GEO Group (GEO) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions
GEO Stock Forecast
GEO Group stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $14.00 (represents a -51.27% downside from GEO’s last price of $28.73) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 16 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.
GEO Price Target
The average price target for GEO Group (GEO) is $14.00 based on 1-year price targets from 16 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $14.00 to $14.00. This represents a potential -51.27% downside from GEO's last price of $28.73.
GEO Analyst Ratings
According to 16 Wall Street analysts, GEO Group's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for GEO stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 12 'Buy' (75.00%), 3 'Hold' (18.75%), 1 'Sell' (6.25%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).
GEO Group Price Target by Analyst
| Date | Analyst | Company | Price Target | Price when Published | Price Target/Price when Published | Price Target/Last Closing Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2022 | - | Wedbush | $14.00 | $11.22 | 24.75% | -51.27% |
The latest GEO Group stock forecast, released on Nov 29, 2022 by Wedbush company, set a price target of $14.00, which represents a 24.75% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($11.22), and a -51.27% decrease from GEO last price ($28.73).
GEO Group Price Target by Period
| 1M | 3M | 12M | |
|---|---|---|---|
| # Anlaysts | - | - | - |
| Avg Price Target | - | - | - |
| Last Closing Price | $28.73 | $28.73 | $28.73 |
| Upside/Downside | -100.00% | -100.00% | -100.00% |
In the current month, the average price target of GEO Group stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to GEO Group's last price of $28.73. This month's average price target is down NaN% compared to last quarter, and down NaN% compared to last year.
Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades
| Date | Company | Previous Rating | New Rating | Rating Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2024 | Wedbush | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Sep 19, 2024 | Edward Jones | Underperform | Underperform | Hold |
| May 08, 2024 | Wedbush | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
| Apr 08, 2024 | Noble Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
| Apr 08, 2024 | Noble Capital Markets | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
| Mar 21, 2024 | Wedbush | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
| Nov 29, 2022 | Exane BNP Paribas | - | Neutral | Upgrade |
| Nov 29, 2022 | BTIG | - | Neutral | Initialise |
| Nov 29, 2022 | Benchmark | - | Buy | Initialise |
| Nov 29, 2022 | Redburn Partners | - | Sell | Initialise |
GEO Group's last stock rating was published by Wedbush on Sep 19, 2024. The company gave GEO a "Buy" rating, the same as its previous rate.
GEO Group Financial Forecast
GEO Group Revenue Forecast
| Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | Jun 19 | Mar 19 | Mar 18 | Mar 17 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $608.28M | - | $593.89M | $608.21M | $620.68M | $616.68M | $588.18M | $551.18M | $557.54M | $557.28M | $565.42M | $576.38M | $578.12M | $579.14M | $587.83M | $605.02M | $621.71M | $631.58M | $613.97M | $610.67M | $564.92M | $550.61M |
| Avg Forecast | $750.44M | $702.31M | $655.23M | $615.17M | $607.45M | $612.63M | $607.59M | $603.84M | $597.47M | $595.30M | $588.27M | $606.07M | $604.40M | $605.85M | $561.50M | $551.47M | $558.09M | $551.53M | $561.18M | $579.91M | $575.97M | $580.53M | $584.13M | $641.04M | $646.13M | $619.30M | $610.64M | $601.59M | $545.42M | $519.14M |
| High Forecast | $761.62M | $712.77M | $664.99M | $625.55M | $612.80M | $612.63M | $607.59M | $603.84M | $601.07M | $603.13M | $597.04M | $615.10M | $613.40M | $605.85M | $561.50M | $551.47M | $558.09M | $551.53M | $561.18M | $579.91M | $575.97M | $580.53M | $584.13M | $641.04M | $646.13M | $619.30M | $610.64M | $601.59M | $654.50M | $622.96M |
| Low Forecast | $739.51M | $692.08M | $645.69M | $603.81M | $602.83M | $612.63M | $607.59M | $603.84M | $593.80M | $585.21M | $579.70M | $597.24M | $595.59M | $605.85M | $561.50M | $551.47M | $558.09M | $551.53M | $561.18M | $579.91M | $575.97M | $580.53M | $584.13M | $641.04M | $646.13M | $619.30M | $610.64M | $601.59M | $436.34M | $415.31M |
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 18 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.02% | - | 1.01% | 1.00% | 1.03% | 1.02% | 1.05% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.01% | 1.01% | 0.99% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.01% | 0.94% | 0.96% | 1.02% | 1.01% | 1.02% | 1.04% | 1.06% |
GEO Group's average Quarter revenue forecast for Mar 24 based on 2 analysts is $603.84M, with a low forecast of $603.84M, and a high forecast of $603.84M. GEO's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a -0.73% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $608.28M (Dec 23).
GEO Group EBITDA Forecast
| Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | Jun 19 | Mar 19 | Mar 18 | Mar 17 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 18 |
| EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $123.66M | - | $17.37M | $125.75M | $141.55M | $135.56M | $132.65M | $123.09M | $119.45M | $108.51M | $112.38M | $124.44M | $82.61M | $108.21M | $104.96M | $99.23M | $108.94M | $120.13M | $117.73M | $118.29M | $107.00M | $106.82M |
| Avg Forecast | $141.42M | $132.35M | $123.48M | $115.93M | $114.47M | $115.45M | $114.50M | $140.88M | $112.59M | $112.18M | $110.86M | $128.07M | $115.54M | $118.39M | $109.73M | $101.24M | $109.06M | $107.78M | $109.67M | $107.36M | $112.56M | $113.45M | $82.70M | $125.27M | $126.26M | $121.02M | $119.33M | $106.85M | $103.18M | $100.35M |
| High Forecast | $143.52M | $134.32M | $125.31M | $117.88M | $115.48M | $115.45M | $114.50M | $169.05M | $113.27M | $113.66M | $112.51M | $153.69M | $138.64M | $118.39M | $109.73M | $121.49M | $109.06M | $107.78M | $109.67M | $128.83M | $112.56M | $113.45M | $99.23M | $125.27M | $126.26M | $121.02M | $119.33M | $128.22M | $123.81M | $120.42M |
| Low Forecast | $139.36M | $130.42M | $121.68M | $113.79M | $113.60M | $115.45M | $114.50M | $112.70M | $111.90M | $110.28M | $109.24M | $102.46M | $92.43M | $118.39M | $109.73M | $80.99M | $109.06M | $107.78M | $109.67M | $85.88M | $112.56M | $113.45M | $66.16M | $125.27M | $126.26M | $121.02M | $119.33M | $85.48M | $82.54M | $80.28M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.10% | - | 0.16% | 0.98% | 1.23% | 1.15% | 1.21% | 1.22% | 1.10% | 1.01% | 1.02% | 1.16% | 0.73% | 0.95% | 1.27% | 0.79% | 0.86% | 0.99% | 0.99% | 1.11% | 1.04% | 1.06% |
2 analysts predict GEO's average Quarter EBITDA for Mar 24 to be $140.88M, with a high of $169.05M and a low of $112.70M. This is 13.93% upper than GEO Group's previous annual EBITDA (Dec 23) of $123.66M.
GEO Group Net Income Forecast
| Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | Jun 19 | Mar 19 | Mar 18 | Mar 17 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 18 |
| Net Income | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $31.89M | - | $29.57M | $28.00M | $41.53M | $38.34M | $53.73M | $38.22M | $-51.32M | $34.71M | $41.96M | $50.54M | $11.91M | $39.22M | $36.72M | $25.18M | $38.05M | $45.93M | $41.91M | $40.70M | $34.99M | $40.40M |
| Avg Forecast | $76.80M | $59.12M | $44.48M | $33.98M | $30.94M | $33.70M | $35.57M | $43.51M | $24.17M | $26.59M | $27.63M | $39.56M | $-48.16M | $44.38M | $40.90M | $31.27M | $-9.57M | $44.81M | $36.98M | $43.60M | $33.28M | $38.50M | $28.93M | $48.29M | $53.51M | $50.90M | $46.99M | $36.77M | $33.74M | $37.95M |
| High Forecast | $78.29M | $60.26M | $45.34M | $41.37M | $32.41M | $34.36M | $35.60M | $52.21M | $25.52M | $29.39M | $28.16M | $47.47M | $-38.53M | $44.38M | $40.90M | $37.52M | $-9.57M | $44.81M | $36.98M | $52.33M | $33.28M | $38.50M | $34.72M | $48.29M | $53.51M | $50.90M | $46.99M | $44.12M | $40.48M | $45.55M |
| Low Forecast | $75.35M | $58.00M | $43.64M | $31.03M | $29.47M | $33.07M | $35.53M | $34.81M | $21.49M | $23.79M | $27.10M | $31.65M | $-57.80M | $44.38M | $40.90M | $25.02M | $-9.57M | $44.81M | $36.98M | $34.88M | $33.28M | $38.50M | $23.14M | $48.29M | $53.51M | $50.90M | $46.99M | $29.41M | $26.99M | $30.36M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.32% | - | 1.07% | 0.71% | -0.86% | 0.86% | 1.31% | 1.22% | 5.36% | 0.77% | 1.13% | 1.16% | 0.36% | 1.02% | 1.27% | 0.52% | 0.71% | 0.90% | 0.89% | 1.11% | 1.04% | 1.06% |
GEO Group's average Quarter net income forecast for Mar 24 is $43.51M, with a range of $34.81M to $52.21M. GEO's average Quarter net income forecast represents a 36.43% increase compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $31.89M (Dec 23).
GEO Group SG&A Forecast
| Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | Jun 19 | Mar 19 | Mar 18 | Mar 17 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 18 |
| SG&A | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $41.69M | $50.13M | $49.09M | $50.02M | $49.30M | $48.56M | $50.66M | $50.48M | $54.69M | $48.48M | $47.40M | $46.64M | $45.54M | $53.78M | $43.74M | $48.49M | $47.27M | $46.42M | $41.83M | $42.59M |
| Avg Forecast | $61.50M | $57.56M | $53.70M | $50.42M | $49.78M | $50.21M | $49.80M | $55.29M | $48.97M | $48.79M | $48.21M | $50.26M | $49.00M | $49.65M | $46.02M | $39.73M | $45.74M | $45.20M | $45.99M | $41.82M | $47.20M | $47.58M | $35.88M | $52.54M | $52.95M | $50.76M | $50.05M | $41.93M | $40.34M | $40.01M |
| High Forecast | $62.42M | $58.42M | $54.50M | $51.27M | $50.22M | $50.21M | $49.80M | $66.34M | $49.26M | $49.43M | $48.93M | $60.31M | $58.81M | $49.65M | $46.02M | $47.68M | $45.74M | $45.20M | $45.99M | $50.19M | $47.20M | $47.58M | $43.06M | $52.54M | $52.95M | $50.76M | $50.05M | $50.32M | $48.41M | $48.01M |
| Low Forecast | $60.61M | $56.72M | $52.92M | $49.49M | $49.41M | $50.21M | $49.80M | $44.23M | $48.67M | $47.96M | $47.51M | $40.21M | $39.20M | $49.65M | $46.02M | $31.78M | $45.74M | $45.20M | $45.99M | $33.46M | $47.20M | $47.58M | $28.71M | $52.54M | $52.95M | $50.76M | $50.05M | $33.55M | $32.27M | $32.00M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.86% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.01% | 1.07% | 1.22% | 1.11% | 1.12% | 1.19% | 1.16% | 1.00% | 0.98% | 1.27% | 1.02% | 0.83% | 0.96% | 0.94% | 1.11% | 1.04% | 1.06% |
GEO Group's average Quarter SG&A projection for Sep 23 is $48.79M, based on 4 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $47.96M to $49.43M. The forecast indicates a 17.02% rise compared to GEO last annual SG&A of $41.69M (Jun 23).
GEO Group EPS Forecast
| Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | Jun 19 | Mar 19 | Mar 18 | Mar 17 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 18 |
| EPS | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0.25 | - | $0.24 | $0.19 | $0.29 | $0.26 | $0.37 | $0.26 | $-0.43 | $0.24 | $0.29 | $0.41 | $0.09 | $0.33 | $0.31 | $0.21 | $0.32 | $0.39 | $0.35 | $0.34 | $0.29 | $0.36 |
| Avg Forecast | $0.56 | $0.43 | $0.32 | $0.25 | $0.22 | $0.24 | $0.26 | $0.20 | $0.17 | $0.19 | $0.20 | $0.22 | $0.25 | $0.34 | $0.31 | $0.22 | $-0.07 | $0.34 | $0.28 | $0.20 | $0.26 | $0.29 | $0.22 | $0.37 | $0.41 | $0.39 | $0.36 | $0.30 | $0.27 | $0.31 |
| High Forecast | $0.57 | $0.44 | $0.33 | $0.30 | $0.23 | $0.25 | $0.26 | $0.20 | $0.18 | $0.21 | $0.20 | $0.22 | $0.26 | $0.34 | $0.31 | $0.22 | $-0.07 | $0.34 | $0.28 | $0.20 | $0.26 | $0.29 | $0.22 | $0.37 | $0.41 | $0.39 | $0.36 | $0.30 | $0.32 | $0.37 |
| Low Forecast | $0.55 | $0.42 | $0.32 | $0.22 | $0.21 | $0.24 | $0.26 | $0.19 | $0.16 | $0.17 | $0.20 | $0.22 | $0.25 | $0.34 | $0.31 | $0.22 | $-0.07 | $0.34 | $0.28 | $0.20 | $0.26 | $0.29 | $0.22 | $0.37 | $0.41 | $0.39 | $0.36 | $0.30 | $0.22 | $0.25 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.43% | - | 1.20% | 0.86% | 1.14% | 0.76% | 1.18% | 1.18% | 5.86% | 0.70% | 1.02% | 2.00% | 0.35% | 1.12% | 1.41% | 0.57% | 0.78% | 1.00% | 0.97% | 1.11% | 1.07% | 1.16% |
According to 2 Wall Street analysts, GEO Group's projected average Quarter EPS for Mar 24 is $0.20, with a low estimate of $0.19 and a high estimate of $0.20. This represents a -22.00% decrease compared to GEO previous annual EPS of $0.25 (Dec 23).
GEO Group Peer Comparison by Price Target
| Ticker | Company | Last Closing Price | Avg Price Target | Upside/Downside | Avg Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSSC | Napco Security | $37.34 | $49.25 | 31.90% | Buy |
| REZI | Resideo | $26.37 | $32.00 | 21.35% | Sell |
| MG | Mistras Group | $9.15 | $11.00 | 20.22% | Buy |
| MSA | MSA Safety | $171.78 | $176.00 | 2.46% | Buy |
| ALLE | Allegion | $141.41 | $126.60 | -10.47% | Hold |
| NL | NL Industries | $8.03 | $6.00 | -25.28% | Sell |
| GEO | GEO Group | $28.73 | $14.00 | -51.27% | Buy |
| BRC | Brady | $71.15 | $19.00 | -73.30% | Buy |