Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions
HGV Stock Forecast
Hilton Grand Vacations stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $51.20 (represents a 25.46% upside from HGV’s last price of $40.81) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 6 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.
HGV Price Target
The average price target for Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV) is $51.20 based on 1-year price targets from 6 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $63.00 to $31.00. This represents a potential 25.46% upside from HGV's last price of $40.81.
HGV Analyst Ratings
According to 6 Wall Street analysts, Hilton Grand Vacations's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for HGV stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 4 'Buy' (66.67%), 1 'Hold' (16.67%), 1 'Sell' (16.67%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).
Hilton Grand Vacations Price Target by Analyst
| Date | Analyst | Company | Price Target | Price when Published | Price Target/Price when Published | Price Target/Last Closing Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2024 | Lizzie Dove | Goldman Sachs | $31.00 | $37.10 | -16.44% | -24.04% |
| Sep 05, 2024 | Patrick Scholes | Truist Financial | $52.00 | $37.59 | 38.33% | 27.42% |
| Jun 03, 2024 | Chris Woronka | Deutsche Bank | $56.00 | $41.33 | 35.49% | 37.22% |
| May 28, 2024 | Patrick Scholes | Truist Financial | $71.00 | $41.31 | 71.87% | 73.98% |
| May 17, 2024 | Brandt Montour | Barclays | $54.00 | $42.24 | 27.84% | 32.32% |
| Mar 25, 2024 | Ben Chaiken | Mizuho Securities | $63.00 | $45.79 | 37.58% | 54.37% |
| Mar 15, 2024 | Patrick Scholes | Truist Financial | $70.00 | $45.27 | 54.63% | 71.53% |
The latest Hilton Grand Vacations stock forecast, released on Sep 18, 2024 by Lizzie Dove from Goldman Sachs, set a price target of $31.00, which represents a -16.44% decrease from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($37.10), and a -24.04% decrease from HGV last price ($40.81).
Hilton Grand Vacations Price Target by Period
| 1M | 3M | 12M | |
|---|---|---|---|
| # Anlaysts | - | 2 | 7 |
| Avg Price Target | - | $41.50 | $56.71 |
| Last Closing Price | $40.81 | $40.81 | $40.81 |
| Upside/Downside | -100.00% | 1.69% | 38.96% |
In the current month, the average price target of Hilton Grand Vacations stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to Hilton Grand Vacations's last price of $40.81. This month's average price target is down -100.00% compared to last quarter, and down -100.00% compared to last year.
Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades
| Date | Company | Previous Rating | New Rating | Rating Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2024 | Goldman Sachs | - | Sell | Initialise |
| Aug 09, 2024 | Jefferies | Underperform | Hold | Downgrade |
| Jun 03, 2024 | Deutsche Bank | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| May 28, 2024 | Mizuho Securities | Underperform | Underperform | Hold |
| May 28, 2024 | Truist Financial | Market Outperform | Market Outperform | Hold |
| May 17, 2024 | Barclays | Overweight | Overweight | Hold |
| Apr 15, 2024 | Mizuho Securities | Market Outperform | Market Outperform | Hold |
| Mar 01, 2024 | Jefferies | Underperform | Underperform | Hold |
| Mar 01, 2024 | JMP Securities | Market Outperform | Market Outperform | Hold |
| Oct 05, 2023 | Jefferies | Hold | Hold | Hold |
Hilton Grand Vacations's last stock rating was published by Goldman Sachs on Sep 18, 2024. The company Initialise its HGV rating from "null" to "Sell".
Hilton Grand Vacations Financial Forecast
Hilton Grand Vacations Revenue Forecast
| Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | Jun 19 | Mar 19 | Mar 18 | Mar 17 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $1.02B | $1.02B | $1.01B | $934.00M | $992.00M | $1.12B | $948.00M | $779.00M | $838.00M | $928.00M | $334.00M | $235.00M | $212.00M | $208.00M | $123.00M | $351.00M | $468.00M | $466.00M | $454.00M | $450.00M | $367.00M | $399.00M |
| Avg Forecast | $1.38B | $1.35B | $1.35B | $1.23B | $1.31B | $1.29B | $1.33B | $1.12B | $1.02B | $1.04B | $998.58M | $889.73M | $975.45M | $929.14M | $951.37M | $761.25M | $796.22M | $387.74M | $298.55M | $219.12M | $242.28M | $217.08M | $125.03M | $381.74M | $477.87M | $462.48M | $449.51M | $456.17M | $831.87M | $320.76M |
| High Forecast | $1.42B | $1.39B | $1.38B | $1.26B | $1.36B | $1.31B | $1.33B | $1.12B | $1.06B | $1.04B | $1.02B | $910.75M | $998.49M | $929.14M | $951.37M | $761.25M | $796.22M | $387.74M | $298.55M | $219.12M | $242.28M | $217.08M | $125.03M | $381.74M | $477.87M | $462.48M | $449.51M | $456.17M | $998.24M | $384.92M |
| Low Forecast | $1.36B | $1.33B | $1.33B | $1.22B | $1.29B | $1.27B | $1.33B | $1.12B | $996.84M | $1.04B | $983.02M | $875.87M | $960.25M | $929.14M | $951.37M | $761.25M | $796.22M | $387.74M | $298.55M | $219.12M | $242.28M | $217.08M | $125.03M | $381.74M | $477.87M | $462.48M | $449.51M | $456.17M | $665.49M | $256.61M |
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.00% | 0.98% | 1.01% | 1.05% | 1.02% | 1.20% | 1.00% | 1.02% | 1.05% | 2.39% | 1.12% | 1.07% | 0.88% | 0.96% | 0.98% | 0.92% | 0.98% | 1.01% | 1.01% | 0.99% | 0.44% | 1.24% |
Hilton Grand Vacations's average Quarter revenue forecast for Mar 24 based on 2 analysts is $1.12B, with a low forecast of $1.12B, and a high forecast of $1.12B. HGV's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a 10.34% increase compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $1.02B (Dec 23).
Hilton Grand Vacations EBITDA Forecast
| Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | Jun 19 | Mar 19 | Mar 18 | Mar 17 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $-56.00M | $56.00M | $53.00M | $202.00M | $227.00M | $317.00M | $227.00M | $180.00M | $208.00M | $238.00M | $41.00M | $13.00M | $-199.00M | $9.00M | $-33.00M | $31.00M | $98.00M | $96.00M | $78.00M | $95.00M | $55.00M | $90.00M |
| Avg Forecast | $203.25M | $198.89M | $197.80M | $181.44M | $192.26M | $189.49M | $195.73M | $192.66M | $150.31M | $153.33M | $146.73M | $206.05M | $70.62M | $177.01M | $181.24M | $220.38M | $151.69M | $73.87M | $56.88M | $10.24M | $46.16M | $41.36M | $23.82M | $50.57M | $91.04M | $88.11M | $85.64M | $99.67M | $77.16M | $68.05M |
| High Forecast | $208.05M | $203.59M | $202.47M | $185.73M | $199.54M | $192.52M | $195.73M | $231.19M | $156.20M | $153.33M | $150.20M | $247.26M | $84.74M | $177.01M | $181.24M | $264.45M | $151.69M | $73.87M | $56.88M | $12.29M | $46.16M | $41.36M | $23.82M | $60.68M | $91.04M | $88.11M | $85.64M | $119.61M | $92.59M | $81.66M |
| Low Forecast | $200.09M | $195.79M | $194.72M | $178.61M | $189.35M | $186.46M | $195.73M | $154.13M | $146.47M | $153.33M | $144.44M | $164.84M | $56.49M | $177.01M | $181.24M | $176.30M | $151.69M | $73.87M | $56.88M | $8.19M | $46.16M | $41.36M | $23.82M | $40.45M | $91.04M | $88.11M | $85.64M | $79.74M | $61.73M | $54.44M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | -0.37% | 0.37% | 0.36% | 0.98% | 3.21% | 1.79% | 1.25% | 0.82% | 1.37% | 3.22% | 0.72% | 1.27% | -4.31% | 0.22% | -1.39% | 0.61% | 1.08% | 1.09% | 0.91% | 0.95% | 0.71% | 1.32% |
4 analysts predict HGV's average Quarter EBITDA for Dec 23 to be $150.31M, with a high of $156.20M and a low of $146.47M. This is 168.40% upper than Hilton Grand Vacations's previous annual EBITDA (Sep 23) of $56.00M.
Hilton Grand Vacations Net Income Forecast
| Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | Jun 19 | Mar 19 | Mar 18 | Mar 17 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| Net Income | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $252.00M | $92.00M | $80.00M | $73.00M | $78.00M | $150.00M | $73.00M | $51.00M | $75.00M | $99.00M | $9.00M | $-7.00M | $-154.00M | $-7.00M | $-48.00M | $8.00M | $72.00M | $50.00M | $39.00M | $55.00M | $30.00M | $50.00M |
| Avg Forecast | $87.35M | $87.91M | $72.56M | $73.04M | $86.76M | $76.99M | $95.14M | $59.91M | $96.42M | $98.45M | $81.09M | $64.08M | $51.88M | $94.12M | $91.85M | $68.53M | $79.33M | $22.78M | $19.37M | $-5.52M | $-4.72M | $-20.36M | $-49.57M | $13.05M | $55.29M | $51.47M | $45.08M | $57.70M | $42.09M | $37.80M |
| High Forecast | $90.03M | $90.61M | $74.79M | $75.29M | $97.86M | $79.36M | $95.76M | $71.89M | $102.39M | $98.45M | $83.58M | $76.89M | $62.26M | $94.12M | $91.85M | $82.24M | $79.33M | $22.78M | $19.37M | $-4.41M | $-4.72M | $-20.36M | $-49.57M | $15.66M | $55.29M | $51.47M | $45.08M | $69.25M | $50.51M | $45.37M |
| Low Forecast | $85.58M | $86.13M | $71.09M | $71.56M | $77.68M | $75.44M | $94.52M | $47.93M | $85.49M | $98.44M | $79.45M | $51.26M | $41.51M | $94.12M | $91.85M | $54.83M | $79.33M | $22.78M | $19.37M | $-6.62M | $-4.72M | $-20.36M | $-49.57M | $10.44M | $55.29M | $51.47M | $45.08M | $46.16M | $33.67M | $30.24M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2.61% | 0.93% | 0.99% | 1.14% | 1.50% | 1.59% | 0.79% | 0.74% | 0.95% | 4.35% | 0.46% | 1.27% | 32.65% | 0.34% | 0.97% | 0.61% | 1.30% | 0.97% | 0.87% | 0.95% | 0.71% | 1.32% |
Hilton Grand Vacations's average Quarter net income forecast for Mar 24 is $59.91M, with a range of $47.93M to $71.89M. HGV's average Quarter net income forecast represents a -76.23% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $252.00M (Dec 23).
Hilton Grand Vacations SG&A Forecast
| Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | Jun 19 | Mar 19 | Mar 18 | Mar 17 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| SG&A | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $162.00M | $210.00M | $221.00M | $72.00M | $88.00M | $405.00M | $98.00M | $67.00M | $467.00M | $65.00M | $63.00M | $50.00M | $208.00M | $44.00M | $39.00M | $55.00M | $69.00M | $68.00M | $68.00M | $58.00M | $207.00M | $50.00M |
| Avg Forecast | $239.94M | $234.80M | $233.51M | $214.19M | $226.97M | $223.70M | $231.06M | $218.50M | $177.44M | $181.01M | $173.22M | $233.69M | $49.72M | $161.17M | $165.03M | $249.94M | $138.12M | $67.26M | $51.79M | $39.39M | $42.03M | $37.66M | $21.69M | $89.72M | $82.89M | $80.22M | $77.97M | $60.85M | $290.41M | $37.80M |
| High Forecast | $245.61M | $240.34M | $239.02M | $219.25M | $235.56M | $227.28M | $231.06M | $262.20M | $184.40M | $181.01M | $177.31M | $280.43M | $59.67M | $161.17M | $165.03M | $299.93M | $138.12M | $67.26M | $51.79M | $47.27M | $42.03M | $37.66M | $21.69M | $107.66M | $82.89M | $80.22M | $77.97M | $73.02M | $348.49M | $45.37M |
| Low Forecast | $236.20M | $231.14M | $229.87M | $210.86M | $223.53M | $220.12M | $231.06M | $174.80M | $172.92M | $181.01M | $170.52M | $186.95M | $39.78M | $161.17M | $165.03M | $199.95M | $138.12M | $67.26M | $51.79M | $31.52M | $42.03M | $37.66M | $21.69M | $71.78M | $82.89M | $80.22M | $77.97M | $48.68M | $232.33M | $30.24M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.91% | 1.16% | 1.28% | 0.31% | 1.77% | 2.51% | 0.59% | 0.27% | 3.38% | 0.97% | 1.22% | 1.27% | 4.95% | 1.17% | 1.80% | 0.61% | 0.83% | 0.85% | 0.87% | 0.95% | 0.71% | 1.32% |
Hilton Grand Vacations's average Quarter SG&A projection for Mar 24 is $218.50M, based on 2 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $174.80M to $262.20M. The forecast indicates a 34.88% rise compared to HGV last annual SG&A of $162.00M (Dec 23).
Hilton Grand Vacations EPS Forecast
| Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | Jun 19 | Mar 19 | Mar 18 | Mar 17 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| EPS | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0.63 | $0.84 | $0.72 | $0.65 | $0.68 | $1.25 | $0.60 | $0.42 | $0.63 | $0.92 | $0.10 | $-0.08 | $-1.81 | $-0.08 | $-0.56 | $0.09 | $0.83 | $0.59 | $0.43 | $0.59 | $0.31 | $0.51 |
| Avg Forecast | $0.86 | $0.86 | $0.71 | $0.72 | $0.85 | $0.75 | $0.93 | $0.75 | $0.95 | $0.97 | $0.80 | $0.56 | $0.77 | $0.90 | $0.88 | $0.67 | $0.76 | $0.22 | $0.19 | $-0.06 | $-0.05 | $-0.20 | $-0.48 | $0.37 | $0.53 | $0.49 | $0.43 | $0.61 | $0.95 | $0.31 |
| High Forecast | $0.88 | $0.89 | $0.73 | $0.74 | $0.96 | $0.78 | $0.94 | $0.75 | $1.00 | $0.97 | $0.82 | $0.58 | $0.80 | $0.90 | $0.88 | $0.67 | $0.76 | $0.22 | $0.19 | $-0.06 | $-0.05 | $-0.20 | $-0.48 | $0.37 | $0.53 | $0.49 | $0.43 | $0.61 | $1.14 | $0.37 |
| Low Forecast | $0.84 | $0.84 | $0.70 | $0.70 | $0.76 | $0.74 | $0.93 | $0.75 | $0.84 | $0.97 | $0.78 | $0.55 | $0.76 | $0.90 | $0.88 | $0.67 | $0.76 | $0.22 | $0.19 | $-0.06 | $-0.05 | $-0.20 | $-0.48 | $0.37 | $0.53 | $0.49 | $0.43 | $0.61 | $0.76 | $0.25 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.67% | 0.87% | 0.91% | 1.16% | 0.88% | 1.39% | 0.68% | 0.63% | 0.83% | 4.21% | 0.54% | 1.35% | 40.03% | 0.41% | 1.18% | 0.24% | 1.57% | 1.20% | 0.99% | 0.96% | 0.33% | 1.65% |
According to 2 Wall Street analysts, Hilton Grand Vacations's projected average Quarter EPS for Mar 24 is $0.75, with a low estimate of $0.75 and a high estimate of $0.75. This represents a 19.50% increase compared to HGV previous annual EPS of $0.63 (Dec 23).
Hilton Grand Vacations Peer Comparison by Price Target
| Ticker | Company | Last Closing Price | Avg Price Target | Upside/Downside | Avg Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLL | Full House Resorts | $4.70 | $13.00 | 176.60% | Buy |
| CNTY | Century Casinos | $4.25 | $9.00 | 111.76% | Buy |
| MTN | Vail Resorts | $174.95 | $236.11 | 34.96% | Hold |
| VAC | Marriott Vacations Worldwide | $89.60 | $113.92 | 27.14% | Buy |
| RRR | Red Rock Resorts | $49.52 | $62.29 | 25.79% | Buy |
| HGV | Hilton Grand Vacations | $40.81 | $51.20 | 25.46% | Buy |
| GDEN | Golden Entertainment | $33.20 | $39.20 | 18.07% | Buy |
| PLYA | Playa Hotels & Resorts | $9.51 | $11.00 | 15.67% | Buy |
| MCRI | Monarch Casino & Resort | $82.87 | $84.00 | 1.36% | Hold |
| BALY | Bally's | $17.86 | $18.10 | 1.34% | Hold |
| BVH | Bluegreen Vacations | $75.00 | $45.00 | -40.00% | - |