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GEO Group (GEO) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions

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GEO Stock Forecast

GEO Group stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $14.00 (represents a -50.21% downside from GEO’s last price of $28.12) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 16 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.

GEO Price Target

The average price target for GEO Group (GEO) is $14.00 based on 1-year price targets from 16 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $14.00 to $14.00. This represents a potential -50.21% downside from GEO's last price of $28.12.

GEO Analyst Ratings

Buy

According to 16 Wall Street analysts, GEO Group's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for GEO stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 12 'Buy' (75.00%), 3 'Hold' (18.75%), 1 'Sell' (6.25%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).

GEO Group Price Target by Analyst

DateAnalystCompanyPrice TargetPrice when PublishedPrice Target/Price when PublishedPrice Target/Last Closing Price
Nov 29, 2022Wedbush$14.00$11.2224.75%-50.21%

The latest GEO Group stock forecast, released on Nov 29, 2022 by Wedbush company, set a price target of $14.00, which represents a 24.75% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($11.22), and a -50.21% decrease from GEO last price ($28.12).

GEO Group Price Target by Period

1M3M12M
# Anlaysts---
Avg Price Target---
Last Closing Price$28.12$28.12$28.12
Upside/Downside-100.00%-100.00%-100.00%

In the current month, the average price target of GEO Group stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to GEO Group's last price of $28.12. This month's average price target is down NaN% compared to last quarter, and down NaN% compared to last year.

Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades

DateCompanyPrevious RatingNew RatingRating Change
Sep 19, 2024WedbushBuyBuyHold
Sep 19, 2024Edward JonesUnderperformUnderperformHold
May 08, 2024WedbushOutperformOutperformHold
Apr 08, 2024Noble CapitalOutperformOutperformHold
Apr 08, 2024Noble Capital MarketsOutperformOutperformHold
Mar 21, 2024WedbushOutperformOutperformHold
Nov 29, 2022Exane BNP ParibasNeutralUpgrade
Nov 29, 2022BTIGNeutralInitialise
Nov 29, 2022BenchmarkBuyInitialise
Nov 29, 2022Redburn PartnersSellInitialise
Nov 29, 2022GuggenheimBuyInitialise
Nov 29, 2022UBSNeutralInitialise
Nov 29, 2022SVB LeerinkOutperformInitialise
Nov 29, 2022Hovde GroupOutperformInitialise
Nov 29, 2022Wolfe ResearchPeer PerformInitialise
Nov 29, 2022Deutsche BankBuyUpgrade
Nov 29, 2022Raymond JamesOutperformDowngrade
Nov 29, 2022JefferiesUnderperformDowngrade
Nov 29, 2022OppenheimerOutperformInitialise
Nov 29, 2022Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsOutperformInitialise
Nov 29, 2022Lake StreetBuyInitialise
Nov 29, 2022WedbushOutperformUpgrade

GEO Group's last stock rating was published by Wedbush on Sep 19, 2024. The company gave GEO a "Buy" rating, the same as its previous rate.

GEO Group Financial Forecast

GEO Group Revenue Forecast

Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19Jun 19Mar 19Mar 18Mar 17
Revenue--------$608.28M-$593.89M$608.21M$620.68M$616.68M$588.18M$551.18M$557.54M$557.28M$565.42M$576.38M$578.12M$579.14M$587.83M$605.02M$621.71M$631.58M$613.97M$610.67M$564.92M$550.61M
Avg Forecast$750.45M$702.30M$655.24M$615.17M$607.44M$612.63M$607.59M$603.84M$597.47M$595.30M$588.27M$606.07M$604.40M$605.85M$561.50M$551.47M$558.09M$551.53M$561.18M$579.91M$575.97M$580.53M$584.13M$641.04M$646.13M$619.30M$610.64M$601.59M$545.42M$519.14M
High Forecast$763.14M$714.18M$666.32M$625.54M$612.79M$612.63M$607.59M$603.84M$601.07M$603.13M$598.22M$616.32M$614.62M$605.85M$561.50M$551.47M$558.09M$551.53M$561.18M$579.91M$575.97M$580.53M$584.13M$641.04M$646.13M$619.30M$610.64M$601.59M$654.50M$622.96M
Low Forecast$737.78M$690.45M$644.18M$603.81M$602.83M$612.63M$607.59M$603.84M$593.80M$585.21M$578.35M$595.84M$594.20M$605.85M$561.50M$551.47M$558.09M$551.53M$561.18M$579.91M$575.97M$580.53M$584.13M$641.04M$646.13M$619.30M$610.64M$601.59M$436.34M$415.31M
# Analysts111442224422111122222889127781618
Surprise %--------1.02%-1.01%1.00%1.03%1.02%1.05%1.00%1.00%1.01%1.01%0.99%1.00%1.00%1.01%0.94%0.96%1.02%1.01%1.02%1.04%1.06%

GEO Group's average Quarter revenue forecast for Mar 24 based on 2 analysts is $603.84M, with a low forecast of $603.84M, and a high forecast of $603.84M. GEO's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a -0.73% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $608.28M (Dec 23).

GEO Group EBITDA Forecast

Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19Jun 19Mar 19Mar 18Mar 17
# Analysts111442224422111122222889127781618
EBITDA--------$123.66M-$17.37M$125.75M$141.55M$135.56M$132.65M$123.09M$119.45M$108.51M$112.38M$124.44M$82.61M$108.21M$104.96M$99.23M$108.94M$120.13M$117.73M$118.29M$107.00M$106.82M
Avg Forecast$141.42M$132.35M$123.48M$115.93M$114.47M$115.45M$114.50M$140.88M$112.59M$112.18M$110.86M$128.07M$115.54M$118.39M$109.73M$101.24M$109.06M$107.78M$109.67M$107.36M$112.56M$113.45M$82.70M$125.27M$126.26M$121.02M$119.33M$106.85M$103.18M$100.35M
High Forecast$143.81M$134.58M$125.56M$117.88M$115.48M$115.45M$114.50M$169.05M$113.27M$113.66M$112.73M$153.69M$138.64M$118.39M$109.73M$121.49M$109.06M$107.78M$109.67M$128.83M$112.56M$113.45M$99.23M$125.27M$126.26M$121.02M$119.33M$128.22M$123.81M$120.42M
Low Forecast$139.03M$130.11M$121.39M$113.79M$113.60M$115.45M$114.50M$112.70M$111.90M$110.28M$108.99M$102.46M$92.43M$118.39M$109.73M$80.99M$109.06M$107.78M$109.67M$85.88M$112.56M$113.45M$66.16M$125.27M$126.26M$121.02M$119.33M$85.48M$82.54M$80.28M
Surprise %--------1.10%-0.16%0.98%1.23%1.15%1.21%1.22%1.10%1.01%1.02%1.16%0.73%0.95%1.27%0.79%0.86%0.99%0.99%1.11%1.04%1.06%

2 analysts predict GEO's average Quarter EBITDA for Mar 24 to be $140.88M, with a high of $169.05M and a low of $112.70M. This is 13.93% upper than GEO Group's previous annual EBITDA (Dec 23) of $123.66M.

GEO Group Net Income Forecast

Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19Jun 19Mar 19Mar 18Mar 17
# Analysts111442224422111122222889127781618
Net Income--------$31.89M-$29.57M$28.00M$41.53M$38.34M$53.73M$38.22M$-51.32M$34.71M$41.96M$50.54M$11.91M$39.22M$36.72M$25.18M$38.05M$45.93M$41.91M$40.70M$34.99M$40.40M
Avg Forecast$76.91M$59.17M$44.45M$34.05M$30.91M$33.70M$35.57M$43.51M$24.17M$26.59M$27.63M$39.56M$-48.16M$44.38M$40.90M$31.27M$-9.57M$44.81M$36.98M$43.60M$33.28M$38.50M$28.93M$48.29M$53.51M$50.90M$46.99M$36.77M$33.74M$37.95M
High Forecast$78.60M$60.48M$45.43M$41.45M$32.39M$34.44M$35.60M$52.21M$25.52M$29.39M$28.23M$47.47M$-38.53M$44.38M$40.90M$37.52M$-9.57M$44.81M$36.98M$52.33M$33.28M$38.50M$34.72M$48.29M$53.51M$50.90M$46.99M$44.12M$40.48M$45.55M
Low Forecast$75.22M$57.88M$43.48M$31.09M$29.44M$32.96M$35.53M$34.81M$21.49M$23.79M$27.02M$31.65M$-57.80M$44.38M$40.90M$25.02M$-9.57M$44.81M$36.98M$34.88M$33.28M$38.50M$23.14M$48.29M$53.51M$50.90M$46.99M$29.41M$26.99M$30.36M
Surprise %--------1.32%-1.07%0.71%-0.86%0.86%1.31%1.22%5.36%0.77%1.13%1.16%0.36%1.02%1.27%0.52%0.71%0.90%0.89%1.11%1.04%1.06%

GEO Group's average Quarter net income forecast for Mar 24 is $43.51M, with a range of $34.81M to $52.21M. GEO's average Quarter net income forecast represents a 36.43% increase compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $31.89M (Dec 23).

GEO Group SG&A Forecast

Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19Jun 19Mar 19Mar 18Mar 17
# Analysts111442224422111122222889127781618
SG&A----------$41.69M$50.13M$49.09M$50.02M$49.30M$48.56M$50.66M$50.48M$54.69M$48.48M$47.40M$46.64M$45.54M$53.78M$43.74M$48.49M$47.27M$46.42M$41.83M$42.59M
Avg Forecast$61.50M$57.56M$53.70M$50.42M$49.78M$50.21M$49.80M$55.29M$48.97M$48.79M$48.21M$50.26M$49.00M$49.65M$46.02M$39.73M$45.74M$45.20M$45.99M$41.82M$47.20M$47.58M$35.88M$52.54M$52.95M$50.76M$50.05M$41.93M$40.34M$40.01M
High Forecast$62.54M$58.53M$54.61M$51.27M$50.22M$50.21M$49.80M$66.34M$49.26M$49.43M$49.03M$60.31M$58.81M$49.65M$46.02M$47.68M$45.74M$45.20M$45.99M$50.19M$47.20M$47.58M$43.06M$52.54M$52.95M$50.76M$50.05M$50.32M$48.41M$48.01M
Low Forecast$60.47M$56.59M$52.79M$49.49M$49.41M$50.21M$49.80M$44.23M$48.67M$47.96M$47.40M$40.21M$39.20M$49.65M$46.02M$31.78M$45.74M$45.20M$45.99M$33.46M$47.20M$47.58M$28.71M$52.54M$52.95M$50.76M$50.05M$33.55M$32.27M$32.00M
Surprise %----------0.86%1.00%1.00%1.01%1.07%1.22%1.11%1.12%1.19%1.16%1.00%0.98%1.27%1.02%0.83%0.96%0.94%1.11%1.04%1.06%

GEO Group's average Quarter SG&A projection for Sep 23 is $48.79M, based on 4 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $47.96M to $49.43M. The forecast indicates a 17.02% rise compared to GEO last annual SG&A of $41.69M (Jun 23).

GEO Group EPS Forecast

Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19Jun 19Mar 19Mar 18Mar 17
# Analysts111442224422111122222889127781618
EPS--------$0.25-$0.24$0.19$0.29$0.26$0.37$0.26$-0.43$0.24$0.29$0.41$0.09$0.33$0.31$0.21$0.32$0.39$0.35$0.34$0.29$0.36
Avg Forecast$0.56$0.43$0.32$0.25$0.22$0.24$0.26$0.20$0.17$0.19$0.20$0.22$0.25$0.34$0.31$0.22$-0.07$0.34$0.28$0.20$0.26$0.29$0.22$0.37$0.41$0.39$0.36$0.30$0.27$0.31
High Forecast$0.57$0.44$0.33$0.30$0.23$0.25$0.26$0.20$0.18$0.21$0.20$0.22$0.26$0.34$0.31$0.22$-0.07$0.34$0.28$0.20$0.26$0.29$0.22$0.37$0.41$0.39$0.36$0.30$0.32$0.37
Low Forecast$0.54$0.42$0.31$0.23$0.21$0.24$0.26$0.19$0.16$0.17$0.20$0.22$0.25$0.34$0.31$0.22$-0.07$0.34$0.28$0.20$0.26$0.29$0.22$0.37$0.41$0.39$0.36$0.30$0.22$0.25
Surprise %--------1.43%-1.20%0.86%1.14%0.76%1.18%1.18%5.86%0.70%1.02%2.00%0.35%1.12%1.41%0.57%0.78%1.00%0.97%1.11%1.07%1.16%

According to 2 Wall Street analysts, GEO Group's projected average Quarter EPS for Mar 24 is $0.20, with a low estimate of $0.19 and a high estimate of $0.20. This represents a -22.00% decrease compared to GEO previous annual EPS of $0.25 (Dec 23).

GEO Group Peer Comparison by Price Target

TickerCompanyLast Closing PriceAvg Price TargetUpside/DownsideAvg Rating
NSSCNapco Security$36.09$55.0052.40%Buy
REZIResideo$24.54$32.0030.40%Sell
MGMistras Group$8.77$11.0025.43%Buy
MSAMSA Safety$168.94$197.5016.91%Buy
ALLEAllegion$132.55$126.60-4.49%Hold
NLNL Industries$7.91$6.00-24.15%Sell
GEOGEO Group$28.12$14.00-50.21%Buy
BRCBrady$75.37$19.00-74.79%Buy

GEO Forecast FAQ

Is GEO Group a good buy?

Yes, according to 16 Wall Street analysts, GEO Group (GEO) is considered a 'Buy'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 12 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 75.00% of GEO's total ratings.

What is GEO's price target?

GEO Group (GEO) average price target is $14 with a range of $14 to $14, implying a -50.21% from its last price of $28.12. The data is based on 16 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.

Will GEO Group stock go up soon?

According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for GEO stock, the company can go down by -50.21% (from the last price of $28.12 to the average price target of $14), down by -50.21% based on the highest stock price target, and down by -50.21% based on the lowest stock price target.

Can GEO Group stock reach $40?

GEO's average twelve months analyst stock price target of $14 does not support the claim that GEO Group can reach $40 in the near future.

What are GEO Group's analysts' financial forecasts?

GEO Group's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2024) are as follows: average revenue is $2.43B (high $2.44B, low $2.43B), average EBITDA is $485.29M (high $514.48M, low $456.25M), average net income is $143.7M (high $154.65M, low $132.75M), average SG&A $205.07M (high $216.57M, low $193.64M), and average EPS is $0.92 (high $0.941, low $0.9). GEO's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $2.72B (high $2.77B, low $2.68B), average EBITDA is $513.17M (high $521.84M, low $504.32M), average net income is $214.58M (high $225.95M, low $207.66M), average SG&A $223.18M (high $226.95M, low $219.33M), and average EPS is $1.55 (high $1.64, low $1.5).

Did the GEO's actual financial results beat the analysts' financial forecasts?

Based on GEO Group's last annual report (Dec 2023), the company's revenue was $2.41B, beating the average analysts forecast of $2.39B by 1.09%. Apple's EBITDA was $487.07M, beating the average prediction of $463.7M by 5.04%. The company's net income was $113.99M, missing the average estimation of $117.95M by -3.36%. Apple's SG&A was $0, missing the average forecast of $196.23M by -100.00%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $0.92, beating the average prediction of $0.787 by 16.83%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Dec 2023), GEO Group's revenue was $608.28M, beating the average analysts' forecast of $597.47M by 1.81%. The company's EBITDA was $123.66M, beating the average prediction of $112.59M by 9.83%. GEO Group's net income was $31.89M, beating the average estimation of $24.17M by 31.94%. The company's SG&A was $0, missing the average forecast of $48.97M by -100.00%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $0.25, beating the average prediction of $0.175 by 42.86%