Ferguson (FERG) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions
FERG Stock Forecast
Ferguson stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $214.75 (represents a 4.02% upside from FERG’s last price of $206.45) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 14 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.
FERG Price Target
The average price target for Ferguson (FERG) is $214.75 based on 1-year price targets from 14 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $245.00 to $140.00. This represents a potential 4.02% upside from FERG's last price of $206.45.
FERG Analyst Ratings
According to 14 Wall Street analysts, Ferguson's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for FERG stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 11 'Buy' (78.57%), 3 'Hold' (21.43%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).
Ferguson Price Target by Analyst
| Date | Analyst | Company | Price Target | Price when Published | Price Target/Price when Published | Price Target/Last Closing Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2024 | Scitt Scgbeeberger | Oppenheimer | $234.00 | $196.16 | 19.29% | 13.34% |
| Oct 16, 2024 | David Manthey | Robert W. Baird | $230.00 | $200.09 | 14.95% | 11.41% |
| Sep 18, 2024 | Matthew Bouley | Barclays | $245.00 | $207.06 | 18.32% | 18.67% |
| Sep 18, 2024 | Anthony Pettinari | Citigroup | $221.00 | $207.06 | 6.73% | 7.05% |
| Sep 18, 2024 | Mike Dahl | RBC Capital | $219.00 | $207.06 | 5.77% | 6.08% |
| Sep 18, 2024 | Arnaud Lehmann | Bank of America Securities | $185.00 | $207.06 | -10.65% | -10.39% |
| Sep 18, 2024 | David Manthey | Robert W. Baird | $225.00 | $207.06 | 8.66% | 8.99% |
| Jul 12, 2024 | Matthew Bouley | Barclays | $229.00 | $195.51 | 17.13% | 10.92% |
| Jun 05, 2024 | Mike Dahl | RBC Capital | $211.00 | $196.96 | 7.13% | 2.20% |
| Mar 14, 2024 | Philip Ng | Jefferies | $244.00 | $205.87 | 18.52% | 18.19% |
The latest Ferguson stock forecast, released on Oct 23, 2024 by Scitt Scgbeeberger from Oppenheimer, set a price target of $234.00, which represents a 19.29% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($196.16), and a 13.34% increase from FERG last price ($206.45).
Ferguson Price Target by Period
| 1M | 3M | 12M | |
|---|---|---|---|
| # Anlaysts | 1 | 7 | 10 |
| Avg Price Target | $234.00 | $222.71 | $224.30 |
| Last Closing Price | $206.45 | $206.45 | $206.45 |
| Upside/Downside | 13.34% | 7.88% | 8.65% |
In the current month, the average price target of Ferguson stock is $234.00, according to 1 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a 13.34% increase as opposed to Ferguson's last price of $206.45. This month's average price target is up 5.07% compared to last quarter, and up 4.32% compared to last year.
Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades
| Date | Company | Previous Rating | New Rating | Rating Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2024 | Oppenheimer | - | Outperform | Initialise |
| Sep 18, 2024 | Citigroup | Neutral | Neutral | Hold |
| Sep 18, 2024 | Bank of America Securities | Underperform | Underperform | Hold |
| Sep 13, 2024 | Barclays | Overweight | Overweight | Hold |
| Sep 13, 2024 | RBC Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
| Sep 13, 2024 | UBS | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Sep 13, 2024 | Jefferies | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Sep 09, 2024 | Morgan Stanley | Equal-Weight | Equal-Weight | Hold |
| Jul 17, 2024 | Jefferies | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Jul 12, 2024 | Barclays | Overweight | Overweight | Hold |
Ferguson's last stock rating was published by Oppenheimer on Oct 23, 2024. The company Initialise its FERG rating from "null" to "Outperform".
Ferguson Financial Forecast
Ferguson Revenue Forecast
| Jul 26 | May 26 | Jan 26 | Oct 25 | Jul 25 | May 25 | Jan 25 | Oct 24 | Jul 24 | May 24 | Jan 24 | Oct 23 | Jul 23 | May 23 | Jan 23 | Oct 22 | Jul 22 | May 22 | Jan 22 | Oct 21 | May 21 | Jan 21 | Jul 20 | May 20 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $6.67B | $7.71B | - | - | $6.83B | $7.93B | $7.97B | - | $6.51B | $6.80B | - | $4.94B | - | - |
| Avg Forecast | $8.85B | $8.01B | $7.24B | $8.32B | $8.26B | $7.47B | $6.80B | $7.81B | $8.01B | $7.31B | $6.72B | $7.59B | $7.56B | $7.09B | $6.75B | $7.60B | $7.81B | $6.76B | $6.11B | $7.70B | $11.42B | $10.84B | $11.34B | $10.77B |
| High Forecast | $9.01B | $8.15B | $7.37B | $8.47B | $8.41B | $7.60B | $6.92B | $7.87B | $8.04B | $7.44B | $6.73B | $7.91B | $7.70B | $7.22B | $6.87B | $7.74B | $7.94B | $6.88B | $6.22B | $7.83B | $11.61B | $11.02B | $11.53B | $10.95B |
| Low Forecast | $8.73B | $7.90B | $7.14B | $8.21B | $8.15B | $7.36B | $6.70B | $7.75B | $7.99B | $7.21B | $6.72B | $7.29B | $7.46B | $6.99B | $6.65B | $7.50B | $7.71B | $6.68B | $6.03B | $7.60B | $11.27B | $10.70B | $11.19B | $10.63B |
| # Analysts | 4 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.99% | 1.02% | - | - | 1.01% | 1.04% | 1.02% | - | 1.06% | 0.88% | - | 0.46% | - | - |
Ferguson's average Quarter revenue forecast for May 24 based on 6 analysts is $7.31B, with a low forecast of $7.21B, and a high forecast of $7.44B. FERG's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a 9.52% increase compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $6.67B (Jan 24).
Ferguson EBITDA Forecast
| Jul 26 | May 26 | Jan 26 | Oct 25 | Jul 25 | May 25 | Jan 25 | Oct 24 | Jul 24 | May 24 | Jan 24 | Oct 23 | Jul 23 | May 23 | Jan 23 | Oct 22 | Jul 22 | May 22 | Jan 22 | Oct 21 | May 21 | Jan 21 | Jul 20 | May 20 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 4 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $84.00M | $222.00M | - | - | $623.00M | $914.00M | $892.00M | - | $629.00M | $813.00M | - | $582.00M | - | - |
| Avg Forecast | $890.37M | $805.64M | $728.58M | $837.32M | $831.57M | $751.31M | $684.85M | $786.23M | $806.50M | $735.48M | $676.68M | $764.20M | $760.88M | $713.45M | $678.86M | $800.99M | $822.91M | $712.43M | $643.86M | $810.62M | $1.20B | $1.14B | $1.19B | $1.13B |
| High Forecast | $906.34M | $820.10M | $741.65M | $852.34M | $846.49M | $764.79M | $695.93M | $792.29M | $809.03M | $748.67M | $676.90M | $796.04M | $774.53M | $726.25M | $691.04M | $815.16M | $836.71M | $724.38M | $654.66M | $824.22M | $1.22B | $1.16B | $1.21B | $1.15B |
| Low Forecast | $878.18M | $794.61M | $718.61M | $825.85M | $820.19M | $741.03M | $674.78M | $780.17M | $803.97M | $725.41M | $676.45M | $733.35M | $750.46M | $703.69M | $669.56M | $789.97M | $812.38M | $703.32M | $635.63M | $800.25M | $1.19B | $1.13B | $1.18B | $1.12B |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.12% | 0.29% | - | - | 0.92% | 1.14% | 1.08% | - | 0.98% | 1.00% | - | 0.51% | - | - |
6 analysts predict FERG's average Quarter EBITDA for May 24 to be $735.48M, with a high of $748.67M and a low of $725.41M. This is 775.57% upper than Ferguson's previous annual EBITDA (Jan 24) of $84.00M.
Ferguson Net Income Forecast
| Jul 26 | May 26 | Jan 26 | Oct 25 | Jul 25 | May 25 | Jan 25 | Oct 24 | Jul 24 | May 24 | Jan 24 | Oct 23 | Jul 23 | May 23 | Jan 23 | Oct 22 | Jul 22 | May 22 | Jan 22 | Oct 21 | May 21 | Jan 21 | Jul 20 | May 20 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 4 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| Net Income | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $322.00M | $519.00M | - | - | $374.00M | $595.00M | $580.00M | - | $436.00M | $535.00M | - | $291.00M | - | - |
| Avg Forecast | $697.13M | $550.40M | $412.02M | $600.71M | $616.58M | $475.31M | $353.77M | $529.41M | $577.35M | $469.34M | $367.99M | $527.23M | $494.59M | $436.92M | $400.15M | $564.01M | $559.97M | $420.28M | $381.34M | $432.92M | $576.56M | $487.54M | $513.84M | $481.47M |
| High Forecast | $713.39M | $563.24M | $421.63M | $614.72M | $630.96M | $486.40M | $368.00M | $549.77M | $599.04M | $483.19M | $381.36M | $563.04M | $506.13M | $447.11M | $402.59M | $576.98M | $572.18M | $429.44M | $382.00M | $442.36M | $589.13M | $498.18M | $525.05M | $491.97M |
| Low Forecast | $684.73M | $540.61M | $404.69M | $590.02M | $605.61M | $466.85M | $337.51M | $517.19M | $555.66M | $455.48M | $354.63M | $513.30M | $485.79M | $429.15M | $397.71M | $553.92M | $550.65M | $413.29M | $380.67M | $425.72M | $566.97M | $479.43M | $505.30M | $473.47M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.88% | 0.98% | - | - | 0.93% | 1.05% | 1.04% | - | 1.14% | 1.24% | - | 0.60% | - | - |
Ferguson's average Quarter net income forecast for May 24 is $469.34M, with a range of $455.48M to $483.19M. FERG's average Quarter net income forecast represents a 45.76% increase compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $322.00M (Jan 24).
Ferguson SG&A Forecast
| Jul 26 | May 26 | Jan 26 | Oct 25 | Jul 25 | May 25 | Jan 25 | Oct 24 | Jul 24 | May 24 | Jan 24 | Oct 23 | Jul 23 | May 23 | Jan 23 | Oct 22 | Jul 22 | May 22 | Jan 22 | Oct 21 | May 21 | Jan 21 | Jul 20 | May 20 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 4 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| SG&A | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $1.47B | $1.51B | - | - | $1.43B | $1.51B | $1.54B | - | $1.36B | $1.31B | - | - | - | - |
| Avg Forecast | $1.78B | $1.61B | $1.45B | $1.67B | $1.66B | $1.50B | $1.37B | $1.57B | $1.61B | $1.47B | $1.35B | $1.52B | $1.52B | $1.42B | $1.35B | $1.53B | $1.57B | $1.36B | $1.23B | $1.54B | $2.29B | $2.18B | $2.28B | $2.16B |
| High Forecast | $1.81B | $1.64B | $1.48B | $1.70B | $1.69B | $1.53B | $1.39B | $1.58B | $1.61B | $1.49B | $1.35B | $1.59B | $1.54B | $1.45B | $1.38B | $1.55B | $1.59B | $1.38B | $1.25B | $1.57B | $2.33B | $2.21B | $2.31B | $2.20B |
| Low Forecast | $1.75B | $1.58B | $1.43B | $1.65B | $1.64B | $1.48B | $1.35B | $1.56B | $1.60B | $1.45B | $1.35B | $1.46B | $1.50B | $1.40B | $1.34B | $1.51B | $1.55B | $1.34B | $1.21B | $1.52B | $2.26B | $2.15B | $2.25B | $2.13B |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.09% | 0.99% | - | - | 1.06% | 0.99% | 0.98% | - | 1.11% | 0.85% | - | - | - | - |
Ferguson's average Quarter SG&A projection for May 24 is $1.47B, based on 6 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $1.45B to $1.49B. The forecast indicates a -0.16% fall compared to FERG last annual SG&A of $1.47B (Jan 24).
Ferguson EPS Forecast
| Jul 26 | May 26 | Jan 26 | Oct 25 | Jul 25 | May 25 | Jan 25 | Oct 24 | Jul 24 | May 24 | Jan 24 | Oct 23 | Jul 23 | May 23 | Jan 23 | Oct 22 | Jul 22 | May 22 | Jan 22 | Oct 21 | May 21 | Jan 21 | Jul 20 | May 20 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 4 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| EPS | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $1.58 | $2.55 | - | - | $1.81 | $2.85 | $9.75M | - | $1.97 | $2.42 | - | $1.30 | - | - |
| Avg Forecast | $3.45 | $2.72 | $2.04 | $2.97 | $3.05 | $2.35 | $1.75 | $2.62 | $2.85 | $2.32 | $1.82 | $2.61 | $2.44 | $2.16 | $1.98 | $2.79 | $2.77 | $2.08 | $1.89 | $2.14 | $2.85 | $2.41 | $2.54 | $2.38 |
| High Forecast | $3.53 | $2.78 | $2.08 | $3.04 | $3.12 | $2.40 | $1.82 | $2.72 | $2.96 | $2.39 | $1.89 | $2.78 | $2.50 | $2.21 | $1.99 | $2.85 | $2.83 | $2.12 | $1.89 | $2.19 | $2.91 | $2.46 | $2.60 | $2.43 |
| Low Forecast | $3.38 | $2.67 | $2.00 | $2.92 | $2.99 | $2.31 | $1.67 | $2.56 | $2.75 | $2.25 | $1.75 | $2.54 | $2.40 | $2.12 | $1.97 | $2.74 | $2.72 | $2.04 | $1.88 | $2.10 | $2.80 | $2.37 | $2.50 | $2.34 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.87% | 0.98% | - | - | 0.92% | 1.02% | 3521444.64% | - | 1.05% | 1.13% | - | 0.54% | - | - |
According to 6 Wall Street analysts, Ferguson's projected average Quarter EPS for May 24 is $2.32, with a low estimate of $2.25 and a high estimate of $2.39. This represents a 46.84% increase compared to FERG previous annual EPS of $1.58 (Jan 24).
Ferguson Peer Comparison by Price Target
| Ticker | Company | Last Closing Price | Avg Price Target | Upside/Downside | Avg Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSM | MSC Industrial Direct | $84.13 | $105.71 | 25.65% | Buy |
| CNM | Core & Main | $44.57 | $50.00 | 12.18% | Buy |
| SITE | SiteOne Landscape Supply | $143.14 | $153.75 | 7.41% | Hold |
| FERG | Ferguson | $206.45 | $214.75 | 4.02% | Buy |
| POOL | Pool | $364.36 | $374.83 | 2.87% | Buy |
| AIT | Applied Industrial | $269.23 | $241.00 | -10.49% | Buy |
| FAST | Fastenal Company | $82.36 | $69.40 | -15.74% | Hold |
| WSO | Watsco | $546.24 | $382.25 | -30.02% | Hold |
| GWW | W.W. Grainger | $1.19K | $806.89 | -32.44% | Buy |