LSB Industries (LXU) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions
LXU Stock Forecast
LSB Industries stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $14.46 (represents a 95.67% upside from LXU’s last price of $7.39) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 6 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.
LXU Price Target
The average price target for LSB Industries (LXU) is $14.46 based on 1-year price targets from 6 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $20.00 to $8.75. This represents a potential 95.67% upside from LXU's last price of $7.39.
LXU Analyst Ratings
According to 6 Wall Street analysts, LSB Industries's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for LXU stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 3 'Buy' (50.00%), 2 'Hold' (33.33%), 1 'Sell' (16.67%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).
LSB Industries Price Target by Analyst
| Date | Analyst | Company | Price Target | Price when Published | Price Target/Price when Published | Price Target/Last Closing Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 03, 2024 | David Begleiter | Deutsche Bank | $9.00 | $7.54 | 19.36% | 21.79% |
| Jul 09, 2024 | Joshua Spector | UBS | $8.75 | $7.62 | 14.83% | 18.40% |
| May 29, 2024 | David Begleiter | Deutsche Bank | $11.00 | $9.67 | 13.75% | 48.85% |
| May 07, 2024 | Charles Neivert | Piper Sandler | $9.00 | $8.67 | 3.81% | 21.79% |
| Jan 11, 2023 | - | UBS | $19.00 | $12.55 | 51.39% | 157.10% |
| Nov 30, 2022 | - | Jefferies | $20.00 | $14.85 | 34.68% | 170.64% |
| Nov 17, 2022 | - | RBC Capital | $20.00 | $13.27 | 50.72% | 170.64% |
| Oct 25, 2022 | Adam Samuelson | Goldman Sachs | $20.00 | $16.11 | 24.15% | 170.64% |
| Sep 12, 2022 | Charles Neivert | Piper Sandler | $26.00 | $16.03 | 62.20% | 251.83% |
The latest LSB Industries stock forecast, released on Sep 03, 2024 by David Begleiter from Deutsche Bank, set a price target of $9.00, which represents a 19.36% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($7.54), and a 21.79% increase from LXU last price ($7.39).
LSB Industries Price Target by Period
| 1M | 3M | 12M | |
|---|---|---|---|
| # Anlaysts | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| Avg Price Target | $9.00 | $8.88 | $9.44 |
| Last Closing Price | $7.39 | $7.39 | $7.39 |
| Upside/Downside | 21.79% | 20.16% | 27.74% |
In the current month, the average price target of LSB Industries stock is $9.00, according to 1 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a 21.79% increase as opposed to LSB Industries's last price of $7.39. This month's average price target is up 1.35% compared to last quarter, and down -4.66% compared to last year.
Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades
| Date | Company | Previous Rating | New Rating | Rating Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 03, 2024 | Deutsche Bank | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Aug 08, 2024 | Piper Sandler | Underweight | Underweight | Hold |
| Jul 09, 2024 | UBS | Neutral | Neutral | Hold |
| May 29, 2024 | Deutsche Bank | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| May 07, 2024 | Piper Sandler | Underweight | Underweight | Hold |
| Jan 31, 2024 | UBS | Buy | Neutral | Downgrade |
| Jan 11, 2023 | UBS | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Nov 30, 2022 | Jefferies | - | Buy | Initialise |
| Nov 17, 2022 | RBC Capital | - | Outperform | Initialise |
| Oct 25, 2022 | Goldman Sachs | - | Neutral | Initialise |
LSB Industries's last stock rating was published by Deutsche Bank on Sep 03, 2024. The company gave LXU a "Buy" rating, the same as its previous rate.
LSB Industries Financial Forecast
LSB Industries Revenue Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $114.29M | $165.84M | $180.96M | $233.65M | $184.27M | - | $198.98M | $190.23M | $127.20M | $140.70M | $98.12M | $88.90M | $73.97M | $105.03M | $83.41M | $73.90M | $75.50M |
| Avg Forecast | $152.55M | $114.25M | $164.10M | $151.57M | $134.58M | $104.35M | $151.37M | $136.79M | $128.31M | $96.75M | $145.66M | $126.84M | $126.56M | $107.56M | $157.08M | $178.59M | $239.25M | $155.00M | $270.38M | $219.12M | $200.23M | $128.23M | $144.55M | $99.19M | $80.70M | $80.10M | $91.44M | $87.04M | $84.85M | $82.16M |
| High Forecast | $170.51M | $127.69M | $183.41M | $169.41M | $150.42M | $116.63M | $169.19M | $152.89M | $143.42M | $103.62M | $162.80M | $141.77M | $157.28M | $120.22M | $175.57M | $199.61M | $267.41M | $173.24M | $270.38M | $244.98M | $223.86M | $143.36M | $161.60M | $110.90M | $90.22M | $89.55M | $102.23M | $97.31M | $94.87M | $91.85M |
| Low Forecast | $128.58M | $96.29M | $138.32M | $127.76M | $113.43M | $87.95M | $127.59M | $115.30M | $108.15M | $89.88M | $122.77M | $106.91M | $109.33M | $90.66M | $132.40M | $150.53M | $201.66M | $130.65M | $270.38M | $195.22M | $178.39M | $114.24M | $128.78M | $88.37M | $71.90M | $71.36M | $81.46M | $77.55M | $75.60M | $73.20M |
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 6 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.06% | 1.06% | 1.01% | 0.98% | 1.19% | - | 0.91% | 0.95% | 0.99% | 0.97% | 0.99% | 1.10% | 0.92% | 1.15% | 0.96% | 0.87% | 0.92% |
LSB Industries's average Quarter revenue forecast for Dec 23 based on 4 analysts is $126.56M, with a low forecast of $109.33M, and a high forecast of $157.28M. LXU's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a 10.74% increase compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $114.29M (Sep 23).
LSB Industries EBITDA Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 6 |
| EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $-9.50M | $31.26M | $34.01M | $85.14M | $15.29M | - | $97.34M | $49.47M | $22.02M | $52.99M | $16.21M | $7.11M | $8.48M | $28.11M | $11.60M | $-13.68M | $-1.29M |
| Avg Forecast | $17.69M | $13.25M | $19.03M | $17.58M | $15.61M | $12.10M | $17.55M | $15.86M | $14.88M | $11.22M | $16.89M | $14.71M | $14.68M | $12.47M | $18.22M | $129.28M | $27.75M | $56.40M | $31.35M | $117.53M | $139.94M | $44.58M | $69.85M | $9.97M | $5.27M | $7.60M | $36.31M | $8.18M | $-12.16M | $-789.34K |
| High Forecast | $19.77M | $14.81M | $21.27M | $19.65M | $17.44M | $13.53M | $19.62M | $17.73M | $16.63M | $12.02M | $18.88M | $16.44M | $18.24M | $13.94M | $20.36M | $155.13M | $31.01M | $67.68M | $31.35M | $141.03M | $167.93M | $53.50M | $83.82M | $11.96M | $6.33M | $9.12M | $43.57M | $9.81M | $-9.73M | $-631.47K |
| Low Forecast | $14.91M | $11.17M | $16.04M | $14.82M | $13.15M | $10.20M | $14.80M | $13.37M | $12.54M | $10.42M | $14.24M | $12.40M | $12.68M | $10.51M | $15.35M | $103.42M | $23.39M | $45.12M | $31.35M | $94.02M | $111.95M | $35.67M | $55.88M | $7.97M | $4.22M | $6.08M | $29.04M | $6.54M | $-14.59M | $-947.21K |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | -0.76% | 1.72% | 0.26% | 3.07% | 0.27% | - | 0.83% | 0.35% | 0.49% | 0.76% | 1.63% | 1.35% | 1.12% | 0.77% | 1.42% | 1.13% | 1.64% |
2 analysts predict LXU's average Quarter EBITDA for Sep 23 to be $12.47M, with a high of $13.94M and a low of $10.51M. This is -60.10% lower than LSB Industries's previous annual EBITDA (Jun 23) of $31.26M.
LSB Industries Net Income Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 6 |
| Net Income | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $-7.73M | $25.09M | $15.90M | $65.87M | $2.31M | - | $58.77M | $42.08M | $-8.93M | $23.67M | $-13.28M | $-21.69M | $-20.40M | $-365.00K | $-19.45M | $-27.71M | $-30.79M |
| Avg Forecast | $15.70M | $-11.92M | $8.71M | $7.41M | $12.23M | $-4.36M | $10.91M | $9.09M | $5.32M | $-8.51M | $8.91M | $85.85M | $2.60M | $-4.11M | $16.67M | $78.04M | $52.24M | $-22.87M | $77.56M | $70.95M | $119.03M | $-18.08M | $31.20M | $-8.16M | $-16.09M | $-18.28M | $-471.46K | $-13.72M | $-24.63M | $-18.78M |
| High Forecast | $18.11M | $-9.49M | $10.05M | $8.54M | $14.10M | $-3.47M | $12.57M | $10.48M | $6.13M | $-5.67M | $10.28M | $103.02M | $3.00M | $-3.27M | $19.22M | $93.65M | $60.23M | $-18.30M | $77.56M | $85.14M | $142.84M | $-14.46M | $37.44M | $-6.53M | $-12.87M | $-14.62M | $-377.17K | $-10.97M | $-19.71M | $-15.03M |
| Low Forecast | $12.50M | $-13.75M | $6.93M | $5.90M | $9.73M | $-5.03M | $8.68M | $7.24M | $4.23M | $-12.29M | $7.09M | $68.68M | $2.34M | $-4.74M | $13.26M | $62.44M | $41.57M | $-27.44M | $77.56M | $56.76M | $95.23M | $-21.70M | $24.96M | $-9.80M | $-19.30M | $-21.93M | $-565.75K | $-16.46M | $-29.56M | $-22.54M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.88% | 1.51% | 0.20% | 1.26% | -0.10% | - | 0.83% | 0.35% | 0.49% | 0.76% | 1.63% | 1.35% | 1.12% | 0.77% | 1.42% | 1.13% | 1.64% |
LSB Industries's average Quarter net income forecast for Sep 23 is $-4.11M, with a range of $-4.74M to $-3.27M. LXU's average Quarter net income forecast represents a -116.39% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $25.09M (Jun 23).
LSB Industries SG&A Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 6 |
| SG&A | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $8.51M | $9.44M | $9.87M | $9.72M | $9.14M | - | $10.94M | $9.09M | $11.60M | $8.54M | $8.79M | $6.51M | $7.07M | $8.50M | $10.01M | $9.47M | $9.12M |
| Avg Forecast | $10.94M | $8.19M | $11.77M | $10.87M | $9.65M | $7.48M | $10.86M | $9.81M | $9.20M | $6.94M | $10.45M | $15.97M | $9.08M | $7.72M | $11.27M | $14.52M | $17.16M | $29.71M | $19.39M | $13.20M | $25.71M | $23.49M | $11.26M | $5.41M | $4.82M | $6.33M | $10.98M | $7.06M | $8.42M | $5.56M |
| High Forecast | $12.23M | $9.16M | $13.16M | $12.15M | $10.79M | $8.37M | $12.14M | $10.97M | $10.29M | $7.43M | $11.68M | $19.17M | $11.28M | $8.62M | $12.59M | $17.43M | $19.18M | $35.66M | $19.39M | $15.84M | $30.85M | $28.19M | $13.52M | $6.49M | $5.79M | $7.60M | $13.18M | $8.47M | $10.10M | $6.67M |
| Low Forecast | $9.22M | $6.91M | $9.92M | $9.16M | $8.14M | $6.31M | $9.15M | $8.27M | $7.76M | $6.45M | $8.81M | $12.78M | $7.84M | $6.50M | $9.50M | $11.62M | $14.46M | $23.77M | $19.39M | $10.56M | $20.57M | $18.79M | $9.01M | $4.32M | $3.86M | $5.07M | $8.79M | $5.64M | $6.73M | $4.45M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.10% | 0.84% | 0.68% | 0.57% | 0.31% | - | 0.83% | 0.35% | 0.49% | 0.76% | 1.63% | 1.35% | 1.12% | 0.77% | 1.42% | 1.13% | 1.64% |
LSB Industries's average Quarter SG&A projection for Dec 23 is $9.08M, based on 4 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $7.84M to $11.28M. The forecast indicates a 6.65% rise compared to LXU last annual SG&A of $8.51M (Sep 23).
LSB Industries EPS Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 6 |
| EPS | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $-0.10 | $0.33 | $0.21 | $0.84 | $0.03 | - | $0.66 | $0.49 | $-0.10 | $0.34 | $-0.36 | $-0.59 | $-0.56 | $-0.01 | $-0.53 | $-0.76 | $-1.07 |
| Avg Forecast | $0.22 | $-0.17 | $0.12 | $0.10 | $0.17 | $-0.06 | $0.15 | $0.13 | $0.07 | $-0.12 | $0.12 | $0.05 | $0.04 | $-0.06 | $0.23 | $0.25 | $0.73 | $0.09 | $1.06 | $0.81 | $0.28 | $-0.28 | $0.24 | $-0.37 | $-0.69 | $-0.66 | $-0.37 | $-0.60 | $-0.72 | $-0.73 |
| High Forecast | $0.25 | $-0.13 | $0.14 | $0.12 | $0.20 | $-0.05 | $0.17 | $0.15 | $0.09 | $-0.08 | $0.14 | $0.06 | $0.04 | $-0.05 | $0.27 | $0.29 | $0.84 | $0.10 | $1.06 | $0.94 | $0.33 | $-0.24 | $0.28 | $-0.32 | $-0.59 | $-0.57 | $-0.32 | $-0.51 | $-0.62 | $-0.63 |
| Low Forecast | $0.17 | $-0.19 | $0.10 | $0.08 | $0.14 | $-0.07 | $0.12 | $0.10 | $0.06 | $-0.17 | $0.10 | $0.04 | $0.03 | $-0.07 | $0.18 | $0.20 | $0.58 | $0.07 | $1.06 | $0.70 | $0.24 | $-0.32 | $0.20 | $-0.43 | $-0.79 | $-0.76 | $-0.43 | $-0.69 | $-0.83 | $-0.85 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.75% | 1.43% | 0.83% | 1.16% | 0.34% | - | 0.81% | 1.72% | 0.36% | 1.42% | 0.97% | 0.86% | 0.84% | 0.03% | 0.89% | 1.05% | 1.46% |
According to 2 Wall Street analysts, LSB Industries's projected average Quarter EPS for Sep 23 is $-0.06, with a low estimate of $-0.07 and a high estimate of $-0.05. This represents a -117.30% decrease compared to LXU previous annual EPS of $0.33 (Jun 23).
LSB Industries Peer Comparison by Price Target
| Ticker | Company | Last Closing Price | Avg Price Target | Upside/Downside | Avg Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPRE | Green Plains | $12.58 | $28.80 | 128.93% | Buy |
| LXU | LSB Industries | $7.39 | $14.46 | 95.67% | Buy |
| TROX | Tronox | $12.05 | $20.43 | 69.54% | Buy |
| HUN | Huntsman | $22.06 | $35.23 | 59.70% | Buy |
| ASIX | AdvanSix | $27.44 | $43.00 | 56.71% | - |
| MEOH | Methanex | $37.74 | $56.62 | 50.03% | Hold |
| WLKP | Westlake Chemical Partners LP | $22.41 | $29.00 | 29.41% | Buy |
| BAK | Braskem | $6.97 | $8.50 | 21.95% | Buy |
| UNVR | Univar Solutions | $36.14 | $36.00 | -0.39% | Buy |
LXU Forecast FAQ
Is LSB Industries a good buy?
Yes, according to 6 Wall Street analysts, LSB Industries (LXU) is considered a 'Buy'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 3 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 50.00% of LXU's total ratings.
What is LXU's price target?
LSB Industries (LXU) average price target is $14.46 with a range of $8.75 to $20, implying a 95.67% from its last price of $7.39. The data is based on 6 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.
Will LSB Industries stock go up soon?
According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for LXU stock, the company can go up by 95.67% (from the last price of $7.39 to the average price target of $14.46), up by 170.64% based on the highest stock price target, and up by 18.40% based on the lowest stock price target.
Can LSB Industries stock reach $11?
LXU's average twelve months analyst stock price target of $14.46 supports the claim that LSB Industries can reach $11 in the near future.
What is LSB Industries's current price target trend?
1 Wall Street analyst forecast a $9 price target for LSB Industries (LXU) this month, up 21.79% from its last price of $7.39. Compared to the last 3 and 12 months, the average price target increased by 20.16% and increased by 27.74%, respectively.
What are LSB Industries's analysts' financial forecasts?
LSB Industries's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $527.09M (high $589.13M, low $444.27M), average EBITDA is $61.12M (high $68.32M, low $51.52M), average net income is $27.87M (high $33.69M, low $20.62M), average SG&A $37.81M (high $42.26M, low $31.87M), and average EPS is $0.387 (high $0.468, low $0.286). LXU's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2026) are as follows: average revenue is $582.47M (high $651.02M, low $490.95M), average EBITDA is $67.55M (high $75.5M, low $56.93M), average net income is $19.91M (high $27.21M, low $11.58M), average SG&A $41.78M (high $46.7M, low $35.21M), and average EPS is $0.276 (high $0.378, low $0.161).
Did the LXU's actual financial results beat the analysts' financial forecasts?
Based on LSB Industries's last annual report (Dec 2023), the company's revenue was $593.71M, beating the average analysts forecast of $569.8M by 4.20%. Apple's EBITDA was $51.78M, missing the average prediction of $174.64M by -70.35%. The company's net income was $27.92M, missing the average estimation of $93.2M by -70.04%. Apple's SG&A was $36.58M, missing the average forecast of $42.58M by -14.10%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $0.37, missing the average prediction of $0.464 by -20.33%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Sep 2023), LSB Industries's revenue was $114.29M, beating the average analysts' forecast of $107.56M by 6.25%. The company's EBITDA was $-9.499M, missing the average prediction of $12.47M by -176.15%. LSB Industries's net income was $-7.726M, beating the average estimation of $-4.113M by 87.86%. The company's SG&A was $8.51M, beating the average forecast of $7.72M by 10.33%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $-0.1, beating the average prediction of $-0.0571 by 75.14%