Five Below (FIVE) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions
FIVE Stock Forecast
Five Below stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $148.32 (represents a 53.60% upside from FIVE’s last price of $96.56) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 18 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.
FIVE Price Target
The average price target for Five Below (FIVE) is $148.32 based on 1-year price targets from 18 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $251.00 to $79.00. This represents a potential 53.60% upside from FIVE's last price of $96.56.
FIVE Analyst Ratings
According to 18 Wall Street analysts, Five Below's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for FIVE stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 11 'Buy' (61.11%), 7 'Hold' (38.89%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).
Five Below Price Target by Analyst
| Date | Analyst | Company | Price Target | Price when Published | Price Target/Price when Published | Price Target/Last Closing Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2024 | Matthew Boss | J.P. Morgan | $89.00 | $78.24 | 13.75% | -7.83% |
| Aug 29, 2024 | Kate McShane | Goldman Sachs | $106.00 | $78.24 | 35.48% | 9.78% |
| Aug 29, 2024 | Scot Ciccarelli | Truist Financial | $87.00 | $78.94 | 10.21% | -9.90% |
| Aug 29, 2024 | Jeremy Hamblin | Craig-Hallum | $102.00 | $78.94 | 29.21% | 5.63% |
| Jul 17, 2024 | Krisztina Katai | Deutsche Bank | $79.00 | $76.50 | 3.27% | -18.19% |
| Jul 17, 2024 | Joseph Feldman | Telsey Advisory | $120.00 | $81.55 | 47.15% | 24.28% |
| Jul 17, 2024 | Edward Kelly | Wells Fargo | $115.00 | $102.07 | 12.67% | 19.10% |
| Jul 17, 2024 | David Bellinger | Mizuho Securities | $85.00 | $102.07 | -16.72% | -11.97% |
| Jul 17, 2024 | Seth Sigman | Barclays | $90.00 | $102.07 | -11.83% | -6.79% |
| Jul 17, 2024 | Simeon Gutman | Morgan Stanley | $100.00 | $102.07 | -2.03% | 3.56% |
The latest Five Below stock forecast, released on Aug 29, 2024 by Matthew Boss from J.P. Morgan, set a price target of $89.00, which represents a 13.75% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($78.24), and a -7.83% decrease from FIVE last price ($96.56).
Five Below Price Target by Period
| 1M | 3M | 12M | |
|---|---|---|---|
| # Anlaysts | 4 | 10 | 29 |
| Avg Price Target | $96.00 | $97.30 | $147.62 |
| Last Closing Price | $96.56 | $96.56 | $96.56 |
| Upside/Downside | -0.58% | 0.77% | 52.88% |
In the current month, the average price target of Five Below stock is $96.00, according to 4 Wall Street analysts offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -0.58% decrease as opposed to Five Below's last price of $96.56. This month's average price target is down -1.34% compared to last quarter, and down -34.97% compared to last year.
Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades
| Date | Company | Previous Rating | New Rating | Rating Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2024 | Goldman Sachs | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Aug 29, 2024 | Craig-Hallum | Hold | Buy | Upgrade |
| Aug 21, 2024 | Wells Fargo | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Jul 18, 2024 | UBS | Underperform | Underperform | Hold |
| Jul 18, 2024 | Wells Fargo | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Jul 17, 2024 | Deutsche Bank | Buy | Hold | Downgrade |
| Jul 17, 2024 | Telsey Advisory | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
| Jul 17, 2024 | Wells Fargo | Overweight | Overweight | Hold |
| Jul 17, 2024 | Barclays | Overweight | Equal-Weight | Downgrade |
| Jul 17, 2024 | Morgan Stanley | Buy | Equal-Weight | Downgrade |
Five Below's last stock rating was published by Goldman Sachs on Aug 29, 2024. The company gave FIVE a "Buy" rating, the same as its previous rate.
Five Below Financial Forecast
Five Below Revenue Forecast
| Feb 26 | Nov 25 | Aug 25 | May 25 | Feb 25 | Nov 24 | Aug 24 | May 24 | Feb 24 | Nov 23 | Aug 23 | May 23 | Feb 23 | Nov 22 | Aug 22 | May 22 | Jan 22 | Oct 21 | Jul 21 | Apr 21 | Jan 21 | Oct 20 | Jul 20 | Apr 20 | Jan 20 | Oct 19 | Jul 19 | Apr 19 | Jan 19 | Oct 18 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $1.34B | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $996.33M | $607.64M | $646.55M | $597.82M | $858.51M | $476.61M | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Avg Forecast | $1.49B | $878.42M | $923.41M | $890.77M | $1.35B | $791.25M | $823.64M | $834.29M | $1.35B | $728.04M | $760.02M | $728.49M | $1.11B | $614.14M | $679.53M | $652.69M | $1.01B | $563.87M | $657.81M | $554.90M | $839.33M | $445.19M | $409.19M | $230.57M | $687.20M | $373.63M | $421.10M | $364.23M | $601.44M | $293.61M |
| High Forecast | $1.53B | $904.56M | $950.90M | $917.29M | $1.40B | $807.29M | $848.16M | $859.12M | $1.39B | $734.35M | $782.64M | $750.17M | $1.14B | $632.42M | $681.68M | $664.24M | $1.03B | $576.79M | $672.88M | $567.61M | $858.56M | $455.39M | $418.57M | $235.85M | $702.94M | $382.19M | $430.75M | $372.58M | $615.22M | $352.34M |
| Low Forecast | $1.44B | $853.17M | $896.87M | $865.17M | $1.31B | $777.31M | $799.97M | $810.31M | $1.31B | $723.52M | $738.18M | $707.55M | $1.07B | $596.49M | $676.48M | $638.79M | $993.69M | $557.15M | $649.97M | $548.28M | $829.33M | $439.88M | $404.32M | $227.82M | $679.00M | $369.17M | $416.09M | $359.89M | $594.27M | $234.89M |
| # Analysts | 7 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 20 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.99% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.99% | 1.08% | 0.98% | 1.08% | 1.02% | 1.07% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Five Below's average Quarter revenue forecast for May 24 based on 9 analysts is $834.29M, with a low forecast of $810.31M, and a high forecast of $859.12M. FIVE's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a -37.63% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $1.34B (Feb 24).
Five Below EBITDA Forecast
| Feb 26 | Nov 25 | Aug 25 | May 25 | Feb 25 | Nov 24 | Aug 24 | May 24 | Feb 24 | Nov 23 | Aug 23 | May 23 | Feb 23 | Nov 22 | Aug 22 | May 22 | Jan 22 | Oct 21 | Jul 21 | Apr 21 | Jan 21 | Oct 20 | Jul 20 | Apr 20 | Jan 20 | Oct 19 | Jul 19 | Apr 19 | Jan 19 | Oct 18 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 7 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 20 |
| EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $305.54M | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $209.81M | $65.57M | $106.41M | $82.92M | $188.03M | $41.97M | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Avg Forecast | $212.90M | $125.85M | $132.30M | $127.62M | $192.84M | $113.37M | $118.01M | $252.85M | $193.29M | $104.31M | $108.89M | $229.86M | $158.44M | $111.70M | $97.36M | $93.51M | $31.26M | $101.54M | $52.95M | $180.25M | $120.51M | $79.80M | $-42.32M | $157.88M | $26.23M | $53.65M | $26.07M | $128.38M | $20.27M | $33.83M |
| High Forecast | $219.24M | $129.60M | $136.24M | $131.42M | $200.03M | $115.66M | $121.52M | $303.41M | $199.05M | $105.21M | $112.13M | $275.83M | $163.16M | $134.04M | $97.67M | $95.17M | $37.51M | $121.85M | $63.54M | $216.30M | $123.27M | $95.76M | $-33.86M | $189.46M | $31.48M | $54.88M | $31.28M | $154.05M | $24.32M | $40.59M |
| Low Forecast | $206.78M | $122.24M | $128.50M | $123.96M | $187.08M | $111.37M | $114.62M | $202.28M | $187.74M | $103.66M | $105.76M | $183.89M | $153.89M | $89.36M | $96.92M | $91.52M | $25.01M | $81.24M | $42.36M | $144.20M | $119.08M | $63.84M | $-50.79M | $126.31M | $20.99M | $53.01M | $20.86M | $102.70M | $16.21M | $27.06M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.58% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 6.71% | 0.65% | 2.01% | 0.46% | 1.56% | 0.53% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
9 analysts predict FIVE's average Quarter EBITDA for May 24 to be $252.85M, with a high of $303.41M and a low of $202.28M. This is -17.25% lower than Five Below's previous annual EBITDA (Feb 24) of $305.54M.
Five Below Net Income Forecast
| Feb 26 | Nov 25 | Aug 25 | May 25 | Feb 25 | Nov 24 | Aug 24 | May 24 | Feb 24 | Nov 23 | Aug 23 | May 23 | Feb 23 | Nov 22 | Aug 22 | May 22 | Jan 22 | Oct 21 | Jul 21 | Apr 21 | Jan 21 | Oct 20 | Jul 20 | Apr 20 | Jan 20 | Oct 19 | Jul 19 | Apr 19 | Jan 19 | Oct 18 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 7 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 20 |
| Net Income | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $202.20M | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $140.20M | $24.18M | $64.84M | $49.60M | $123.94M | $20.43M | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Avg Forecast | $202.51M | $11.31M | $35.35M | $29.83M | $179.97M | $8.58M | $29.81M | $168.95M | $208.21M | $12.48M | $45.59M | $153.59M | $168.65M | $68.75M | $43.03M | $32.23M | $13.76M | $62.50M | $32.05M | $119.26M | $117.49M | $47.54M | $-38.32M | $109.24M | $9.59M | $9.48M | $17.60M | $88.70M | $9.96M | $20.48M |
| High Forecast | $210.35M | $11.75M | $36.71M | $30.99M | $185.51M | $10.30M | $30.97M | $202.74M | $216.27M | $13.57M | $47.36M | $184.31M | $175.18M | $82.51M | $43.21M | $32.97M | $16.51M | $75.01M | $38.46M | $143.11M | $120.99M | $57.05M | $-30.66M | $131.09M | $11.51M | $9.76M | $21.12M | $106.44M | $11.95M | $24.57M |
| Low Forecast | $194.94M | $10.89M | $34.03M | $28.72M | $172.22M | $5.72M | $28.70M | $135.16M | $200.43M | $11.40M | $43.89M | $122.88M | $162.35M | $55.00M | $42.78M | $31.34M | $11.00M | $50.00M | $25.64M | $95.41M | $115.67M | $38.03M | $-45.98M | $87.39M | $7.67M | $9.33M | $14.08M | $70.96M | $7.97M | $16.38M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.97% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 10.19% | 0.39% | 2.02% | 0.42% | 1.05% | 0.43% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Five Below's average Quarter net income forecast for May 24 is $168.95M, with a range of $135.16M to $202.74M. FIVE's average Quarter net income forecast represents a -16.44% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $202.20M (Feb 24).
Five Below SG&A Forecast
| Feb 26 | Nov 25 | Aug 25 | May 25 | Feb 25 | Nov 24 | Aug 24 | May 24 | Feb 24 | Nov 23 | Aug 23 | May 23 | Feb 23 | Nov 22 | Aug 22 | May 22 | Jan 22 | Oct 21 | Jul 21 | Apr 21 | Jan 21 | Oct 20 | Jul 20 | Apr 20 | Jan 20 | Oct 19 | Jul 19 | Apr 19 | Jan 19 | Oct 18 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 7 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 20 |
| SG&A | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $246.08M | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $209.32M | $159.91M | $144.15M | $137.18M | $171.32M | $126.85M | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Avg Forecast | $352.47M | $208.36M | $219.04M | $211.30M | $319.26M | $187.69M | $195.37M | $252.25M | $320.01M | $172.69M | $180.28M | $229.32M | $262.32M | $152.85M | $161.19M | $154.82M | $90.98M | $138.96M | $88.64M | $164.86M | $204.04M | $171.48M | $70.19M | $143.54M | $99.76M | $90.83M | $65.50M | $126.69M | $63.77M | $74.48M |
| High Forecast | $362.97M | $214.57M | $225.56M | $217.58M | $331.18M | $191.49M | $201.19M | $302.70M | $329.54M | $174.19M | $185.65M | $275.19M | $270.13M | $183.42M | $161.70M | $157.56M | $109.18M | $166.75M | $106.37M | $197.83M | $208.72M | $205.77M | $84.23M | $172.25M | $119.71M | $92.91M | $78.60M | $152.03M | $76.52M | $89.38M |
| Low Forecast | $342.34M | $202.38M | $212.74M | $205.22M | $309.73M | $184.38M | $189.76M | $201.80M | $310.82M | $171.62M | $175.10M | $183.46M | $254.78M | $122.28M | $160.46M | $151.52M | $72.79M | $111.17M | $70.91M | $131.89M | $201.61M | $137.18M | $56.16M | $114.83M | $79.81M | $89.75M | $52.40M | $101.35M | $51.01M | $59.59M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.77% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2.30% | 1.15% | 1.63% | 0.83% | 0.84% | 0.74% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Five Below's average Quarter SG&A projection for May 24 is $252.25M, based on 9 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $201.80M to $302.70M. The forecast indicates a 2.51% rise compared to FIVE last annual SG&A of $246.08M (Feb 24).
Five Below EPS Forecast
| Feb 26 | Nov 25 | Aug 25 | May 25 | Feb 25 | Nov 24 | Aug 24 | May 24 | Feb 24 | Nov 23 | Aug 23 | May 23 | Feb 23 | Nov 22 | Aug 22 | May 22 | Jan 22 | Oct 21 | Jul 21 | Apr 21 | Jan 21 | Oct 20 | Jul 20 | Apr 20 | Jan 20 | Oct 19 | Jul 19 | Apr 19 | Jan 19 | Oct 18 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 7 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 20 |
| EPS | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $3.66 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $2.50 | $0.43 | $1.16 | $0.89 | $2.22 | $0.37 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Avg Forecast | $3.68 | $0.21 | $0.64 | $0.54 | $3.27 | $0.16 | $0.54 | $0.63 | $3.78 | $0.23 | $0.83 | $0.63 | $3.06 | $0.15 | $0.78 | $0.58 | $2.48 | $0.29 | $1.11 | $0.65 | $2.11 | $0.20 | $0.14 | $-0.34 | $1.94 | $0.17 | $0.50 | $0.34 | $1.57 | $0.31 |
| High Forecast | $3.82 | $0.21 | $0.67 | $0.56 | $3.37 | $0.19 | $0.56 | $0.65 | $3.93 | $0.25 | $0.86 | $0.65 | $3.18 | $0.16 | $0.78 | $0.60 | $2.56 | $0.30 | $1.15 | $0.67 | $2.18 | $0.20 | $0.14 | $-0.33 | $2.00 | $0.18 | $0.51 | $0.36 | $1.62 | $0.37 |
| Low Forecast | $3.54 | $0.20 | $0.62 | $0.52 | $3.13 | $0.10 | $0.52 | $0.61 | $3.64 | $0.21 | $0.80 | $0.60 | $2.95 | $0.14 | $0.77 | $0.57 | $2.44 | $0.29 | $1.10 | $0.64 | $2.08 | $0.20 | $0.14 | $-0.35 | $1.91 | $0.17 | $0.49 | $0.34 | $1.55 | $0.25 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.97% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.01% | 1.47% | 1.04% | 1.36% | 1.05% | 1.86% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
According to 9 Wall Street analysts, Five Below's projected average Quarter EPS for May 24 is $0.63, with a low estimate of $0.61 and a high estimate of $0.65. This represents a -82.82% decrease compared to FIVE previous annual EPS of $3.66 (Feb 24).
Five Below Peer Comparison by Price Target
| Ticker | Company | Last Closing Price | Avg Price Target | Upside/Downside | Avg Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAP | Advance Auto Parts | $41.43 | $155.41 | 275.11% | Hold |
| FIVE | Five Below | $96.56 | $148.32 | 53.60% | Buy |
| WSM | Williams-Sonoma | $144.51 | $201.11 | 39.17% | Hold |
| RH | RH | $321.87 | $410.17 | 27.43% | Buy |
| ULTA | Ulta Beauty | $378.34 | $470.92 | 24.47% | Hold |
| GPC | Genuine Parts Company | $137.35 | $170.75 | 24.32% | Hold |
| DKS | DICK'S Sporting Goods | $216.95 | $225.90 | 4.13% | Buy |
| BBY | Best Buy | $98.45 | $96.00 | -2.49% | Buy |
| AZO | AutoZone | $3.12K | $2.72K | -12.99% | Buy |
| TSCO | Tractor Supply Company | $282.96 | $245.76 | -13.15% | Buy |
| ORLY | O'Reilly Automotive | $1.13K | $896.29 | -20.36% | Buy |
FIVE Forecast FAQ
Is Five Below a good buy?
Yes, according to 18 Wall Street analysts, Five Below (FIVE) is considered a 'Buy'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 11 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 61.11% of FIVE's total ratings.
What is FIVE's price target?
Five Below (FIVE) average price target is $148.32 with a range of $79 to $251, implying a 53.60% from its last price of $96.56. The data is based on 18 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.
Will Five Below stock go up soon?
According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for FIVE stock, the company can go up by 53.60% (from the last price of $96.56 to the average price target of $148.32), up by 159.94% based on the highest stock price target, and down by -18.19% based on the lowest stock price target.
Can Five Below stock reach $140?
FIVE's average twelve months analyst stock price target of $148.32 supports the claim that Five Below can reach $140 in the near future.
What is Five Below's current price target trend?
4 Wall Street analysts forecast a $96 price target for Five Below (FIVE) this month, down -0.58% from its last price of $96.56. Compared to the last 3 and 12 months, the average price target increased by 0.77% and increased by 52.88%, respectively.
What are Five Below's analysts' financial forecasts?
Five Below's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Feb 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $3.8B (high $3.91B, low $3.69B), average EBITDA is $677.06M (high $740.63M, low $615.34M), average net income is $387.32M (high $429.52M, low $341.8M), average SG&A $954.58M (high $1.03B, low $885.68M), and average EPS is $4.6 (high $4.77, low $4.36). FIVE's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Feb 2026) are as follows: average revenue is $4.18B (high $4.3B, low $4.06B), average EBITDA is $598.68M (high $616.5M, low $581.47M), average net income is $279M (high $289.79M, low $268.57M), average SG&A $991.17M (high $1.02B, low $962.68M), and average EPS is $5.07 (high $5.26, low $4.88).
Did the FIVE's actual financial results beat the analysts' financial forecasts?
Based on Five Below's last annual report (Feb 2023), the company's revenue was $3.08B, beating the average analysts forecast of $3.05B by 0.79%. Apple's EBITDA was $450.66M, missing the average prediction of $461.01M by -2.25%. The company's net income was $261.53M, missing the average estimation of $312.67M by -16.36%. Apple's SG&A was $750.45M, beating the average forecast of $731.18M by 2.64%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $4.71, beating the average prediction of $4.58 by 2.95%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Feb 2024), Five Below's revenue was $1.34B, missing the average analysts' forecast of $1.35B by -0.84%. The company's EBITDA was $305.54M, beating the average prediction of $193.29M by 58.07%. Five Below's net income was $202.2M, missing the average estimation of $208.21M by -2.89%. The company's SG&A was $246.08M, missing the average forecast of $320.01M by -23.10%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $3.66, missing the average prediction of $3.78 by -3.25%