Hartford Financial Services Group (HIG) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions
HIG Stock Forecast
Hartford Financial Services Group stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $104.85 (represents a -9.11% downside from HIG’s last price of $115.36) and a rating consensus of 'Hold', based on 9 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.
HIG Price Target
The average price target for Hartford Financial Services Group (HIG) is $104.85 based on 1-year price targets from 9 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $130.00 to $73.00. This represents a potential -9.11% downside from HIG's last price of $115.36.
HIG Analyst Ratings
According to 9 Wall Street analysts, Hartford Financial Services Group's rating consensus is 'Hold'. The analyst rating breakdown for HIG stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 2 'Buy' (22.22%), 7 'Hold' (77.78%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).
Hartford Financial Services Group Price Target by Analyst
| Date | Analyst | Company | Price Target | Price when Published | Price Target/Price when Published | Price Target/Last Closing Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 04, 2024 | Alex Scott | Barclays | $130.00 | $116.00 | 12.07% | 12.69% |
| Jul 29, 2024 | Yaron Kinar | Jefferies | $113.00 | $109.26 | 3.42% | -2.05% |
| Jul 29, 2024 | Michael Ward | Citigroup | $118.00 | $109.26 | 8.00% | 2.29% |
| Jul 29, 2024 | Paul Newsome | Piper Sandler | $125.00 | $109.44 | 14.22% | 8.36% |
| Jul 29, 2024 | Mark Dwelle | RBC Capital | $115.00 | $109.41 | 5.11% | -0.31% |
| Jun 13, 2024 | Robert Cox | Goldman Sachs | $111.00 | $99.40 | 11.67% | -3.78% |
| May 15, 2024 | Jacob Kilstein | Argus Research | $110.00 | $101.33 | 8.56% | -4.65% |
| Mar 13, 2024 | Catherine Seifert | CFRA | $115.00 | $99.46 | 15.62% | -0.31% |
| Aug 04, 2022 | Tracy Benguigui | Barclays | $78.00 | $63.45 | 22.93% | -32.39% |
| May 03, 2022 | - | Raymond James | $85.00 | $70.15 | 21.17% | -26.32% |
The latest Hartford Financial Services Group stock forecast, released on Sep 04, 2024 by Alex Scott from Barclays, set a price target of $130.00, which represents a 12.07% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($116.00), and a 12.69% increase from HIG last price ($115.36).
Hartford Financial Services Group Price Target by Period
| 1M | 3M | 12M | |
|---|---|---|---|
| # Anlaysts | 1 | 5 | 8 |
| Avg Price Target | $130.00 | $120.20 | $117.13 |
| Last Closing Price | $115.36 | $115.36 | $115.36 |
| Upside/Downside | 12.69% | 4.20% | 1.53% |
In the current month, the average price target of Hartford Financial Services Group stock is $130.00, according to 1 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a 12.69% increase as opposed to Hartford Financial Services Group's last price of $115.36. This month's average price target is up 8.15% compared to last quarter, and up 10.99% compared to last year.
Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades
| Date | Company | Previous Rating | New Rating | Rating Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 04, 2024 | Barclays | Overweight | Equal-Weight | Initialise |
| Jul 29, 2024 | Piper Sandler | Underperform | Underperform | Hold |
| Jul 29, 2024 | Jefferies | Hold | Hold | Hold |
| Jul 29, 2024 | Citigroup | Neutral | Neutral | Hold |
| Jul 29, 2024 | RBC Capital | Sector Perform | Sector Perform | Hold |
| Jul 29, 2024 | Piper Sandler | Overweight | Overweight | Hold |
| Jul 11, 2024 | Wells Fargo | Sector Perform | Sector Perform | Hold |
| Jul 11, 2024 | RBC Capital | Underperform | Underperform | Hold |
| Jun 13, 2024 | Wells Fargo | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Jun 13, 2024 | Raymond James | Underperform | Underperform | Hold |
Hartford Financial Services Group's last stock rating was published by Barclays on Sep 04, 2024. The company Initialise its HIG rating from "Overweight" to "Equal-Weight".
Hartford Financial Services Group Financial Forecast
Hartford Financial Services Group Revenue Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $6.05B | $5.91B | $6.02B | $5.58B | - | $5.39B | $6.02B | $5.69B | $5.59B | $5.30B | $5.33B | $5.17B | $5.07B | $4.96B | $5.36B | $5.35B |
| Avg Forecast | $7.52B | $7.42B | $7.35B | $7.26B | $7.27B | $7.16B | $7.07B | $6.98B | $6.88B | $6.70B | $6.57B | $6.52B | $6.36B | $6.17B | $6.05B | $5.88B | $5.74B | $5.53B | $5.53B | $4.97B | $5.56B | $5.25B | $4.96B | $5.18B | $3.47B | $4.83B | $5.07B | $4.76B | $4.43B | $3.94B |
| High Forecast | $7.55B | $7.45B | $7.38B | $7.29B | $7.30B | $7.19B | $7.10B | $7.00B | $6.91B | $6.71B | $6.60B | $6.54B | $6.38B | $6.19B | $6.07B | $5.90B | $5.76B | $5.55B | $5.53B | $5.97B | $6.67B | $6.30B | $5.96B | $6.22B | $4.16B | $5.80B | $6.08B | $5.72B | $5.31B | $4.73B |
| Low Forecast | $7.49B | $7.40B | $7.32B | $7.24B | $7.24B | $7.14B | $7.05B | $6.95B | $6.86B | $6.67B | $6.55B | $6.49B | $6.35B | $6.14B | $6.03B | $5.85B | $5.72B | $5.51B | $5.53B | $3.98B | $4.45B | $4.20B | $3.97B | $4.14B | $2.77B | $3.87B | $4.05B | $3.81B | $3.54B | $3.15B |
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | 11 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 11 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 15 | 7 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.00% | 1.01% | 1.05% | 1.01% | - | 1.08% | 1.08% | 1.08% | 1.13% | 1.02% | 1.54% | 1.07% | 1.00% | 1.04% | 1.21% | 1.36% |
Hartford Financial Services Group's average Quarter revenue forecast for Sep 23 based on 3 analysts is $6.17B, with a low forecast of $6.14B, and a high forecast of $6.19B. HIG's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a 1.98% increase compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $6.05B (Jun 23).
Hartford Financial Services Group EBITDA Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | 11 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 11 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 15 | 7 |
| EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $672.00M | $832.00M | $922.00M | $960.00M | - | $1.04B | $1.13B | $809.00M | $1.34B | $534.00M | $860.00M | $732.00M | $784.00M | $542.00M | $859.00M | $832.00M |
| Avg Forecast | $717.09M | $708.06M | $701.13M | $692.72M | $693.51M | $683.13M | $674.57M | $665.35M | $656.42M | $638.88M | $626.80M | $1.16B | $606.83M | $588.38M | $576.88M | $1.05B | $547.72M | $523.59M | $527.15M | $958.96M | $756.28M | $475.99M | $1.23B | $585.68M | $581.95M | $304.19M | $784.00M | $546.01M | $787.42M | $657.55M |
| High Forecast | $719.73M | $710.67M | $703.71M | $695.27M | $696.06M | $685.65M | $677.05M | $667.81M | $658.84M | $640.26M | $629.11M | $1.39B | $608.24M | $590.18M | $579.00M | $1.27B | $549.74M | $628.31M | $527.15M | $1.15B | $907.53M | $571.19M | $1.47B | $702.81M | $698.35M | $365.02M | $940.80M | $655.22M | $944.90M | $789.06M |
| Low Forecast | $714.51M | $705.52M | $698.60M | $690.22M | $691.01M | $680.67M | $672.14M | $662.96M | $654.06M | $636.58M | $624.54M | $928.27M | $605.42M | $585.53M | $574.80M | $843.89M | $545.75M | $418.87M | $527.15M | $767.17M | $605.02M | $380.79M | $980.23M | $468.54M | $465.56M | $243.35M | $627.20M | $436.81M | $629.93M | $526.04M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.16% | 0.79% | 1.68% | 1.83% | - | 1.08% | 1.49% | 1.70% | 1.09% | 0.91% | 1.48% | 2.41% | 1.00% | 0.99% | 1.09% | 1.27% |
3 analysts predict HIG's average Quarter EBITDA for Sep 23 to be $588.38M, with a high of $590.18M and a low of $585.53M. This is -12.44% lower than Hartford Financial Services Group's previous annual EBITDA (Jun 23) of $672.00M.
Hartford Financial Services Group Net Income Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | 11 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 11 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 15 | 7 |
| Net Income | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $547.00M | $535.00M | $589.00M | $339.00M | - | $445.00M | $729.00M | $482.00M | $905.00M | $249.00M | $537.00M | $459.00M | $468.00M | $273.00M | $548.00M | $535.00M |
| Avg Forecast | $1.03B | $980.83M | $970.32M | $950.33M | $930.62M | $862.44M | $856.09M | $844.52M | $829.53M | $753.35M | $671.50M | $490.91M | $733.59M | $592.20M | $548.73M | $446.29M | $560.99M | $311.95M | $458.83M | $405.71M | $489.20M | $283.60M | $827.53M | $273.10M | $363.38M | $190.74M | $468.00M | $275.02M | $502.33M | $422.82M |
| High Forecast | $1.03B | $985.53M | $974.97M | $954.88M | $935.07M | $866.57M | $860.19M | $848.56M | $833.50M | $872.78M | $674.71M | $589.10M | $844.08M | $646.03M | $551.36M | $535.54M | $563.68M | $374.35M | $458.83M | $486.86M | $587.04M | $340.31M | $993.03M | $327.72M | $436.06M | $228.89M | $561.60M | $330.03M | $602.80M | $507.39M |
| Low Forecast | $1.02B | $976.24M | $965.78M | $945.88M | $926.26M | $858.40M | $852.08M | $840.57M | $825.65M | $673.73M | $668.35M | $392.73M | $690.61M | $556.31M | $546.16M | $357.03M | $558.37M | $249.56M | $458.83M | $324.57M | $391.36M | $226.88M | $662.02M | $218.48M | $290.71M | $152.59M | $374.40M | $220.02M | $401.87M | $338.26M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.00% | 1.20% | 1.05% | 1.09% | - | 1.10% | 1.49% | 1.70% | 1.09% | 0.91% | 1.48% | 2.41% | 1.00% | 0.99% | 1.09% | 1.27% |
Hartford Financial Services Group's average Quarter net income forecast for Sep 23 is $592.20M, with a range of $556.31M to $646.03M. HIG's average Quarter net income forecast represents a 8.26% increase compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $547.00M (Jun 23).
Hartford Financial Services Group SG&A Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | 11 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 11 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 15 | 7 |
| SG&A | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Avg Forecast | $1.60B | $1.58B | $1.56B | $1.54B | $1.54B | $1.52B | $1.50B | $1.48B | $1.46B | $1.42B | $1.40B | $1.38B | $1.35B | $1.31B | $1.28B | $1.25B | $1.22B | $1.17B | $1.17B | $1.06B | $1.18B | $1.12B | $1.05B | $1.10B | $736.63M | $1.03B | $1.08B | $1.01B | $940.14M | $837.21M |
| High Forecast | $1.60B | $1.58B | $1.57B | $1.55B | $1.55B | $1.53B | $1.51B | $1.49B | $1.47B | $1.43B | $1.40B | $1.39B | $1.35B | $1.31B | $1.29B | $1.25B | $1.22B | $1.18B | $1.17B | $1.27B | $1.42B | $1.34B | $1.27B | $1.32B | $883.96M | $1.23B | $1.29B | $1.21B | $1.13B | $1.00B |
| Low Forecast | $1.59B | $1.57B | $1.56B | $1.54B | $1.54B | $1.52B | $1.50B | $1.48B | $1.46B | $1.42B | $1.39B | $1.38B | $1.35B | $1.30B | $1.28B | $1.24B | $1.22B | $1.17B | $1.17B | $844.99M | $944.56M | $892.78M | $843.36M | $880.38M | $589.31M | $821.56M | $861.18M | $809.40M | $752.11M | $669.77M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Hartford Financial Services Group's average Quarter SG&A projection for undefined is $NaN, based on undefined Wall Street analysts, with a range of $NaN to $NaN. The forecast indicates a NaN% fall compared to HIG last annual SG&A of $NaN (undefined).
Hartford Financial Services Group EPS Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | 11 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 11 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 15 | 7 |
| EPS | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $1.75 | $1.69 | $1.85 | $1.03 | - | $1.32 | $2.18 | $1.38 | $2.54 | $0.68 | $1.48 | $1.26 | $1.29 | $0.75 | $1.51 | $1.45 |
| Avg Forecast | $3.42 | $3.27 | $3.24 | $3.17 | $3.10 | $2.88 | $2.85 | $2.82 | $2.77 | $2.51 | $2.24 | $2.46 | $2.45 | $1.97 | $1.83 | $1.76 | $1.87 | $1.22 | $1.52 | $1.43 | $1.89 | $1.25 | $1.01 | $0.68 | $0.90 | $0.37 | $1.22 | $1.36 | $1.21 | $0.98 |
| High Forecast | $3.44 | $3.29 | $3.25 | $3.18 | $3.12 | $2.89 | $2.87 | $2.83 | $2.78 | $2.91 | $2.25 | $2.47 | $2.81 | $2.15 | $1.84 | $1.77 | $1.88 | $1.22 | $1.52 | $1.44 | $1.91 | $1.26 | $1.02 | $0.82 | $1.08 | $0.45 | $1.46 | $1.63 | $1.45 | $1.18 |
| Low Forecast | $3.40 | $3.26 | $3.22 | $3.15 | $3.09 | $2.86 | $2.84 | $2.80 | $2.75 | $2.25 | $2.23 | $2.45 | $2.30 | $1.85 | $1.82 | $1.75 | $1.86 | $1.21 | $1.52 | $1.41 | $1.87 | $1.23 | $1.00 | $0.54 | $0.72 | $0.30 | $0.98 | $1.09 | $0.97 | $0.78 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.96% | 0.96% | 0.99% | 0.85% | - | 0.92% | 1.15% | 1.11% | 2.51% | 1.00% | 1.64% | 3.41% | 1.06% | 0.55% | 1.25% | 1.48% |
According to 3 Wall Street analysts, Hartford Financial Services Group's projected average Quarter EPS for Sep 23 is $1.97, with a low estimate of $1.85 and a high estimate of $2.15. This represents a 12.84% increase compared to HIG previous annual EPS of $1.75 (Jun 23).
Hartford Financial Services Group Peer Comparison by Price Target
| Ticker | Company | Last Closing Price | Avg Price Target | Upside/Downside | Avg Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AEG | Aegon | $5.98 | $7.50 | 25.42% | Hold |
| EQH | Equitable | $40.12 | $44.43 | 10.74% | Buy |
| AIG | American Group | $73.11 | $80.67 | 10.34% | Buy |
| IGIC | International General Insurance | $18.16 | $19.00 | 4.63% | Buy |
| BRK-B | Berkshire Hathaway | $447.61 | $465.50 | 4.00% | - |
| SLF | Sun Life Financial | $56.08 | $54.91 | -2.09% | Buy |
| GSHD | Goosehead Insurance | $89.20 | $81.50 | -8.63% | Buy |
| ORI | Old Republic | $35.05 | $32.00 | -8.70% | Buy |
| HIG | Hartford Financial Services Group | $115.36 | $104.85 | -9.11% | Hold |
| ACGL | Arch Capital Group | $112.02 | $98.60 | -11.98% | Buy |
HIG Forecast FAQ
Is Hartford Financial Services Group a good buy?
No, according to 9 Wall Street analysts, Hartford Financial Services Group (HIG) is considered a 'Hold'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 2 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 22.22% of HIG's total ratings.
What is HIG's price target?
Hartford Financial Services Group (HIG) average price target is $104.85 with a range of $73 to $130, implying a -9.11% from its last price of $115.36. The data is based on 9 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.
Will Hartford Financial Services Group stock go up soon?
According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for HIG stock, the company can go down by -9.11% (from the last price of $115.36 to the average price target of $104.85), up by 12.69% based on the highest stock price target, and down by -36.72% based on the lowest stock price target.
Can Hartford Financial Services Group stock reach $200?
HIG's average twelve months analyst stock price target of $104.85 does not support the claim that Hartford Financial Services Group can reach $200 in the near future.
What is Hartford Financial Services Group's current price target trend?
1 Wall Street analyst forecast a $130 price target for Hartford Financial Services Group (HIG) this month, up 12.69% from its last price of $115.36. Compared to the last 3 and 12 months, the average price target increased by 4.20% and increased by 1.53%, respectively.
What are Hartford Financial Services Group's analysts' financial forecasts?
Hartford Financial Services Group's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $28.48B (high $28.59B, low $28.38B), average EBITDA is $2.72B (high $2.73B, low $2.71B), average net income is $3.49B (high $3.51B, low $3.48B), average SG&A $6.05B (high $6.07B, low $6.03B), and average EPS is $11.65 (high $11.71, low $11.59). HIG's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2026) are as follows: average revenue is $29.56B (high $29.66B, low $29.45B), average EBITDA is $2.82B (high $2.83B, low $2.81B), average net income is $3.93B (high $3.95B, low $3.91B), average SG&A $6.28B (high $6.3B, low $6.26B), and average EPS is $13.09 (high $13.16, low $13.03).
Did the HIG's actual financial results beat the analysts' financial forecasts?
Based on Hartford Financial Services Group's last annual report (Dec 2022), the company's revenue was $22.36B, beating the average analysts forecast of $21.77B by 2.70%. Apple's EBITDA was $3.1B, beating the average prediction of $2.56B by 21.06%. The company's net income was $1.82B, beating the average estimation of $1.74B by 4.46%. Apple's SG&A was $0, missing the average forecast of $4.62B by -100.00%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $5.52, missing the average prediction of $6.03 by -8.49%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Jun 2023), Hartford Financial Services Group's revenue was $6.05B, beating the average analysts' forecast of $6.05B by 0.01%. The company's EBITDA was $672M, beating the average prediction of $576.88M by 16.49%. Hartford Financial Services Group's net income was $547M, missing the average estimation of $548.73M by -0.32%. The company's SG&A was $0, missing the average forecast of $1.28B by -100.00%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $1.75, missing the average prediction of $1.83 by -4.36%