Fair Isaac (FICO) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions
FICO Stock Forecast
Fair Isaac stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $1.31K (represents a -30.39% downside from FICO’s last price of $1.88K) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 9 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.
FICO Price Target
The average price target for Fair Isaac (FICO) is $1.31K based on 1-year price targets from 9 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $2.10K to $614.00. This represents a potential -30.39% downside from FICO's last price of $1.88K.
FICO Analyst Ratings
According to 9 Wall Street analysts, Fair Isaac's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for FICO stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 7 'Buy' (77.78%), 2 'Hold' (22.22%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).
Fair Isaac Price Target by Analyst
| Date | Analyst | Company | Price Target | Price when Published | Price Target/Price when Published | Price Target/Last Closing Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2024 | Jason Haas | Wells Fargo | $2.10K | $1.72K | 22.09% | 11.44% |
| Aug 07, 2024 | Manav Patnaik | Barclays | $1.80K | $1.65K | 8.76% | -4.48% |
| Apr 23, 2024 | Robert Moskow | Jefferies | $1.45K | $1.15K | 26.01% | -23.05% |
| Sep 06, 2023 | Patrick O'Shaughnessy | Raymond James | $1.01K | $916.41 | 9.89% | -46.56% |
| Jun 08, 2023 | Kyle Peterson | Needham | $900.00 | $770.99 | 16.73% | -52.24% |
| Nov 10, 2022 | - | Goldman Sachs | $614.00 | $581.78 | 5.54% | -67.42% |
| Mar 05, 2022 | Robert Moskow | Jefferies | $588.00 | $497.23 | 18.26% | -68.80% |
The latest Fair Isaac stock forecast, released on Aug 12, 2024 by Jason Haas from Wells Fargo, set a price target of $2.10K, which represents a 22.09% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($1.72K), and a 11.44% increase from FICO last price ($1.88K).
Fair Isaac Price Target by Period
| 1M | 3M | 12M | |
|---|---|---|---|
| # Anlaysts | - | 2 | 3 |
| Avg Price Target | - | $1.95K | $1.78K |
| Last Closing Price | $1.88K | $1.88K | $1.88K |
| Upside/Downside | -100.00% | 3.48% | -5.37% |
In the current month, the average price target of Fair Isaac stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to Fair Isaac's last price of $1.88K. This month's average price target is down -100.00% compared to last quarter, and down -100.00% compared to last year.
Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades
| Date | Company | Previous Rating | New Rating | Rating Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2024 | Barclays | Overweight | Overweight | Hold |
| Sep 03, 2024 | Oppenheimer | - | Outperform | Initialise |
| Aug 06, 2024 | Barclays | Overweight | Overweight | Hold |
| Aug 01, 2024 | RBC Capital | Sector Perform | Sector Perform | Hold |
| Jul 08, 2024 | Wolfe Research | - | Outperform | Initialise |
| Apr 23, 2024 | Jefferies | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Nov 13, 2023 | Wells Fargo | - | Overweight | Initialise |
| Sep 06, 2023 | Raymond James | - | Outperform | Initialise |
| Jun 08, 2023 | Needham | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Oct 06, 2022 | Goldman Sachs | - | Neutral | Downgrade |
Fair Isaac's last stock rating was published by Barclays on Sep 13, 2024. The company gave FICO a "Overweight" rating, the same as its previous rate.
Fair Isaac Financial Forecast
Fair Isaac Revenue Forecast
| Sep 27 | Jun 27 | Mar 27 | Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $382.06M | - | $398.69M | $380.27M | $344.87M | $348.75M | - | $357.19M | $322.36M | $334.58M | $338.18M | $331.36M | $312.41M | $374.36M | $313.73M |
| Avg Forecast | $632.00M | $635.00M | $614.00M | $571.00M | $587.33M | $585.40M | $562.79M | $510.15M | $508.60M | $507.66M | $491.18M | $443.61M | $442.80M | $445.47M | $425.75M | $390.89M | $388.87M | $381.73M | $373.19M | $344.35M | $343.95M | $342.52M | $337.63M | $327.89M | $346.80M | $328.52M | $324.03M | $319.76M | $316.44M | $301.30M |
| High Forecast | $659.49M | $662.62M | $640.71M | $595.84M | $612.88M | $610.87M | $587.27M | $532.35M | $530.72M | $529.74M | $512.55M | $462.90M | $455.69M | $464.85M | $444.27M | $407.90M | $395.66M | $398.34M | $389.42M | $359.33M | $358.92M | $342.52M | $342.99M | $333.10M | $352.31M | $333.73M | $329.18M | $324.83M | $321.46M | $306.08M |
| Low Forecast | $621.37M | $624.32M | $603.68M | $561.40M | $577.46M | $575.56M | $553.33M | $501.58M | $500.05M | $499.12M | $482.92M | $436.15M | $432.07M | $437.98M | $418.59M | $384.32M | $378.69M | $375.31M | $366.92M | $338.56M | $338.17M | $342.52M | $332.61M | $323.02M | $341.64M | $323.63M | $319.22M | $315.00M | $311.73M | $296.82M |
| # Analysts | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.98% | - | 1.04% | 1.02% | 1.00% | 1.01% | - | 1.06% | 0.98% | 0.96% | 1.03% | 1.02% | 0.98% | 1.18% | 1.04% |
Fair Isaac's average Quarter revenue forecast for Mar 24 based on 4 analysts is $425.75M, with a low forecast of $418.59M, and a high forecast of $444.27M. FICO's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a 11.44% increase compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $382.06M (Dec 23).
Fair Isaac EBITDA Forecast
| Sep 27 | Jun 27 | Mar 27 | Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $151.36M | - | $177.03M | $160.04M | $143.04M | $134.60M | - | $155.13M | $122.24M | $121.48M | $204.28M | $108.44M | $104.63M | $93.18M | $95.44M |
| Avg Forecast | $211.26M | $212.26M | $205.24M | $190.87M | $196.32M | $195.68M | $188.12M | $170.53M | $170.01M | $169.69M | $164.19M | $148.28M | $148.01M | $148.91M | $160.88M | $130.66M | $129.98M | $127.60M | $146.25M | $115.11M | $104.40M | $114.49M | $115.62M | $109.87M | $82.53M | $164.47M | $89.26M | $82.96M | $61.41M | $76.89M |
| High Forecast | $220.44M | $221.49M | $214.17M | $199.17M | $204.86M | $204.19M | $196.31M | $177.94M | $177.40M | $177.07M | $171.33M | $154.73M | $152.32M | $155.38M | $193.06M | $136.35M | $132.26M | $133.15M | $175.51M | $120.11M | $125.27M | $114.49M | $138.74M | $131.85M | $99.03M | $197.36M | $107.11M | $99.56M | $73.69M | $92.26M |
| Low Forecast | $207.70M | $208.69M | $201.79M | $187.66M | $193.02M | $192.39M | $184.96M | $167.66M | $167.15M | $166.84M | $161.42M | $145.79M | $144.43M | $146.40M | $128.70M | $128.47M | $126.58M | $125.45M | $117.00M | $113.17M | $83.52M | $114.49M | $92.49M | $87.90M | $66.02M | $131.57M | $71.40M | $66.37M | $49.13M | $61.51M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.16% | - | 1.39% | 1.09% | 1.24% | 1.29% | - | 1.34% | 1.11% | 1.47% | 1.24% | 1.21% | 1.26% | 1.52% | 1.24% |
4 analysts predict FICO's average Quarter EBITDA for Mar 24 to be $160.88M, with a high of $193.06M and a low of $128.70M. This is 6.29% upper than Fair Isaac's previous annual EBITDA (Dec 23) of $151.36M.
Fair Isaac Net Income Forecast
| Sep 27 | Jun 27 | Mar 27 | Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Net Income | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $121.06M | - | $128.76M | $101.55M | $97.64M | $90.70M | - | $104.38M | $84.96M | $85.72M | $151.20M | $68.67M | $86.49M | $59.13M | $64.08M |
| Avg Forecast | $292.77M | $290.71M | $272.67M | $245.87M | $242.25M | $239.40M | $228.78M | $195.45M | $197.09M | $194.58M | $186.23M | $154.15M | $157.15M | $159.39M | $108.26M | $126.65M | $132.34M | $131.25M | $98.41M | $101.59M | $73.66M | $100.21M | $77.80M | $76.36M | $58.23M | $121.73M | $56.52M | $68.58M | $38.97M | $51.62M |
| High Forecast | $309.33M | $307.15M | $288.09M | $259.77M | $255.95M | $252.94M | $241.72M | $206.50M | $208.24M | $205.58M | $196.76M | $162.87M | $166.63M | $168.41M | $129.91M | $133.81M | $139.82M | $138.67M | $118.10M | $107.33M | $88.40M | $100.21M | $93.36M | $91.63M | $69.88M | $146.08M | $67.83M | $82.30M | $46.76M | $61.94M |
| Low Forecast | $286.37M | $284.35M | $266.71M | $240.50M | $236.96M | $234.17M | $223.78M | $191.18M | $192.78M | $190.33M | $182.16M | $150.78M | $149.38M | $155.91M | $86.60M | $123.88M | $125.57M | $128.38M | $78.73M | $99.37M | $58.93M | $100.21M | $62.24M | $61.09M | $46.59M | $97.39M | $45.22M | $54.87M | $31.17M | $41.29M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.96% | - | 0.98% | 1.03% | 0.96% | 1.23% | - | 1.34% | 1.11% | 1.47% | 1.24% | 1.21% | 1.26% | 1.52% | 1.24% |
Fair Isaac's average Quarter net income forecast for Mar 24 is $108.26M, with a range of $86.60M to $129.91M. FICO's average Quarter net income forecast represents a -10.58% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $121.06M (Dec 23).
Fair Isaac SG&A Forecast
| Sep 27 | Jun 27 | Mar 27 | Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| SG&A | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $104.33M | - | $108.08M | $100.16M | $93.00M | $96.15M | - | $96.41M | $98.05M | $97.37M | $107.73M | $97.27M | $93.91M | $105.61M | $99.83M |
| Avg Forecast | $192.95M | $193.86M | $187.45M | $174.32M | $179.31M | $178.72M | $171.82M | $155.75M | $155.27M | $154.98M | $149.95M | $135.43M | $135.18M | $136.00M | $99.99M | $119.34M | $118.72M | $116.54M | $90.90M | $105.13M | $83.67M | $104.57M | $71.86M | $88.13M | $66.15M | $86.74M | $80.06M | $74.47M | $69.60M | $80.42M |
| High Forecast | $201.34M | $202.29M | $195.60M | $181.90M | $187.11M | $186.49M | $179.29M | $162.52M | $162.03M | $161.73M | $156.48M | $141.32M | $139.12M | $141.91M | $119.99M | $124.53M | $120.79M | $121.61M | $109.08M | $109.70M | $100.41M | $104.57M | $86.23M | $105.75M | $79.37M | $104.08M | $96.07M | $89.36M | $83.52M | $96.50M |
| Low Forecast | $189.70M | $190.60M | $184.30M | $171.39M | $176.29M | $175.71M | $168.93M | $153.13M | $152.66M | $152.38M | $147.43M | $133.15M | $131.91M | $133.71M | $79.99M | $117.33M | $115.61M | $114.58M | $72.72M | $103.36M | $66.94M | $104.57M | $57.49M | $70.50M | $52.92M | $69.39M | $64.05M | $59.57M | $55.68M | $64.34M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.87% | - | 0.93% | 1.10% | 0.88% | 1.15% | - | 1.34% | 1.11% | 1.47% | 1.24% | 1.21% | 1.26% | 1.52% | 1.24% |
Fair Isaac's average Quarter SG&A projection for Mar 24 is $99.99M, based on 4 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $79.99M to $119.99M. The forecast indicates a -4.16% fall compared to FICO last annual SG&A of $104.33M (Dec 23).
Fair Isaac EPS Forecast
| Sep 27 | Jun 27 | Mar 27 | Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| EPS | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $4.89 | - | $5.16 | $4.04 | $3.90 | $3.60 | - | $3.99 | $3.13 | $3.06 | $5.27 | $2.36 | $2.97 | $2.04 | $2.21 |
| Avg Forecast | $11.70 | $11.62 | $10.90 | $9.83 | $9.68 | $9.57 | $9.15 | $7.81 | $7.88 | $7.78 | $7.44 | $6.16 | $6.28 | $6.37 | $5.81 | $5.06 | $5.29 | $5.25 | $5.04 | $4.06 | $4.08 | $3.98 | $3.73 | $3.36 | $3.18 | $2.81 | $2.66 | $2.29 | $2.32 | $2.16 |
| High Forecast | $12.37 | $12.28 | $11.52 | $10.38 | $10.23 | $10.11 | $9.66 | $8.26 | $8.32 | $8.22 | $7.87 | $6.51 | $6.66 | $6.73 | $6.14 | $5.35 | $5.59 | $5.54 | $5.32 | $4.29 | $4.32 | $3.98 | $3.81 | $3.43 | $3.25 | $2.87 | $2.72 | $2.34 | $2.36 | $2.20 |
| Low Forecast | $11.45 | $11.37 | $10.66 | $9.61 | $9.47 | $9.36 | $8.95 | $7.64 | $7.71 | $7.61 | $7.28 | $6.03 | $5.97 | $6.23 | $5.68 | $4.95 | $5.02 | $5.13 | $4.93 | $3.97 | $4.00 | $3.98 | $3.66 | $3.30 | $3.12 | $2.75 | $2.61 | $2.25 | $2.27 | $2.12 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.97% | - | 0.98% | 0.80% | 0.96% | 0.88% | - | 1.07% | 0.93% | 0.96% | 1.88% | 0.89% | 1.30% | 0.88% | 1.02% |
According to 4 Wall Street analysts, Fair Isaac's projected average Quarter EPS for Mar 24 is $5.81, with a low estimate of $5.68 and a high estimate of $6.14. This represents a 18.81% increase compared to FICO previous annual EPS of $4.89 (Dec 23).
Fair Isaac Peer Comparison by Price Target
| Ticker | Company | Last Closing Price | Avg Price Target | Upside/Downside | Avg Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEAM | Atlassian | $155.82 | $237.67 | 52.53% | Buy |
| PCTY | Paylocity | $161.31 | $215.00 | 33.28% | Buy |
| DDOG | Datadog | $111.93 | $138.49 | 23.73% | Buy |
| HUBS | HubSpot | $492.30 | $595.44 | 20.95% | Buy |
| CDAY | Dayforce | $69.52 | $81.33 | 16.99% | Hold |
| ANSS | ANSYS | $317.25 | $359.60 | 13.35% | Buy |
| BSY | Bentley Systems | $50.13 | $53.00 | 5.73% | Buy |
| ROP | Roper | $551.83 | $582.88 | 5.63% | Buy |
| TTD | Trade Desk | $105.84 | $107.41 | 1.48% | Buy |
| SSNC | SS&C Technologies | $75.53 | $74.50 | -1.36% | Buy |
| AZPN | Aspen | $233.54 | $220.00 | -5.80% | Buy |
| TYL | Tyler | $579.39 | $538.60 | -7.04% | Buy |
| CDNS | Cadence Design Systems | $274.79 | $248.90 | -9.42% | Buy |
| GWRE | Guidewire Software | $173.03 | $156.30 | -9.67% | Buy |
| PTC | PTC | $175.70 | $154.00 | -12.35% | Buy |
| MANH | Manhattan Associates | $272.54 | $229.33 | -15.85% | Buy |
| NOW | ServiceNow | $885.83 | $728.75 | -17.73% | Buy |
| SAP | SAP SE | $222.06 | $163.73 | -26.27% | Buy |
| FICO | Fair Isaac | $1.88K | $1.31K | -30.39% | Buy |
| BLKB | Blackbaud | $84.18 | $48.00 | -42.98% | Buy |
FICO Forecast FAQ
Is Fair Isaac a good buy?
Yes, according to 9 Wall Street analysts, Fair Isaac (FICO) is considered a 'Buy'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 7 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 77.78% of FICO's total ratings.
What is FICO's price target?
Fair Isaac (FICO) average price target is $1.31K with a range of $614 to $2.1K, implying a -30.39% from its last price of $1.88K. The data is based on 9 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.
Will Fair Isaac stock go up soon?
According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for FICO stock, the company can go down by -30.39% (from the last price of $1.88K to the average price target of $1.31K), up by 11.44% based on the highest stock price target, and down by -67.42% based on the lowest stock price target.
Can Fair Isaac stock reach $3K?
FICO's average twelve months analyst stock price target of $1.31K does not support the claim that Fair Isaac can reach $3K in the near future.
What are Fair Isaac's analysts' financial forecasts?
Fair Isaac's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Sep 2026) are as follows: average revenue is $2.25B (high $2.34B, low $2.21B), average EBITDA is $750.65M (high $783.31M, low $738.03M), average net income is $905.89M (high $957.11M, low $886.09M), average SG&A $685.59M (high $715.41M, low $674.06M), and average EPS is $36.21 (high $38.26, low $35.42). FICO's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Sep 2027) are as follows: average revenue is $2.45B (high $2.56B, low $2.41B), average EBITDA is $819.62M (high $855.27M, low $805.84M), average net income is $1.1B (high $1.16B, low $1.08B), average SG&A $748.58M (high $781.14M, low $735.99M), and average EPS is $44.05 (high $46.55, low $43.09).
Did the FICO's actual financial results beat the analysts' financial forecasts?
Based on Fair Isaac's last annual report (Sep 2022), the company's revenue was $1.38B, beating the average analysts forecast of $1.35B by 1.87%. Apple's EBITDA was $562.88M, beating the average prediction of $444.38M by 26.67%. The company's net income was $373.54M, beating the average estimation of $328.04M by 13.87%. Apple's SG&A was $383.86M, beating the average forecast of $348.23M by 10.23%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $14.34, missing the average prediction of $15.16 by -5.44%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Dec 2023), Fair Isaac's revenue was $382.06M, missing the average analysts' forecast of $390.89M by -2.26%. The company's EBITDA was $151.36M, beating the average prediction of $130.66M by 15.84%. Fair Isaac's net income was $121.06M, missing the average estimation of $126.65M by -4.41%. The company's SG&A was $104.33M, missing the average forecast of $119.34M by -12.58%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $4.89, missing the average prediction of $5.06 by -3.41%