HCI Group (HCI) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions


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HCI Stock Forecast


HCI Group stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $137.00 (represents a 20.84% upside from HCI’s last price of $113.37) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 5 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.

HCI Price Target


The average price target for HCI Group (HCI) is $137.00 based on 1-year price targets from 5 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $145.00 to $126.00. This represents a potential 20.84% upside from HCI's last price of $113.37.

HCI Analyst Ratings


Buy

According to 5 Wall Street analysts, HCI Group's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for HCI stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 4 'Buy' (80.00%), 1 'Hold' (20.00%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).

HCI Group Price Target by Analyst


DateAnalystCompanyPrice TargetPrice when PublishedPrice Target/Price when PublishedPrice Target/Last Closing Price
Dec 02, 2024Casey AlexanderCompass Point$126.00$117.477.26%11.14%
Oct 17, 2024Mike PhillipsOppenheimer$140.00$116.0120.68%23.49%
Aug 09, 2024Matthew CarlettiJMP Securities$145.00$90.1660.83%27.90%
Aug 18, 2022Truist Financial$75.00$57.7729.83%-33.84%

The latest HCI Group stock forecast, released on Dec 02, 2024 by Casey Alexander from Compass Point, set a price target of $126.00, which represents a 7.26% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($117.47), and a 11.14% increase from HCI last price ($113.37).

HCI Group Price Target by Period


1M3M12M
# Anlaysts123
Avg Price Target$126.00$133.00$137.00
Last Closing Price$113.37$113.37$113.37
Upside/Downside11.14%17.31%20.84%

In the current month, the average price target of HCI Group stock is $126.00, according to 1 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a 11.14% increase as opposed to HCI Group's last price of $113.37. This month's average price target is down -5.26% compared to last quarter, and down -8.03% compared to last year.

Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades


DateCompanyPrevious RatingNew RatingRating Change
Dec 02, 2024Compass PointNeutralNeutralHold
Oct 21, 2024JMP SecuritiesUnderperformUnderperformHold
Oct 21, 2024Prescience PointMarket OutperformMarket OutperformHold
Oct 21, 2024Compass PointUnderperformNeutralDowngrade
Oct 17, 2024OppenheimerOutperformOutperformHold
Oct 15, 2024JMP SecuritiesMarket OutperformMarket OutperformHold
Oct 15, 2024Compass PointUnderperformUnderperformHold
Oct 07, 2024OppenheimerUnderperformOutperformUpgrade
Aug 09, 2024JMP SecuritiesOutperformOutperformHold
Apr 05, 2024Truist FinancialBuyBuyHold
Apr 05, 2024OppenheimerUnderperformUnderperformHold
Mar 08, 2024William BlairOutperformUpgrade

HCI Group's last stock rating was published by Compass Point on Dec 02, 2024. The company gave HCI a "Neutral" rating, the same as its previous rate.

HCI Group Financial Forecast


HCI Group Revenue Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
Revenue-------------$131.64M$127.33M$129.03M$116.83M$126.65M$125.93M$1.78M$110.87M$97.61M$99.96M$94.11M$70.33M$67.13M$80.80M$55.82M$63.23M$59.98M
Avg Forecast$216.40M$216.12M$217.01M$216.38M$217.79M$215.79M$222.78M$225.32M$173.31M$190.50M$197.34M$191.32M$145.44M$124.25M$122.61M$118.27M$120.40M$141.06M$130.57M$113.62M$106.69M$95.39M$95.77M$80.68M$68.99M$101.43M$68.32M$65.02M$59.32M$58.14M
High Forecast$224.02M$223.73M$224.64M$223.99M$225.46M$223.38M$230.63M$234.62M$184.47M$191.22M$197.34M$191.32M$155.17M$124.25M$126.93M$122.43M$124.64M$141.06M$130.57M$113.62M$106.69M$95.39M$95.77M$80.68M$68.99M$101.43M$68.32M$65.02M$59.32M$58.14M
Low Forecast$208.64M$208.37M$209.22M$208.62M$209.98M$208.05M$214.79M$216.00M$154.66M$189.78M$197.34M$191.32M$127.14M$124.25M$118.22M$114.03M$116.08M$141.06M$130.57M$113.62M$106.69M$95.39M$95.77M$80.68M$68.99M$101.43M$68.32M$65.02M$59.32M$58.14M
# Analysts11111112211131111111111111159988
Surprise %-------------1.06%1.04%1.09%0.97%0.90%0.96%0.02%1.04%1.02%1.04%1.17%1.02%0.66%1.18%0.86%1.07%1.03%

HCI Group's average Quarter revenue forecast for Dec 23 based on 3 analysts is $145.44M, with a low forecast of $127.14M, and a high forecast of $155.17M. HCI's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a 10.48% increase compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $131.64M (Sep 23).

HCI Group EBITDA Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts11111112211131111111111111159988
EBITDA-------------$112.41M$107.44M$109.22M$6.68M$-60.24M$-9.51M$4.23M$2.97M$-4.92M$6.75M$12.85M$7.89M$26.53M$17.02M$5.77M$13.93M$12.56M
Avg Forecast$61.75M$61.67M$61.92M$61.75M$62.15M$61.58M$63.57M$64.30M$49.45M$54.36M$56.31M$13.54M$41.50M$35.46M$34.99M$10.70M$42.54M$30.95M$28.65M$8.46M$23.40M$20.93M$21.01M$9.48M$15.14M$22.25M$14.99M$7.49M$13.01M$12.75M
High Forecast$63.93M$63.84M$64.10M$63.92M$64.34M$63.74M$65.81M$66.95M$52.64M$54.57M$56.31M$16.25M$44.28M$35.46M$36.22M$12.84M$51.05M$30.95M$28.65M$10.15M$23.40M$20.93M$21.01M$11.37M$15.14M$22.25M$14.99M$8.99M$13.01M$12.75M
Low Forecast$59.54M$59.46M$59.70M$59.53M$59.92M$59.37M$61.29M$61.64M$44.13M$54.16M$56.31M$10.83M$36.28M$35.46M$33.73M$8.56M$34.03M$30.95M$28.65M$6.77M$23.40M$20.93M$21.01M$7.58M$15.14M$22.25M$14.99M$5.99M$13.01M$12.75M
Surprise %-------------3.17%3.07%10.21%0.16%-1.95%-0.33%0.50%0.13%-0.24%0.32%1.36%0.52%1.19%1.14%0.77%1.07%0.98%

3 analysts predict HCI's average Quarter EBITDA for Dec 23 to be $41.50M, with a high of $44.28M and a low of $36.28M. This is -63.08% lower than HCI Group's previous annual EBITDA (Sep 23) of $112.41M.

HCI Group Net Income Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts11111112211131111111111111159988
Net Income-------------$13.16M$14.88M$15.34M$2.65M$-51.50M$-8.54M$2.79M$1.44M$-6.30M$1.92M$6.15M$2.71M$15.39M$8.94M$547.00K$6.43M$5.85M
Avg Forecast$36.58M$14.40M$34.16M$34.84M$39.27M$14.37M$41.69M$42.48M$-32.40M$2.82M$36.59M$2.89M$14.82M$2.32M$4.63M$2.28M$19.02M$-82.14M$3.00M$1.81M$-4.83M$-984.98K$2.20M$4.54M$-4.30M$-20.26M$5.78M$710.39K$10.75M$7.15M
High Forecast$38.25M$15.06M$35.72M$36.44M$41.06M$15.03M$43.60M$47.35M$-8.54M$2.95M$36.59M$3.47M$21.96M$2.32M$4.85M$2.74M$22.82M$-82.14M$3.00M$2.17M$-4.83M$-984.98K$2.20M$5.44M$-4.30M$-20.26M$5.78M$852.47K$10.75M$7.15M
Low Forecast$34.87M$13.73M$32.57M$33.22M$37.44M$13.70M$39.75M$39.16M$-62.43M$2.69M$36.59M$2.31M$6.41M$2.31M$4.42M$1.83M$15.21M$-82.14M$3.00M$1.44M$-4.83M$-984.98K$2.20M$3.63M$-4.30M$-20.26M$5.78M$568.31K$10.75M$7.15M
Surprise %-------------5.68%3.21%6.71%0.14%0.63%-2.85%1.55%-0.30%6.39%0.87%1.36%-0.63%-0.76%1.55%0.77%0.60%0.82%

HCI Group's average Quarter net income forecast for Dec 23 is $14.82M, with a range of $6.41M to $21.96M. HCI's average Quarter net income forecast represents a 12.63% increase compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $13.16M (Sep 23).

HCI Group SG&A Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts11111112211131111111111111159988
SG&A-------------$13.86M$14.27M$13.50M$11.33M$15.85M$15.30M$14.03M$13.70M$11.54M$10.55M$9.65M$5.86M$9.87M$9.73M$8.37M$7.80M$7.95M
Avg Forecast$24.88M$24.84M$24.95M$24.87M$25.04M$24.80M$25.61M$25.90M$19.92M$21.90M$22.69M$44.92M$16.72M$14.28M$14.09M$35.51M$8.37M$16.22M$15.01M$28.07M$12.26M$10.97M$11.01M$7.12M$7.93M$11.66M$7.85M$10.87M$6.82M$6.68M
High Forecast$25.75M$25.72M$25.82M$25.75M$25.92M$25.68M$26.51M$26.97M$21.21M$21.98M$22.69M$53.90M$17.84M$14.28M$14.59M$42.61M$10.04M$16.22M$15.01M$33.68M$12.26M$10.97M$11.01M$8.54M$7.93M$11.66M$7.85M$13.04M$6.82M$6.68M
Low Forecast$23.98M$23.95M$24.05M$23.98M$24.14M$23.92M$24.69M$24.83M$17.78M$21.82M$22.69M$35.93M$14.62M$14.28M$13.59M$28.40M$6.70M$16.22M$15.01M$22.45M$12.26M$10.97M$11.01M$5.70M$7.93M$11.66M$7.85M$8.69M$6.82M$6.68M
Surprise %-------------0.97%1.01%0.38%1.35%0.98%1.02%0.50%1.12%1.05%0.96%1.36%0.74%0.85%1.24%0.77%1.14%1.19%

HCI Group's average Quarter SG&A projection for Dec 23 is $16.72M, based on 3 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $14.62M to $17.84M. The forecast indicates a 20.59% rise compared to HCI last annual SG&A of $13.86M (Sep 23).

HCI Group EPS Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts11111112211131111111111111159988
EPS-------------$1.53$1.45$1.78$0.32$-6.11$-0.95$0.29$0.15$-0.72$0.25$0.82$0.35$1.97$1.16$0.07$0.84$0.73
Avg Forecast$3.48$1.37$3.25$3.31$3.74$1.37$3.97$4.04$-3.08$0.27$3.48$2.80$1.41$0.22$0.44$0.14$-0.32$-6.47$0.24$0.15$-0.38$-0.08$0.17$0.61$-0.34$-1.60$0.46$0.77$0.85$0.56
High Forecast$3.64$1.43$3.40$3.47$3.91$1.43$4.15$4.50$-0.81$0.28$3.48$2.80$2.09$0.22$0.46$0.15$-0.30$-6.47$0.24$0.15$-0.38$-0.08$0.17$0.61$-0.34$-1.60$0.46$0.77$0.85$0.56
Low Forecast$3.32$1.31$3.10$3.16$3.56$1.30$3.78$3.73$-5.94$0.26$3.48$2.80$0.61$0.22$0.42$0.14$-0.33$-6.47$0.24$0.15$-0.38$-0.08$0.17$0.61$-0.34$-1.60$0.46$0.77$0.85$0.56
Surprise %-------------6.95%3.29%12.29%-1.01%0.94%-4.02%1.91%-0.39%9.28%1.44%1.35%-1.03%-1.23%2.55%0.09%0.99%1.30%

According to 3 Wall Street analysts, HCI Group's projected average Quarter EPS for Dec 23 is $1.41, with a low estimate of $0.61 and a high estimate of $2.09. This represents a -7.86% decrease compared to HCI previous annual EPS of $1.53 (Sep 23).

HCI Group Peer Comparison by Price Target


TickerCompanyLast Closing PriceAvg Price TargetUpside/DownsideAvg Rating
HCIHCI Group$112.25$137.0022.05%Buy
KMPRKemper$66.14$77.5017.18%Buy
HRTGHeritage Insurance$12.14$12.502.97%Buy
SIGISelective Insurance Group$95.30$97.752.57%Buy
HMNHorace Mann Educators$40.39$38.50-4.68%Strong Buy
UFCSUnited Fire Group$30.91$26.00-15.88%Hold

HCI Forecast FAQ


Is HCI Group a good buy?

Yes, according to 5 Wall Street analysts, HCI Group (HCI) is considered a 'Buy'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 4 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 80.00% of HCI's total ratings.

What is HCI's price target?

HCI Group (HCI) average price target is $137 with a range of $126 to $145, implying a 20.84% from its last price of $113.37. The data is based on 5 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.

Will HCI Group stock go up soon?

According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for HCI stock, the company can go up by 20.84% (from the last price of $113.37 to the average price target of $137), up by 27.90% based on the highest stock price target, and up by 11.14% based on the lowest stock price target.

Can HCI Group stock reach $200?

HCI's average twelve months analyst stock price target of $137 does not support the claim that HCI Group can reach $200 in the near future.

What is HCI Group's current price target trend?

1 Wall Street analyst forecast a $126 price target for HCI Group (HCI) this month, up 11.14% from its last price of $113.37. Compared to the last 3 and 12 months, the average price target increased by 17.31% and increased by 20.84%, respectively.

What are HCI Group's analysts' financial forecasts?

HCI Group's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $881.68M (high $914.09M, low $848.82M), average EBITDA is $251.59M (high $260.84M, low $242.22M), average net income is $137.81M (high $147.04M, low $130.05M), average SG&A $101.35M (high $105.08M, low $97.57M), and average EPS is $13.11 (high $13.99, low $12.37). HCI's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2026) are as follows: average revenue is $865.91M (high $896.38M, low $834.85M), average EBITDA is $247.09M (high $255.79M, low $238.23M), average net income is $119.98M (high $125.47M, low $114.39M), average SG&A $99.54M (high $103.04M, low $95.97M), and average EPS is $11.41 (high $11.94, low $10.88).

Did the HCI's actual financial results beat the analysts' financial forecasts?

Based on HCI Group's last annual report (Dec 2023), the company's revenue was $550.67M, beating the average analysts forecast of $510.58M by 7.85%. Apple's EBITDA was $474.17M, beating the average prediction of $122.65M by 286.60%. The company's net income was $89.26M, beating the average estimation of $24.05M by 271.09%. Apple's SG&A was $53.87M, missing the average forecast of $80.6M by -33.17%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $9.13, beating the average prediction of $2.22 by 312.04%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Sep 2023), HCI Group's revenue was $131.64M, beating the average analysts' forecast of $124.25M by 5.95%. The company's EBITDA was $112.41M, beating the average prediction of $35.46M by 217.03%. HCI Group's net income was $13.16M, beating the average estimation of $2.32M by 468.25%. The company's SG&A was $13.86M, missing the average forecast of $14.28M by -2.93%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $1.53, beating the average prediction of $0.22 by 594.57%