Group 1 Automotive (GPI) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions
GPI Stock Forecast
Group 1 Automotive stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $430.00 (represents a 2.38% upside from GPI’s last price of $419.99) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 5 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.
GPI Price Target
The average price target for Group 1 Automotive (GPI) is $430.00 based on 1-year price targets from 5 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $430.00 to $430.00. This represents a potential 2.38% upside from GPI's last price of $419.99.
GPI Analyst Ratings
According to 5 Wall Street analysts, Group 1 Automotive's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for GPI stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 4 'Buy' (80.00%), 1 'Hold' (20.00%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).
Group 1 Automotive Price Target by Analyst
| Date | Analyst | Company | Price Target | Price when Published | Price Target/Price when Published | Price Target/Last Closing Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2024 | Adam Jonas | Morgan Stanley | $430.00 | $384.85 | 11.73% | 2.38% |
| Apr 17, 2024 | Ronald Jewsikow | Guggenheim | $305.00 | $269.64 | 13.11% | -27.38% |
The latest Group 1 Automotive stock forecast, released on Sep 25, 2024 by Adam Jonas from Morgan Stanley, set a price target of $430.00, which represents a 11.73% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($384.85), and a 2.38% increase from GPI last price ($419.99).
Group 1 Automotive Price Target by Period
| 1M | 3M | 12M | |
|---|---|---|---|
| # Anlaysts | - | 1 | 2 |
| Avg Price Target | - | $430.00 | $367.50 |
| Last Closing Price | $419.99 | $419.99 | $419.99 |
| Upside/Downside | -100.00% | 2.38% | -12.50% |
In the current month, the average price target of Group 1 Automotive stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to Group 1 Automotive's last price of $419.99. This month's average price target is down -100.00% compared to last quarter, and down -100.00% compared to last year.
Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades
| Date | Company | Previous Rating | New Rating | Rating Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2024 | Morgan Stanley | Overweight | Upgrade | |
| Sep 11, 2024 | Stephens | Buy | Equal-Weight | Initialise |
| Aug 15, 2024 | Seaport Global | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Apr 17, 2024 | Guggenheim | Underperform | Underperform | Hold |
| Apr 17, 2024 | Stephens | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Apr 17, 2024 | Guggenheim | Buy | Upgrade | |
| Jul 31, 2023 | Benchmark | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Feb 21, 2023 | Oppenheimer | Overweight | Overweight | Hold |
Group 1 Automotive's last stock rating was published by Morgan Stanley on Sep 25, 2024. The company Upgrade its GPI rating from "null" to "Overweight".
Group 1 Automotive Financial Forecast
Group 1 Automotive Revenue Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $4.48B | $4.71B | $4.56B | $4.13B | $4.07B | $4.16B | $4.15B | $3.84B | $3.26B | $3.51B | $3.70B | $3.01B | $2.99B | $3.04B | $2.13B | $2.69B | $3.11B | $3.12B |
| Avg Forecast | $5.75B | $5.93B | $5.81B | $5.58B | $5.45B | $5.62B | $5.56B | $5.32B | $5.21B | $5.06B | $4.68B | $4.38B | $4.41B | $4.52B | $4.36B | $3.92B | $3.91B | $4.03B | $4.07B | $3.77B | $3.47B | $3.42B | $3.31B | $2.68B | $3.01B | $3.01B | $2.15B | $2.58B | $3.02B | $2.95B |
| High Forecast | $5.85B | $6.03B | $5.91B | $5.67B | $5.54B | $5.71B | $5.65B | $5.38B | $5.27B | $5.07B | $4.68B | $4.38B | $4.53B | $4.66B | $4.43B | $3.99B | $3.98B | $4.03B | $4.07B | $3.77B | $3.47B | $3.42B | $3.31B | $2.68B | $3.01B | $3.01B | $2.15B | $2.58B | $3.02B | $2.95B |
| Low Forecast | $5.63B | $5.81B | $5.69B | $5.46B | $5.34B | $5.50B | $5.44B | $5.24B | $5.15B | $5.05B | $4.68B | $4.38B | $4.29B | $4.32B | $4.27B | $3.84B | $3.83B | $4.03B | $4.07B | $3.77B | $3.47B | $3.42B | $3.31B | $2.68B | $3.01B | $3.01B | $2.15B | $2.58B | $3.02B | $2.95B |
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.02% | 1.04% | 1.05% | 1.05% | 1.04% | 1.03% | 1.02% | 1.02% | 0.94% | 1.03% | 1.12% | 1.12% | 0.99% | 1.01% | 0.99% | 1.04% | 1.03% | 1.06% |
Group 1 Automotive's average Quarter revenue forecast for Mar 24 based on 2 analysts is $4.38B, with a low forecast of $4.38B, and a high forecast of $4.38B. GPI's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a -2.16% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $4.48B (Dec 23).
Group 1 Automotive EBITDA Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $118.10M | $291.40M | $294.30M | $262.20M | $261.00M | $305.10M | $308.30M | $306.20M | $170.50M | $262.60M | $284.60M | $172.20M | $169.40M | $202.80M | $87.50M | $88.50M | $115.20M | $101.44M |
| Avg Forecast | $338.06M | $348.62M | $341.40M | $327.73M | $320.41M | $329.99M | $326.53M | $312.30M | $306.14M | $297.35M | $274.75M | $314.30M | $259.14M | $265.73M | $256.26M | $285.73M | $179.89M | $240.22M | $242.02M | $259.76M | $206.58M | $203.42M | $196.82M | $127.89M | $179.11M | $179.28M | $128.18M | $66.54M | $180.08M | $175.43M |
| High Forecast | $343.71M | $354.44M | $347.10M | $333.20M | $325.76M | $335.50M | $331.98M | $315.88M | $309.70M | $297.99M | $274.75M | $377.16M | $266.24M | $273.48M | $260.54M | $342.88M | $215.87M | $240.22M | $242.02M | $311.71M | $206.58M | $203.42M | $196.82M | $153.46M | $179.11M | $179.28M | $128.18M | $79.85M | $180.08M | $175.43M |
| Low Forecast | $330.75M | $341.08M | $334.01M | $320.64M | $313.47M | $322.85M | $319.46M | $308.12M | $302.58M | $296.71M | $274.75M | $251.44M | $252.04M | $253.91M | $250.71M | $228.58M | $143.91M | $240.22M | $242.02M | $207.80M | $206.58M | $203.42M | $196.82M | $102.31M | $179.11M | $179.28M | $128.18M | $53.23M | $180.08M | $175.43M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.46% | 1.10% | 1.15% | 0.92% | 1.45% | 1.27% | 1.27% | 1.18% | 0.83% | 1.29% | 1.45% | 1.35% | 0.95% | 1.13% | 0.68% | 1.33% | 0.64% | 0.58% |
2 analysts predict GPI's average Quarter EBITDA for Mar 24 to be $314.30M, with a high of $377.16M and a low of $251.44M. This is 166.13% upper than Group 1 Automotive's previous annual EBITDA (Dec 23) of $118.10M.
Group 1 Automotive Net Income Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| Net Income | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $109.10M | $163.90M | $170.50M | $158.50M | $157.20M | $195.80M | $195.90M | $202.90M | $160.40M | $172.10M | $191.00M | $101.90M | $100.10M | $126.40M | $30.20M | $29.80M | $48.10M | $38.00M |
| Avg Forecast | $138.71M | $161.91M | $154.34M | $136.05M | $128.81M | $143.06M | $139.98M | $126.23M | $121.09M | $131.49M | $124.71M | $206.72M | $138.55M | $152.88M | $147.59M | $187.92M | $91.90M | $148.84M | $143.82M | $170.84M | $120.31M | $120.82M | $108.97M | $75.68M | $77.43M | $81.72M | $8.99M | $22.41M | $36.08M | $36.16M |
| High Forecast | $141.72M | $165.43M | $157.69M | $139.00M | $131.61M | $146.16M | $143.02M | $126.37M | $122.79M | $135.33M | $124.71M | $248.06M | $141.19M | $157.94M | $150.79M | $225.51M | $110.28M | $148.84M | $143.82M | $205.01M | $120.31M | $120.82M | $108.97M | $90.81M | $77.43M | $81.72M | $8.99M | $26.89M | $36.08M | $36.16M |
| Low Forecast | $134.80M | $157.36M | $150.00M | $132.22M | $125.19M | $139.04M | $136.04M | $125.97M | $120.44M | $127.65M | $124.70M | $165.37M | $136.96M | $146.48M | $143.44M | $150.34M | $73.52M | $148.84M | $143.82M | $136.67M | $120.31M | $120.82M | $108.97M | $60.54M | $77.43M | $81.72M | $8.99M | $17.92M | $36.08M | $36.16M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.79% | 1.07% | 1.16% | 0.84% | 1.71% | 1.32% | 1.36% | 1.19% | 1.33% | 1.42% | 1.75% | 1.35% | 1.29% | 1.55% | 3.36% | 1.33% | 1.33% | 1.05% |
Group 1 Automotive's average Quarter net income forecast for Mar 24 is $206.72M, with a range of $165.37M to $248.06M. GPI's average Quarter net income forecast represents a 89.47% increase compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $109.10M (Dec 23).
Group 1 Automotive SG&A Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| SG&A | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $487.40M | $496.70M | $479.90M | $462.80M | $453.80M | $450.90M | $460.20M | $418.50M | $396.90M | $385.10M | $376.70M | $318.40M | $298.40M | $305.80M | $237.20M | $328.00M | $338.00M | $354.00M |
| Avg Forecast | $630.50M | $650.20M | $636.73M | $611.23M | $597.58M | $615.45M | $608.99M | $582.44M | $570.97M | $554.57M | $512.43M | $426.37M | $483.31M | $495.60M | $477.94M | $387.61M | $418.76M | $442.89M | $446.21M | $352.37M | $380.88M | $375.04M | $362.87M | $236.46M | $330.22M | $330.54M | $236.33M | $246.62M | $332.02M | $323.43M |
| High Forecast | $641.03M | $661.05M | $647.36M | $621.43M | $607.55M | $625.72M | $619.15M | $589.13M | $577.61M | $555.77M | $512.43M | $511.65M | $496.55M | $510.05M | $485.91M | $465.13M | $502.51M | $442.89M | $446.21M | $422.85M | $380.88M | $375.04M | $362.87M | $283.76M | $330.22M | $330.54M | $236.33M | $295.94M | $332.02M | $323.43M |
| Low Forecast | $616.86M | $636.13M | $622.95M | $598.00M | $584.64M | $602.13M | $595.81M | $574.65M | $564.33M | $553.37M | $512.43M | $341.10M | $470.07M | $473.55M | $467.59M | $310.09M | $335.01M | $442.89M | $446.21M | $281.90M | $380.88M | $375.04M | $362.87M | $189.17M | $330.22M | $330.54M | $236.33M | $197.29M | $332.02M | $323.43M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.01% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.19% | 1.08% | 1.02% | 1.03% | 1.19% | 1.04% | 1.03% | 1.04% | 1.35% | 0.90% | 0.93% | 1.00% | 1.33% | 1.02% | 1.09% |
Group 1 Automotive's average Quarter SG&A projection for Mar 24 is $426.37M, based on 2 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $341.10M to $511.65M. The forecast indicates a -12.52% fall compared to GPI last annual SG&A of $487.40M (Dec 23).
Group 1 Automotive EPS Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| EPS | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $7.96 | $11.59 | $12.06 | $10.94 | $10.66 | $12.61 | $11.94 | $11.92 | $9.34 | $9.19 | $10.21 | $5.32 | $5.33 | $6.65 | $1.59 | $1.58 | $2.49 | $1.97 |
| Avg Forecast | $10.41 | $12.16 | $11.59 | $10.21 | $9.67 | $10.74 | $10.51 | $9.48 | $9.09 | $9.87 | $9.36 | $9.38 | $10.40 | $11.48 | $11.08 | $9.88 | $10.74 | $11.20 | $10.82 | $9.43 | $9.05 | $9.09 | $8.20 | $4.43 | $5.82 | $6.15 | $0.68 | $1.32 | $2.71 | $2.72 |
| High Forecast | $10.64 | $12.42 | $11.84 | $10.44 | $9.88 | $10.97 | $10.74 | $9.49 | $9.22 | $10.16 | $9.36 | $9.38 | $10.60 | $11.86 | $11.32 | $10.09 | $10.97 | $11.20 | $10.82 | $9.43 | $9.05 | $9.09 | $8.20 | $4.43 | $5.82 | $6.15 | $0.68 | $1.32 | $2.71 | $2.72 |
| Low Forecast | $10.12 | $11.81 | $11.26 | $9.93 | $9.40 | $10.44 | $10.21 | $9.46 | $9.04 | $9.58 | $9.36 | $9.38 | $10.28 | $11.00 | $10.77 | $9.60 | $10.44 | $11.20 | $10.82 | $9.43 | $9.05 | $9.09 | $8.20 | $4.43 | $5.82 | $6.15 | $0.68 | $1.32 | $2.71 | $2.72 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.77% | 1.01% | 1.09% | 1.11% | 0.99% | 1.13% | 1.10% | 1.26% | 1.03% | 1.01% | 1.25% | 1.20% | 0.92% | 1.08% | 2.36% | 1.19% | 0.92% | 0.72% |
According to 2 Wall Street analysts, Group 1 Automotive's projected average Quarter EPS for Mar 24 is $9.38, with a low estimate of $9.38 and a high estimate of $9.38. This represents a 17.85% increase compared to GPI previous annual EPS of $7.96 (Dec 23).
Group 1 Automotive Peer Comparison by Price Target
| Ticker | Company | Last Closing Price | Avg Price Target | Upside/Downside | Avg Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AN | AutoNation | $170.49 | $229.00 | 34.32% | Buy |
| PAG | Penske Automotive Group | $161.76 | $180.00 | 11.28% | Buy |
| GPI | Group 1 Automotive | $421.48 | $430.00 | 2.02% | Buy |
| LAD | Lithia Motors | $370.77 | $363.00 | -2.10% | Buy |
| SAH | Sonic Automotive | $65.41 | $62.33 | -4.71% | Buy |
| ABG | Asbury Automotive Group | $252.30 | $236.50 | -6.26% | Hold |