Group 1 Automotive (GPI) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions
GPI Stock Forecast
Group 1 Automotive stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $367.50 (represents a -8.52% downside from GPI’s last price of $401.73) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 5 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.
GPI Price Target
The average price target for Group 1 Automotive (GPI) is $367.50 based on 1-year price targets from 5 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $430.00 to $305.00. This represents a potential -8.52% downside from GPI's last price of $401.73.
GPI Analyst Ratings
According to 5 Wall Street analysts, Group 1 Automotive's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for GPI stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 4 'Buy' (80.00%), 1 'Hold' (20.00%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).
Group 1 Automotive Price Target by Analyst
| Date | Analyst | Company | Price Target | Price when Published | Price Target/Price when Published | Price Target/Last Closing Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2024 | Adam Jonas | Morgan Stanley | $430.00 | $384.85 | 11.73% | 7.04% |
| Apr 17, 2024 | Ronald Jewsikow | Guggenheim | $305.00 | $269.64 | 13.11% | -24.08% |
The latest Group 1 Automotive stock forecast, released on Sep 25, 2024 by Adam Jonas from Morgan Stanley, set a price target of $430.00, which represents a 11.73% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($384.85), and a 7.04% increase from GPI last price ($401.73).
Group 1 Automotive Price Target by Period
| 1M | 3M | 12M | |
|---|---|---|---|
| # Anlaysts | - | 1 | 2 |
| Avg Price Target | - | $430.00 | $367.50 |
| Last Closing Price | $401.73 | $401.73 | $401.73 |
| Upside/Downside | -100.00% | 7.04% | -8.52% |
In the current month, the average price target of Group 1 Automotive stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to Group 1 Automotive's last price of $401.73. This month's average price target is down -100.00% compared to last quarter, and down -100.00% compared to last year.
Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades
| Date | Company | Previous Rating | New Rating | Rating Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2024 | Morgan Stanley | - | Overweight | Upgrade |
| Sep 11, 2024 | Stephens | Buy | Equal-Weight | Initialise |
| Aug 15, 2024 | Seaport Global | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Apr 17, 2024 | Guggenheim | Underperform | Underperform | Hold |
| Apr 17, 2024 | Stephens | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Apr 17, 2024 | Guggenheim | - | Buy | Upgrade |
| Jul 31, 2023 | Benchmark | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Feb 21, 2023 | Oppenheimer | Overweight | Overweight | Hold |
Group 1 Automotive's last stock rating was published by Morgan Stanley on Sep 25, 2024. The company Upgrade its GPI rating from "null" to "Overweight".
Group 1 Automotive Financial Forecast
Group 1 Automotive Revenue Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $4.48B | $4.71B | $4.56B | $4.13B | $4.07B | $4.16B | $4.15B | $3.84B | $3.26B | $3.51B | $3.70B | $3.01B | $2.99B | $3.04B | $2.13B | $2.69B | $3.11B | $3.12B |
| Avg Forecast | $5.55B | $5.85B | $5.70B | $5.52B | $5.42B | $5.59B | $5.54B | $5.28B | $5.19B | $5.06B | $4.68B | $4.38B | $4.41B | $4.52B | $4.36B | $3.92B | $3.91B | $4.03B | $4.07B | $3.77B | $3.47B | $3.42B | $3.31B | $2.68B | $3.01B | $3.01B | $2.15B | $2.58B | $3.02B | $2.95B |
| High Forecast | $5.66B | $5.97B | $5.81B | $5.63B | $5.52B | $5.70B | $5.64B | $5.34B | $5.30B | $5.07B | $4.68B | $4.38B | $4.53B | $4.66B | $4.45B | $4.00B | $3.99B | $4.03B | $4.07B | $3.77B | $3.47B | $3.42B | $3.31B | $2.68B | $3.01B | $3.01B | $2.15B | $2.58B | $3.02B | $2.95B |
| Low Forecast | $5.46B | $5.75B | $5.60B | $5.43B | $5.32B | $5.50B | $5.44B | $5.21B | $5.08B | $5.05B | $4.68B | $4.38B | $4.29B | $4.32B | $4.29B | $3.86B | $3.85B | $4.03B | $4.07B | $3.77B | $3.47B | $3.42B | $3.31B | $2.68B | $3.01B | $3.01B | $2.15B | $2.58B | $3.02B | $2.95B |
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.02% | 1.04% | 1.05% | 1.05% | 1.04% | 1.03% | 1.02% | 1.02% | 0.94% | 1.03% | 1.12% | 1.12% | 0.99% | 1.01% | 0.99% | 1.04% | 1.03% | 1.06% |
Group 1 Automotive's average Quarter revenue forecast for Mar 24 based on 2 analysts is $4.38B, with a low forecast of $4.38B, and a high forecast of $4.38B. GPI's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a -2.16% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $4.48B (Dec 23).
Group 1 Automotive EBITDA Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $118.10M | $291.40M | $294.30M | $262.20M | $261.00M | $305.10M | $308.30M | $306.20M | $170.50M | $262.60M | $284.60M | $172.20M | $169.40M | $202.80M | $87.50M | $88.50M | $115.20M | $101.44M |
| Avg Forecast | $328.78M | $346.54M | $337.21M | $326.74M | $320.61M | $331.21M | $327.78M | $312.76M | $307.04M | $299.66M | $276.89M | $314.30M | $261.16M | $267.80M | $258.25M | $285.73M | $179.89M | $240.22M | $242.02M | $259.76M | $206.58M | $203.42M | $196.82M | $127.89M | $179.11M | $179.28M | $128.18M | $66.54M | $180.08M | $175.43M |
| High Forecast | $335.23M | $353.34M | $343.82M | $333.14M | $326.89M | $337.70M | $334.21M | $316.35M | $314.05M | $300.31M | $276.89M | $377.16M | $268.31M | $275.60M | $263.31M | $342.88M | $215.87M | $240.22M | $242.02M | $311.71M | $206.58M | $203.42M | $196.82M | $153.46M | $179.11M | $179.28M | $128.18M | $79.85M | $180.08M | $175.43M |
| Low Forecast | $323.26M | $340.72M | $331.54M | $321.25M | $315.22M | $325.65M | $322.28M | $308.57M | $300.62M | $299.02M | $276.89M | $251.44M | $254.00M | $255.88M | $253.91M | $228.58M | $143.91M | $240.22M | $242.02M | $207.80M | $206.58M | $203.42M | $196.82M | $102.31M | $179.11M | $179.28M | $128.18M | $53.23M | $180.08M | $175.43M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.45% | 1.09% | 1.14% | 0.92% | 1.45% | 1.27% | 1.27% | 1.18% | 0.83% | 1.29% | 1.45% | 1.35% | 0.95% | 1.13% | 0.68% | 1.33% | 0.64% | 0.58% |
2 analysts predict GPI's average Quarter EBITDA for Mar 24 to be $314.30M, with a high of $377.16M and a low of $251.44M. This is 166.13% upper than Group 1 Automotive's previous annual EBITDA (Dec 23) of $118.10M.
Group 1 Automotive Net Income Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| Net Income | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $109.10M | $163.90M | $170.50M | $158.50M | $157.20M | $195.80M | $195.90M | $202.90M | $160.40M | $172.10M | $191.00M | $101.90M | $100.10M | $126.40M | $30.20M | $29.80M | $48.10M | $38.00M |
| Avg Forecast | $123.47M | $159.97M | $145.98M | $122.94M | $126.00M | $142.19M | $138.19M | $121.61M | $120.72M | $131.49M | $124.71M | $206.72M | $138.55M | $152.88M | $147.59M | $187.92M | $91.90M | $148.84M | $143.82M | $170.84M | $120.31M | $120.82M | $108.97M | $75.68M | $77.43M | $81.72M | $8.99M | $22.41M | $36.08M | $36.16M |
| High Forecast | $126.62M | $164.04M | $149.70M | $126.07M | $129.21M | $145.81M | $141.71M | $122.50M | $122.02M | $135.33M | $124.71M | $248.06M | $141.19M | $157.94M | $151.35M | $225.51M | $110.28M | $148.84M | $143.82M | $205.01M | $120.31M | $120.82M | $108.97M | $90.81M | $77.43M | $81.72M | $8.99M | $26.89M | $36.08M | $36.16M |
| Low Forecast | $120.78M | $156.48M | $142.80M | $120.26M | $123.25M | $139.08M | $135.17M | $120.72M | $120.07M | $127.65M | $124.70M | $165.37M | $136.96M | $146.48M | $144.37M | $150.34M | $73.52M | $148.84M | $143.82M | $136.67M | $120.31M | $120.82M | $108.97M | $60.54M | $77.43M | $81.72M | $8.99M | $17.92M | $36.08M | $36.16M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.79% | 1.07% | 1.16% | 0.84% | 1.71% | 1.32% | 1.36% | 1.19% | 1.33% | 1.42% | 1.75% | 1.35% | 1.29% | 1.55% | 3.36% | 1.33% | 1.33% | 1.05% |
Group 1 Automotive's average Quarter net income forecast for Mar 24 is $206.72M, with a range of $165.37M to $248.06M. GPI's average Quarter net income forecast represents a 89.47% increase compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $109.10M (Dec 23).
Group 1 Automotive SG&A Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| SG&A | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $487.40M | $496.70M | $479.90M | $462.80M | $453.80M | $450.90M | $460.20M | $418.50M | $396.90M | $385.10M | $376.70M | $318.40M | $298.40M | $305.80M | $237.20M | $328.00M | $338.00M | $354.00M |
| Avg Forecast | $608.25M | $641.11M | $623.84M | $604.47M | $593.13M | $612.75M | $606.41M | $578.61M | $568.03M | $554.38M | $512.25M | $426.37M | $483.15M | $495.43M | $477.77M | $387.61M | $418.76M | $442.89M | $446.21M | $352.37M | $380.88M | $375.04M | $362.87M | $236.46M | $330.22M | $330.54M | $236.33M | $246.62M | $332.02M | $323.43M |
| High Forecast | $620.18M | $653.68M | $636.07M | $616.32M | $604.75M | $624.76M | $618.29M | $585.25M | $580.99M | $555.57M | $512.25M | $511.65M | $496.38M | $509.87M | $487.13M | $465.13M | $502.51M | $442.89M | $446.21M | $422.85M | $380.88M | $375.04M | $362.87M | $283.76M | $330.22M | $330.54M | $236.33M | $295.94M | $332.02M | $323.43M |
| Low Forecast | $598.04M | $630.34M | $613.36M | $594.32M | $583.16M | $602.46M | $596.22M | $570.86M | $556.15M | $553.18M | $512.25M | $341.10M | $469.91M | $473.38M | $469.74M | $310.09M | $335.01M | $442.89M | $446.21M | $281.90M | $380.88M | $375.04M | $362.87M | $189.17M | $330.22M | $330.54M | $236.33M | $197.29M | $332.02M | $323.43M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.01% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.19% | 1.08% | 1.02% | 1.03% | 1.19% | 1.04% | 1.03% | 1.04% | 1.35% | 0.90% | 0.93% | 1.00% | 1.33% | 1.02% | 1.09% |
Group 1 Automotive's average Quarter SG&A projection for Mar 24 is $426.37M, based on 2 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $341.10M to $511.65M. The forecast indicates a -12.52% fall compared to GPI last annual SG&A of $487.40M (Dec 23).
Group 1 Automotive EPS Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| EPS | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $7.96 | $11.59 | $12.06 | $10.94 | $10.66 | $12.61 | $11.94 | $11.92 | $9.34 | $9.19 | $10.21 | $5.32 | $5.33 | $6.65 | $1.59 | $1.58 | $2.49 | $1.97 |
| Avg Forecast | $9.27 | $12.01 | $10.96 | $9.23 | $9.46 | $10.68 | $10.38 | $9.13 | $9.06 | $9.87 | $9.36 | $9.38 | $10.40 | $11.48 | $11.08 | $9.88 | $10.74 | $11.20 | $10.82 | $9.43 | $9.05 | $9.09 | $8.20 | $4.43 | $5.82 | $6.15 | $0.68 | $1.32 | $2.71 | $2.72 |
| High Forecast | $9.51 | $12.32 | $11.24 | $9.47 | $9.70 | $10.95 | $10.64 | $9.20 | $9.16 | $10.16 | $9.36 | $9.38 | $10.60 | $11.86 | $11.36 | $10.13 | $11.01 | $11.20 | $10.82 | $9.43 | $9.05 | $9.09 | $8.20 | $4.43 | $5.82 | $6.15 | $0.68 | $1.32 | $2.71 | $2.72 |
| Low Forecast | $9.07 | $11.75 | $10.72 | $9.03 | $9.25 | $10.44 | $10.15 | $9.06 | $9.01 | $9.58 | $9.36 | $9.38 | $10.28 | $11.00 | $10.84 | $9.66 | $10.50 | $11.20 | $10.82 | $9.43 | $9.05 | $9.09 | $8.20 | $4.43 | $5.82 | $6.15 | $0.68 | $1.32 | $2.71 | $2.72 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.77% | 1.01% | 1.09% | 1.11% | 0.99% | 1.13% | 1.10% | 1.26% | 1.03% | 1.01% | 1.25% | 1.20% | 0.92% | 1.08% | 2.36% | 1.19% | 0.92% | 0.72% |
According to 2 Wall Street analysts, Group 1 Automotive's projected average Quarter EPS for Mar 24 is $9.38, with a low estimate of $9.38 and a high estimate of $9.38. This represents a 17.85% increase compared to GPI previous annual EPS of $7.96 (Dec 23).
Group 1 Automotive Peer Comparison by Price Target
| Ticker | Company | Last Closing Price | Avg Price Target | Upside/Downside | Avg Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AN | AutoNation | $164.85 | $193.00 | 17.08% | Buy |
| SAH | Sonic Automotive | $61.68 | $61.00 | -1.10% | Hold |
| PAG | Penske Automotive Group | $157.23 | $152.50 | -3.01% | Buy |
| ABG | Asbury Automotive Group | $250.48 | $230.20 | -8.10% | Hold |
| LAD | Lithia Motors | $371.15 | $339.75 | -8.46% | Buy |
| GPI | Group 1 Automotive | $401.73 | $367.50 | -8.52% | Buy |