Five Below (FIVE) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions
FIVE Stock Forecast
Five Below stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $148.32 (represents a 78.48% upside from FIVE’s last price of $83.10) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 18 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.
FIVE Price Target
The average price target for Five Below (FIVE) is $148.32 based on 1-year price targets from 18 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $251.00 to $79.00. This represents a potential 78.48% upside from FIVE's last price of $83.10.
FIVE Analyst Ratings
According to 18 Wall Street analysts, Five Below's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for FIVE stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 11 'Buy' (61.11%), 7 'Hold' (38.89%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).
Five Below Price Target by Analyst
| Date | Analyst | Company | Price Target | Price when Published | Price Target/Price when Published | Price Target/Last Closing Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2024 | Matthew Boss | J.P. Morgan | $89.00 | $78.24 | 13.75% | 7.10% |
| Aug 29, 2024 | Kate McShane | Goldman Sachs | $106.00 | $78.24 | 35.48% | 27.56% |
| Aug 29, 2024 | Scot Ciccarelli | Truist Financial | $87.00 | $78.94 | 10.21% | 4.69% |
| Aug 29, 2024 | Jeremy Hamblin | Craig-Hallum | $102.00 | $78.94 | 29.21% | 22.74% |
| Jul 17, 2024 | Krisztina Katai | Deutsche Bank | $79.00 | $76.50 | 3.27% | -4.93% |
| Jul 17, 2024 | Joseph Feldman | Telsey Advisory | $120.00 | $81.55 | 47.15% | 44.40% |
| Jul 17, 2024 | Edward Kelly | Wells Fargo | $115.00 | $102.07 | 12.67% | 38.39% |
| Jul 17, 2024 | David Bellinger | Mizuho Securities | $85.00 | $102.07 | -16.72% | 2.29% |
| Jul 17, 2024 | Seth Sigman | Barclays | $90.00 | $102.07 | -11.83% | 8.30% |
| Jul 17, 2024 | Simeon Gutman | Morgan Stanley | $100.00 | $102.07 | -2.03% | 20.34% |
The latest Five Below stock forecast, released on Aug 29, 2024 by Matthew Boss from J.P. Morgan, set a price target of $89.00, which represents a 13.75% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($78.24), and a 7.10% increase from FIVE last price ($83.10).
Five Below Price Target by Period
| 1M | 3M | 12M | |
|---|---|---|---|
| # Anlaysts | - | 4 | 29 |
| Avg Price Target | - | $96.00 | $147.62 |
| Last Closing Price | $83.10 | $83.10 | $83.10 |
| Upside/Downside | -100.00% | 15.52% | 77.64% |
In the current month, the average price target of Five Below stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to Five Below's last price of $83.10. This month's average price target is down -100.00% compared to last quarter, and down -100.00% compared to last year.
Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades
| Date | Company | Previous Rating | New Rating | Rating Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 06, 2024 | Bank of America Securities | - | Underperform | Downgrade |
| Oct 08, 2024 | UBS | Underperform | Underperform | Hold |
| Oct 02, 2024 | Craig-Hallum | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Sep 19, 2024 | Wells Fargo | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Aug 29, 2024 | Goldman Sachs | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Aug 29, 2024 | Craig-Hallum | Hold | Buy | Upgrade |
| Aug 21, 2024 | Wells Fargo | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Jul 18, 2024 | UBS | Underperform | Underperform | Hold |
| Jul 18, 2024 | Wells Fargo | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Jul 17, 2024 | Deutsche Bank | Buy | Hold | Downgrade |
Five Below's last stock rating was published by Bank of America Securities on Nov 06, 2024. The company Downgrade its FIVE rating from "null" to "Underperform".
Five Below Financial Forecast
Five Below Revenue Forecast
| Feb 26 | Nov 25 | Aug 25 | May 25 | Feb 25 | Nov 24 | Aug 24 | May 24 | Feb 24 | Nov 23 | Aug 23 | May 23 | Feb 23 | Nov 22 | Aug 22 | May 22 | Feb 22 | Nov 21 | Aug 21 | May 21 | Feb 21 | Nov 20 | Aug 20 | May 20 | Feb 20 | Nov 19 | Aug 19 | May 19 | Feb 19 | May 18 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $1.34B | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $426.11M | $200.90M | $687.13M | $377.44M | $417.40M | $364.76M | $602.68M | $296.32M |
| Avg Forecast | $1.49B | $883.48M | $923.10M | $891.96M | $1.35B | $798.29M | $823.64M | $834.29M | $1.35B | $728.04M | $760.02M | $728.49M | $1.11B | $614.14M | $679.53M | $652.69M | $1.01B | $563.87M | $657.81M | $554.90M | $839.33M | $445.19M | $409.19M | $230.57M | $687.20M | $373.63M | $421.10M | $364.23M | $601.44M | $496.24M |
| High Forecast | $1.56B | $924.59M | $966.06M | $933.46M | $1.40B | $823.85M | $824.42M | $834.29M | $1.35B | $734.35M | $795.39M | $762.39M | $1.16B | $632.94M | $700.34M | $672.67M | $1.04B | $581.13M | $677.94M | $571.88M | $865.03M | $458.82M | $421.72M | $237.63M | $708.23M | $385.07M | $434.00M | $375.38M | $619.85M | $595.49M |
| Low Forecast | $1.44B | $856.37M | $894.78M | $864.59M | $1.31B | $779.09M | $822.87M | $834.29M | $1.35B | $723.52M | $736.70M | $706.13M | $1.07B | $594.02M | $657.27M | $631.31M | $972.73M | $545.40M | $636.26M | $536.72M | $811.84M | $430.60M | $395.79M | $223.01M | $664.68M | $361.39M | $407.31M | $352.30M | $581.73M | $397.00M |
| # Analysts | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 18 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.99% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.04% | 0.87% | 1.00% | 1.01% | 0.99% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 0.60% |
Five Below's average Quarter revenue forecast for May 24 based on 9 analysts is $834.29M, with a low forecast of $834.29M, and a high forecast of $834.29M. FIVE's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a -37.63% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $1.34B (Feb 24).
Five Below EBITDA Forecast
| Feb 26 | Nov 25 | Aug 25 | May 25 | Feb 25 | Nov 24 | Aug 24 | May 24 | Feb 24 | Nov 23 | Aug 23 | May 23 | Feb 23 | Nov 22 | Aug 22 | May 22 | Feb 22 | Nov 21 | Aug 21 | May 21 | Feb 21 | Nov 20 | Aug 20 | May 20 | Feb 20 | Nov 19 | Aug 19 | May 19 | Feb 19 | May 18 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 18 |
| EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $305.54M | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $49.15M | $-55.72M | $159.85M | $28.63M | $52.65M | $39.70M | $130.70M | $36.17M |
| Avg Forecast | $213.50M | $126.58M | $132.26M | $127.79M | $194.02M | $114.37M | $118.01M | $252.85M | $193.29M | $104.31M | $108.89M | $229.86M | $29.23M | $87.99M | $97.36M | $208.96M | $144.09M | $80.79M | $94.25M | $180.25M | $120.25M | $63.78M | $58.63M | $157.88M | $98.46M | $53.53M | $60.33M | $128.38M | $86.17M | $111.69M |
| High Forecast | $223.43M | $132.47M | $138.41M | $133.74M | $201.21M | $118.04M | $118.12M | $303.41M | $193.29M | $105.21M | $113.96M | $275.83M | $35.07M | $90.68M | $100.34M | $250.76M | $148.50M | $83.26M | $97.13M | $216.30M | $123.94M | $65.74M | $60.42M | $189.46M | $101.47M | $55.17M | $62.18M | $154.05M | $88.81M | $134.03M |
| Low Forecast | $206.95M | $122.70M | $128.20M | $123.87M | $188.27M | $111.62M | $117.90M | $202.28M | $193.29M | $103.66M | $105.55M | $183.89M | $23.38M | $85.11M | $94.17M | $167.17M | $139.37M | $78.14M | $91.16M | $144.20M | $116.31M | $61.69M | $56.71M | $126.31M | $95.23M | $51.78M | $58.36M | $102.70M | $83.35M | $89.35M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.58% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.84% | -0.35% | 1.62% | 0.53% | 0.87% | 0.31% | 1.52% | 0.32% |
9 analysts predict FIVE's average Quarter EBITDA for May 24 to be $252.85M, with a high of $303.41M and a low of $202.28M. This is -17.25% lower than Five Below's previous annual EBITDA (Feb 24) of $305.54M.
Five Below Net Income Forecast
| Feb 26 | Nov 25 | Aug 25 | May 25 | Feb 25 | Nov 24 | Aug 24 | May 24 | Feb 24 | Nov 23 | Aug 23 | May 23 | Feb 23 | Nov 22 | Aug 22 | May 22 | Feb 22 | Nov 21 | Aug 21 | May 21 | Feb 21 | Nov 20 | Aug 20 | May 20 | Feb 20 | Nov 19 | Aug 19 | May 19 | Feb 19 | May 18 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 18 |
| Net Income | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $202.20M | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $29.58M | $-50.58M | $110.37M | $10.19M | $28.83M | $25.66M | $89.26M | $21.80M |
| Avg Forecast | $201.24M | $10.47M | $32.76M | $28.36M | $180.72M | $9.30M | $29.81M | $168.95M | $208.21M | $12.48M | $45.59M | $153.59M | $12.86M | $8.25M | $42.87M | $139.63M | $136.58M | $16.07M | $61.27M | $119.26M | $116.36M | $10.93M | $7.65M | $109.24M | $106.92M | $9.39M | $27.44M | $88.70M | $86.69M | $66.24M |
| High Forecast | $213.42M | $11.10M | $34.74M | $30.07M | $189.01M | $12.78M | $29.82M | $202.74M | $208.22M | $13.57M | $48.35M | $184.31M | $15.43M | $8.58M | $44.57M | $167.56M | $142.02M | $16.71M | $63.71M | $143.11M | $120.99M | $11.37M | $7.96M | $131.09M | $111.18M | $9.76M | $28.53M | $106.44M | $90.14M | $79.49M |
| Low Forecast | $193.21M | $10.05M | $31.45M | $27.23M | $171.88M | $5.81M | $29.80M | $135.16M | $208.21M | $11.40M | $43.77M | $122.88M | $10.29M | $7.90M | $41.04M | $111.70M | $130.77M | $15.38M | $58.66M | $95.41M | $111.41M | $10.47M | $7.33M | $87.39M | $102.37M | $8.99M | $26.27M | $70.96M | $83.00M | $52.99M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.97% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3.87% | -0.46% | 1.03% | 1.09% | 1.05% | 0.29% | 1.03% | 0.33% |
Five Below's average Quarter net income forecast for May 24 is $168.95M, with a range of $135.16M to $202.74M. FIVE's average Quarter net income forecast represents a -16.44% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $202.20M (Feb 24).
Five Below SG&A Forecast
| Feb 26 | Nov 25 | Aug 25 | May 25 | Feb 25 | Nov 24 | Aug 24 | May 24 | Feb 24 | Nov 23 | Aug 23 | May 23 | Feb 23 | Nov 22 | Aug 22 | May 22 | Feb 22 | Nov 21 | Aug 21 | May 21 | Feb 21 | Nov 20 | Aug 20 | May 20 | Feb 20 | Nov 19 | Aug 19 | May 19 | Feb 19 | May 18 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 18 |
| SG&A | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $246.08M | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $106.70M | $92.66M | $145.03M | $106.00M | $110.14M | $95.52M | $127.50M | $72.53M |
| Avg Forecast | $353.47M | $209.57M | $218.96M | $211.58M | $321.22M | $189.36M | $195.37M | $252.25M | $320.01M | $172.69M | $180.28M | $229.32M | $85.07M | $145.68M | $161.19M | $208.47M | $238.55M | $133.75M | $156.03M | $164.86M | $199.09M | $105.60M | $97.06M | $143.54M | $163.01M | $88.63M | $99.89M | $126.69M | $142.66M | $102.21M |
| High Forecast | $369.92M | $219.32M | $229.15M | $221.42M | $333.12M | $195.42M | $195.56M | $302.70M | $320.01M | $174.19M | $188.67M | $275.19M | $102.09M | $150.14M | $166.12M | $250.17M | $245.85M | $137.85M | $160.81M | $197.83M | $205.19M | $108.83M | $100.03M | $172.25M | $168.00M | $91.34M | $102.95M | $152.03M | $147.03M | $122.65M |
| Low Forecast | $342.62M | $203.14M | $212.25M | $205.08M | $311.71M | $184.80M | $195.19M | $201.80M | $320.01M | $171.62M | $174.75M | $183.46M | $68.06M | $140.90M | $155.91M | $166.78M | $230.74M | $129.37M | $150.92M | $131.89M | $192.57M | $102.14M | $93.88M | $114.83M | $157.67M | $85.72M | $96.62M | $101.35M | $137.99M | $81.77M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.77% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.10% | 0.65% | 0.89% | 1.20% | 1.10% | 0.75% | 0.89% | 0.71% |
Five Below's average Quarter SG&A projection for May 24 is $252.25M, based on 9 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $201.80M to $302.70M. The forecast indicates a 2.51% rise compared to FIVE last annual SG&A of $246.08M (Feb 24).
Five Below EPS Forecast
| Feb 26 | Nov 25 | Aug 25 | May 25 | Feb 25 | Nov 24 | Aug 24 | May 24 | Feb 24 | Nov 23 | Aug 23 | May 23 | Feb 23 | Nov 22 | Aug 22 | May 22 | Feb 22 | Nov 21 | Aug 21 | May 21 | Feb 21 | Nov 20 | Aug 20 | May 20 | Feb 20 | Nov 19 | Aug 19 | May 19 | Feb 19 | May 18 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 18 |
| EPS | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $3.66 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0.53 | $-0.91 | $1.98 | $0.18 | $0.52 | $0.46 | $1.60 | $0.39 |
| Avg Forecast | $3.66 | $0.19 | $0.60 | $0.52 | $3.28 | $0.17 | $0.54 | $0.63 | $3.78 | $0.23 | $0.83 | $0.63 | $3.06 | $0.15 | $0.78 | $0.58 | $2.48 | $0.29 | $1.11 | $0.65 | $2.11 | $0.20 | $0.14 | $-0.34 | $1.94 | $0.17 | $0.50 | $0.34 | $1.57 | $1.14 |
| High Forecast | $3.88 | $0.20 | $0.63 | $0.55 | $3.43 | $0.23 | $0.54 | $0.63 | $3.78 | $0.25 | $0.88 | $0.66 | $3.25 | $0.16 | $0.81 | $0.61 | $2.58 | $0.30 | $1.16 | $0.68 | $2.20 | $0.21 | $0.14 | $-0.32 | $2.02 | $0.18 | $0.52 | $0.36 | $1.64 | $1.37 |
| Low Forecast | $3.51 | $0.18 | $0.57 | $0.49 | $3.12 | $0.11 | $0.54 | $0.63 | $3.78 | $0.21 | $0.80 | $0.60 | $2.94 | $0.14 | $0.75 | $0.56 | $2.38 | $0.28 | $1.07 | $0.62 | $2.02 | $0.19 | $0.13 | $-0.35 | $1.86 | $0.16 | $0.48 | $0.33 | $1.51 | $0.91 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.97% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3.81% | 2.71% | 1.02% | 1.06% | 1.04% | 1.33% | 1.02% | 0.34% |
According to 9 Wall Street analysts, Five Below's projected average Quarter EPS for May 24 is $0.63, with a low estimate of $0.63 and a high estimate of $0.63. This represents a -82.82% decrease compared to FIVE previous annual EPS of $3.66 (Feb 24).
Five Below Peer Comparison by Price Target
| Ticker | Company | Last Closing Price | Avg Price Target | Upside/Downside | Avg Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAP | Advance Auto Parts | $38.63 | $154.32 | 299.48% | Hold |
| FIVE | Five Below | $83.10 | $148.32 | 78.48% | Buy |
| ULTA | Ulta Beauty | $343.26 | $446.92 | 30.20% | Hold |
| GPC | Genuine Parts Company | $120.76 | $156.60 | 29.68% | Hold |
| RH | RH | $336.80 | $414.67 | 23.12% | Buy |
| DKS | DICK'S Sporting Goods | $194.18 | $225.90 | 16.34% | Buy |
| WSM | Williams-Sonoma | $175.04 | $201.11 | 14.89% | Hold |
| BBY | Best Buy | $86.77 | $96.19 | 10.86% | Buy |
| TSCO | Tractor Supply Company | $270.00 | $261.32 | -3.21% | Buy |
| AZO | AutoZone | $3.05K | $2.91K | -4.52% | Buy |
| ORLY | O'Reilly Automotive | $1.19K | $931.00 | -21.69% | Buy |