Embraer (ERJ) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions


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ERJ Stock Forecast


Embraer stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $28.50 (represents a -15.83% downside from ERJ’s last price of $33.86) and a rating consensus of 'Hold', based on 7 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.

ERJ Price Target


The average price target for Embraer (ERJ) is $28.50 based on 1-year price targets from 7 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $40.00 to $13.00. This represents a potential -15.83% downside from ERJ's last price of $33.86.

ERJ Analyst Ratings


Hold

According to 7 Wall Street analysts, Embraer's rating consensus is 'Hold'. The analyst rating breakdown for ERJ stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 3 'Buy' (42.86%), 4 'Hold' (57.14%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).

Embraer Price Target by Analyst


DateAnalystCompanyPrice TargetPrice when PublishedPrice Target/Price when PublishedPrice Target/Last Closing Price
Sep 23, 2024Cenk OrcanHSBC$36.00$35.102.56%6.32%
Mar 26, 2024Alberto ValerioUBS$28.50$27.045.40%-15.83%
Mar 19, 2024Stewart GlickmanCFRA$27.00$25.077.70%-20.26%
Mar 14, 2024Josh MilbergMorgan Stanley$40.00$23.4870.36%18.13%
Jan 09, 2023-UBS$14.00$11.2724.22%-58.65%
Dec 06, 2022-J.P. Morgan$26.50$10.24158.79%-21.74%
Apr 26, 2022-Citigroup$13.00$11.5312.75%-61.61%
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The latest Embraer stock forecast, released on Sep 23, 2024 by Cenk Orcan from HSBC, set a price target of $36.00, which represents a 2.56% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($35.10), and a 6.32% increase from ERJ last price ($33.86).

Embraer Price Target by Period


1M3M12M
# Anlaysts-14
Avg Price Target-$36.00$32.88
Last Closing Price$33.86$33.86$33.86
Upside/Downside-100.00%6.32%-2.89%

In the current month, the average price target of Embraer stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to Embraer's last price of $33.86. This month's average price target is down -100.00% compared to last quarter, and down -100.00% compared to last year.

Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades


DateCompanyPrevious RatingNew RatingRating Change
Sep 23, 2024HSBCHoldHoldHold
Sep 04, 2024Cowen & Co.-BuyUpgrade
Jul 03, 2024UBSNeutralNeutralHold
Mar 26, 2024UBSBuyPositiveDowngrade
Mar 19, 2024CFRA-BuyUpgrade
Mar 14, 2024Morgan StanleyOverweightOverweightHold
Oct 16, 2023Santander-HoldInitialise
Oct 16, 2023Jefferies-HoldInitialise
Oct 16, 2023CitigroupNeutralMixedUpgrade
Jan 09, 2023UBS-BuyInitialise
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Embraer's last stock rating was published by HSBC on Sep 23, 2024. The company gave ERJ a "Hold" rating, the same as its previous rate.

Embraer Financial Forecast


Embraer Revenue Forecast

Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19Jun 19Mar 19Mar 18Mar 17Mar 16Mar 15
Revenue----------$1.99B$929.00M$1.02B$600.90M$1.30B$958.10M$1.13B$807.30M$1.84B$758.70M$537.20M$633.80M$2.08B$1.18B$1.38B$385.29M$992.00M$1.03B$1.31B$1.06B
Avg Forecast$1.59B$1.15B$2.23B$1.58B$1.44B$891.18M$2.00B$1.33B$1.19B$786.93M$1.96B$1.07B$1.13B$689.32M$1.36B$1.01B$1.00B$784.48M$1.67B$805.13M$640.37M$812.08M$2.05B$1.34B$1.35B$1.06B$3.35B$872.36M$883.58M$1.23B
High Forecast$1.59B$1.15B$2.23B$1.60B$1.44B$897.01M$2.03B$1.33B$1.19B$786.93M$1.96B$1.07B$1.13B$689.32M$1.36B$1.01B$1.00B$784.48M$1.67B$805.13M$640.37M$812.08M$2.05B$1.34B$1.35B$1.06B$4.02B$1.05B$1.06B$1.47B
Low Forecast$1.59B$1.15B$2.23B$1.57B$1.44B$885.35M$1.98B$1.33B$1.19B$786.93M$1.96B$1.07B$1.13B$689.32M$1.36B$1.01B$1.00B$784.48M$1.67B$805.13M$640.37M$812.08M$2.05B$1.34B$1.35B$1.06B$2.68B$697.88M$706.86M$980.97M
# Analysts1124224222111122221115998812161918119
Surprise %----------1.02%0.87%0.90%0.87%0.96%0.94%1.13%1.03%1.10%0.94%0.84%0.78%1.02%0.88%1.02%0.36%0.30%1.18%1.48%0.86%

Embraer's average Quarter revenue forecast for Mar 23 based on 2 analysts is $786.93M, with a low forecast of $786.93M, and a high forecast of $786.93M. ERJ's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a -60.49% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $1.99B (Dec 22).

Embraer EBITDA Forecast

Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19Jun 19Mar 19Mar 18Mar 17Mar 16Mar 15
# Analysts1124224222111122221115998812161918119
EBITDA----------$263.10M$57.50M$89.30M$-15.80M$104.90M$-30.70M$74.90M$-113.70M$21.50M$-204.70M$-308.10M$-88.20M$-52.90M$-10.80M$5.10M$3.15M$2.00M$97.00M$153.30M$110.60M
Avg Forecast$86.52M$62.43M$121.32M$86.00M$78.30M$-140.42M$108.78M$72.37M$64.84M$-127.66M$309.54M$58.46M$61.66M$-116.05M$74.20M$55.27M$353.81M$42.76M$91.23M$43.89M$34.91M$-105.50M$111.80M$73.17M$73.37M$1.94M$158.29M$86.44M$79.70M$146.09M
High Forecast$86.52M$62.43M$121.32M$87.07M$78.30M$-112.34M$110.75M$72.37M$64.84M$-102.13M$371.45M$58.46M$61.66M$-92.84M$74.20M$55.27M$424.57M$42.76M$91.23M$43.89M$34.91M$-84.40M$111.80M$73.17M$73.37M$2.32M$189.94M$103.73M$95.64M$175.31M
Low Forecast$86.52M$62.43M$121.32M$85.47M$78.30M$-168.51M$107.79M$72.37M$64.84M$-153.19M$247.63M$58.46M$61.66M$-139.26M$74.20M$55.27M$283.05M$42.76M$91.23M$43.89M$34.91M$-126.60M$111.80M$73.17M$73.37M$1.55M$126.63M$69.16M$63.76M$116.87M
Surprise %----------0.85%0.98%1.45%0.14%1.41%-0.56%0.21%-2.66%0.24%-4.66%-8.83%0.84%-0.47%-0.15%0.07%1.63%0.01%1.12%1.92%0.76%

2 analysts predict ERJ's average Quarter EBITDA for Mar 23 to be $-127.66M, with a high of $-102.13M and a low of $-153.19M. This is -148.52% lower than Embraer's previous annual EBITDA (Dec 22) of $263.10M.

Embraer Net Income Forecast

Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19Jun 19Mar 19Mar 18Mar 17Mar 16Mar 15
# Analysts1124224222111122221115998812161918119
Net Income----------$22.90M$-41.40M$74.20M$-30.70M$3.00M$-45.00M$87.90M$-89.70M$-3.30M$-121.20M$-315.40M$-292.00M$-209.80M$-77.20M$7.20M$-40.97M$-12.30M$42.50M$103.90M$-61.70M
Avg Forecast$78.97M$-3.67M$117.39M$50.42M$39.61M$-787.02M$131.53M$44.08M$34.56M$-715.47M$177.87M$16.53M$-12.86M$-650.43M$11.17M$-25.15M$221.51M$-68.90M$-55.48M$-84.43M$-76.75M$-591.30M$-3.26M$-14.14M$-37.05M$-25.21M$-41.51M$36.13M$53.87M$-71.65M
High Forecast$78.97M$-3.67M$117.39M$54.02M$39.64M$-629.62M$132.71M$44.08M$34.56M$-572.38M$213.45M$16.53M$-12.86M$-520.34M$11.17M$-25.15M$265.81M$-68.90M$-55.48M$-84.43M$-76.75M$-473.04M$-3.26M$-14.14M$-37.05M$-20.17M$-33.21M$43.35M$64.65M$-57.32M
Low Forecast$78.97M$-3.67M$117.39M$46.82M$39.57M$-944.42M$130.35M$44.08M$34.56M$-858.57M$142.30M$16.53M$-12.86M$-780.52M$11.17M$-25.15M$177.21M$-68.90M$-55.48M$-84.43M$-76.75M$-709.56M$-3.26M$-14.14M$-37.05M$-30.25M$-49.81M$28.90M$43.10M$-85.98M
Surprise %----------0.13%-2.50%-5.77%0.05%0.27%1.79%0.40%1.30%0.06%1.44%4.11%0.49%64.30%5.46%-0.19%1.63%0.30%1.18%1.93%0.86%

Embraer's average Quarter net income forecast for Mar 23 is $-715.47M, with a range of $-858.57M to $-572.38M. ERJ's average Quarter net income forecast represents a -3224.34% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $22.90M (Dec 22).

Embraer SG&A Forecast

Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19Jun 19Mar 19Mar 18Mar 17Mar 16Mar 15
# Analysts1124224222111122221115998812161918119
SG&A----------$138.60M$114.90M$111.30M$93.50M$113.00M$95.40M$91.00M$80.20M$96.10M$80.40M$81.20M$116.00M$132.50M$108.20M$119.10M$67.78M$115.60M$113.50M$140.40M$129.30M
Avg Forecast$148.79M$107.36M$208.64M$147.90M$134.65M$312.65M$187.06M$124.46M$111.50M$284.23M$111.23M$100.53M$106.04M$258.39M$127.60M$95.05M$229.32M$73.53M$156.88M$75.47M$60.03M$234.90M$192.26M$125.82M$126.18M$41.71M$390.15M$96.47M$72.80M$150.15M
High Forecast$148.79M$107.36M$208.64M$149.73M$134.65M$375.18M$190.45M$124.46M$111.50M$341.07M$133.47M$100.53M$106.04M$310.07M$127.60M$95.05M$275.18M$73.53M$156.88M$75.47M$60.03M$281.88M$192.26M$125.82M$126.18M$50.06M$468.18M$115.77M$87.36M$180.19M
Low Forecast$148.79M$107.36M$208.64M$146.99M$134.65M$250.12M$185.37M$124.46M$111.50M$227.38M$88.98M$100.53M$106.04M$206.71M$127.60M$95.05M$183.46M$73.53M$156.88M$75.47M$60.03M$187.92M$192.26M$125.82M$126.18M$33.37M$312.12M$77.18M$58.24M$120.12M
Surprise %----------1.25%1.14%1.05%0.36%0.89%1.00%0.40%1.09%0.61%1.07%1.35%0.49%0.69%0.86%0.94%1.63%0.30%1.18%1.93%0.86%

Embraer's average Quarter SG&A projection for Mar 23 is $284.23M, based on 2 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $227.38M to $341.07M. The forecast indicates a 105.07% rise compared to ERJ last annual SG&A of $138.60M (Dec 22).

Embraer EPS Forecast

Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19Jun 19Mar 19Mar 18Mar 17Mar 16Mar 15
# Analysts1124224222111122221115998812161918119
EPS----------$0.12$-0.23$0.40$-0.17$0.02$-0.24$0.48$-0.49$-0.02$-0.66$-1.72$-1.59$-1.14$-0.42$0.04$-0.22$-0.07$0.23$0.57$-0.34
Avg Forecast$0.43$-0.02$0.64$0.27$0.22$-0.17$0.72$0.24$0.19$-0.02$0.33$0.09$-0.07$-0.21$0.06$-0.14$-0.25$-0.38$-0.30$-0.46$-0.42$-0.37$-0.02$-0.08$-0.20$-0.17$0.14$0.17$0.17$0.36
High Forecast$0.43$-0.02$0.64$0.29$0.22$-0.17$0.72$0.24$0.19$-0.02$0.33$0.09$-0.07$-0.21$0.06$-0.14$-0.25$-0.38$-0.30$-0.46$-0.42$-0.37$-0.02$-0.08$-0.20$-0.17$0.16$0.20$0.21$0.43
Low Forecast$0.43$-0.02$0.64$0.25$0.22$-0.17$0.71$0.24$0.19$-0.02$0.33$0.09$-0.07$-0.21$0.06$-0.14$-0.25$-0.38$-0.30$-0.46$-0.42$-0.37$-0.02$-0.08$-0.20$-0.17$0.11$0.14$0.14$0.29
Surprise %----------0.36%-2.56%-5.71%0.79%0.27%1.79%-1.90%1.30%0.06%1.43%4.12%4.28%64.19%5.45%-0.19%1.28%-0.48%1.36%3.35%-0.94%

According to 2 Wall Street analysts, Embraer's projected average Quarter EPS for Mar 23 is $-0.02, with a low estimate of $-0.02 and a high estimate of $-0.02. This represents a -116.67% decrease compared to ERJ previous annual EPS of $0.12 (Dec 22).

Embraer Peer Comparison by Price Target


TickerCompanyLast Closing PriceAvg Price TargetUpside/DownsideAvg Rating
CAECAE$18.05$26.0044.04%Buy
SPRSpirit AeroSystems$32.90$45.9239.57%Hold
AIRAAR$59.15$80.0035.25%Buy
MRCYMercury Systems$33.25$43.3330.32%Buy
HIIHuntington Ingalls Industries$191.04$244.8328.16%Hold
EVTLVertical Aerospace$4.49$5.7528.06%Buy
HXLHexcel$58.87$67.6214.86%Hold
TGITriumph Group$14.15$15.7111.02%Buy
LHXL3Harris$247.07$253.762.71%Buy
DCODucommun$59.78$60.000.37%Buy
AJRDAerojet Rocketdyne$57.99$58.000.02%Hold
HWMHowmet Aerospace$99.84$97.44-2.40%Buy
CWCurtiss-Wright$350.01$316.80-9.49%Buy
ERJEmbraer$33.86$28.50-15.83%Hold
RKLBRocket Lab USA$11.25$7.81-30.58%Buy
MOG-AMoog$195.90$131.00-33.13%Buy

ERJ Forecast FAQ


No, according to 7 Wall Street analysts, Embraer (ERJ) is considered a 'Hold'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 3 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 42.86% of ERJ's total ratings.

Embraer (ERJ) average price target is $28.5 with a range of $13 to $40, implying a -15.83% from its last price of $33.86. The data is based on 7 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.

According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for ERJ stock, the company can go down by -15.83% (from the last price of $33.86 to the average price target of $28.5), up by 18.13% based on the highest stock price target, and down by -61.61% based on the lowest stock price target.

ERJ's average twelve months analyst stock price target of $28.5 does not support the claim that Embraer can reach $50 in the near future.

Embraer's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2023) are as follows: average revenue is $5.3B (high $5.34B, low $5.28B), average EBITDA is $118.33M (high $145.83M, low $91.81M), average net income is $-505M (high $-361M, low $-650M), average SG&A $707.25M (high $767.48M, low $648.71M), and average EPS is $1.12 (high $1.13, low $1.12). ERJ's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2024) are as follows: average revenue is $6.13B (high $6.16B, low $6.12B), average EBITDA is $145.2M (high $174.35M, low $116.59M), average net income is $-580M (high $-419M, low $-741M), average SG&A $803.84M (high $868.2M, low $740.4M), and average EPS is $0.959 (high $0.979, low $0.939).

Based on Embraer's last annual report (Dec 2022), the company's revenue was $4.54B, which missed the average analysts forecast of $4.85B by -6.47%. Apple's EBITDA was $213.7M, missing the average prediction of $313.61M by -31.86%. The company's net income was $-204M, missing the average estimation of $-469M by -56.60%. Apple's SG&A was $459.3M, missing the average forecast of $576.19M by -20.29%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $-1.11, missing the average prediction of $0.137 by -907.80%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Dec 2022), Embraer's revenue was $1.99B, beating the average analysts' forecast of $1.96B by 1.55%. The company's EBITDA was $263.1M, missing the average prediction of $309.54M by -15.00%. Embraer's net income was $22.9M, missing the average estimation of $177.87M by -87.13%. The company's SG&A was $138.6M, beating the average forecast of $111.23M by 24.61%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $0.12, missing the average prediction of $0.332 by -63.90%