Ferguson (FERG) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions
FERG Stock Forecast
Ferguson stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $206.00 (represents a 6.70% upside from FERG’s last price of $193.07) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 13 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.
FERG Price Target
The average price target for Ferguson (FERG) is $206.00 based on 1-year price targets from 13 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $244.00 to $140.00. This represents a potential 6.70% upside from FERG's last price of $193.07.
FERG Analyst Ratings
According to 13 Wall Street analysts, Ferguson's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for FERG stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 10 'Buy' (76.92%), 3 'Hold' (23.08%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).
Ferguson Price Target by Analyst
| Date | Analyst | Company | Price Target | Price when Published | Price Target/Price when Published | Price Target/Last Closing Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 12, 2024 | Matthew Bouley | Barclays | $229.00 | $195.51 | 17.13% | 18.61% |
| Jun 05, 2024 | Mike Dahl | RBC Capital | $211.00 | $196.96 | 7.13% | 9.29% |
| Mar 14, 2024 | Philip Ng | Jefferies | $244.00 | $205.87 | 18.52% | 26.38% |
| Jun 16, 2022 | Keith Hughes | Truist Financial | $140.00 | $110.72 | 26.45% | -27.49% |
| Apr 25, 2022 | - | Truist Financial | $165.00 | $131.35 | 25.62% | -14.54% |
| Apr 22, 2022 | - | Barclays | $194.00 | $138.91 | 39.66% | 0.48% |
The latest Ferguson stock forecast, released on Jul 12, 2024 by Matthew Bouley from Barclays, set a price target of $229.00, which represents a 17.13% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($195.51), and a 18.61% increase from FERG last price ($193.07).
Ferguson Price Target by Period
| 1M | 3M | 12M | |
|---|---|---|---|
| # Anlaysts | - | 1 | 3 |
| Avg Price Target | - | $229.00 | $228.00 |
| Last Closing Price | $193.07 | $193.07 | $193.07 |
| Upside/Downside | -100.00% | 18.61% | 18.09% |
In the current month, the average price target of Ferguson stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to Ferguson's last price of $193.07. This month's average price target is down -100.00% compared to last quarter, and down -100.00% compared to last year.
Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades
| Date | Company | Previous Rating | New Rating | Rating Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2024 | UBS | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Sep 13, 2024 | Jefferies | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Sep 13, 2024 | Barclays | Overweight | Overweight | Hold |
| Sep 13, 2024 | RBC Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
| Sep 09, 2024 | Morgan Stanley | Equal-Weight | Equal-Weight | Hold |
| Jul 17, 2024 | Jefferies | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Jul 12, 2024 | Barclays | Overweight | Overweight | Hold |
| Jun 05, 2024 | Citigroup | Neutral | Neutral | Hold |
| Jun 05, 2024 | RBC Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
| Jan 04, 2024 | Wells Fargo | - | Overweight | Upgrade |
Ferguson's last stock rating was published by UBS on Sep 13, 2024. The company gave FERG a "Buy" rating, the same as its previous rate.
Ferguson Financial Forecast
Ferguson Revenue Forecast
| Jul 26 | Apr 26 | Jan 26 | Oct 25 | Jul 25 | Apr 25 | Jan 25 | Oct 24 | Jul 24 | Apr 24 | Jan 24 | Oct 23 | Jul 23 | Apr 23 | Jan 23 | Oct 22 | Jul 22 | Apr 22 | Jan 22 | Oct 21 | Jul 21 | Apr 21 | Jan 21 | Oct 20 | Jul 20 | Apr 20 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $6.67B | $7.71B | - | $7.14B | $6.83B | $7.93B | $7.97B | $7.28B | $6.51B | $6.80B | $6.57B | $5.92B | $4.94B | $5.37B | - | - |
| Avg Forecast | $8.75B | $7.96B | $7.15B | $8.26B | $8.46B | $7.69B | $6.98B | $7.98B | $8.01B | $7.31B | $6.72B | $7.59B | $7.56B | $7.09B | $6.75B | $7.60B | $7.81B | $6.76B | $6.11B | $7.70B | $12.43B | $11.42B | $10.84B | $11.01B | $11.34B | $10.77B |
| High Forecast | $8.75B | $7.96B | $7.15B | $8.26B | $8.46B | $7.69B | $6.98B | $7.98B | $8.06B | $7.31B | $6.72B | $7.91B | $7.56B | $7.09B | $6.75B | $7.60B | $7.88B | $6.88B | $6.24B | $7.86B | $12.69B | $11.66B | $11.07B | $11.24B | $11.58B | $10.99B |
| Low Forecast | $8.75B | $7.96B | $7.15B | $8.26B | $8.46B | $7.69B | $6.98B | $7.98B | $7.97B | $7.31B | $6.72B | $7.29B | $7.56B | $7.09B | $6.75B | $7.60B | $7.78B | $6.65B | $6.00B | $7.56B | $12.20B | $11.21B | $10.64B | $10.81B | $11.13B | $10.57B |
| # Analysts | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.99% | 1.02% | - | 1.01% | 1.01% | 1.04% | 1.02% | 1.08% | 1.06% | 0.88% | 0.53% | 0.52% | 0.46% | 0.49% | - | - |
Ferguson's average Quarter revenue forecast for Apr 24 based on 6 analysts is $7.31B, with a low forecast of $7.31B, and a high forecast of $7.31B. FERG's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a 9.52% increase compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $6.67B (Jan 24).
Ferguson EBITDA Forecast
| Jul 26 | Apr 26 | Jan 26 | Oct 25 | Jul 25 | Apr 25 | Jan 25 | Oct 24 | Jul 24 | Apr 24 | Jan 24 | Oct 23 | Jul 23 | Apr 23 | Jan 23 | Oct 22 | Jul 22 | Apr 22 | Jan 22 | Oct 21 | Jul 21 | Apr 21 | Jan 21 | Oct 20 | Jul 20 | Apr 20 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $84.00M | $222.00M | - | $703.00M | $623.00M | $914.00M | $892.00M | $790.00M | $629.00M | $813.00M | $1.08B | $604.00M | $582.00M | $518.00M | - | - |
| Avg Forecast | $880.49M | $800.91M | $719.12M | $830.89M | $851.49M | $773.23M | $702.60M | $802.57M | $806.21M | $735.21M | $676.43M | $763.93M | $760.60M | $713.20M | $678.61M | $765.07M | $786.01M | $680.48M | $614.99M | $774.27M | $1.25B | $1.15B | $1.09B | $1.11B | $1.14B | $1.08B |
| High Forecast | $880.49M | $800.91M | $719.12M | $830.89M | $851.49M | $773.23M | $702.60M | $802.57M | $811.23M | $735.21M | $676.43M | $795.76M | $760.60M | $713.20M | $678.61M | $765.07M | $792.61M | $692.43M | $627.88M | $790.50M | $1.28B | $1.17B | $1.11B | $1.13B | $1.16B | $1.11B |
| Low Forecast | $880.49M | $800.91M | $719.12M | $830.89M | $851.49M | $773.23M | $702.60M | $802.57M | $802.20M | $735.21M | $676.43M | $733.09M | $760.60M | $713.20M | $678.61M | $765.07M | $782.66M | $669.08M | $603.76M | $760.13M | $1.23B | $1.13B | $1.07B | $1.09B | $1.12B | $1.06B |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.12% | 0.29% | - | 0.99% | 0.92% | 1.19% | 1.13% | 1.16% | 1.02% | 1.05% | 0.87% | 0.53% | 0.53% | 0.47% | - | - |
6 analysts predict FERG's average Quarter EBITDA for Apr 24 to be $735.21M, with a high of $735.21M and a low of $735.21M. This is 775.25% upper than Ferguson's previous annual EBITDA (Jan 24) of $84.00M.
Ferguson Net Income Forecast
| Jul 26 | Apr 26 | Jan 26 | Oct 25 | Jul 25 | Apr 25 | Jan 25 | Oct 24 | Jul 24 | Apr 24 | Jan 24 | Oct 23 | Jul 23 | Apr 23 | Jan 23 | Oct 22 | Jul 22 | Apr 22 | Jan 22 | Oct 21 | Jul 21 | Apr 21 | Jan 21 | Oct 20 | Jul 20 | Apr 20 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| Net Income | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $322.00M | $519.00M | - | $336.00M | $374.00M | $595.00M | $580.00M | $546.00M | $436.00M | $535.00M | $710.00M | $369.00M | $291.00M | $335.00M | - | - |
| Avg Forecast | $676.66M | $548.64M | $421.64M | $618.74M | $644.47M | $513.35M | $388.34M | $571.14M | $579.96M | $471.42M | $369.63M | $529.57M | $496.79M | $438.86M | $401.93M | $566.52M | $562.46M | $423.60M | $384.35M | $436.35M | $801.33M | $581.12M | $491.40M | $489.36M | $517.91M | $485.28M |
| High Forecast | $676.66M | $548.64M | $421.64M | $618.74M | $644.47M | $513.35M | $388.34M | $571.14M | $592.05M | $471.42M | $369.63M | $565.54M | $496.79M | $438.86M | $401.93M | $566.52M | $568.60M | $433.27M | $394.82M | $448.23M | $823.15M | $596.94M | $504.79M | $502.69M | $532.01M | $498.50M |
| Low Forecast | $676.66M | $548.64M | $421.64M | $618.74M | $644.47M | $513.35M | $388.34M | $571.14M | $569.89M | $471.42M | $369.63M | $515.59M | $496.79M | $438.86M | $401.93M | $566.52M | $559.35M | $414.37M | $375.23M | $425.99M | $782.30M | $567.32M | $479.73M | $477.74M | $505.61M | $473.76M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.87% | 0.98% | - | 0.77% | 0.93% | 1.05% | 1.03% | 1.29% | 1.13% | 1.23% | 0.89% | 0.63% | 0.59% | 0.68% | - | - |
Ferguson's average Quarter net income forecast for Apr 24 is $471.42M, with a range of $471.42M to $471.42M. FERG's average Quarter net income forecast represents a 46.40% increase compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $322.00M (Jan 24).
Ferguson SG&A Forecast
| Jul 26 | Apr 26 | Jan 26 | Oct 25 | Jul 25 | Apr 25 | Jan 25 | Oct 24 | Jul 24 | Apr 24 | Jan 24 | Oct 23 | Jul 23 | Apr 23 | Jan 23 | Oct 22 | Jul 22 | Apr 22 | Jan 22 | Oct 21 | Jul 21 | Apr 21 | Jan 21 | Oct 20 | Jul 20 | Apr 20 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| SG&A | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $1.47B | $1.51B | - | $1.44B | $1.43B | $1.51B | $1.54B | $1.42B | $1.36B | $1.31B | - | $1.22B | - | $1.07B | - | - |
| Avg Forecast | $1.78B | $1.62B | $1.45B | $1.68B | $1.72B | $1.56B | $1.42B | $1.62B | $1.63B | $1.49B | $1.37B | $1.55B | $1.54B | $1.44B | $1.37B | $1.55B | $1.59B | $1.38B | $1.24B | $1.57B | $2.53B | $2.32B | $2.21B | $2.24B | $2.31B | $2.19B |
| High Forecast | $1.78B | $1.62B | $1.45B | $1.68B | $1.72B | $1.56B | $1.42B | $1.62B | $1.64B | $1.49B | $1.37B | $1.61B | $1.54B | $1.44B | $1.37B | $1.55B | $1.60B | $1.40B | $1.27B | $1.60B | $2.58B | $2.37B | $2.25B | $2.29B | $2.36B | $2.24B |
| Low Forecast | $1.78B | $1.62B | $1.45B | $1.68B | $1.72B | $1.56B | $1.42B | $1.62B | $1.62B | $1.49B | $1.37B | $1.48B | $1.54B | $1.44B | $1.37B | $1.55B | $1.58B | $1.35B | $1.22B | $1.54B | $2.48B | $2.28B | $2.17B | $2.20B | $2.27B | $2.15B |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.07% | 0.98% | - | 0.99% | 1.04% | 0.97% | 0.97% | 1.03% | 1.09% | 0.84% | - | 0.53% | - | 0.48% | - | - |
Ferguson's average Quarter SG&A projection for Apr 24 is $1.49B, based on 6 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $1.49B to $1.49B. The forecast indicates a 1.26% rise compared to FERG last annual SG&A of $1.47B (Jan 24).
Ferguson EPS Forecast
| Jul 26 | Apr 26 | Jan 26 | Oct 25 | Jul 25 | Apr 25 | Jan 25 | Oct 24 | Jul 24 | Apr 24 | Jan 24 | Oct 23 | Jul 23 | Apr 23 | Jan 23 | Oct 22 | Jul 22 | Apr 22 | Jan 22 | Oct 21 | Jul 21 | Apr 21 | Jan 21 | Oct 20 | Jul 20 | Apr 20 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| EPS | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $1.58 | $2.55 | - | $1.64 | $1.81 | $2.85 | $9.75M | $2.52 | $1.97 | $2.42 | $3.21 | $1.65 | $1.30 | $1.50 | - | - |
| Avg Forecast | $3.33 | $2.70 | $2.08 | $3.04 | $3.17 | $2.53 | $1.91 | $2.81 | $2.85 | $2.32 | $1.82 | $2.61 | $2.44 | $2.16 | $1.98 | $2.79 | $2.77 | $2.08 | $1.89 | $2.14 | $3.93 | $2.85 | $2.41 | $2.40 | $2.54 | $2.38 |
| High Forecast | $3.33 | $2.70 | $2.08 | $3.04 | $3.17 | $2.53 | $1.91 | $2.81 | $2.91 | $2.32 | $1.82 | $2.78 | $2.44 | $2.16 | $1.98 | $2.79 | $2.80 | $2.12 | $1.94 | $2.20 | $4.04 | $2.93 | $2.48 | $2.47 | $2.61 | $2.44 |
| Low Forecast | $3.33 | $2.70 | $2.08 | $3.04 | $3.17 | $2.53 | $1.91 | $2.81 | $2.80 | $2.32 | $1.82 | $2.54 | $2.44 | $2.16 | $1.98 | $2.79 | $2.75 | $2.03 | $1.84 | $2.09 | $3.84 | $2.78 | $2.35 | $2.34 | $2.48 | $2.32 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.87% | 0.98% | - | 0.76% | 0.92% | 1.02% | 3521444.64% | 1.21% | 1.05% | 1.13% | 0.82% | 0.58% | 0.54% | 0.63% | - | - |
According to 6 Wall Street analysts, Ferguson's projected average Quarter EPS for Apr 24 is $2.32, with a low estimate of $2.32 and a high estimate of $2.32. This represents a 46.84% increase compared to FERG previous annual EPS of $1.58 (Jan 24).
Ferguson Peer Comparison by Price Target
| Ticker | Company | Last Closing Price | Avg Price Target | Upside/Downside | Avg Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSM | MSC Industrial Direct | $79.48 | $105.71 | 33.00% | Buy |
| CNM | Core & Main | $40.83 | $49.60 | 21.48% | Buy |
| SITE | SiteOne Landscape Supply | $141.04 | $151.71 | 7.57% | Hold |
| AIT | Applied Industrial | $203.98 | $218.33 | 7.04% | Buy |
| FERG | Ferguson | $193.07 | $206.00 | 6.70% | Buy |
| POOL | Pool | $356.02 | $325.20 | -8.66% | Buy |
| FAST | Fastenal Company | $69.82 | $63.44 | -9.14% | Hold |
| WSO | Watsco | $476.71 | $370.00 | -22.38% | Hold |
| GWW | W.W. Grainger | $993.82 | $760.25 | -23.50% | Buy |
FERG Forecast FAQ
Is Ferguson a good buy?
Yes, according to 13 Wall Street analysts, Ferguson (FERG) is considered a 'Buy'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 10 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 76.92% of FERG's total ratings.
What is FERG's price target?
Ferguson (FERG) average price target is $206 with a range of $140 to $244, implying a 6.70% from its last price of $193.07. The data is based on 13 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.
Will Ferguson stock go up soon?
According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for FERG stock, the company can go up by 6.70% (from the last price of $193.07 to the average price target of $206), up by 26.38% based on the highest stock price target, and down by -27.49% based on the lowest stock price target.
Can Ferguson stock reach $300?
FERG's average twelve months analyst stock price target of $206 does not support the claim that Ferguson can reach $300 in the near future.
What are Ferguson's analysts' financial forecasts?
Ferguson's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Oct 2024) are as follows: average revenue is $30.02B (high $30.07B, low $29.98B), average EBITDA is $3.02B (high $3.03B, low $3.02B), average net income is $1.99B (high $2B, low $1.98B), average SG&A $6.11B (high $6.12B, low $6.1B), and average EPS is $9.8 (high $9.86, low $9.75). FERG's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Oct 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $31.39B (high $31.39B, low $31.39B), average EBITDA is $3.16B (high $3.16B, low $3.16B), average net income is $2.16B (high $2.16B, low $2.16B), average SG&A $6.39B (high $6.39B, low $6.39B), and average EPS is $10.65 (high $10.65, low $10.65).
Did the FERG's actual financial results beat the analysts' financial forecasts?
Based on Ferguson's last annual report (Oct 2021), the company's revenue was $22.79B, which missed the average analysts forecast of $42.38B by -46.22%. Apple's EBITDA was $2.61B, missing the average prediction of $4.26B by -38.79%. The company's net income was $1.51B, missing the average estimation of $2.31B by -34.72%. Apple's SG&A was $0, missing the average forecast of $8.63B by -100.00%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $6.59, missing the average prediction of $11.33 by -41.84%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Jan 2024), Ferguson's revenue was $6.67B, missing the average analysts' forecast of $6.72B by -0.75%. The company's EBITDA was $84M, missing the average prediction of $676.43M by -87.58%. Ferguson's net income was $322M, missing the average estimation of $369.63M by -12.89%. The company's SG&A was $1.47B, beating the average forecast of $1.37B by 7.34%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $1.58, missing the average prediction of $1.82 by -13.14%