LGI Homes (LGIH) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions


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LGIH Stock Forecast


LGI Homes stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $125.00 (represents a 37.06% upside from LGIH’s last price of $91.20) and a rating consensus of 'Hold', based on 6 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.

LGIH Price Target


The average price target for LGI Homes (LGIH) is $125.00 based on 1-year price targets from 6 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $125.00 to $125.00. This represents a potential 37.06% upside from LGIH's last price of $91.20.

LGIH Analyst Ratings


Hold

According to 6 Wall Street analysts, LGI Homes's rating consensus is 'Hold'. The analyst rating breakdown for LGIH stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 1 'Buy' (16.67%), 4 'Hold' (66.67%), 1 'Sell' (16.67%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).

LGI Homes Price Target by Analyst


DateAnalystCompanyPrice TargetPrice when PublishedPrice Target/Price when PublishedPrice Target/Last Closing Price
Sep 09, 2024Jay McCanlessWedbush$125.00$104.8019.27%37.06%
Apr 02, 2024Jay McCanlessWedbush$74.00$114.44-35.34%-18.86%
Apr 12, 2023Aaron HechtJMP Securities$130.00$111.1117.01%42.54%
Nov 22, 2022J.P. Morgan$84.00$93.47-10.13%-7.89%
Aug 03, 2022JMP Securities$140.00$106.5131.44%53.51%
Jul 12, 2022J.P. Morgan$77.00$98.31-21.68%-15.57%
Jun 17, 2022Wells Fargo$90.00$76.6017.49%-1.32%

The latest LGI Homes stock forecast, released on Sep 09, 2024 by Jay McCanless from Wedbush, set a price target of $125.00, which represents a 19.27% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($104.80), and a 37.06% increase from LGIH last price ($91.20).

LGI Homes Price Target by Period


1M3M12M
# Anlaysts--2
Avg Price Target--$99.50
Last Closing Price$91.20$91.20$91.20
Upside/Downside-100.00%-100.00%9.10%

In the current month, the average price target of LGI Homes stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to LGI Homes's last price of $91.20. This month's average price target is down NaN% compared to last quarter, and down -100.00% compared to last year.

Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades


DateCompanyPrevious RatingNew RatingRating Change
Sep 09, 2024WedbushUnderperformNeutralUpgrade
Aug 05, 2024Seaport GlobalSellDowngrade
Jul 05, 2024Wolfe ResearchNeutralNeutralHold
Apr 02, 2024WedbushUnderperformDowngrade
Jul 10, 2023JMP SecuritiesMarket OutperformMarket OutperformHold
Apr 12, 2023JMP SecuritiesMarket OutperformMarket OutperformHold
Aug 03, 2022JMP SecuritiesMarket OutperformMarket OutperformHold
Jun 17, 2022Wells FargoEqual-WeightEqual-WeightHold
Apr 26, 2022BTIGNeutralUpgrade

LGI Homes's last stock rating was published by Wedbush on Sep 09, 2024. The company Upgrade its LGIH rating from "Underperform" to "Neutral".

LGI Homes Financial Forecast


LGI Homes Revenue Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
Revenue-------------$1.08B$645.27M$487.36M$488.26M$547.07M$723.07M$546.05M$801.08M$751.61M$791.51M$705.95M$897.40M$534.20M$481.60M$454.73M$605.65M$483.08M
Avg Forecast$903.90M$896.12M$804.62M$573.18M$794.89M$777.57M$718.34M$478.33M$644.68M$645.27M$617.44M$400.00M$663.95M$625.30M$638.05M$467.54M$523.92M$599.69M$717.16M$515.98M$758.07M$731.98M$770.64M$598.55M$854.06M$516.10M$464.57M$432.90M$590.87M$486.83M
High Forecast$954.09M$945.87M$849.29M$605.00M$839.03M$820.74M$758.23M$504.89M$649.51M$657.14M$617.44M$400.00M$776.86M$672.97M$673.47M$493.50M$553.01M$599.69M$717.16M$515.98M$758.07M$731.98M$770.64M$598.55M$854.06M$516.10M$464.57M$432.90M$590.87M$486.83M
Low Forecast$842.07M$834.81M$749.57M$533.97M$740.52M$724.37M$669.20M$445.61M$640.19M$633.40M$617.44M$400.00M$585.54M$576.46M$594.40M$435.56M$488.08M$599.69M$717.16M$515.98M$758.07M$731.98M$770.64M$598.55M$854.06M$516.10M$464.57M$432.90M$590.87M$486.83M
# Analysts111111124211363344443333377986
Surprise %-------------1.72%1.01%1.04%0.93%0.91%1.01%1.06%1.06%1.03%1.03%1.18%1.05%1.04%1.04%1.05%1.03%0.99%

LGI Homes's average Quarter revenue forecast for Dec 23 based on 3 analysts is $663.95M, with a low forecast of $585.54M, and a high forecast of $776.86M. LGIH's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a -38.31% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $1.08B (Sep 23).

LGI Homes EBITDA Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts111111124211363344443333377986
EBITDA-------------$82.28M$65.09M$26.05M$40.80M$94.98M$159.39M$99.90M$143.71M$127.29M$149.37M$123.56M$166.75M$78.01M$68.75M$55.05M$85.03M$64.89M
Avg Forecast$132.17M$131.04M$117.66M$83.81M$116.23M$113.70M$105.04M$69.94M$94.27M$94.36M$90.29M$128.71M$97.09M$91.43M$93.30M$101.75M$161.16M$87.70M$104.88M$80.43M$110.87M$107.05M$112.71M$57.09M$124.91M$75.48M$67.94M$35.36M$86.41M$71.20M
High Forecast$139.51M$138.31M$124.19M$88.47M$122.69M$120.01M$110.87M$73.83M$94.97M$96.09M$90.29M$154.45M$113.60M$98.41M$98.48M$122.10M$193.39M$87.70M$104.88M$96.52M$110.87M$107.05M$112.71M$68.50M$124.91M$75.48M$67.94M$42.43M$86.41M$71.20M
Low Forecast$123.13M$122.07M$109.61M$78.08M$108.28M$105.92M$97.85M$65.16M$93.61M$92.62M$90.29M$102.97M$85.62M$84.29M$86.92M$81.40M$128.92M$87.70M$104.88M$64.35M$110.87M$107.05M$112.71M$45.67M$124.91M$75.48M$67.94M$28.29M$86.41M$71.20M
Surprise %-------------0.90%0.70%0.26%0.25%1.08%1.52%1.24%1.30%1.19%1.33%2.16%1.34%1.03%1.01%1.56%0.98%0.91%

3 analysts predict LGIH's average Quarter EBITDA for Dec 23 to be $97.09M, with a high of $113.60M and a low of $85.62M. This is 18.00% upper than LGI Homes's previous annual EBITDA (Sep 23) of $82.28M.

LGI Homes Net Income Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts111111124211363344443333377986
Net Income-------------$67.04M$53.13M$26.96M$34.12M$90.39M$123.38M$78.69M$111.30M$100.55M$118.13M$99.66M$136.43M$89.00M$55.62M$42.84M$64.87M$49.35M
Avg Forecast$89.56M$90.23M$81.75M$43.62M$77.21M$75.82M$69.45M$33.16M$55.27M$59.84M$51.34M$101.38M$59.86M$51.43M$43.46M$80.14M$124.82M$83.35M$100.27M$63.35M$99.03M$94.75M$92.59M$46.04M$98.85M$50.89M$38.14M$27.51M$55.11M$44.66M
High Forecast$96.02M$96.74M$87.65M$46.76M$82.78M$81.29M$74.46M$35.55M$61.69M$61.38M$51.34M$121.66M$78.33M$61.34M$46.60M$96.17M$149.78M$83.35M$100.27M$76.02M$99.03M$94.75M$92.59M$55.25M$98.85M$50.89M$38.14M$33.02M$55.11M$44.66M
Low Forecast$81.59M$82.20M$74.48M$39.74M$70.34M$69.07M$63.27M$30.21M$49.48M$58.31M$51.34M$81.10M$49.62M$41.29M$39.60M$64.11M$99.85M$83.35M$100.27M$50.68M$99.03M$94.75M$92.59M$36.83M$98.85M$50.89M$38.14M$22.01M$55.11M$44.66M
Surprise %-------------1.30%1.22%0.34%0.27%1.08%1.23%1.24%1.12%1.06%1.28%2.16%1.38%1.75%1.46%1.56%1.18%1.11%

LGI Homes's average Quarter net income forecast for Dec 23 is $59.86M, with a range of $49.62M to $78.33M. LGIH's average Quarter net income forecast represents a -10.72% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $67.04M (Sep 23).

LGI Homes SG&A Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts111111124211363344443333377986
SG&A-------------$76.53M$76.85M$72.77M$60.23M$61.22M$72.35M$62.69M$70.41M$64.35M$68.07M$67.51M$77.77M$57.79M$50.14M$52.69M$58.22M$52.63M
Avg Forecast$98.57M$97.72M$87.74M$62.51M$86.68M$84.79M$78.34M$52.16M$70.30M$70.37M$67.33M$80.77M$72.40M$68.19M$69.58M$63.85M$78.96M$65.40M$78.21M$50.47M$82.67M$79.82M$84.04M$31.19M$93.14M$56.28M$50.66M$33.84M$64.44M$53.09M
High Forecast$104.04M$103.15M$92.62M$65.98M$91.50M$89.50M$82.69M$55.06M$70.83M$71.66M$67.33M$96.92M$84.72M$73.39M$73.44M$76.62M$94.75M$65.40M$78.21M$60.57M$82.67M$79.82M$84.04M$37.43M$93.14M$56.28M$50.66M$40.61M$64.44M$53.09M
Low Forecast$91.83M$91.04M$81.74M$58.23M$80.75M$78.99M$72.98M$48.59M$69.81M$69.07M$67.33M$64.61M$63.85M$62.86M$64.82M$51.08M$63.17M$65.40M$78.21M$40.38M$82.67M$79.82M$84.04M$24.95M$93.14M$56.28M$50.66M$27.07M$64.44M$53.09M
Surprise %-------------1.12%1.10%1.14%0.76%0.94%0.93%1.24%0.85%0.81%0.81%2.16%0.84%1.03%0.99%1.56%0.90%0.99%

LGI Homes's average Quarter SG&A projection for Dec 23 is $72.40M, based on 3 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $63.85M to $84.72M. The forecast indicates a -5.39% fall compared to LGIH last annual SG&A of $76.53M (Sep 23).

LGI Homes EPS Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts111111124211363344443333377986
EPS-------------$2.85$2.26$1.15$1.46$3.88$5.24$3.30$4.61$4.10$4.75$3.99$5.45$3.55$2.22$1.69$2.69$2.15
Avg Forecast$3.80$3.83$3.47$1.85$3.27$3.22$2.95$1.41$2.34$2.54$2.18$1.06$2.54$2.18$1.84$1.25$1.71$3.53$4.25$2.72$4.20$4.01$3.92$2.50$4.19$2.16$1.62$1.25$2.33$1.89
High Forecast$4.07$4.10$3.72$1.98$3.51$3.45$3.16$1.51$2.62$2.60$2.18$1.06$3.32$2.60$1.98$1.34$1.83$3.53$4.25$2.72$4.20$4.01$3.92$2.50$4.19$2.16$1.62$1.25$2.33$1.89
Low Forecast$3.46$3.49$3.16$1.69$2.98$2.93$2.68$1.28$2.10$2.47$2.18$1.06$2.10$1.75$1.68$1.14$1.56$3.53$4.25$2.72$4.20$4.01$3.92$2.50$4.19$2.16$1.62$1.25$2.33$1.89
Surprise %-------------1.31%1.23%0.92%0.85%1.10%1.23%1.21%1.10%1.02%1.21%1.60%1.30%1.65%1.37%1.35%1.15%1.14%

According to 3 Wall Street analysts, LGI Homes's projected average Quarter EPS for Dec 23 is $2.54, with a low estimate of $2.10 and a high estimate of $3.32. This represents a -10.93% decrease compared to LGIH previous annual EPS of $2.85 (Sep 23).

LGI Homes Peer Comparison by Price Target


TickerCompanyLast Closing PriceAvg Price TargetUpside/DownsideAvg Rating
BZHBeazer Homes USA$30.01$45.0049.95%Buy
TPHTri Pointe Homes$38.18$51.0033.58%Hold
MHOM/I Homes$150.73$197.5031.03%Strong Buy
LGIHLGI Homes$96.47$125.0029.57%Hold
MTHMeritage Homes$163.80$206.8026.25%Buy
TMHCTaylor Morrison Home$63.84$77.2020.93%Buy
LEGHLegacy Housing$24.88$29.5018.57%Buy
KBHKB Home$70.44$77.409.88%Buy
CVCOCavco Industries$473.29$475.000.36%Buy
CCSCentury Communities$81.31$60.67-25.38%Buy

LGIH Forecast FAQ


Is LGI Homes a good buy?

No, according to 6 Wall Street analysts, LGI Homes (LGIH) is considered a 'Hold'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 1 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 16.67% of LGIH's total ratings.

What is LGIH's price target?

LGI Homes (LGIH) average price target is $125 with a range of $125 to $125, implying a 37.06% from its last price of $91.2. The data is based on 6 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.

Will LGI Homes stock go up soon?

According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for LGIH stock, the company can go up by 37.06% (from the last price of $91.2 to the average price target of $125), up by 37.06% based on the highest stock price target, and up by 37.06% based on the lowest stock price target.

Can LGI Homes stock reach $140?

LGIH's average twelve months analyst stock price target of $125 does not support the claim that LGI Homes can reach $140 in the near future.

What are LGI Homes's analysts' financial forecasts?

LGI Homes's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $2.77B (high $2.92B, low $2.58B), average EBITDA is $404.92M (high $427.4M, low $377.22M), average net income is $255.63M (high $274.08M, low $232.9M), average SG&A $301.98M (high $318.74M, low $281.32M), and average EPS is $10.84 (high $11.62, low $9.88). LGIH's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2026) are as follows: average revenue is $3.18B (high $3.35B, low $2.96B), average EBITDA is $464.68M (high $490.48M, low $432.89M), average net income is $305.15M (high $327.18M, low $278.02M), average SG&A $346.55M (high $365.79M, low $322.84M), and average EPS is $12.94 (high $13.88, low $11.79).

Did the LGIH's actual financial results beat the analysts' financial forecasts?

Based on LGI Homes's last annual report (Dec 2022), the company's revenue was $2.3B, which missed the average analysts forecast of $2.36B by -2.22%. Apple's EBITDA was $390.11M, missing the average prediction of $434.18M by -10.15%. The company's net income was $326.57M, missing the average estimation of $371.79M by -12.16%. Apple's SG&A was $256.49M, missing the average forecast of $273.03M by -6.06%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $13.9, beating the average prediction of $12.21 by 13.87%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Sep 2023), LGI Homes's revenue was $1.08B, beating the average analysts' forecast of $625.3M by 72.12%. The company's EBITDA was $82.28M, missing the average prediction of $91.43M by -10.02%. LGI Homes's net income was $67.04M, beating the average estimation of $51.43M by 30.35%. The company's SG&A was $76.53M, beating the average forecast of $68.19M by 12.23%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $2.85, beating the average prediction of $2.18 by 30.66%