Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions


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HGV Stock Forecast


Hilton Grand Vacations stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $56.25 (represents a 54.19% upside from HGV’s last price of $36.48) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 5 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.

HGV Price Target


The average price target for Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV) is $56.25 based on 1-year price targets from 5 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $63.00 to $52.00. This represents a potential 54.19% upside from HGV's last price of $36.48.

HGV Analyst Ratings


Buy

According to 5 Wall Street analysts, Hilton Grand Vacations's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for HGV stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 4 'Buy' (80.00%), 1 'Hold' (20.00%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).

Hilton Grand Vacations Price Target by Analyst


DateAnalystCompanyPrice TargetPrice when PublishedPrice Target/Price when PublishedPrice Target/Last Closing Price
Sep 05, 2024Patrick ScholesTruist Financial$52.00$37.5938.33%42.54%
Jun 03, 2024Chris WoronkaDeutsche Bank$56.00$41.3335.49%53.51%
May 28, 2024Patrick ScholesTruist Financial$71.00$41.3171.87%94.63%
May 17, 2024Brandt MontourBarclays$54.00$42.2427.84%48.03%
Mar 25, 2024Ben ChaikenMizuho Securities$63.00$45.7937.58%72.70%
Mar 15, 2024Patrick ScholesTruist Financial$70.00$45.2754.63%91.89%
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The latest Hilton Grand Vacations stock forecast, released on Sep 05, 2024 by Patrick Scholes from Truist Financial, set a price target of $52.00, which represents a 38.33% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($37.59), and a 42.54% increase from HGV last price ($36.48).

Hilton Grand Vacations Price Target by Period


1M3M12M
# Anlaysts116
Avg Price Target$52.00$52.00$61.00
Last Closing Price$36.48$36.48$36.48
Upside/Downside42.54%42.54%67.21%

In the current month, the average price target of Hilton Grand Vacations stock is $52.00, according to 1 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a 42.54% increase as opposed to Hilton Grand Vacations's last price of $36.48. This month's average price target is down 0.00% compared to last quarter, and down -14.75% compared to last year.

Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades


DateCompanyPrevious RatingNew RatingRating Change
Aug 09, 2024JefferiesUnderperformHoldDowngrade
Jun 03, 2024Deutsche BankBuyBuyHold
May 28, 2024Mizuho SecuritiesUnderperformUnderperformHold
May 28, 2024Truist FinancialMarket OutperformMarket OutperformHold
May 17, 2024BarclaysOverweightOverweightHold
Apr 15, 2024Mizuho SecuritiesMarket OutperformMarket OutperformHold
Mar 01, 2024JMP SecuritiesMarket OutperformMarket OutperformHold
Mar 01, 2024JefferiesUnderperformUnderperformHold
Oct 05, 2023JefferiesHoldHoldHold
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Hilton Grand Vacations's last stock rating was published by Jefferies on Aug 09, 2024. The company Downgrade its HGV rating from "Underperform" to "Hold".

Hilton Grand Vacations Financial Forecast


Hilton Grand Vacations Revenue Forecast

Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jul 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19Jun 19Mar 19Dec 18Sep 18
Revenue--------$1.02B$1.02B$1.01B$934.00M$992.00M$1.12B-$779.00M$838.00M$928.00M$334.00M$235.00M$212.00M$208.00M$123.00M$351.00M$468.00M$466.00M$454.00M$450.00M$642.00M$427.00M
Avg Forecast$1.36B$1.34B$1.34B$1.23B$1.31B$1.32B$1.33B$1.12B$1.02B$1.04B$998.58M$889.73M$975.45M$929.14M$951.37M$761.25M$796.22M$387.74M$298.55M$219.12M$242.28M$217.08M$125.03M$381.74M$477.87M$462.48M$449.51M$456.17M$626.47M$457.50M
High Forecast$1.42B$1.39B$1.39B$1.28B$1.36B$1.38B$1.38B$1.17B$1.06B$1.08B$1.04B$923.84M$1.01B$964.75M$951.37M$800.64M$837.42M$407.80M$314.00M$230.46M$254.82M$228.32M$131.50M$401.49M$502.60M$486.41M$472.77M$479.77M$751.76M$549.00M
Low Forecast$1.30B$1.27B$1.27B$1.17B$1.25B$1.26B$1.27B$1.07B$996.84M$991.32M$948.65M$845.24M$926.67M$882.68M$951.37M$726.96M$760.36M$370.27M$285.11M$209.26M$231.37M$207.31M$119.40M$364.55M$456.35M$441.65M$429.26M$435.62M$501.17M$366.00M
# Analysts1111242242221111222447443533913
Surprise %--------1.00%0.98%1.01%1.05%1.02%1.20%-1.02%1.05%2.39%1.12%1.07%0.88%0.96%0.98%0.92%0.98%1.01%1.01%0.99%1.02%0.93%

Hilton Grand Vacations's average Quarter revenue forecast for Mar 24 based on 2 analysts is $1.12B, with a low forecast of $1.07B, and a high forecast of $1.17B. HGV's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a 10.34% increase compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $1.02B (Dec 23).

Hilton Grand Vacations EBITDA Forecast

Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jul 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19Jun 19Mar 19Dec 18Sep 18
# Analysts1111242242221111222447443533913
EBITDA--------$-56.00M$56.00M$53.00M$202.00M$227.00M$317.00M-$180.00M$208.00M$238.00M$41.00M$13.00M$-199.00M$9.00M$-33.00M$31.00M$98.00M$96.00M$78.00M$95.00M$180.00M$72.00M
Avg Forecast$259.78M$254.44M$254.92M$234.20M$249.82M$252.20M$253.77M$192.66M$194.87M$198.80M$190.24M$206.05M$185.83M$122.01M$181.24M$220.38M$151.69M$96.45M$56.23M$10.24M$46.16M$12.79M$-27.50M$50.57M$55.83M$76.41M$78.00M$99.67M$175.54M$76.80M
High Forecast$269.74M$264.19M$264.69M$243.18M$259.40M$263.58M$263.50M$231.19M$202.52M$206.42M$197.53M$247.26M$192.95M$146.42M$181.24M$264.45M$159.54M$115.74M$67.47M$12.29M$48.55M$15.35M$-22.00M$60.68M$66.99M$91.69M$93.60M$119.61M$210.64M$92.16M
Low Forecast$246.79M$241.72M$242.18M$222.49M$237.33M$240.83M$241.08M$154.13M$189.91M$188.86M$180.73M$164.84M$176.54M$97.61M$181.24M$176.30M$144.86M$77.16M$44.98M$8.19M$44.08M$10.23M$-33.00M$40.45M$44.66M$61.13M$62.40M$79.74M$140.43M$61.44M
Surprise %---------0.29%0.28%0.28%0.98%1.22%2.60%-0.82%1.37%2.47%0.73%1.27%-4.31%0.70%1.20%0.61%1.76%1.26%1.00%0.95%1.03%0.94%

4 analysts predict HGV's average Quarter EBITDA for Dec 23 to be $194.87M, with a high of $202.52M and a low of $189.91M. This is 247.99% upper than Hilton Grand Vacations's previous annual EBITDA (Sep 23) of $56.00M.

Hilton Grand Vacations Net Income Forecast

Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jul 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19Jun 19Mar 19Dec 18Sep 18
# Analysts1111242242221111222447443533913
Net Income--------$252.00M$92.00M$80.00M$73.00M$78.00M$150.00M-$51.00M$75.00M$99.00M$9.00M$-7.00M$-154.00M$-7.00M$-48.00M$8.00M$72.00M$50.00M$39.00M$55.00M$120.00M$41.00M
Avg Forecast$133.46M$121.43M$71.10M$63.89M$97.61M$89.28M$97.29M$59.91M$98.60M$100.67M$82.92M$64.08M$80.46M$50.75M$92.56M$68.53M$83.66M$40.12M$12.34M$-5.52M$-4.97M$-9.95M$-40.00M$13.05M$41.01M$39.80M$39.00M$57.70M$117.02M$43.73M
High Forecast$140.11M$127.48M$74.64M$67.08M$102.48M$113.91M$102.13M$71.89M$104.70M$105.68M$87.05M$76.89M$84.47M$60.90M$92.56M$82.24M$89.29M$48.15M$14.81M$-4.41M$-4.68M$-7.96M$-32.00M$15.66M$49.22M$47.76M$46.80M$69.25M$140.43M$52.48M
Low Forecast$124.78M$113.54M$66.47M$59.74M$91.27M$68.75M$90.96M$47.93M$87.42M$94.12M$77.53M$51.26M$75.23M$40.60M$92.56M$54.83M$78.76M$32.10M$9.87M$-6.62M$-5.31M$-11.94M$-48.00M$10.44M$32.81M$31.84M$31.20M$46.16M$93.62M$34.99M
Surprise %--------2.56%0.91%0.96%1.14%0.97%2.96%-0.74%0.90%2.47%0.73%1.27%30.96%0.70%1.20%0.61%1.76%1.26%1.00%0.95%1.03%0.94%

Hilton Grand Vacations's average Quarter net income forecast for Mar 24 is $59.91M, with a range of $47.93M to $71.89M. HGV's average Quarter net income forecast represents a -76.23% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $252.00M (Dec 23).

Hilton Grand Vacations SG&A Forecast

Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jul 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19Jun 19Mar 19Dec 18Sep 18
# Analysts1111242242221111222447443533913
SG&A--------$162.00M$210.00M$221.00M$72.00M$88.00M$405.00M-$67.00M$467.00M$65.00M$63.00M$50.00M$208.00M$44.00M$39.00M$55.00M$69.00M$68.00M$68.00M$58.00M$69.00M$65.00M
Avg Forecast$236.54M$231.67M$232.12M$213.25M$227.47M$229.64M$231.06M$218.50M$177.44M$181.01M$173.22M$233.69M$169.21M$33.32M$165.03M$249.94M$138.12M$26.34M$86.40M$39.39M$42.03M$62.53M$32.50M$89.72M$39.31M$54.12M$68.00M$60.85M$67.29M$69.33M
High Forecast$245.60M$240.55M$241.01M$221.42M$236.19M$240.00M$239.92M$262.20M$184.40M$187.95M$179.86M$280.43M$175.69M$39.99M$165.03M$299.93M$145.26M$31.61M$103.68M$47.27M$44.20M$75.03M$39.00M$107.66M$47.17M$64.95M$81.60M$73.02M$80.75M$83.20M
Low Forecast$224.71M$220.09M$220.51M$202.59M$216.09M$219.28M$219.51M$174.80M$172.92M$171.96M$164.56M$186.95M$160.74M$26.66M$165.03M$199.95M$131.90M$21.07M$69.12M$31.52M$40.13M$50.02M$26.00M$71.78M$31.44M$43.30M$54.40M$48.68M$53.83M$55.47M
Surprise %--------0.91%1.16%1.28%0.31%0.52%12.15%-0.27%3.38%2.47%0.73%1.27%4.95%0.70%1.20%0.61%1.76%1.26%1.00%0.95%1.03%0.94%

Hilton Grand Vacations's average Quarter SG&A projection for Mar 24 is $218.50M, based on 2 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $174.80M to $262.20M. The forecast indicates a 34.88% rise compared to HGV last annual SG&A of $162.00M (Dec 23).

Hilton Grand Vacations EPS Forecast

Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jul 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19Jun 19Mar 19Dec 18Sep 18
# Analysts1111242242221111222447443533913
EPS--------$0.63$0.84$0.72$0.65$0.68$1.25-$0.42$0.63$0.92$0.10$-0.08$-1.81$-0.08$-0.56$0.09$0.83$0.59$0.43$0.59$1.25$0.42
Avg Forecast$1.28$1.16$0.68$0.61$0.94$0.86$0.93$0.75$0.95$0.97$0.80$0.56$0.77$0.90$0.88$0.67$0.76$0.22$0.19$-0.06$-0.05$-0.20$-0.48$0.37$0.53$0.49$0.43$0.61$1.18$0.48
High Forecast$1.34$1.22$0.72$0.64$0.98$1.09$0.98$0.79$1.00$1.01$0.83$0.59$0.81$0.95$0.88$0.71$0.81$0.23$0.20$-0.06$-0.04$-0.18$-0.45$0.40$0.57$0.53$0.46$0.66$1.42$0.58
Low Forecast$1.20$1.09$0.64$0.57$0.88$0.66$0.87$0.70$0.84$0.90$0.74$0.53$0.72$0.84$0.88$0.63$0.72$0.21$0.17$-0.06$-0.05$-0.21$-0.51$0.35$0.50$0.46$0.41$0.58$0.94$0.38
Surprise %--------0.67%0.87%0.91%1.16%0.88%1.39%-0.63%0.83%4.21%0.54%1.35%40.03%0.41%1.18%0.24%1.57%1.20%0.99%0.96%1.06%0.88%

According to 2 Wall Street analysts, Hilton Grand Vacations's projected average Quarter EPS for Mar 24 is $0.75, with a low estimate of $0.70 and a high estimate of $0.79. This represents a 19.50% increase compared to HGV previous annual EPS of $0.63 (Dec 23).

Hilton Grand Vacations Peer Comparison by Price Target


TickerCompanyLast Closing PriceAvg Price TargetUpside/DownsideAvg Rating
CNTYCentury Casinos$2.44$13.00432.79%Buy
FLLFull House Resorts$4.92$13.00164.23%Buy
VACMarriott Vacations Worldwide$71.68$131.2583.11%Buy
HGVHilton Grand Vacations$36.48$56.2554.19%Buy
PLYAPlaya Hotels & Resorts$7.64$11.0043.98%Buy
MTNVail Resorts$185.21$256.1338.29%Hold
GDENGolden Entertainment$32.04$41.0027.97%Buy
MCRIMonarch Casino & Resort$75.22$84.0011.67%Hold
RRRRed Rock Resorts$55.04$60.299.54%Buy
BALYBally's$17.16$18.105.48%Hold
BVHBluegreen Vacations$75.00$45.00-40.00%-

HGV Forecast FAQ


Yes, according to 5 Wall Street analysts, Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV) is considered a 'Buy'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 4 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 80.00% of HGV's total ratings.

Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV) average price target is $56.25 with a range of $52 to $63, implying a 54.19% from its last price of $36.48. The data is based on 5 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.

According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for HGV stock, the company can go up by 54.19% (from the last price of $36.48 to the average price target of $56.25), up by 72.70% based on the highest stock price target, and up by 42.54% based on the lowest stock price target.

HGV's average twelve months analyst stock price target of $56.25 supports the claim that Hilton Grand Vacations can reach $50 in the near future.

1 Wall Street analyst forecast a $52 price target for Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV) this month, up 42.54% from its last price of $36.48. Compared to the last 3 and 12 months, the average price target increased by 42.54% and increased by 67.21%, respectively.

Hilton Grand Vacations's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2024) are as follows: average revenue is $5.09B (high $5.3B, low $4.84B), average EBITDA is $948.45M (high $1.02B, low $873.36M), average net income is $344.09M (high $390.41M, low $298.91M), average SG&A $906.67M (high $978.31M, low $829.69M), and average EPS is $3.48 (high $3.84, low $3.11). HGV's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $5.27B (high $5.47B, low $5B), average EBITDA is $1B (high $1.04B, low $953.17M), average net income is $389.88M (high $409.31M, low $364.53M), average SG&A $913.58M (high $948.6M, low $867.89M), and average EPS is $3.74 (high $3.92, low $3.5).

Based on Hilton Grand Vacations's last annual report (Dec 2023), the company's revenue was $3.98B, beating the average analysts forecast of $3.95B by 0.59%. Apple's EBITDA was $212M, missing the average prediction of $789.96M by -73.16%. The company's net income was $313M, missing the average estimation of $346.26M by -9.60%. Apple's SG&A was $828M, beating the average forecast of $765.36M by 8.18%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $2.84, missing the average prediction of $3.27 by -13.08%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Dec 2023), Hilton Grand Vacations's revenue was $1.02B, missing the average analysts' forecast of $1.02B by -0.38%. The company's EBITDA was $-56M, missing the average prediction of $194.87M by -128.74%. Hilton Grand Vacations's net income was $252M, beating the average estimation of $98.6M by 155.59%. The company's SG&A was $162M, missing the average forecast of $177.44M by -8.70%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $0.63, missing the average prediction of $0.945 by -33.36%