Warrior Met Coal (HCC) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions
HCC Stock Forecast
Warrior Met Coal stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $37.00 (represents a -29.39% downside from HCC’s last price of $52.40) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 5 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.
HCC Price Target
The average price target for Warrior Met Coal (HCC) is $37.00 based on 1-year price targets from 5 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $37.00 to $37.00. This represents a potential -29.39% downside from HCC's last price of $52.40.
HCC Analyst Ratings
According to 5 Wall Street analysts, Warrior Met Coal's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for HCC stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 4 'Buy' (80.00%), 1 'Hold' (20.00%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).
Warrior Met Coal Price Target by Analyst
| Date | Analyst | Company | Price Target | Price when Published | Price Target/Price when Published | Price Target/Last Closing Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 03, 2022 | David Gagliano | BMO Capital | $37.00 | $31.52 | 17.39% | -29.39% |
The latest Warrior Met Coal stock forecast, released on Aug 03, 2022 by David Gagliano from BMO Capital, set a price target of $37.00, which represents a 17.39% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($31.52), and a -29.39% decrease from HCC last price ($52.40).
Warrior Met Coal Price Target by Period
| 1M | 3M | 12M | |
|---|---|---|---|
| # Anlaysts | - | - | - |
| Avg Price Target | - | - | - |
| Last Closing Price | $52.40 | $52.40 | $52.40 |
| Upside/Downside | -100.00% | -100.00% | -100.00% |
In the current month, the average price target of Warrior Met Coal stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to Warrior Met Coal's last price of $52.40. This month's average price target is down NaN% compared to last quarter, and down NaN% compared to last year.
Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades
| Date | Company | Previous Rating | New Rating | Rating Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 02, 2024 | B. Riley | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Apr 15, 2024 | B. Riley | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Apr 11, 2024 | Citigroup | - | Buy | Upgrade |
| Sep 23, 2022 | B. Riley Securities | - | Buy | Upgrade |
| Aug 03, 2022 | BMO Capital | - | Market Perform | Downgrade |
| Jun 07, 2022 | Jefferies | - | Buy | Upgrade |
Warrior Met Coal's last stock rating was published by B. Riley on Aug 02, 2024. The company gave HCC a "Buy" rating, the same as its previous rate.
Warrior Met Coal Financial Forecast
Warrior Met Coal Revenue Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $423.49M | $379.66M | $509.67M | $344.75M | $390.18M | - | $378.65M | $415.55M | $202.47M | $227.44M | $213.76M | $212.25M | $180.06M | $163.70M | $226.72M | $204.90M | $287.51M |
| Avg Forecast | $384.30M | $394.70M | $405.20M | $384.30M | $410.90M | $415.55M | $406.04M | $413.64M | $383.09M | $347.11M | $387.91M | $474.99M | $393.04M | $364.25M | $407.47M | $413.54M | $444.91M | $366.17M | $574.70M | $412.67M | $301.31M | $173.66M | $136.90M | $209.81M | $184.78M | $167.50M | $152.27M | $219.78M | $197.14M | $254.37M |
| High Forecast | $400.07M | $410.90M | $421.83M | $400.07M | $427.76M | $432.60M | $422.70M | $430.62M | $398.81M | $361.36M | $403.83M | $494.48M | $409.17M | $385.32M | $424.19M | $430.51M | $463.16M | $381.19M | $574.70M | $427.32M | $312.01M | $179.83M | $141.76M | $217.27M | $191.35M | $173.45M | $157.67M | $227.58M | $204.14M | $263.41M |
| Low Forecast | $352.89M | $362.44M | $372.09M | $352.89M | $377.32M | $381.59M | $372.85M | $379.84M | $351.79M | $318.75M | $356.21M | $436.18M | $360.92M | $350.44M | $374.17M | $379.74M | $408.55M | $336.24M | $574.70M | $391.27M | $285.68M | $164.66M | $129.80M | $198.93M | $175.20M | $158.82M | $144.37M | $208.38M | $186.92M | $241.18M |
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | 1 | 2 | 1 | - | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 6 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.16% | 0.93% | 1.23% | 0.77% | 1.07% | - | 0.92% | 1.38% | 1.17% | 1.66% | 1.02% | 1.15% | 1.07% | 1.08% | 1.03% | 1.04% | 1.13% |
Warrior Met Coal's average Quarter revenue forecast for Dec 23 based on 1 analysts is $393.04M, with a low forecast of $360.92M, and a high forecast of $409.17M. HCC's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a -7.19% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $423.49M (Sep 23).
Warrior Met Coal EBITDA Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | 1 | 2 | 1 | - | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 6 |
| EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $107.75M | $90.44M | $255.31M | $152.66M | $167.76M | - | $223.02M | $213.98M | $81.61M | $37.32M | $43.87M | $3.22M | $13.44M | $16.82M | $32.32M | $24.07M | $59.87M |
| Avg Forecast | $147.30M | $151.29M | $155.31M | $147.30M | $157.50M | $159.28M | $155.63M | $158.55M | $146.84M | $133.05M | $148.68M | $297.20M | $150.65M | $139.61M | $156.18M | $270.19M | $170.53M | $89.27M | $220.28M | $245.62M | $140.54M | $81.15M | $119.66M | $176.52M | $2.20M | $14.33M | $21.54M | $37.82M | $20.04M | $64.10M |
| High Forecast | $153.34M | $157.49M | $161.68M | $153.34M | $163.96M | $165.81M | $162.02M | $165.05M | $152.86M | $138.51M | $154.78M | $356.65M | $156.83M | $147.69M | $162.59M | $324.22M | $177.53M | $107.12M | $220.28M | $294.75M | $168.64M | $97.38M | $143.59M | $211.83M | $2.64M | $17.20M | $25.84M | $45.38M | $24.05M | $76.92M |
| Low Forecast | $135.26M | $138.92M | $142.62M | $135.26M | $144.62M | $146.26M | $142.91M | $145.59M | $134.84M | $122.17M | $136.53M | $237.76M | $138.34M | $134.32M | $143.42M | $216.15M | $156.59M | $71.41M | $220.28M | $196.50M | $112.43M | $64.92M | $95.73M | $141.22M | $1.76M | $11.47M | $17.23M | $30.26M | $16.04M | $51.28M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.77% | 0.58% | 0.94% | 0.90% | 1.88% | - | 0.91% | 1.52% | 1.01% | 0.31% | 0.25% | 1.46% | 0.94% | 0.78% | 0.85% | 1.20% | 0.93% |
1 analysts predict HCC's average Quarter EBITDA for Dec 23 to be $150.65M, with a high of $156.83M and a low of $138.34M. This is 39.81% upper than Warrior Met Coal's previous annual EBITDA (Sep 23) of $107.75M.
Warrior Met Coal Net Income Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | 1 | 2 | 1 | - | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 6 |
| Net Income | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $85.38M | $82.09M | $182.28M | $99.65M | $98.40M | - | $146.25M | $138.49M | $38.43M | $-4.68M | $-21.36M | $-33.71M | $-14.43M | $-9.16M | $21.55M | $20.75M | $45.02M |
| Avg Forecast | $97.95M | $101.09M | $104.76M | $97.95M | $112.18M | $107.80M | $98.55M | $111.66M | $86.04M | $55.26M | $69.27M | $203.76M | $142.34M | $83.84M | $108.17M | $185.23M | $132.22M | $42.03M | $259.48M | $168.40M | $90.96M | $38.21M | $-15.01M | $-85.92M | $-23.03M | $-15.40M | $-11.73M | $25.21M | $17.28M | $48.20M |
| High Forecast | $103.17M | $106.48M | $110.34M | $103.17M | $118.16M | $113.55M | $103.81M | $117.61M | $90.63M | $58.21M | $72.96M | $244.51M | $149.93M | $90.43M | $113.94M | $222.28M | $139.27M | $50.44M | $259.48M | $202.07M | $109.15M | $45.85M | $-12.01M | $-68.74M | $-18.42M | $-12.32M | $-9.38M | $30.25M | $20.74M | $57.84M |
| Low Forecast | $87.54M | $90.35M | $93.63M | $87.54M | $100.26M | $96.34M | $88.08M | $99.80M | $76.90M | $49.39M | $61.91M | $163.01M | $127.22M | $74.26M | $96.67M | $148.19M | $118.17M | $33.63M | $259.48M | $134.72M | $72.77M | $30.57M | $-18.01M | $-103.11M | $-27.63M | $-18.48M | $-14.07M | $20.17M | $13.82M | $38.56M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.02% | 0.76% | 0.98% | 0.75% | 2.34% | - | 0.87% | 1.52% | 1.01% | 0.31% | 0.25% | 1.46% | 0.94% | 0.78% | 0.85% | 1.20% | 0.93% |
Warrior Met Coal's average Quarter net income forecast for Dec 23 is $142.34M, with a range of $127.22M to $149.93M. HCC's average Quarter net income forecast represents a 66.71% increase compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $85.38M (Sep 23).
Warrior Met Coal SG&A Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | 1 | 2 | 1 | - | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 6 |
| SG&A | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $11.14M | $13.17M | $14.52M | $11.81M | $10.56M | - | $13.93M | $9.41M | $7.43M | $11.12M | $7.64M | $7.77M | $8.19M | $8.46M | $37.15M | $31.64M | $35.10M |
| Avg Forecast | $12.59M | $12.93M | $13.27M | $12.59M | $13.46M | $13.61M | $13.30M | $13.55M | $12.55M | $11.37M | $12.70M | $19.41M | $12.87M | $11.93M | $13.35M | $17.64M | $14.57M | $8.13M | $18.82M | $16.04M | $6.18M | $7.39M | $35.64M | $30.73M | $5.31M | $8.74M | $10.82M | $43.47M | $26.35M | $37.58M |
| High Forecast | $13.10M | $13.46M | $13.82M | $13.10M | $14.01M | $14.17M | $13.84M | $14.10M | $13.06M | $11.84M | $13.23M | $23.29M | $13.40M | $12.62M | $13.89M | $21.17M | $15.17M | $9.75M | $18.82M | $19.25M | $7.42M | $8.87M | $42.76M | $36.87M | $6.37M | $10.49M | $12.99M | $52.17M | $31.62M | $45.10M |
| Low Forecast | $11.56M | $11.87M | $12.19M | $11.56M | $12.36M | $12.50M | $12.21M | $12.44M | $11.52M | $10.44M | $11.67M | $15.53M | $11.82M | $11.48M | $12.25M | $14.11M | $13.38M | $6.50M | $18.82M | $12.83M | $4.94M | $5.91M | $28.51M | $24.58M | $4.25M | $6.99M | $8.66M | $34.78M | $21.08M | $30.06M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.93% | 0.99% | 0.82% | 0.81% | 1.30% | - | 0.87% | 1.52% | 1.01% | 0.31% | 0.25% | 1.46% | 0.94% | 0.78% | 0.85% | 1.20% | 0.93% |
Warrior Met Coal's average Quarter SG&A projection for Dec 23 is $12.87M, based on 1 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $11.82M to $13.40M. The forecast indicates a 15.57% rise compared to HCC last annual SG&A of $11.14M (Sep 23).
Warrior Met Coal EPS Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | 1 | 2 | 1 | - | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 6 |
| EPS | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $1.64 | $1.58 | $3.52 | $1.93 | $1.91 | - | $2.84 | $2.69 | $0.75 | $-0.09 | $-0.42 | $-0.66 | $-0.28 | $-0.18 | $0.42 | $0.41 | $0.88 |
| Avg Forecast | $1.87 | $1.93 | $2.00 | $1.87 | $2.14 | $2.06 | $1.88 | $2.13 | $1.64 | $1.06 | $1.32 | $2.58 | $2.72 | $1.60 | $2.07 | $2.70 | $2.52 | $1.62 | $4.97 | $3.49 | $2.58 | $1.01 | $-0.18 | $0.17 | $-0.32 | $-0.33 | $-0.23 | $0.50 | $0.13 | $0.88 |
| High Forecast | $1.97 | $2.03 | $2.11 | $1.97 | $2.26 | $2.17 | $1.98 | $2.25 | $1.73 | $1.11 | $1.39 | $2.71 | $2.86 | $1.73 | $2.18 | $2.84 | $2.66 | $1.71 | $4.97 | $3.66 | $2.70 | $1.05 | $-0.17 | $0.17 | $-0.30 | $-0.31 | $-0.22 | $0.53 | $0.14 | $0.92 |
| Low Forecast | $1.67 | $1.72 | $1.79 | $1.67 | $1.91 | $1.84 | $1.68 | $1.91 | $1.47 | $0.94 | $1.18 | $2.30 | $2.43 | $1.42 | $1.85 | $2.41 | $2.26 | $1.45 | $4.97 | $3.26 | $2.40 | $0.94 | $-0.19 | $0.16 | $-0.34 | $-0.34 | $-0.24 | $0.47 | $0.12 | $0.82 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.02% | 0.77% | 1.31% | 0.76% | 1.18% | - | 0.81% | 1.04% | 0.74% | 0.51% | -2.52% | 2.05% | 0.86% | 0.78% | 0.83% | 3.13% | 1.00% |
According to 1 Wall Street analysts, Warrior Met Coal's projected average Quarter EPS for Dec 23 is $2.72, with a low estimate of $2.43 and a high estimate of $2.86. This represents a 65.70% increase compared to HCC previous annual EPS of $1.64 (Sep 23).
HCC Forecast FAQ
Is Warrior Met Coal a good buy?
Yes, according to 5 Wall Street analysts, Warrior Met Coal (HCC) is considered a 'Buy'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 4 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 80.00% of HCC's total ratings.
What is HCC's price target?
Warrior Met Coal (HCC) average price target is $37 with a range of $37 to $37, implying a -29.39% from its last price of $52.4. The data is based on 5 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.
Will Warrior Met Coal stock go up soon?
According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for HCC stock, the company can go down by -29.39% (from the last price of $52.4 to the average price target of $37), down by -29.39% based on the highest stock price target, and down by -29.39% based on the lowest stock price target.
Can Warrior Met Coal stock reach $80?
HCC's average twelve months analyst stock price target of $37 does not support the claim that Warrior Met Coal can reach $80 in the near future.
What are Warrior Met Coal's analysts' financial forecasts?
Warrior Met Coal's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $1.65B (high $1.71B, low $1.51B), average EBITDA is $630.95M (high $656.84M, low $579.39M), average net income is $430.18M (high $453.13M, low $384.48M), average SG&A $53.91M (high $56.13M, low $49.51M), and average EPS is $8.21 (high $8.65, low $7.34). HCC's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2026) are as follows: average revenue is $1.57B (high $1.63B, low $1.44B), average EBITDA is $601.19M (high $625.86M, low $552.06M), average net income is $401.74M (high $423.17M, low $359.06M), average SG&A $51.37M (high $53.48M, low $47.17M), and average EPS is $7.67 (high $8.08, low $6.86).
Did the HCC's actual financial results beat the analysts' financial forecasts?
Based on Warrior Met Coal's last annual report (Dec 2022), the company's revenue was $1.74B, which missed the average analysts forecast of $1.8B by -3.32%. Apple's EBITDA was $963.61M, beating the average prediction of $725.7M by 32.78%. The company's net income was $641.3M, beating the average estimation of $602.13M by 6.50%. Apple's SG&A was $48.79M, missing the average forecast of $57.56M by -15.23%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $12.42, missing the average prediction of $12.61 by -1.53%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Sep 2023), Warrior Met Coal's revenue was $423.49M, beating the average analysts' forecast of $364.25M by 16.26%. The company's EBITDA was $107.75M, missing the average prediction of $139.61M by -22.82%. Warrior Met Coal's net income was $85.38M, beating the average estimation of $83.84M by 1.83%. The company's SG&A was $11.14M, missing the average forecast of $11.93M by -6.64%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $1.64, beating the average prediction of $1.6 by 2.45%