19M$1.63B$1.63B$732.14M$594.07M$1.47B$1.48B
Avg Forecast$1.75B$1.94B$1.14B$848.53M$1.69B$1.93B$1.11B$828.29M$1.64B$1.86B$1.10B$833.52M$1.65B$1.84B$1.00B$741.91M$1.68B$1.78B$1.10B$916.86M$1.66B$1.68B$878.81M$684.19M$1.58B$1.47B$678.00M$652.66M$1.50B$1.43B
High Forecast$1.78B$1.98B$1.16B$864.66M$1.72B$1.96B$1.13B$844.03M$1.68B$1.91B$1.12B$849.36M$1.77B$1.88B$1.02B$756.01M$1.71B$1.81B$1.13B$938.00M$1.69B$1.72B$899.08M$699.97M$1.62B$1.50B$693.64M$667.72M$1.53B$1.46B
Low Forecast$1.72B$1.91B$1.13B$837.72M$1.67B$1.90B$1.09B$817.74M$1.62B$1.82B$1.08B$822.90M$1.61B$1.81B$990.87M$732.46M$1.66B$1.76B$1.08B$901.08M$1.63B$1.66B$863.69M$672.42M$1.55B$1.44B$666.33M$641.43M$1.47B$1.40B
# Analysts334545223733685443435454559644
Surprise %------------0.98%1.04%1.08%1.10%0.83%0.99%1.12%1.14%1.08%1.05%1.17%1.28%1.03%1.11%1.08%0.91%0.98%1.04%

Mattel's average Quarter revenue forecast for Mar 24 based on 3 analysts is $833.52M, with a low forecast of $822.90M, and a high forecast of $849.36M. MAT's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a -48.57% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $1.62B (Dec 23).

Mattel EBITDA Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts334545223733685443435454559644
EBITDA------------$191.60M$480.80M$69.20M$-107.10M$47.50M$397.60M$119.90M$72.10M$300.70M$431.56M$94.93M$78.99M$240.60M$436.39M$1.30M$-96.25M$127.45M$212.14M
Avg Forecast$168.47M$187.10M$110.14M$81.89M$162.78M$185.97M$106.86M$79.94M$158.70M$179.41M$105.89M$389.08M$159.03M$177.73M$96.86M$416.13M$162.18M$339.73M$106.48M$445.05M$159.76M$162.60M$84.81M$125.92M$152.39M$141.43M$65.43M$-61.04M$144.57M$137.93M
High Forecast$171.67M$190.65M$112.24M$83.45M$165.88M$189.51M$108.89M$81.46M$161.72M$184.29M$107.91M$466.89M$170.39M$181.16M$98.70M$499.35M$165.26M$407.68M$108.94M$534.06M$163.44M$166.35M$86.77M$151.11M$155.91M$144.69M$66.94M$-48.83M$147.91M$141.11M
Low Forecast$166.33M$184.71M$108.74M$80.85M$160.71M$183.61M$105.50M$78.92M$156.68M$175.51M$104.54M$311.26M$155.24M$174.95M$95.63M$332.90M$160.11M$271.79M$104.65M$356.04M$157.01M$159.80M$83.36M$100.74M$149.77M$139.00M$64.31M$-73.24M$142.08M$135.56M
Surprise %------------1.20%2.71%0.71%-0.26%0.29%1.17%1.13%0.16%1.88%2.65%1.12%0.63%1.58%3.09%0.02%1.58%0.88%1.54%

3 analysts predict MAT's average Quarter EBITDA for Mar 24 to be $389.08M, with a high of $466.89M and a low of $311.26M. This is 103.07% upper than Mattel's previous annual EBITDA (Dec 23) of $191.60M.

Mattel Net Income Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts334545223733685443435454559644
Net Income------------$147.30M$146.30M$27.20M$-111.20M$9.10M$289.90M$66.40M$15.20M$225.13M$795.08M$-9.60M$-117.84M$130.55M$315.99M$-109.17M$-210.74M$175.00K$70.60M
Avg Forecast$152.50M$361.99M$70.75M$-29.49M$141.27M$354.52M$59.37M$-35.92M$122.21M$324.49M$58.85M$67.52M$108.01M$297.58M$-8.75M$72.21M$99.06M$619.50M$21.94M$77.23M$104.86M$248.44M$-18.69M$-177.76M$80.85M$134.51M$-118.37M$-133.64M$3.16M$54.29M
High Forecast$156.27M$370.94M$72.49M$-29.00M$144.76M$363.28M$60.84M$-35.33M$125.23M$359.76M$60.30M$81.02M$133.21M$342.56M$-8.61M$86.66M$101.51M$743.40M$22.60M$92.68M$108.01M$255.89M$-18.28M$-142.21M$83.28M$138.55M$-115.72M$-106.91M$3.26M$55.92M
Low Forecast$149.98M$356.00M$69.57M$-30.22M$138.93M$348.65M$58.39M$-36.81M$120.18M$296.27M$57.87M$54.02M$82.81M$266.43M$-8.97M$57.77M$97.42M$495.60M$21.45M$61.79M$102.52M$242.88M$-19.25M$-213.32M$79.05M$131.50M$-121.92M$-160.37M$3.09M$53.07M
Surprise %------------1.36%0.49%-3.11%-1.54%0.09%0.47%3.03%0.20%2.15%3.20%0.51%0.66%1.61%2.35%0.92%1.58%0.06%1.30%

Mattel's average Quarter net income forecast for Mar 24 is $67.52M, with a range of $54.02M to $81.02M. MAT's average Quarter net income forecast represents a -54.16% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $147.30M (Dec 23).

Mattel SG&A Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts334545223733685443435454559644
SG&A------------$643.20M$504.10M$427.00M$440.80M$523.70M$455.50M$423.80M$402.90M$626.80M$453.46M$438.87M$377.97M$642.50M$448.23M$366.99M$404.99M$645.60M$536.34M
Avg Forecast$642.22M$713.21M$419.87M$312.17M$620.52M$708.93M$407.36M$304.73M$604.96M$683.91M$403.67M$306.65M$606.21M$677.50M$369.24M$272.95M$618.21M$353.32M$405.91M$337.31M$609.00M$619.84M$323.31M$583.15M$580.92M$539.14M$249.43M$256.82M$551.11M$525.78M
High Forecast$654.42M$726.76M$427.85M$318.11M$632.31M$722.40M$415.10M$310.52M$616.46M$702.50M$411.34M$312.48M$649.51M$690.58M$376.26M$278.13M$629.96M$423.99M$415.28M$345.09M$623.04M$634.13M$330.77M$699.78M$594.32M$551.57M$255.19M$308.19M$563.82M$537.91M
Low Forecast$634.03M$704.12M$414.52M$308.20M$612.61M$699.90M$402.17M$300.84M$597.25M$669.05M$398.52M$302.74M$591.77M$666.92M$364.54M$269.47M$610.33M$282.66M$398.93M$331.50M$598.52M$609.17M$317.75M$466.52M$570.92M$529.86M$245.14M$205.46M$541.62M$516.74M
Surprise %------------1.06%0.74%1.16%1.61%0.85%1.29%1.04%1.19%1.03%0.73%1.36%0.65%1.11%0.83%1.47%1.58%1.17%1.02%

Mattel's average Quarter SG&A projection for Mar 24 is $306.65M, based on 3 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $302.74M to $312.48M. The forecast indicates a -52.32% fall compared to MAT last annual SG&A of $643.20M (Dec 23).

Mattel EPS Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts334545223733685443435454559644
EPS------------$0.42$0.41$0.08$-0.31$0.03$0.82$0.19$0.04$0.64$2.32$-0.03$-0.34$0.38$0.91$-0.31$-0.61-$0.20
Avg Forecast$0.44$1.05$0.21$-0.09$0.41$1.03$0.17$-0.10$0.35$0.94$0.17$-0.12$0.31$0.86$-0.03$-0.26$0.29$0.74$0.06$-0.04$0.30$0.72$-0.05$-0.35$0.23$0.39$-0.34$-0.42$0.01$0.16
High Forecast$0.45$1.08$0.21$-0.08$0.42$1.05$0.18$-0.10$0.36$1.04$0.18$-0.12$0.39$0.99$-0.02$-0.25$0.29$0.76$0.07$-0.04$0.31$0.74$-0.05$-0.34$0.24$0.40$-0.34$-0.41$0.01$0.16
Low Forecast$0.44$1.03$0.20$-0.09$0.40$1.01$0.17$-0.11$0.35$0.86$0.17$-0.13$0.24$0.77$-0.03$-0.26$0.28$0.73$0.06$-0.04$0.30$0.71$-0.06$-0.36$0.23$0.38$-0.35$-0.43$0.01$0.15
Surprise %------------1.34%0.47%-3.15%1.20%0.09%1.10%2.98%-1.16%2.10%3.22%0.51%0.98%1.62%2.33%0.90%1.45%0.07%1.27%

According to 3 Wall Street analysts, Mattel's projected average Quarter EPS for Mar 24 is $-0.12, with a low estimate of $-0.13 and a high estimate of $-0.12. This represents a -129.69% decrease compared to MAT previous annual EPS of $0.42 (Dec 23).

Mattel Peer Comparison by Price Target


TickerCompanyLast Closing PriceAvg Price TargetUpside/DownsideAvg Rating
XPOFXponential Fitness$13.64$25.2785.26%Buy
JAKKJAKKS Pacific$23.48$42.0078.88%Buy
MATMattel$19.01$27.5044.66%Buy
MSGESphere Entertainment$40.29$55.2037.01%Buy
FUNSix Flags Entertainment$40.88$54.9134.32%Buy
SEASUnited Parks & Resorts$50.30$64.5028.23%Buy
SIXSix Flags Entertainment$32.00$39.0021.88%Buy
HASHasbro$68.73$81.0017.85%Buy
OSWOneSpaWorld$15.90$17.258.49%Buy
LTHLife Time Group$24.99$24.83-0.64%Buy
FNKOFunko$11.82$11.50-2.71%Buy
GOLFAcushnet$66.11$52.67-20.33%Buy

MAT Forecast FAQ


Yes, according to 6 Wall Street analysts, Mattel (MAT) is considered a 'Buy'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 5 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 83.33% of MAT's total ratings.

Mattel (MAT) average price target is $27.5 with a range of $23 to $33, implying a 44.66% from its last price of $19.01. The data is based on 6 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.

According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for MAT stock, the company can go up by 44.66% (from the last price of $19.01 to the average price target of $27.5), up by 73.59% based on the highest stock price target, and up by 20.99% based on the lowest stock price target.

MAT's highest twelve months analyst stock price target of $33 supports the claim that Mattel can reach $30 in the near future.

Mattel's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $5.55B (high $5.65B, low $5.48B), average EBITDA is $535.56M (high $545.74M, low $528.73M), average net income is $519.24M (high $533.55M, low $509.15M), average SG&A $2.04B (high $2.08B, low $2.02B), and average EPS is $1.51 (high $1.55, low $1.48). MAT's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2026) are as follows: average revenue is $5.67B (high $5.78B, low $5.6B), average EBITDA is $547.61M (high $558.01M, low $540.63M), average net income is $555.75M (high $570.7M, low $545.33M), average SG&A $2.09B (high $2.13B, low $2.06B), and average EPS is $1.61 (high $1.66, low $1.58).

Based on Mattel's last annual report (Dec 2023), the company's revenue was $5.44B, beating the average analysts forecast of $5.23B by 3.94%. Apple's EBITDA was $820.9M, missing the average prediction of $849.74M by -3.39%. The company's net income was $214.3M, missing the average estimation of $469.04M by -54.31%. Apple's SG&A was $1.94B, beating the average forecast of $1.93B by 0.81%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $0.6, missing the average prediction of $0.894 by -32.90%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Dec 2023), Mattel's revenue was $1.62B, missing the average analysts' forecast of $1.65B by -1.64%. The company's EBITDA was $191.6M, beating the average prediction of $159.03M by 20.48%. Mattel's net income was $147.3M, beating the average estimation of $108.01M by 36.38%. The company's SG&A was $643.2M, beating the average forecast of $606.21M by 6.10%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $0.42, beating the average prediction of $0.314 by 33.93%