Dollar Tree (DLTR) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions
DLTR Stock Forecast
Dollar Tree stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $116.00 (represents a 61.31% upside from DLTR’s last price of $71.91) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 21 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.
DLTR Price Target
The average price target for Dollar Tree (DLTR) is $116.00 based on 1-year price targets from 21 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $200.90 to $64.00. This represents a potential 61.31% upside from DLTR's last price of $71.91.
DLTR Analyst Ratings
According to 21 Wall Street analysts, Dollar Tree's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for DLTR stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 11 'Buy' (52.38%), 10 'Hold' (47.62%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).
Dollar Tree Price Target by Analyst
| Date | Analyst | Company | Price Target | Price when Published | Price Target/Price when Published | Price Target/Last Closing Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 06, 2024 | John Heinbockel | Guggenheim | $120.00 | $68.47 | 75.26% | 66.88% |
| Sep 05, 2024 | Kelly Bania | Loop Capital Markets | $68.00 | $68.47 | -0.69% | -5.44% |
| Sep 05, 2024 | Simeon Gutman | Morgan Stanley | $80.00 | $63.56 | 25.87% | 11.25% |
| Sep 05, 2024 | Paul Lejuez | Citigroup | $64.00 | $62.71 | 2.06% | -11.00% |
| Sep 05, 2024 | Peter Keith | Piper Sandler | $67.00 | $63.56 | 5.41% | -6.83% |
| Sep 05, 2024 | Kelly Bania | BMO Capital | $68.00 | $63.56 | 6.99% | -5.44% |
| Sep 05, 2024 | Bradley Thomas | KeyBanc | $84.00 | $68.47 | 22.68% | 16.81% |
| Sep 04, 2024 | Seth Sigman | Barclays | $81.00 | $62.55 | 29.49% | 12.64% |
| Sep 04, 2024 | Arun Sundaram | CFRA | $74.00 | $63.56 | 16.43% | 2.91% |
| Sep 04, 2024 | Scot Ciccarelli | Truist Financial | $79.00 | $63.56 | 24.29% | 9.86% |
The latest Dollar Tree stock forecast, released on Sep 06, 2024 by John Heinbockel from Guggenheim, set a price target of $120.00, which represents a 75.26% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($68.47), and a 66.88% increase from DLTR last price ($71.91).
Dollar Tree Price Target by Period
| 1M | 3M | 12M | |
|---|---|---|---|
| # Anlaysts | 12 | 13 | 29 |
| Avg Price Target | $86.25 | $91.54 | $124.59 |
| Last Closing Price | $71.91 | $71.91 | $71.91 |
| Upside/Downside | 19.94% | 27.30% | 73.26% |
In the current month, the average price target of Dollar Tree stock is $86.25, according to 12 Wall Street analysts offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a 19.94% increase as opposed to Dollar Tree's last price of $71.91. This month's average price target is down -5.78% compared to last quarter, and down -30.77% compared to last year.
Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades
| Date | Company | Previous Rating | New Rating | Rating Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 06, 2024 | Guggenheim | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Sep 05, 2024 | BMO Capital | Market Perform | Perform | Downgrade |
| Sep 05, 2024 | Morgan Stanley | Equal-Weight | Equal-Weight | Hold |
| Sep 05, 2024 | Citigroup | Neutral | Neutral | Hold |
| Sep 05, 2024 | Piper Sandler | Neutral | Neutral | Hold |
| Sep 05, 2024 | BMO Capital | Outperform | Market Perform | Downgrade |
| Sep 05, 2024 | Loop Capital Markets | - | Hold | Downgrade |
| Sep 05, 2024 | KeyBanc | Overweight | Overweight | Hold |
| Sep 04, 2024 | Barclays | Equal-Weight | Equal-Weight | Hold |
| Sep 04, 2024 | CFRA | Hold | Hold | Hold |
Dollar Tree's last stock rating was published by Guggenheim on Sep 06, 2024. The company gave DLTR a "Buy" rating, the same as its previous rate.
Dollar Tree Financial Forecast
Dollar Tree Revenue Forecast
| Feb 26 | Nov 25 | Aug 25 | May 25 | Feb 25 | Nov 24 | Aug 24 | May 24 | Feb 24 | Nov 23 | Aug 23 | May 23 | Feb 23 | Nov 22 | Aug 22 | May 22 | Feb 22 | Nov 21 | Aug 21 | May 21 | Feb 21 | Nov 20 | Aug 20 | May 20 | Feb 20 | Nov 19 | Aug 19 | May 19 | Feb 19 | May 18 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $8.64B | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $6.48B | - | - | $6.28B | $6.29B | $6.32B | $5.75B | $5.74B | $5.81B | $6.21B | $5.55B |
| Avg Forecast | $8.61B | $7.78B | $7.68B | $7.85B | $8.23B | $7.45B | $7.49B | $7.63B | $8.67B | $7.40B | $7.20B | $7.29B | $7.61B | $6.84B | $6.79B | $6.76B | $7.12B | $6.41B | $6.44B | $6.42B | $6.80B | $6.13B | $6.22B | $6.14B | $6.39B | $5.74B | $5.72B | $5.78B | $6.19B | $6.39B |
| High Forecast | $8.84B | $7.99B | $7.89B | $8.06B | $8.43B | $7.48B | $7.69B | $7.84B | $8.90B | $7.46B | $7.39B | $7.49B | $7.81B | $7.03B | $6.86B | $6.86B | $7.24B | $6.52B | $6.55B | $6.53B | $6.92B | $6.23B | $6.33B | $6.25B | $6.50B | $5.84B | $5.81B | $5.88B | $6.29B | $7.67B |
| Low Forecast | $8.49B | $7.67B | $7.57B | $7.74B | $8.10B | $7.43B | $7.38B | $7.52B | $8.54B | $7.31B | $7.10B | $7.19B | $7.50B | $6.74B | $6.55B | $6.65B | $6.98B | $6.28B | $6.31B | $6.29B | $6.67B | $6.01B | $6.10B | $6.02B | $6.26B | $5.63B | $5.60B | $5.67B | $6.07B | $5.12B |
| # Analysts | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 15 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.00% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.01% | - | - | 1.01% | 1.02% | 0.99% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 0.87% |
Dollar Tree's average Quarter revenue forecast for May 24 based on 7 analysts is $7.63B, with a low forecast of $7.52B, and a high forecast of $7.84B. DLTR's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a -11.64% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $8.64B (Feb 24).
Dollar Tree EBITDA Forecast
| Feb 26 | Nov 25 | Aug 25 | May 25 | Feb 25 | Nov 24 | Aug 24 | May 24 | Feb 24 | Nov 23 | Aug 23 | May 23 | Feb 23 | Nov 22 | Aug 22 | May 22 | Feb 22 | Nov 21 | Aug 21 | May 21 | Feb 21 | Nov 20 | Aug 20 | May 20 | Feb 20 | Nov 19 | Aug 19 | May 19 | Feb 19 | May 18 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 15 |
| EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $-1.66B | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $692.60M | - | - | $542.80M | $530.90M | $427.80M | $518.30M | $423.60M | $536.50M | $-1.98B | $588.90M |
| Avg Forecast | $770.25M | $696.05M | $686.85M | $702.05M | $736.01M | $666.10M | $669.79M | $604.55M | $775.41M | $661.61M | $644.07M | $549.59M | $680.35M | $512.61M | $607.34M | $604.86M | $488.80M | $466.01M | $575.94M | $856.31M | $502.87M | $548.25M | $556.57M | $418.02M | $571.29M | $513.55M | $511.29M | $-1.98B | $553.53M | $934.59M |
| High Forecast | $790.97M | $714.77M | $705.32M | $720.92M | $753.79M | $668.78M | $687.81M | $725.46M | $796.27M | $666.97M | $661.39M | $659.51M | $698.64M | $615.13M | $613.65M | $613.98M | $586.56M | $559.21M | $585.69M | $1.03B | $603.45M | $557.53M | $565.99M | $501.63M | $580.96M | $522.25M | $519.94M | $-1.58B | $562.90M | $1.12B |
| Low Forecast | $759.08M | $685.95M | $676.89M | $691.87M | $724.46M | $664.31M | $660.08M | $483.64M | $764.17M | $653.56M | $634.73M | $439.67M | $670.48M | $410.09M | $586.25M | $594.65M | $391.04M | $372.81M | $564.50M | $685.04M | $402.30M | $537.35M | $545.51M | $334.42M | $559.93M | $503.35M | $501.12M | $-2.38B | $542.53M | $747.67M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | -2.15% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.81% | - | - | 0.98% | 1.27% | 0.75% | 1.01% | 0.83% | -0.27% | -3.58% | 0.63% |
10 analysts predict DLTR's average Quarter EBITDA for Aug 21 to be $575.94M, with a high of $585.69M and a low of $564.50M. This is -16.84% lower than Dollar Tree's previous annual EBITDA (May 21) of $692.60M.
Dollar Tree Net Income Forecast
| Feb 26 | Nov 25 | Aug 25 | May 25 | Feb 25 | Nov 24 | Aug 24 | May 24 | Feb 24 | Nov 23 | Aug 23 | May 23 | Feb 23 | Nov 22 | Aug 22 | May 22 | Feb 22 | Nov 21 | Aug 21 | May 21 | Feb 21 | Nov 20 | Aug 20 | May 20 | Feb 20 | Nov 19 | Aug 19 | May 19 | Feb 19 | May 18 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 15 |
| Net Income | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $-1.71B | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $374.50M | - | - | $261.50M | $247.60M | $123.00M | $255.80M | $180.30M | $267.90M | $-2.31B | $160.50M |
| Avg Forecast | $536.59M | $265.56M | $195.27M | $332.14M | $484.49M | $231.43M | $223.88M | $474.85M | $573.38M | $216.51M | $188.56M | $431.68M | $433.82M | $250.32M | $348.84M | $436.11M | $216.80M | $227.57M | $220.55M | $498.03M | $261.13M | $251.66M | $200.90M | $120.19M | $383.14M | $245.57M | $180.20M | $-2.31B | $419.04M | $1.05B |
| High Forecast | $555.35M | $274.84M | $202.10M | $343.75M | $608.33M | $286.63M | $231.71M | $569.82M | $593.43M | $222.95M | $195.15M | $518.02M | $448.98M | $300.39M | $353.56M | $444.66M | $260.16M | $273.08M | $225.40M | $597.64M | $313.36M | $257.20M | $205.32M | $144.23M | $391.57M | $250.98M | $184.17M | $-1.85B | $428.26M | $1.25B |
| Low Forecast | $526.47M | $260.55M | $191.59M | $325.88M | $445.39M | $222.94M | $219.66M | $379.88M | $562.57M | $205.80M | $185.01M | $345.35M | $425.64M | $200.26M | $333.10M | $426.53M | $173.44M | $182.05M | $214.85M | $398.43M | $208.90M | $245.16M | $195.71M | $96.15M | $373.24M | $239.23M | $175.54M | $-2.77B | $408.21M | $836.46M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | -2.98% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.75% | - | - | 1.30% | 2.06% | 0.32% | 1.04% | 1.00% | -0.12% | -5.51% | 0.15% |
Dollar Tree's average Quarter net income forecast for Aug 21 is $220.55M, with a range of $214.85M to $225.40M. DLTR's average Quarter net income forecast represents a -41.11% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $374.50M (May 21).
Dollar Tree SG&A Forecast
| Feb 26 | Nov 25 | Aug 25 | May 25 | Feb 25 | Nov 24 | Aug 24 | May 24 | Feb 24 | Nov 23 | Aug 23 | May 23 | Feb 23 | Nov 22 | Aug 22 | May 22 | Feb 22 | Nov 21 | Aug 21 | May 21 | Feb 21 | Nov 20 | Aug 20 | May 20 | Feb 20 | Nov 19 | Aug 19 | May 19 | Feb 19 | May 18 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 15 |
| SG&A | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $4.67B | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $1.45B | - | - | $1.54B | $1.43B | $1.40B | $1.35B | $1.38B | $1.34B | $1.33B | $1.26B |
| Avg Forecast | $2.08B | $1.88B | $1.85B | $1.89B | $1.98B | $1.80B | $1.81B | $1.63B | $2.09B | $1.78B | $1.74B | $1.48B | $1.83B | $1.30B | $1.64B | $1.63B | $1.46B | $1.18B | $1.55B | $1.46B | $1.15B | $1.48B | $1.50B | $1.37B | $1.54B | $1.38B | $1.38B | $1.33B | $1.49B | $1.38B |
| High Forecast | $2.13B | $1.93B | $1.90B | $1.94B | $2.03B | $1.80B | $1.85B | $1.96B | $2.15B | $1.80B | $1.78B | $1.78B | $1.88B | $1.55B | $1.65B | $1.66B | $1.75B | $1.41B | $1.58B | $1.75B | $1.39B | $1.50B | $1.53B | $1.64B | $1.57B | $1.41B | $1.40B | $1.60B | $1.52B | $1.65B |
| Low Forecast | $2.05B | $1.85B | $1.82B | $1.87B | $1.95B | $1.79B | $1.78B | $1.31B | $2.06B | $1.76B | $1.71B | $1.19B | $1.81B | $1.04B | $1.58B | $1.60B | $1.16B | $942.36M | $1.52B | $1.17B | $923.55M | $1.45B | $1.47B | $1.09B | $1.51B | $1.36B | $1.35B | $1.07B | $1.46B | $1.10B |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2.23% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.99% | - | - | 1.03% | 1.05% | 0.91% | 0.97% | 1.00% | 1.01% | 0.89% | 0.92% |
Dollar Tree's average Quarter SG&A projection for May 24 is $1.63B, based on 7 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $1.31B to $1.96B. The forecast indicates a -65.03% fall compared to DLTR last annual SG&A of $4.67B (Feb 24).
Dollar Tree EPS Forecast
| Feb 26 | Nov 25 | Aug 25 | May 25 | Feb 25 | Nov 24 | Aug 24 | May 24 | Feb 24 | Nov 23 | Aug 23 | May 23 | Feb 23 | Nov 22 | Aug 22 | May 22 | Feb 22 | Nov 21 | Aug 21 | May 21 | Feb 21 | Nov 20 | Aug 20 | May 20 | Feb 20 | Nov 19 | Aug 19 | May 19 | Feb 19 | May 18 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 15 |
| EPS | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $-7.85 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $1.61 | - | - | $1.10 | $1.05 | $0.52 | $1.08 | $0.76 | $1.13 | $-9.69 | $0.68 |
| Avg Forecast | $2.49 | $1.23 | $0.91 | $1.54 | $2.25 | $1.08 | $1.04 | $1.43 | $2.66 | $1.01 | $0.88 | $1.52 | $2.02 | $1.18 | $1.60 | $2.00 | $1.78 | $0.96 | $1.01 | $1.42 | $2.12 | $1.15 | $0.92 | $0.85 | $1.76 | $1.13 | $0.83 | $1.14 | $1.92 | $1.91 |
| High Forecast | $2.58 | $1.28 | $0.94 | $1.60 | $2.83 | $1.33 | $1.08 | $1.48 | $2.76 | $1.04 | $0.91 | $1.57 | $2.09 | $1.22 | $1.62 | $2.04 | $1.82 | $0.98 | $1.03 | $1.45 | $2.17 | $1.18 | $0.94 | $0.87 | $1.80 | $1.15 | $0.85 | $1.17 | $1.97 | $2.29 |
| Low Forecast | $2.45 | $1.21 | $0.89 | $1.51 | $2.07 | $1.04 | $1.02 | $1.40 | $2.61 | $0.96 | $0.86 | $1.49 | $1.98 | $1.16 | $1.53 | $1.96 | $1.74 | $0.94 | $0.99 | $1.38 | $2.07 | $1.13 | $0.90 | $0.82 | $1.71 | $1.10 | $0.81 | $1.11 | $1.87 | $1.53 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | -2.95% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.14% | - | - | 1.19% | 1.24% | 0.30% | 0.96% | 0.92% | 0.99% | -5.04% | 0.36% |
According to 10 Wall Street analysts, Dollar Tree's projected average Quarter EPS for Aug 21 is $1.01, with a low estimate of $0.99 and a high estimate of $1.03. This represents a -37.13% decrease compared to DLTR previous annual EPS of $1.61 (May 21).
Dollar Tree Peer Comparison by Price Target
| Ticker | Company | Last Closing Price | Avg Price Target | Upside/Downside | Avg Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BIG | Big Lots | $0.50 | $12.50 | 2400.00% | Hold |
| DG | Dollar General | $85.75 | $153.42 | 78.92% | Buy |
| DLTR | Dollar Tree | $71.91 | $116.00 | 61.31% | Buy |
| WMT | Walmart | $80.56 | $108.78 | 35.03% | Buy |
| TGT | Target | $152.84 | $178.28 | 16.64% | Buy |
| BJ | BJ's Wholesale Club | $80.57 | $71.64 | -11.08% | Hold |
| COST | Costco Wholesale | $907.87 | $755.17 | -16.82% | Buy |
DLTR Forecast FAQ
Is Dollar Tree a good buy?
Yes, according to 21 Wall Street analysts, Dollar Tree (DLTR) is considered a 'Buy'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 11 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 52.38% of DLTR's total ratings.
What is DLTR's price target?
Dollar Tree (DLTR) average price target is $116 with a range of $64 to $200.9, implying a 61.31% from its last price of $71.91. The data is based on 21 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.
Will Dollar Tree stock go up soon?
According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for DLTR stock, the company can go up by 61.31% (from the last price of $71.91 to the average price target of $116), up by 179.38% based on the highest stock price target, and down by -11.00% based on the lowest stock price target.
Can Dollar Tree stock reach $110?
DLTR's average twelve months analyst stock price target of $116 supports the claim that Dollar Tree can reach $110 in the near future.
What is Dollar Tree's current price target trend?
12 Wall Street analysts forecast a $86.25 price target for Dollar Tree (DLTR) this month, up 19.94% from its last price of $71.91. Compared to the last 3 and 12 months, the average price target increased by 27.30% and increased by 73.26%, respectively.
What are Dollar Tree's analysts' financial forecasts?
Dollar Tree's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Feb 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $30.8B (high $31.43B, low $30.43B), average EBITDA is $2.68B (high $2.84B, low $2.53B), average net income is $1.41B (high $1.7B, low $1.27B), average SG&A $7.22B (high $7.65B, low $6.83B), and average EPS is $5.79 (high $6.71, low $5.53). DLTR's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Feb 2026) are as follows: average revenue is $31.92B (high $32.78B, low $31.46B), average EBITDA is $2.86B (high $2.93B, low $2.81B), average net income is $1.33B (high $1.38B, low $1.3B), average SG&A $7.7B (high $7.9B, low $7.59B), and average EPS is $6.18 (high $6.39, low $6.06).
Did the DLTR's actual financial results beat the analysts' financial forecasts?
Based on Dollar Tree's last annual report (Feb 2024), the company's revenue was $30.6B, beating the average analysts forecast of $30.56B by 0.15%. Apple's EBITDA was $-40.8M, missing the average prediction of $2.63B by -101.55%. The company's net income was $-998M, missing the average estimation of $1.41B by -170.80%. Apple's SG&A was $10.21B, beating the average forecast of $7.1B by 43.95%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $-4.55, missing the average prediction of $6.06 by -175.03%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Feb 2024), Dollar Tree's revenue was $8.64B, missing the average analysts' forecast of $8.67B by -0.34%. The company's EBITDA was $-1.665B, missing the average prediction of $775.41M by -314.70%. Dollar Tree's net income was $-1.71B, missing the average estimation of $573.38M by -398.20%. The company's SG&A was $4.67B, beating the average forecast of $2.09B by 123.36%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $-7.85, missing the average prediction of $2.66 by -394.62%