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Ferguson (FERG) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions

OverviewRevenueOwnershipFinancialsChartTranscripts

FERG Stock Forecast

Ferguson stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $224.86 (represents a 25.77% upside from FERG’s last price of $178.78) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 14 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.

FERG Price Target

The average price target for Ferguson (FERG) is $224.86 based on 1-year price targets from 14 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $245.00 to $185.00. This represents a potential 25.77% upside from FERG's last price of $178.78.

FERG Analyst Ratings

Buy

According to 14 Wall Street analysts, Ferguson's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for FERG stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 12 'Buy' (85.71%), 2 'Hold' (14.29%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).

Ferguson Price Target by Analyst

DateAnalystCompanyPrice TargetPrice when PublishedPrice Target/Price when PublishedPrice Target/Last Closing Price
Dec 11, 2024Harry GoadBerenberg Bank$240.00$193.6723.92%34.24%
Oct 23, 2024Scitt ScgbeebergerOppenheimer$234.00$196.1619.29%30.89%
Oct 16, 2024David MantheyRobert W. Baird$230.00$200.0914.95%28.65%
Sep 18, 2024Matthew BouleyBarclays$245.00$207.0618.32%37.04%
Sep 18, 2024Anthony PettinariCitigroup$221.00$207.066.73%23.62%
Sep 18, 2024Mike DahlRBC Capital$219.00$207.065.77%22.50%
Sep 18, 2024Arnaud LehmannBank of America Securities$185.00$207.06-10.65%3.48%
Sep 18, 2024David MantheyRobert W. Baird$225.00$207.068.66%25.85%
Jul 12, 2024Matthew BouleyBarclays$229.00$195.5117.13%28.09%
Jun 05, 2024Mike DahlRBC Capital$211.00$196.967.13%18.02%
Mar 14, 2024Philip NgJefferies$244.00$205.8718.52%36.48%
Jun 16, 2022Keith HughesTruist Financial$140.00$110.7226.45%-21.69%
Apr 25, 2022Truist Financial$165.00$131.3525.62%-7.71%
Apr 22, 2022Barclays$194.00$138.9139.66%8.51%

The latest Ferguson stock forecast, released on Dec 11, 2024 by Harry Goad from Berenberg Bank, set a price target of $240.00, which represents a 23.92% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($193.67), and a 34.24% increase from FERG last price ($178.78).

Ferguson Price Target by Period

1M3M12M
# Anlaysts-111
Avg Price Target-$240.00$225.73
Last Closing Price$178.78$178.78$178.78
Upside/Downside-100.00%34.24%26.26%

In the current month, the average price target of Ferguson stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to Ferguson's last price of $178.78. This month's average price target is down -100.00% compared to last quarter, and down -100.00% compared to last year.

Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades

DateCompanyPrevious RatingNew RatingRating Change
Jan 09, 2025Morgan StanleyEqual-WeightOverweightUpgrade
Oct 23, 2024OppenheimerOutperformInitialise
Sep 18, 2024CitigroupNeutralNeutralHold
Sep 18, 2024Bank of America SecuritiesUnderperformUnderperformHold
Sep 13, 2024RBC CapitalOutperformOutperformHold
Sep 13, 2024UBSBuyBuyHold
Sep 13, 2024JefferiesBuyBuyHold
Sep 13, 2024BarclaysOverweightOverweightHold
Sep 09, 2024Morgan StanleyEqual-WeightEqual-WeightHold
Jul 17, 2024JefferiesBuyBuyHold
Jul 12, 2024BarclaysOverweightOverweightHold
Jun 05, 2024CitigroupNeutralNeutralHold
Jun 05, 2024RBC CapitalOutperformOutperformHold
Jan 04, 2024Wells FargoOverweightUpgrade
Sep 01, 2023BTIGBuyInitialise
Sep 01, 2023Raymond JamesOutperformInitialise
Sep 01, 2023NeedhamBuyInitialise
Sep 01, 2023Canaccord GenuityBuyInitialise
Sep 01, 2023CitigroupHoldInitialise
Sep 01, 2023Piper SandlerNeutralInitialise
May 09, 2023JefferiesBuyUpgrade
Feb 28, 2022HSBCBuyUpgrade

Ferguson's last stock rating was published by Morgan Stanley on Jan 09, 2025. The company Upgrade its FERG rating from "Equal-Weight" to "Overweight".

Ferguson Financial Forecast

Ferguson Revenue Forecast

Jul 27May 27Jan 27Oct 26Jul 26May 26Jan 26Oct 25Jul 25May 25Jan 25Oct 24Jul 24May 24Jan 24Oct 23Jul 23May 23Jan 23Oct 22Jul 22May 22Jan 22Oct 21May 21Jan 21Jul 20May 20
Revenue--------------$6.67B$7.71B--$6.83B$7.93B$7.97B-$6.51B$6.80B-$4.94B--
Avg Forecast$8.98B$8.39B$7.36B$8.47B$8.78B$7.92B$7.13B$8.20B$8.25B$7.43B$6.76B$7.81B$8.01B$7.31B$6.72B$7.59B$7.56B$7.09B$6.75B$7.60B$7.81B$6.76B$6.11B$7.70B$11.42B$10.84B$11.34B$10.77B
High Forecast$9.13B$8.52B$7.48B$8.60B$8.92B$8.05B$7.24B$8.33B$8.38B$7.55B$6.80B$7.87B$8.04B$7.42B$6.73B$7.91B$7.68B$7.20B$6.85B$7.74B$7.94B$6.88B$6.22B$7.83B$11.61B$11.02B$11.53B$10.95B
Low Forecast$8.93B$8.34B$7.32B$8.42B$8.73B$7.88B$7.09B$8.16B$8.20B$7.39B$6.74B$7.75B$7.99B$7.27B$6.72B$7.29B$7.52B$7.05B$6.71B$7.50B$7.71B$6.68B$6.03B$7.60B$11.27B$10.70B$11.19B$10.63B
# Analysts4465485336994637334345233345
Surprise %--------------0.99%1.02%--1.01%1.04%1.02%-1.06%0.88%-0.46%--

Ferguson's average Quarter revenue forecast for May 24 based on 6 analysts is $7.31B, with a low forecast of $7.27B, and a high forecast of $7.42B. FERG's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a 9.52% increase compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $6.67B (Jan 24).

Ferguson EBITDA Forecast

Jul 27May 27Jan 27Oct 26Jul 26May 26Jan 26Oct 25Jul 25May 25Jan 25Oct 24Jul 24May 24Jan 24Oct 23Jul 23May 23Jan 23Oct 22Jul 22May 22Jan 22Oct 21May 21Jan 21Jul 20May 20
# Analysts4465485336994637334345233345
EBITDA--------------$84.00M$222.00M--$623.00M$914.00M$892.00M-$629.00M$813.00M-$582.00M--
Avg Forecast$904.25M$844.27M$741.01M$852.02M$883.46M$797.33M$717.71M$825.45M$830.12M$748.17M$680.08M$786.23M$806.50M$735.48M$676.68M$764.20M$760.88M$713.45M$678.86M$800.99M$822.91M$712.43M$643.86M$810.62M$1.20B$1.14B$1.19B$1.13B
High Forecast$918.39M$857.47M$752.60M$865.34M$897.27M$809.80M$728.93M$838.36M$843.11M$759.86M$684.11M$792.29M$809.03M$746.98M$676.90M$796.04M$772.77M$724.61M$689.47M$815.16M$836.71M$724.38M$654.66M$824.22M$1.22B$1.16B$1.21B$1.15B
Low Forecast$899.15M$839.50M$736.83M$847.21M$878.47M$792.84M$713.66M$820.79M$825.44M$743.94M$678.07M$780.17M$803.97M$731.33M$676.45M$733.35M$756.58M$709.43M$675.02M$789.97M$812.38M$703.32M$635.63M$800.25M$1.19B$1.13B$1.18B$1.12B
Surprise %--------------0.12%0.29%--0.92%1.14%1.08%-0.98%1.00%-0.51%--

6 analysts predict FERG's average Quarter EBITDA for May 24 to be $735.48M, with a high of $746.98M and a low of $731.33M. This is 775.57% upper than Ferguson's previous annual EBITDA (Jan 24) of $84.00M.

Ferguson Net Income Forecast

Jul 27May 27Jan 27Oct 26Jul 26May 26Jan 26Oct 25Jul 25May 25Jan 25Oct 24Jul 24May 24Jan 24Oct 23Jul 23May 23Jan 23Oct 22Jul 22May 22Jan 22Oct 21May 21Jan 21Jul 20May 20
# Analysts4465485336994637334345233345
Net Income--------------$322.00M$519.00M--$374.00M$595.00M$580.00M-$436.00M$535.00M-$291.00M--
Avg Forecast$712.60M$569.68M$404.61M$579.74M$701.80M$527.86M$371.42M$549.88M$618.84M$461.35M$319.41M$526.64M$574.50M$467.02M$366.17M$524.62M$492.15M$434.76M$398.17M$564.01M$559.97M$420.28M$381.34M$432.92M$576.56M$487.54M$513.84M$481.47M
High Forecast$727.09M$581.26M$412.84M$591.53M$716.07M$538.59M$378.97M$561.06M$631.42M$470.73M$333.56M$546.90M$596.08M$480.80M$379.47M$560.26M$502.15M$443.60M$406.27M$576.98M$572.18M$429.44M$382.00M$442.36M$589.13M$498.18M$525.05M$491.97M
Low Forecast$707.37M$565.50M$401.65M$575.49M$696.66M$523.99M$368.69M$545.85M$614.30M$457.97M$307.28M$514.49M$552.91M$453.23M$352.88M$510.76M$488.54M$431.57M$395.25M$553.92M$550.65M$413.29M$380.67M$425.72M$566.97M$479.43M$505.30M$473.47M
Surprise %--------------0.88%0.99%--0.94%1.05%1.04%-1.14%1.24%-0.60%--

Ferguson's average Quarter net income forecast for May 24 is $467.02M, with a range of $453.23M to $480.80M. FERG's average Quarter net income forecast represents a 45.04% increase compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $322.00M (Jan 24).

Ferguson SG&A Forecast

Jul 27May 27Jan 27Oct 26Jul 26May 26Jan 26Oct 25Jul 25May 25Jan 25Oct 24Jul 24May 24Jan 24Oct 23Jul 23May 23Jan 23Oct 22Jul 22May 22Jan 22Oct 21May 21Jan 21Jul 20May 20
# Analysts4465485336994637334345233345
SG&A--------------$1.47B$1.51B--$1.43B$1.51B$1.54B-$1.36B$1.31B----
Avg Forecast$1.80B$1.68B$1.48B$1.70B$1.76B$1.59B$1.43B$1.65B$1.66B$1.49B$1.36B$1.57B$1.61B$1.47B$1.35B$1.52B$1.52B$1.42B$1.35B$1.53B$1.57B$1.36B$1.23B$1.54B$2.29B$2.18B$2.28B$2.16B
High Forecast$1.83B$1.71B$1.50B$1.73B$1.79B$1.61B$1.45B$1.67B$1.68B$1.52B$1.36B$1.58B$1.61B$1.49B$1.35B$1.59B$1.54B$1.44B$1.37B$1.55B$1.59B$1.38B$1.25B$1.57B$2.33B$2.21B$2.31B$2.20B
Low Forecast$1.79B$1.67B$1.47B$1.69B$1.75B$1.58B$1.42B$1.64B$1.65B$1.48B$1.35B$1.56B$1.60B$1.46B$1.35B$1.46B$1.51B$1.41B$1.35B$1.51B$1.55B$1.34B$1.21B$1.52B$2.26B$2.15B$2.25B$2.13B
Surprise %--------------1.09%0.99%--1.06%0.99%0.98%-1.11%0.85%----

Ferguson's average Quarter SG&A projection for May 24 is $1.47B, based on 6 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $1.46B to $1.49B. The forecast indicates a -0.16% fall compared to FERG last annual SG&A of $1.47B (Jan 24).

Ferguson EPS Forecast

Jul 27May 27Jan 27Oct 26Jul 26May 26Jan 26Oct 25Jul 25May 25Jan 25Oct 24Jul 24May 24Jan 24Oct 23Jul 23May 23Jan 23Oct 22Jul 22May 22Jan 22Oct 21May 21Jan 21Jul 20May 20
# Analysts4465485336994637334345233345
EPS--------------$1.58$2.55--$1.81$2.85$9.75M-$1.97$2.42-$1.30--
Avg Forecast$3.54$2.83$2.01$2.88$3.49$2.62$1.85$2.73$3.07$2.29$1.59$2.62$2.85$2.32$1.82$2.61$2.44$2.16$1.98$2.79$2.77$2.08$1.89$2.14$2.85$2.41$2.54$2.38
High Forecast$3.61$2.89$2.05$2.94$3.56$2.68$1.88$2.79$3.14$2.34$1.66$2.72$2.96$2.39$1.89$2.78$2.49$2.20$2.02$2.85$2.83$2.12$1.89$2.19$2.91$2.46$2.60$2.43
Low Forecast$3.51$2.81$2.00$2.86$3.46$2.60$1.83$2.71$3.05$2.28$1.53$2.56$2.75$2.25$1.75$2.54$2.43$2.14$1.96$2.74$2.72$2.04$1.88$2.10$2.80$2.37$2.50$2.34
Surprise %--------------0.87%0.98%--0.92%1.02%3521444.64%-1.05%1.13%-0.54%--

According to 6 Wall Street analysts, Ferguson's projected average Quarter EPS for May 24 is $2.32, with a low estimate of $2.25 and a high estimate of $2.39. This represents a 46.84% increase compared to FERG previous annual EPS of $1.58 (Jan 24).

Ferguson Peer Comparison by Price Target

TickerCompanyLast Closing PriceAvg Price TargetUpside/DownsideAvg Rating
MSMMSC Industrial Direct$81.38$105.7129.90%Buy
FERGFerguson$178.78$224.8625.77%Buy
POOLPool$344.70$388.8012.79%Buy
SITESiteOne Landscape Supply$142.49$154.008.08%Hold
FASTFastenal$74.08$77.805.02%Hold
WSOWatsco$481.82$457.50-5.05%Hold
AITApplied Industrial$254.46$241.00-5.29%Buy
GWWW.W. Grainger$1.11K$1.02K-8.10%Buy
CNMCore & Main$56.51$51.00-9.75%Buy

FERG Forecast FAQ

Is Ferguson a good buy?

Yes, according to 14 Wall Street analysts, Ferguson (FERG) is considered a 'Buy'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 12 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 85.71% of FERG's total ratings.

What is FERG's price target?

Ferguson (FERG) average price target is $224.86 with a range of $185 to $245, implying a 25.77% from its last price of $178.78. The data is based on 14 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.

Will Ferguson stock go up soon?

According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for FERG stock, the company can go up by 25.77% (from the last price of $178.78 to the average price target of $224.86), up by 37.04% based on the highest stock price target, and up by 3.48% based on the lowest stock price target.

Can Ferguson stock reach $300?

FERG's average twelve months analyst stock price target of $224.86 does not support the claim that Ferguson can reach $300 in the near future.

What are Ferguson's analysts' financial forecasts?

Ferguson's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Oct 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $30.64B (high $31.06B, low $30.49B), average EBITDA is $3.08B (high $3.13B, low $3.07B), average net income is $1.95B (high $2B, low $1.93B), average SG&A $6.15B (high $6.23B, low $6.12B), and average EPS is $9.68 (high $9.92, low $9.56). FERG's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Oct 2026) are as follows: average revenue is $32.3B (high $32.8B, low $32.12B), average EBITDA is $3.25B (high $3.3B, low $3.23B), average net income is $2.18B (high $2.23B, low $2.16B), average SG&A $6.48B (high $6.58B, low $6.45B), and average EPS is $10.83 (high $11.05, low $10.75).

Did the FERG's actual financial results beat the analysts' financial forecasts?

Based on Ferguson's last annual report (Oct 2021), the company's revenue was $22.79B, which missed the average analysts forecast of $29.95B by -23.91%. Apple's EBITDA was $2.61B, missing the average prediction of $3.15B by -17.27%. The company's net income was $1.51B, beating the average estimation of $1.5B by 0.73%. Apple's SG&A was $0, missing the average forecast of $6.01B by -100.00%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $6.59, missing the average prediction of $7.4 by -10.95%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Jan 2024), Ferguson's revenue was $6.67B, missing the average analysts' forecast of $6.72B by -0.75%. The company's EBITDA was $84M, missing the average prediction of $676.68M by -87.59%. Ferguson's net income was $322M, missing the average estimation of $366.17M by -12.06%. The company's SG&A was $1.47B, beating the average forecast of $1.35B by 8.87%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $1.58, missing the average prediction of $1.82 by -13.14%