Warrior Met Coal (HCC) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions


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HCC Stock Forecast


Warrior Met Coal stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $37.00 (represents a -31.89% downside from HCC’s last price of $54.32) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 5 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.

HCC Price Target


The average price target for Warrior Met Coal (HCC) is $37.00 based on 1-year price targets from 5 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $37.00 to $37.00. This represents a potential -31.89% downside from HCC's last price of $54.32.

HCC Analyst Ratings


Buy

According to 5 Wall Street analysts, Warrior Met Coal's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for HCC stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 4 'Buy' (80.00%), 1 'Hold' (20.00%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).

Warrior Met Coal Price Target by Analyst


DateAnalystCompanyPrice TargetPrice when PublishedPrice Target/Price when PublishedPrice Target/Last Closing Price
Aug 03, 2022David GaglianoBMO Capital$37.00$31.5217.39%-31.89%

The latest Warrior Met Coal stock forecast, released on Aug 03, 2022 by David Gagliano from BMO Capital, set a price target of $37.00, which represents a 17.39% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($31.52), and a -31.89% decrease from HCC last price ($54.32).

Warrior Met Coal Price Target by Period


1M3M12M
# Anlaysts---
Avg Price Target---
Last Closing Price$54.32$54.32$54.32
Upside/Downside-100.00%-100.00%-100.00%

In the current month, the average price target of Warrior Met Coal stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to Warrior Met Coal's last price of $54.32. This month's average price target is down NaN% compared to last quarter, and down NaN% compared to last year.

Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades


DateCompanyPrevious RatingNew RatingRating Change
Oct 31, 2024B. RileyBuyBuyHold
Aug 02, 2024B. RileyBuyBuyHold
Apr 15, 2024B. RileyBuyBuyHold
Apr 11, 2024CitigroupBuyUpgrade
Sep 23, 2022B. Riley SecuritiesBuyUpgrade
Aug 03, 2022BMO CapitalMarket PerformDowngrade
Jun 07, 2022JefferiesBuyUpgrade

Warrior Met Coal's last stock rating was published by B. Riley on Oct 31, 2024. The company gave HCC a "Buy" rating, the same as its previous rate.

Warrior Met Coal Financial Forecast


Warrior Met Coal Revenue Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
Revenue-------------$423.49M$379.66M$509.67M$344.75M$390.18M$625.16M$378.65M$415.55M$202.47M$227.44M$213.76M$212.25M$180.06M$163.70M$226.72M$204.90M$287.51M
Avg Forecast$634.00M$547.00M$459.58M$427.00M$417.55M$401.02M$390.77M$370.82M$304.98M$326.08M$387.91M$474.99M$393.04M$364.25M$407.47M$413.54M$444.91M$366.17M$574.70M$412.67M$301.31M$173.66M$136.90M$209.81M$184.78M$167.50M$152.27M$219.78M$197.14M$254.37M
High Forecast$646.84M$558.08M$468.88M$435.65M$426.01M$409.14M$398.68M$378.33M$311.16M$342.62M$387.91M$474.99M$401.00M$385.32M$415.72M$421.92M$453.92M$366.17M$574.70M$412.67M$301.31M$173.66M$136.90M$209.81M$184.78M$167.50M$152.27M$219.78M$197.14M$254.37M
Low Forecast$616.88M$532.23M$447.16M$415.47M$406.27M$390.18M$380.21M$360.81M$296.75M$309.54M$387.91M$474.99M$382.42M$350.44M$396.46M$402.37M$432.89M$366.17M$574.70M$412.67M$301.31M$173.66M$136.90M$209.81M$184.78M$167.50M$152.27M$219.78M$197.14M$254.37M
# Analysts111111112111131111111111199955
Surprise %-------------1.16%0.93%1.23%0.77%1.07%1.09%0.92%1.38%1.17%1.66%1.02%1.15%1.07%1.08%1.03%1.04%1.13%

Warrior Met Coal's average Quarter revenue forecast for Dec 23 based on 1 analysts is $393.04M, with a low forecast of $382.42M, and a high forecast of $401.00M. HCC's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a -7.19% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $423.49M (Sep 23).

Warrior Met Coal EBITDA Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts111111112111131111111111199955
EBITDA-------------$107.75M$90.44M$255.31M$152.66M$167.76M$410.91M$223.02M$213.98M$81.61M$37.32M$43.87M$3.22M$13.44M$16.82M$32.32M$24.07M$59.87M
Avg Forecast$231.13M$199.42M$167.55M$155.67M$152.22M$146.20M$142.46M$135.19M$111.19M$118.88M$141.42M$297.20M$143.29M$132.79M$148.55M$270.19M$154.59M$140.35M$220.28M$245.62M$115.49M$66.56M$52.47M$176.52M$70.83M$64.20M$58.36M$37.82M$75.56M$97.50M
High Forecast$235.82M$203.46M$170.94M$158.82M$155.31M$149.16M$145.35M$137.93M$113.44M$124.91M$141.42M$356.65M$146.19M$140.48M$151.56M$324.22M$185.51M$140.35M$220.28M$294.75M$115.49M$66.56M$52.47M$211.83M$70.83M$64.20M$58.36M$45.38M$75.56M$97.50M
Low Forecast$224.89M$194.03M$163.02M$151.46M$148.11M$142.25M$138.61M$131.54M$108.18M$112.85M$141.42M$237.76M$139.42M$127.76M$144.54M$216.15M$123.67M$140.35M$220.28M$196.50M$115.49M$66.56M$52.47M$141.22M$70.83M$64.20M$58.36M$30.26M$75.56M$97.50M
Surprise %-------------0.81%0.61%0.94%0.99%1.20%1.87%0.91%1.85%1.23%0.71%0.25%0.05%0.21%0.29%0.85%0.32%0.61%

1 analysts predict HCC's average Quarter EBITDA for Dec 23 to be $143.29M, with a high of $146.19M and a low of $139.42M. This is 32.98% upper than Warrior Met Coal's previous annual EBITDA (Sep 23) of $107.75M.

Warrior Met Coal Net Income Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts111111112111131111111111199955
Net Income-------------$85.38M$82.09M$182.28M$99.65M$98.40M$296.99M$146.25M$138.49M$38.43M$-4.68M$-21.36M$-33.71M$-14.43M$-9.16M$21.55M$20.75M$45.02M
Avg Forecast$139.63M$124.44M$109.24M$103.48M$109.47M$74.25M$79.06M$89.61M$42.26M$37.71M$69.29M$203.76M$142.38M$83.87M$108.20M$185.23M$100.05M$85.07M$260.28M$168.40M$135.07M$52.79M$-9.30M$-85.92M$-16.86M$-17.15M$-12.16M$25.21M$6.86M$46.01M
High Forecast$143.31M$127.71M$112.12M$106.20M$112.35M$76.20M$81.14M$91.97M$48.60M$38.70M$70.56M$244.51M$146.13M$90.46M$111.05M$222.28M$120.06M$85.07M$260.28M$202.07M$135.07M$52.79M$-9.30M$-68.74M$-16.86M$-17.15M$-12.16M$30.25M$6.86M$46.01M
Low Forecast$134.73M$120.07M$105.41M$99.84M$105.62M$71.64M$76.28M$86.46M$35.92M$36.39M$68.01M$163.01M$137.38M$74.29M$104.40M$148.19M$80.04M$85.07M$260.28M$134.72M$135.07M$52.79M$-9.30M$-103.11M$-16.86M$-17.15M$-12.16M$20.17M$6.86M$46.01M
Surprise %-------------1.02%0.76%0.98%1.00%1.16%1.14%0.87%1.03%0.73%0.50%0.25%2.00%0.84%0.75%0.85%3.02%0.98%

Warrior Met Coal's average Quarter net income forecast for Dec 23 is $142.38M, with a range of $137.38M to $146.13M. HCC's average Quarter net income forecast represents a 66.76% increase compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $85.38M (Sep 23).

Warrior Met Coal SG&A Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts111111112111131111111111199955
SG&A-------------$11.14M$13.17M$14.52M$11.81M$10.56M$12.50M$13.93M$9.41M$7.43M$11.12M$7.64M$7.77M$8.19M$8.46M$37.15M$31.64M$35.10M
Avg Forecast$20.76M$17.92M$15.05M$13.98M$13.68M$13.13M$12.80M$12.15M$9.99M$10.68M$12.70M$19.41M$12.87M$11.93M$13.35M$17.64M$6.80M$11.99M$18.82M$16.04M$9.87M$5.69M$4.48M$30.73M$6.05M$5.49M$4.99M$43.47M$6.46M$8.33M
High Forecast$21.19M$18.28M$15.36M$14.27M$13.95M$13.40M$13.06M$12.39M$10.19M$11.22M$12.70M$23.29M$13.13M$12.62M$13.62M$21.17M$8.16M$11.99M$18.82M$19.25M$9.87M$5.69M$4.48M$36.87M$6.05M$5.49M$4.99M$52.17M$6.46M$8.33M
Low Forecast$20.20M$17.43M$14.65M$13.61M$13.31M$12.78M$12.45M$11.82M$9.72M$10.14M$12.70M$15.53M$12.53M$11.48M$12.98M$14.11M$5.44M$11.99M$18.82M$12.83M$9.87M$5.69M$4.48M$24.58M$6.05M$5.49M$4.99M$34.78M$6.46M$8.33M
Surprise %-------------0.93%0.99%0.82%1.74%0.88%0.66%0.87%0.95%1.31%2.48%0.25%1.28%1.49%1.70%0.85%4.90%4.21%

Warrior Met Coal's average Quarter SG&A projection for Dec 23 is $12.87M, based on 1 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $12.53M to $13.13M. The forecast indicates a 15.57% rise compared to HCC last annual SG&A of $11.14M (Sep 23).

Warrior Met Coal EPS Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts111111112111131111111111199955
EPS-------------$1.64$1.58$3.52$1.93$1.91$5.75$2.84$2.69$0.75$-0.09$-0.42$-0.66$-0.28$-0.18$0.42$0.41$0.88
Avg Forecast$2.67$2.38$2.08$1.98$2.09$1.42$1.51$1.71$0.81$0.72$1.32$2.58$2.72$1.60$2.07$2.70$2.52$1.62$4.97$3.49$2.58$1.01$-0.18$0.17$-0.32$-0.33$-0.23$0.50$0.13$0.88
High Forecast$2.74$2.44$2.14$2.03$2.14$1.45$1.55$1.76$0.93$0.74$1.35$2.58$2.79$1.73$2.12$2.77$2.59$1.62$4.97$3.49$2.58$1.01$-0.18$0.17$-0.32$-0.33$-0.23$0.50$0.13$0.88
Low Forecast$2.57$2.29$2.01$1.91$2.02$1.37$1.46$1.65$0.69$0.69$1.30$2.58$2.62$1.42$1.99$2.60$2.44$1.62$4.97$3.49$2.58$1.01$-0.18$0.17$-0.32$-0.33$-0.23$0.50$0.13$0.88
Surprise %-------------1.02%0.77%1.31%0.76%1.18%1.16%0.81%1.04%0.74%0.51%-2.52%2.05%0.86%0.78%0.83%3.13%1.00%

According to 1 Wall Street analysts, Warrior Met Coal's projected average Quarter EPS for Dec 23 is $2.72, with a low estimate of $2.62 and a high estimate of $2.79. This represents a 65.70% increase compared to HCC previous annual EPS of $1.64 (Sep 23).

Warrior Met Coal Peer Comparison by Price Target


TickerCompanyLast Closing PriceAvg Price TargetUpside/DownsideAvg Rating
METCRamaco Resources, Inc. - 9.00%$10.18$12.0017.88%Buy
ARCHArch Resources$138.14$160.0015.82%Buy
HCCWarrior Met Coal$54.32$37.00-31.89%Buy

HCC Forecast FAQ


Is Warrior Met Coal a good buy?

Yes, according to 5 Wall Street analysts, Warrior Met Coal (HCC) is considered a 'Buy'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 4 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 80.00% of HCC's total ratings.

What is HCC's price target?

Warrior Met Coal (HCC) average price target is $37 with a range of $37 to $37, implying a -31.89% from its last price of $54.32. The data is based on 5 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.

Will Warrior Met Coal stock go up soon?

According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for HCC stock, the company can go down by -31.89% (from the last price of $54.32 to the average price target of $37), down by -31.89% based on the highest stock price target, and down by -31.89% based on the lowest stock price target.

Can Warrior Met Coal stock reach $80?

HCC's average twelve months analyst stock price target of $37 does not support the claim that Warrior Met Coal can reach $80 in the near future.

What are Warrior Met Coal's analysts' financial forecasts?

Warrior Met Coal's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $1.58B (high $1.61B, low $1.54B), average EBITDA is $576.07M (high $587.74M, low $560.51M), average net income is $352.38M (high $361.66M, low $340.01M), average SG&A $51.75M (high $52.8M, low $50.36M), and average EPS is $6.73 (high $6.9, low $6.49). HCC's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2026) are as follows: average revenue is $2.07B (high $2.11B, low $2.01B), average EBITDA is $753.77M (high $769.03M, low $733.41M), average net income is $476.79M (high $489.34M, low $460.04M), average SG&A $67.72M (high $69.09M, low $65.89M), and average EPS is $9.1 (high $9.34, low $8.78).

Did the HCC's actual financial results beat the analysts' financial forecasts?

Based on Warrior Met Coal's last annual report (Dec 2022), the company's revenue was $1.74B, which missed the average analysts forecast of $1.8B by -3.32%. Apple's EBITDA was $963.61M, beating the average prediction of $760.84M by 26.65%. The company's net income was $641.3M, beating the average estimation of $613.8M by 4.48%. Apple's SG&A was $48.79M, missing the average forecast of $53.65M by -9.06%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $12.42, missing the average prediction of $12.61 by -1.53%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Sep 2023), Warrior Met Coal's revenue was $423.49M, beating the average analysts' forecast of $364.25M by 16.26%. The company's EBITDA was $107.75M, missing the average prediction of $132.79M by -18.86%. Warrior Met Coal's net income was $85.38M, beating the average estimation of $83.87M by 1.80%. The company's SG&A was $11.14M, missing the average forecast of $11.93M by -6.64%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $1.64, beating the average prediction of $1.6 by 2.45%