Embraer (ERJ) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions

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ERJ Stock Forecast

Embraer stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $28.50 (represents a -24.00% downside from ERJ’s last price of $37.50) and a rating consensus of 'Hold', based on 7 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.

ERJ Price Target

The average price target for Embraer (ERJ) is $28.50 based on 1-year price targets from 7 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $40.00 to $13.00. This represents a potential -24.00% downside from ERJ's last price of $37.50.

ERJ Analyst Ratings

Hold

According to 7 Wall Street analysts, Embraer's rating consensus is 'Hold'. The analyst rating breakdown for ERJ stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 3 'Buy' (42.86%), 4 'Hold' (57.14%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).

Embraer Price Target by Analyst

Date	Analyst	Company	Price Target	Price when Published	Price Target/Price when Published	Price Target/Last Closing Price
Sep 23, 2024	Cenk Orcan	HSBC	$36.00	$35.10	2.56%	-4.00%
Mar 26, 2024	Alberto Valerio	UBS	$28.50	$27.04	5.40%	-24.00%
Mar 19, 2024	Stewart Glickman	CFRA	$27.00	$25.07	7.70%	-28.00%
Mar 14, 2024	Josh Milberg	Morgan Stanley	$40.00	$23.48	70.36%	6.67%
Jan 09, 2023	-	UBS	$14.00	$11.27	24.22%	-62.67%
Dec 06, 2022	-	J.P. Morgan	$26.50	$10.24	158.79%	-29.33%
Apr 26, 2022	-	Citigroup	$13.00	$11.53	12.75%	-65.33%

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The latest Embraer stock forecast, released on Sep 23, 2024 by Cenk Orcan from HSBC, set a price target of $36.00, which represents a 2.56% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($35.10), and a -4.00% decrease from ERJ last price ($37.50).

Embraer Price Target by Period

	1M	3M	12M
# Anlaysts	-	1	4
Avg Price Target	-	$36.00	$32.88
Last Closing Price	$37.50	$37.50	$37.50
Upside/Downside	-100.00%	-4.00%	-12.32%

In the current month, the average price target of Embraer stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to Embraer's last price of $37.50. This month's average price target is down -100.00% compared to last quarter, and down -100.00% compared to last year.

Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades

Date	Company	Previous Rating	New Rating	Rating Change
Sep 23, 2024	HSBC	Hold	Hold	Hold
Sep 04, 2024	Cowen & Co.	-	Buy	Upgrade
Jul 03, 2024	UBS	Neutral	Neutral	Hold
Mar 26, 2024	UBS	Buy	Positive	Downgrade
Mar 19, 2024	CFRA	-	Buy	Upgrade
Mar 14, 2024	Morgan Stanley	Overweight	Overweight	Hold
Oct 16, 2023	Santander	-	Hold	Initialise
Oct 16, 2023	Jefferies	-	Hold	Initialise
Oct 16, 2023	Citigroup	Neutral	Mixed	Upgrade
Jan 09, 2023	UBS	-	Buy	Initialise

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Embraer's last stock rating was published by HSBC on Sep 23, 2024. The company gave ERJ a "Hold" rating, the same as its previous rate.

Embraer Financial Forecast

Embraer Revenue Forecast

	Sep 25	Jun 25	Mar 25	Dec 24	Sep 24	Jun 24	Mar 24	Dec 23	Sep 23	Jun 23	Mar 23	Dec 22	Sep 22	Jun 22	Mar 22	Dec 21	Sep 21	Jun 21	Mar 21	Dec 20	Sep 20	Jun 20	Mar 20	Dec 19	Sep 19	Jun 19	Mar 19	Mar 18	Mar 17	Mar 16
Revenue	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	$1.99B	$929.00M	$1.02B	$600.90M	$1.30B	$958.10M	$1.13B	$807.30M	$1.84B	$758.70M	$537.20M	$633.80M	$2.08B	$1.18B	$1.38B	$385.29M	$992.00M	$1.03B	$1.31B
Avg Forecast	$1.74B	$1.55B	$1.13B	$2.20B	$1.58B	$1.44B	$891.18M	$2.00B	$1.33B	$1.19B	$786.93M	$1.96B	$1.07B	$1.13B	$689.32M	$1.36B	$1.01B	$1.00B	$784.48M	$1.67B	$805.13M	$640.37M	$812.08M	$2.05B	$1.34B	$1.35B	$1.06B	$3.35B	$872.36M	$883.58M
High Forecast	$1.79B	$1.59B	$1.16B	$2.22B	$1.59B	$1.44B	$897.01M	$2.03B	$1.33B	$1.22B	$809.12M	$2.02B	$1.07B	$1.13B	$689.32M	$1.36B	$1.01B	$1.00B	$784.48M	$1.67B	$805.13M	$640.37M	$812.08M	$2.05B	$1.34B	$1.35B	$1.06B	$4.02B	$1.05B	$1.06B
Low Forecast	$1.69B	$1.50B	$1.10B	$2.17B	$1.57B	$1.44B	$885.35M	$1.98B	$1.33B	$1.16B	$766.00M	$1.91B	$1.07B	$1.13B	$689.32M	$1.36B	$1.01B	$1.00B	$784.48M	$1.67B	$805.13M	$640.37M	$812.08M	$2.05B	$1.34B	$1.35B	$1.06B	$2.68B	$697.88M	$706.86M
# Analysts	1	1	1	3	2	2	2	4	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	2	11	15	9	9	8	8	12	16	19	18	11
Surprise %	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1.02%	0.87%	0.90%	0.87%	0.96%	0.94%	1.13%	1.03%	1.10%	0.94%	0.84%	0.78%	1.02%	0.88%	1.02%	0.36%	0.30%	1.18%	1.48%

Embraer's average Quarter revenue forecast for Mar 23 based on 2 analysts is $786.93M, with a low forecast of $766.00M, and a high forecast of $809.12M. ERJ's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a -60.49% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $1.99B (Dec 22).

Embraer EBITDA Forecast

	Sep 25	Jun 25	Mar 25	Dec 24	Sep 24	Jun 24	Mar 24	Dec 23	Sep 23	Jun 23	Mar 23	Dec 22	Sep 22	Jun 22	Mar 22	Dec 21	Sep 21	Jun 21	Mar 21	Dec 20	Sep 20	Jun 20	Mar 20	Dec 19	Sep 19	Jun 19	Mar 19	Mar 18	Mar 17	Mar 16
# Analysts	1	1	1	3	2	2	2	4	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	2	11	15	9	9	8	8	12	16	19	18	11
EBITDA	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	$263.10M	$57.50M	$89.30M	$-15.80M	$104.90M	$-30.70M	$74.90M	$-113.70M	$21.50M	$-204.70M	$-308.10M	$-88.20M	$-52.90M	$-10.80M	$5.10M	$3.15M	$2.00M	$97.00M	$153.30M
Avg Forecast	$81.05M	$72.10M	$52.76M	$102.74M	$73.63M	$66.99M	$-140.42M	$93.07M	$61.92M	$55.47M	$-127.66M	$309.54M	$58.46M	$61.66M	$-116.05M	$74.20M	$55.27M	$353.81M	$42.76M	$91.23M	$43.89M	$34.91M	$-105.50M	$111.80M	$73.17M	$73.37M	$1.94M	$158.29M	$86.44M	$79.70M
High Forecast	$83.33M	$74.13M	$54.25M	$103.65M	$73.97M	$66.99M	$-112.34M	$94.75M	$61.92M	$57.04M	$-102.13M	$371.45M	$58.46M	$61.66M	$-92.84M	$74.20M	$55.27M	$424.57M	$42.76M	$91.23M	$43.89M	$34.91M	$-84.40M	$111.80M	$73.17M	$73.37M	$2.32M	$189.94M	$103.73M	$95.64M
Low Forecast	$78.89M	$70.18M	$51.36M	$101.37M	$73.28M	$66.99M	$-168.51M	$92.22M	$61.92M	$54.00M	$-153.19M	$247.63M	$58.46M	$61.66M	$-139.26M	$74.20M	$55.27M	$283.05M	$42.76M	$91.23M	$43.89M	$34.91M	$-126.60M	$111.80M	$73.17M	$73.37M	$1.55M	$126.63M	$69.16M	$63.76M
Surprise %	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0.85%	0.98%	1.45%	0.14%	1.41%	-0.56%	0.21%	-2.66%	0.24%	-4.66%	-8.83%	0.84%	-0.47%	-0.15%	0.07%	1.63%	0.01%	1.12%	1.92%

2 analysts predict ERJ's average Quarter EBITDA for Mar 23 to be $-127.66M, with a high of $-102.13M and a low of $-153.19M. This is -148.52% lower than Embraer's previous annual EBITDA (Dec 22) of $263.10M.

Embraer Net Income Forecast

	Sep 25	Jun 25	Mar 25	Dec 24	Sep 24	Jun 24	Mar 24	Dec 23	Sep 23	Jun 23	Mar 23	Dec 22	Sep 22	Jun 22	Mar 22	Dec 21	Sep 21	Jun 21	Mar 21	Dec 20	Sep 20	Jun 20	Mar 20	Dec 19	Sep 19	Jun 19	Mar 19	Mar 18	Mar 17	Mar 16
# Analysts	1	1	1	3	2	2	2	4	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	2	11	15	9	9	8	8	12	16	19	18	11
Net Income	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	$22.90M	$-41.40M	$74.20M	$-30.70M	$3.00M	$-45.00M	$87.90M	$-89.70M	$-3.30M	$-121.20M	$-315.40M	$-292.00M	$-209.80M	$-77.20M	$7.20M	$-40.97M	$-12.30M	$42.50M	$103.90M
Avg Forecast	$119.37M	$77.13M	$-7.35M	$97.96M	$51.79M	$39.60M	$-787.02M	$131.52M	$44.08M	$34.56M	$-715.47M	$177.87M	$16.53M	$-12.86M	$-650.43M	$11.17M	$-25.15M	$221.51M	$-68.90M	$-55.48M	$-84.43M	$-76.75M	$-591.30M	$-3.26M	$-14.14M	$-37.05M	$-25.21M	$-41.51M	$36.13M	$53.87M
High Forecast	$123.75M	$79.96M	$-7.09M	$110.80M	$53.72M	$39.64M	$-629.62M	$132.70M	$45.69M	$35.83M	$-572.38M	$213.45M	$16.53M	$-12.86M	$-520.34M	$11.17M	$-25.15M	$265.81M	$-68.90M	$-55.48M	$-84.43M	$-76.75M	$-473.04M	$-3.26M	$-14.14M	$-37.05M	$-20.17M	$-33.21M	$43.35M	$64.65M
Low Forecast	$115.25M	$74.47M	$-7.62M	$81.90M	$49.86M	$39.57M	$-944.42M	$130.34M	$42.55M	$33.37M	$-858.57M	$142.30M	$16.53M	$-12.86M	$-780.52M	$11.17M	$-25.15M	$177.21M	$-68.90M	$-55.48M	$-84.43M	$-76.75M	$-709.56M	$-3.26M	$-14.14M	$-37.05M	$-30.25M	$-49.81M	$28.90M	$43.10M
Surprise %	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0.13%	-2.50%	-5.77%	0.05%	0.27%	1.79%	0.40%	1.30%	0.06%	1.44%	4.11%	0.49%	64.30%	5.46%	-0.19%	1.63%	0.30%	1.18%	1.93%

Embraer's average Quarter net income forecast for Mar 23 is $-715.47M, with a range of $-858.57M to $-572.38M. ERJ's average Quarter net income forecast represents a -3224.34% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $22.90M (Dec 22).

Embraer SG&A Forecast

	Sep 25	Jun 25	Mar 25	Dec 24	Sep 24	Jun 24	Mar 24	Dec 23	Sep 23	Jun 23	Mar 23	Dec 22	Sep 22	Jun 22	Mar 22	Dec 21	Sep 21	Jun 21	Mar 21	Dec 20	Sep 20	Jun 20	Mar 20	Dec 19	Sep 19	Jun 19	Mar 19	Mar 18	Mar 17	Mar 16
# Analysts	1	1	1	3	2	2	2	4	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	2	11	15	9	9	8	8	12	16	19	18	11
SG&A	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	$138.60M	$114.90M	$111.30M	$93.50M	$113.00M	$95.40M	$91.00M	$80.20M	$96.10M	$80.40M	$81.20M	$116.00M	$132.50M	$108.20M	$119.10M	$67.78M	$115.60M	$113.50M	$140.40M
Avg Forecast	$162.44M	$144.50M	$105.75M	$205.92M	$147.57M	$134.26M	$312.65M	$186.53M	$124.10M	$111.19M	$284.23M	$111.23M	$100.53M	$106.04M	$258.39M	$127.60M	$95.05M	$229.32M	$73.53M	$156.88M	$75.47M	$60.03M	$234.90M	$192.26M	$125.82M	$126.18M	$41.71M	$390.15M	$96.47M	$72.80M
High Forecast	$167.02M	$148.58M	$108.73M	$207.74M	$148.25M	$134.26M	$375.18M	$189.91M	$124.10M	$114.32M	$341.07M	$133.47M	$100.53M	$106.04M	$310.07M	$127.60M	$95.05M	$275.18M	$73.53M	$156.88M	$75.47M	$60.03M	$281.88M	$192.26M	$125.82M	$126.18M	$50.06M	$468.18M	$115.77M	$87.36M
Low Forecast	$158.12M	$140.66M	$102.94M	$203.18M	$146.88M	$134.26M	$250.12M	$184.84M	$124.10M	$108.23M	$227.38M	$88.98M	$100.53M	$106.04M	$206.71M	$127.60M	$95.05M	$183.46M	$73.53M	$156.88M	$75.47M	$60.03M	$187.92M	$192.26M	$125.82M	$126.18M	$33.37M	$312.12M	$77.18M	$58.24M
Surprise %	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1.25%	1.14%	1.05%	0.36%	0.89%	1.00%	0.40%	1.09%	0.61%	1.07%	1.35%	0.49%	0.69%	0.86%	0.94%	1.63%	0.30%	1.18%	1.93%

Embraer's average Quarter SG&A projection for Mar 23 is $284.23M, based on 2 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $227.38M to $341.07M. The forecast indicates a 105.07% rise compared to ERJ last annual SG&A of $138.60M (Dec 22).

Embraer EPS Forecast

	Sep 25	Jun 25	Mar 25	Dec 24	Sep 24	Jun 24	Mar 24	Dec 23	Sep 23	Jun 23	Mar 23	Dec 22	Sep 22	Jun 22	Mar 22	Dec 21	Sep 21	Jun 21	Mar 21	Dec 20	Sep 20	Jun 20	Mar 20	Dec 19	Sep 19	Jun 19	Mar 19	Mar 18	Mar 17	Mar 16
# Analysts	1	1	1	3	2	2	2	4	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	2	11	15	9	9	8	8	12	16	19	18	11
EPS	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	$0.12	$-0.23	$0.40	$-0.17	$0.02	$-0.24	$0.48	$-0.49	$-0.02	$-0.66	$-1.72	$-1.59	$-1.14	$-0.42	$0.04	$-0.22	$-0.07	$0.23	$0.57
Avg Forecast	$0.65	$0.42	$-0.04	$0.53	$0.28	$0.22	$-0.17	$0.72	$0.24	$0.19	$-0.02	$0.33	$0.09	$-0.07	$-0.21	$0.06	$-0.14	$-0.25	$-0.38	$-0.30	$-0.46	$-0.42	$-0.37	$-0.02	$-0.08	$-0.20	$-0.17	$0.14	$0.17	$0.17
High Forecast	$0.67	$0.44	$-0.04	$0.60	$0.29	$0.22	$-0.16	$0.72	$0.25	$0.20	$-0.02	$0.34	$0.09	$-0.07	$-0.21	$0.06	$-0.14	$-0.25	$-0.38	$-0.30	$-0.46	$-0.42	$-0.37	$-0.02	$-0.08	$-0.20	$-0.17	$0.16	$0.20	$0.21
Low Forecast	$0.63	$0.41	$-0.04	$0.45	$0.27	$0.22	$-0.18	$0.71	$0.23	$0.18	$-0.02	$0.32	$0.09	$-0.07	$-0.21	$0.06	$-0.14	$-0.25	$-0.38	$-0.30	$-0.46	$-0.42	$-0.37	$-0.02	$-0.08	$-0.20	$-0.17	$0.11	$0.14	$0.14
Surprise %	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0.36%	-2.56%	-5.71%	0.79%	0.27%	1.79%	-1.90%	1.30%	0.06%	1.43%	4.12%	4.28%	64.19%	5.45%	-0.19%	1.28%	-0.48%	1.36%	3.35%

According to 2 Wall Street analysts, Embraer's projected average Quarter EPS for Mar 23 is $-0.02, with a low estimate of $-0.02 and a high estimate of $-0.02. This represents a -116.67% decrease compared to ERJ previous annual EPS of $0.12 (Dec 22).

Embraer Peer Comparison by Price Target

Ticker	Company	Last Closing Price	Avg Price Target	Upside/Downside	Avg Rating
SPR	Spirit AeroSystems	$31.93	$45.92	43.81%	Hold
EVTL	Vertical Aerospace	$4.44	$5.75	29.50%	Buy
HII	Huntington Ingalls Industries	$190.25	$244.83	28.69%	Hold
MRCY	Mercury Systems	$38.92	$46.33	19.04%	Hold
AIR	AAR	$67.54	$80.00	18.45%	Buy
HXL	Hexcel	$58.56	$67.62	15.47%	Hold
CAE	CAE	$22.69	$26.00	14.59%	Buy
LHX	L3Harris	$244.36	$253.76	3.85%	Buy
AJRD	Aerojet Rocketdyne	$57.99	$58.00	0.02%	Hold
DCO	Ducommun	$65.13	$60.00	-7.88%	Buy
CW	Curtiss-Wright	$361.45	$327.20	-9.48%	Buy
HWM	Howmet Aerospace	$118.10	$97.44	-17.49%	Buy
TGI	Triumph Group	$19.18	$15.71	-18.09%	Buy
ERJ	Embraer	$37.50	$28.50	-24.00%	Hold
MOG-A	Moog	$217.08	$131.00	-39.65%	Buy
RKLB	Rocket Lab USA	$20.18	$7.81	-61.30%	Buy

ERJ Forecast FAQ

Is Embraer a good buy?

No, according to 7 Wall Street analysts, Embraer (ERJ) is considered a 'Hold'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 3 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 42.86% of ERJ's total ratings.

What is ERJ's price target?

Embraer (ERJ) average price target is $28.5 with a range of $13 to $40, implying a -24.00% from its last price of $37.5. The data is based on 7 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.

Will Embraer stock go up soon?

According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for ERJ stock, the company can go down by -24.00% (from the last price of $37.5 to the average price target of $28.5), up by 6.67% based on the highest stock price target, and down by -65.33% based on the lowest stock price target.

Can Embraer stock reach $60?

ERJ's average twelve months analyst stock price target of $28.5 does not support the claim that Embraer can reach $60 in the near future.

What are Embraer's analysts' financial forecasts?

Embraer's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2023) are as follows: average revenue is $5.3B (high $5.39B, low $5.23B), average EBITDA is $82.8M (high $111.58M, low $54.95M), average net income is $-505M (high $-358M, low $-652M), average SG&A $706.05M (high $769.41M, low $644.56M), and average EPS is $1.12 (high $1.15, low $1.1). ERJ's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2024) are as follows: average revenue is $6.11B (high $6.14B, low $6.07B), average EBITDA is $102.93M (high $132.27M, low $73.14M), average net income is $-598M (high $-425M, low $-773M), average SG&A $800.4M (high $865.44M, low $734.45M), and average EPS is $0.861 (high $0.947, low $0.756).

Did the ERJ's actual financial results beat the analysts' financial forecasts?

Based on Embraer's last annual report (Dec 2022), the company's revenue was $4.54B, which missed the average analysts forecast of $4.85B by -6.47%. Apple's EBITDA was $213.7M, missing the average prediction of $313.61M by -31.86%. The company's net income was $-204M, missing the average estimation of $-469M by -56.60%. Apple's SG&A was $459.3M, missing the average forecast of $576.19M by -20.29%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $-1.11, missing the average prediction of $0.137 by -907.80%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Dec 2022), Embraer's revenue was $1.99B, beating the average analysts' forecast of $1.96B by 1.55%. The company's EBITDA was $263.1M, missing the average prediction of $309.54M by -15.00%. Embraer's net income was $22.9M, missing the average estimation of $177.87M by -87.13%. The company's SG&A was $138.6M, beating the average forecast of $111.23M by 24.61%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $0.12, missing the average prediction of $0.332 by -63.90%